Mahomes or Allen - Who's Going to the Super Bowl? 2025 AFC Championship Bills vs Chiefs Predictions

[@johnlim7720]

Since 1984, playoff road teams ( BUF ) off a playoff home dog win are only 1-16 ATS the next game. In Allen’s career, he has never won consecutive games outright with both games being listed as an underdog. He’s had 15 different opportunities as a dog in consecutive games. When favored by less than a TD home teams in the AFC title game are 12-1 ATS since 1988.

[@robriederer5497]

@@johnlim7720 teams coming off 2 Superbowl wins are 0-3 in championship games.

[@johnlim7720]

@@robriederer5497 True coz there's never been a 3-peat champ in history.

[@stevemerril1485]

There has been some sharp money on both home teams, I think the fact both road teams won as a dog is part of the reason.

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Using past ATS results is like looking in the rear view mirror while driving.

[@joshhoffer3038]

and not many teams have been in that situation lol..not enough data for that to make a bet on ​@robriederer5497

[@Saldo30]

I’m rooting for the Bills, but my money is on the Chiefs.

[@emmawatson1484]

Don’t do that to yourself, lol that’s the worst way to bet.

[@michaelsapoznik5984]

​@@emmawatson1484 It's the best way to bet; he doesn't bet with his heart, and you win something either way.

[@BigBundy82]

@Saldo30 ,,,,,That was Exactly what I said and how I bet!!!lol 😂

[@BigBundy82]

​@@michaelsapoznik5984i agree

[@BigBundy82]

I have a 3 teamer .. Kc -1.5, Under 48.5.. Alternate spread Eagles -2,5.... Bet 185 to win aalmost 800...

[@robertwitkowski6920]

Refs decided on the Chief’s before the game even started. Ridiculous!

[@Ray-sj2iw]

Cry little babies cry. Get off of your bro couch wipe off your chin and spit. Run upstairs and cry to Mommy. Tell Mommy you and your bois want a trophy too, just like when you play t ball.

[@marcosdecano1191]

KC ML --125 should hit as a revenge spot.

[@Wagertalk]

@marcosdecano1191, good luck with your action!

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching, best of luck on Sunday everyone! 💲🏈👍

[@smithtukerson]

It's going to be close, but the Chiefs at home with a pretty significant coaching advantage. I agree with the over...thanks as always Steve

[@Wagertalk]

Thanks for tuning in @smithtukerson and taking the time to comment 👊

[@stevemerril1485]

Seems like every Chiefs game is close

[@Rob_G716]

I’m rooting and taking the Bills +2 they’re the better team

[@costo34ify]

Worse team,kc is dynasty buffalo has Josh only

[@nalgas71]

I waited too long. What yall think about O 49.5?

[@marcosdecano1191]

WAS +6.5 sounds like a winner if they go into over time

[@ClarenceSiniard]

The commanders didn’t work out so well Boy did they look Bad turn overs fumble s. What was them players thinking

[@BonsaiBuckeye]

Thanks steve!!🎉🎉🎉

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching!

[@ericibarra4451]

Lets gettt it steve , got the 77 for the week and looking good . I like the picks today

[@Wagertalk]

🤞

[@stevemerril1485]

Great to have you on board, good luck this week!

[@rexxy141]

Mahomes over 250 yards/ kelce 60 +yards / kelce anytime TD chiefs -2.5 💥

[@franjulbernardo1778]

Today there will be many surprises 🎉

[@Wagertalk]

Thank you @franjulbernardo1778 for tuning in and taking the time to comment!

[@rudydiaz725]

Let's go Buffalo Let's go Buffalo 😮😮😮

[@stevemerril1485]

Enjoy the games on Sunday

[@ZaTrapped]

@@stevemerril1485You do too cuz the bills are winning

[@davehughes7794]

Eagles/Chiefs ML parlay

[@taylorhurlocker9357]

Careful on the +1.5 side anyone looking at the Bills. Overtime rules change in the playoffs, analytically a team scoring a TD from behind has more incentive to go for the 2 point conversion to avoid 'sudden death' on the following possession.

[@barnershane123]

That bet would still hit +1.5

[@taylorhurlocker9357]

@barnershane123 Oh yeah oops, math is hard for me sometimes.

[@Eric-yn6ur]

On these free plays, what the confidence level unit size? 1/2 unit?

[@Nate.Guwop33]

All in don’t be a pussy

[@thuylam5857]

Who u think going win this game steve

[@patriciayonkoski8679]

I DON'T BELIEVE YOU !!! LET'S GO BUFFALOOO 🐃 👏

[@eyeAm101]

Bills have to rely on a rookie CB on the road. That's not good!

[@rudydiaz725]

Buffalo 8,Washington 12,Buffalo over 41,5,philli under 53 5,teaser gets 80,you get 350 😮😮😮🎉❤

[@stevemerril1485]

Best of luck

[@tdizzoguwop9758]

CHIEFS ML 🔒

[@thejanglezclan]

There is no money to be made in Chiefs ML

[@JG23065]

@@thejanglezclanyou thought you ate with this comment

[@iMixMaSteR1]

@@thejanglezclan A -125 is no money to be made? lol what

[@swagshop7548]

He broke 😂5 k kc ml max load

[@tdizzoguwop9758]

CHIEFS -1.5/ ML

[@jamslam5641]

BILLS MONEYLINE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[@ChaddyChadLetsGetIt]

B🏈🏈M! You should come with us to the game at Arrowhead 🏟️ here in Kansas City, Missouri. It’s going to a blast! How ‘bout those💪 CHIEEEFS! #threepeat

[@stevemerril1485]

Should be a great game Chad, enjoy!

[@robertkornosky543]

Buffalo +3 but point. Wash +7 buy points. Letssss gooo

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck Robert

[@quinnmorgan28]

Occam’s razor in play, along with; Who’s the smarter team? ( from coach to players) Phil =ML KC = ML TD’s: JA= TD T-Kel= TD SB = TD JH = TD

[@randallcain258]

Steve, I did a 2 team teaser w/ BUF +7.5 & PHL pk. What do u think?

[@stevemerril1485]

Makes sense, although Eagles don't qualify as a true teaser play, getting them a straight up win situation is tempting

[@randywhite6945]

Keon Coleman props good middle opportunity over 19.5 on dk under 21.5 on fd

[@Wagertalk]

Good luck with your action!

[@allstars617]

Steve are you gonna do the nfc championship game?

[@stevemerril1485]

Yes, that video is posted now as well.

[@robertdangelo-w8b]

Would love to have pulled for the Bills but I have a futures bet on Chiefs. But my money in this Game would be on Chiefs ( big game team)

[@RossKirkorian]

KC-Bills game is very tricky. I think Bills plus 2 is a big winner but my gut feeling says KC ML works too. Prediction: KC 21-Bills20

[@ronaldmizrahi]

Steve is the man! 😀🏈👍

[@daddio34]

Kelce O 66.5 book it

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck

[@prophetmargin7497]

Playing Washington/Buffalo as a 2 team teaser here, Wash +13/Buff +8 -130 Pinnacle

[@cadennidecker7674]

😂😂

[@michaelsapoznik5984]

Pacheco? He's rushed for a grand total of 193 yards on 54 carries (3.5/carry) combined in the 6 games since his return from injury. His last 4 games combined: 94 yards on 33 carries, and has caught one pass. Ugh.

[@stevemerril1485]

Didn't say he was a huge addition back, but he is an asset that they didn't have the first time.

[@michaelsapoznik5984]

@stevemerril1485 Right. I made several justifiable props on Pacheco the last several games he played, thinking he'd somewhat come around to his usual self...nope.

[@dominicnicastro68]

2Rs1L! Thanks Man - GL

[@jimmylegs06]

give us a Wash v Buff SB God, i dont ask for much

[@jamesb0255]

Washington's season comes to an end on Sunday.

[@grandmarquice3655]

I'm glad y'all think that.. if u a Philly we shall see may the best team win homie👍🏾

[@leeenglish6176]

Your wish shall be granted!!!

[@Alex29484]

Chiefs to beat eagles in SB +375 get it while you can but guaranteed Chiefs to win it all I’ve been saying it all year

[@JamminClemmons]

media.tenor.com/N9FG9__xnOoAAAAM/milk-stone-cold.gif

[@CassiusClay-w1y]

Agree -- 24-24 wins it -- CASH IT !

[@donaldcook2484]

KC gets it done! 💪 31-24

[@quinnmorgan28]

Stats are fun, however, mean nothing due to that little thing called, “Time”.

[@karoonboomie2813]

Making history tonight! ONLY THE CHIEFS BABY ~ SUPER BOWL BOUND BABY!!!! LETs FUCKIN’ GO!!!! 💛💋💛💋💛💋💛

[@seasonsintheson]

Hoping for a middle via deposit match bonus bets on the KC ML and Bills +2.5 on another book (DK).

[@ChrisDavid-e7j]

KC win by 1 Bills cover

[@stevemerril1485]

Sounds like an exciting and close game

[@onit413]

I put $400 on the bills to make it spicy lol

[@jamesb0255]

Be aware of the gambling gods! It's not wise to throw out how much money you're placing on a bet.😂

[@thebest12700]

I would if I knew all was fair, this could have a controversial ending if its close. Bills have to go out there and do a job on them.

[@bucknastynastybuck]

@@onit413 be careful cause if you lose you gonna look worse than your profile picture. You gonna smoke a whole pack 🤣🤣🤣 I wrote this joke comment earlier but I don't see it now so I'm rewriting it.

[@ParisHarding]

You finna be out of a spicy 400$😭😭😭

[@Professional8028]

Bills commanders

[@leftovers2go198]

I just want the game to go to triple Overtime 51-49 Chiefs Final

[@stevemerril1485]

I like that

[@robriederer5497]

Cooper TD +600 big players make big plays in big games!

[@Nate.Guwop33]

Since when is cooper a big player??? 🤣

[@robriederer5497]

@Nate.Guwop33 since October 23rd of 2022

[@Nate.Guwop33]

@@robriederer5497dudes a bum always been a bum

[@matilehesalu]

Bills / Redskins SB , just like the old days . But this time is Bills turn 🏈🤠🍻

[@stevemerril1485]

I was thinking the same thing Mati, unfortunately Commanders/Bills would not be like the old days, so I'd be rooting for Buffalo!

[@BigBundy82]

EAGLES -2.5 ALTERNATE.. kc -1.5 Under 48.5

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck on Sunday!

[@stevenem143]

Chiefs 35-28 😇

[@stevemerril1485]

High scoring

[@grandmarquice3655]

Chiefs-Skins ML

[@86120]

Took the free play on college BB last night. Took a loss. U are my go to guy Steve. Ty for your insight in NFL.

[@rudydiaz725]

Let's go Buffalo and philli baby 😮😮😮😅❤

[@robertwitkowski6920]

Philly yes,, bills not so much

[@stevecowder4774]

From what I’ve seen, the majority of the country wants the Bills playing Washington, which would be a great matchup. But over the years, we seldom ever get the matchup that we want. Therefore it’s likely to be another rematch, KC v Philly. And we know the results of that one will be. Chiefs win a 3 peat.

[@iMixMaSteR1]

Who wants Washington? lol.

[@sunshinewaterandwoods1033]

Money!! $$

[@mohamadsaeed685]

Chiefs vs commanders superbowl mahomes will bring ud the 3 peat back to kc inshallah

[@stevemerril1485]

First team ever that can go for a three-peat

[@JimmyC9]

Nobody circles the wagons like the Bills.. Buffalo rolls.... Again Underdogs???? Line is on drugs. Buffalo 31-23

[@stevemerril1485]

Chris Berman!

[@18wheeler76]

ITS SUCH A DUMB SAYING BECAUSE WHEN HAVE THEY EVER ONCE CIRCLED THE WAGINS ?

[@jehushaphat]

@@18wheeler76 He said WAGONS, not WAGINS. I don't thing they've ever circled the WAGINS.

[@darrenhadden1037]

Go CHIEFS 🎉🎉🎉🎉

[@stevemerril1485]

Enjoy the game

[@darrenhadden1037]

@stevemerril1485 u2 thanks! 😁

[@johnnymorris1515]

I hate the chiefs.....pacheco is a bad a..

[@r.minnis9722]

two teams that always get the whistle something has to give refs score most of these teams pts