Isaac Asimov Predicts the Future (1978)

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Manufacturing Intellect

Manufacturing Intellect

6 жыл бұрын

A lecture by Isaac Asimov about his predictions for the future, covering such topics as population growth, the roles of women, energy, war, and space.
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@ManufacturingIntellect
@ManufacturingIntellect 2 жыл бұрын
Check out "The Complete Stories of Isaac Asimov": geni.us/R1pksC1 Join us on Patreon! www.patreon.com/ManufacturingIntellect Donate Crypto! commerce.coinbase.com/checkout/868d67d2-1628-44a8-b8dc-8f9616d62259 Share this video! Checking out the affiliate links above helps me bring even more high quality videos at no cost to you by earning me a small commission! And if you have any suggestions for future content, make sure to subscribe on the Patreon page. Thank you for your support!
@theweed3800
@theweed3800 3 жыл бұрын
Isaac Asimov was more than an incredible author . My life was greatly influenced from his writings. Dave a retired small particle physicist.
@jamesmorton7881
@jamesmorton7881 3 жыл бұрын
Jim a retired CPU design engineer. ditto
3 жыл бұрын
do you live at arkham asylum, tell me I will drop you some candies once in a while
@1man1bike1road
@1man1bike1road 2 жыл бұрын
@ church took over the asylum you should know
@lethalwolf7455
@lethalwolf7455 Жыл бұрын
First science book I ever read as a kid was ‘Atom’. I had so many ‘wow!’ Moments from that book. Asimov was brilliant!
@johnstinchcomb8156
@johnstinchcomb8156 10 ай бұрын
He was, for me, essentially a 3rd parent.
@paulziolo9241
@paulziolo9241 4 жыл бұрын
I’ve read most of his books and the ‘Foundation Trilogy’ defined my life’s work, but I had never heard him speak. He is a formidable lecturer, fluent and forceful. Thank you for the upload.
@smashthestateX
@smashthestateX 4 жыл бұрын
foundation is very slow boring book
@MarkAhrens-HeritageFilms
@MarkAhrens-HeritageFilms 3 жыл бұрын
Does it hold up? What should I read first of his?
@paulziolo9241
@paulziolo9241 3 жыл бұрын
Mark Ahrens : Read the Foundation Trilogy (Foundation, Foundation and Empire, Second Foundation), then the Robot novels, then the rest of the Foundation series. After that tge choice is yours.
@Cerevisi
@Cerevisi 3 жыл бұрын
@@paulziolo9241 100% agree! Apple+ is in post production on the Foundation series, I HIGHLY recommend reading the trilogy BEFORE 2021 when it drops. I predict that it's going to fall well short of the classic genius behind the series. Oh well, I have hope... just a fair lack of confidence.
@TheDeadlyDan
@TheDeadlyDan 3 жыл бұрын
His science fiction brought me to his work in chemistry and physics. He had a way of using common words to bring understanding to the most complex of principles.
@MediaFilter
@MediaFilter 3 жыл бұрын
Since my teens, when I started reading his novels, I've always felt like Prof. Asimov was a good-humoured personal friend.
@rubenbarroso4853
@rubenbarroso4853 2 жыл бұрын
Hi s
@rubenbarroso4853
@rubenbarroso4853 2 жыл бұрын
D
@deadpiratetattoo2015
@deadpiratetattoo2015 3 жыл бұрын
He has the right to predict the future: he wrote our science and physics books. He wrote the science fiction our scientists attempt to reproduce. He shaped our century like Harry seldon.
@rbewoor
@rbewoor 3 жыл бұрын
Eloquence, Brilliance and Cogency, all together. So very rare. Thank you for uploading.
@MsDuketown
@MsDuketown 6 ай бұрын
cogency? Like coherence? But yeah, I'm attracted to his personality as well, although he doesn't arouse me. This truly is a valuable broadcast.
@L2K4D44L4R
@L2K4D44L4R 3 жыл бұрын
Just stumbled upon. This is the first time I've heard Asimov speak. Amazing orator.
@mixerguru
@mixerguru 3 жыл бұрын
amazingly shitty boring and a liar can't forget condescending and Im guessing a plagiarist after reading his work and hearing this garbage ...
@danjohnson4468
@danjohnson4468 2 жыл бұрын
@@mixerguru Dunning and Krueger told me about you. Most stark example that I've seen in a while.
@reinforcedpenisstem
@reinforcedpenisstem 4 жыл бұрын
He never wrote or rehearsed speeches. Pretty impressive.
@prototype8137
@prototype8137 3 жыл бұрын
I mean all it takes is focus and controlling your nerves. Talking is pretty easy.
@EdgarFleming
@EdgarFleming 3 жыл бұрын
@Tony Moca So true.... What happened? How do we get back to this?
@kaninma7237
@kaninma7237 3 жыл бұрын
Do you have a source about him never writing or rehearsing his speeches? I would like to read more about that. Thanks.
@reinforcedpenisstem
@reinforcedpenisstem 3 жыл бұрын
@@kaninma7237 I've read it in his biography, It's Been a Good Life. He describes how he started lecturing and discovered his talent for speaking. Later, he is booked to do addresses and mentions that he prepares nothing.
@sniffulsquack5608
@sniffulsquack5608 3 жыл бұрын
This is the point of public speaking. The more you know, the less notes and setup you need. I could talk about some things like this.
@blackholeentry3489
@blackholeentry3489 3 жыл бұрын
In 1980 I took a cruise from New York City to Bermuda for the purpose of astronomical viewing from a dark sky and Issac Asimov accompanied us, and of course, gave a short talk before the viewing commenced. The first item viewed was Saturn and a line formed. Asimov's wife was kind of pushy and, instead of getting in line, went right to the front....of me. I'll never forget when she looked in the eyepiece at Saturn, and exclaimed with obvious surprise, "Why, it's got a ring around it!"
@MsDuketown
@MsDuketown 6 ай бұрын
you mean Gertrude Blugerman? Or his rebound girl, Janet Jeppson, who later assumed Asimov's last name. They were married on November 30, 1973. Only two weeks after Asimov's divorce from Gertrude!
@ou812icufool
@ou812icufool 3 жыл бұрын
A beautiful human being and shining example of what we should strive to be. One of the best minds I've read or heard. I hope we can take to heart and put into practice the concepts he has so competently presented.
@robertbetz8461
@robertbetz8461 3 жыл бұрын
I owe my worldview to Isaac Asimov. A person in a million! Thanks Dr. Asimov!
@markstatham6158
@markstatham6158 3 жыл бұрын
Robert Betz expand your thinking
@bobbyjbobbyj
@bobbyjbobbyj 2 жыл бұрын
@@markstatham6158 😐
@subhrajitdey5513
@subhrajitdey5513 3 жыл бұрын
Yes. Strangely enough one person who brought me to Sf is a bengali writer called Adrish Bardhan. He translated Asimov Clarke writings in Bengali for us. He has passed away. Thank you
@subhrajitdey5513
@subhrajitdey5513 3 жыл бұрын
@Tony Moca Both He had some books in Bengali
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
@Tony Moca The best translations usually are by good writers. Sadly, Stanislaw Lem was mostly translated into English by a terrible writer. His best books are ruined, but a few have been translated by others and they are very well done.
@misformargaret4028
@misformargaret4028 3 жыл бұрын
One of my favorite writers... this is my first time to hear him speak. I enjoyed this, thanks for the upload.
@drhintjens4915
@drhintjens4915 3 жыл бұрын
So utterly likable open and honest, funny too. And truthful. Love it.
@TheHeavyElements
@TheHeavyElements 3 жыл бұрын
He is so spectacular even 50 years later.
@timishere1925
@timishere1925 3 жыл бұрын
With all due respect he looks 100 in the picture above. He's still alive?
@fabiopilnik827
@fabiopilnik827 3 жыл бұрын
There is a lot of respect due to Isaac Asimov´s amazing books, and here we see him 1) prescribe feminism as a population control method 2) severely over-estimate nuclear fusion´s near-term potential as an energy source 3) Quickly offer solar radiation management to cope with global heating without providing any detail 4) Offer clever guidance on modern warfare 5) Place the moon as opposed to China as the Japan of the 21st century claiming this will motivate a world government 6) Indirectly but not necessarily unwittingly solve the Fermi Paradox.
@user-tz2xk4cz5z
@user-tz2xk4cz5z 3 жыл бұрын
50 years?
@timishere1925
@timishere1925 3 жыл бұрын
@@fabiopilnik827 I never knocked or praised his speech, although I hear you. Simply surprised he's still alive. Good for him. You need to relax.
@timishere1925
@timishere1925 3 жыл бұрын
@@user-tz2xk4cz5z I'm deleting these comments. They don't deserve to be on this channel and this video. Grow old with grace and I'll do the same.
@franriding6473
@franriding6473 3 жыл бұрын
In the photograph he has two arms growing out of his head. Truly futuristic.
@baileyreport.
@baileyreport. 3 жыл бұрын
Isaac was a very brilliant writer and visionary. I remember one interview he gave revealing he was afraid of flying. What a paradox.
@MsDuketown
@MsDuketown 6 ай бұрын
why? His courage isn't part of the equation. Like Dennis Bergkamp, but brilliance in certain facets doesn't give any guarantees on other topics. And Bergkamp even had the conformation regarding safety per travelled kilometer.
@Jay-ft3xh
@Jay-ft3xh 5 ай бұрын
Incorrect. Ironic is accurate.
@Whydoibother943
@Whydoibother943 3 жыл бұрын
I had no idea that Asimov was this great speaker. It’s funny how our misconceptions and polarization shape us so much. About as funny as death!
@influensre
@influensre 3 жыл бұрын
That few finishing sentences 🤯 goosebumps... What a beautiful mind, RIP dear good man and thanks
@meatwax
@meatwax 3 жыл бұрын
I'm up on top of a mountain on a beautiful day listening to this rt now. The slight echo makes it like the voice of God booming from the sky. I find this experience acceptable.. its almost like he's an alien disguised as a human , giving us the solutions to our problems, and waiting for us to grow up so we join the intergalactic party...but we're too into money, racism, and narcissism.
@Welther47
@Welther47 3 жыл бұрын
16:20 That casual, dry humor is so great :D
@L2K4D44L4R
@L2K4D44L4R 3 жыл бұрын
Something in the quality of his speaking reminds me of WS Burroughs.
@WOLFROY47
@WOLFROY47 5 жыл бұрын
he understood irony, and, had a sense of humour
@jazura2
@jazura2 3 жыл бұрын
We all did!
@crieverytim
@crieverytim 3 жыл бұрын
that's, not, how you use, commas.
@WOLFROY47
@WOLFROY47 3 жыл бұрын
@@crieverytim it's how, i, use them, OK ?
@jackroark6928
@jackroark6928 3 жыл бұрын
@@crieverytim that IS how you use them!--to express in writing exactly how it comes out of your mouth.
@mynightoff
@mynightoff 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much ... like others I have never heard his voice.
@tinkmarshino
@tinkmarshino 3 жыл бұрын
He is still one of my favorite authors and was one of my favorite people.. The world is a sadder place now that he is gone.. Sorry to see you go Isaac..
@lethalwolf7455
@lethalwolf7455 Жыл бұрын
I’m only 3 minutes in at this point…this guy is great! This tiny bit is funnier than most stand up comics these days😂
@benonihiggins8204
@benonihiggins8204 3 жыл бұрын
It is great to see he was humble enough to not put on blinders in bringing up possible solutions. He doesn’t claim any solution is without problems and he doesn’t dismiss those problems as being without merit.
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
You’re right on target! There’s always the risk that the solution is worse than the problem. Look at the Aswan High Dam. (It’s ruining the Nile and the Mediterranean)
@bojankotur4613
@bojankotur4613 3 жыл бұрын
Well, he wasn't wrong there. In 40 years, we got about 8 billion people on Earth.
@franriding6473
@franriding6473 3 жыл бұрын
Yep and still haven't moved from reliance on oil.
@dougfielding8215
@dougfielding8215 3 жыл бұрын
There should be a maximum number of children each family can have. This, of course, would be difficult to enforce without invasive measures or a worldwide change in attitude toward having children. The main problem mankind (womankind?) faces is not contamination of the earth but the population of the earth outstripping the resources needed by people. This is a far more pertinent concern than just a problem with equitable distribution of the earth's resources. Yes, one or two children per family is plenty (and choosing not to have children should never be stigmatized, but respected).
@bojankotur4613
@bojankotur4613 3 жыл бұрын
@@dougfielding8215 still, people somehow fail to realize (including you?) that it's not the western world that's facing overpopulation. We are not having enough children to sustain the population, overpopulation should be the least of our concerns. The Chinese actually did a good job of enforcing one child per family for a while but had to relax the rules after a while.
@Syntax753
@Syntax753 3 жыл бұрын
The message from this is equal freedom of men and women
@dougfielding8215
@dougfielding8215 3 жыл бұрын
@@bojankotur4613 I was thinking globally. If the western world makes fewer babies the influx of immigrants, (hopefully skilled) will easily pick up that slack. The overuse of global resources to satisfy overpopulation is a global problem, not just Eastern.
@mannythemanny450
@mannythemanny450 2 жыл бұрын
It is so refreshing and uplifting every time you experience human potential realised
@f.michaelbremer-cruz2708
@f.michaelbremer-cruz2708 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing this. It was quite interesting to hear his thoughts on the future, 42 years after he spoke in that lecture hall. He was truly a man ahead of his time in so many ways. Yet he was also somewhat a man of his time, as evidenced by his expectations that we would have run out of oil by 2008. He did however estimate almost exactly how many humans would be alive in 2018, by doing math in his head as he spoke which is arguably quite amazing. I hope one day that Humanity may yet bring into fruition ideas like harnessing solar power and mining the Moon to meet our energy needs.
@bwj999
@bwj999 3 жыл бұрын
Its dated but what a great man. 2020 we are taxing solar and subsidizing coal. What nobody talks about is the earthquakes and that come with sea level rise. Those will shut all of us down.
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
Coal is dying out due to competition from natural gas. Governments always seem to subsidize shrinking industries. The Fouding Fathers would have laughed at you if you claimed that in the future farming would be reduced to 3% of the population and "need" subsidies.
@sarjenka
@sarjenka 3 жыл бұрын
Good guy Isaac Asimov. He is a hero. What a brilliant mind!
@skeller61
@skeller61 6 ай бұрын
Excellent talk! I thought the parts on population and women’s rights were especially well articulated. Thanks for sharing.
@ossosan
@ossosan 4 жыл бұрын
Hi. I want to subtitle this in portugese. Would you place the subtitles if I send you a .doc with the translation?
@4Nanook
@4Nanook 3 жыл бұрын
He was right on many things but one area of prediction he failed on miserably was oil. He predicted we would run out by 2000 and could at best extend that to 2010 if consumption didn't increase, which it has, now 2020 we have an oil glut and it is clear we will run out of atmosphere before we ever run out of fossil fuels.
@darrenclarke4671
@darrenclarke4671 3 жыл бұрын
I believe you are not looking at the whole picture. The current oil glut is caused by the drop in demand , obviously. The only thing that has prevented the collapse in the growth of oil consumption is the added fuel from the result of tar sands, shale, and fracking, none of which is really profitable, most is not. They require more calories to produce usable fuel, then the return on usable calories. He just didn't know these technologies were coming decades after this speech was made.
@nejm612
@nejm612 3 жыл бұрын
I wonder if you realize how many books he's written. I was looking on archive [dot] org for a particularly book of his that I one held. I didn't find that book (Asimov's Encyclopedia of Science, I think), but I found that he wrote tons of books, math, etc, etc!
@reinforcedpenisstem
@reinforcedpenisstem 3 жыл бұрын
He wasn't incorrect at the time of his speech - that was the best information. Your comment uses today's best information too.
@rowaneisner6802
@rowaneisner6802 3 жыл бұрын
it was pretty much spot on, demand outstripped supply for the first time in 2005 leading to global recession and reduction in oil use. He did get cause and effect the wrong way round with women's education and fertility, but most people still do.
@malcolmjw8750
@malcolmjw8750 3 жыл бұрын
He didn't understand that we never run out of oil, it just gets too expensive for us to maintain enough growth to keep ahead of our debt. Most people still don't understand that, which is why they don't understand we have been living on borrowed time for several decades already. Ultimately the end comes when the financial system goes down under the impossible weight of debt in a deflationary depression. This will come out of the blue and leave indebted countries back in the 1930s.
@arkdark5554
@arkdark5554 3 жыл бұрын
Asimov wrote 457 books in total, much much more than any writer on Earth. He, without a doubt, is a master.
@Meekseek
@Meekseek 3 жыл бұрын
oh puke.
@Breadfan01
@Breadfan01 3 жыл бұрын
While that's impressive, it's not more than any writer on Earth.
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
He’s on the top ten list, but definitely not the most prolific. See www.barnesandnoble.com/blog/6-of-the-most-prolific-authors/
@arkdark5554
@arkdark5554 3 жыл бұрын
Ken Surrency Who’s number one?
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
arkdark555 Probably Charles Hamilton although you know it’s hard to know for sure because there are millions of people writing all the time who don’t get published. So all we can say for sure are the published writers. Read the article. It’s interesting.
@petrichor649
@petrichor649 3 жыл бұрын
He was a very clever man and I greatly enjoy his monologues. Why do we keep electing venal idiots when we have a cadre of moral clever people available?
@henkeball
@henkeball 3 жыл бұрын
Probably because most of us still are primal animals that vote for strong pack leaders instead of intelligent leaders.
@metallkopf988
@metallkopf988 3 жыл бұрын
Because the likes of Asimov don't express an interest in running for office, usually.
@TheMickeyBloo
@TheMickeyBloo 3 жыл бұрын
Intellectual politicians? I doubt they would cope in such a filth infested, corrupt system without having a breakdown.
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
Most politicians are lawyers, it's why they have trouble with dealing with China, since most of the modern Chinese leaders have been engineers who can think in mathematical terms.
@jamesholbert8127
@jamesholbert8127 3 жыл бұрын
Since any other option requires sanity, rationality, cooperation, and concerted action, Catastrophe is the default decision.
@artplant4871
@artplant4871 3 жыл бұрын
The only way I can prove I'm smart is if I make a finely timed joke about the arm growing from Issac's head.
@MrTexsax
@MrTexsax 3 жыл бұрын
That's freaking huge!
@Johnny_Croissant
@Johnny_Croissant 3 жыл бұрын
How is he smiling with an arm growing out of his ear?
@joenalaska
@joenalaska 3 жыл бұрын
Kassetten Studios [Psychedelic Rock & Music Videos] because he knows he has glorious chops that overshadow any genetic abnormality
@nethy02
@nethy02 3 жыл бұрын
yes, he sought medical advice over that and the Dr asked how it got like that and the arm said "it all started with a pimple on my butt"
@jaysomewhereinflyoverterri735
@jaysomewhereinflyoverterri735 3 жыл бұрын
Because three hands are better than two?
@Johnny_Croissant
@Johnny_Croissant 3 жыл бұрын
True. Maybe it also explains how he could write that much 🤔
@karenfornwalt9929
@karenfornwalt9929 3 жыл бұрын
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@foxmulder3285
@foxmulder3285 3 жыл бұрын
"1.5 day is not enough for promotions to come through!!" what an epic line.
@thequeen901
@thequeen901 7 ай бұрын
This is my first time ever hearing him speak, and damn he's brilliant. I've never read any of his books before, but I just bought Foundation, and I think I'll like it
@minilogo37
@minilogo37 3 жыл бұрын
His cadence reminds me of Bernie Sanders.
@yoyo-jc5qg
@yoyo-jc5qg 3 жыл бұрын
and a bit of christopher walken
@angeldamask6550
@angeldamask6550 4 жыл бұрын
He has always been far ahead of his time.
@hedydd2
@hedydd2 3 жыл бұрын
He is forever destined to be so.
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
Sure, he was, but he only had a more highly developed sense and skill of something that we all have: imagination 🤔 also that was his job. He had the freedom and mental space to be able to do it. That’s what we need ...
@jlselc
@jlselc 3 жыл бұрын
he was wrong on any point concerning human involvement. his refdrence to energy are proof . he should Have stuck to s.f. prophecy was not a strong point of his.
@mikaelnilsson5074
@mikaelnilsson5074 3 ай бұрын
what a legend, in fact, to have a mind of his is something I could only dream of having, which also wrote fine books.
@K.D.Fischer_HEPHY
@K.D.Fischer_HEPHY 2 жыл бұрын
Very rarely in the whole existence of biological evolution a self-conscious entity forms that is capable to formulate it's own complex reason and collective responsibility in such attractive manner like this dude.
@ustoopia
@ustoopia 3 жыл бұрын
Wauw this talk is more actual as it was when it was made! Thanks for sharing!
@davidvernon3119
@davidvernon3119 3 жыл бұрын
In the time since this speech was given, our population has doubled.
@Stebokanebo
@Stebokanebo Жыл бұрын
His humor is sometimes fucking else. I love the man.
@offyrtrolley4604
@offyrtrolley4604 3 жыл бұрын
Man I wish millions of people would listen to him 🌍🌎🌏🌚😜
@guillaumerenou4188
@guillaumerenou4188 3 жыл бұрын
What a vision so acurate !
@brucermorgan
@brucermorgan 6 жыл бұрын
In 1978 he saw it all.Thanks.
@denisdaly1708
@denisdaly1708 4 жыл бұрын
@@Dice69aooooww contaminated blood during an operation.
@ytgomer
@ytgomer 4 жыл бұрын
except how much oil we have (40 years later) .. 39:40
@thechumpsbeendumped.7797
@thechumpsbeendumped.7797 3 жыл бұрын
ytgomer So what? He was out by a few years because man found more oil and more efficient (and damaging) ways of retrieving it. It’s still a limited resource and alternatives are the future.
@ytgomer
@ytgomer 3 жыл бұрын
chump .. why the sneer in your reply? I'm likely as much as or more of a fan of Asimov as you... nobody sees it all ... was I think my point. Scoffing fanboys in search of perfection baffle me. If I was to be more general in my criticism of Asimov .. it would be that he seems to have gotten used to fanboys idolizing him... not a flattering aspect of his character.
@EdgarFleming
@EdgarFleming 3 жыл бұрын
"...share with each-other..."
@solexxx8588
@solexxx8588 6 жыл бұрын
I can't believe that this video is not viral?
@_-AB-_
@_-AB-_ 3 жыл бұрын
This thing took two whole years to reach me, and within few hours I'd get video of a dude smashing pie in his face. Stupid ideas propagate faster than smart ones, I guess.
@jacqdanieles
@jacqdanieles 3 жыл бұрын
@@_-AB-_ - & the pie video got more views, shares, & likes ... yeah, that sums up the current world ...
@jaimeandres8425
@jaimeandres8425 3 жыл бұрын
absolutely brilliant Dr. Asimov.
@prischm5462
@prischm5462 3 жыл бұрын
I am 66 years old and when I was growing up I read a lot of books by Isaac Asimov. He was my favorite author. Everything he said in this speech was true, at the time. Of course he could not have foreseen the way that trends have changed in society. Today, even in many first world countries, population rates are declining rapidly. Many parts of the world are below zero population growth. Dr. Asimov also didn't understand the technology trends that greatly increased food and energy production. Don't get me wrong, we still have lots of threats to overcome, but they aren't the threats we used to think of. Dr. Asimov mentioned nuclear fusion and solar power but he should have realized that nuclear fission works pretty well; it is carbon neutral, and the waste it creates is far less dangerous that many people believe. We have Hollywood and irresponsible journalists to blame for making us think that it is terribly dangerous. Dr. Asimov's talk about solar power from space and putting industrial processes in space are on line, but they will take a while. We are lucky to have sufficient resources to provide power in the interim, with oil, natural gas, and fission until we get there. For all of you who believe the problems at Three Mile Island and Japan prove that fission is too dangerous, consider this: no one was killed due to radiation exposure in either one of those incidents. All of the deaths in Japan were a direct result of the tsunami. Yes, serious mistakes were made and they should never happen again. At Chernobyl, the reactor design would never have been approved in the free world. These things can be corrected and the fear of nuclear power is mostly media driven. I still have great respect for Dr. Asimov.
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
I agree with you about fission as an interim solution. There is a finite amount of U, Pu, and Th in the ground (until the next deep space asteroid crashes), so we will eventually have to replace it as we will have to replace oil as our current cheap supply. Solar should be the ultimate goal: it should last for a few billion more years according to calculations. Now, calculations can be wrong, and we will certainly learn a lot more about the universe in the future. We’re not done learning, folks, and there’s a lot more to be done!
@justlikeyouful
@justlikeyouful 3 жыл бұрын
@@kensurrency2564 Interesting Fact: Solar is more deadly than nuclear per megawatt generated due to installers tripping off roofs.
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
Jane Elliot, Jr. what’s your plan?
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
Holophonic shit, I didn’t think about that. 👍
@jcco7250
@jcco7250 3 жыл бұрын
Excellent speech!!
@EdgarFleming
@EdgarFleming 3 жыл бұрын
thank you.
@bengrizzlyadams6187
@bengrizzlyadams6187 3 жыл бұрын
I read most of his books, I read “under the fires of the sun” in French I don’t know the original title, but it was about social distancing ....
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
@Nomad Wizard lol Extraordinary Claims require Extraordinary Evidence. Have any? Nope
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
@Nomad Wizard Checkmate, lol. Obvious questions. If they lived to be a 1000 years old, why did they have so few children? Each generation should have expanded by an exponential amount. Somehow we have never found evidence of the billions who would have been born. Did they sacrifice the babies to Baal? In a 1000 years how often would you break your bones? Somehow no individual body has ever been found with dozens of different healed broken legs. Did their teeth somehow resist wearing down, or did they gum their food for 900 years? Where are all the remains of the 1000 year old animals? Or was it only humans? Why doesn't the Archeological record show nothing? Could it be that the writers of Genesis wanted to show that we were descended from perfection and now we are degenerate? Sorry, but you will need EVIDENCE to back up your claim.
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
@Nomad Wizard Well yes, anyone who doesn't has an inability to evaluate Scientific Evidence. That so many don't is very sad.
@zarimekmal3551
@zarimekmal3551 3 жыл бұрын
That'd be The Naked Sun, I believe.
@bengrizzlyadams6187
@bengrizzlyadams6187 3 жыл бұрын
@@zarimekmal3551 OK thanks a lot, aren't we getting there slowly?
@AdamRayProductions
@AdamRayProductions 3 жыл бұрын
Takes a genius to be able to grow an arm out of your head so easily.
@johnnafunkhouser5999
@johnnafunkhouser5999 Жыл бұрын
Amazing Thank you so much
@damiangall5721
@damiangall5721 5 ай бұрын
What fantastic orator , never mind author ………very comedic and poetic……great stuff 🤙🏻
@korolev-musictodriveby6583
@korolev-musictodriveby6583 4 жыл бұрын
The logic of his vision of the future is undeniable .
@ytgomer
@ytgomer 4 жыл бұрын
maybe, except 39:40
@Kyoto_Ed
@Kyoto_Ed 3 жыл бұрын
120 years ago infant mortality rates were very high. The average lifespan was 30 odd years maybe but if you made it through childhood and avoided accidents and diseases you could easily live to be an old man. The median and the mode averages would be much higher than 30. And scientists have just announced that the world is facing a depopulation catastrophe by the end of the century. So he was way off.
@ustoopia
@ustoopia 3 жыл бұрын
But is it? Considdering what happened in our recent past with the virus and all... I would say that predicting the future is per defination unreliable , but this guy's predicton was pretty darn good!!
@QESPINCETI
@QESPINCETI 3 жыл бұрын
Good Man
@ghanaboyz
@ghanaboyz Жыл бұрын
Brilliant stuff, brilliant man.
@jestermoon
@jestermoon Жыл бұрын
Take A Moment Sir, you still stand on the heads of Giants. Keep Talking Stay Safe Stay Free
@AndrewRobinson-ee7um
@AndrewRobinson-ee7um 3 жыл бұрын
“We have the Chinese word for that”. Even in 1978.
@RodrigoMoura7
@RodrigoMoura7 4 жыл бұрын
Inevitable - if we don’t blow everything first...
@Natalia_Belenkaya
@Natalia_Belenkaya 4 жыл бұрын
If they didn't in the 1980s, God willing it won't happen ) Growing up in the Soviet Union, I know what I'm talking about
@matiabem2346
@matiabem2346 11 ай бұрын
I think that Isaac Asimov was a very visionary and insightful writer, who made some amazing predictions about the future. He was able to foresee some of the technological and social changes that would happen in the 21st century, such as video calls, satellite phones, robots, and miniaturized computers. He also anticipated some of the challenges and dangers that humanity would face, such as nuclear war, environmental degradation, and overpopulation. However, he also made some predictions that were not so accurate or realistic, such as underwater housing, levitating cars, and solar-space farms. He also underestimated the complexity and difficulty of some scientific and engineering problems, such as artificial intelligence, nuclear fusion, and space colonization. He also overestimated the progress and impact of some fields, such as education, psychiatry, and sociology. Overall, I think that Asimov’s predictions were remarkable for their time, but they also reflect his own biases and assumptions. He was more optimistic about the potential of science and technology than the actual state of affairs. He was also more influenced by his own cultural and historical context than the diversity and dynamism of the world.
@sniffulsquack5608
@sniffulsquack5608 3 жыл бұрын
Reminds me of myself rambling. Wish i could have met the man. The energy issue could have used more thought. Solar for daytime and have a hydro generater next to the solar on a river or something of the sort. I like people like this, it strokes my ego.
@Prakhar9455305897
@Prakhar9455305897 3 жыл бұрын
We are still as clueless at then
@humboldtharry4248
@humboldtharry4248 3 жыл бұрын
He’s got more cheek fur than my Persian cat. Amazing guy though
@ivst3655
@ivst3655 Жыл бұрын
What a delight! Imagine him in a conversation with Gore Vidal now...
@MI2003
@MI2003 2 жыл бұрын
Spot on, on so many counts.
@solexxx8588
@solexxx8588 6 жыл бұрын
Every leader in the world should be forced to see this daily. We could have a humanist collection of democracies.
@josephmelton4721
@josephmelton4721 6 жыл бұрын
Solexx X democracy is two wolves and 1 lamb voting on what's for dinner. Try again
@thechumpsbeendumped.7797
@thechumpsbeendumped.7797 3 жыл бұрын
joseph melton Why not 2 lambs and 1 wolf?
@normalizedinsanity4873
@normalizedinsanity4873 3 жыл бұрын
The system is the problem. Democracy has never existed anywhere, we have cults led by psychopaths
@thechumpsbeendumped.7797
@thechumpsbeendumped.7797 3 жыл бұрын
Normalized Insanity “Many forms of government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends democracy is perfect or all wise. Indeed it has been said democracy is the worst form of government except for all those other forms have been tried from time to time” WS Churchill
@waderands3393
@waderands3393 3 жыл бұрын
@@normalizedinsanity4873 our governments are defacto
@winesap2
@winesap2 3 жыл бұрын
It is true that women’s rights and situation has everything to do with population growth. It’s also that the men just take sex whenever they want it if women have no rights. And the woman has no ability to choose birth control. So access to birth control is another factor. But the problems of overpopulation are largely the result of not having access to resources to be able to avoid the problems overpopulation in an area causes. And the problem of overpopulation is also directly related to the amount of resources one consumes. This is the true threat of human population and most of that problem is caused by those in the richest countries...that are never the ones considered to be overpopulated.
@tonyduncan9852
@tonyduncan9852 3 жыл бұрын
Quite right. *_Absolute_* equality for women brings an end to overpopulation and war, and a beginning for economic stability.
@bonumdalek7107
@bonumdalek7107 3 жыл бұрын
Don't worry chaps. Nature is a serial killer and she'll find a way. She's done it in the past and will do it again! Remember the dinosaurs and large mammals?! Two of which come instantly to mind.
@tonyduncan9852
@tonyduncan9852 3 жыл бұрын
@@bonumdalek7107 Nature is a liver of life, more than it is a serial killer. Otherwise it would be dead already. If you can only muster up a couple of instances, then you'd better hurry on. More than 99% of all known life is already extinct. Man is the only lifeform _capable_ of surviving his own extinction, having started this process already.
@bonumdalek7107
@bonumdalek7107 3 жыл бұрын
@@tonyduncan9852 Hi Tony, thank you for refreshing my memory of Prometheus! The struggle of life and recycling of life. The obstacles nature puts forward is a means of overcoming extinction allowing future generations to progress. We are physically weak, but with our large grey matter that has allowed us to overcome many perils. By inventing machines and medicines to overcome our rivals on this planet we have been successful so far. My point was that nature has a way of putting a spanner in the works. Humans are tribal hunters by nature and you can still see this in our flags. Weak physically and often weak minded. We've overcome other creatures large and small for the fight for food (survival), but our natural instincts for fighting for life my actually be our weakness at this point not our strength. All has to change to remain the same. Hence your remark on liver regeneration. As for your remark to undo my life was very weak.
@bonumdalek7107
@bonumdalek7107 3 жыл бұрын
As for women's lib I'm all in favour for it. It can only bring about positive change and stop mens bigotry, which so many societies and institutions have...
@katalystklub
@katalystklub 3 жыл бұрын
Writers, storytellers, producers and directors are running the show we all live in
@ShikataGaNai100
@ShikataGaNai100 3 жыл бұрын
He also held a PhD in Chemistry from Columbia University
@bma1955alimarber
@bma1955alimarber 2 жыл бұрын
Wonderful. Bravo Azimov Issac! I agree with your vision of the future. Except nuclear fusion as a timeless energy source. Because it is so risky...
@TommyLikeTom
@TommyLikeTom 3 жыл бұрын
He could have been a stand-up
@ytgomer
@ytgomer 4 жыл бұрын
39:40 .. prediction is hard, particularly about the future
@Apjooz
@Apjooz 3 жыл бұрын
I just want to note that electric cars have always been more economical but only now they have also become convenient enough.
@ytgomer
@ytgomer 3 жыл бұрын
i still say that predicting the future is difficult
@jacqdanieles
@jacqdanieles 3 жыл бұрын
@Whassname Whassname 👏
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
@Whassname Whassname Yeah, I want my Friggin Flying Car!! And my vacation on the Moon!
@tomato1040
@tomato1040 3 жыл бұрын
The True Life of the Scientific Future is directly proportional to the moral integrity of the ethical scientists who sincerely seek to know the Truth rather than to be known by their public & peers!
@acerbicatheist2893
@acerbicatheist2893 3 жыл бұрын
Dr.Asimov gives it to you straight. Great stuff AGATAN; a superb choice for more anti-theistic content! Indeed, if money were no object to me, I'd be broadcasting his voice in Nyork with Howard Stern as the, err...MC. Watch for the first politician who actually suggests that she'd like to see the number of voters, the number of her constituents, actually drop. I'll be keeping an eye out, but I certainly will not be holding my breath. This speech/lecture is absolutely beautiful. I'm not a fan of using religious language...ever... unless the objective is to laugh at it, or expose the severe dishonesty which inevitably lurks at the core of all religions, but Dr.A. was in full-on prophet mode here, just as the JPL is the closest thing one can truly get towards hallowed ground. Drs.Sagan + Asimov (which ought to be spelled with a "Z", I do believe...) RIP. 😈😈👍👍❤️❤️😢😢✨🌎💥😯🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠Grr. We warned you.
@spiritmolecules
@spiritmolecules 3 жыл бұрын
As much as I admire Isaac's visionary skills, wit and powerful intellect, his theory that we need a one world government is wrong. Putting too much power into the hands of the few is historically proven to always end in self-collapse and destruction.
@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS
@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS 3 жыл бұрын
Depends on who you put and how much power you give. Resources should go to global infrastructure, education, healthcare, research, not for the new F-35 or S-500 systems to enrich the military industries. Global government is a natural evolution and a necessity of going into space. Check the Expanse.
@spiritmolecules
@spiritmolecules 3 жыл бұрын
@@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS Global governance is more of a devolution actually. (I'm not going to go into detail on this in a KZbin comment) You also don't need it to empower meaningful resources - that can be achieved on a national level. Also, space projects are already collaborative between countries. Just think in terms of innovation for example - if you have multiple teams finding a solution, from different backgrounds, different budgets, different conditioning, culture, perspectives (the list goes on) then you will always have a better outcome then if you had multiple teams that were all managed by one global team. That's obviously an extremely basic example but hopefully you get my point.
@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS
@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS 3 жыл бұрын
I believe the way COVID was managed at national level ended up as a global disaster. Nationalism is as real as borders, religions, races...
@Dancestar1981
@Dancestar1981 3 жыл бұрын
Exactly look what’s happening now. The fabians were talking about this in Australia in 1961 the New World Order. Ring any bells anyone they’re talking about Agenda 21.
@YnseSchaap
@YnseSchaap 3 жыл бұрын
He sounds a bit like Jacky Mason 😁
@StefanTravis
@StefanTravis 3 жыл бұрын
I was thinking, Richard Feynmann
@YnseSchaap
@YnseSchaap 3 жыл бұрын
@@StefanTravis 😁
@YnseSchaap
@YnseSchaap 3 жыл бұрын
@Robert Lee, Countertenor Yes Jacky Mason was Jewish
@peterP1889
@peterP1889 Жыл бұрын
Watching in June 2022 and wow! So right!
@roberta3530
@roberta3530 3 жыл бұрын
i dont understand why ppl were laughing.. one of the most brilliant writer and man of our modern era talking deep truths. only about atomic eergy he had not enough infos to understand it..but it was right about oil..alternative sources
@martythemartian99
@martythemartian99 3 жыл бұрын
They are laughing because Asimov is relaying interesting information in an entertaining way, by making good use of humor.
@drhintjens4915
@drhintjens4915 3 жыл бұрын
He was obviously looking for laughs - nice that he did not take himself too s eriously. They laughed because he is hilarious when telling these home truths. Not up his own backside!!
@roberta3530
@roberta3530 3 жыл бұрын
tnx..i understood he was i😁😅ronical listening more. i am italian and probably american irony from more than 60 years ago has been difficult to detect for me. topics were more actual now then then
@tripzville7569
@tripzville7569 3 жыл бұрын
Sane governments, now thats a radical idea lol.
@wareyhattlonnvy967
@wareyhattlonnvy967 6 жыл бұрын
Listen to the man, he knows his stuff.
@DustenRust
@DustenRust 17 күн бұрын
I'm on an Isaac Asimov binge, and I've heard him say multiple times on different occasions that there are only 30 more years worth of fuel left, and maybe 10 more even if we find any more. I wonder from where he got this estimate? When did it start? Who made the calculations? How come we haven't run out yet 50+ years later?
@sonkeschluter3654
@sonkeschluter3654 10 күн бұрын
We found more than they estimated plus the technology to extract oil from places that where before to expensive got a lot cheaper
@tomato1040
@tomato1040 3 жыл бұрын
The True Life of the Scientific Future is directly proportional to the moral integrity of the scientists who sincerely seek to know the Truth rather than to be known by their peers. Once all of the scientists are not self-concerned we'll have much better science, once and for all!
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
Uh, what species do you belong to? Humans have all sorts of motives. Even Scientists. Moral perfection among Scientists or any other groups of humans ain't never going to happen.
@jadawhitt8126
@jadawhitt8126 6 жыл бұрын
the best guy in the world a genius! this will make me smart thank you
@jadawhitt8126
@jadawhitt8126 6 жыл бұрын
oh and others
@TheSuperHeartOrgFoundation
@TheSuperHeartOrgFoundation 4 жыл бұрын
@Jada Whitt is ABSOLUTELY correct... DO NOT listen to this is you are already a GENIUS... It will make you SMART
@gregvanderlaan
@gregvanderlaan 3 жыл бұрын
This Makes a Lot of Sense... I'm sharing this on Facebook with my Friends and Family...
@candidogalicia5128
@candidogalicia5128 3 жыл бұрын
I have'nt seen this interview yet. See the one taped ten years later. I wish I had a photographic memory so that I did'nt have to read The Foundation Trilogy again.
@Larkinchance
@Larkinchance 6 жыл бұрын
Concerning Asimov's talk about war, this piece is incredibly prophetic. It is exactly what is going on today reinforced by a theatrical cable media. “CUT YOUR TV CABLE!”
@MorpheusOne
@MorpheusOne 3 жыл бұрын
A `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`¿? That's what you believe?
@michaelleahy123
@michaelleahy123 3 жыл бұрын
what kind of immature asshole are you?
@MorpheusOne
@MorpheusOne 3 жыл бұрын
@Vegetable Television: Lol?! Television/Cable TV has been `demonized` as basically one thing with, really, two different versions. 1. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by multi-national corporations to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc. 2. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by Satan to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc. It's a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY` and it's completely FAKE. Television is a tool. It's a way to access &, through which, to acquire information. And like any tool it can be misused. If, and...yes...I am stressing "IF", the tool is misused do you blame the tool?! Because, well, obviously, it's the tools' fault, right?¿ Seriously! You're not right in the head if you believe this crap!
@kensurrency2564
@kensurrency2564 3 жыл бұрын
SpookeyR I won’t go as far as conspiracy but the video screen is so powerful that it almost has become primarily used for mind control, propaganda, mis-/dis-information. Turning off the screen is not a bad idea. I hate ads and someone is always trying to sell me something I don’t need or want. Turn off the tube and read. Reading stimulates the brain and leads to THINKING ... hmm what an idea.
@MorpheusOne
@MorpheusOne 3 жыл бұрын
@Ken Surrency: That IS a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`!! You are a bottom-feeding crybaby if you are not doing anything more than trolling for your `shits & giggles`! It does not look good for you.
@janovewaldner1
@janovewaldner1 3 жыл бұрын
18:00 I think Bill Gates was inspired by this idea when he talks about reducing the world population by increasing the quality of life.
@rickliles2460
@rickliles2460 3 жыл бұрын
I've been to music festies where there WERE notices to eat food ;)
@thequeen901
@thequeen901 7 ай бұрын
It's crazy to think that it's 45 years later, and fusion power plants are still a long way away.
@jeffsummstl
@jeffsummstl 3 жыл бұрын
I want to see a future where Isaac Asimov sideburns become all the rage.
@MagnificoGiganticus
@MagnificoGiganticus 3 жыл бұрын
Jeff Summers, I can't grow them. :'(
@taramilton8695
@taramilton8695 3 жыл бұрын
You've never seen 'Supergrass'? where have you been?
@zarimekmal3551
@zarimekmal3551 3 жыл бұрын
Tara, Supergrass is not exactly 'all the rage' ain't it?
@MegaMassivedamage
@MegaMassivedamage 3 жыл бұрын
I like the guy but when your prediction is 'We will either transcend human weakness and become Space-Angels or die like dogs' you're kinda hedging your bets.
@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214
@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214 3 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/aIWZh4xrd5mHhqM Though I would describe his predictions and examinations he makes are both a fools errand. I would more like a bet that has nothing to do with humanity at all. We are not this important nor are we valued as more then just another mutation.
@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214
@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214 3 жыл бұрын
@Michael Walker Well you bet on your emotions as factual having faith will not educate, prepare, or ease your suffering. Go right ahead Bet it all on a miracle? If a miracle occurs I surely wont regret knowing, and being prepared. Hell I bet you've been driving around with a mask on...how'd that work out? Have faith, be a tax paying law abiding citizen? I do have faith in my ability to think critically and question everything especially those who behave as if they have some authority over me. I have thst while your faithing it up grieve for the 7.2 billion who've died for the USA to have such a suffering free bitchin standard of living. Bet you a vast majority had faith, how'd that work out? Good for you, bad for them and their families. I have faith you did not even check out the link? I have faith if you did you didn't look into factually disproving it? I have faith that the vast majority of satanic pedophiles will survive and start it all over again. I have faith that impotence and ignorance will definitely bring undo suffering on scales that would cause most to be so shocked they would pass on the spot. Faith, its the best control no maintenance required.
@Foolish188
@Foolish188 3 жыл бұрын
@@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214 It doesn't take 7.2 billion to sustain the American economy. Wealth is created by the Rule of Law, Property Rights, and Economic Freedom. Poverty around the World is maintained by Bad Government. Just look at the economic miracles of China, India and southeastern Asia in the last few decades. Rising wealth in a modern society causes the poorest of the poor to greatly improve their lives. The problem with poor countries steeped in poverty is that they have little that richer nations want to buy.
@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214
@johnstockwellmajorsmedleyb1214 3 жыл бұрын
@@Foolish188 TRY COMPREHENDING WHAT YOU READ MORON. TRY looking up MAJOR SMEDLEY BUTLER USMC at the time of his death the VERY MOST DECORATED UNITED STATES MARINE EVER! Obviously you couldn't have a clue who Stockwell was either? Amazing simply not amazing that your 2 cents could be negated by pointing out your lack of READING COMPREHENSION. perhaps you should give it a try because you will no doubt be a Lab Flu Victim. Cant wont or never has read anything that did not make you feel just a bit superior? Ask 7.2 Billion Victims Murdered due to your indoctrinated idiocracy Even Sowell is embarrassed for you.
@TubeOnRichard
@TubeOnRichard 7 ай бұрын
Wonderful man. More a product of his time than I imagined but still wonderful
@beppiek
@beppiek 7 ай бұрын
How long had you known him? Did you hang out often? I cant Imagine conversations with him
@mellowtube
@mellowtube 3 жыл бұрын
Love to hear such a great man. Love the Foundation Series. He had a 190 IQ He ended up as President of American Mensa.
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