Summers: Disinflation is not on the Secure Path the Fed Hoped

Lawrence H. Summers, Former US Treasury Secretary; Wall Street Week contributor says that while there are signs that the economy is cooling, he questions Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's stance that policy is sufficiently restrictive.
--------
More on Bloomberg Television and Markets

Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9
Visit www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market data, features, profiles and more.

Connect with Bloomberg Television on:
X: / bloombergtv
Facebook: / bloombergtelevision
Instagram: / bloombergtv

Connect with Bloomberg Business on:
X: / business
Facebook: / bloombergbusiness
Instagram: / bloombergbusiness
TikTok: www.tiktok.com/@bloombergbusi...
Reddit: / bloomberg
LinkedIn: / bloomberg-news

More from Bloomberg:
Bloomberg Radio: / bloombergradio
Bloomberg Surveillance: / bsurveillance
Bloomberg Politics: / bpolitics
Bloomberg Originals: / bbgoriginals

Watch more on KZbin:
Bloomberg Technology: / @bloombergtechnology
Bloomberg Originals: / @business
Bloomberg Quicktake: / @bloombergquicktake
Bloomberg Espanol: / @bloomberg_espanol
Bloomberg Podcasts: / @bloombergpodcasts

[@bytemuncher1]

I'm two and a half minutes into this and Summers still hasn't said anything. I will never get that time back.

[@rimmanesterova9740]

Thank you very much for such interesting material, I will follow new posts.

[@xxyyzz8464]

Policy is not meaningfully restrictive because R* is much higher. We also had an unprecedented and incredibly overdone response in the amount of stimulus and money that is still sloshing around out there. Even if the consumer has spent their excess savings, M2 is absolutely out of whack and it would take until just about 2026 with rates held here and not tapering the runoff just to get back to where we should be.

[@djayjp]

No, real rates are already significantly positive.

[@xxyyzz8464]

@@djayjp I agree we have real rates, but they’re not MEANINGFULLY restrictive when you have all these counteracting forces still in the system and only restrictive enough to get us to where we need to be by 2026 is what I’m saying. If we want to get to 2% without some unforeseen exogenous shock, saddle up an be prepared to wait until 2026.

[@xxyyzz8464]

@@djayjp Having a real rate of even 250 basis points doesn’t mean we are restrictive ENOUGH in a meaningful way to get back to 2% in the next year. Again, saddle up and wait for 2026 to see 2% unless there is an exogenous unexpected forces beyond real rates. Real rates aren’t the one and only force at play here. 🤦🏼‍♂️

[@willscui]

Nice to see Larry's opinion. For all the topics, the degrading quality of the elite school system is the most concerning. Hard to imagine it's getting so bad so quick.

[@bleacherz7503]

Larry on the weight loss Stab

[@TorukMaktoDracarys]

$2 to 3 Trillion Deficit Spending is definitely not what the Fed was hoping for, but Democrats w/help from RINOs can't stop spending, til James Bond puts his foot down. Then all hell will break loose. C'est la vie

[@sunnysider6350]

We need $2-3 Trillion deficit to keep economy on even keel. Under Trumpy it was only $1trillion, the greatest economy ever from the orange jesus.

[@bharatichaudhari]

Restructuring the economic policy only solution of disinflation

[@clifftanch]

I could’ve sworn Summers gave a wink and a nod to a hike last time he was on. I don’t think I would be the only person in America to think that He’s walking that back, so I suppose the odds of a hike have receded.

[@bharatichaudhari]

Avoid the over speculations

[@Theyloveshnwr]

with the way the us gov is spending and spending billions a month to Israel and Ukraine ain’t no way inflation will go down and or a cut will happen

[@DeEJaXn]

I'm praying for your health and strength 💪

[@user-hb1qo6cu1z]

i suspected he was drunk

[@ChadBlevins]

Summers is just so discredited at this point. The conclusions he draws about economic outcomes are just overly forced into his attempt to make it seem like they conform to whatever narrative he had previously predicted. He's stuck in the past with his view of underlying economic structures.

[@bleacherz7503]

You aren’t paying attention - he has been spot on

[@scottsinnott2636]

Hasn't Larry lost all credibility by now? He has been wrong all along.

[@jlogan653]

Larry’s is dismayed because some moralistic students, who are opposed to the MASS killing of innocent civilians, drape a Palestinian flag on a statue of Harvard. Larry, you need to re-assess your priorities.

[@jeffjones114]

Guess these so-called "economists" don't understand high interest rates actually create inflation. Cutting 25 to 50 basis points isn't going to create more inflation.

[@djayjp]

You would get along with the Turkish president 🤣

[@jeffjones114]

@@djayjp perfect example, look how high they made the interest rates, it hasn't helped - just maybe there are other factors at play 🤔

[@Javalipapere]

@@djayjp LOL

[@themakerofmagic]

'our freedom is incomplete without the freedom of Palestine' Nelson Mandela, former president of South Africa 🍉