More "Game Changers" (and Failures) in Ukraine - From Starlink & Electronic warfare to Hypersonics

[@PerunAU]

Many thanks to those of you who voted for the continuation of this series - though don't worry, I'll be looking at some of the close runners up soon enough. I do want to stress that the ranking system is not at all scientific and is based entirely on some partly subjective criteria I settled on, but I would very much like to hear whether you agree (or not) in the comments below. And yes, I think it's important to call out places where Russian technology is effective and impactful - which I think is very much the case in some system categories. Thanks as always, and all the best!

[@joansparky4439]

Ever pondered the question what must go wrong within a society to create conditions that lead to war? What would be a thesis for a 'universal' root cause that is responsible? And if that thesis exists (IMHO doubt that, at least for mainstream sociological sciences) - why isn't humanity capable to use that knowledge successfully to avoid violent conflict?

[@Danksta911]

Truly loved the other suggestions, too. Thanks for the continued Education and Entertainment!

[@beepboop204]

further proof that Perun > Veles

[@HaHaBIah]

Looking forward to the PowerPoint on the efforts in managing aging stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction. As well as the challenges of modernising them.

[@ulrikschackmeyer848]

About 'un-scientific' systems: You have to start somewhere and you suggestions are not only easy to understand. They are still stratospheres above anything available on KZbin, the Middle-Earth that most of us are likely to inhabit for the foreseeable future. You come up with 'rules of thumb' that means that I have yet to hear a military strategist on KZbin that I couldn't follow. That is no small feat, Perun. And if you want to expand your rules and schemes I suggest that you check in with, or run it by, Anders Puck Nielsen. He seems to have a wonderful nack of casually mentioning things that takes all us mere mortals three levels deeper than everybody else can. And as a visual person, I beg of you, please keep up the graphs, and visual models and figures. Again, getting EVERYBODY to understand the first 70% percent of any subjects complexity in ONE hour is no small feat.

[@adamsmall5598]

If anyone could cover "uniforms, ration packs, body armor, or encrypted comunications" and keep the attention of an audience, it would be Perun.

[@vic5015]

Well, we know that Russian logistics, supply, suppirt. body armor and comms discipline are dog shyte, as Perun might say.

[@TWFydGlu]

Kind of lacking in covering uniforms, ration packs, and body armor though.

[@kx4998]

He could talk about supply chain logistics and we will still click onto the video.

[@cwastoinand]

Yes, your troops not dyeing of exposer might help.

[@JO-lx9bx]

I zone out almost instantly when i hear this guys condescending voice

[@rulu1828]

"You should never underestimate the ability of a slav and a heavy vehicle to conquer almost impossible ground terrain." ~Perun, war logistic specialist

[@dogloversrule8476]

Some needs to make this into a t shirt

[@rok1475]

I just realized you can find hundreds of YT videos showing American farmers recovering their tractors stuck in the fields, but almost none from Eastern Europe…

[@ΣτελιοςΠεππας]

​@rok1475 It also has to do with the kind of trucks each side drives.

[@rok1475]

@@ΣτελιοςΠεππας it also has something to do with the skills of the operator.

[@Rumpelpumpel3]

@@rok1475 Whose side are you arguing for here? Are you making fun of Americans cuz they get their equipment stuck often and need to recover it? Are you on the side of Americans saying they are very good at recovering? Are you making fun of Eastern Europeans because they cant unstuck their equipment? Are you on the side of Easter Europeans because they just dont their equipment stuck in the first place? ??????

[@NoName-sb9tp]

Hooray! Time for powerpoint!

[@Dillon-Smith-Email-Marketing]

Agreed!

[@YukiOnTour]

Word!

[@cisarovnajosefina4525]

Thats my reaction everytime 😊

[@ddougyfr3sh]

@YukiOnTour you Excel at Microsoft puns

[@littlefaith8740]

Amazing that I can look forward so much to a PowerPoint. What is wrong with me. 😁

[@fencserx9423]

As a submariner, I fully approve of my platform being referred to as “The tech equivalent of wall hacks and God mode”

[@nicholasogburn7746]

WHO SAID THAT?? O.O

[@MrEmiosk]

​@@nicholasogburn7746watch and listen to the video, Perun compare sea warfare without mines ,hydrophones(active, sonar) and depth charges is like enabling wallhacks and godmode for ww2 subs. Because you can't find them, nor attack them. Without either, sea warfare would've become submarines on both sides of a conflict trying to sink as much and more tonnage then the enemy.

[@eddievhfan1984]

@@nicholasogburn7746 7:50 onwards.

[@ulrikschackmeyer848]

Perun doing another absolutely basic 101 lecture...on topics never experienced before. A Perun' video on ANY subject is definitely the easiest way to get a solid grasp on ANYTHING before everybody else. Dear Perun, your ability to grasp and promote complex, new ideas in easy and fascinating ways is bordering pure wizardry. I say this with some confidence because you swipe this old, though much praized, educator off his feet.

[@i-love-comountains3850]

Perun follows a well-established format for getting info across - Tell em what you're gonna tell em. Tell em. Tell em what you told em. That might sound goofy but it's a very good method.

[@i-love-comountains3850]

Perun is very very good at what they do, and I love that they're here. Very few news channels I watch but they're top 3.

[@PalleRasmussen]

It is called "historian". Though some of us suck at delivering the information we have so easily processed.

[@AnAngryRedGummyBear]

Pretty sure he briefs politicians for a living.

[@jamesgornall5731]

@@i-love-comountains3850 "they?" He's a real boy, you know?

[@casbot71]

The single biggest game changer for _conflict in general_ is the weaponisation of commercial Drones. Not only for the Ukrainian war but warfare in general. And since commercial Drones are readily available for even non state actors, it's changed irregular warfare more than anything since the RPG, prehaps even more, you can't buy a RPG readily as a civilian. Commercial Drones will be used by terrorist cells for assassination, and by State actors pretending to be non State actors. One thing is for sure, future veterans will be getting their PTSD triggered back home by kids flying Drones overhead.

[@deriznohappehquite]

I think we’ll see counters to civilian grade quadcopters proliferate pretty rapidly.

[@090giver090]

This statement should come with a big asterisk cosidering relatively light EW invironment in Ukraine (both Ukraine and Russia are mainly using fairly limited old Soviet capabilities with Ukraine being given modern wesern systems quite sparringly and modern Russian systems just don't work as advertised). There are much less videos of successful Palestinian drone attacks against Israel (apart from first days of the war when HAMAS caught IDF with its proverbial pants down).

[@DoctorMandible]

​@@deriznohappehquitethere's plenty already, including small arms fire. The question is one of cost and constant vigilance VS cheap and everywhere.

[@rulu1828]

Next fear is full automation of said drones, which can mean several possible troubles for humanity.

[@michaelhughes7668]

A bit like dynamite, I guess...

[@daiakunin]

As a citizen of a NATO member nation I can confirm that the stick used by Ukrainian troops to take down a Russian drone was a NATO stick. The story behind the stick is that my backyard garden was facing repeated assaults by the local rabbit tactical battle group, and while many battles have been fought with all sides taking significant casualties, the conflict escalated to an unacceptable level with the introduction of sticks. While the risk of mutual destruction was real, thankfully cooler heads prevailed and a peace agreement was successfully negotiated. The rabbits would retain some access to the garden with the assurance that they wouldn't consume all of its resources, and all parties agreed to stick disarmament, shipping all sticks to Ukraine's ministry of defense.

[@henrikw377]

But how do we know you're not developing bIoEnGiNeErEd StIcKs in an underground lab? Burden of proof is clearly on you...

[@JAnx01]

"citizen of a NATO member nation" ROFLMAO

[@k53847]

The US Army's decision to abolish the EW career field as part of modularization was not particularly wise. They are trying to rebuild this, but is hard.

[@davidlium9338]

It sounds like a decision by a genuine idiot!

[@falcon5190]

The true gamechanger are Perun's lessons on defence economics and how they shape my creation of D&D campaigns and story settings :D You bet every kingdom and evil warlord have a clearly defined supply-chain and let me just say - Dragons may be battlefield game-changers but (like nukes) being able to feed and afford one is no easy task.

[@PerunAU]

Depending on what alternatives the settings offers, I can imagine them also being excellent reconnaissance assets. Anything that can fly and defend itself against common threats while doing recon sounds like it'd be a great force multiplier for a low-tech army.

[@falcon5190]

@@PerunAU Usually the role of air-reconnaissance falls to rangers and their pets. Evil goblin rangers with pet night-owls/bats offering night-time recon capabilities are an unwelcome surprise for most players - with evil wizards and druids handling real-time battlefield communications via magic mirrors/water-bowls. Dragons could of course be used as reconnaissance assets, but they're much too valuable and useful in the role of close air-support and air/ground dominance units - their only real counter being small spec-ops teams(high-level hero parties) or enemy dragons.

[@TristanPye-j9m]

As a fellow DM, why do you give me such evil ideas?

[@b1646717]

4:51 AM on a Sunday. Perfect time for an Australian to teach an American about European conflicts.

[@ulrikschackmeyer848]

Beautifully put. Europe's colonial chickens coming home to roost.

[@stevewhite3424]

Interestingly enough he would never make such an arrogant claim.

[@b1646717]

​​@stevewhite3424 Bold of you to assume. Please, pick another person you've never met and tell us all what they would or wouldn't say.

[@cremsen1]

XD

[@InHooman]

Quick note about Killjoy: While yes, militarily it makes little sense apart from being an oligarchs make money quick scheme or a good propaganda effort, it nonetheless has a decent impact, which lies in one of its shortcomings. When any particular MiG-31K takes off, it can be seen by radars, and an alert is sounded. On one side, its tactical merit is already lowered, on the other - you have a button with which you can shut down Ukrainian civilian and military activities as everyone heads for the shelter anywhere from a couple of minutes to 3-4 hours if the plane also refuels mid-air. In practice, of course, many civilians (myself including) frequently ignore the air alert from a MiG, but that can't be said about the armed forces, as they have to stop what they're doing and take shelter. You can judge the impact yourself, but in my opinion, it at least deserves an uptier just for this unintentional outcome.

[@cyan_oxy6734]

Is that so? In my mind the targets that would justify the cost of a kinzhal are quite limitied that most military targets won't really have to worry.

[@murphy7801]

Hard disagree, we saw this effect with the blitz over London. It didn't reduce moral. It increased it.

[@FRGBlackBurn]

@@murphy7801 I don't think its about reducing morale, but to make people and the military waste time.

[@slepp449]

But is it worth it when you might achieve roughly the same effect with a cheaper system that would have more reasonable targets?

[@Adv-vr1uh]

​@@murphy7801It's not about reducing the morale but rather about paralyzing the society. E.g.: in my home city Kyiv all public transport halts due to the safety protocols whenever a damn Mig is up in the skies. You can go ahead and use your imagination to determine what influence does it have on a 4 m megapolis. At least the Uber drivers are profiting, lol.

[@sixstringedthing]

I always appreciate how polite Perun is in these presentations. "Now before I school you all on 'game-changing' weapon systems, lets just have a quick refresher on the concepts you'll need to understand in order to fully appreciate the schooling you're about to receive on 'game-changing' weapon systems". Very considerate.

[@gandydancer9710]

There are no game-changing weapons systems. Russia is much bigger and will win, so how has the game been changed?

[@augustuslunasol10thapostle]

@@gandydancer9710 cope and seethe vatnik

[@GabrielPettier]

Sad to hear that the video on battlefield medicine didn't perform as well as expected, it was interesting and it is an important subject, though maybe less exciting to the audience than talking about big hardware and things going boom 😞 But but very wholesome of you to decide to compensate for that on the charity front. Thanks for the excellent work as always. Lest we forget.

[@coolersmoke]

I wouldn't be sad. This series of comprehensive reports/commentaries Perun has produced so far is rightfully going to be a go-to reference on on the Russian invasion of Ukraine for years to come, if not decades. No other media source (that I know of at least) offers the same combination of weekly, focussed, intelligent, impeccably researched and occasionally humorous narrative. The viewing numbers of every one of Perun's publications will only grow. And deservedly.

[@brassmonkey7566]

I'm 57 blue collar all my life never thought I'd enjoy this type of format but here I am week after week enjoying the information.

[@phillip7731]

The academic joke was so subtle yet probably one of the best he's made so far lmao

[@discodan3367]

So, I literally just posted a facebook post about how KZbin has just started to suck because it had gotten to where it would just reccomend sensationalist garbage and sponsored content. My good sir, you just made me eat my words, because this is the first bit of good, informative, well put together content in a while. Bravo. Here's the like, comment, and share for the algorithm. Should get you out there more, and hopefully will get me more recommendations like this.

[@andrewmcalister3462]

“The economic efficiency of setting money on fire, so Spacemail would probably raise billions from investors”😂

[@apc9714]

How to destroy venture capital in one simple sentence

[@ACME_Kinetics]

There's been a surprising amount of attempts at mail by rocket. I think it was The History Guy who made a good video about it.

[@雷-t3j]

@@apc9714 the only problem is sometimes they get it right...and that sometimes can make them rich.

[@Lavthefox]

I think when it comes to game changers in war, the biggest I can think of is when Dr. Halsey handed the AI construct called "Cortana" to Noble 6 during the battle of Reach. She called it a Latch-Key discovery, but it's still essentially a game changer.

[@NinjaDeathSlap]

I'd argue there's still room for a 3rd episode of this series as we've still not covered Patriot, Neptune, KA-52, HARM, and with F16 still on the way.

[@bluemarlin8138]

Neptune: Prevented Ruzzian fleet from threatening the southern coast with gunfire or invasion. Arguably a “game changer” to the extent that it made a seaborne invasion unrealistic. KA-52: Very useful for Ruzzia in opposing Ukraine’s counteroffensive in summer of 2023. But the reason it was able to be so effective was the minefields slowing down the advance and forcing tanks and AVs to move slowly in column formation, and sometimes disabling them. Ukraine moved air defenses closer to the front and changed tactics to compensate for this (and the minefields in general). Prior to this, the Ka-52 was just a pretty good attack helicopter that was only available in very small numbers, and 70% of them have been lost. The game changer was deep/dense minefields, not helicopters. HARM: Useful, but limited when used from MiGs because it can’t operate in its most effective modes due to incompatibility, and doesn’t have the targeting advantage of better Western radars and radar warning systems. This should become much more effective when used with F-16s. F-16: Too early to tell, but it should be a difference maker. It will allow Ukraine to strike back at the Ruzzian fighters that have been taking pot shots across the border, and it will enable Ukraine to use NATO weapons much more effectively. While the models Ukraine is getting aren’t the most updated, they’re far better than Ukraine’s 1980s vintage Mig 29s and better than most Ruzzian aircraft when you look at actual performance and not just advertised maximum Ruzzian specs under very particular idealized conditions.

[@augustuslunasol10thapostle]

@@bluemarlin8138 f-16 are technologically more advanced than like 90% of the Russian airforce so it should just slap the shit out of them

[@stitch77100]

@@augustuslunasol10thapostle that's a claim, not a proven fact. And you would be wise not to underestimate the enemy, never. Plus, the F-16 will likely not face the Russian fighters, but the Russian AA defence system and network...

[@knoll9812]

​@@bluemarlin8138agree the f26 will not be a game changer but will will cancel out Russian airforce overmatch.

[@Stinger522]

​@@knoll9812Provided they come with at least AIM-120C7s. The D model is our crown jewel so there's no way they're getting that one. And chances are the F-16s will be used mostly for DCA close to Kyiv and CAS for frontline troops.

[@Ikbeneengeit]

"Whenever Theory and Practice go up against each other, Practice has a way of yanking the book out of Theory's hands, and punching him in the face."

[@dpelpal]

Thank you for your work Perun, always appreciate it.

[@simonbowden8408]

Sundays would not be Sunday without the weekly Perun presentation of stuff we didn't know we needed to know 🙂 but turns out to be vital! Modern warfare has become more and more lethal, meaning that attacking is harder than defending, as unfortunately Ukraine have found out this Autumn. Thank you.

[@David-yx3bd]

The problem with discussions about EW is the same as ABMs, you are incentivized to not talk about it, and in fact you are rewarded for downplaying your capabilities and penalized for being honest or exaggerating them.

[@patpopov]

The stalemate situation with game changing equipment cancelling each other out reminds me of the Y2K bug. Expert IT technicians worked around the clock to make sure airliners didn't fall out of the sky and all the lights wouldn't go out and when those things didn't happen, due to their hard work and diligence, instead of putting them on a pedal stool everybody said, "Huh! What a damp squid!".

[@TheActionBastard]

Oh dear god... I lived through that stupidity. After it passed without anything happening everyone crowed "SEE?! It wasn't shit." completely ignoring the fact that every single industry had been preparing for this for YEARS. Your systems were patched. Things were replaced. They weren't just thumbs up their ass ignoring the problem and then when their efforts panned out they got zero credit for preventing something in a way that was almost invisible to the common person.

[@Perserra]

My mom was one of the old-school COBOL programmers who both caused the Y2K Bug and spent 1997 & 1998 re-coding systems to fix it. Nothing Iike creating your own career demand. 😁

[@meinnase]

pedal stool now THAT is a boneappletea lol

[@williampanagopoulos656]

​@@TheActionBastard so.. Y2k was really an ACTUAL problem not just a 'mayan calender' situation?

[@patpopov]

If you know, you know. @@meinnase

[@oohhboy-funhouse]

That picture of the mobile tank jammer. Covering everything with ERA isn't a meme, it's a way of life. The cope cage has ERA. No idea how effect it is, but that is really packing on the kg. I wouldn't mind a dedicated episode on the super basics like MRE, field kitchens, boots armour, boots, and its evolution. Or how logistics works, how do you coordinate getting something where Amazon won't deliver.

[@FLUFFYCAT_PNW]

Your videos have really been the "game changer" when it comes to conflict KZbin this past year. Thanks for making every Sunday exciting.

[@larskjar]

I am reminded of the critical nature of accurate adjustable wrist watches with see in the dark hands during WWI. Because without them a great deal of offensive combined arms arty tactics were useful.

[@bilfbunter2248]

Thank you for your hard work Perun, you taught me so much about logistics and military procurement. Keep it up power point man 👍

[@rositasultana3958]

Thank you, Beau of the fifth column, for recommending this channel at the beginning of the war. And thank you Perun, for your reporting and analysis on this war, with clarity and detail in depth. Slava Ukraini!

[@jacobno7400]

Loved the video! I am surprised to hear that the medical video was not received as well as your usual videos. I really enjoyed it. As always thank you and the team for all the hard work!

[@R2_D]

It's an accepted military phenomenon that medical is not a primary focus and always takes the back seat to other systems unless the saving of life is the actual mission in a country's decided commitment to a war effort

[@15BubblesOrigami]

While I'm interested in the subject, I'll admit I didn't watch that video for a reason that maybe others will share: it has to mention that people are hurt in war. While sounds like stating the obvious, but issues remain victimless crimes until faces are put to them. Even when talking about things that go boom and knowing that "going boom" often will mean dead and injured people, there's still a comfortable level of distance away. You can talk about them in terms of efficacy for dollars and destroyed equipment and enemies routed. Bone-shattering injuries and violent deaths aren't necessary to account for.

[@ctographerm3285]

"Like the time Ukrainian troops, reportedly, took down a Russian quadrotor through the high-tech expedient of throwing a stick at it... As far as I can tell, there's no available data on whether or not it was a NATO-supplied stick, but no doubt the use of such dangerous and advanced weapons on the battlefield can only lead to further escalation. "

[@knoll9812]

Time for the Australians to start supplying sticks

[@tarmor21]

Boomerangs!

[@SirAntoniousBlock]

@@tarmor21 Err we prefer to call them reusable s'tralian patriots.

[@mercenarygundam1487]

Western Australian here. About to eat dinner when this dropped. Perfect timing.

[@Mugdorna]

I'm Irish, just finished a late breakfast

[@savvas_1367]

i am greek and just finished eating lunch

I'd nominate counter-battery radar as one of the most consequential systems not yet mentioned (and general). Lots of enemy tubes have been going away. Hard to say how much of this is friendly ISR vs counter battery radar, but it's clearly a major factor.

[@mr.nemesis6442]

I think one of the things that’s missing from this series are counter battery radar. Those systems have allowed Ukraine to achieve artillery parity or even temporary artillery superiority when engaging in combat operations with the Russians. It is Ukrainian counter battery that is halting russian offensive operations.

[@dang2651]

This has to be one of the best videos. Genuinely informative, thoughtful and entertaining. Cheers.

[@jacafren5842]

Yes, a 1 hour ppp for my Sunday, love it 🎉 Thx for dilligent work. And may Denmark and all the free world step up support for Ukraine and sactions against Putin’s state

[@ulrikschackmeyer848]

🇩🇰. We'll do what we can. F-16 crews training in Denmark as we speak. And could have been a year ago, had the US allowed.🇩🇰

[@PalleRasmussen]

Eh? Denmark is one of the countries that has done the most.

[@kostyac6411]

Vi spilder vores tid og skattekroner på en krig der ikke er vores i hver forstand. Er selv halv ukrainer med rødder i Odessa. Amerikanerne ejer os og tvinger os ud i en situation hvor alt først bliver ensformigt i sådan grad det via diverse markedsmekanismer kan manipuleres til at der er så stor forskel mellem rig og fattig at middelklassen nærmest udryddes, og hvem er så vores ubetingede overlords? De få amerikanere som havde midlerne til at bestikke, undskyld, jeg mener “lobby”, deres politikere. Disse politikere bestemmer i forvejen hvad Brussels politikere har at skulle have sagt, hvilket vi ofte i forvejen brokker os over- se dog det større billede for helvede.

[@sjonnieplayfull5859]

​@@PalleRasmussenmaybe he is from Denmark himself and starts with his own country?

[@PalleRasmussen]

@@sjonnieplayfull5859 if he is, he knows very little. As I wrote; Denmark is amongst those that has done the most.

[@krissteel4074]

Well, this is going to be fairly intense. As we came out of the GWOT with a whole lot of preconceived ideas, Ukraine turned everything on its head as a whole other type of warfare. A weird mix of WW1 with Vietnam era soviet armour, smart phones, missile campaigns and off the shelf drones to show everyone just how crazy it can get.

[@randomwarehouse4702]

Radar synced Tachanka when?

[@krissteel4074]

@@randomwarehouse4702 When Ukraine hauled out the twin linked Maxim guns with a red-dot on them, we might have reached peak milsurp... course, trusting soldiers with horse drawn anything is enough to give me a deep seated, somewhat irrational fear of what happens next

[@deriznohappehquite]

I think we sometimes get carried away with this. The war in Ukraine is very much shaped by Ukrainian and Russian capabilities. Especially strong GBAD paired with weak SEAD/DEAD. It seems like people draw over-broad conceptions about warfare from any given conflict.

[@krissteel4074]

@@deriznohappehquite Its somewhat vastly different from the air-superiority and in some cases, complete air dominance that happens in western doctrine. Like even in smaller western military forces the airforce tends to have a fairly massive budget set aside for capable aircraft.Even down here in the south seas banana bending country of Australia we dump a lot of cash into the airforce and its subsequent weapon systems hanging off them. I won't say its shocking, but it is a little jarring that things like SPAAG has come back with a vengeance when it was all but considered largely outdated 30 years ago and there hadn't been much time given to it in terms of R&D. There's still some trickling in with various companies like Rhinemetal but not nearly as much as say, MANPAD's get funded, but they're still popular in Russia as combination gun-missile systems. In their own way as anti-drone systems, I suspect they might get a bit more attention given to them by the western MIC as a budget-oriented solution to keeping drones out of your airspace.

[@Jfk2Mr]

​@@randomwarehouse4702what about FT-17 with C-RAM turret?

[@jasonhernandez1182]

Babe! Wake up! The new Perun just dropped!

[@alandworsky8926]

Perfect timing

[@verbomalo9821]

Commenting just for the KZbin algorithms because I don't know how else to thank you for these deep dives and incredibly insightful analysis. Keep going, and thank you.

[@WhiteIkiryo-yt2it]

Whenever I hear One of Perun's jokes, I cannot help but imagine him in a massive lecture hall briefing military officials and all of them doing little Beavis & Buttthead laughs.

[@maxiweller9745]

Thanks again for your amazing work. You make my sunday worth it again and again

[@surajbiradar9827]

A humble Smartphone can be considered a game changer considering how it effects information warfare.

[@MartynWilkinson45]

Given Russia's failure to take out telecommunication infrastructure in the opening days, smartphones WERE a game changer. Every civilian with a phone was an intelligence agent.

[@donkeyfly43]

Well done! You glossed over the effect of EW limiting unit communications, but great work

[@stevewhite3424]

He actually spoke of it very specifically.

[@holyknightthatpwns]

Perception is weird - this wasn't a topic that I voted for, so I was instinctively disappointed to see that it was the video of the week. At the same time there hasn't been a Perun video I didn't like - so I just have to get over my tribalism, sit back, and enjoy the powerpoint like always

[@KLWStrings]

As a sensor operator in a military life all be it a different type of sensors (acoustic) and a network guy in civilian life I found this interesting and in some ways validating. As usual a very well done and informative video, D72A, (any Collins class friends can explain)

[@OryxAU]

Perun I must inform you that as an honorary Aussie, my wife is gonna send me back to the US if I stay up late again due to these uploads. Please mate, I kinda like it here.

[@buddyrojek9417]

Get reset to lose your assets. I married a Ukrainian in Ukraine and kept her there, because Australian women are notorious for destroying your wealth then taking 25 percent of your income until kids are 18

[@andrewrogers3067]

It’s genuinely insane that Russia failed to destroy TB2s immediately after the war started. By all means the TB2 isn’t a bad drone but it should have been rocked by any modern army with solid air defense.

[@PhillS303]

Russia's problem was their success oriented approach in the opening days. All those columns hit by TB2 does drones were advancing, as ordered, in 'administrative columns' - what you do when driving around your own territory in peace time. There was no air defence because they were told that the only things flying in the sky would be Russian. Why? Because they assumed the initial air and missile strikes, plus airlifted VDV units, would destroy and disrupt Ukrainian forces to the extent that these columns would face no resistance (and be greeted as liberators). The really shocking thing is just how long it took for them to react to reality and accept that none of this was actually the case.

[@090giver090]

Because if tank and helo rushes are working in Wargame/HoI then it must work IRL, right? RIGHT!? :)

[@andrewrogers3067]

@@090giver090 lol

[@bluemarlin8138]

@@PhillS303And if Ruzzia were to ever do something really stupid and start a war with NATO, I suspect it would TRY to go into it with air defenses ready, only to find that those air defenses really don’t work that well when your enemy has hundreds/thousands of stealth aircraft, thousands of cruise missiles and rocket artillery rounds, and world-leading EW capabilities and signals/satellite intel.

[@sockysol9599]

@@bluemarlin8138 lmao even nato itself admitted that it could do NOTHING against a direct russian invasion, keep coping i guess

[@Endzeitgeist]

"And, of course, if you have the information gathering and network, but no or insufficient fires, well then you might learn everything there is to know about a potential threat, and not be able to do anything about it. Sorry if that hits a bit clsoe to home for any academics in the audience." You called it, close to home & story of my life.

[@sage5296]

Getting close to half a million subscribers! and well deserved! Your content is top notch as always! And yea, hard agree on the EWAR being a gamechanger, similar to a laser-based hardkill system (if/when it exists), both bring the cost of an interception down massively to help fight against asymmetric threats

[@blakenowak2443]

I fall asleep every night to perun videos. That’s not a draft of how boring he is, it’s a testament to how great his videos are. The absolute 🐐

[@Emanon...]

Rule of thumb: Wunderwaffe don't win wars. Logistics and manpower does.

[@phineascampbell3103]

I don't know, but I suspect Perun works in a line of work that involves him giving briefings about military intelligence n economics. And I like to imagine him going in to work and setting up his lecture, the board or panel of high ups all assembled, and he starts off giving a serious, much more constrained and formal presentation But as he gets to the third curlick, and begins on the fourth slide, the boss, the head honcho and his number two, they share a glance, then the boss holds up his hand, "no, Mr. Perun, please, this is excellent, as always, but, * sheepish smile* - can you, instead, you know, do it like your KZbin ones please?!" 😅

[@hpenvy1106]

I would like to say, that the smartphone is a gamechanger as well. Never has it been easier to share information. Never has it been easier to violate OpSec. Never was it possible to be at war and skype home. Never was it easier to make, produce and distribute propaganda. Also it enables the most drones to work properly.

[@flaviusiacob1558]

Thank you for the video, Perun

[@Pilzkun]

Thank you, dude. I'm learning so much. I appreciate you sharing your expertise with us so much.

[@tor7877]

First from Pennsylvania, Cheers brother

[@CharlesWarrington]

I was so close to beating you Tor

[@saint-miscreant]

time for the weekly dose of powerpoint lecture! i can always count on your videos to give a level-headed take on things :)

[@GCoyote06]

Outstanding. This is a must watch for anyone wanting to understand why the war is evolving in manner it has.

[@GC13]

I'd be interested in an entire video on electronic warfare if you can find enough material for a full video. It's such a crucial part of the new way of war but there's really not a lot of content about it out there.

[@coolersmoke]

So would I! I've even emailed Perun directly asking him to :)

[@bwise7739]

As usual, an amazing analysis. “Game changer” is one of those terms that doesn’t have a specific meaning and is used depending on the context. On one hand and at the highest level, it applies to things that change the very nature of war and may not be directly obvious. Consider railroads. The book “Engines of War” describes how the introduction of rail in the nineteen century had a major impact on how wars were fought and logistics affecting both tactical and strategic doctrine. I’m not sure if there is an equivalent in this war unless you consider general surveillance capabilities (Satellite, drone, video). Not only are the combatants able to see where the adversary is in real time, but to have large amounts of information about the effectiveness of their efforts. Essentially this is the first “smartphone war”. Game changers also may have a shelf life as the opponents adapt to their introduction. German submarines ran rampant in WWII until the introduction of counter measures such as Huff-Duff and Hedgehog mortars. I don’t think they make them any less of a game changer because of that because it does force the opponent to counter them or to employ it themselves. Sometimes the game doesn’t change abruptly. The introduction of the tank in WWI didn’t really change the game until WWII nor did the airplane. Even in WWII horses were being used to haul artillery, though the day of the horse cavalry had passed with the introduction of machine guns and armor.

[@bluemarlin8138]

Subs were really more of a game-changer in WWI than WWII. Of course they had a great effect in WWII as well, but everyone knew they were a threat due to the experience with them in WWI. The reason they ran wild in 1941 is that Britain was counting on having France’s navy covering the Med, and allowing the Royal Navy to focus on the Atlantic. It also didn’t think it was going to have to fight Japan, at least not so soon. Britain had enough escorts for the scenario it planned for, just not for the one it ended up facing. And even still, Britain was never close to being out of WWII because of the u-boats. However, it really was about 60 days from being knocked out of WWI in 1917 due to the u-boats before improved countermeasures plus US involvement turned the tide.

[@tompalmer5114]

"Have to wait for the sequel a couple of decades later" My first laugh of the day

[@sebastiand152]

Russia converted 10 valuable MIG-31 in order to fire Kinzhal missiles - of which they produce only 4 per month. That is... interesting. Even by Russian standards.

[@macelharen]

31:00 correction: it was found that during high seas during a storm the moskva's air defense simply didn't recognize wave top missiles inbound. the 'distraction' is literally a 'red herring'

[@danielgyllenbreider]

Industrial production in a strong economy is the only "game changer" to talk about. It also helps if you understand from day one what kind of a war that is fought, in this case a war of attrition. Not being a proxy for NATO, with their goals not being the rescuing of the Ukraine but instead regime change in Russia, also helps.

[@stormjensen1]

Brilliant as per usual. One gets used to excellence far too easily. I have the greatest respect for the effort it takes to create the analysis and then translate it into such accessible presentation.

[@Metalhead_69]

Finally, the PowerPoint Sunday! Thank you, Perun

[@RaderizDorret]

I recently got into a conversation about ASROC. A modern ASROC is about $1.2 Million per shot. But a Kilo-class submarine costs $300 Million. That cost of missile compared to cost of target is why we don't have active battleships anymore.

[@robertjarman3703]

Yesterday was Armistice Day, when the Entente Cordiale signed an armistice with the remaining Central Power, bringing the fighting to an end on the Western Front. Didn't end the war though in practical terms, certainly for people basically anywhere east of the Rhine. I also had the opportunity to hold a pistol for the first time. They are rather heavier than you probably think they are, about a kilogram for a fairly small object. A couple of other semi automatic rifles as well, and for the first time used a sling with it. The range turned out to be closed so we had to go back and lock the guns up again but at least it was good practice for my muscle memory to always keep tabs on where you point the gun and keeping your finger off the trigger. It seems though that some Russian politicians need to learn this lesson.

[@ulrikschackmeyer848]

Very eloquently put.

[@luminyam6145]

Shared this with my sons. We abhor war but we read a lot of history, particularly military history and so this fascinates us.

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

Abhor war. That rhymes. 👍

[@davydovua]

I'd argue that another vital layer contributing to battlefield transparency and enabling the kill chains is the communications software. Ukraine has things like Kropyva and Delta that allow drone operators and other intelligence assets to relay found enemy positions and units to commanders and artillery teams in a clear, precise, and swift manner, so that the new information can immediately be integrated into the larger battlefield picture, and acted upon.

[@TheOriginalFaxon]

Just as I'm going to sleep, will be watching later when I cook dinner. Thank you for all the excellent reporting thus far

[@ulrikschackmeyer848]

Sleep tight.

[@adamevans1989]

Storm Shadow evaporating a good part of the command staff+the admiral actually in charge of the Black Sea Fleet is already worth the 9 figure cost xD

[@jamesgornall5731]

It hit a building and everyone was assumed to be dead? Was it even occupied at the time?

[@Muljinn]

Given that the bulk of the staff that were purported to be there haven’t been seen since, yeah, it’s a pretty good bet most of them are very dead.

[@augustuslunasol10thapostle]

@@jamesgornall5731 mate we haven’t seen them alive its common practice to atleast post a picture or video to prove you are alive

[@kursantstrzelecki2958]

On the other hand, there exist a point of view where the more current top brass in Russian army lives, the worse said army is at warfare.

[@MaddeningFly]

"Game Cahnger Value" You thought we wouldn't see that typo.... but we did ! Just kidding. Excellent as usual :)

[@saberpat7]

It's important to remember that when David fought Goliath, he was using a tried and true guided missile launcher system that was effective to mass produce and supply ammo for.

[@aegisghost]

The missile launcher David used had an unguided projectile. It was the equivalent of an RPG-7.

[@moneyinahurry]

Excellent. Always look forward to new episodes. Bravo Aussie 🥳

[@RobertCraft-re5sf]

It's worth mentioning one recent strike by either a killjoy or an iskander.. An award ceremony was being conducted not far from the Avdiivka front, and I think something like 30 were killed. It was a very poor decision to gather so many troops close to the front like that, and Zalensky said they are investigating.

[@remogatron1010]

lies

[@concernedrabbit9075]

Likely location betrayed

[@RobertCraft-re5sf]

​@@concernedrabbit9075There were drones above watching them.

[@RobertCraft-re5sf]

​@@remogatron1010I support Ukraine 100%, but this did happen.

[@Muljinn]

If memory serves, the casualties were mostly civilians there to attend the festivities, which some idiot politician decided to advertise all over the place.

[@onomastikon7975]

Thank you for this, and most meaningful ending of your channel update closeouts so far: lest we forget.

[@williamlloyd3769]

My nomination for a wonder / game changer is the mechanized trench digger. Without trenches and mines, the war would be over by now.

[@Screaming-Trees]

Thing is though there have been no game changers really. I think things like hypersonic weapons will ultimately make a difference if they can be produced at scale but if you assess the war as a whole you can see it is still down to time honoured elements like logistics, strategic resources and an industrial base. Same reason why the Germans lost on the eastern front really. They picked a fight with an enemy who had access to basically limitless strategic resources and an industrial base. That's what counts not wunderwaffe.

[@Noobcast_Pwncast]

Gonna watch your medical vid now because you mentioned it. Thanks for being transparent and thanks for your content Perun!!! Been sharing you far and wide since you started making Ukraine content

[@jakedill1304]

I feel like it's probably just an assumption that if there's a bunker or building or something it's going to have a large concentration of a high ranking officers.. as is tradition in Russia, something about the Pacific fleet in the Soviet era.. giant roll of paper.. something something.. etc..

[@btolley100]

Perun, how are you managing to post so many hour long, researched and relevant, videos? Bravo.

[@herbieoliver2682]

An unverified comment i saw somewhere claimed that the reason Russia is willing to modify MiG-31s for ground attack is because they have a shortage of components to repair the radar system and so the platforms can’t be used in the traditional manner.

[@Stevieoggy1992]

Ahh mate, that Sunday evening again. Thanks!

[@niklasstrom2981]

These videos have grown to become a staple of my weekends! I find them enormously informative and entertaining! Keep up the great work 👍

[@ravanpee1325]

We talk every other week about the next "super weapon" and game changer in the war... Sounds like the superweapons of us Germans in WW2 ..V2 rocket etc. which will bringt victory for sure /s

[@PerunAU]

I broadly agree that there is a risk of superweapon syndrome - I made that point during the first Game Changers video. I do think that decisive and impactful systems exist (and I think I illustrate some) - but there is often a real danger of wunderwaffe syndrome where people expect unrealistic results from a single new piece of equipment.

[@dpelpal]

I dont think anyone would argue that HIMARS changed the game in Ukraine. I mean, one could make the case that russia lost all of Kherson and Kharkiv because of HIMARS. 🤷‍♀️

[@jamesgornall5731]

​@dpelpal himars certainly gets the most publicity. Russians have precision munitions but they are not mentioned by Western media

[@090giver090]

@@jamesgornall5731 " Russians have precision munitions but they are not mentioned by Western media" Because these munitions are either _very_ limited in number and barely being used ("Krasnopol") or being riddled with reliability and precision problems making it just marginally better than unguided weapon (UMPK).

[@SeanP7195]

I will never forget when I saw my first drone. All I could think was, wow, that 500 dollar thing would have been so useful when I was in the Army. As a former infantry soldier I can’t explain what being able to see from above, constantly and in real time means. Just the reconnaissance value alone. I thought since it was commercial the military wouldn’t think to use it. But, cooler heads prevailed.

[@pr0xZen]

I think it's dangerous to underestimate militarily (or para) repurposed commercial, even consumer or prosumer grade processing and sensor hardware. A crapton of this stuff is plenty capable of serving thst purpose, and it's usually very easily available in very large quantities. The large userbase often mean most kinks are already ironed out, open source software and firmwares make it fairly easy to repurpose, and there's thousands of commecial supply channels that can be exploited ad manipulated even under heavy sanctions. In contrast, domestically assembled military grade stuff can be much more difficult to keep up, because most countries don't produce the discrete components, there's hundreds of types going into many designs, and you might be stuck for months or years if you lose access to any number if them because many of those chips are special purpose and often very low volume, making it much "easier" to restrict access in practice because there might only be one or a few manufacturer and no real dual purpose. This is obviously a simplified and on the nose example - but while you can probably redesign and find a way to rework around the issues with military special design - finding someone else to sell you a few thousand raspberry pis a week is probably much faster and easier. Especially if you grase some palms, or just use take 2 days to transition to some of the many dozens of chinese spinoffs.

[@magdovus]

I think there's another factor to EW. It doesn't need ammunition. So long as it's got power, it can run.

[@knpark2025]

I tend to think about stories about WW2, and how benign things like penicilin can be argued as game changers just as important as radar or proximity fuse. I like tier list approach from this two-part series because it can discuss a lot of things and be open to unexpected surprises without showering only few popular names with all the attention.

[@JohnDoe-oq2fx]

Thanks again for another awesome video. You are the _only_ content creator on the internet that I watch every video of, basically the week you release it, if not withing the first 48hrs of release. I am most looking forward to your doing a video on the evolution of Drone Warfare.

[@martindice5424]

Bloody good show from the Prince of Power Point! 👍👍

[@hakichiki]

#Correction... #EmperorOfPowerPoint. We upgraded his formal title of (MS) Office ages ago.

[@BaiMihal032]

Whoa, bs-free, unbiased and extremely information-dense stuff. Applauds!

[@lilithy7844]

The S tier is reserved for Russia's light weight egg carton tank armour that replaced the ERA plates. The egg carton reduces the weight of the tank considerable while offering equal protection to areas not shielded by the plate.

[@21kiwi24]

Cringe take. It's "Japs have poor eye sight" level cartoonish mocking of your enemy that's characterised this war.

[@voidtempering8700]

Are we still talking about this myth? There are a dozen criticisms you could use for Russian armor yet you choose one that is wrong, really?

[@21kiwi24]

@@voidtempering8700 remember, Russian tanks are terrible, until Ukranians are using them then they are excellent.

[@voidtempering8700]

@@21kiwi24 I was mainly addressing the myth of carton and cardboard ERA panels, and the claim that very few Russian tanks don't have ERA. We have so far seen only a couple examples of this. If it was so widespread, them we would have seen dozens of tanks with missing ERA, or ERA with no fillers, and that is clearly not the case. Ukrainian armor has the same deficiencies as any other tank. And no, I would not say that Ukrainians are using their tanks excellently. No one is this war is, and it is hard to use them excellently when there is such a mass proliferation of AT weapons, drone spotting, and mine fields.

[@Ivan-bk9xs]

strawman narratives are very convenient, aren't they?@@21kiwi24

[@thenuad]

This information was much more accurate about 6-9 months ago. The effects of the claimed here game changers have been diminished by the continuously changing battlefield dynamics.

[@TrungNguyen-uf8cv]

Never heard Starlink was called game changer, but it's been a lifeline

[@PerunAU]

This is more a case of me nominating it (and a few other less discussed systems) as being extremely influential in Ukraine

[@leonfa259]

​@@PerunAU Thanks for highlighting Starlink, I always wonder what will be possible with the thousands of space based sensors of Starshield that are max 3000 km away from their targets. Realtime tracking of stealth aircraft, rockets, ships and Electronics emissions from armies? Possibly even (laser) guiding munitions? All for only a few billions of dollars.

[@thekinginyellow1744]

@@leonfa259 and because it's a mess of basically cubesats, very difficult to counter.

[@condotiero860]

when i saw Elon Musk donating starlink nodes, my mind inmediately went to discount 'Lord Cavendish' it's a ghost fleet reference.

[@kukuc96]

@@thekinginyellow1744Calling them a cubesat is a bit insulting to Starlink sats. How many cubesats have hall effect thrusters and lasar interlinks on them? But it is true that it's innately redundant because there are thousands of them.

[@SwordOfApollo]

55:30 A STICK, you say? Your fellow Aussie, Shad Brooks's, eyes just lit up!

[@gandalfgreyhame3425]

I would note that the biggest factor that makes Starlink resistant to both jamming and being shot down is that there's thousands of them whizzing by in low earth orbit. It would be almost impossible to shoot them all down.