My Honest Thoughts About Building Sports Betting Models

[@AlanSweeting]

AI Models in sports betting has evolved significantly over the past years, starting from basic statistical models to today's advanced machine learning algorithms. With the ability to analyze vast amounts of data, AI now predicts game outcomes, player performances, and betting lines with greater accuracy. So i dont see a point of creating new AI models when you already have great tools like Xaslarbet AI

[@melancholiac]

From Day One this bloke has explained things simply and with common sense.

[@fditapaf]

I currently do modeling on Horse racing and have had good results for a while now. I spend a few hours each week making adjustments to get the best profit. I have found you are correct that if you don't make adjustments any edge slowly dwindles over time. I would be quite happy to share my results and some of my thoughts. I do this all in isolation so be great to bounce some ideas around with someone in the same space even if it's a different sport.

[@darshakfaria1938]

Is there a lay bet for horse racing?

[@Bigmax9191]

Whats your twitter?

[@DiaryofaProGambler]

Hey Kie. Hope you're having a good day mate. I've been making a living betting on Sports for over 10 years now. I specialize in Live Betting on Football and the UFC. A lot of people talk to me about betting models and while I do understand there are models that can produce a long term profit, I've always viewed them as a way for people to try and take shortcuts to profitability. In my experience, the best way that you can make a long-term profit betting sports is to understand the sport on a level of depth that very few people understand it on. You can then use this knowledge to build strategies that continue to outperform the market for years or even decades. Have you thought about developing more qualitative betting strategies based on spending a lot of time observing the sport to identify profitable patterns and trends? For me this is where the real money can be made because very few people are willing to put in the time and effort it takes to use this approach.

[@kgothatsozini967]

It's nice to see you back man. I really value your opinion and I find it more than a coincidence that you happen to make a video of what I have been thinking about

[@mrkipling3841]

Recently found your channel, subscribed and binged watched the majority of your back catalogue. Your work is excellent, long may it continue.

[@louisyork8120]

9:45 ... I think that the sudden shift in Arsenal's tactics caused an unforeseen challenge (out-of sample problem) for predicting the Overs market using historical data. As time passed, the market adapted, becoming more efficient and diminishing the previously identified positive expected value (EV).

[@existentialexile]

I'm interested in this kind of stuff and played around with making an MLB elo model. I think if you keep at it for 3-5 years, make a few Gs along the way... then you'll end up working for Starlizard ^^ Nice one finding the arsenal edge if it was a true edge ;)

[@ashleyheggs928]

where can i learn about making a model where can i find out more on this topic where do i start ??

[@manuelpeteira2731]

Trading sports betting dont need any historical data bookmakers spend millions to have all that system stats etc .... What you need to focus is to find value true the odds there is edge the back or lay simple as that and ignore the stats everthing have price is not about you predict right is about the price ...

[@davyprendergast82]

But surely to find the value in the back or lay it helps to check the data

[@ciptojohn]

What model fits badminton sport?

[@stuartwallace7536]

Good vid. Anyway, who is going to win the 2.30 at Sandown ? :)

[@nadthawadeau-arunyachot1371]

This book tell me get away for betting.

[@jeffreyd700]

What do you mean

[@potblack7951]

Want to win at gambling?…do what others don’t/wont/cant do…and ONLY do that!…and then do it LONG enough!…that’s your edge!..it doesn’t have to be complicated!…think you might be going down some rabbit holes Kie which might well prove fruitless and frustrating…time = money btw…love the content..I was you..still in the game-but much wiser now…I’ll never be a millionaire but win enough to be content…good luck!!

[@liamfaherty5267]

Hey pot, do you bet on football?

[@potblack7951]

@@liamfaherty5267 only

[@Lifelongloser]

I’m living proof of what you say. Watching this video from this very knowledgeable young man who’s a superb communicator is bemusing for me as I have made a living from betting by doing exactly what you say. I trade long term markets, place the trades in accumulators and hedge the accumulators together near the end of the season. It’s by far the easiest way to win. And once you’re aware of what’s going on in every market in every sport it just takes a few minutes a week to work out the next bets. But very few gamblers wish to wait months for a return. Hey ho.

[@JohnnyBarnes-th7zc]

Can I know more about this strategy?

[@Lifelongloser]

@@JohnnyBarnes-th7zc Well I’ve given away what it is. By trading I mean placing a bet on one or more selections in a market knowing that you’re intending to place further bets in that market later on. The key things to realise are that the stakes should be very very small compared to your bank, something I’ve only recently realised, that you should if possible not place any bets until February, that you shouldn’t worry one iota whether selections are value and you should use every available market and sport where there is a league or points system but not cups or knock out formats . In fact the current season is the most straightforward I’ve ever experienced. But it’s incredibly frustrating for me as obviously I’m banned or restricted online. Ideally you need a bet365 account to this really well and easily . To see that this really works all you need do is bet a few 100 accas on outrights on bet365 for the minimum 10p for say two months. After two months you should see what this is all about and whether you have the aptitude and temperament etc . Don’t be afraid to place a lot of selections in the accas. Everything you’ve read and heard about accas really doesn’t apply in the same way to long term markets so long as you’re choosing the most blindingly obvious low priced selections most of the time. But people often find a selection that makes little sense .

[@ZafarSarla-s7c]

Zafar