NFL Conference Championships Predictions | Commanders vs Eagles | Bills vs Chiefs | Fade the Public

[@able7777able]

Thank you very much great advice and analyzation . Going Philadelphia BIG Time🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉With Kansas city No Points, 2 Teem Parlay 😊

[@Wagertalk]

Good luck!

[@davidallison3086]

X Worthy over 3.5 yards rushing. Had at least 1 carry in 14 of the 18 games,and over 3.5 in 12 of them

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck David, thanks for including the prop

[@NotKD35]

Man I wouldn’t risk my money on a prop that might have one single shot the entire game. Wasn’t it last week the lone rush attempt went for a huge loss? I just think that’s an odd choice to put money on.

[@jerryingram9540]

Steve, I was telling my brother about you, but he heard your pick was the over in the Penn State vs. Iowa prediction, so he decided to sign up with some other guy. I'll be signing up next Friday for the membership.

[@stevemerril1485]

Tell him he might want to judge my long-term winning record based on more than just a free video opinion. 🤔🤣🙃

[@jerryingram9540]

@stevemerril1485 I got you, my brother....He chose the people to sign up with. When he starts seeing my winnings. I wonder what he'll do then...

[@ricky-reek3960]

Let’s gooooo .. had to purchase one of your pics Steve just confirm my thoughts .. we were on the same page thankfully.. good luck fellas .. 😤

[@stevemerril1485]

Great to have you on board, best of luck on Sunday!

[@ricky-reek3960]

Ye sir

[@jcovers3783]

10 point Teaser Philadelphia +4 Under 57.5 I'm Stuck who to pick bill +12 Kc +8?

[@jcovers3783]

I'm going with a 3 pick 10 point teaser Philadelphia +4 Under 57.5 Im stuck on who to pick Bills +12 or kc +8?

[@joshuavalerio8278]

Bills +12 KC don’t blow out no teams.

[@Wagertalk]

@jcovers3783, good luck with your action!

[@RossKirkorian]

I am on the UNDER on KC/Buffalo game but my money will be on Eagles laying 6. GL all. great show, Steve.

[@Kamehamehobby]

Butker for 2 field goals -115 on DK

[@caseyschoenleber1760]

Amari Cooper +600 TD worth a sprinkle

[@ronaldmizrahi]

Awesome! 😀🏈👍

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching Ronald

[@ericwalker9711]

I will say I was a bit worried about the Eagles/Commanders under prediction based on history of the games they played previously this season. Both times they put up points

[@shochuman1656]

Thank you, Steve, for your analysis. Outstanding review. You got my thumbs up! I haven't made my final decision yet, but I do lean towards KC and under on KC/Buf. (It hurts me to know that you like the over). I do lean on the under on Phil/Wash. I'll make my final decision on all the games by Sunday before kickoff. GL

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck Sunday Shoch, always great to hear from you!

[@NotKD35]

What reasoning on the NFC under? All signs and prior stats I see show over

[@KahlibAbdelhamid]

what ur thoughts on the super. bowl logo colors indicating who's coign to the finals and winning it?

[@stevemerril1485]

That is a crazy trend, but I don't put any creedence into it.

[@ChrisDavid-e7j]

I am on both dogs. 🐕 Love Bills 😊

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck Chris

[@danielbaucom5252]

thanks for the research steve

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching Daniel, always appreciate it!

[@yanggang2211]

Steve, How do you discern public money versus sharp money? Please be as descriptive and long winded as needed. Thanks

[@stevemerril1485]

I rely on ticket count and volume, not money, sharp bettors bet more so the money can actually be misleading, but the public has smaller and more high ticket volume, so that's the best metric to look at.

[@RobWalters-w7x]

Can’t ignore the skins 2 victory’s, being in conference Eagles know this team, I’m only making one wager this weekend Bills +8.5 Eagles +.5, I like it

[@keithb6673]

commanders playing with house money, hurts playing with a bad leg

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck on Sunday

[@keithb6673]

@ Phill could very well be the right side we’ll see

[@NotKD35]

I mean bills +8.5 is a lock. If I’m teasing both games I’m going bills and commanders. Why wouldn’t you want the commanders +12.5/14?

[@keithb6673]

@@NotKD35 nothings a “lock”

[@KevinWilson467]

Idk the sharps were all over the Ravens last week and they were wrong. Lets go Bills Mafia

[@BlacksmithBets]

No strategy is 100% accurate but fading public dogs works long term. Chiefs playing better, Bills got lucky eity multiple drops from the Ravens so could easily have lost as well.

[@KevinWilson467]

@@BlacksmithBets Chiefs win off some bullshit and Mahomo flops a lot.

[@brians6534]

I’m fading the public Big Time 🎉

[@stevemerril1485]

Boom 💥

[@TheMegaBucks]

You would be losing your shirt over the last 2 years

[@ABhhhhhhhhhhh]

I tune in so I can heat Steve say “not my Washington commanders”

[@stevemerril1485]

👍😉💯

[@yanggang2211]

I don’t see how the Eagles don’t come away with a victory today. The matchup that would keep me up all night as a Commanders fan or bettor is just how are they going to stop the Eagles from running the ball with success. I don’t know that they can keep up. I know the narrative has been the Eagles (Hurts) pedestrian passing statistics but I think it’s just that, “narrative” Godoy luck Everyone I’ll be in the Chiefs and Eagles today.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today, thanks for watching and commenting!

[@ClarenceSiniard]

@@yanggang2211 this not regular season play commanders had 3 turnovers last meeting. Don’t expect that today Hurst is gonna be eagles down fall

[@chrismills726]

Steve most people's new year resolution is to STOP gambling, not to commit harder to it lmao

[@stevemerril1485]

I agree, you shouldn't gamble, my clients treat this as a serious investment which is extremely profitable long-term.

[@stevemerril1485]

You'll never hear me use the word gamble.

[@MatthewFriend-lz3sp]

Great stuff as always. I’m on eagles pick em and buffalo +8 in a teaser, GL

[@stevemerril1485]

Makes sense, best of luck!

[@gjerrildkro]

69 dude... Steves nostalgic. Go Redskins...

[@stevemerril1485]

💯👍

[@Ian_Sr.]

@@gjerrildkro ass whipin in progress

[@abemunchkin1271]

The best betting show. This is better than the show "bet on it"

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks Abe, always great to hear from you my friend! 👍

[@Mrwipeout2008]

Which scores more points on Sunday, the eagles or the cheifs?

[@stevemerril1485]

Tough call, should be close

[@jamesjurow9707]

Ya steve is the man

[@stevemerril1485]

😁 Thanks for watching!

[@thelasvegaskid]

Hopefully bills pull it off

[@stevemerril1485]

Should be a great game!

[@NotKD35]

We all hope so! I live in Missouri. I’m so sick of the chiefs fans

[@KevinWilson467]

Idk the sharps were all over the Ravens last week and they were wrong. Lets go Bills

[@richardlockhart6123]

KC kicker field goals made over 1.5

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck tonight Richard, thanks for including the prop

[@sidesup8286]

KC gets it when they really want it & need it. Buffalo gets it when they really want it and need it. It's going to be a tie a lot I think. But not at the end... If the Washington defense really comes to play; that could be one great game. Commanders could be underrated.

[@stevemerril1485]

Should be two great games!

[@stuarth4296]

Steve, I normally agree with you but the one thing I would caution on the Commanders-Eagles game is that the Eagles do not match up well with teams with gunslinger-mobile type QBs. Look at how BAD the Philly defense did against Tampa Bay this year...what was it? 38-16? Tampa rolled them. IDC what happened to Hurts, its the defense that can be exposed by a QB like Jaden, Baker Mayfield, Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and an O line that can match up with them. ..these QBs give them fits. I expect a dog fight. Washington is closer to the team at the end of the season than early on. I also expect Washington to try and gas the big boys on the Philly line...Other than that you always do a great job whether I agree with you or not. Keep up the good work.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good point Stuart, best of luck on Sunday!

[@ClarenceSiniard]

KC. Commanders superbowl

[@stevemerril1485]

That would be something

[@Bryan-yq9pz]

What does fade the public or fade the dogs mean?

[@killbill5486]

google

[@stevemerril1485]

Fade means play the opposite sides

[@michaelblankenau6598]

@@stevemerril1485I thought fade was a type of haircut

[@ChaddyChadLetsGetIt]

Pow! Pow!👊🏼💥 Eagles 🦅 baby!💰

[@stevemerril1485]

Let's go Chad! 💲💯👍

[@raulmaytorena9739]

I truly believe that the Bills can lose this game, we can’t rely on the argument that this is their turn, remember they already lost four Super Bowls!

[@5255hemp]

I think there's too much fire power in both games to take the under, I've got commanders and bills +the over.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck on Sunday

[@IstealXmas]

No way commanders go to SB.

[@stevewhitaker6006]

I'm still.holding sharps bag of money last 2 years ..thanks steve 😂😂 and thank u " so called " WISE GUYS"😂😂😂

[@stevemerril1485]

The key is using public information as a filter, fading public dogs still works long-term. Just have to avoid playing really bad teams. That's where the public did well this season is fading the worst teams in the league consistently.

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Yea. The smooths are teaching the sharps a thing or two.

[@austingibson6225]

Goedert and Hollywood Brown both o39.5 yards

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck Austin

[@JulioMartinez-wi8yh]

Make it or break it Steve lol

[@stevemerril1485]

👍💲

[@jamesb0255]

Philly v. Washington is so easy. Philly has the best OL and the best RB in the League. Hurts is hungry and just a damn winner! Oh! And the number 1 total defense in the league at present. 😂

[@kyledietzman3365]

I got the refs in this one…to 100% penalize the bills! 😂😂

[@stevemerril1485]

KC does seem to get some favorable calls.

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Exactly. Capping the refs is perhaps the most important metric.

[@suv3534]

Even tho Josh got away w an illegal forward lateral last year?

[@Imtryin-k21]

Take the Home teams to cover, over on the Chiefs/ Bills game. Under on Eagles / Commanders.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck on Sunday, thank you for watching and commenting!

[@NotKD35]

I think eagles commanders game is a shootout. All commanders game have high scores and last time they met it was a huge score like 65-75 points. What makes you think that game goes under this week? Any statistics

[@BonsaiBuckeye]

​@@NotKD35it's the playoffs....things tighten up. Eagles run, run, run. Keep Daniels off the field..

[@Plague_Runner_]

Im scared because i like bith favorites. 😬

[@davidgaray9380]

2R1L allen and hurts no int. Anytime td allen n Barkley. Lfg!!!

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today David

[@randypetersen7154]

Steve Eagles game was way Over Not under😢

[@stevemerril1485]

Yep, but both public dogs lost, including the Commanders.

[@mikekal5735]

Eagles defense will shut down Jayden while Barkley runs all over the Washington defense. Final 27-13 Eagles

[@stevemerril1485]

Barkley has been unstoppable

[@Lexluger3535]

lol do you guys watch football or just b talking they were getting shut down Barkley got a lil lucky run at the end of the game to many mistakes from rams too many

[@mikekal5735]

@@Lexluger3535 you are so right. Until Barkley’s lucky run at the end of the rams game he only had 150 yards of total offense. He was totally shut down

[@Ian_Sr.]

Do yaself a favor take Eagles -6 hell take -10🦅🦅🦅

[@shanes1221]

-10 is a donation

[@Ian_Sr.]

@@shanes1221 what? ..... what....... washington defense is ass

[@robertcrane6237]

Omg how anyone can doubt the redskins is hard to fathom

[@Japheth-c5m]

3rd worst rush defense against 4th best rush offense.. Not hard to fathom

[@stevemerril1485]

This week will be an impressive win, if they get it.

[@stevenhiggins8827]

Philly -6.5 looks like the play and KC ML . I like the under in the Philly game

[@stevemerril1485]

Looks like the sharp money is on both home teams.

[@420ChrisTodd]

Hurtz is not 100%, When was the last time a running back determined a NFC Championship game? It's all about QBs and Defense

[@derekpalmer2442]

Eagles manders is going way over . Should’ve gone “with the public” on that one

[@stevemerril1485]

And both public underdogs lost

[@joey86bu1]

SM in the hizzy! Good luck with your cringe PC team this weekend SM! LFG BTC!

[@abemunchkin1271]

That name's gonna be changed back to redskins again soon ( 🤞). Even aunt Jemima is coming back. Trump effect is a helluva thing 😂😂😂

[@stevemerril1485]

Looks like 100K is definitely the new support level for Bitcoin

[@joey86bu1]

@@stevemerril1485 Ya last time iit only lasted above 100k for 3 days-ish, so good sign. Gonna slam some more longs Sunday!!

[@expatmarc6611]

Fading the public..

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck this Sunday

[@RuinedItRandy]

69 duuude

[@stevemerril1485]

😂

[@dominictarsatana2896]

Steve you know what time of year it is couple weeks I need someone I can count on I just want to see something I am asking you straight out I had drake under it went to overtime the other service is doing me no good I am not looking to get rich just ahead I am not crazy putting anything on the phone give me 2 to 3 weeks I am coming to you because I trust you see you soon

[@TheMegaBucks]

I like steve alot. But if he faded the public for the last 2years he would have lost his house. This isnt 2005

[@festusaniemeka3350]

I agree 05 was when this was a thing now bookies be punishing sharp chasers

[@stevemerril1485]

I don't blindly fade the public, use it as a filter, and try not to play on bad teams, it still works.

[@andreweagan5707]

The under for the eagles/commanders game almost bust at half time. Very bad read

[@stevemerril1485]

Complaining about a free opinion, but of course you don't mention my strong best bet was the Eagles which won easy.

[@LeviSedlacek]

Wrong on the eagles wash total already

[@stevemerril1485]

Missed the free opinion, but of course you complain and don't mention that the strong Best Bet on the Eagles won easy.

[@marcussmith6118]

Is it because I’m high all the time, that I Hear everyone that promotes themselves say that they are #1 at WagerTalk 🤦🏾‍♂️…am I tripping

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Sounds like maybe acid flashbacks.

[@stevemerril1485]

I won more units in the NFL the last 2 months and more units in All Sports last year than any capper, that's a pretty simple #1 anking.

[@todddussault2653]

decided to take this guy yesterday his 3 pick releases sucked never again

[@stevemerril1485]

Maybe try taking a more realistic investment approach than just one day Todd, still over 70% this past week on Best Bets.

[@captaincarl3940]

I signed up on exactly December 28th. I bet all his PAID plays baskets and football 4% all the same rating. He has gone 28-32-1. At $400 a game he has lost me $1600 plus another $1280+ in juice. WTF?

[@randysullivan638]

Half the video can't be self promoting.... I get you have to make money but after years of producing a trackable winning record.... Dude, we know already, and those that will buy, have, and ultimately you're not persuading anyone who was going to already! ...

[@stevemerril1485]

Huh?

[@i2Shea]

Do the opposite of what this dude says and you will make money!

[@stevemerril1485]

Why? Best Bets 29-12 L2 months, 5-0 in playoffs.

[@StEvEn-md8ez]

nfl is dead

[@mantooth4233]

The under huh? And you said it with such confidence lol. If your free picks are this bad, I could only imagine how bad your paid picks are.

[@stevemerril1485]

Best Bets 19-3 L8 Sundays, 30-13 NFL L2 months.