NFL Week 14 Picks & Predictions | Bills vs Rams | Jets vs Dolphins | Fade the Public

[@Wagertalk]

👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds 📺 Rest of NFL Week 14 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl14 🏈 More Free NFL Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL 🤷‍♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 14? Let us know in the comments below 👇

[@stevemerril1485]

Smash that LIKE 👍 button!

[@ClarenceSiniard]

Panthers. -+ 13 1/2 KC got lucky there playing with confidence now I think they keep it close

[@teeks8951]

Should be "follow the public" this year, lol

[@stevemerril1485]

Public has done well the last two months

[@raneshabrown4110]

😂

[@akapiff]

Lmaoooo

[@akapiff]

Public winning and the sharps losing lol

[@warriorsonly9966]

Heyy that was my idea 7 weeks ago. I been saying it

[@wjking5219]

You've caught a lot of heat lately, but I wanted to point out you went 5-0 with our private NFL picks and added a Golden State winner as the cherry on top. Those winners helped bring me back into the green after I tripled down on Karama o18.5 rushing attempts and the Saints did everything they could to lose that game yesterday. This process is a marathon not a sprint, but hopefully this is the beginning of another heater for you.

[@stevemerril1485]

Smart intelligent clients like you WJ get it, can't do anything about that other 5% that just want to win every day.

[@SC-uk7cd]

People that pay too much money to follow you is a scam. Youre awful steve. ​@@stevemerril1485

[@EeskiDUB]

Falcons, Titans, Saints, Bears, Phins + over = 🎁…Happy Holidays Steve

[@sethstine4698]

ML? or ATS?

[@izabellasshow1739]

Over ​@@sethstine4698

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today!

[@GratefulDadOf4]

Didn’t really work out for you, did it?

[@marqusstahl4551]

Steve I think you better check your model its broken yesterday for college football you gave out unlv, texas, over in texas game and penn state this keeps up this segment is gonna turn into fade steve Merrill 's picks quick

[@BlueCollarShorts]

I agree

[@SC-uk7cd]

He's trash, analysis is trash too.

[@mikehennessy6766]

I like the Arizona Cardinals - 2.5. it's back to back road games for Seattle and it's a revenge spot.

[@truegrizzlesfan2292]

Same.

[@jeremyjenks902]

I took the Seahawks at +3 as I felt 50-50 about the game and thought I would just take the points. It could indeed be a revenge spot for the Cardinals though. I was thinking if I decided to hedge this bed, I would just take the Cardinals on the money line.

[@joev3411]

good call on that arizona st game

[@stevemerril1485]

Blowout indeed

[@MoonBull13]

Good call on the rame game

[@stevemerril1485]

👍💲

[@acousticillusive]

Got it! Fade the public week 1-3. Then, fade the Merril weeks 4-13!!! Weeks 14-on??? Should be safe for Stevie picks again. Check!! Can't lose

[@killerwhale49]

Its been 2 months of premium play subscription Steve Merril's record in College Hoops (3-7) NBA (12-12) .. running in losses till now

[@irishdragon2637]

@@killerwhale49I didnt think college basketball won yet. It’s been so bad. I’ve lost so much. I’m convinced the free plays are the real premium plays. The premium plays were 0-3 again yesterday

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Rams win outright . Steve has this one absolutely correct . Mark these words . It will happen . And after you cash the ticket it’s party time .

[@stevemerril1485]

Looks like a good spot, best of luck today Michael! 👍💯

[@MoonBull13]

Sharp ✅️

[@michaelblankenau6598]

There are the sharps and then there are the smooths . And depending on the situation , sometimes it’s better to be smooth .

[@kevwwong]

Thanks Steve. I think this is a handicapper's week as most of the lines feel about right.

[@stevemerril1485]

Lines get pretty accurate in December

[@thomasbowe6822]

I like Bucs,Miami, Rams ,Saints

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck Thomas!

[@grandmarquice3655]

I like all them too.. especially Miami and the Rams

[@parislark6402]

Rams beating Bills I don't think so Bills with the points all day.

[@mikerubio2602]

Thx. GL everyone.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today Mike

[@michaelpatterson9119]

Your advice is on point.its happening exactly how you said it would happen so far.

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks Michael, appreciate you watching and commenting!

[@tjsumigray22]

You're 1-5 betting against Buffalo Steven. Nice picks yesterday too😅

[@RuinedItRandy]

Yesterday was stunning though, no? Not trying to be smart alec, just learn.

[@GratefulDadOf4]

2-5

[@tjsumigray22]

@GratefulDadOf4 true. Best QB'd game I've watched in awhile! Sometimes you just have to tip your cap

[@MoonBull13]

Woops

[@killerwhale49]

Its been 2 months of premium play subscription Steve Merril's record in College Hoops (3-7) NBA (12-12) .. running in losses till now

[@facethegreat8774]

Facts, Steve been going downhill lately, Ima fade Steve

[@robbchristenson7280]

I like your Rams pick and also like Atl +6 and Seattle vs. Arizona o44.5.

[@phipham8151]

Rams were scoreless first half against the saints….

[@louiscarr6370]

Much respect, Steve. Enjoy your deep dive info.

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching Louis!

[@ClarenceSiniard]

Should we be looking back at the KC Panthers game a few weeks back ? There getting a lot of points today with the eagels

[@stevemerril1485]

Panthers offense has improved in recent weeks, but their defense is still suspect.

[@ClarenceSiniard]

@ Good for me I knew after 1st quarter there keeping it close

[@AW-uo7ht]

Hard to bet against Allen right now

[@stevemerril1485]

I agree, but if he's going to have an off game it's probably today.

[@Mrgetthebag916]

Love the videos I think rams is a sneaky play

[@stevemerril1485]

I like the Rams as well 👍💯

[@RobertMorgan-bj6ud]

I like Miami spread and alternate eagles for plus money. I think they will dominate

[@dapperdan343]

Another great video, thanks Steve!

[@stevemerril1485]

Thank you for watching!

[@BigBundy82]

I like the public pics

[@stevemerril1485]

I agree with several of them as well

[@MetaModern-df6he]

You the best Steve!

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching!

[@lovingtonlush]

Thank you for sharing your picks. I actually heavy favorites besides Buffalo for the SuperContest.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today!

[@austin4383]

7 point teasee tennese plus 3.5 Minny plus 1

[@geraldschrader6759]

Great insight, as a Bills fan I agree with the letdown.

[@stevemerril1485]

Buffalo is a good team, but does look like a tough spot today.

[@josephcolarossi6515]

Arizona got a nice spot tomorrow as they seek revenge without giving up the hey number of 3. Cardinals - 2 1/2 is a nice play.

[@tracystarksjr7430]

Miami -6 TB-6 1/2 Pitt -6 1/2 Saints -3 Over Cowboys and Bengals. Also 5 game ML parlay All 4 games plus one over. Let’s GOOO Today!!!!

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today! 💲

[@jimschuster9391]

Thanks Steve,, where you at on Cowboys? Also KC and 49ers close to 80% fav

[@stevemerril1485]

Publix was pretty split on those games

[@JeffreyHaefner]

This Bills defense is so good. Rams will struggle on offense while Buffalo will smash again on offense vs a super weak rams defense. Bills have way better defense and a much better offense. Rams WR will see how elite Christian Benford is. Possible best CB duo in the NFL. Matt Milano back. Rams ain’t doing NOTHING on offense on Sunday. GO BILLS

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Rams will head butt the Bills and send them home on a rail . Book it.

[@_BigTimer85]

Eastern team flying across the country. Coming off a Sunday night game in which they clinched their division. Against a team fighting for their playoff lives. Rams

[@stevecarpenter2638]

Buf still chasing that number 1 seed

[@JeffreyHaefner]

@@_BigTimer85 you’re betting against Josh Allen in Cali? Now that’s funny lol.

[@michaelblankenau6598]

Hope you listened to me . Otherwise you torched your moolah

[@ThatsMeetri]

Never fade Seattle. Also like Minnesota

[@FREETHINKER-05]

Will Levis OVER 210.5 , Josh Allen OVER 239.5, Baker Mayfield OVER 245.5……I might be wrong but I don’t buy a let down spot for the Bills, I think they want to run the table and have a shot at the 1 seed in the AFC plus they are the much superior all around team, their toughest task will be next week…

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today, thanks for including some props!

[@tjsumigray22]

@@stevemerril1485 you seriously deleted my comment. You're a sad person Steve. Just because someone disagrees doesn't give you the right to remove it. Absolutely sad. I lost respect for you as a gambler earlier this season, but now I lost respect for you as a man🫥

[@stevemerril1485]

​@@tjsumigray22 I did not delete anyone's comment, sometimes KZbin removes them, but it wasn't me.

[@tjsumigray22]

@stevemerril1485 ok Steve Good luck with the Bowl games

[@ashaali7564]

Keep them coming, very much appreciated!😊

[@stevemerril1485]

Thank you for watching!

[@austin4383]

3 team mobey l9be 1 1st half philly 3 minny 3 miami

[@alexmerel9924]

Hi Steve NFL been public this year hope it changes ncaa I'm up down in nfl

[@corkydukeII5898]

Definitely alot of public/square bettors on Bears too 🐻

[@stevemerril1485]

Yes, in some locations I saw some sentiment towards the Bears, but not enough to qualify as a public dog.

[@JeffreyHaefner]

Best play of the week is chi +4

[@EeskiDUB]

Dont ever fade the coaching change angle its one of the most profitable. 9er might win but wont cover, injuries have team morale in the dumps n Kylie Shanny has lost the locker room. Too many overpaid money grubn injury prone divas will do tht smh.

[@parislark6402]

​@@JeffreyHaefner Na Steelers with the points Tomlin team has never lost to the same team twice in a row.

[@JeffreyHaefner]

@@parislark6402 lottttttttta points to cover at -7 tho. Love bears +4 w the coaching bump and niners MASSIVELY injured

[@josephross7936]

Not a fade but love Pittsburgh in a good revenge spot.

[@stevemerril1485]

I agree 👍💯

[@gt-guy4259]

Good job 🙏

[@stevemerril1485]

Thank you for watching

[@alexartis143]

Follow the Public best bets🎉

[@wjking5219]

Like Kamara o18.5 rush attempts against the Giants. The Giants rush defense is horrific and the Saints should be playing with the lead the entire game. Hill is out so he won't be poaching carries from Kamara. My only concern is that the Saints could blow them out and pull Kamara, but I wouldn't expect that to happen before the 4th quarter and he should easily surpass 18 carries by then.

[@stevemerril1485]

Giants defense has a lot of injuries as well

[@wjking5219]

@@stevemerril1485 Well, they ended up playing like the 1985 Bears yesterday. I don't know who was calling plays for the Saints, but congrats for getting your QB killed while they still had the slimmest of chances to make the playoffs. In the last TWO drives of the game when they were trying to run out the clock, he started both drives with an incomplete pass. They end up losing almost 10 yards on sacks and then then he runs a meaningless draw that gains 6 of the 19 yards they needed. He didn't do that ONCE, but he did it twice in the 4th quarter. The Saints should have lost that game due to shear incompetence and game mismanagement.

[@dustingoetz2117]

How about doing fade the public NBA Steve? I think that would be much more profitable than the NFL

[@stevemerril1485]

NBA public data works a bit in the playoffs, but there's not enough on a daily basis during the regular season as too much sharp action.

[@washredskin887]

I don't like any of these games this week. I took the Giants plus 5, may take the Jags. Nothing really pops out for me. Maybe over 43 Pittsburgh Clev.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today!

[@ronaldmizrahi]

Amazing! 😀💯

[@stevemerril1485]

👍

[@thetoy1478]

Big 👍 for thoughts.

[@stevemerril1485]

👍💯

[@jrprince917]

Dude the fins flew all the way from miami and was able to beat the rams in L.A

[@ChrisDavid-e7j]

With you on RAMS at home

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck Chris 👍💯

[@JimmyC9]

You can take Arizona Cardinals to the bank -2.5 and so on...

[@dennishorne5839]

Great show

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks Dennis!

[@ChaddyChadLetsGetIt]

Let’s get it!💪🏼🏈💰🔥 -Chad J. Merrill

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today Chad

[@BobBelter-f4t]

I live in South Florida, Dolphins/Jets games always a bit crazy. Put the Dolphins in a teaser with Vikings. Other teaser leg would be Tampa. Just can’t trust Dolphins to cover a straight bet. Like your other picks.

[@stevemerril1485]

Good luck today on Sunday!

[@carlosanguiano7598]

Isn't Seattle a public dog? I seen somewhere that had them with 70% of the tickets on them

[@michaelstephens9852]

Probably a game without a lot of action yet.

[@sterlingferguson7234]

Goes by money not tickets...

[@joshuawheelock8874]

​@@sterlingferguson7234currently roughly 70% of both tix and $ on seattle

[@jeremyjenks902]

I had the same question. I wonder what % of the money is on the Hawks

[@joshuawheelock8874]

@@jeremyjenks902 70% of tix and $ in this case

[@ricky-reek3960]

Ye sir .. let’s go rams 😤got them at +4.5

[@stevemerril1485]

That's a great line

[@jeremyjenks902]

Thanks Steve.

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching Jeremy!

[@debmoore3614]

Viking game???

[@stevemerril1485]

Should be high scoring

[@Ryguy77683]

I figured you guys out you say your betting a team but really you bet opposite team I'm fading everybody on wagertalk and youtube

[@TheTimbo911]

Princess relax. This kinda stuff is clearly over your head. I'd also recommend a grammar course. Judging by your word salad. It's a skill you lack.

[@Analyzer52]

Fade the public has not been a good strategy this year. You have been saying for 2 months the public gets it wrong at the end of the season due to line value. And all the public has done is cash every week! It's worked in years past but not at all this year. Teams are really good or really bad this year. That's the problem.

[@johndevine3955]

I’m an Eagles fan, take panthers + 13.5 I’m feeling back door cover. Eagles win by 7-10

[@stevemerril1485]

The offense has been better over the past month, which does give them some back door cover potential now.

[@stevecarpenter2638]

Buff still chasing that num 1 at least num 2. And JA MVP There not looking A head or taken a week off.

[@stevemerril1485]

Just hard to have your A game every week

[@MrGuy2121]

Picks have been rough lately my dude! Time to streak together some wins! You know it’s going bad when I dislike the picks so much that I end up using them in teasers with even better lines and still can’t cash.. today for example, really didn’t agree with UNLV, PSU, or the SEC total so I was not comfortable playing them as suggested but I want to believe in you so I used your picks in teasers. SEC game Over 44 vs 50? Loss. With overtime! UNLV +15.5? Loss. PSU +9.5? Hey, we got one! An 0-3 Saturday is tough to swallow! Hoping Sunday is a different story!

[@rod22peru88]

i did not like that georgia-texas over pick either but still bet it for 3 units thinking Steve was due for a turnaround.. at least i saved some money not betting PSU ( bought the $5 play from Mark Zinno and had already bet on Oregon. he is like 8-2 on $5 plays)

[@facethegreat8774]

Straight dumpster fire

[@TheFujiwuji]

What does "fading a public dog" mean? I'm assuming a public dog is a team that the general public does not think is gonna win (so they will bet against them), so is "fading" a public dog, mean that you disagree with the public's assessment? And that the under-appreciated team will actually do well instead? So does it mean a team that will surprise you, and do better than expected??

[@derekpalmer2442]

It’s the opposite , public dog is a dog the public is betting on . Fading is disagreeing with the public opinion

[@derekpalmer2442]

So betting on the favorite instead

[@thomasskinner147]

@stevemerril Not NFL but look at those Kansas Jayhaeks minus points and Steelers/Browns Over on the total

[@stevecraig9384]

Miami over the total

[@stevemerril1485]

Maybe a team total over?

[@mickytrinh6812]

Hi Steve

[@stevemerril1485]

Hi Micky

[@timothyalmeida7555]

Good stuff as always Steve!

[@stevemerril1485]

Thank you!

[@yorkshire3939]

Buff wins 27-19

[@bonesriver5786]

Do you think bills will still win just not cover ????

[@stevemerril1485]

Whenever playing a small underdog in the NFL I usually believe they will win outright

[@JeffreyHaefner]

Go Bills. Why would anyone bet against Buffalo? Josh Allen is from Cali. He’s 3-0 in Cali. Josh Allen smash tour continues in another blowout win by Buffalo. Bills have forced a turnover in like 13 straight games. Why would Buffalo have turnover issues? Haven’t had em all season. Keep sleepin on Buffalo like everyone has all year. GO BILLS

[@gjerrildkro]

Allen is undefeated to west coast teams.

[@kevinpeters6860]

Double R one L...good job as usual 👍💯

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks Kevin!

[@4Realkevv]

Bills eagles chiefs

[@laurenwilliams777]

I like the other side of all 3 of those games with the points.

[@temple2431]

The “sharps” must be using drug money because they are usually wrong and still have money to burn on more dumb bets. 😂

[@stevemerril1485]

Sharps have not done well this year in the NFL

[@akapiff]

Another lost today took unlv +10 against creighton thanks for the lost again lmaoo

[@mikecrane2623]

I paid this man to help me lose money for the past month in CFB and NFL.

[@parislark6402]

​@@mikecrane2623don't pay for picks

[@BMonger16]

You're the man Steve, Merry Christmas 🎄

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks for watching!

[@garrickwilliams5771]

Double R One L ✌🏾... Keep doing your thing!!! You pick winner's, the haters couldn't put together an analysis if they tried!!! Remember folks... it's DOUBLE R ONE L 💸💸💸

[@stevemerril1485]

Thanks Garrick, it's always great to hear from you! 👍Best of luck today! 🍀💲

[@JordanTabares]

Totally disagree. Mac Jones sounds like the guy that owns the Mac and cheese food truck down the street.

[@stevemerril1485]

🤣

[@BonsaiBuckeye]

Good stuff, brother 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼

[@stevemerril1485]

Thank you for watching!

[@joey86bu1]

LFG SM!

[@stevemerril1485]

What's up Joey!, what are you doing with Bitcoin now?

[@joey86bu1]

@@stevemerril1485 Riding it till the end of the cycle = let winners run (currently 10-6 on closed positions with 14 positions running, 12 in the money). With the positions that I have I get about a 2-1 return on the dollar for BTC along with appreciation of my HODL stack. Spent alot of time comparing cycles and what I have found to be a great time to get out is a price break of the 10 MA after March on the weekly time frame. That gets you out if people sell to pay taxes (2021) but if that doesn't happen (2017) it keeps you in the trade. Finished backtesting for my BTFD strategy (look for recovery candle after a down candle on the weekly timeframe, 2 positions 10% SL + 5% SL) on the weekly timeframe also so will be adding positions Sunday night woo hoo. Keep kickin azz SM!!

[@stevemerril1485]

​@@joey86bu1cyclical buy/sells based on tax or calendar year etc make a lot of sense That's an interesting back test. 👍

[@swagshop7548]

These 🧢 givin out fake picks u buy picks n still lose

[@facethegreat8774]

That Texas game you picked yesterday's destroyed me..smh

[@stevemerril1485]

One game should never destroy you

[@BKK871]

No way am i betting against Josh Allen against the damn Rams 😂 youre crazy. Did you see waht Josh Allen did last week? Hes about to do that again against a trash Rams defense.

[@camilleruggiero3098]

Our local indian casino bookmaking operation was wiped out

[@camilleruggiero3098]

Vinnie Puppaluchi ?

[@warriorsonly9966]

" the public starts to fall off later in the season" Steve....when ?..... Please when? 😅 I been telling you bet with the Oublic this season.

[@gamblegod-tc8yc]

Lol i love how these so called sharps think buffalo wont be ready, they want the 1 seed, fade the sharps should be the show

[@austin4383]

GIANTS GAME IS A PASS .SYEVE JUDT TELL EVERYINE TO PASS ON THIS GAME

[@Jayt9813]

Another stinky day for Steve Merril (two R’s one L) in CFB. 0-5 past two Saturdays. We are not going to focus on the short term numbers though. Just stating facts and helping out the algo.

[@Chris-i9v2c]

Poor investment so far 🗑️

[@kckelly7889]

When he does respond to the comments on his atrocious record the past few weeks, we are sure to be reminded of the past 12-15 months performance, as if that matters to anyone who has recently been financially bludgeoned when unfortunate enough to have purchased any of his weekly packages the past month or two. What have you done for me lately, Merril?

[@Chris-i9v2c]

@@kckelly7889 exactly…..all smoke and mirrors. But now I know better and unless it improves, won’t be purchasing ever again. We”ll see

[@mikecrane2623]

Absolute joke. I got his CFB/NFL package and he was just as bad in the NFL. I commented last week and he responded with how many units he’s up in the last 15 months lol

[@Jayt9813]

@@mikecrane2623 yeah they zoom out or zoom in as needed to fit the narrative

[@justinlee6616]

U have cost me 10k

[@justinlee6616]

College picks 0-2 now tonight

[@stevemerril1485]

Went 6-0 on Sunday, what are you complaining about?

[@FadingFreddy]

You’re killing your clients. Don’t want to hear about last year’s record. And no, don’t tell me to spend more for a year investment. Can we start winning now?

[@acousticillusive]

Wait wait!! WHAT?!!!! This is now the DON'T FADE THE PUBLIC, video?!!!! BAWHA!!! Ok, Steve. Ok! Well at least the Best bets is still on plot! You're fun!

[@Ryguy77683]

So sick of public and sharp talk nowadays

[@robbchristenson7280]

Then why are you watching this video?

[@StephenFallon-wt7lv]

You, in all likelihood, wouldn't say this if you weren't losing.

[@MrMiniPancakes]

Guy gives either lucky winners or bad bad picks

[@hype7o3]

Both

[@NCSHPRetired]

He keeps saying Public Public. People do not make the mistake and pay this man. He will not show his real record because he has LOST way more than he has won. Do not trust what he is saying about the bets.

[@ianstewart7353]

Lmao 🤣 🤣 🤣 wat is wrong with you fade the public and you went with public n lost every side f that I had giants jags n Jets

[@stevewhitaker6006]

FADE THE SHARPS GUYS FADE THE SHARPS..they know nothing 😂😂😂😂😂, even steve knows it 😂😂😂