No educator has ever made me feel so certain that I will succeed in the forex market, your putting us years ahead.
@joshrichardson81486 жыл бұрын
I've been hooked on this for a few weeks now as I'm a complete beginner. (dabbled awhile back briefly) Some of it's definitely frustrating as its clearly a steep learning curve between broker platforms, indicators, lot sizes, P&L %'s, JPY pairs (WTF), ATR, etc., but... does anyone else get super excited when they find an indicator combination that does amazing in their backtesting! (70% winrate on my first two pairs just under 2 years each) That alone is a huge motivation to keep going!! And VP your cutthroat no nonsense no ads approach is excellent, thank you keep it up!
@tezwoacz4 жыл бұрын
Josh Richardson that’s how you know you have cheated on backtest, 70% indicator probably doesn’t even exist.
@willspeakman24613 жыл бұрын
@@tezwoacz I got 85% on 2 year back test. Once i tested it on more pairs and further back in time it fell apart though.
@sonjoypaul62173 жыл бұрын
@@willspeakman2461 would you tell me the indicator you found 85% useful? I have a list too, I am backtesting for 6 months. still i have ocean of source for indicators I would finish them first before going to forward testing.
@PluggStarz4 жыл бұрын
300+ indicators already tested and 15 gems was found. It's kinda boring sometimes, but I am already see the advantages. Thank you VP!
@Chadwanabe4 жыл бұрын
I’ve done 60 with 3 gems ✊🏽
@TheMohsin54 жыл бұрын
Can you share them for better of the community please?
@TheMohsin54 жыл бұрын
carlos dani share please
@zuyufullahmanna85544 жыл бұрын
I won't ask to share indicators, cuz that's urs efforts... BUT IF U COULD JUST POINT ME IN DIRECTION like where to look, other than MQL5.com
@zuyufullahmanna85544 жыл бұрын
and do u test them on all TIME FRAMES? or just DAY TIME FRAME?
@stuartwonghinweng5 жыл бұрын
Doing the back testing your way reaps unexpected good benefits: getting myself out of the way, eliminates the misconceptions about trading, cultivating the discipline and the resolve to follow the confirmation indicator. Heartfelt thanks, VP
@johnpaule59434 жыл бұрын
I've been watching everything VP has posted, first voice I hear in the morning and last I hear in the night
@stevesheppard67205 жыл бұрын
Hey VP, I'm a low level prop trader for the Apiary fund. I found your channel because a couple of the traders at Apiary were discussing it online. So far your stuff is enjoyable and you don't hold back. It's difficult to abandon some of what I've been taught because I've had a little success, but I'm enjoying the free education and one of my personal mottos has always been to never. stop. learning. Indicator hunting is hard! Thanks again for your time and commitment, sir.
@lucapuzzoli83635 жыл бұрын
I often need to come back to this podcast 💡
@jonassapero13365 жыл бұрын
I literally watching from the very beginning video of this channel to this one for 2 days straight. And it really opened my eyes on how i see forex before. Im a new trader, and im trading for about 3 months already with a demo account using those strategy of typical trader out there. And this channel thought me that the way i trade was wrong. And I think i really need to reset and change how i trade before. Im glad that i found this channel, and thank you VP for making this videos.
@arleedstanto5 жыл бұрын
I found out that, the more often I back test and forward test my algorithm, the more I get to know what they each are telling me and the more I trust them. Because at the end of the day, technical analysis, discipline and rules that I follow to the T, will rule over my "oh but that's a 3 pattern thingy, the S/Rs are coming!!" hence putting my feelings out off the equation. And even after a loss(es), I can still sleep like a baby at night and ready to start planning (inspired by your routine) for the next trade. I'm pretty much of an emotional guy, but when my "team of analysts" say "go git it!" i don't think twice. Yes, I might be new, and i have blown accounts too (well not as much as you thou) since 2012, but after 7 years, you made me understand now when you said that you don't put your feelings when it time to execute an order.Yup, I'm at that state now. VP, you are a God sent.Peace, blessings and prosperity to you. Thank you from Jakarta, Indonesia. And Marco, where ever you are can just go to hell. (vid reference) PS: Your Renko + SSL vid has inspired me to do more research on them, and now fits perfectly with my algorithm.
@kvjqxzz59056 жыл бұрын
I came across this podcast while researching Heiken-Ashi candles and Fibonacci
@jseymour846 жыл бұрын
First off, thank you for your podcast and channel. I had first started learning forex from a company that taught traders how to trade based off of visual recognition of price patterns using Fibonacci ratios to define the pattern. Some people had success with it, but I couldn't justify spending hundreds of dollars a month to learn a method that didn't sit right with me. I always believed that the brain will see what it wants to see so visual pattern recognition is inherently flawed as a trading method. A Twitter follower pointed me here and I binged nearly every podcast episode over the last week, and I am currently backtesting my first confirmation indicator on its default settings. This method just feels so much better for me than looking at the charts and hoping I am seeing what is really there and not just what I want to see. All your videos have been super helpful in helping me get started, especially the trend indicators, risk structure, and backtesting videos. I am very excited for what 2019 brings after spending a year and a half trying to learn a method that I never really believed in and getting no where with it.
@NoNonsenseForex6 жыл бұрын
I felt the same. Knew there were better ways, so I went and found them.
@BigMrToe6 жыл бұрын
This is great! I don’t use indicators for anything more then decorations for my charts. Bunch of maybes and ifs. I just don’t trust them enough to make a trading decision. Thought they were all crap, more or less. I am very open mined though and believe you. I spent all weekend, last weekend testing these things wrong. Now I know. So, back to the drawing bored. Success is a formula, and believe you have it figured out. Thank you VP.
@richardeckles8516 жыл бұрын
Newbie: ZERO (bad) habits... Great Podcast! This one is very helpful as I'm researching and setting up my system. No trading yet as I'm also learning to navigate through the MT4 Platform. I really like how you are slowly explaining things. Just started about a 2 weeks ago. From Montana
@naturaltrader38325 жыл бұрын
Damn VP, I’ve been at this for a solid year in February. and have been approaching trading quite furiously and maddeningly hours on end from the start. Books, bots, flying crabby pattern scanners; anything that I could or can get my grubby, little trading-obsessed hands on (especially, the carnival ride on the internet),l. But you brother, you’re a tsunamic trading phenomenon. Ive done some work towards trading about a decade ago, or so, for a year and a half, but never made any real solid ground. Not such as the ground I’ve made listening to you, my friend. I’ve binged A LOT (multiple times on the same videos and podcasts), but I must drop you a line NOW and say: this one EPISODE... you f@cking blew me away. Unbelievable. Thank you so much, VP. That last bit of your podcast, I truly appreciate your words. I’m THAT doer you speak of, and it is my hope to contact you in the future with my story of success. I don’t know who are or where the hell you came from, but let me tell you VP, and I mean this with total conviction... YOU’RE A GENUINE ANOMALY. Keep it up brotha... PEACE
@NoNonsenseForex5 жыл бұрын
I like the fact that it was this episode in particular. Shows where your head's at.
@BoHorror5 жыл бұрын
This is where the backbreaking work starts, sometimes feel like reverting to easy old trend lines and just using the zig zag indicator, oh well I'm this far guess there's no going back
@MeganTDavenport5 жыл бұрын
I encourage everyone to look at the blog for this episode and get set up properly.
@seanfelix80344 жыл бұрын
Thanks, had some few question, but I believe the blog will answer those
@shednotes30165 жыл бұрын
Good day VP. I have a friend and over the years, we let each other know about things that could enhance our lives for the better. He shared ep.0 and the rest is history. I listen and go through babypips as a reminder and the added unknown knowledge. Instant fan and do not mind taking the time, focus, or the energy to become a full time day trader. I thank my friend and you for my new journey.
@rayern19825 жыл бұрын
Hey VP, you probably should add this topic into the MUST READ after the core concepts and etc. I spent endless hours working with your main structure, backtesting indicators as an algorithms set within your main structure. It was an absolute headache testing 5-6 indicators together before knowing the potential of each indicator itself. I spent weeks pondering what went wrong. Then I decided to rerun your podcasts from ep1 to see if there were any hidden gems I could have missed. This episode is what I really need. None of the indicators I was using got me results, all between 60- 70% win percentage. I could have ditch them earlier should I test them individually first rather than as a set of algorithms. Anyway, indicators with 60-70% win percentage still got me 3:1 win ratio in terms of total pips when they work together. I wonder what could be the outcome for indicators with 80% win percentage.
@trejoslin95385 жыл бұрын
Does the atr count as indicator?
@jordanhtrading55834 жыл бұрын
You can put a bunch of the same indicator on the chart and adjust the settings then save it as a template so you can put it on other pairs quicker.
@idahoriverhouse62815 жыл бұрын
Remember, it's possible your first back trades are losers. I ran into a string of 6 losses right off the bat but ended up being a consistent winner. Persistence. Thanks, VP. Teach 'em to fish and you've fed them for life.
@Mooodddyy4 жыл бұрын
would u care to share couple ?
@williamlyons7824 жыл бұрын
teach a man to ''FISH'' and he'll REPAINT all day! lol
@jonniejlo4 жыл бұрын
Thanks VP! Admittedly I went straight to forward testing on demo because it seemed cool. Recently did a backtest just on the SSL over 3 years data and oh man did I learn a thing or two! It took forever because I was being meticulous in data entry. I even kept a log of "maximum potential scale out" movements on every trade and I was absolutely floored by the result. I double checked the numbers as I didn't believe it at first, but scaling out is definitely where it's at. It was professor VP, in the Library, with the Candlestick :D ^^^ why have I not thought of this brilliant line before :). Anyway, Thanks VP!
@sirt86844 жыл бұрын
Last words "go out there and get it".... Love it.
@troyknight81995 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the great podcast and sharing your wealth of knowledge as a professional trader. Always great information and definitely not the conventional "wisdom". One thing that I always fail to comprehend. VP is giving out his professional opinion for FREE and his perspective of what you need to do to win in this game. 17000 people have watched the video and only 796 have bothered hitting LIKE (less than 5%). Wow guys this man (right or wrong) (I believe right) has given you his time, his knowledge and over 10 years of experience in the markets to help you out FOR FREE. Just for that the least you can do is hit like button. As for the 9 people that hit dislike, I guess all I can say its a perfect reflection of the world we live in. Maybe you should go and pay $7K for a trading course so you can learn nothing and blow a few accounts. Then come back to this channel expand your paradigm and maybe just maybe you can learn how to be apart of the 1%. Thank you VP for all your excellent work and the amazing material you share with us every week. (Yes, big LIKE from me)!!!!
@SaintzGaming4 жыл бұрын
Started two months ago, By far one of the best channels out there.
@SaintzGaming4 жыл бұрын
More than lots of time is put into trading, more then you might realize. Gotta get dirty to find those gems Good luck everyone!
@retsu97293 жыл бұрын
@@SaintzGaming so how is your trading going?
@laurenh9784 жыл бұрын
Thank you!
@sharicegreen47624 жыл бұрын
I started searching for indicators last night. I'm looking forward to backtesting them. Im excited, i think im gonna enjoy doing this, thanks VP:)
@cpbpapin84585 жыл бұрын
Hi VP I agree with you Step by step, pieces by pieces, each week and weekend for the long times. Thanks for given to me my chance Xxxx
@BoHorror5 жыл бұрын
Tested my second indicator it sure does take a heck alot of time starting out(took me around 2 hours) but once you get used to it you can do it far quicker. SMI indicator 52% winrate
@BoHorror5 жыл бұрын
then realised i was backtesting for 2 good years instead of 6 months
@TheRealNisu6 жыл бұрын
Bro I've been researching forex for the last 5 to 10 years blew out my account 3 times. When i say no bs you have the tightest presentation on forex that I've snacked on. This is cooked crack.. I'm Diggz it bro. When i hone in I feel obligated to throw you a bone. Your the ish.. keep it up Real recognize Real...🤘
@NoNonsenseForex6 жыл бұрын
Get it!!
@Canopusparadise2 жыл бұрын
this is my new fav episode
@alfonsosainz73176 жыл бұрын
Most important episode yet
@arvindeleon22305 жыл бұрын
I am not sure if i missed some things, but has vp ever mentioned anything about automatic backtesting using MQL4 (metatrader 4 built-in programming language for trading robots )? or did he ever mention/eleborate on why manual backtesting is superior?
@alexlee66213 жыл бұрын
After watching you, every Forex add that starts off saying anything along the lines of "do you want to make 10k a week..." I skip and say VP would be proud
@dmzfx15 жыл бұрын
VeePee....you are dope man....everything about the podcast, youtube, blog etc is on point...how you even deliver these things is killing and chilling. Been following you like a few weeks now and surprisinly, i am seeing changes already in my demo algorithm. i am not overwhelmed yet cos i know there is still more grounds to cover. (searched for some, eliminated some but wanna recall them now to back test after reading this before finally discarding the failures) God bless you man real good. Glad i stumbled on you.
@franciscojrlarita4414 жыл бұрын
Sir VP, what currency pair you usually use during backtesting?Is there a currency pair that could test your Algorithm effectively?
@debbiedoesanything19766 жыл бұрын
Hey! Congrats on 1.2k subscribers! They are jumping in the right train finally
@markdonaldo81296 жыл бұрын
yea congrats, now you have to try to post more videos as frequently as possible. The best of Forex trade is yet to come...
@markdonaldo81296 жыл бұрын
by the way guys, i'm looking out for a professional trader that would help me trade in my account and i can pay for his services... i heard their are offers like that.
@VilkasDe6 жыл бұрын
by the time I am watching it, it's 21k !
@Aiva33aiva6 жыл бұрын
@@VilkasDe 24k:D
@aadiskywalker5 жыл бұрын
112 k now
@juke525 жыл бұрын
You mention in the backtesting blog to disregard a trade when a signal changes before it can be a win or loss. Do you move on to the signal that interrupted it or to the next one that has a clear win or loss result? Also, if that happens in a live session with a signal saying go long and a few days later go short without reaching the SL or TP, do you find it best to disregard that new opposing signal and just let it get stopped out or pull out immediately (given other indicators agree)?
@NoNonsenseForex5 жыл бұрын
If you're in the trade after the opposite signal has come up, you've been in the trade too long. You can use this signal as your exit indicator if you like, or try to find something that gets you out sooner.
@juke525 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex Thanks, makes sense. I've been waiting for the trade to reach the ATR or ATR*1.5, so when a new signal appears before those points, it still comes out as either a loss or win of a few pips (some come close so it's more than a few) so I'm deciding whether to count those towards the win/loss record or throw them out. Just want to make sure my data is as accurate as possible.
@heathfrost57085 жыл бұрын
Thanks so much VP the algo is working so far still got a lot of testing to do but each trade has worked in the last few weeks except when I got in the way
@m0mauri3 жыл бұрын
hey VP thanks for all the info; i've downloaded like 250 confirmation indicators and backtested 70 ish, so far i have found 6 really good ones (80% winrate and above) do you think i should move on to other stuff and keep backtesting on the low or should i finish all of em first. Love from morocco
@javierbenitez31635 жыл бұрын
Hi VP, I rarely comment on videos. I am almost done with your regular series and catching up on the podcasts. I've been doing forex for about 2 years on and off with on and off success and I had yet to stumble across anything that ever seemed to make sense until I came to you. Thank you so much!
@ianm80316 жыл бұрын
Thanks VP for the videos and podcast. Found you a few days ago on KZbin and subscribe straightaway. Just can't get enough of your valuable information. Appreciate your no nonsense approach.
@dangeloaugustok5 жыл бұрын
That final message got me.
@God__Is__True__4__Us3 жыл бұрын
Simple and Direct Information! I look forward to becoming a Great Trader! Thanks To You VP! 💪 Happy New Years! ✅
@Bryanx17145 жыл бұрын
Hey VP, I know this video is old but i'm in the backtesting phase for my C1 and the "chalk it up as nothing" is a bit confusing. I've consumed all the materials for confirmation and backtesting, asked in the discord and even then there's a split between "every time C1 flips you exit and count it as a win or loss depending on where you exit as that's what you would do in the forward tests ( since C1 flip is an exit condition )" and "I just chalk the signal flips as nothing" and so if the discord is split between it it leaves some confusion. The only thing here is that if you chalk up as nothing then the fast indicators will dominate the slower ones and conversely if you count each flip as a win/loss then the slower indicators dominate the faster ones. Like hell with this one trend indicator on the EURUSD for example, it had 82% winrate over 45 trades ( and this was with a decently high period ) with a little over half chalked up as nothing which doesn't seem really realistic you know? I don't know if i'm overthinking this but i want to do this right to build a good foundation for myself when i put in those long nights in so if you could clarify a bit more on that then it would be appreciated ( like how low of a period is too low or whatever ).
@NoNonsenseForex5 жыл бұрын
All you're trying to do at this point is get a raw W/L rate, so you can just cancel out the times it gives you neither one.
@Bryanx17145 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex I gotcha, thanks for answering this VP i really appreciate it.
@akbarkazmi70715 жыл бұрын
Only 2 words for this video and all the other videos. THANK YOU !!!!!
@redcentredoggies6 жыл бұрын
Another important piece. 👍 Thanks VP.
@lucapuzzoli83636 жыл бұрын
thanks VP Great video as usual !
@marcoantoniorodriguez62164 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for this podcast! and the blog.
@willspeakman24613 жыл бұрын
This is going to be my 3rd attempt at back testing. 2 months lost but i had to start somewhere. I think i really get most of the aspects and pitfalls of back testing now. I even tested different periods of ATR and divisions of the ATR figure. The only thing concerning me is the RRR. I prefer 1:1 just because it makes it easy to test. Il probably test the RRR after i find some good indicators to use. The problem i have now is having to many spread sheets.
@NoNonsenseForex3 жыл бұрын
Same problem I had.
@Triadfx4 жыл бұрын
Hey! I am loving the content and just starting to dig deep, I am completely new! I think this content if saving me from crazy mistakes!!! Just starting some backtesting and super excited. I am just wondering where on the candle is the best place to measure from? On the close or open of the candle? Just wanted to double before I get it wrong!!
@Triadfx4 жыл бұрын
I got it, close of all! I seem to be getting a lot of chalk ups? Almost as many as wins? and Losses are low. Probably doing something wrong?
@paolomiguelparjan3994 жыл бұрын
Very nice video vp. What is considered a decent win-rate for a singular indicator? i just want a reference figure in my head as I go through the back testing.
@humaidabdullah16344 жыл бұрын
I love the NNFX way and I'm figuring out pieces for my algorithm how long should I backtest the indicators in H1 time frame? For daily tf Ive been backtesting the indicators for atleast 2 years.
@majimusic6 жыл бұрын
I found you on KZbin. I appreciate your content...uncommon by the many others online. Keep the content coming. Thank you.
@AndrewSchiewe6 жыл бұрын
I came across a video when I was looking for info on the Macd. I still use it but i have tweaked the settings after much testing and it works better for me I am also trying another line cross indicator and seeing if it works better...
@mohamednevim11244 жыл бұрын
Great revelations as usual. Thank you !
@JustKrush274 жыл бұрын
I came across your material searching for Forex and would like to join the blog . TY
@bramankersmit5 жыл бұрын
meanwhile were at 33k subs! look the like/dislike rate.. says enough! Big up VP we're really thankfull! :)
@jeroendrost49034 жыл бұрын
I came back to this video because I reckoned this would be the best place to ask this question. So I’ve recently bought this backtesting EA to save time with backtesting indicators. It can even backtest entire algo’s. Members of the Discord will know which EA I’m talking about. I’ts awesome and saves a lot of time compared to manuel backtesting. However: the optimization option is a curse upon itself, because it promotes over-optimizing. Many “simple” indicators have only 1 input, like the Aroon U&D. But a more advanced indicator like the BH-Ergodic or ASH have over 6-7 inputs. You can make up to 2-3M different combinations just with these settings alone! Not to mention the combinations combined with baselines, volume-indicators, Money Management, ATR settings, ect. Surely I’m over complicating things when I try to backtest every possible combination. So how to avoid? How to determine in advance which of the input settings you want to test and when do you decide the ROI of the indicator is worthy enough to add C2,V, and B indicators? At some point I have to accept the fact that there might have been a better combination of settings and just go with what I have, right? VP might not answer this question anymore, but thats fine: I value everyones input just as much! Tnx
@nehemaialord26534 жыл бұрын
How does vp backtest or how do you guys backtest? Do you guys use a software or do you guys just scroll back in charts and manually do it from there?
@PluggStarz4 жыл бұрын
Yo VP I have found out a fast way to do this - I use ATR Bands with 1.5 multiplier and length 1 point. So I dont need to calculate it all myself.
@PluggStarz4 жыл бұрын
Also I add Atr Bands with 1.0 Multiplier to see if the TP was first.
@Fideliiiis4 жыл бұрын
Thank you for this! Been backtesting for about two weeks. Still not sure when to focus on ROI or Win Rate, though. Haha. I'll get there.
@NoNonsenseForex4 жыл бұрын
Win rate for single indicators.
@zhelunkhor41474 жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot !!!!So motivation !!!!!!!
@nikospasparakis5 жыл бұрын
Hi Patrick! How and where can one download good quality data for backtesting? There is a limit of data provided in brokers. Why do they do this? Is data so important?
@davithar2 жыл бұрын
Mathematically if TP is 1 ATR, SL is 1.5 ATR and the process is absolutely random the average W/(W+L) should be 60%. What percentage of W/(W+L) you consider as good enough?
@mafi83605 жыл бұрын
Im finding the MT4 platform pretty good overall for charting, but not that great for entering trades - the stop loss is a pain, you need to calculate the money management manually (although some indicators out there overlay it on the screen but clutter things up) and its really easy to accidentally move your trade with the wrong mouse click. From the videos, I noticed VP uses Oanda - which helps with trade management. What do people think?
@MeganTDavenport5 жыл бұрын
A lot of people use Oanda.... try it!
@User-88gf883 жыл бұрын
thanks VP for the great education. I am a new NNFX adopter here. question about finding out which happens first: hitting 1xATR or 1.5xATR on the opposite direction. If I stay on daily chart and the high/low prices engulf 1xATR and -1.5XATR, how do I know which one was hit first? or I should use 1-minute chart to help me to find out more granular price? thanks!
@NoNonsenseForex3 жыл бұрын
Set your take profit levels in advance so this won't happen.
@evelenema75602 жыл бұрын
Just joined NNFX recently and I have the same question. Still don’t get it after reading VP’s reply. Can someone kindly elaborate how to set the take profit levels in advance when doing backtesting?
@mattdonlan77452 жыл бұрын
@@evelenema7560 drop to a lower timeframe and see which one hit first.
@mavisboateng30466 жыл бұрын
Good work done, VP.
@J3lackLennart4 жыл бұрын
With how many Currency pairs you do this? Only with the Major pairs and only after i hit +60% on these i test it on the other pairs to see if it's consitent? Also do you have only 1 System for Forex? Or do you have eg. for the US pairs another Confirmation Indiacator as for the rest?
@michaeldenzelloo98565 жыл бұрын
VP when I am tweaking settings, do I put higher or lower than the default settings? Thanks VP :)
@ulav4 жыл бұрын
I found out about you when I purchased a cheap course with a playlist of "recommended youtube videos". your ichimoku indicator video was there and I've been stuck to nnfx ever since but I have a random question. In your dirty dozen vid you mentioned that we shouldnt use Japanese candlesticks. Should we not use ichimoku either then cause it's old aswell? also I get a little lost, in some videos you use oandas charts. should we use oanda when making specific trades?
@jet24604 жыл бұрын
You should use mt4 for both trading and indicators, as it is where you can use the most indicators. More than likely VP is just using oanda charts to show an example.
@duartealexandre87125 жыл бұрын
Actually, this is an awesome podcast. Thank you! ❤️
@Kamen_Sens3 жыл бұрын
on which currency pair we should backtest? all?
@rongsvh5 жыл бұрын
Don't forget to test all the indicators for repainting !
@sufiansaid28546 жыл бұрын
Any tip to avoid "curve fitting" during backtesting?
@NoNonsenseForex6 жыл бұрын
Dunno what that is
@josherney98206 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex I believe he's referring to overfitting your model (I'm assuming you know what that means, but for others...) where your model fits the past input data so well that the model is not flexible enough to deal with new data in the desired way.
@OneCreator875 жыл бұрын
You cannot avoid fitting, it is either implicir (you fit it), the computer fits it (optimization), or your knowledge does (tacit fitting), always do "Roboust" optimization when letting the computer (use out of sample testing), also avoid "grid" optimization, do not more than 20 iterations for any parameter (that is 5% of the range), study what happens "around" the parameter iterations, pick the "median" parameters (study a paper on "parameter permutation").
@OneCreator875 жыл бұрын
The important thing is to find out if the in-sample results are just "luck" by comparing them to the out-sample (you can use linear regression of returns), you have to find something with actual predictive value (the edge), anything else is rubbish and will get horizontal or downwards reggressions in the out-sample.
@lightyagami57764 жыл бұрын
If it has over 90 percent winrate, its probably a repainter. Check it on 1 minute chart.
@charlielee90124 жыл бұрын
MT4/5 has a backtestor function to automate back testing rather than manual back testing. Can you pls help provide some insights on how we can utilise this function with your strategy? I.e. ATR, confirmation and exit indicators? Thanks in advance!
@NoNonsenseForex4 жыл бұрын
Stay tuned!
@Itayabla3 жыл бұрын
Hi VP and thanks for your great content. Question 1: when we are backtesting, do we a) test only the indicator itself on the chart with the ATr or b) test with volume and baseline on the chart as well? Question 2: how are we testing exit and volume indicators, is it once we've found our confirmation indicator with it on the chart? Thanks
@elibobick36146 жыл бұрын
What is a good sample size for back testing?
@rady09104 жыл бұрын
I have a question, I hope you will notice me. I read this on your blog "You will find times where your indicator gave you a signal to go the other way before price had the chance to become a win or a loss. Just chalk this up as nothing, and move on." So, i don't need to record the false(whipsaw/choppy) signals that my indicator gave me? even though its obvious a loss, as long as it didn't hit the 2x ATR, I dont need to record it? I just want to clarify. pls help me. Thankyou.
@NoNonsenseForex4 жыл бұрын
You will ignore those would-be losses along with some of the would-be wins, yes.
@rady09104 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex thankyou VP.. last question about the ROI.. What’s a good yearly of return that I should be aiming for 1 currency pair ??
@gabrielbilodeau81295 жыл бұрын
Hey guys! Im a bit confused with the link VP provided www.mql5.com/en/code/mt5/indicators . There is something like 115 pages of indicator but looking at them is chinese to me. I look at them and since most of them have a poor description, i dont know what its use case for. Entry? Volume? Exit? Who know. Anybody know how i could fix this problem with some tips? Thanks
@AVIATOR1145 жыл бұрын
Found you on youtube...The Best!
@brianradziewicz17635 жыл бұрын
Stuggling to identify when exactly I would have entered a trade (what is my starting point in measuring the pips vs ATR and SL). For example, if you look at the go short signal on 6/12/19 Identify Trend ind where the blue turned to red at about 1.1314 and the ATR was about ~59, that candle's high for the day was about 30 pips above the go short signal. So in a case like this I'm trying to figure out when exactly I would have entered this trade? Would it have been before this candle reached it's high for that day? Do I take the trade at the next candle?
@matthoffman94635 жыл бұрын
Brian as you back test more and more this will continue to happen, you get places on the charts where you are just not sure. For me I see two options 1. Put entry/start point in the middle of the candle or 2. Put entry/start point at the begging of the next candle. To try and keep your back testing as accurate as possible pic just one of the two options and use it each time you are not sure. When I am not sure I always start in the middle of the candle for all my back testing. Best of luck/skill to you.
@marktuhill93425 жыл бұрын
When backtesting a CI, where do you take the entry price from? is it the open or close of that candle or the open of the next days candle?
@matthoffman94635 жыл бұрын
Mark as you back test more and more this will continue to happen, you get places on the charts where you are just not sure. For me I see two options 1. Put entry/start point in the middle of the candle or 2. Put entry/start point at the begging of the next candle. To try and keep your back testing as accurate as possible pic just one of the two options and use it each time you are not sure. When I am not sure I always start in the middle of the candle for all my back testing. Best of luck/skill to you.
@gearb0x5 жыл бұрын
If I understand correctly, VP trades in the last 15 minutes of the close of the candle, so I would take the entry point as the close of the candle you get the signal
@nicklas81124 жыл бұрын
In the example VP said that 120 pips is counted as a lost, is that the fixed value for backtesting, or do I use 1,5*ATR since the ATR in the example was 80? Does anyone know this :D?
@andrewfoo51005 жыл бұрын
I've watched all the relevant material... and gotten this far however my strategy tester is stuck at about 77% and doesn't complete... I now wanted to get onto the heavy work of back testing my indicators but can't seem to fix this problem... is learning code the only way to fix this problem. Do I have to extended my learning curb to comprehend code to fix this please help...
@akbarkazmi70715 жыл бұрын
What is a good win ratio that we must aim for while back testing ? Plz reply.
@camronmcelroy31035 жыл бұрын
The ATRs value at the end of the NY session is the TP you go for
@michaeldavid32565 жыл бұрын
Hello non sense forex may God bless you abundantly, your channel in a you tube have gave all i could ever wanted, i never had success before in these business, i took some close family money in the first place and try to trade it on my own but i lost it all. i was in stress and i have been ruined reputation of trust in my family, but this channel of your's have revival me again. I have seen tremendous returns in my demo. I do know, that within no time i will have the best edge than ever. thanks for be the special angel to defeated gifted maniac like me.
@poloparachutes99833 жыл бұрын
VP, I’ve watched ATR about 3 times and DONT hbdeestand one thing. For example EUR/GBP the atr is only 0.00434, this times 100 is only 0.43 so 0.43 pips. Is this correct? If so how would you make a trade on that basis? Set a stop loss of half a pip? That’s automatically going to be a losing trade. Hoping you could clarify this for me, thanks, if that’s the case I’d almost avoid any pair that has a Low atr if it doesn’t allow my trade to breathe at least one pip the other way
@NoNonsenseForex3 жыл бұрын
You're not reading the ATR correctly.
@poloparachutes99833 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex got it. Been up all night, 0.0073 is 73 pips. 0.73 is 73 pips And 1.113 is 111 pips. Thanks for the reply VP. Currently waking thru indicators and back testing
@nathanbutcher7720 Жыл бұрын
The problem is the accurate indicators don't take many trades, and the indicators that take lots of trades have win/loss ratios not much better than 50% (not much better than flipping a coin). Assuming here that less trades + better accuracy = more money?
@arobert60536 жыл бұрын
Thank you!
@senilix135 жыл бұрын
Hi i have been testing alot of indicators with an EA following your methos with 1:1.5 atr TP and SL. It seem that most indicators even som from your dirty dozen get around 60% win rate. So what is how much is a good procent, over 70%? I have even tried to do some crazy stuff reading indicator values and they still get around 60%
@franciscojunior68416 жыл бұрын
I have a question. If I pay that feee, will you share your strategy??? thanks
@NoNonsenseForex6 жыл бұрын
Not for sale
@franciscojunior68416 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex I know that, that was clear already...I agree with you. Are those 7 indicators, some how hidden on your paid/VIP approaches???
@NoNonsenseForex6 жыл бұрын
No, because there is no paid/VIP anything here.
@gorank.54046 жыл бұрын
Holy grail is not for sale :)
@KickGiggles4 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much
@MasterVixMk6 жыл бұрын
VP u r the best
@Subliminal-b5s5 жыл бұрын
if the signal that im currently testing with the atr is interrupted by another signal that just as appeared, in your blog you said that we just need to chalk up this as nothing and move on but which signal i have to chalk as nothing, the actual signal or ignore the new one and continue with the first one?
@Subliminal-b5s5 жыл бұрын
i already know, dont worry about it ...
@rezafarshbaf7464 жыл бұрын
@@Subliminal-b5s I have the same question. Could you shed some light?
@maon37705 жыл бұрын
15 min on the dot nice man!
@bhekimanana12664 жыл бұрын
Hey VPzers, I need to understand something, I have started with my back testing and as I understand it, I need to start from the most recent signal and go back but if you think about it, some of the signals you get would actually be exit signals from that indicator as crossing back from an initial cross would mean get out. Price does not move back wards, so would it not make more sense for me to start testing from 2 years ago? then move forward as price would? I don't know if I'm making any sense... PLEASE HELP??!!!!!
@NoNonsenseForex4 жыл бұрын
You start from x years back and go forward, even though we call it backtesting.
@bhekimanana12664 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex Okay VP no Bullshit man!! It this really you responding??!! Cuz you have to understand I'm star Struck Right Now!!!!!!
@Andy-df5fj3 жыл бұрын
I'm currently trying to backtest different indicators for the normal stock market. I'm finding many successful combinations using Webull's chart data, but feel I'm deceiving myself because at any point in time I go back, the indicator line slopes and positions are all based on past events, including the time ahead of the point I'm trying to test at. How do I trick the indicators to forget the moments ahead of that timeframe so they act like they would when used in real time?
@NoNonsenseForex3 жыл бұрын
You shouldn't have to. Indis are bases to data which occurred to the left of them, not the right.
@Andy-df5fj3 жыл бұрын
@@NoNonsenseForex Thanks! I see now that is true except for the last segment of the trend lines which wiggle up down with the current price as it varies.
@mandlamakhanya32754 жыл бұрын
Please help me out I tryed Metatrader 4 app, markets but I sow few free indicators, so please assist me with little steps where do I find those 1000's free indicators I would like to try them, which sites do I visits?
@VilkasDe6 жыл бұрын
@NoNonsenseForex6 жыл бұрын
So underrated I think
@VilkasDe6 жыл бұрын
Those who take things seriously I bet they read it. I have few questions but right now your site says you’re down for a few day as you migrate to different server or something. Can I ask when I’ll be able to give you my queen?
@gibranrizvi17424 жыл бұрын
Here's what I struggle with VP. Which components of your algorithm can you test independently? Based on this video, you backtest confirmation indicators with ATR. I believe ATR should be used in testing every other component. But what about for example, testing baseline with volume indicator and ATR. What if your baseline is solid but the volume indicator brings it down, or vice versa, baseline not great but volume indicator solid. How would you know without further intricate cross-testing? Is there an optimal grouping for testing? I'm probably over-complicating it but at the same time, this could help avoid over-testing which could end up skewing the results. Maybe your algorithm is written in such a way that the list is in order of most independent component to least or from general to specific. Huge fan of your podcasts by the way.
@NoNonsenseForex4 жыл бұрын
Every time you add a new piece you need to see how it fares against what you already have built. Then test the whole thing.