‘Officially a joke’: Pollsters get US election ‘dramatically wrong’ following Trump’s big win

[@JBits-m9p]

Democrat polling was propaganda

[@MrGriff305]

Why would they hurt their turnout that way 🤔

[@RMF49]

@@MrGriff305Because they don’t think it hurts their turnout. Enthusiasm. The left leaning polls are routinely off by 2-3 points in favor of their candidate.

[@MrGriff305]

@@RMF49 It is MUCH better for turnout if your candidate is slightly behind

[@RMF49]

@@MrGriff305 Even if that is the case, that doesn’t mean they actually think like that. They had Iowa off by 16 points. No properly conducted poll can be off by that much. The left-leaning polls are systematically off by at least 3 points in favor of their candidate. Every poll must make assumptions about who will actually vote and their assumptions are slanted by their bias. Look at what Rasmussen vs NYTSienna predicted in the swing states for Trump: PA +3 v 0 GA +3 v -1 AZ +2 v -3 NC +3 v -2 WI +3 v -2 MI -1 v 0 NV +2 v -3 Rasmussen was pretty much dead on while NYTSienna was on average 4.33 points towards Kamala compared to Rasmussen.

[@TheWaynos73]

Did they use bots and click farms? Where did 20 million voters go? More lies i am guessing.

[@dontbeasheeple5883]

I know a bloke who put $2K on a Trump victory a few months ago. He collected $32K yesterday. Legend 👌

[@snuggles03]

some guy won $42 million on a bet…good on him

[@RepublicKiller]

Good for him

[@converdis449]

Let’s be upfront here …. Polls are the ultimate propaganda

[@seeekerman1342]

1000% Agreed!

[@christiansoldier77]

The lying pills pointed to a Trump victory because they kept saying they were tied which meant Kamala was behind

[@youuuuuuuuuuutube]

Not ultimate but close. Ultimate = MSM.

[@ssuwandi3240]

Poor Allan Lichtman. His key is about propaganda 😅

[@lindac8237]

I’m just so happy the US election turned out so well. Congratulations America from New Zealand. 👍🎈

[@dovetonsturdee7033]

Please, please! Have Prince William's bestest chum Dame Jacinda Ardern taken back to NZ.

[@seeekerman1342]

As Is All True Patriots! Thank You Dear Lady;-)

[@The_Sage_of_Rage]

Thank you

[@pfpchad2747]

Thanks!

[@secretsauceskateboarding4337]

❤

[@brianjackson2404]

Average, smart working people are sick of being lied to every time they turn around.

[@TheWaynos73]

Smart people get their media from independent sources these days. I would rather listen to Megyn Kelly or Joe Rogan these days rather than the mainstream.

[@darrenryan2926]

I've been waiting four years for this

[@seeekerman1342]

Feels Really Good Huh? 9yrs I Have Supported Trump! I Fight For Him Everyday! 🙂

[@RenaOrSomething1]

@@seeekerman1342 You fight for a felon?

[@seeekerman1342]

@@RenaOrSomething1 Not Convicted, No Judges Has Sentenced Him! LJ Will be Deemed a Traitor as she is! ASK THE NYFD! Troll.

[@seeekerman1342]

@@RenaOrSomething1 YT Removed My Reply! Are You In League With Them???

[@seeekerman1342]

@@RenaOrSomething1 I Fight Against Lies and Election Interference from Things Like You! Troll!

[@murraygosling2375]

Rasmussen Polls were spot on.

[@K_Isla]

What a relief to Turn the Page from these people!

[@wifterofabifter]

AUS NZ CA UK - TIME TO WAKE UP

[@LJC-sr7jl]

Here in Canada too.

[@deanhays6115]

I reckon there is a large amount of Australian voters who would come together to see the back of this government

[@matton36]

Id pay money to see the back of both major partys.

[@joetesta5730]

Italy, Poland, The Netherlands, Argentina, New Zealand, Ireland have all replaced leftist governments ( some that were long standing) with conservative governments in the past couple of years. Canada looks like following that trend also and The Australia labor government continues to be on the nose and is now behind in the polls. It's seems evident the trend away from progressive, radical left government.

[@hamstring6792]

That's why I only followed the Rasmussen polls and the bookies. They always get it right.

[@RMF49]

Rasmussen had for Trump PA +3 GA +3 WI +3 MI -1 AZ +2 NC +5

[@gregmassey4529]

You are so correct.

[@NenneSez]

The shift to red has been mind-blowing across the board, the only thing not yet counted is the house, can't wait to see how that goes.

[@GP-fw8hn]

Like most Americans I have never met a pollster😂

[@AdrianStevens-m2x]

They're supposedly all over 70 years old. Current running joke. Also true, baby boomers 1945-1965 have ruined the planet.

[@christiansoldier77]

Thomas Sowell

[@crag8360]

Give them Pennsylvania, still wouldn't have helped

[@PhantomFilmAustralia]

Denial, gaslighting, and wishful thinking doesn't change poll numbers.

[@RogueElementMkII]

Dumb pollsters couldn't read the room? Come on. They're either dumb, or a bunch of liars.

[@Barney_Rubble247]

Both?

[@RogueElementMkII]

​@@Barney_Rubble247It's certainly possible. They are neither smart or honest that's for sure.

[@patrickliau7172]

Well there's the wokes, Demonrats & the brainless Greens. What do you expect?

[@joetesta5730]

They are a bunch of liars. They all followed each other because noone wanted to stick their head out incase they got it wrong. So they all sat on the fence and played safe. This is why you don't trust polls.

[@MargaretWankowicz]

They do it so people give up and either do not vote or vote reluctantly for the opposition!!! I am gloating today!

[@jordanboland8558]

You’re fired mainstream

[@chairmandan1794]

Not too different to what occurs in Australia, the media doesn't want to "bite the hand that feeds them".

[@arlypaulmigueldamuy5221]

There are many pollsters who were 100% accurate.

[@CaneCorsoZ]

It was all manufactured momentum played out by the propaganda main stream media

[@Mishtiman]

yes fake media.

[@snuggles03]

Time for MALA - Make Australia Lucky Again.

[@largol33t1]

To those who don't get the line, a nickname for Australia is "The lucky country."

[@burnlootmurder5348]

Who said comedy is dead. Pollsters are the new comedians.

[@bender4751]

Can the Australian parties go back to the working class?

[@JuliaGulia310]

I've noticed when for years when the Democrats claimed to represent the working class, they saw themselves as virtuous and noble. Now that more so-called working class people are leaving the Democrats, these same people are dumb or "uneducated."

[@maryproust5330]

The Democrats appear to represent Hollywood now.

[@LJC-sr7jl]

They represent the globalist elites of which Hollywood stars and music stars are a part of.

[@guitarsrcool4922]

I think a lot of people voting for Trump were very quiet about it, making it hard for pollsters to predict. Polling must be very difficult to begin with. But just like people were afraid to wear Maga hats in public, they didn't talk about who they were voting for.

[@coachbrandon01]

People get fired for voting for the wrong side. germany 1930

[@LJC-sr7jl]

There were too many instances of people attacking others wearing MAGA apparel and other identifying items.

[@jimmyriddle5246]

Which is why it's bullshit and a complete waste of time. Even if it's correct, what does it achieve?

[@lorimeyers3839]

The Peoples Pundit and Rasmussen were the two best pollsters, and the U.S. media discredited them months ago as “Mega MAGA white supremacists”. 😂😂😂😂

[@aclifford652]

Good questions and answers.

[@theepicshifter1251]

Really? The polls told me 312!

[@loot6]

Which poll was that?

[@Runninlejit]

Now lets Give Labor the Boot!

[@PaulHogwood]

Albo needs to go, he’s pathetic

[@beautifulcatastrophe]

Let's Go Trump 🎉🎉

[@Rhoude7695]

Anyone could have told the Democrats and Harris they were going to lose big. I stood in long line the first day of early voting and those enthusiastic, smiling faces were not there to vote for Kamala.

[@xenatron9056]

Polls are garbage. Always have been and always will just be a social engineering tool. Just like clinical results...... garbage.

[@coachbrandon01]

The results are determined by who paid for them.

[@BTR-xw4of]

As I have argued endlessly - the only two polls I ever look to in America are Atlas + Rasmussen. Once again both these polling companies nailed the final result. Polling in the US is an industry and a racket - most pollsters are owned by corporate America - hence their agenda in manipulating polling - with a view to change the media narrative. Both Atlas and Rasmussen are 100% independent.

[@coachbrandon01]

In order to find the results of a poll, you must, first, find out who paid for the poll. Only then can you determine an outcome. So, Atlas and Rasmussen paid to get accurate results. The others paid for a different poll.

[@KevinSmith-gu7fb]

As usual Atlas Intel and Rassmussen got it right.

Why would someone give a truthful answer?

[@Bellakelpie]

They polled according to their own ideology.

[@RicVee1]

The only accurate pollster was Atlas Intel and Rassmussen..Emerson was pretty good too. But the rest were all supression polling

[@garyjohnstone6422]

On Point/Rasmussens got it right. He was never gonna lose. Too much class for a floozy

[@drachenmarke]

Rasmussen was 2.5 points off.

[@erich84502b]

But we live in a media world where people where listen to, watch or read what they want so thats why old media outlets are folding

[@gordonschiff3621]

It was extremely tight in rust belt.

[@ipendot]

they were schooled. their candidate knew nothing

[@Patrick-w1j]

Poling is part of being elected strategy.. People tend to give up or give in depending on how the candidate is performing on polls

[@potatosalad9519]

all blue states should be excluded from all Trumps economic success

[@kevikiru]

That's not the way elections work. You cannot serve only people who voted for you. Not to mention most states have close to 50% republicans even those that Trump lost in, so even if you could do what you are suggesting, you would hurt a large section of your own voters.

[@coachbrandon01]

@@kevikiru with the exception of the democrats.

[@corrion1]

wish we had a leader with a back bone here in Australia one that could actually get elected

[@prasadsatish971]

Australia needs strong and genuine leadership and the whole of Australians to make Australia great doing away with politics of the day

[@WinstonNewYork]

Poor poor Allan Lictman. So much for 'professors' who ignore common sense, social psych and the eye test. And who are far, dare l, from the wisdom of the Holy Spirit.

[@billscannell93]

His personal dislike of Trump altered his perception.

[@WinstonNewYork]

@billscannell93 Or numbers do not human psychology in the tens of millions make.

[@KevinSmith-gu7fb]

@@billscannell93 Exactly. His 13 keys may work, but you can't let your bias let you be dishonest in your assessments of them if you want to be right. We all knew that he was blowing smoke by acting like the economy was good, that DT wasn't charismatic, and that JB's administration is free of scandal.

[@tobyargall8202]

Polling doesn't work well when the vote count machins aren't in sinc

[@deltasyn7434]

JFC, that woman has a hell of a jaw.

[@seeekerman1342]

TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP! USA! MAGA! AUSTRALIA SKY NEWS!!!

[@tayedaramola6764]

I would like to see the face of Allan leicht😂😂😂

[@leebanks-gorton4512]

I followed Rasmussen polling and they were spot on. Obviously my algorithm pointed me to them. Next time I’ll put a bet on the outcome.

[@KevinSmith-gu7fb]

I was so sure of the outcome that I DID try to bet on it and signed up for a Robinhood account to do just that on Tuesday, but when the time came, it wouldn't let me buy the option. I guess I hadn't been an established investor long enough or something. I was disappointed, but I would have only been able to wager $1000, anyway, as that is the max amount you can move into your Robinhood account from your bank account each day, so it wasn't any huge monetary loss at least.

[@whitedeion598]

The polling was close this time in the swing states. All within a point or two. All in favor of trump.

[@shine4davids958]

❤❤❤❤❤

[@robinhard111]

Rasmussen were pretty good, indeed very good. If the polls showed the two level-pegging, it was surely probable that Trump would win by a good measure!

[@birgittabirgersdatter8082]

Sky news should have watched better polls. There were a lot of quality polls that had been predicting a solid Trump win for quite a while.

[@KP_Oz]

Surely those gorgeous eye brows are AI generated? So distracting. Now I need to replay this whole thing again.

[@sachah2400]

Trump making the Democrats cry for the last day made our early Christmas........baw haw

[@ClintRichard]

Some of the polling was spot on you lot didn't know where to look

[@joo7454]

The main purpose of the Democrat poll was to influnce and manupulate voters' opinions.

[@Ged-q1k]

Trump will run out of puff before 2028 .. and guess who will be steering the ship of state then?

[@Gavin-qh7li]

Cry Beach Cry Cry harder Beach

[@scribble3478]

As long as kamelhoe ain't there.😎

[@benjyjohn8479]

Get lost demoRAT. Go home and cry to mama

[@shanemonro6807]

President Mr Trump will still have a lot of fight in him in 2028 giving support to the next Republican Leader

[@hectorponce9881]

Yes he will run out. Vance will semi take over until 2028 the country can stomach it then the Democrats will regain the White house

[@justinrichardson2611]

This guy on YT got it spot on from months out: www.youtube.com/@Election_Time

[@PhilipVenter-zf2uv]

Not this one. www.youtube.com/@OnPointPoliticsOfficial

[@Lucas-vj8rr]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/j5WlpXeEbZqLbc0 so funny lol

[@DanBanks-c1g]

The pollsters kept the polls close, so Republicans wouldn't become complacent...and get out and vote. It worked!

[@KevinSmith-gu7fb]

Nah, they were trying to help the other side, especially since they wanted to give donors hope so they would keep sending money. That's OK, though, because we probably benefited inadvertantly.

[@helengormlie966]

does hockey have any credibility?? Congrats Mr Trump

[@deanpd3402]

These days, it's probably got more credibility than cricket.

[@jerryshort2861]

Dims were up 20 points in Iowa LOLOLOLOL

[@Lt.AldoRaine100]

President Trump has retired more democrats than social security

[@Bellakelpie]

They polled according to their own ideology.