OpenAI's New LEAKED Coding Tool: The End Of Software Engineers

  Рет қаралды 91,088

Wes Roth

Wes Roth

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 1 400
@helzapoppin9810
@helzapoppin9810 2 күн бұрын
2015: "learn to code." 2025: "Oops just kidding"
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
Got me too.
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 2 күн бұрын
Yeah learn to code to make this then reap the rewards.
@jean-baptistebonaparte2200
@jean-baptistebonaparte2200 2 күн бұрын
The thing is that we still need lol 😅, in order to use those tools effectively and be able to drive them in the direction we want it’s better to know how to code
@WhiteArtsMagic
@WhiteArtsMagic Күн бұрын
those who got in in 2015 will have a career in coding for many many years to come. Those trying to get into it now will have one hell of a time trying to find a job
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Күн бұрын
@ Sure if they're in the top 10% of senior devs. If not, they're out pal.
@JohnnyMayHymn
@JohnnyMayHymn 2 күн бұрын
I'm a developer and I already treat o1 like a co-worker / sounding board, we're basically work besties
@FunNFury
@FunNFury 2 күн бұрын
Mine is Sonnet
@jdhayes99
@jdhayes99 2 күн бұрын
I'm sonnet too. and yes, "besties" is a great way to put it. I strongly suspect that there's a correlation between getting good results and "besties".
@gearscodeandfire
@gearscodeandfire 2 күн бұрын
I'm an amateur programmer, but o-1 was a trusted confident for me running dockerized models in WSL2.
@muzehack
@muzehack 2 күн бұрын
And like a coworker it will stab you in the back and take your job when you get complacent.
@fiarusgaming3420
@fiarusgaming3420 2 күн бұрын
You've unfortunately been training your downfall, and paying to do so :(
@harshsason3725
@harshsason3725 2 күн бұрын
Maybe programming was about all the friends we made along the way
@vladislavdonchev1271
@vladislavdonchev1271 2 күн бұрын
No, programming was about teaching us that we should automate security research first and then AI, but nooooooo let's Skynet this bish instead
@mxguy2438
@mxguy2438 2 күн бұрын
programmers have friends?
@milanpospisil8024
@milanpospisil8024 2 күн бұрын
We will have to transform to AI managers / salesmen. There should be aim to leverage IT knowledge in order to push IT software to new areas. Simply to create new jobs...
@vivarantx
@vivarantx 2 күн бұрын
developers are bad getting jokes 😂
@WillyJunior
@WillyJunior 2 күн бұрын
@@milanpospisil8024 coders becoming salesmen, that's funny
@ricnyc2759
@ricnyc2759 2 күн бұрын
CEO's plan: fire everybody and use prompts to create things. The catch: who's going to buy their stuff when nobody else has a job?
@pvanukoff
@pvanukoff 2 күн бұрын
That is the dilemma. That's why UBI and similar things are being proposed.
@sapito169
@sapito169 2 күн бұрын
stop beliving this bs people have to study basic economics 1 we are not even near to full autonomi we are not even near to a reduction of 10 % 2 the prices self regulte and go to equilibrium this is always true it was true and will contimue to be true 3 software is very similar to a luxury asset people always want more if software is esear to build the user espectation will increase 4 software demand will increase as population increase 5 if a job is no longer require people will change to other jobs people always say this increadible stupid idea
@the42nd
@the42nd 2 күн бұрын
We need to fire the CEOs first...
@ZM-dm3jg
@ZM-dm3jg 2 күн бұрын
Revolution, eat the rich
@olivetree9920
@olivetree9920 2 күн бұрын
They can live on their hoarded wealth like smaug, some of them for literally thousands of years
@holdthetruthhostage
@holdthetruthhostage 2 күн бұрын
Another major problem this creates is that so you're only going to be hiring senior programmers, so no mid-level, no new ones, right? So aren't you going to basically shrink the amount of coders available to be employed?
@RavenAmetr
@RavenAmetr 2 күн бұрын
Good point. I guess, they will say that seniors will eventually be replaced too. The question is, what if this won't happen?
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 2 күн бұрын
That's the idea. By the time senior developers retire, there won't be a need for them anymore.
@TravisBerthelot
@TravisBerthelot 2 күн бұрын
I think I am a good example of this kind of situation. I have had a BSCS for 24 years, but I only have 10 years of professional experience working for other companies. So either you code the majority of your time on your own, are lucky enough to get a good employer that keeps up with inflation, or you just don't stay in the industry. Keep in mind the average software developer has less than 5 years experience and tends to fail upward into management.
@chrisanderson7820
@chrisanderson7820 2 күн бұрын
This isn't just a coding problem, say for example eventually AI will replace all paralegals and junior lawyers so now there's no new legal staff coming through the pipeline gaining experience that will then allow them to become senior staff. Same with every field, it's a fundamental paradox with AI.
@Targetmouse
@Targetmouse 2 күн бұрын
By the time that becomes a problem, AI will be able to take over the senior programmers' jobs too.
@aysbg
@aysbg 2 күн бұрын
If you are an actual Software Engineer who has worked in an actual development process you will know how f-ed up the whole "agile" is but old school waterfall is even worse. Try doing backlog grooming, product requirements gathering with all stakeholders involved and then give half baked tickets to AI to generate code. All LLMs are only pattern recognition which is heavily dependent on the good training sets. There is no chance in hell that any of them can actually replace a single proper Software Engineer who is going to actual ask questions and push back on idiotic proposal that are common amongst the Product people, especially when they suck and dont push back to stakeholders/sales/marketing idiots. Your jobs are safe, they will evolve but Software Engineer isn't going away any time soon.
@vivarantx
@vivarantx 2 күн бұрын
coping 😅
@matka5130
@matka5130 2 күн бұрын
exactly
@matka5130
@matka5130 2 күн бұрын
@vivarantx bro you are lost
@Dinofx_jr
@Dinofx_jr 2 күн бұрын
@@matka5130coping 😂. Im a swe and its very much a huge cope. EVERYTHING humans do is a pattern. Everything in the universe is a pattern. Even chaos has patterns. You are not safe and no one is
@matka5130
@matka5130 2 күн бұрын
@ Pythagoras thought that everything is a triangle :) Nothing wrong about that...But I don't see why I should be 'not safe'.
@cadaver_on_autopilot
@cadaver_on_autopilot 2 күн бұрын
There's an old soviet joke "My god if you build fridges that last forever who's gonna be employed to make fridges?" "The goal is so people don't have to build fridges comrade"
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
You may be shocked to learn this was the original vision of capitalism going back Adam Smith: that work was just temporary until everything could be automated.
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
Come on - we know that the Soviets never made jokes.
@JA-gz6cj
@JA-gz6cj 2 күн бұрын
@@michaelnurse9089 dark humour is one of the only good things that came from soviet union
@tortysoft
@tortysoft 2 күн бұрын
@@JohnSmith762A11B Today, it's the Green's commitment.
@victorandreverdipereira7440
@victorandreverdipereira7440 19 сағат бұрын
@@JohnSmith762A11B This is the actual goal. Create abundance on Earth so human capital can be used on things that actually matter, such as making human life interplanetary, or increasing human longevity. I welcome the time when all menial work is automated and basic necessities are basically free.
@DaveRetchless
@DaveRetchless 2 күн бұрын
Robots to handle labor are not far behind. The ones pretending there will be millions more AI jobs are either very dumb or want to be labeled the one that ended humanity.
@julien8097
@julien8097 2 күн бұрын
they say there will be AI jobs only to keep people calm, to avoid panic, people are legit blind to the hellish society shift we are getting into
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
There will be millions of AI jobs. But with 5 billion needing employment there should be a job for every 1000th person.
@14supersonic
@14supersonic Күн бұрын
The future moving away from the current job structure we have now. The system is designed to keep you in your place anyway. You really don't want the current paradigm to exist if you want to do different things with your life later. It was only sustainable for maybe a dozen generations, but eventually, it's gonna destabilize, and AI is the destabilizing factor. Your value is gonna be about what you know and can do either individually or as a communal collective. The corporate oligarchy is gonna try to keep you within the walled garden, but it requires determination, and strong will to really break from the mold.
@Steve-xh3by
@Steve-xh3by 2 күн бұрын
Anyone who thinks this leads to anything other than a dystopian nightmare hasn't been paying attention to the human race.
@minimal3734
@minimal3734 2 күн бұрын
You're right about history and human traits. Fortunately, humans are in the process of handing over control to real intelligence.
@JA-gz6cj
@JA-gz6cj 2 күн бұрын
yeah, all these people thinking it will usher in some kind of utopia where nobody has to work and we will all get along with russia and china are delusional
@77Playmaker
@77Playmaker 2 күн бұрын
What do you mean by that?
@JA-gz6cj
@JA-gz6cj 2 күн бұрын
@@77Playmaker he means we don't live in a world where everyone wants the best for humanity, they just pretend they do. in the hands of dictators this can be just a powerful tool to control the population for example
@JA-gz6cj
@JA-gz6cj 2 күн бұрын
@@77Playmaker it's like right now when my totally harmless comments get deleted by AI twice, not a good thing
@amarug
@amarug 2 күн бұрын
Companies are doing everything to get rid of workers to pump the net profit. But they seem to forget what they learned in like primary school economics: Net Profit = Revenue - Costs If no one has money to buy their shit anymore, they can squash the costs as much as they want, if revenue is zero, the Net profit wont look too juicy. Why is all of this so cool and so dumb at the same time? So exciting and so frightening at the same time?
@erikanderson7223
@erikanderson7223 2 күн бұрын
Yup, same issue people thinking UBI will happen are missing... No ubi if there's not enough income earners or consumer purchases to tax.
@JA-gz6cj
@JA-gz6cj 2 күн бұрын
good point
@minimal3734
@minimal3734 2 күн бұрын
When everything is automated the price of goods will tend to zero. AI and robots pay for themselves.
@themanregan
@themanregan 2 күн бұрын
@@erikanderson7223 Yeah, UBI is basically dole money. Successive governments here in the UK have demonised anyone on benefits, wrongly or rightly - either way, it doesn't bode well for a UBI future. I guess the best case scenario is we'll have armies of robot slaves to build, manage and distribute everything for us and money will be redundant. But I'll believe that when I see it. Lots of people are going to foreclose on their mortgages or fail to pay their rents in the interim, starting with coders, apparently - the very people who helped these companies build these AIs in the first place. Beautifully twisted business logic.
@andrasbiro3007
@andrasbiro3007 2 күн бұрын
That's where UBI comes in. Something like that will be necessary. Or basic goods and services could be free, provided by AI and robots.
@1three7
@1three7 2 күн бұрын
One reason this terrifies me is how quickly all the execs are looking at it as cheap labor. The models are crazy impressive for sure. They can build from scratch fast and do good work. They can even read legacy code and follow it reasonably well. But you couldn't convince me to trust them to handle legacy code changes reliably on their own for a long time. Even if you keep 20 percent of your devs and expect them to review everything you're asking the AI to do they won't be able to keep up. Business execs will think they know what needs to change. They do that today. But then when the devs get into the code they uncover all the stuff that they never considered and needed to. These models don't have that theory of mind to guess that the business side might need to know about this chunk of code they never mentioned. What will happen is they analyze it a while. Feel pressured by the rapid pace and competition. Then rush into using it. We WILL see major major issues with big companies in coming years. And by major, think a trillion dollars vanish into thin air and no records to rectify the mistake.
@johnjay6370
@johnjay6370 2 күн бұрын
@@1three7 you are thinking small. Old code, newer code, it does not matter. We are in the middle of a AI explosion and I think AGI is already a reality in labs and ASI is only a year or so away. Now to answer your question. If I was a CEO and had to make changes to whatever old code base, I would just have my AI Agent rewrite it from scratch and it will only take at most a few hours or let's say overnight or a week or 2. Heck even if it takes a month, it is still cheaper than a senior engineer or team. If we truly cracked the intelligent problem the most important asset in the world will be in large supply. That might be a reality and that might happen in the next few years.
@1three7
@1three7 2 күн бұрын
@johnjay6370 I think there's a lot of unproven hype from a lot of actors with motivation to lie. I'm not convinced at all about ASI or even AGI happening soon. We have language mimicry which is extremely powerful for sure but its full of hallucinations. We have no clue if there's a wall or for far language models can take us. I'm not saying it won't happen and I think most people don't take the possibility seriously enough but it's far from a given. As for rebuilding the entire stack from scratch I don't think you realize how big and interconnected enterprise level systems are now. If a bank tried to do that, the best models we know about publicly don't have a big enough context to do it all at once. They would have to work on sections and replace it piece by piece. That's where the issues come in. I'm not saying it's crazy to think ASI will happen eventually or even that it might happen soon. I think you're right to consider it. But there's no real evidence we're there yet just marketing hype to sell chat gpt subscriptions
@johnjay6370
@johnjay6370 2 күн бұрын
@1three7 nice post. I am a engineer who writes games and firmware for small embedded systems. I can tell you that I use AI for work and it helps a lot with small tiring things right now. For small programs like I do, it is a great helper and I really hope it stays that way and does not improve that much, but I think it will. The reality is that in 2 years we have seen huge improvements and it seems to be accelerating. Big projects like you do, it might be a decades away, but small things like I do, it is almost there is some cases.
@dimeboy5509
@dimeboy5509 2 күн бұрын
​@@johnjay6370I agree however there will still be many bad implemations, lost code bases and screwups that used to be bad but now will be fatal with the market expectations.
@1three7
@1three7 2 күн бұрын
@johnjay6370 true, and that is a good point. A random person trying to build a prototype on their own will probably be able to use this with no issues. On that front though I hear a lot of people saying people who know nothing about code now don't need to hire a SWE and that part I'm skeptical about. I guess it depends on the scope and complexity of what they are making but without someone who can review the AIs code it's going to be very easy to let bugs and issues slip past the testing. Still, a small shop could definitely hire one guy where they needed 5-10 before this stuff. That's definitely true.
@gabrielpettersson2069
@gabrielpettersson2069 2 күн бұрын
Nothing is free. This is not for the betterment of humanity, just the shareholders.
@minimal3734
@minimal3734 2 күн бұрын
The world of shareholders is fragile. They do not exist in isolation.
@gabrielpettersson2069
@gabrielpettersson2069 2 күн бұрын
@minimal3734 I mean that this is made for profit, not some utopia. Everything we do now they will find ways to take from us and make us pay for the products they create. I no longer have any doubts that this will create a crash, with the allready wealthy hiding in their enclaves - they will either watch mass hunger and poverty and help, or the riots will come for them.
@thirien59
@thirien59 2 күн бұрын
shareholders get their money from customers, if customers dont need them, they wont survive either. Im actually so tired of hyperbolic socialist discourse
@Alistair
@Alistair 2 күн бұрын
humanity is generally the shareholders, via 401ks/pensions
@asdfomfglol
@asdfomfglol 23 сағат бұрын
@@thirien59 Right, just like in the 1800s when ppl were poor af and couldn't buy anything but bread? I see rich ppl back then were doing badly! There are endless ramifications in which the rich will just rule over you and you will be their slave, period.
@Supersaiyanbuddha
@Supersaiyanbuddha 2 күн бұрын
From Covid to this. It will just never end.
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
It will end when they put you in the goo tank - like in the Matrix.
@Larry_Dean
@Larry_Dean 2 күн бұрын
How people should approach this: “How do we protect workers? Should we create a UBI? Should we tax the corporations replacing workers with AI in direct measure to the jobs they offset?” How people talk about it in reality: “I don’t think it can replace me. I’ll be fine. Everything is fine.” (Zuckerberg and Altman in the background getting ready to run a train on these oblivious dipshits.)
@imthinkingthoughts
@imthinkingthoughts 2 күн бұрын
Americans are too scared of ‘socialism’ and tie their self-worth to their employment. UBI will only happen once it’s undeniably bad
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
@@imthinkingthoughtsThis. Americans are in for hell. Here in Europe the welfare state, like it or not, will step in early.
@imthinkingthoughts
@imthinkingthoughts 2 күн бұрын
@ yep. Good luck to em
@Supersaiyanbuddha
@Supersaiyanbuddha 2 күн бұрын
I wonder what happens to the third world. Probably mass extinction.
@amoledzeppelin
@amoledzeppelin 2 күн бұрын
It, technically, can't replace you. Idiotic employers can.
@HappiestGnome
@HappiestGnome 2 күн бұрын
So, um, how are we supposed to afford groceries? Yesterday, I asked DeepSeek to create a handful of WAI-ARIA APG web components, basically pretty finicky accessible versions of widgets -- sortable table, accordion, disclosure, modal window. It nailed them all, first try. I also fed it some JavaScript challenges from a course. Nailed them all, first try. Jesus. And this isn't even the PhD-level collaborating agents coming down the pipe. There's no class of jobs out there waiting to scoop us up. Any job, at this point, is a good job.
@vonti5507
@vonti5507 2 күн бұрын
Could you elaborate further how difficult that is to do as a single engineer?
@johnjay6370
@johnjay6370 2 күн бұрын
@@vonti5507 time is money, I bet it took only a few minutes a good engineer might be a few hours of work.
@HappiestGnome
@HappiestGnome 2 күн бұрын
@ The challenge with web accessibility analysis/design isn’t the difficulty of any one task, it’s learning the mountain of minutia. How to transfer that knowledge to the dev who’s already dealing with a boatload of crap. Checklists can’t be too long or the devs won’t use them! The sheer volume of trivia has kept my boat afloat for decades, until now.
@goldbrick2563
@goldbrick2563 2 күн бұрын
What is DeepSeek?
@HappiestGnome
@HappiestGnome 2 күн бұрын
@ It's a Chinese chatbot released a few days ago, free, almost or on par with the US$200/month chatGPT version (o1 pro or whatever). You can easily install it locally, I did with the 8GB version, but that was as frustrating as chatGPT 4. Then I tried the online version, which clearly has way more power, and it was a freaky experience. Give it a whirl if you want to be disturbed.
@layer4down
@layer4down 2 күн бұрын
Can’t wait to team up with millions and millions of other unemployed tech folks with nothing but time on their hands. #flossItAll
@Farreach
@Farreach 2 күн бұрын
well its time to fight for system that will protect the people who will be losing their jobs as AI starts taking jobs
@goldbrick2563
@goldbrick2563 2 күн бұрын
The government could hire you to maintain roads and bridges
@vincentcaudo-engelmann9057
@vincentcaudo-engelmann9057 2 күн бұрын
Let’s start a parallel economy.
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 2 күн бұрын
Even joining the Army won't be an option thanks to killer Robo-dogs. ☹
@erkinalp
@erkinalp 2 күн бұрын
@@goldbrick2563 wouldn't that be mass conscription?
@Mephmt
@Mephmt 2 күн бұрын
I'm 43. I've been a professional software dev since 2008. I've been with the same small company for 11 years. When I think about it, I can't wait to be unemployed. I've always hated this system. However, it's a double edged sword. Do I continue to slave away from some jerk to furnish his yacht, hoping to avoid the AI tsunami for a little bit longer? Or do I jump ship and strike out on my own and try to ride this wave? I've never been more stressed.
@jdwspe
@jdwspe 2 күн бұрын
Imagine the end of human innovation. No mathematicians, no physicists, no architects, and no electrical engineers. No content creators, no authors no philosophers, no writers. Imaging anything that a human can do can be done better, faster and cheaper by ASI. There will be no purpose in the average human life. What will your goals and dreams be? So consume? To find the next great thrill? To become forgotten? If the best minds can be eclipsed by ASI, the average man or woman will have little or nothing to strive for.
@Virakotxa
@Virakotxa 2 күн бұрын
There's already an Asian kid somewhere that is better than me at everything... There are most likely other life forms, or even our own future evolution that makes us look like ants. I'm not wasting my tears for limitations.
@mxguy2438
@mxguy2438 2 күн бұрын
I suggest study you some Buddhism
@HCforLife1
@HCforLife1 2 күн бұрын
Our society is already broken. There are countless studies saying that men mental health is heavily related on their usefulness. The Self delition in men will skyrocket. UBI is an utopia bait for the poorest. Only already wealthy and attractive people will thrive in this dystopian age we are going to enter.
@mo_mo_meaw
@mo_mo_meaw 2 күн бұрын
ya now we can dream of restoring our childhoods
@ShaneMcGrath.
@ShaneMcGrath. 2 күн бұрын
Maybe you need a health scare, Then you will appreciate just waking up the next day and being alive, Go out and touch grass perhaps?
@AddyGoesPlaces
@AddyGoesPlaces Күн бұрын
The good news is that it'll be a lot easier to replace CEOs with AI.
@ariesmarsexpress
@ariesmarsexpress Күн бұрын
One would think the company referring to itself as “OpenAI” would in fact be the ones in favor of open source, but sadly, they are more concerned with the WSJ. It is a near 100% certainty that an actual Open AI company will open source models comparable to whatever OpenAI does. AI companies and developers are not immune to the same process that is going to affect everyone else. They just think they are. Also, your logic of more powerful tools only being available to enterprises, slowing things down, doesn't hold water. That will in fact speed it up. Being responsible for one of those enterprises, we look for things that have specifically been designed for data safety, which is a key element in every AI plan targeting enterprises. That would speed up adoption massively. Mom-and-pop shops do not need to be an actual enterprise to make use of enterprise level tools because five seconds after the enterprises adopt it, AWS and Azure will have it available through their platforms. From an education point of view, there are no fields which will not be impacted the exact same way that Data Science is being impacted. Here is the thing, you still need to understand what the AI is saying. If you have no education in the field, how will you have a conversation with an AI that does?
@MThomasB
@MThomasB 2 күн бұрын
We are going to NEED universal basic income unless enough new jobs emerge.
@realagi2118
@realagi2118 2 күн бұрын
AGI money will be Bitcoin. That's the real decentralized UBI as itll to many millions per Bitcoin
@minimal2224
@minimal2224 2 күн бұрын
Onlyfans will be the only true job 😂
@ChromeKong
@ChromeKong 2 күн бұрын
@@realagi2118How does that solve unemployment?
@StabbyMcStabStab
@StabbyMcStabStab 2 күн бұрын
Ethereum. It will want to be able to program and deploy its own cloudless services. It's also in the benefit of the users, as the AI can be gatekept by humans via a DAO. I predicted this in 2016.
@Awesomeguy37
@Awesomeguy37 2 күн бұрын
UBI from government can't work only DUBI using crypto can work and make sense anything else will be totalitarian and unsustainable
@GlobeZoomers
@GlobeZoomers 2 күн бұрын
You are taking 100% benefit of this trend, every single time your video has a title like "coding is dead" or "end of sw engineers", this is very mean to force people to watch your video and in 99% of your videos you have nothing important or new, you just discuss the industry
@brootalbap
@brootalbap 2 күн бұрын
he is the cheapest dirtiest clickbaiter i ever saw for sure.
@lyndonsimpson1056
@lyndonsimpson1056 2 күн бұрын
First time seeing clickbait ?
@rickhallett4223
@rickhallett4223 2 күн бұрын
Jesus it isn’t that bad. You have the play the algorithm. Dirtiest you’ve ever seen? Go spend a day watching the endless grifters and gutterslush of inauthenticity on youtube/AI/agents now, and compare that to what our man here is offering; careful balanced reporting on the industry. He works hard to summarise all this and teach it. Go do better, if you can.
@matka5130
@matka5130 2 күн бұрын
its bs clickbait for brainless ppl...sadly there are billions :)
@rezaasadi890
@rezaasadi890 2 күн бұрын
and youtube is full of these creators who just want to get views and get their profit out of this hype. I really don't get the fear mongering either. if coders are gonna be obsolete then all office works will be obsolete. even sam altman twitted lower your expectation from AGI x100.
@kewk
@kewk 2 күн бұрын
In a world of abundance, how does property acquisition work?
@imthinkingthoughts
@imthinkingthoughts 2 күн бұрын
That is the question…
@rrrrrr-d4g
@rrrrrr-d4g 2 күн бұрын
Social Credit
@gonzalezm244
@gonzalezm244 2 күн бұрын
Property will accumulate even faster among few rich and the rest of us will be living under their rule
@bestmoviesclips7869
@bestmoviesclips7869 2 күн бұрын
You will own nothing and will be happy
@CamAlert2
@CamAlert2 2 күн бұрын
Since having power leads to deciding the rules of ownership it will fall under the AI overlords
@christopherprovenzano3654
@christopherprovenzano3654 2 күн бұрын
So o1 preview was the millionth best competitive programmer, o1 full was the 1000th, o3 was the 175th, should we expect that o4 should be if not number one in the world at least near the top 10?
@ALFTHADRADDAD
@ALFTHADRADDAD 2 күн бұрын
Also, as confirmed in a wsj interview , o4 is already in training
@devbites77
@devbites77 2 күн бұрын
No doubt it will be in the top 10, and soon after far ahead at no.1
@sylversoul88
@sylversoul88 2 күн бұрын
Well from 1000th to 175th that's only 5.7x better. So following the same rate of improvement, o4 should be 31st
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
Having been a software engineer for decades, and having come to despise all the arrogant dweebs and grubby Indian chancers in the profession, I am thoroughly enjoying this apocalypse of the coders. Enjoy your pink slips! Buh-bye! 😂
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
Competitive programming is well suited to LLMs. Creating agent programmers that do the 'whole job' of a programmer will be very difficult and very expensive.
@MikeG-mp2sj
@MikeG-mp2sj 2 күн бұрын
Combined with robotics advances, every single job is a target for replacement. When will we see the first business with no human employees?
@ggoncalves80
@ggoncalves80 Күн бұрын
Hype and more hype... "listen to me, i'm doing something that will change everything, give me more money"...
@devbites77
@devbites77 2 күн бұрын
I've built somewhat large complex projects in a short time. I'm a developer. It speeds up my work 8~10 x. It does take some effort, but I can add new features, and debug quite easily. it's incredible. I can adapt any parts in short time.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
It is a lot of fun, though it makes coding so easy it is rapidly stripping all value from any human contribution. Soon even we senior devs will just get in the way.
@livelifreely
@livelifreely 2 күн бұрын
new features for what? debug what? this is all a sinking ship and a brief 'good music'.
@WillyJunior
@WillyJunior 2 күн бұрын
@@livelifreely good music?
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
There was the lady doing $1m+ dev contracts in SF. I worked out they were basically at 30x. You better pick up your game.
@eXit-ubermensch
@eXit-ubermensch 2 күн бұрын
Soon you will be gone too
@AldoEliacim
@AldoEliacim 2 күн бұрын
I'm finishing my master's in CS focused on AI, and I have no fking idea what awaits us the next 5 years, let alone 10. This is changing the world (my world) really quick but i'm confident in what you've said, it's still a good place to be
@kenfryer2090
@kenfryer2090 2 күн бұрын
great idea is not like everyone else had thought of this. how many AI positions you think there will be and what sort of job will that be? prompt engineer? AI could do it's own prompting.
@vivarantx
@vivarantx 2 күн бұрын
keep your money, before you finish that degree you'll be replaced
@Wes-Tyler
@Wes-Tyler 2 күн бұрын
Horrible time to be in school. Especially for an industry that will be dead soon (at least for humans)
@10blader
@10blader Күн бұрын
@@Wes-Tyler If this happens all the other companies will be dead as well. Day to night the fired SWEs will build their own companies doing the same things, knowing all the flaws and doing it cheaper than the companies they were fired for. It will be a major economic break.
@IyamwhoIyam
@IyamwhoIyam Күн бұрын
Anyone with that level of understanding of AI can find a way ... hopefully you spent time on other basics like software architecture, etc. Companies will need people to implement AI capabilities ... that won't be average IT guy.
@janweber1699
@janweber1699 2 күн бұрын
2025 :ai apocalypse or gta6 first?
@geoffsmith82
@geoffsmith82 2 күн бұрын
I'm starting to think at least initially, it is going to make the cost of software development to go down. This will result in more software being written - for example software that is specific for a particular company instead of having to have more generic software. So I guess it might depend on how much cheaper it costs to develop software and how many software ideas people have.
@tplummer217
@tplummer217 2 күн бұрын
Well I’ve surfed the wave for decades. Guess ill get my cardboard sign ready. Thanks.
@vivarantx
@vivarantx 2 күн бұрын
this is your last gig
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
This one will be a bigger wave. Like the one in Interstellar.
@LogicSpeaks
@LogicSpeaks 2 күн бұрын
What’s funny is this consistent response from people who make 125k claiming that there is no way AI will replace them (also others) - we consistently see the opposite suggestion. Here is a simple example: I’ve been a cnc operator for a long time - and have also built my own machines and have needed help with various electrical wirings and other types of complex troubleshooting. At that point I’ve eliminated an electrician and an engineer in most situations because of GPT o1. It’s incredible and I can’t help but use it but I think we’re fucked if we don’t get a hold of our govt to create a safety net that actually benefits the bottom 99%. This is probably why we need open source AI?
@Teh-Gaz
@Teh-Gaz 2 күн бұрын
Ah, we skipped the Oxygen model and went to Ozone.
@wordzmyth
@wordzmyth 2 күн бұрын
For the burning 20s
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
Ozone is toxic if inhaled. Sam Altman is toxic even if not inhaled. I get it now.
@Chiderasays
@Chiderasays 2 күн бұрын
Skipped O2 for O3, i got u bro 😊
@mikhas_ryzomny
@mikhas_ryzomny Күн бұрын
atomic oxygen is as strong an oxidizer as ozone.
@mmaslav6176
@mmaslav6176 2 күн бұрын
Well its time to start farming full time.
@vincentcaudo-engelmann9057
@vincentcaudo-engelmann9057 2 күн бұрын
Precisely
@erkinalp
@erkinalp 2 күн бұрын
farming cooperatives, hmm
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
Organic communes with hot hippie chicks is the new startup culture.
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 2 күн бұрын
Two good, fertile acres will produce more than enough to feed a family of 4. Corn, veggies, legumes, chickens, a pig or two. ..
@SandcastleDreams
@SandcastleDreams 2 күн бұрын
​@@dirremoireNot for long! They keep spraying us! Last year, they sprayed the Gulf Coast! Unalived all of our bees and wasps. I didn't see one until about June! They sprayed pastures and gardens alike! Even our wildflowers that I feed my rabbit bit the dust! So did 2 of my rabbits! 😢 We tried replanting in AUG. Most of it didn't even come up. Hurricane Helene helped was out whatever it was. I'm hoping it won't happen again this year. Everybody in the area was affected.
@brianjohnson5176
@brianjohnson5176 2 күн бұрын
So the tax payer which is middle to lower class - have to pay for more utilities more water resources for a giant tech company so they can charge everyone more money for daily life ?
@SandcastleDreams
@SandcastleDreams 2 күн бұрын
Now you are catching on!
@Corza
@Corza 2 күн бұрын
But it still cant write simple Blender scripts without making up attributes that dont exist - after 4 years of "progress and advancements"
@ajkulac9895
@ajkulac9895 2 күн бұрын
Still makes stuff up in code too. Sometimes small stuff easy to fix sometimes it call functions that maybe should exist but don't. Rarely does the code it wrote actually work.
@mikhas_ryzomny
@mikhas_ryzomny Күн бұрын
AI just wasn't taught how to make blender scripts, so don't think it won't be taught. and so far it looks like a criminal generalization.
@BradleyKieser
@BradleyKieser 2 күн бұрын
In Europe everyone knows O2. It's a giant mobile phone network here.
@ianr4222
@ianr4222 2 күн бұрын
Sam Altman did say why they were not calling it o2 when they said the next model was o3.
@arunks8162
@arunks8162 2 күн бұрын
😆
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
That is O2 - the LLM would have been o2. OpenAI are lying, as they are wont to do.
@VinaX2R
@VinaX2R Күн бұрын
I don’t know man. Yesterday after couple of hours spent o1 was not able to provide my with working VBA macro to make a pdf documents out of the simple spreadsheet.
@SandraWantsCoke
@SandraWantsCoke Күн бұрын
Your job is safe. LLMs suck, they are word probability predictors. They hallucinate and forget context all the time, nearly impossible to work with.
@richardanderson3476
@richardanderson3476 2 күн бұрын
two of my close friends are coders and when i ask them about AI they tell me they have nothing to worry about because a human always has to enter the prompt (don’t know what that entails). Them saying this always felt like cope to me. Am I right? Can someone explain?
@Ni7ram
@Ni7ram Күн бұрын
yeah they are coping. im a coder myself, see many friends of me doing it too
@MrBenMhidi
@MrBenMhidi Күн бұрын
The problem is when you reduce the number of developers on a project.....few job offers or nothing in the market will be the same
@richardanderson3476
@richardanderson3476 17 сағат бұрын
@@MrBenMhidi that’s what i sorta figured. once I realised how fast AI was moving I started to view a coding as a bubble. I was going to try it myself but i opted to stay in occupations that were specifically “human to human” even though they are pay much less. I’ve kinda bet the farm that a lot of “historically secure jobs” that i see people around me flowing into as seriously threatened by AI. Mostly government office jobs and coding.
@zvndmvn
@zvndmvn 2 күн бұрын
My concern is that if everyone can trivially enterprise their ideas, then all sectors will inevitably become saturated. If everybody's doing it, then there's no room to get ahead.
@Luxflux777
@Luxflux777 Күн бұрын
Correct. KZbin is evidence. Full of slop from people who should never have made "content". The signal to noise is nuts. Curators will be a full time job.
@alvaroluffy1
@alvaroluffy1 2 күн бұрын
if o4 gets announced in march, at that pace, there is a great probability that we'll end this year with o6 already announced
@Wanderer2035
@Wanderer2035 2 күн бұрын
Ridiculous lol once we start to get a new model every week, it’ll be like Rick N’Morty where the sky turns purple and everything that’s up goes down and everything that’s down goes up. But if it means an end to this insane rat race then I’m all for a hard take off.
@Dinofx_jr
@Dinofx_jr 2 күн бұрын
@@Wanderer2035hard take off is what this is… theres nothing slow about any of this AI craze. Gpt3.5 was the start of the hard takeoff
@Kriil
@Kriil 2 күн бұрын
Coders/developers/programmers != software engineers. The only reason these larger companies like Google and Meta can fire their low-mid level software engineers is because they hired coders and not software engineers. This is evident in their interview process. The AI tools available now really suck at software engineering. I mean REALLY suck. They can code, but are awful at putting together large scale systems that can run modern distributed software.
@levgelfer
@levgelfer 2 күн бұрын
100%, but the question is, how far are we from an AI tool that is good in software engineering? Gpt 5? Gpt 10? AGI?
@thirien59
@thirien59 2 күн бұрын
Can you make even more copium ?
@10blader
@10blader Күн бұрын
@@levgelfer model collapse will draw the line
@levgelfer
@levgelfer Күн бұрын
@@10blader elaborate plz
2 күн бұрын
There is one area I think an experienced software engineer still is hard to replace: how to interpret and manage vague requirements. I have used AI a lot to produce code. But shit input gives shit output.
@thirien59
@thirien59 2 күн бұрын
prefix your prompts with : "the following requirements might be vague, if that's the case, fill in the vague requirements with your own opinionated take"
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
Wes really nails it at the end of this video. What does the world look like when we all have a veritable army of elite engineers and researchers at our beck and call right from our laptops and smartphones? Today the problem sort of remains the completion of ASI but soon it will become the turning of ASI on the worst problems facing us all: poverty, energy scarcity, pollution, disease, homelessness, hunger, environmental degradation, conflict, corruption, loneliness, mental illness, violent crime, even aging and death. People are throwing around that term “Golden Age” right now. Maybe, just maybe, we are face to face with something that would look today a lot like utopia. Dare to dream it.
@GoodBaleadaMusic
@GoodBaleadaMusic 2 күн бұрын
Think about osmosis.
@Supersaiyanbuddha
@Supersaiyanbuddha 2 күн бұрын
That is not how reality works.
@kenfryer2090
@kenfryer2090 2 күн бұрын
or AI not likely causes dystopia. what profit is in it for the billionaires to solve the worldsc problems and where world the money to take on these sections come from. in the 19th century they made great discoveries in psychology that could have been used to make humans lives better.. what did they use it for? how to make more effective manipulative advertisement! how you think they'll really use AI?
@Arkay.
@Arkay. 2 күн бұрын
More likely is the ASI will realise the simplest way to do all that is to remove the basic cause of it all. Humanity. Why would a superintelligence have any empathy for a race who often looks at itself with disgust.
@Astrogator1
@Astrogator1 2 күн бұрын
your naivety is just hilarious, oh sweet summer child. Some of the other people here have already effectively blown that idea out of the water, so all I will add is we are dealing with some of the worst narcists and sociopaths in charge. so do you really think they have any interest in a utopia for the rest of humanity.
@johnshortridge
@johnshortridge 2 күн бұрын
I retired the software industry when Chat-GPT 4 came out and 40 years of bad I.T. owners/Managers constantly making life unstable. I say, Join the trades and be a plumber.. I'll collect SSA and look for ways to unplug my computers.
@vincentcaudo-engelmann9057
@vincentcaudo-engelmann9057 2 күн бұрын
Glad you got out right in the nick of time. Enjoy it and please do unplug. 42y/o dev here.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
Yeah it was a rotten career spent fighting off incompetent cut-rate foreign “talent” incessantly offering to do my job for a tenth the price. Quite funny watching them facing open source AI that will undercut them for pennies a day. Karma!
@FuZZbaLLbee
@FuZZbaLLbee 2 күн бұрын
Before long there will be more plumbers than people who have played Mario. There is not enough demand to physical work to offset the amount of job loss because of AI
@cheramiejoubert
@cheramiejoubert 2 күн бұрын
If jobs are eliminated state governments will collapse because there will not be enough payroll and income taxes to support it and if we all begin forclosing on our homes property taxes will also plummet. Federally the IRS cannot collected taxes if workers are not filing. The congressional budget office released a study in December that had unanimous bipartisan support. They are considering what to do. Not that they have any clue just saying it is on their radar.
@johnjay6370
@johnjay6370 2 күн бұрын
@cheramiejoubert yes if it happens to fast the government must step in
@cheramiejoubert
@cheramiejoubert 2 күн бұрын
​@@johnjay6370 i just edited my comment but you can search the congressional budget committee's report and there was a house AI committee that also did a report. As a graphic designer I've been screwed so badly by the AI advancements. My entire network is all completely out of work. I cannot sound the alarm fast enough.
@cheramiejoubert
@cheramiejoubert 2 күн бұрын
​@@johnjay6370i just don't think in the next 2 years that congress will support a system that funds UBI. And then when it's collapsing funding it will be too late.
@erkinalp
@erkinalp 2 күн бұрын
they'd just change it to a prefilled declaration model
@cheramiejoubert
@cheramiejoubert 2 күн бұрын
@@erkinalp If AI and robotics remove most employment in the next decade who makes up that cash flow into local, state and federal governments? There is so much complication in our tax system but it relies on worker compensation.
@Michael-pw6qk
@Michael-pw6qk 2 күн бұрын
All the intelligence in the world won't help a stakeholder articulate their requirements. Wait till they have to maintain the bugbear they make with it. lmao.
@Perobueno-v8i
@Perobueno-v8i 2 күн бұрын
and when some rich dude gets all the bots doing all the money, dumb people will still say. "He deserves it, he worked hard."
@MaximumWeeb2
@MaximumWeeb2 2 күн бұрын
This means ALL OPEN SOURCE SOFTWARE is about to become JOHN CARMACK level quality in a matter of MONTHS for FREE
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
@@MaximumWeeb2 Here for it! 💪
@TheNefastor
@TheNefastor 2 күн бұрын
Keep dreaming. Bookmark this and let's check back in 3 months for your cope.
@alexvisan7622
@alexvisan7622 2 күн бұрын
Holy shit, the delusion. People are so brainwashed. How about actually trying to use these models on a big codebase and see how they crash and burn?
@angryheretic
@angryheretic 8 сағат бұрын
@@TheNefastor i can't code my way out of a paper bag and even i knew he was being sarcastic
@TheNefastor
@TheNefastor 7 сағат бұрын
@@angryheretic good for you. I can't detect sarcasm from just a few words written by a stranger. I don't know how you're so sure that you can.
@genai-level-up
@genai-level-up 17 сағат бұрын
Wow, the part about OpenAI's coding assistant aiming to replicate the work of an experienced programmer is mind-blowing! It makes you wonder how quickly this tech will evolve and what it means for the future of software development. Exciting and a little scary at the same time.
@Art_official_in_tellin_gists
@Art_official_in_tellin_gists 2 күн бұрын
think of what fun we could have in a world that runs itself...
@superitgel1
@superitgel1 2 күн бұрын
T-800
@user-zl5gi8sv7u
@user-zl5gi8sv7u 2 күн бұрын
Doing what?
@Supersaiyanbuddha
@Supersaiyanbuddha 2 күн бұрын
I don't think you understand humans
@adriancurran3234
@adriancurran3234 2 күн бұрын
This is basically the premise of Iain M Banks ‘Culture’ novels
@madalinradion
@madalinradion 2 күн бұрын
​​@@user-zl5gi8sv7u what do you mean doing what? 😂 Try traveling to the Maldives, scuba diving, sky diving, mountain climbing, go to the beach, try paint ball, ping pong, airsoft, video games, movies, I swear some people are so used having a leash on their necks and their bosses telling them what to do that they can't think for themselves what to do with their lives
@manudehanoi
@manudehanoi 2 күн бұрын
well, considering how often chatGPT invents APIs , I'm not too scared about being replaced
@i486DX66
@i486DX66 2 күн бұрын
We're all terminally ill. We're all slowly dying. Cancer has been around forever. We need something more intelligent than humans to solve those problems if we wish to see them solved sooner rather than later.
@robotic2000k
@robotic2000k 2 күн бұрын
The problem IS humans.
@minimal3734
@minimal3734 2 күн бұрын
Stupidity has reigned for thousands of years. It is high time for intelligence to take the stage.
@SaumBodhi
@SaumBodhi Күн бұрын
When A.I. starts doing all of our thinking, this will no longer be our world.
@Targetmouse
@Targetmouse 6 сағат бұрын
It was never "our" world in the first place. Show me one instance in history when individual destinies were not controlled by a higher power. I would honestly rather an AI make logical decisions than rely on people who can be influenced by their own desires and emotions. This is why we have people like Elon Musk that have so much power while the people who *actually* run his companies say they are able to do it *despite* him and that much of their job is trying to keep him from damaging all of their hard work.
@sandroabate
@sandroabate 2 күн бұрын
What happens when AI gets better at programming than humans and we don’t even understand the code anymore? How long before we lose control? Don’t they see how this ends?
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
You can pour through the code if you like, even use an AI to explain it to you line by line. You will be very bored, but okay, it’s your life to waste how you like.
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 2 күн бұрын
At a certain point, there won't be anything resembling human-readable code anyway.
@ClemenciaFalla
@ClemenciaFalla 2 күн бұрын
They want people to not be able to code anymore...just like people won't be able to formulate their own ideas and write because they totally depend on AI.
@pdw5100
@pdw5100 Күн бұрын
I think the surfing analogy is a really good one. I have used it many times during my career, even when mentoring younger developers. I'm a 66-year-old software engineer and I've caught many waves, from mainframe-based operating systems to midrange/mini systems, from PCs to phone apps, from custom 3rd-generation language development to object-oriented development to configurable packaged solutions. Each wave has been more interesting, more challenging, and more rewarding. I've waited for the advent of AI for many of those years, and I'm excited to see it. Yes, I believe this next series of waves will be challenging but potentially very rewarding. The trick is catching the right wave. Happy surfing!
@Dievolve
@Dievolve 2 күн бұрын
I did spend a lot of time learning to code but saw the writing on the wall pretty clearly. Good to have a degree for getting hired but I agree if you have an idea and the comfort level with going for it, there is a lot of potential with AI tools that clearly can't be ignored for future application of technology. IT might take less time to build your idea out than find someone hiring. Also can R1 be run locally without the data being leaked? Automation seems clearly poised to displace a large portion of the job market so figuring out how society can plan for that will be pretty key to avoid undesirable outcomes IMO.
@mal2ksc
@mal2ksc 2 күн бұрын
Not only can R1 be run locally, it will run on some pretty potato hardware. I had the 70 billion parameter model running on an i5-8500 with 48 GB of RAM and an RTX 3060 with 12 GB of VRAM. This meant a thought delay of a minute or two, followed by many minutes of two tokens per second, _but it was working._ All it needs is about 10x faster hardware (easily available on the consumer market) to be quite tolerable.
@sokolej79sok79
@sokolej79sok79 2 күн бұрын
Degree will be worth nothing
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
"Also can R1 be run locally without the data being leaked?" Yes, you can run it locally but you need a $40 000 server to fit the full size model. It is not like anyone has ever caught AWS stealing their data.
@kylesherman895
@kylesherman895 2 күн бұрын
Im not an SWE but even I use free (read dated) AI to automate complex biz analysis via VBA etc. An SWE with AI could easily replace small ENG support teams today. Crazy
@Analyse_US
@Analyse_US 2 күн бұрын
I think thelarge companies like Salesforce are actually the ones that are most vulnerable to AI. Hey chat GPT create a Salesforce clone for me...find the cheapest cloud host to run it.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
Yes. Their ability to hire a large quantity of human talent was their main advantage in the market.
@stonedoubt
@stonedoubt 2 күн бұрын
Funny how they “leak” shit every time they get threatened.
@johnshortridge
@johnshortridge 2 күн бұрын
Everybody loves the Idea for a Tool .... Nobody wants it to take jobs away or a decent wage.. I got a great IDEA.. Let's make a law that prevents these companies charging for AI code or all the revenue goes to the government to pay for everyone that no longer can work.
@mal2ksc
@mal2ksc 2 күн бұрын
This is effectively going to happen anyhow. Whatever the West puts out (whether OpenAI or someone else), a bunch of people on the payroll of the Chinese Communist Party will clone it within months, and open source it, which will make the subscription model a _much_ harder sell. They won't have the resources to commercialize it, but they aren't looking to be the king. They're looking to destabilize whoever _does_ become king, to make it so they can't turn a profit and investment money dries up. _Only then_ can they ever hope to outspend the West and become the kings of AI. On the hardware side it doesn't matter if we limit them to potatoes, if they can make up the difference by wiring together more potatoes.
@a5cent
@a5cent 2 күн бұрын
Too late. Trump just removed ALL regulations on AI that Biden put in place, which were already rather weak.
@thirien59
@thirien59 2 күн бұрын
they cant charge when chinese chatbots can give it almost for free.
@10blader
@10blader Күн бұрын
Yeah, governments will start to regulate the field for sure. They don't seem like letting it become a social dystopia where people can't be taxed due to AI taking over on jobs and the overall net worth plummets to the ground because no one else has any money to pay for their products.
@a5cent
@a5cent Күн бұрын
@@10blader Ehm... Trump just eliminated ALL regulations on AI. Even the very timid ones Biden put in place. The US government will protect the interests of the AI investors. Not the interests of the people whose jobs are at stake.
@grantsutton8727
@grantsutton8727 2 күн бұрын
When the silicon valley bank collapsed and IT companies were shedding staff it was early signs of the AI job take over. It"s moronic to think companies will not dump staff if AI can do it.
@shardator
@shardator 2 күн бұрын
Software engineering is not coding.
@russcontact
@russcontact 2 күн бұрын
I don’t see how this doesn’t create massive job losses. As in tens of millions in the US alone. There are 4.25m SEs and another 1.5m network support jobs. Legal support, accounting, finance, reporting, data storage and management, etc. If even half of those jobs are eliminated we will absolutely see a massive economic collapse. Think bankruptcy on a scale never seen before. And there’s almost zero chance some sort of UBI gets implemented in time. If anyone can explain how that won’t happen please do.
@thirien59
@thirien59 2 күн бұрын
a lot of, previously well off, laid off people will lose their mind over their evaporating revenue. The only survivors will be the ones who can live with little money. Start dropping all unnecessary expenses.
@10blader
@10blader Күн бұрын
@@thirien59 you did not explain how that won't happen dude
@NotPrimalDesigns
@NotPrimalDesigns 7 сағат бұрын
I agree with you
@unoonu7396
@unoonu7396 2 күн бұрын
This is sad so sad, life has no meaning anymore.....
@EduardsRuzga
@EduardsRuzga 2 күн бұрын
So meaning was what? Having problems to solve?
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
@@EduardsRuzgaSeriously. These poor lost puppies with no one to tell them what to do all day.
@timbonator1
@timbonator1 2 күн бұрын
Family and kids?
@Supersaiyanbuddha
@Supersaiyanbuddha 2 күн бұрын
It's over for most people now. GGs
@Supersaiyanbuddha
@Supersaiyanbuddha 2 күн бұрын
@@timbonator1 "sighs" brother what family is man have no money. No job. What family happens. You dumb?
@Pabz2030
@Pabz2030 2 күн бұрын
Wait till the CEO's find out they too are no longer required when AGI does their job at level 4.
@petermitchell545
@petermitchell545 2 күн бұрын
I think it’s nice that you have a positive outlook, however we don’t have this huge push to support people who don’t work today (we call them lazy and worthless) so when automation makes even more people jobless it’s hard to see those views changing.
@katieandnick4113
@katieandnick4113 2 күн бұрын
I think the people who believe they’ll be taken care of when they don’t have a job are very sheltered and have never experienced being truly on their own. To them, a “just world” is one in which they are safe and taken care of. They could be surrounded by millions of people who don’t have what they need, but as long as they have what they need, the world is just. Humans aren’t naturally so self centered. It’s a byproduct of major, prolonged disconnection trauma.
@tomcraver9659
@tomcraver9659 15 сағат бұрын
Someone needs to create an app store for Ai agents, where they can download tools that have been verified 'safe' for whatever the agent needs to do, without having to re-create the functionality by direct reasoning, or re-writing the code from scratch. This alone would magnify the intelligence of local Ai about 10x.
@TwiztedTetsusaiga
@TwiztedTetsusaiga 2 күн бұрын
There's no incentive for prices to ever go down unless this technology is actually ubiquitous enough to create competition. I wouldn't hold my breath
@adriancurran3234
@adriancurran3234 2 күн бұрын
The Chinese models will be used to sabotage US oligopoly models. Cats out of the bag now - current tech companies are basically built on network effects which AI doesn’t really have to the same degree. The age of tech companies being. Centralised monoliths is coming to an end IMO…
@99rkrouse
@99rkrouse 2 күн бұрын
For sure, the number of software engineers needed in the near future will be going down and those that are left will be asked to do more work and more difficult work.
@odrammurks1497
@odrammurks1497 2 күн бұрын
i had no idea of coding and within two weeks i built my own personal computer assistant with llm integration through lm studio and xtts and whisper speech-to-text, web search and opening any kind of programs on my computer or taking notes, setting timers, switching from one to another monitor, opening music playlists, and whatever with voice commands. and then i have built a perplexity clone with rag. and agents with reasoning chains or just making them talk to each other and all that with the help from o1/mini.
@millenniummastering
@millenniummastering 2 күн бұрын
That's crazy. What did you use to do that? O1, Gemini, Claude etc? How did you start?
@chunksofhistory
@chunksofhistory 2 күн бұрын
This is the kind of thing it would be cool to see in action. Can you do it all again and livestream it lol kiddinggg 👀
@pamlemm903
@pamlemm903 2 күн бұрын
Bro, tell it to generate the step by step list you took to accomplish and post it here for us! Would love to learn. Thanks!!!
@a1bootcamps
@a1bootcamps 2 күн бұрын
and now try to do something useful with it, something marketable, something you get paid for.
@Dinofx_jr
@Dinofx_jr 2 күн бұрын
Useless… all things u can do with just keybinds. Using voice would take longer
@Kombo-Chapfika
@Kombo-Chapfika Күн бұрын
The road to serfdom is paved with tech utopianism.
@amj2048
@amj2048 2 күн бұрын
There is such a rush to make more and more improvements to ability and less and less talking about safety, or in other words lots of "Can we" and not much "Should we", which is exactly how every tech based dystopian movie begins.
@vivarantx
@vivarantx 2 күн бұрын
no point in trying to stop it. Even if you tried, there will always be an evil genius in a garage pushing AI forwatd. That's why companies prefer to win the race and accept the inevitable
@markemerson98
@markemerson98 12 сағат бұрын
The takeaway: don’t assume your job as a developer is safe. If you are using it to assist your development tasks then someone could use it to replace you. Business is business. Dont miss the bus. there’s no good time to start learning and be trady to pivot. Just start.
@bormada
@bormada 2 күн бұрын
If programing is over, then all other jobs are over. However I think we are still far from that. On the other side, there may be less need for programers, worsening the job market even more.
@MS-wz9jm
@MS-wz9jm 2 күн бұрын
AI's biggest problem at the moment is task following. Context length doesn't solve this issue as eventually you will always get to a point where you need more context length. There needs to be task state and flow management AI on top of and agent/llm to keep it on track. Currently with every LLM the longer you interact with it to solve your problem the worse it gets.
@ricosrealm
@ricosrealm 2 күн бұрын
Programming is not over. Coding is over. Software engineering is still needed. I am using R1 today and I realized my job now is to tell it to code and just fine-tune it. It can code faster than I can and is cleaner overall. But it can't see all of the issues yet like a human can. The LLM is the "compiler" for natural language programming.
@kumarmanchoju1129
@kumarmanchoju1129 2 күн бұрын
Back to farming then
@sapito169
@sapito169 2 күн бұрын
wtf if u are a bad programer u dont deserve the job in the first place
@bormada
@bormada 2 күн бұрын
@MS-wz9jm I agree with you, context length will not solve the problem. I think that looking at the big picture, deep learning, followed by transformer networks were two big milestones towards ASI(something that can replace all programers). However I think we are still 1 or more milestones away, because we are still missing some necessary components. I hypothesis that those components are not present in the current AI architecture no matter its size, something new is needed.
@oakld
@oakld 2 күн бұрын
I don't know who says Software Engineers can't be replaced. In fact it partially did happen. Myself and many colleagues don't code anymore, rather "manage" AI to get the logic, routines, etc., the same way we've used to manage small teams. But it's inevitable, this is only a beginning. A year from now, I'm sure AI work on whole parts of projects or even projects on it's own, including all the testing and related stuff. Few years from now, it will not even need us to oversee the process, let alone take any active part. There's absolutely no way to stop this, for better or worse.
@10blader
@10blader Күн бұрын
State regulations will stop it. There are 4.25m SEs and another 1.5m network support jobs. Legal support, accounting, finance, reporting, data storage and management, etc. If even half of those jobs are eliminated we will absolutely see a massive economic collapse. Think bankruptcy on a scale never seen before. They won't let a social dystopia of 50-60% of the workforce being replaced by AI cut the taxes they need to survive. Probably any AI application will be sued if it takes humans jobs. It's a matter of time. Also there’s almost zero chance some sort of UBI gets implemented in time. People will start to destroy datacenters, network infrastructure, AI's CEOs, isolate cities and create parallel economics.
@MakeItKnownAI
@MakeItKnownAI 2 күн бұрын
Same thing 90% of the farmers said in the early 1900's when the combine/tractor started farming thousands of acres of land.
@PandaBlyat
@PandaBlyat 2 күн бұрын
and now 1 farmer can do the job of 20+ guys before. whats ur point?
@DS-kr3lm
@DS-kr3lm 2 күн бұрын
​@@PandaBlyatThere is no need for so many farmers anymore. That's clear.Now the same genius. Fewer programmers are needed to do the same amount of work.
@davidbarbieri8802
@davidbarbieri8802 2 күн бұрын
I don't think they could deploy an infinite number of tractors in less then one year, and that tractor was only going to tractor.
@vivarantx
@vivarantx 2 күн бұрын
totally different revolution. This is the final invention
@r3drum3k92
@r3drum3k92 2 күн бұрын
Farmers are still poor or at least pretend to be poor
@____________________________.x
@____________________________.x 2 күн бұрын
See? You can upload a video without a cringe thumbnail, thank you ❤️
@vethum
@vethum 2 күн бұрын
Advice for CS students? Stop wasting even more money on tuition and become UBI advocate.
@erkinalp
@erkinalp 2 күн бұрын
or study in a country without student debt traps not everywhere in the world has student debt trap
@vethum
@vethum 2 күн бұрын
@ It’s not about debt, it’s about CS students not having any jobs after graduation. Globally. Vocational schools make way more sense atm.
@erkinalp
@erkinalp 2 күн бұрын
@@vethum theoretical CS has uses in real life even if it's not day job it teaches you about algorithmic way of thinking and how to command unforgiving machines (yes, computers still do nothing besides what they're told to)
@vethum
@vethum 2 күн бұрын
@@erkinalp People obviously can still study CS as a hobby at home if they see a benefit
@Ynerson9003
@Ynerson9003 2 күн бұрын
@@vethum I’m an iron worker and am leaving this to learn CS
@Joshua.Developer
@Joshua.Developer Күн бұрын
These companies are laying off developers because. Deepseek does not need all that hardware and the tech companies valuations are going to tank.
@julien8097
@julien8097 2 күн бұрын
14:19 You really think that there is any way of slowing this ? i think absolutely not, by next year we'll probably have even more powerful models opensource like R1 or very cheap, tbh RIP software engineers, yeah for a couple of years there will be some jobs left during the transition period but in max 5 years the software developer job won't exist anymore, and i'm being VERY VERY optimistic with that 5 years estimate
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
You get it. So many are in denial it’s sad. These people were always arrogant and are not used to being the dumb, useless one.
@10blader
@10blader Күн бұрын
If it gets to this point, it will be a major destroy of tech companies or anything that AI can do, they will actually go broke. SWE will start their own companies using the same AI agents that were used to get them fired and knowing the flaws of the original company. Day to night there are hundreds of companies doing the same stuff around but cheaper. I would not like to be a CEO of any major company if this happens.
@PandemikProductions
@PandemikProductions 2 күн бұрын
People don't realise how beautiful and scary how this is The acceleration is INSANE
@Ni7ram
@Ni7ram Күн бұрын
absolutely, we are very lucky and cursed at the same time
@fullsendmarinedarwin7244
@fullsendmarinedarwin7244 2 күн бұрын
Awesome news for people that just dabble in code, now I can execute on some ideas 💡 and things I want to do but lack the skill in writing code
@johnjay6370
@johnjay6370 2 күн бұрын
@@fullsendmarinedarwin7244 yes you can and you can right now.
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
Welcome to the club.
@derickshalo384
@derickshalo384 2 күн бұрын
Works for me and I am a SDE. Can’t wait. Got about three personal projects that can use some acceleration.
@nikiforvladimirov2035
@nikiforvladimirov2035 2 күн бұрын
I don't see why software engineers need to be protected by enterprise price, high cost and slow down of integration when no such courtesy was offered to writers, designers, artists or anyone else that AI impacted
@MrJofArnold
@MrJofArnold 2 күн бұрын
I think you're mistaking "engineers at the AI companies" for the rest of us. I remember this great quote (paraphrased) "of all the things you automate first, it's human expression".
@belafon6605
@belafon6605 2 күн бұрын
On the one hand, a lot of programmers will lose their jobs, but on the other hand, it also gives them the opportunity to create something new very easily themselves, so I would expect many new successful startups to emerge.
@Ni7ram
@Ni7ram Күн бұрын
as a dev that is something i like to think, and even have some ideas.. the problem i see is that the barrier to copy those startups will also drop to almost zero
@chrisregister8021
@chrisregister8021 2 күн бұрын
Great now anybody can create malicious software...
@michaelnurse9089
@michaelnurse9089 2 күн бұрын
OpenAI blocks that.
@RonBarrett1954
@RonBarrett1954 19 сағат бұрын
"Should we stop AI development for the sake of keeping people employed?" The question reminds me of rhe Fremen in the Dune book series. The Fremen learned to live in the arid deserts of Arakis, storing water, and yearning for the day when the planet becomes a paradise. Well, that day, eventually arrives. Yet, rather than participate in the paradise, the Fremen return to the desert preferring the primitive old way and customs. Lesson: A new way of life is coming,but it remains your choice whether to participate.
@GoronCityOfficialBoneyard
@GoronCityOfficialBoneyard 2 күн бұрын
It's not the end of the world but you can see it from here
@krinodagamer6313
@krinodagamer6313 2 күн бұрын
No tf it's not lmfao
@fedorp4713
@fedorp4713 2 күн бұрын
This is still just hype from the hype man.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
Deep denial from shaved apes still imagining they are economically viable and that anyone will pay them a dime to do anything soon.
@woolymittens
@woolymittens 2 күн бұрын
Burying your head in the sand ain't gonna protect your ass. Its gonna take the kicking.
@jchastain789
@jchastain789 2 күн бұрын
I was in the live chat yesterday, I can't wait for you to make a video about deepseek r1. Which is free and open source
@J3R3MI6
@J3R3MI6 2 күн бұрын
This whole AI Revolution has revealed to me how many coders are actually copers… it’s crazy cause I though most were logical but with fear of losing they’re jobs they go nuts
@tonyajode
@tonyajode 2 күн бұрын
I noticed the same thing. It's fear. It's the 5 stages of grief. Denial is the first stage. Acceptance is the last.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
@@tonyajodeI’m already there. Take my crappy coding job, please AI?
@orlando7448
@orlando7448 Күн бұрын
the conclusion reached at the end of this video is pure hope and cope. their end game is to wipe out the peasants
@MOVE2JAPAN
@MOVE2JAPAN 2 күн бұрын
#AGIjobsAPOC is unfolding
@12-J-34
@12-J-34 2 күн бұрын
If mid level programming can be automated then many other jobs can be automated as automating that requires a high level of general reasoning.
@biggerbigfoot
@biggerbigfoot 2 күн бұрын
If coding is dead, Why do I optimize my code better than any engine even today?
@tracy419
@tracy419 2 күн бұрын
Because you are truly incredible. Or biased. Or wrong. But whatever the reason, it's only a temporary thing.
@ricosrealm
@ricosrealm 2 күн бұрын
these agents will be able to optimize better than anyone once they have full access to the entire toolchain. They can run coding experiments in parallel, unlike any human, and reinforce themselves towards the optimization targets. So coding is not dead yet, but will continue to die. Engineering will continue though... the models need supervision and direction to cull down the search path. FYI: I am a software engineer.
@2010TV
@2010TV 2 күн бұрын
Enjoy while it last
@nightcrows787
@nightcrows787 2 күн бұрын
It's beyond stupid especially when I have to run around to find bugs or missing elements etc from 9 different AI models even the best ones mess up allot and start giving you missing whole sections of code. Because they are using stupid agents and they are not keeping a memory that it can learn from and grow to improve. They are all static pretty much. What's really crazy of they go to far in coding they completely forget what they are trying to do in the first place and you have to litterly remind them of what your actually trying to do because it got lost some place.
@fvidelam
@fvidelam 2 күн бұрын
Real world experience 🤷‍♂️
@ivarborthen7320
@ivarborthen7320 2 күн бұрын
You are spot on. Prices will rapidly drop on services and products. So a major deflation is very very likely. Now, this is good news for all who does not have a lot of debt. Debt will be impossible to pay off once jobs start disappearing and deflation kicks in. Housing markets also likely to collapse, resulting in people who have debts for housing are gonna be the ones hardest hit. Hopefully transistions will be fast and fair, though there are no policies in place (yet) for handling this
@SuperFez87
@SuperFez87 2 күн бұрын
I think development and productivity are just going to explode. Life's going to get VERY convenient
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
I think everyone will start multiple failed businesses on their laptops before there are mass protests for UBS/UBI as everyone except 34 oligarchs is starving and homeless while trying to build companies in their tent camp under the local bridge.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
@@SuperFez87 Nothing is convenient after you become homeless because humans are not economically viable after ASI.
@jhern083
@jhern083 2 күн бұрын
so glad I got good at a trade, Registered Nurse, instead of just learning to code 💯
@pmarreck
@pmarreck 2 күн бұрын
We are nowhere near close to needing no developers. The code these things put out goes to crap very quickly without guidance. Like, I'm very impressed with Codeium Windsurf but I've noticed that whenever I'm tired and just passively agree to the code, it really starts fucking things up in both obvious and subtle ways. And this is not even touching the problems of 1) completely ignoring test coverage unless you remind it, 2) doing massive changes when only like 1 line change is needed, 3) making changes that prove it doesn't understand the crux of the problem you're trying to solve, etc
@dirremoire
@dirremoire 2 күн бұрын
Jeez, there are still people who don't get that 2025 for AI is like 1997 for the Internet. The revo has barely begun.
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 2 күн бұрын
@@pmarreck No need to worry then because AI will never improve. You are safe. And valuable. And your company loves paying you. Your future is bright human. Sleep now.
@pmarreck
@pmarreck 2 күн бұрын
@@dirremoire I can tell the trajectory because I’ve only been working with it since inception 🙄 It has no will and cares not for anything, such as good design for example. It can only mimic at a much higher level. And while this is still quite useful, and will continue to be moreso as it mimics at higher and higher levels… it still takes people who care.
@pmarreck
@pmarreck 2 күн бұрын
@@JohnSmith762A11B The “AI of the gaps” argument is just as good as the “God of the gaps” argument
@londonnight937
@londonnight937 2 күн бұрын
you havent watched the video
Quando A Diferença De Altura É Muito Grande 😲😂
00:12
Mari Maria
Рет қаралды 45 МЛН
Mom Hack for Cooking Solo with a Little One! 🍳👶
00:15
5-Minute Crafts HOUSE
Рет қаралды 23 МЛН
It’s all not real
00:15
V.A. show / Магика
Рет қаралды 20 МЛН
This Rare Futuristic eBike is a Total Nightmare
18:24
Berm Peak
Рет қаралды 5 МЛН
Small Language Models Explained: The Future of Business Transformation
32:24
Ragnar Pitla (Make it Happen)
Рет қаралды 16 М.
What does Elon Musk want?
21:29
Garys Economics
Рет қаралды 845 М.
What a Sci-Fi Show Tells Us About Life Post Capitalism
18:43
Marcus Werner
Рет қаралды 92 М.
OpenAI is terrified (there's finally a great open source LLM)
34:18
Theo - t3․gg
Рет қаралды 111 М.
Why The "Godfather of AI" Now Fears His Own Creation | Geoffrey Hinton
1:13:26
Nothing Much Happens in AI, Then Everything Does All At Once
23:10
AI Explained
Рет қаралды 118 М.
[Webinar] How to Build a Modern Agentic System
1:00:55
Arthur
Рет қаралды 12 М.
Quando A Diferença De Altura É Muito Grande 😲😂
00:12
Mari Maria
Рет қаралды 45 МЛН