QUADS vs. Full House: Negreanu's Legendary Cooler Analyzed

[@PhilGalfond]

My 44-page Mindset Strategy Playbook is free to all of you! -> philgalfond.com/mindset

[@Pokerfarhang]

Gus had said in an interview that he had checked the river cause he thought Daniel was more likely to bet AA/KK than call, which Daniel said was ridiculous and he would never bet those...

[@vinni522]

Gus Hansen is one of the most fundamentally unsound player on HSP. His hyper aggression was sufficient in most games back in the early days. It was very hard for Gus to adapt to the new poker age - even pre solver - where players are more capable to battle against aggression. Still a legend though.

[@hemispherecompensation]

So he put DNegs on an overpair, but isn't happy with the flop? Flops a set vs overpair, makes total sense

[@dommmmm7544]

solvers destroyed poker@@vinni522

[@ptantonioalves]

​@@vinni522gus was one of the biggest losers pre Black Friday, he never was a winning player. He made tens of millions playing backgammon

[@Macattack11639]

@@vinni522he was aggressive but got extremely lucky in WPT. Everyone knew that would even out.

[@jackolini]

Daniel wrote about this hand on Cardplayer I believe back around the time it happened. He asked Gus about it and Gus put him on KK/AA but Daniel didn't understand why Gus would check if he had those hands on the river since Daniel would just check those hands back. Pretty bad cooler and really not sure Daniel can fold the river. I guess looking at it today, how many bluffs does Gus actually have on the river to check-raise all-in? And this being 2004?, probably not many or none. So maybe it is a fold for Daniel?

[@D420-r6r]

Would be impressive but it’s hard to fold these hands at least imo. Easy to get off hands

[@garyom]

Back then, a player like Gus would check jam a straight if he put Daniel on a high pair

[@thecocktailian2091]

Gus was too loose. Versus him, its an insta call.

[@Dynamice1337]

I saw a player correctly (idk if theory correct fold) fold the second nuts in a tournament the other day. Flop was 653 with 1 heart, turn 8h river offsuit Q. 2 big stacks at the table of an $800 buy in tourney. They both had about 3 times average chips. The player in position raised all in on the river and the oop player went 8 minutes into the tank and folded and showed 7c4c and the in position player showed 9h7h...pretty sick.

[@y-sdahms212]

Preflop action? Position?

[@zachfern3190]

Gabe the GOAT commentator. Straight away seeing Gus' "outs" as a 7 or an 8 to get away from the hand.

[@cameronfricke3217]

love your content and everything you do for the community! keep up the great work phil🙏🙏

[@PhilGalfond]

Thank you so much!

[@evergreen3813]

Is it Gus's image that makes Daniel feel like he has to call? Bc I think back to the Vanessa Selbst aces full vs quads hand and how she tried to find the fold. It feels like Gus doesn't have a lot of bluffs in the check-raise line on the river except 5-X and a lot of those wouldn't check-raise the flop. So from Daniel's POV what value hands is he beating? 9's beats him, 5's beat him, so he only beats 6-5s and there's 1 combo of that. I'm sure that I'm missing a lot, I'm still learning and Daniel's skill goes without question, I'm just not sure how this isn't an easier version (in terms of finding the fold) of Sebst's cooler that you talked about.

[@losyart]

You r absolutely right and i agree with you. It was frustration call i assume . Daniel at his best form would be able to make a fold but he somehow paid him off

[@JaredPizza]

Crazy how the thinking has changed from you’re raising or betting to get the draws to fold to now you’re betting and you want the draws to come along.

[@mrtorbo]

Truly a great poker TV show.

[@elpistolero82]

Daniel has improved as a player since 2006 when this hand was played. I think he makes the fold today. He used to have a leak where he would announce all the hands that beat him on the river but would then call anyway, which he did in this hand. He doesn't do that as much now.

[@goblazers777]

He calls this today. Don’t overthink it. 160k to win a pot of 570k? 2 hands beat u…

[@elpistolero82]

@@goblazers777 Doesn't matter if only 2 hands beat you when he is only raising with those 2 hands.

[@timluo6120]

@@elpistolero82 when you got a weaker player like Gus Hanson in 2004 you call because of odds and only hands beat you

[@MusikPiratCH]

Usually I really like your analysis but here I really don't understand why you'd prefer Gus to raise small on the river instead of his check? I think (considering at that time and what Negreanu represented) this check on the river was genius! It was up to Daniel to decide what to do ... The cheapest way for Daniel would have been a re-check. But this re-check wouldn't have paid him for his full house. On the other hand concidering the wide range Gus could have had the bet Daniel made was right (IMHO)! However when Gus raised Daniel (a check-raise) Daniel should have known that he is beat! That's my only critics to Daniel's play! Am I wrong?

[@Matzes]

Yes

[@gs6810]

I'm your age Phil, and this is THE most memorable hand of any I've ever seen.

[@WriteWordsMakeMagic]

What should Daniel's bet/folding range be on the river? Just straights?

[@r.w.221]

Aces or better until you reach maybe 95 and then it starts getting spicy to fold

[@arcticredpanda4598]

look at the film quality and those big ass cameras

[@dpdfree]

Sick spot. I feel like 98s and 97s might be in a bluff check raise range maybe? Action goes check raise, donk bet, check raise. 98s might realize the bet on river shows you are beat and you try to rep a boat because you have no showdown value and if you donk bet river your going to get flatted by over-pairs and 5x. I don’t know if folding this pot is ever profitable unless. With a 2:1 odds you only need to be ahead 1/3 of the time.

[@jacobgoldman5780]

97 wouldn’t bluff River it would just call, why would you try and bluff with a hand that beats bluffs and try to have a full house fold which isn’t super likely?

[@jacobgoldman5780]

how to claim?

[@mmfb88]

I guess in theory it is a fold but Gus especially back then would show up with 95s or65s or 85s. Gus’ image definitely got him paid off, vs most anyone else you can probably find a fold

[@luckymaggie6594]

Which season is your favorite?

[@YoshiBugatti]

Lol Gabe is the GOAT.

[@WriteWordsMakeMagic]

Are Gus's only possible bluffs here 5x?

[@vinni522]

What would be considered a “small” oop river bet? 33% 50% Asking because I thought river bet shouldn’t really ever be < 66% after firing turn, except in rare situations.

[@owaridagaming8295]

I'd do something between 1/10 and 1/5 pot river.

[@bryanlin982]

betting small in position never happens, but blocker bets oop

[@Labergemusic]

I've watched the original clip many times but only just noticed the "disguised" camera men lol

[@RonnieJamesOsbourne]

Oh, man... This brings back memories. You know this footage is old (Yes, I know, not that old) when you see those ridiculous camera covers 😂 Great hand and analysis as always, Phil 👊

[@well.thy.one.]

Ida folded 66 face up on the turn and saved a bundle

[@garywu6488]

Hope to see some PLO hand reviews :) Remember some good ones on Poker After Dark back in the day

[@dan22482]

"Wasn't too happy... meanwhile he rakes in a pot over 575 thousand dollars" 😂😂😂

[@pwnzunub]

Now do the hand against Lindgren where he runs into it again

[@nickr4837]

'huh?!'

[@sebastianjung9190]

late he torched all that won money online because hanson was not believing in Gametheory

[@kevinscottbailey8335]

I know Phil is trying to be nice, but Gus Hansen was not a great player. I don't know that he could even accurately be called a good player I think the word we're looking for is something like iconic , because a player can be iconic without being any good at all

[@Footie4ever]

To be playing at that stake professionally you’ll have to be somewhat better than most of your peers. He might not be one of the best around now, but he definitely was one of the best during his time.

[@kevinscottbailey8335]

@@Footie4ever you do not have to be good to play at those stakes professionally. You just have to be rich. And that's what Gus Hansen was, I believe from playing backgammon professionally. But he was never a particularly good poker player

[@Oliver-vo4tc]

I would like to see a breakdown of the wsop hand between Sammy Farha and Oliver Hudson when both had a full house. Hudson was an amateur but I think he could have folded..?

[@blazeron12]

WOW Gus has made QUADS!

[@bilders6701]

Never gets old

[@cl4709]

Gabe the legend

[@vertsang5424]

i assume negreanu was good enough to fold that ,,,,,,,,,,,n;b,

[@khangbob]

Gus can also have 88

[@blazeron12]

Could gus ever have 95s or 85s? I think its possible. Is he raising these on the river? Maybe not with almost bottom boat.

[@caprixx-8864]

He wouldn't have called the 3-Bet oop with these hands

[@mmfb88]

Gus would 100% call a 3 bet with those hands especially back then. That’s how bad he was

[@berdyderg900]

These people are basically all broke/in tremendous debt now minus galfond (and I'd guess dnegs thanks to sponsorships). Winning poker isnt very fun to watch but time comes for everyone opening 86 utg

[@CanariasCanariass]

Is that true? Sick, like how the hell can you get that rich in the first place and then blow it all. Where is the bankroll management? They all could have diversified in real estate, stocks, etc. Just sick tbh.

[@bilders6701]

One of the greatest hands ever

[@amugsgame9936]

You were being far too kind on Daniel here. You didn't even offer an opinion on what Daniel should have done when Gus check raised all in while you have an opinion on every other decision on all the other streets. Is it a case of being afraid to criticise Daniel?? I don't mean to be too harsh because I love your breakdowns in general! I just found it surprising that you didn't offer a strong opinion on that river call which was the biggest decision of the whole hand!

[@mju34]

gus was well known to be loose and aggressive, Daniel was not in any way out of line calling the river.

[@amugsgame9936]

@@mju34 Gus disagrees. Gus was known to be loose aggressive for sure and could mix it up with any two cards but he wasn't so much of a maniac that he would be regularly shipping it all-in into a strong range with air. Gus admits he played the hand badly but he also accused Daniel of playing it badly. In an interview with Joey Ingram, Gus said that given how the action played out, there was basically no way he could have had anything other than the nuts or at worst second nuts in that spot. '97% of the time, that's the nuts' were the words that came from the horse's mouth!

[@Mark-Harding]

Shots from the side of your talking to the camera destroy the illusion that you're talking to your audience.