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The Philippines is the fastest Growing advanced and Emerging Economy in the world as of the first quarter of 2023 and is set to become a one Trillion economy measured in Nominal GDP by 2033.
The Philippine Government, highlighted the country’s current dynamic domestic economy, and positive outlook. As the Philippine Statistics Authority PSA, reported that the country's gross domestic product GDP, grew by 6.4 percent in the first quarter of 2023.
As the Philippines currently experience a dynamic domestic economy, this means that even if the regional and global economic environment would worsen, the Philippine economy has its own momentum and own dynamism to sustain growth.
The reported GDP growth performance figure, is well within the government’s target of 6 to 7 percent for 2023. Furthermore, based on the latest available data, from the top 40 Global economies, that have released their first quarter 2023 real GDP growth. The Philippines, grew the fastest among Developed and major emerging economies in the world.
It was followed by India, expanding by 6.1%. Malaysia growing by 5.6%. Indonesia at 5% and China at 4.5%.
The higher-than-expected growth comes in an environment of high inflation and continued interest rate hikes. Though inflation slightly eased to 6.6% in April, and 6.1 in May from 8.7% in January.
Even if the prices are slightly high, if incomes are rising because of more opportunities for employment, or the quality of opportunities is improving. Then somehow, households can still manage to increase their consumption levels.
With strong growth forecast, over the medium-term outlook, the size of the Philippines’ GDP measured in US Dollar nominal terms is set to reach one trillion USD by 2033, according to the report issued by S&P Global Market Intelligence.
This will make the Philippines one of the largest emerging markets in the Asia-Pacific as well as a leading emerging market globally. The average annual GDP per person has also risen dramatically over the past two decades, from below $1,000 per person in $2,000 to $3,500 by 2022, and is projected to rise above $6,000 per person by 2030.
The strong rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic during 2022, helped to drive the pace of growth of the Philippines economy to the fastest rate since 1976.
The Philippines GDP growth rate of 7.6% was comparable to some of the world's fastest-growing major Global emerging markets in 2022, including the Gulf Co-operation Council oil exporting nations of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as well as other rapidly growing Asian emerging economies such as Malaysia, Vietnam, and India.
During the period from 2012 to 2019, real GDP growth in the Philippines each year ranged between 6% to 7%. The economic rebound in 2022 pushed real economic growth to the highest pace recorded since 1976, with household final consumption expenditure growing by 8.3%, while gross capital formation grew by 16.8% year on year.
Sustained remittance inflows from workers abroad, fast-growing IT-BPO sector exports, and the recovery of the tourism sector are also expected to support economic growth momentum during 2023.
According to the IT and Business Process Association of the Philippines, the total IT-BPO headcount in the Philippines reached 1.6 million in 2022 with revenues for the sector rising to USD 32.5 billion.
The long-term outlook for the IT-BPO sector in the Philippines is continued with high growth, helped by key competitive advantages of a well-educated workforce, and English language proficiency.
The Philippines’ economy is forecast to continue to grow rapidly, with total GDP doubling from USD 400 billion in 2022 to USD 800 billion in 2030. A key growth driver will be rapid growth in private consumption spending, buoyed by strong growth in urban household incomes.
By 2033, the Philippines is forecast to become one of the Asia-Pacific region's, small group of one trillion-dollar economies, joining mainland China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Taiwan, and Indonesia in this grouping of the largest economies in APAC.
The Philippines is poised to become the world’s 18th biggest economy by 2050, as long as it addresses its infrastructure lack. A long-term projection, made by London-based macroeconomic research organization, Capital Economics.
As projected, the Philippines’ nominal gross domestic product, GDP climbing to 4 trillion and 862 billion dollars, three decades from now. Such that nominal GDP per capita, would also rise to $33,650.
In the latest forecasts, showed that by 2050, the Philippines would only be behind the following countries in terms of nominal GDP at market exchange rates. The United States, China, India, Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, France, Canada, Australia, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, Vietnam, Italy, Brazil, and Egypt.
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