Pot Odds, Ranges, and Bluffing vs Short Stacks | How to WIN $3,000,000 in 3 Days Part 9

We're back with 3 hands from Day 2 of the Super High Roller Bowl. In these hands we face some tricky spots up against some short stacks and discuss Pot odds, Ranges, and Bluffs.
0:00 Intro
0:35 Day 2 Intro
1:00 Preflop
3:10 Don't assume GTO
3:50 Flop
5:30 Checking
6:00 All In
8:24 Getting the Right Price?
9:40 Staying in Control
9:58 Hand 2
11:50 Preflop
13:45 All In
15:35 Easy Call
16:44 Hand 3
17:00 Preflop
18:32 Flop
20:57 Cary's Range
22:20 Equity Bluffs
The 2023 Super High Roller Bowl was a $300,000 Buy-In event featuring all the killers including Jason Koon, Alex Foxen, Justin Bonomo, Stephen Chidwick, LuckyChewy, Michael Addamo, Isaac Haxton, Nick Petrangelo and more! Stay tuned to the channel for more hands from this "How to Win $3,000,000 in 3 days" series, new videos twice a week!
Catch all the Super High Roll Bowl episodes at PokerGO and use promo code DANIEL2023 to get $20 an annual subscription: bit.ly/DANIEL2022
Take the Free Hybrid Poker IQ Test here: iqtest.hybridpoker.com/daniel
Check out my MasterClass: www.masterclass.com/classes/d...
Use PROMO CODE KIDPOKER20 to get 20% off at contendersclothing.com/?rfsn=...
Check out my DAT Poker Podcast at podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast​... and subscribe on iTunes.
Follow Me, Daniel Negreanu, Online Here:
linktr.ee/dnegspoker​
/ realkidpoker
/ dnegspoker
/ dnegspoker

[@felixvogel463]

The way Foxen called hands in this series is underrated.

[@bh4462]

He's the sequel to young Daniel back when he was a god at guessing other people's hands. "You know what I think he has? ACES! Pocket aces!"

[@josequesada1234]

Dude is a beast

[@OverAndOver1888]

When he corrected Daniel and said "But there was only two 5s left"

[@bruceharlick3322]

I do love how respectful Daniel is towards his opponents and that he is having such a great time, even on the beats. Fun series!

[@trdi]

Of course. Katz is founder of Poker Go and has won over 36 million in tournament winnings. Why would he not be respectful?

[@bruceharlick3322]

@@trdi It's not just to Katz; it is his attitude towards the others that impresses.

[@norwegiantacoeater9115]

This series is just incredible. Massive props to you for doing this Daniel. Imagine Ronaldo or Lebron breaking down their matches after. They would never, but Daniel Negreanu would. What a guy

[@richardgregory4111]

love how Daniel explains every part of what he wants to share with all of us.very easy to follow and understand.He is not like Hellmuth where if you dont play the way he wants you to or the way he thinks and he losses he has a blow up and yells at you.

[@xm210c]

It's because he's marketable and a good player. I would imagine he makes a lot more money from sponsorships than he ever does as a poker player. As long as he maintains his position as a great player this sort of audience outreach actually helps him earn more money.

[@therealexquisiteexistentia4743]

Foxen is such a beast

[@sc0mo786]

Great job, especially showing the last hand against Katz. Showing where you make a good decision, and the other player still makes a better hand is respectable. Sometimes it seems that KZbin instructional poker videos tend away from spots where the pro doesn't win. I've respected you for a long time, Daniel. Well done!

[@zf5656]

“Oh wait, we still hit this fuckin’ guy over here.” 😂😂😂 19:10

[@mathewbullens9880]

I laughed too. I've actually said this at the table probably more times that I'd like to admit. 😂😂

[@BangsarRia]

You're still so generous and lucid in your commentaries; my wife and I have been big fans ever since Showdown at the Sands twenty years ago

[@robd1381]

Learned so much from you over the years, but finding these breakdown vids have been a godsend. Thank you!

[@labdwakin]

I love the fact that you specified how you play a hand depends on WHO you're in the hand with. I have acquaintances that would have played the first hand with Katz straight GTO and gotten slaughtered for failing to account for PLAYER variance.

[@JTbets81]

It's funny 😂 how Daniel pokes fun at gto on his vids I like it.

[@corysantacroce1735]

Daniel pulling a trick out of the OMC play books.

[@levisedlacek8816]

Cool videos Glad you're making these super fun to watch

[@gwoody4003]

I have been watching your Online Tournament streams where you explain what you are thinking and why you made the choices you did. Its been very helpful in nailing down what opponants likely have based on their position and how they bet/react to other's bets. Its made me realize that perception is more important than reality for 99% of game. I started playing like I actually had the best hand, and I got better at sniffing out who actually does before I am stuck. Its difficult sometimes cus my home-game crew are a bunch of 🐟 who don't think 4th Dimensionaly. They are tough to nail down a range cus they don't really have one and they will play a pair of 6's the same as a full house. 😆

[@stephenlewis7756]

learning a lot from these, thanks!

[@DevinPerry-zp4cw]

My g playing the betting pattern reads The jam freakin GTO read on equity for whats we r in for vs 9:52 the semi bluff GOLD

[@maxtok414]

Loved the video!

[@naMnivraM]

Hey Daniel. I used your promo code and got Pokergo. I'm from Hamilton Ont. You're a great ambassador for Canadian Poker! You have a loyal fan for life here. Thanks for posting videos giving us some insight into your strategy. I appreciate it! Thanks for Reppin Canada so well!!! I started playing again and have been making a steady profit due in part to vids like these. Thanks dude!

[@anthonyyeh162]

You’re a legend. You’ve forgotten more about poker than I’ll ever learn. But if you put him on low suited connectors you do not have eight clean outs. Thought your fold was a great play. Huge fan ever since you came on the scene.

[@markfcoble]

Fun stuff watching winners.

[@MikePhoenix007]

But the most important thing you gotta remember is, everything you do at the poker table conveys information. Can't be all loosey-goosey eating a sandwich.

[@MugawumpTazer97]

Nom nom roast beef Hellmuth sandwich

[@MikePhoenix007]

@@MugawumpTazer97 See, now that's gonna give your opponents a lot of information.

[@gustaferiksson1503]

Been watching this series of the 300k tournament and I applied some stuff from it and thinking to my play style and I feel I’ve taken a small step to improve my game so thank you for that. Yes players at low stakes doesn’t think in same way as these pros but the tactics from them can work in some degree at lower stakes to

[@elvarg991]

I started limping with strong hands a while ago in small stakes since all the time I 3-bet all folded and no fun 🤔

[@KevMRT]

Kid Poker grown up... great video brother!

[@jeffk3746]

Foxen figuring out your exact hand from that little amount of info is super impressive

[@frazerhinder8850]

Absolutely love the content ! Not sure how many players over 30 years could say they have only had 2 losing years playing tournament poker ? Go again next year and I look forward to the content

[@chrishobson129]

Hey bro this vid IS a Cary Katz special! You guys have many hours on the felt. Yeaaaah Buddy!

[@ScamminANDhammin]

Love watching Cary work

[@drwinstonOboogi]

Thanks for the awesome content, Daniel! What do you mean by "studies solvers"? And how can I do the same?

[@bobelkiniii1461]

I’m so happy that Danielle is making these videos

[@JustKillam]

Small stacks bluffing mid-high stacks in tournaments is also a really interesting dynamic I'm trying to learn. Pretty awesome game

[@FreshEndFunky]

Daniel, NEED MORE CONTENT of tourney reviews!!! Nobody does it like you right now!!! Great DNges 🙂👍

[@dnegspoker]

Thanks! Two a week sound good?

[@FreshEndFunky]

@@dnegspoker Sounds really good! I turned on the reminder for the 3million Video series! Much love ❤️

[@jett0237]

Do you have two accounts on youtube Dneg? Someone claiming to be you said I won a giveaway but they want me to pay 150$ first. the name is @Daniel_negreanu , and the comment is on this video too!

[@jett0237]

@@dnegspoker Do you have two accounts on youtube Dneg? Someone claiming to be you said I won a giveaway but they want me to pay 150$ first. the name is @Daniel_negreanu , and the comment is on this video too!

[@pm2342]

With 1.5 mil and Katz being short, Id simply rather overshove myself on that flop with the T8

[@andypoon2076]

How does Foxen even know it's 10 8, it's insane

[@andypoon2076]

89s and A5s seem more obvious to me

[@ahurley005]

He straight fucking called the JJ in another video as well, blows my little mind

[@felixvogel463]

it's insane how he called hands in those videos. legend

[@andypoon2076]

@@felixvogel463 i guess thats why they are pros

[@andypoon2076]

@@ahurley005 i recall that hand as well, this 10 8 on another level tho

[@Dunkaroos420]

You see, in poker, you always have to be thinking ahead, always trying to find the best play. And sometimes, that means going all-in, taking a risk. But when you do it right, it pays off big time. That's the beauty of the game. It's like, you're always making decisions, always trying to find the edge. And that's what keeps it exciting, you know what I mean?

[@TheTree1]

But you can’t be doing it all Loosy goosy while eating a sandwich.

[@maciey_fpv8444]

Looks like ChatGPT generated comment.

[@Dunkaroos420]

@@maciey_fpv8444 rude

[@patrickclay3537]

Everything you do at the poker table conveys information

[@chilledmostofthetime4597]

6:45 foxen just calling his hand casually

[@tarantulatv7419]

I manage to score 59% and i play poker 3 tomes in my life 1x cash game and 2 times turnament for buy in only 50€ 1st place won 2000€ and i manige to end up at 8th place. And i see Poker is more difficult to play like i tought, but im not giving up studying it more and enjoy to play, thank YOU Daniel for goof content to understand more Good/Bad Hands, love you for that budy! :-) good luck to you im your cash amd turnaments games! ❤♠️♣️♦️

[@tstewie14]

i died with the “i got the prescription code”

[@damianlove4235]

It's been interesting watching this series of videos. I would almost swear Daniel read the Dao of Jeet Kune Do. He's utilizing a lot of "styles" here (ICM, GTO, small ball etc) and somewhat ignoring the constraints of each. "Jeet Kune Do favors formlessness so that it can assume all forms and since JKD has no style, it can fit in with all styles. As a result, JKD utilizes all ways and is bound by none. Likewise, it uses any techniques or means which serve its end." Bruce Lee in the Dao of Jeet Kune Do.

[@iamhorcruxer]

The way Cary throws the chips in.. so tilting… and even calling out DNegs possibly trapping and Brewer still falls for it lol

[@AnthonyVickersSoulJahTYah]

Combined with other play it worked for me last weekend first Big win in a micro tournament $4.40 Bounty Builder at Stars ..chip led to final table last two hours lost chip lead once on the way finished 1st place for $300 +Bounties $300+ :) Much needed after a bad yr at the micro tournaments THX Daniel I used the play wisely worked 7/10 times that night Good run good cards good play focused discipline patience needed too...dream game. Bless 1Love

[@AnthonyVickersSoulJahTYah]

@Daniel_Negreanu I feel this is fake so Im not clicking anything ...your New year is 2mth+ over due. If it is you Daniel which I doubt I hope you understand.

[@messaytadesse29]

Equity Bluffs! I love that. A bluff with showdown value. Does it work without position? Also, someone got excited with all these chapters..... Day 2 Intro?? Too much! What's up with hand 1, hand 2...?

[@bsheaves]

Looked at the solver, in MTT’s calling with 65s on button against a lojack raise is actually ok even with only 20 bb effective. And I think this has todo with the fact that this stack depth on the button you only have jams as a 3-bet so you need some these hands to balance your calling range

[@edoardogubitoso4395]

Foxen seems a really funny guy 😂

[@glycerosfournaris2512]

With a score of 53 it is good for my wallet that I do not play poker with real money!! Still enjoying seeing you and other pros play and explaining the game!!

[@danielniese535]

Love the table talk! Most fun part of poker. Daniel there is no way you only got a 74 stop lying sir.

[@3th0s]

on the first hand, he said it becomes a 'simple math problem', i wish he would have gone more into the details here. How he calculated his own equity in the hand vs the implied odds etc.

[@domhill4605]

There are no implied odds, as he jammed

[@CanariasCanariass]

You can check the equity of his hands vs different ranges with Poker Software. Of course you will never know the exact range of your opponent and even a pro like Daniel will not get the equities totally right but he probably knows roughly where he is at, in this case his equity vs 65s was 37% on the flop iirc. From this on it's a simple calculation. Let's say theres 40k in the pot and Katz jams for 100k more. So Daniel has to call 100k to win 240k. If you calculate this, its 100/240 = 0.4166. So if Daniels hand had an equity of 41.6% he would break even on this call. His equity is 37% though, so he would be losing money by calling. If his equity was higher than 41.6% it's a winning call. (Disregarding ICM or whatever other factors are relevant to a MTT).

[@parmazugaming]

Hey Daniel, random question. Don't know if you play spin & go's but do you maybe have some wisdom you can share on them?

[@Nick-wp8qy]

The way he sighed in relief after hearing 10 8.

[@DevinPerry-zp4cw]

That fuckin soul read @ 6:38 i am 💀

[@sallywarner2195]

I have to say that Daniel and Amanda are such a sweet couple. Just throwing that in the pot. Love them!

[@daveythehand4964]

I like Kerry Katz. Good-natured dad energy

[@AlphaDawg77]

I got 62% wow I’m pretty impressed.

[@DevinPerry-zp4cw]

Dudes got the connector open ended He is ahead bro

[@DevinPerry-zp4cw]

Worst limp position Nasty starter hand Three to act behind with bigger stacks I get it Fuck emotion Raise or check trap to a jam n snap call any raisers for a jam if you gotta primo starter Aghhhhhh Dudes a savage who had found the balance in all of this madness

[@89creeko]

What's a solver?

[@kraknoix0075]

Foxen just knows man

[@IceyFlame500]

I’m surprised he considered limping with J10 suited to be not a strong limp 11:27

[@HugoVanArt]

Dio mio…. 58 😂 I need to buy me some teaching classes with Mr Negreanu

[@DevinPerry-zp4cw]

Lotta shirt stacks get supper nitty Position is sos important Three short stacks to act behind maybe we raise pre with a dec starter

[@garrymugen486]

56 on hybrid, also the total number of comments as I type this in lol

[@georgedzidzev]

Got 67 on HybridPoker

[@JP-cu2gm]

Speech Limp did not fool Kerry😂

[@MugawumpTazer97]

Wooohooo! Limpin' is pimpin! Also i got 62 on the Hybrid Poker 30 spot IQ test, so I got some work to do, but it's closer to your score of 74 than I thought I would do!

[@peterthon4010]

Limping is pimping in a cash games too? I feel like it works more on tournaments

[@jett0237]

Hi its me Jett Cramer, -AKQ

[@666nevermore]

Dani I really don’t understand, what is limping, c betting and 3 betting? How are they different from raising? I hear these terms very often but I don’t know what value to give those words since I don’t understand what they are

[@shoe7525]

How did you get to 1.5M?! Last time I watched you were at 300K.

[@joeyfiuza]

I got 74 on the IQ test ! Same result as Daniel Negreanu. Is this a sign ?

[@michaels7368]

Question: I would guess that the majority of people at the WSOP do not play GTO. It's not like it's as easy as ABC poker. So what % do you think play GTO and how do you implement/adjust your play accordingly?

[@CanariasCanariass]

No human is even capable of playing true GTO.

[@joemarks3719]

71......... the last one killed me, I just can't find enough bluffs in the villain's range here, what hands am I getting to fold here with aggression? I think this question is very "player dependent" ....... if you know someone has a high fold frequency to aggression, above 60%, then raising is always the play. On the other hand, if you know a player is doing this 90% plus for value it's an easy fold. 80% of the people I play with are never bluffing here and 70% of the time aren't folding to a raise. This is one of those GTO spots where they assume your opponent is also playing GTO, and the proper play is to raise most of the time. Yet in real life your opponent may not be playing GTO. Similar situation to your limp with AQ. GTO will say shove the A-10 every time. But because you know his shove range will be well below AQ, you set the trap to exploit his GTO shove range. GTO wouldn't say limp with AQ UTG either.

[@larrymclendon7151]

Whats GTO ?

[@justinjohnson6609]

60 on the 30 spot

[@iamamish]

Mental note, never play poker with Foxen

[@mayweatherk7478]

I would've called with 1.5m in my stack for a 100k open ender. Easy.

[@elvarg991]

You are such an exploitative player Daniel None of that GTO bs for you, just limping and pimping, but of course that is a great strategy when limping is not all that pimping and is wide range. Great content as always! 😍

[@brutal4000]

The part is missing where Daniel is reaching 1.5M from 500k 😅

[@pokerdev218]

DID FOXEN SERIOUSLY CALL OUT DANIELS HAND?

[@danman274]

If he has pocket gives you have 9 outs, you forgot to count the 3 tens

[@timnamhay3265]

1 more thing, why PokerGo showing 10 ♦as one of Brewer's out ? Brewer has 2 has outs not 3 10s coz Katz folded his, unless the dealer puts it back to deck! 😅😅😅

[@samtipton5444]

Dan do you think I’m a loose goose

[@bepriceless]

LOL, kid poker is now the old man. Your arms are looking good, D.

[@jimmyjimmyggful]

When did Daniel become a made Italian guy?

[@BluffytheVamp]

Why is foxen talking during the hands, about the hands, when he is not in?

[@samihelin772]

Is there a rule that only one player ia aloud to call? Everybody plays the sameway in this highrollers

[@whynotlin7998]

It's because you are diluting your odds of winning the more hands that are still in play. Only with play money do you ever see like 4-5 people shove all in and gamble lol

[@michaelb7478]

I love these videos, but all I need to do is ask myself... What would Phil Hellmuth do? "Apex Predator shit bro"

[@caifasvaca9451]

Easy. He’d make the wrong play and then cry about it.

[@kamildziedzic8198]

How the fuck the guy knows his exact hand?! Seriously, how is that possible?

[@DevinPerry-zp4cw]

NASTY READ @ 6:52-7:34

[@IZn0g0uDatAll]

The fact that people just stand up and leave when they lose is just weird. Why isn’t there a protocole or etiquette to shake hands or at least say « thanks for the game ». It’s just terrible.

[@zenpool5918]

no way i got 75 on the 30 1st try no flex actually a better player than Dnegs get rekt Dnegs play me heads up nl .50 i have an edge the test said so

[@gertjanvandermeij4265]

8:33 ..... I WOULD have called that !

[@andrewosborne3213]

how to win 3,000,00 in 3 days... step 1: obtain $300,000 for a tournament buyin that you dont care about losing step 2: ????? step 3: profit got it! lets do this guys!

[@sabinoharriague4754]

Dont limp limping hands.... what? So whenever you limp you only got strong hands? Really

[@cheebaman4728]

Crazy how much younger hair plugs make you look. You looked way older a decade + ago.

[@alexsaavedra1742]

Don't shake his hand bad sport just walked off