Preview of upcoming report: "100% Solar, Wind & Batteries is Just the Beginning"

[@TeslaEVolution]

THIS IS TRULY REVOLUTIONARY ON A TOTALLY DIFFERENT LEVEL!! No more energy scarcity, but energy to do all we can today PLUS desalination of water and so much more. Clean energy=Way, way, way better planet.

[@StevenFalkner]

I've watched this video probably 6-7 times. Mind blowing. We are on the cusp of nearly free unlimited energy w/o side effects. Solar + batteries.

[@larslysdahl4586]

Mind blowing. Great work, as always.

[@pietervandam8365]

Awesome presentation! Simplification of a complex 'issue' showing that disruption of the the current system is inevitable and already in progress. Love the concepts of "GOD Parity" and Super Power" and the further impact they will have. Looking forward to the release of the report.

[@shahvrus]

Please make a video on your next report on Agriculture and Food Chain ... 🙏

[@JonathanMaddox]

Maybe subsidies and carbon taxes are no longer required, but the present situation of very low costs for solar and wind generation are the direct result of past subsidies and carbon taxes. Maybe it would have happened anyway, but it would have been achieved much later, maybe another decade or more. If the subsidies had been in place earlier and had been more consistent over the years, it would have happened sooner.

[@henniee]

Awesome report! Please keep it up and try to spread awereness about the coming changes in the world. Gives me really hope that humanity can solve climate change and a lot of other problems!! Thank you so much!

[@cloudstorage9928]

You should be full of hope because the future is bright. LFP batteries are the missing piece for transportation and energy storage. Their energy density is now good enough and we can scale production to gigantic levels as these batteries DO NOT use nickel or cobalt. LFP batteries will be used in Tesla's Megapacks, Robotaxis and the $25,000 smaller Tesla in 3 years. The Chinese Model 3 just got LFP batteries this month and it's a really big deal. Enjoy the ride because this decade will be AMAZING.✌️

[@turningpoint4238]

Looking forward to a presentation on fermentation farming. I realise the paper on this from RethinkX was targeted on the cattle industry in the USA but I'd like it fleshed out to it's affects worldwide and not just on agriculture but also other industries. It scares me the potential disruption in agriculture as I have family history in this and at present am involved in it again. But the potential gains for the planet are massive from giving all people a nutritious diet, environment, decreased conflicts and so on, so I look forward to it.

[@Wemdiculous]

4x is too small, batteries can be installed over time, shifting the cost curve to the right as battery costs decline the most.

[@BrunyeeSalers]

Wow - this show be a TV program - now to help advance the change.

[@bw6938]

There is one big problem , overlooked in this fascinating presentation. When prices for RE drop dramatically (which is the central point for mr Dorr), nobody will invest in RE anymore because there is no businesscase, no payback, no profit....

[@lingubb1773]

An outstanding presentation . The problem is leadership and those invested in the current system opposing disruption technology . May those involved in this visionary disruption succeed.

[@paulkerman8906]

2:47 - 3:22 Those graphs say it all...

[@aclassmedicine3306]

Love all your insights. The book was incredibly detailed.

[@brianbraginton-smith1880]

Brilliantly done and the convergence is just starting the decline of the silos. The benefits are profound.

[@philelectrique1]

Fantastic visuals. Directionally this is spot on. Realistically, this can happen (is happening), but not at the speed described here. We simply cannot manufacture - let alone site - this scale of wind/PV/batteries in this timeframe. That said, alot *can* be done - and mountains *will* be moved - if the fiscal and regulatory frameworks (yes I know: boring, wonky, press "snooze" now) enable it. Which is why the conclusion was so disappointing. This won't happen by wishful thinking. Carbon pricing and other tools are critical to turning this from an academic exercise, to reality.

[@trainspottingtech23]

3:45 No even in R&D for nuclear fusion?! 🤔🧐

[@chriskapsambelis4469]

The capacity factor for wind and solar is bout 25%. That means 4 times as much power needed has to be installed. To satisfy the need for affordable storage, wind and solar capacity must be quadrupled again. That is, we will need 16 times that of conventional power plus the extra cost of storage. Think about the maintenance cost of so much machinery out in the open. My roof is covered with snow most of the Winter. Who is going to clean off the snow after each storm?

[@mattobadia]

Can the cost reductions continue at this pace if the demand for commodities causes the prices of said commodities to go up?

[@zezizarjaars]

So, you basically need like 400% wind and solar energy to prevent the need of additional batteries that are expensive. But the price of batteries also drops with like 16% a year right? So are they really that expensive? Also, storage batteries are cheaper then car batteries, or at least should be shouldn't they? Aren't high voltage cables with solar in de desert more realistic? At least in Europe. They are actually already doing such a thing in Australia and Singapore: Oké, appearantly youtube hides my post for whatever reason, perhaps because I posted a link in my previous post. You can still google it ;).

[@juliahello6673]

And there, in a nutshell, is the way to sequester carbon from the atmosphere with 100% energy efficiency.

[@cctvcamerapros]

This is some amazing research. Thank You!

[@LarsHofman]

I wonder what happens with oil rich countries and world order if most of the world completely switches to solar and wind energy.

[@asolarpro]

Dothan AL electric charges a demand charge, which can be $800/month, the Electric coops, Alabama power charge homeowners about $100/moth if the home owner puts solar on their own house. We have the best politicians money can buy!

[@docsummer69]

Great...! Shared in Germany 👍

[@fenderstratguy]

That was really good

[@kapilkesarwanivideos]

Excellent work. Looking forward to the release of the report. What do you think will be the final electricity consumption by the US in 2030 if we transform the entire grid to solar, wind and batteries? As per your models, it should be 3-3.5x of the old scenario. Do you foresee significant land area use in this scenario?

[@pietervandam8365]

Some thoughts. In the short term the installed nameplate capacity (GW) will be 3-3.5x but the demand (MWh) will be roughly the same 1x - there will be a small increase to deal with energy losses although this may be offset by savings in transmission losses. Over time demand will increase to use the Super Power - i.e. the excess capacity/energy which has a marginal cost of zero. Over time this will reach a market price. This excess "unreliable" power will drive growth in existing and new industries (and processes) which we still need to imagine.

[@kapilkesarwanivideos]

@@pietervandam8365 Great thanks. I am not sure if authors have accounted for efficiency gains when transitioning to electric.

[@Designarchi1]

Excellent presentation! 100% is not only necessary but is inevitable for the future. It's just a matter how how soon that is. Whit a refocus on renewables coming with Biden, perhaps that is the jolt that is needed to start the renewable runaway transition

[@DrBrainTickler]

Then he pops his buttons ripping open his dress shirt to reveal a superman DIAMOND with NERD written inside it! I am a mutant with extreme abilities. ;-) Let's team up! Also, I still have many questions but I will not ask them here.

[@DavidMG99]

👍

[@jordansage9655]

2:10 Saving grace for my industry! 6:38 Wow...

[@RobinLespagnard]

Hoooooooooooolllyyy smokes. Big, big, BIG, if true !

[@NucAlfa888]

making the right choices is heavily dependent on the political situation, as you probably know electrical cars were invented 50 years ago, the sun was here for us since billions of years ago, what will make the politicians to make the right choice?

[@decentri777]

Perhaps if we demand.

[@tonyhladun9081]

This guy's too easy to shoot down 1. He ignores existing plant . Yes, if we were starting from scratch wind and solar are competitive but we've already got lots of other generation at low cost. 2. If we need 3X to 5X capacity in wind/solar he ignores that when he says generation costs are comparable. 3. Governments aren't investing in infrastructure and post-Covid my bet is that they'll invest even less. My guess is we're facing an "old cars in Cuba" scenario of the future. 4. Current battery technology is incapable of supporting a large grid. 5. Much oil production is owned by governments and is a source of foreign revenue so they're not going to shut that down willingly. So let's stop dumping on fossil fuels and let's talk again when wind/solar are 50% of global consumption.

[@kevinminkoff1917]

Well, maybe re-watch the video properly: 1. He doesn't ignore existing plant. Right at the beginning of the video he mentions that already today a new PV plant is cheaper than the marginal cost of running a coal or gas plant, and that this will become true for PV+batteries before 2030. 2. No, of course that over-build is factored into the LCOE of the overall renewable facility, which is how you compute that U-curve. 3. Under an IPP scheme, governments don't have to invest anything - the private sector does. That's generally how renewable energy plants are build across the world. 4. That statement is absurd. 5. Fair enough, and probably one of the main reasons for why the transformation to RE didn't happen earlier. But that's over now. Oil & gas is over. Even the biggest producers (UAE, Saudi etc.) are moving away from it and are currently some of the biggest investors in RE.

[@tayebdamerji7240]

1. Solar & Wind are cheaper that the fuel and maintenance cost of existing plants. He's conservative, he uses the figures of 2c/KwH. Portugal & UAE are currently producing solar at 1cent/KwH. we wil reach sub 1c/KwH by end of 2020. 2. Since Solar is 10 times cheaper than Nuclear and cheaper than Nat gas then that's accurate. 3. The EU just announced a $2 Trillion stimulus plan and 30% is dedicated to energy transition. Not sure why the US did not do the same with the CARES act which went mostly to profitable companies. China's stimulus has similar provisions. If Democrats win that the Green New Deal will be even bigger. 4. Tesla is already supporting the grid in Australia. 5. even Saudi Arabia is planning to get out of oil by 2030. The government does not own oil assets in the US or Europe and the China's oil assets are negligible. The most aggressive solar investors are in the oil producing countries, the largest projects are in the UAE. The Oil majors are transitioning to Solar and Wind, BP just bought a wind generation project from Equinor another oil major.

[@stevetaylor2818]

Tony, you are forgetting one thing, most countries don't actually have any fossil fuel production infrastructure, they buy their fossil fuels from somebody else at great expense, (even the US buys 10 billion barrels of oil per day), and won't care the infrastructure already exist in a foreign country, as every kilowatt self-generated means buying once less kilowatt. Only the producing countries will keep using fossil fuels as they won't be able to sell to anyone, so use themselves.

[@tonyhladun9081]

The world today is addicted to consuming oil similar to drugs. Developing countries (China for example) want oil because it's a quick energy hit like amphetamines. So the demand will be there and, like drug addicts, countries will spend their last dollar to get a fix of oil energy.