I really appreciate your curating, summarizing and commenting on these reports out of major firms. Thank you
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
Glad you like them!
@alberto_768310 күн бұрын
Your content is great. I wish you the best.
@thetjtАй бұрын
Very interesting, thanks Sven. I also downloaded the underlying document for further studying. Please make similar video again when the next report comes out.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
Will do!
@patrickshanghai2064Ай бұрын
difficult years for value investors when so many stocks seem over priced.
@hurlentropy6866Ай бұрын
Small caps are cheap. Strip out AI and big tech, then it doesn't look pretty
@user-is-giorgioАй бұрын
Try your chance out of the USA. E.g. compare value stocks like Stellantis or Verallia to their American counterparts Ford/GM or O-I Glass, and you'll notice both a jump in quality and decrease in PER
@durrer9038Ай бұрын
Did you see the video? US is overpriced. Other parts of the world are slightly underpriced. Also IT is overpriced.
@user-is-giorgioАй бұрын
@@durrer9038 Yes USA is like 70% of global capitalisation right now. For decades it has had a net investment balance, meaning foreign countries (including emerging) put their excess savings into US stuffs (bonds + stocks) Soon or late this flow will reverse. Good candidates can be EU market, India, Philippines. China has some amazing value companies too. BYD has better fundamentals than Tesla for 1/3 the price. But I wouldn't put my life savings into a market that wouldn't mind expropriating foreigners if the trade war turns sour
@BarsonlineOrg2013Ай бұрын
@@patrickshanghai2064 Most of the years are difficult almost always for Value investor. It is the end result, that counts. A wise man said, that we have to watch "paint dry". He never said it would be fun, or easy. This is the principal difference to growth investing, where is is always fun to watch stocks go up, until it isn't and one has a total loss in his/her account.
@surfnbacker84Ай бұрын
The biggest thing that’s different this time is the money printing. I gotta imagine that has a huge effect.
@drstedmanАй бұрын
With the fed balance sheet being reduced, isn't there actually negative money printing?
@florin986816 күн бұрын
great and real content. congrats
@eco-enjoyerАй бұрын
All all your videos, this one is my favorite. Incredibly informative and allows the diligent investor to arrive at their own conclusions. It's pure math = objective. Buy low and sell high folks!
@Laelin123Ай бұрын
What an amazing, relevant, thought-provoking video! Thank you Sven. Things aren’t looking great and a visible disconnect with the market behaviour.
@christopherlombardi438519 күн бұрын
lol
@azulsimmons1040Ай бұрын
The it will always go up crowd are starting to convince the sideline investors to hop in and the FOMO is rising which is rarely a good sign for markets.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@pvnbgАй бұрын
Sven, would you please analyze how much money you have lost by timing the market over the last years?
@HedgeflexlfzАй бұрын
@@mathewwilson9776 Yes he does time the market
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
I am fully invested, so I am not timing the market :-))
@Latin_American_EconomicАй бұрын
Wonderful work. Always appreciative that you share it specially the views on macroeconomics since that has been my interest since undergrad. Again thank you!
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
Much appreciated!
@Latin_American_EconomicАй бұрын
@@Value-Investing I have used some of the ideas you use to explain certain topics as a starting point to find answers to macroeconomics questions I have that we're not addressed in undergrad or grad school.
@Amwatson801Ай бұрын
I happened to watch your JPM video from 2022-q1 last night. Projected EPS for 2022, 2023 and 2024 were 225, 250 and 275. It is no wonder those forward PEs are always so low.
@luigigetsuАй бұрын
I also watched Tom Lee (always take it with a grain of salt...) this week on a video saying that by year end, SPY earnings should be reaching 285 (we seem to be on track for that if there is no earnings recesion), so if you slap a 20 PE on that number we will end the year at 5700 for the S&P500. I don't know where do those earnings estimates come from but if those numbers are legit, SPY is not even that expensive.
@Amwatson801Ай бұрын
@@luigigetsu Those are rosy consensus analyst projections, designed to make things look cheap. My comment above shows the consensus estimates as of 2022-q1! sp500 ACTUAL eps as of 2024-q1 is 197. Focus on reality and forget about estimates, or else keep dreaming.
@mathewwilson9776Ай бұрын
It's funny how people don't even know what actual eps is, but do not hesitate to base their investments on whatever analyst projections they see on tv, however outlandish they are. If current eps is 197, it needs to grow at 21% in both 2024 and 2025 in order to hit 285 by the end of 2025... It's just foolish.
@mjbucarАй бұрын
A very good video - informative and concise - thank you.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks!
@jazz19101Ай бұрын
If you DCA in the SPY or set a 12% trailing stop loss, won't you be OK if the market crashes?
@Sammyd67Ай бұрын
Brst video I’ve seen on the current situation of the markets!
@johnw8938Ай бұрын
Thanks for the quality education, as usual. Very helpful. Some of my takeaways: a) B/c of debt and therefore more money printing expected, inflation will continue, b) owning assets and businesses (like stocks) that increase in value w/ inflation, is a person's solution to the inflation problem, c) the conundrum is that (US) stock prices are high, which historically leads to low returns (thus not solving the inflation problem)....Your conclusion at 12:00 is spot-on. I think Warren and Charlie would agree....I.e., well said.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks!
@ryansimpson3074Ай бұрын
Amazing analysis. Thanks. !
@massafelipe8063Ай бұрын
I plotted the returns of Voo in the backtest of various points in the last 25 years where a P/E ratio was above 25. Everytime I got decent or great returns meaning 8-13%. Current P/E ratio isnt useful in predicting stock returns.
@horizonezАй бұрын
8-13% returns for the next 3 months? 2 years? Or 10 years?
@massafelipe8063Ай бұрын
@@horizonez till today, per annum. Plot it in some backtesting tool, I used european backtesting tool (CSPX).
@durrer9038Ай бұрын
@@horizonezThat's exactly the point. And the relevant question.
@massafelipe8063Ай бұрын
@@durrer9038 idk who or what removed my comment
@massafelipe8063Ай бұрын
@@durrer9038 Returns are until today, there have been 8 instances where PE was above 25 on january the 1st in the last 32 years, first of which was in 1992. Backtest didnt allow going further in history.
@YakelinYisel-ul8ggАй бұрын
amei, love it,,,, I finally found content. good job
@tsonezАй бұрын
Thanks Sven! Great macro update. It's interesting the US market premium is so high. I think the factors: currency, GDP growth, financial market stability/reliability, ideology, country brand/history, securities regulation etc. only partially explain the premium (if we look just at the market, not the components).
@YaxezАй бұрын
Lots of good info, thanks! 👍
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks
@cocolores5826Ай бұрын
It's simple. When you are a longterm investor, spend less than you earn & just keep compounding the S&P500 (VOO or SPY) and stay the course. If you have a certain wealth accumulated and your focus is on wealth preservation, buy & keep VOO as long as the index is above its EMA200 and sell it when it drops below to avoid heavier drawdowns. Get back in when it gets back above the EMA200. Enjoy life! Happy Sunday.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@jonirastorza5813Ай бұрын
Nice video, thanks for sharing
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks!
@theodoroseidler7072Ай бұрын
ATM Buffett is only parked at 5,5%. 182 billion waiting on something worthwhile...
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
:-)
@AnyangUАй бұрын
Great information, Professor. Lets to think about here.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks
@scottprice4813Ай бұрын
I retire next year and I had a huge run in energy stocks from 2020 with appreciation and dividends- more than a triple . Sold as they closed in on their highs earlier this year but the oil price did not match 2022. The market is topping if it already hasn’t . Can’t justify the drawdown risk .
@jasonalexander7089Ай бұрын
If you bought energy stocks in 2020 you must have made a lot of money. I bought all of them but then sold in 2021
@afonsodeportugalАй бұрын
I share that same opinion. I've been reducing my positions in several ETFs and I am even contemplating selling stocks I bought based on the fundamentals. Buffet is sitting on a pile of cash, and there's no way I'm smarter than him... therefore, it's time to get out.
@mathewwilson9776Ай бұрын
Quick question: how is Russia's MOEX stock index so high? Interest rates are at 16% there, there is no Western capital, they are subject to all sorts of sanctions, and yet... Then you look at China, who hasn't invaded anyone, who grows and produces everything we use... still stuck at 2009 levels.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
:-)
@chrisapplebach4756Ай бұрын
Best Channel On KZbin
@rocking1313Ай бұрын
Great job Sven on sharing your insights. Amazing to see how many strategists/economists are bearish - JPM just fired their head strategist - and the US stock market doesn't care yet! Just imagine the size of the QE bazookas from G7 central banks when equity markets tank - maybe Covid QE stimuli will look prudent and well-calibrated in comparison! Get ready for Quadrillions as Trillions may become an outdated unit of measure?😷
@eh7599Ай бұрын
Excellent video Sven
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks
@Mary-JFDАй бұрын
On the P/E differential between the US and non-US markets. Can't this in part be explained by the makeup of those markets, i.e. the US is full of high multiple tech companies while other markets will have more basic industries such as mining in the UK?
@Amwatson801Ай бұрын
Japan, China, UK, India, etc. have also traded at idiotik multiples in the past. Subsequent returns were always poor. The last time US traded at today's multiples it was also a result of high-multiple tech companies and you see how it ended: with 14 years of 0% returns. In order to earn a return from an high multiple, you need sustained double-digit growth, sustained high margins and sustained high multiples. That is a whole lot to need and turns an investment into a mere bet.
@deenriqoАй бұрын
I would really like to see some videos comparing US economy to European, and the USD vs Euro. And why money is flowing into US stocks and not Eu stocks.
@JCTEAM60Ай бұрын
Great idea!
@durrer9038Ай бұрын
Yes. I can see the following reason: US citizens do like stock and Europeans don't (in general). As it gets easier to invest (online brokers, ETF) people in the US are the first to take the opportunity. Europeans see how mainly US stocks give them good returns compared to others and follow the trend. Same with ETFs: US stocks get more and more weighed in the All World ETFs and therefore more and more money needs to follow and the cycle repeats.
@kkp4297Ай бұрын
i sense the SPX can go up even more on unicorn farts. level-headed investors and traders will be in disbelief.
@user-ky1on8bt3sАй бұрын
Sven, question! If companies that lead the market (aapl, goog etc), indeed do not grow in earnings anymore, but they do make massive amounts of cash every year. For the PE to stay the same, it means that the stock price can never go higher. But the cash positions keep going up so the companies are worth more. So, once a company is mature, it makes sense that the PE will keep going up and up with earnings staying the same. Thoghts?
@TheScaryGermanGuyАй бұрын
Earnings always go up because of inflation alone.
@mathewwilson9776Ай бұрын
It only makes sense if you are satisfied with the return that you earn. Apple is a mature company that barely grows and that makes tons of cash but, at over 30x earnings, their 100b in net buybacks amount to an under 3% yield. So you get virtually no business return (0% growth + 2.7% buyback yield) while bearing massive valuation risk, which makes no sense at all. Where are future returns supposed to come from? Perpetual multiple expansion for no reason is not an investment thesis: you are just gambing.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
they spend the money on buybacks, which make sense only if the company keeps growing and is reasonably priced
@obijuan3004Ай бұрын
Here is my investor opinion. The economy is doing very well; 26 month historically low unemployment, wage growth, lots of open jobs, exciting new technology. This is happening while the Fed interest rate averages 5.3% for the last 12 months. Should the economy decline soon, the Fed has lots of room to drop interest rates to stoke the economic fires. While the market could have 10-15% pull back; IMO, most people will be buying the dip. ENJOY!
@mathewwilson9776Ай бұрын
This is your speculator opinion, since you ignore business and valuation and rely on persistently loose monetary policy with no inflation and on sustained irrational herd mentality. Same talk as in every past bubble. Same subpar returns to likely follow.
@obijuan3004Ай бұрын
@@mathewwilson9776 I can’t control monetary policy, I can only adapt to the economic changes. The economy is real strong, in spite of inflation. The Fed has lots of room to have a positive effect on any economic downturn. Things look good until the election. Sure, a random event could crash the economy, but I’m ready for that too.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@pweddy1Ай бұрын
Can we compare the market value to the value of the Dollar? I’ve seen indications that inflation was far worse than what the government was reporting. If we’ve devalued the dollar then it takes more dollars to represent the same value in the stock market.
@kamravapirouz3498Ай бұрын
Remember, this is the same guy that recommended BABA at $220
@blakeh.6120Ай бұрын
outcome quality does not equal decision quality
@explorerjlc1743Ай бұрын
could go 300
@mathewwilson9776Ай бұрын
Baba at 220 had a favorable risk/reward. It was (and remains) a great business with no debt and expanding margins, and at the time it was growing at 30%. The problem is that growth slowed down massively, while Chinese equities remain mired in negative sentiment. If anything, this shows the risks of "growth investing": if you need sustained double digit growth in order to justify the price, you run into an issue if growth stalls. What do you think will happen to Microsoft or Nvidia the day they miss Wall Street's absurd expectations?
@Mark-iz1uhАй бұрын
company fundamentals attractiveness is not equivalent to chinese government policies and corruption i.e property sector collapse.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@Milad_MorganАй бұрын
Hi Sven, Is MLI a stock you would be interested?
@darssmare915Ай бұрын
Right, BABA is an example. Very puzzling but you are right there is a huge flow of money to US. Riding this is the only way of having significant gains.
@Sanddollar1Ай бұрын
The stocks going up are the mega caps and tech companies, not the small and mid caps.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@realestalex2728Ай бұрын
If it keeps going up, I keep buying. If it goes down, I keep buying. Great time to be young
@Amwatson801Ай бұрын
Annualized 15-year return from Shiller PE 35: 3% Annualized 15-year return from Shiller PE 30: 5% Annualized 15-year return from Shiller PE 25: 5-8% Historically: brainless actions => poor results.
@JCTEAM60Ай бұрын
@@Amwatson801it’s like spitting in the wind, but at least @realestalex2728 is watching Sven and may learn this lesson before it becomes reality.
@afonsodeportugalАй бұрын
Just out of morbid curiosity, who owns the US Federal Debt? $1,915 billion is a lot of money! Who's reaping the reward?
@user-xw3vi4nk2yАй бұрын
66% owned by american people. 33% by foreign govts.
@obijuan3004Ай бұрын
I am reaping the reward from US debt. I buy US Treasuries. It’s a good way to park some cash. It’s easy to do, check with your broker. When you hear that Warren Buffet is holding billions in cash, that cash is in US Treasuries.
@afonsodeportugalАй бұрын
@@user-xw3vi4nk2y Thank you for your answer. When you say "American people", do you mean retail investors? Or financial institutions?
@afonsodeportugalАй бұрын
@@obijuan3004 You're a smart fella, thank you for your answer. But aren't US Treasuries just a fraction of the total debt?
@user-xw3vi4nk2yАй бұрын
@@afonsodeportugal financial institutions hold the debt on behalf of american people like their retirement funds and investment accounts. Also Citizens can purchase govt bonds directly from FEDNOW platform as well.
@runabathАй бұрын
all the compeys im looking at are pe15 low with div of 7% but i think we got 5years not much grouth because comps got a lot of dept i feel
@HedgeflexlfzАй бұрын
If you look at weighted S&P 500 it's flat
@durrer9038Ай бұрын
I like weighed and Russel 2000 atm if I want to invest into US stocks. Way cheaper.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@akaxlАй бұрын
Have you any thoughts on Japanese stocks
@Value-Investing29 күн бұрын
No idea
@jasonalexander7089Ай бұрын
Hello Sven, if the jobs report is always revised like the April and may recently, then why do people even pay so much attention to it anymore? I am not buying apple, msft right now because they have ballooned too much in value. 5 yrs ago apple worth maybe 800 billion and now almost 4 trillion. This is insane and not reflective of a functioning stock market.
@rado9708Ай бұрын
Sven, I am big fan of the channel since January 2021.. never commented before.. could you take a look at $CAAS (china automotive systems). Market cap is 105m, cash on hand is 112m, no long term debt, profitable with PE of 2, what is going on here? I cant answer myself, if anyone can help that is you, thanks
@kokaltiАй бұрын
I've been hearing this doom and gloom ever since we came out of covid. The market is actually not going up and up. It's the magnificent 7 that are pulling the market. Dow Jones is lagging. Small Caps are lagging. So that whole PE thing isn't accurate for the whole market.
@HedgeflexlfzАй бұрын
Exactly. 480 out of the 500 stocks in the S&P are basically trading sideways.
@jont96686Ай бұрын
The PE Sven is talking about is for the combined S&P 500, so is definitely relevant if you are buying an index tracker.
@CristianHernandez-er4znАй бұрын
Hey Amigo, when would be good to buy $TLT?
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
depends on your strategy
@CristianHernandez-er4znАй бұрын
@@Value-Investing strategy is to make money lol. mini-LumpSumps + DCA until interest rates are materialized and cash from 90ish to 140ish. But tempted to buy calls when they don't cut 2 this year. Perhaps 1 or 0, but it's elections #Tricky
@ValueInvesting2050Ай бұрын
Very good videos! You make 5h of work into 10 Minutes, so we dont have to read the reports. Really value here ❤🎉🎉
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
Glad you like them!
@ryann8348Ай бұрын
I moved to small caps, where the valuations are super low, back in January
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@tomstory8502Ай бұрын
I would like some research on Sprouts Farmers Market
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for suggesting!
@carlosparra9527Ай бұрын
I'm only buying international stocks, yields of 7 or 8% with growth. Dont intent to touch the american market as a value play.
@francis7119Ай бұрын
You should however bear in mind that international stocks had significantly lower PEs than US stocks for the last 20 years, yet international stocks also significantly underperformed compared to the US market in the last 20 years. In my view it is not smart to bet against the US.
@DUDIDUANАй бұрын
I think the valuation for S&P500 does not reflect the entire stock market now. Small caps are very cheap now.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing - relatively cheap!
@SomeGuy-ws5zjАй бұрын
Hi dear. SPX has only 3 next relevant extensions metrics: 6100, 7100 and 9600. Nothing important will happen NEVER EVER out of a relevant Gods Fibonacci fractal metric. Greetings.
@Value-Investing29 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing
@M14wAI-mj6soАй бұрын
Why are the shares of PARA (b) not at $15. One could think that there is some arbitrage to do related to the merger.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
not following :-(
@shannonoliver7992Ай бұрын
Great content, last slide was great. Though why can’t we do both value and tech. A barbell strategy. I actually love moats, dividends, and cash flows. There are some tech companies with great cash flows. Anyway, good luck to everyone. I think you’re right longterm, but not now. Are we in bubble? Not sure.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
tech can also be value, just depends on the price
@shannonoliver7992Ай бұрын
@@Value-Investing Do you have any tech positions currently ?
@Metal_StackingАй бұрын
Equal weight 500 pe 20. Sp500 pe 28. This spread is not normal.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@shannonoliver7992Ай бұрын
No one can predict the market. Time in the market, not timing the market. This has been true forever. Let’s go bulls!!! Also looking for value, but. Not ignoring this bull market.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing!
@CassieH4Ай бұрын
I know nothing about trading /investment and l'm keen on getting started. What are some strategies to get started with?
@7EyesOrtizАй бұрын
As a beginner, it's essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. I'm guided by a widely known crypto consultant
@7EyesOrtizАй бұрын
Mrs Julie Alma Stevens
@Poojanice6355Ай бұрын
This is correct, Julie's strategy has normalized winning trades for me also and it’s a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started..
@Hildameyer770Ай бұрын
Julie is considered a key Crypto Strategist with one of the best copy Trading Portfolios and also very active in the cryptocurrency space.
@LauraMills99Ай бұрын
The first step to successful investment is figuring your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but it's very advisable you make use of professional
@stex83Ай бұрын
after 2/3 years of saying that stocks are over-priced now there is a sudden change of ideas. Invest in companies...
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
I don't see any change in strategy
@Viper4ever05Ай бұрын
People spent those stimulus checks in less than month lol
@TheBoobanАй бұрын
Ah. Market too bubbly to find a good stock. Can you just tell us which stock you buy?
@thetjtАй бұрын
Warren Buffett: “The trick is, when there is nothing to do, do nothing.”
@ashylarry4867Ай бұрын
Park your cash in tbills or a HYSA and take your 5% interest
@TheBoobanАй бұрын
@@thetjt “swing you bum” - you’re right, we don’t have to swing
@christopherlombardi438519 күн бұрын
your face is exuberant
@johntrolle8935Ай бұрын
When you read someone calling something a bubble you can bet your top dollars that thing has easily another 30% upside
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
have fun speculating
@Leo-pd8wwАй бұрын
Bubble bubble crisis crash Bubble bubble crisis crash Nostradamus Michael Burry Sven Carlin Enron Sears lookin cosy, hold my beer and we're all in Bear bull market doesn't matter, they're all insane Now heed Sven's warning and hedge your bets Because after sunshine there comes rain Bubble bubble crisis crash Bubble bubble crisis crash
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
hahaha
@augustoliver2779Ай бұрын
We need to start working less. The current path will only lead to further squeezing of workers time and energy.
@p.mortez9574Ай бұрын
From my perspective one must be "brain dead" to invest in the US stock market for the long term. If anything the risk is over the next 10-15 years to have a global switch toward Chinese stock market and other various stock market ( brazil , etc) rather than "let's go higher" considering that the US dollar is losing traction. US seems good as a "casino" short term play, but long term the value is elsewhere. Just my opinion.
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@SomeGuy-ws5zjАй бұрын
The problem with your thesis, like Elliot's and many others, is that they have as an axiom that the "valuable" thing on the ordinate axis is the dollar, but they are all created just when that currency began its dominant period. But if you look at Napoleon's French franc today with those same theories you will find how those maximums mean NOTHING.
@Value-Investing29 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing
@user-zt4mw1ei3iАй бұрын
Petrodollar just took a heavy blow. I would not invest in a US company
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
thanks for sharing
@luisfrpsАй бұрын
I DONT BELIEVE YOU! I AM 45% UP THIS YEAR AND I WILL KEEP INVESTING AND NOT PAYING ATTENTION TO ANY TALKING HEAD!!
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
great!
@vaw7016Ай бұрын
If US stocks go up because of anticipated inflation, aren't emerging markets then a very interesting place to invest. They have a lot of US Dollar debt, so thanks to inflation it should be easier to pay of their debt? Not sure about this but maybe Sven can think about this?
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
yes, the key is to understand investing into emerging markets!
@bookmonster87Ай бұрын
🤣Technology, AI....Blah blah blah😁
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
:-)
@christopherlombardi438518 күн бұрын
blah blah blah
@NancyLi-w1kАй бұрын
If Kodak (KODK)stock price is a beautiful mistake, what should we do? Personal opinions, not investment advice😅
@Value-InvestingАй бұрын
:-)
@NancyLi-w1kАй бұрын
@@Value-Investing Time will let us see the magic of value investing.
@DebetSjefАй бұрын
This time it’s different🫣
@fregger74Ай бұрын
Have most of money invested in china now. I believe china is the best opportunity in years. The prices are insanely low.
@trevorjones3530Ай бұрын
Xi will love your money...when taking it for the"people"! If you not learned your lessen from BABA...nobody can help you mate.
@fregger74Ай бұрын
@@trevorjones3530 i mean people like you are the reason why these stocks are so cheap so ty :) i guess we will see who is right in 10-20 years. See you then buddy :)