Dr. Jim, while waiting for the opportunity to convert the ratio spread into a “free” butterfly, are you not exposed to tremendous downside risk in the interim? Seems very risky to me. Please explain what I might be missing.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
You are exposed to undefined-risk on the downside, correct...just like a short put is exposed to the downside. As I explained when setting up the strategy, sadly, we can't put risk-free trades on at entry...that would mean there would never be any reason to ever do anything else. But having this option in your back pocket to take risk off the table, and convert trades to risk-free is a nice tool to have.
@wwrussell18011 ай бұрын
@@jschultzf3 thanks for the quick reply.
@AffectionateArcticFox-ik8xo9 ай бұрын
This is a very good observation.
@WaveringRadiant6662 ай бұрын
@@jschultzf3 This is, then, absolutely not a risk free strategy. All you're doing is effectively closing a successful trade, when you're successful (most of the time). And having an asymmetrically large loss when you're not.
@hachibahn8844Ай бұрын
@@jschultzf3 how about a stop loss on the short puts while "waiting" for disney to rally ?
@RomilCPatel11 ай бұрын
The lowest risk is actually a box spread on European options. These box spreads are the equal to the risk free rate of return. So a 3-month box spread has the same return as a 3-month t-bill, and both come with zero risk.
@axelmuller504011 ай бұрын
Can you share some details?
@RomilCPatel11 ай бұрын
@@axelmuller5040 On SPX for example you can buy a 4000 call and sell a 5000 call; then buy a 5000 put and sell a 4000 put. This is essentially two debit spreads that cancel each other out, hence why it's called a long box spread. The opposite with two credit spreads is a short box spread. You have cancelled out all of your Greeks other than Rho. So the interest rate differential between calls and puts is what you are left with. That interest rate differential is equal to the rate on treasuries. So a long box spread one year to expiration should be roughly equal to a one-year t-bill in the amount it makes you. In a short box spread you can borrow from the market at the equivalent duration treasury interest rate. Riskless strategies like box spreads are essentially ways to lend into the market for a risk-free interest rate. And vice versa for borrowing. Also, these strategies should only be done on European options, so none of the legs get assigned early.
@RomilCPatel11 ай бұрын
@@axelmuller5040 On SPX for example you can buy a 4000 call and sell a 5000 call; then buy a 5000 put and sell a 4000 put. This is essentially two debit spreads that cancel each other out, hence why it's called a long box spread. The opposite with two credit spreads is a short box spread. You have cancelled out all of your Greeks other than Rho. So the interest rate differential between calls and puts is what you are left with. That interest rate differential is equal to the rate on treasuries. So a long box spread one year to expiration should be roughly equal to a one-year t-bill in the amount it makes you. In a short box spread you can borrow from the market at the equivalent duration treasury interest rate. Riskless strategies like box spreads are essentially ways to lend into the market for a risk-free interest rate. And vice versa for borrowing. Also, these strategies should only be done on European options, so none of the legs get assigned early.
@alexhere111 ай бұрын
The key word here is “European”, which removes early assignment risk for ITM legs. The price will be the width of the spread at all times, and you might lose few cents on the market making bid/ask spread. This is borrowing money, and you better be able to put it back by the expiration date.
@RomilCPatel11 ай бұрын
@@axelmuller5040 On SPX for example you can buy a 4000 call and sell a 5000 call; then buy a 5000 put and sell a 4000 put. This is essentially two debit spreads that cancel each other out, hence why it's called a long box spread. The opposite with two credit spreads is a short box spread. You have cancelled out all of your Greeks other than Rho. So the interest rate differential between calls and puts is what you are left with. That interest rate differential is equal to the rate on treasuries. So a long box spread one year to expiration should be roughly equal to a one-year t-bill in the amount it makes you. In a short box spread you can borrow from the market at the equivalent duration treasury interest rate. Riskless strategies like box spreads are essentially ways to lend into the market for a risk-free interest rate. And vice versa for borrowing. Also, these strategies should only be done on European options, so none of the legs get assigned early.
@davehansen249410 ай бұрын
Hello, in the AMZN example, you would still own the stock, but take the loss on the put...so to own the stock is better ?
@freddonson543610 ай бұрын
Dr. Jim, you're the best, got so much out of this one
@notseekingconverts11 ай бұрын
When I roll a short option, my thinking is that I simply reset my premium and any gain beyond commissions is still a net gain. Am I wrong?
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Well the added premium does help with break-even points and overall credit collected, but it's not necessarily a net gain. The current value of the position has to be below what you've collected for that to be true.
@djayjp3 ай бұрын
30:19 The reference cited at the bottom here is incorrect.
@TherealMarkyMars11 ай бұрын
that's a great insight essentially leaving the wing open to act on any movement in the open direction. However it's not free, in the sense you would need (depending on the share prices) around 50k in collateral just for that one play.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
$50k margin only if you're cash-secured...in a margin account it's a fraction of that.
@seanbutler942911 ай бұрын
And if the stock goes down, you are on the hook for one of the short puts with no protection.
@jonathansims48611 ай бұрын
Dr. Jim, is it possible to have a stop loss order on the original ratio spread at whatever the break even point is? So either stock price drops and we exit the ratio spread as soon as P/L = $0 or stock stays same/rises and we wait to put the free Butterfly on?
@vasudevaramachandra270411 ай бұрын
For the butterfly scenario, can we not use a GTC limit order for the last wing to buy to open to make it a free butterfly ?
@msingh140311 ай бұрын
Very good comprehensive series! Thank you!
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Thanks so much for watching!
@ThatTURK111 ай бұрын
At 14:20 you said you will have a discussion for amount of gains.When do you think you will post a video about that?
@SvenskJim22211 ай бұрын
I really enjoyed the free butterfly segment. I think that’s what’s missing from many of the standard explanations of trading.
@koyomo291010 ай бұрын
Genius Dr. Jim. Thank you for the video. Showing it on the platform was Genius Genius.
@alexdasliebe539111 ай бұрын
Thanks so much, Tasty Live. Great informative content.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Awesome - thanks for watching!
@alexdasliebe539111 ай бұрын
Quick question,@@jschultzf3, isn’t setting up the “free butterfly” somewhat directional? How would I pick which wing to keep?
@MTtroutfisher40611 ай бұрын
Great explanation! Thank you!
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Really glad it helped so much - thanks for watching!
@tchitchikov11 ай бұрын
Great video - thank you Dr. Jim and TastyLive
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
You got it - thanks for watching!
@LMF-ct4lt11 ай бұрын
What is the advantage of selling covered calls at 47 days to exp compared to 7 dte? You are not receiving more premium per week. Is it true that time works for you when you buy options and works against you when you sell options?
@RomilCPatel11 ай бұрын
Gamma risk
@Tary8811 ай бұрын
Backwards selling options time works for you. Buying options time works against you.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
@@Tary88 This is the way
@davidgallimore965611 ай бұрын
Yo Yo Yo Dr Jimmbo, I thought you were going to tell us about the SPX Box trade. No risk and earn an interest like rate of return (legally capital gains). SPX cash settled, euro style contracts, no dividend kind of thing.
@jerseyjim622 ай бұрын
BOXX
@OurNewestMember13 күн бұрын
29:59 I thought there was also a tasty segment years ago with Tom and Tony showing that the return on capital is higher with selling OTM iron condors vs strangles.
@stebo298411 ай бұрын
These courses are pure gold 🥇
@SM-tk7qx11 ай бұрын
Can someone explain what the risk would look like if you did an atm iron butterfly along with an otm bought iron condor?
@bluesky558711 ай бұрын
Too complicated
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
@@bluesky5587 I second this.
@richbalkissoon53227 ай бұрын
are there any videos about combining broken wing butterflys with calendar spreads?
@Edu-hx9szАй бұрын
Well done, sir! Great lesson
@DavidKoontz11 ай бұрын
Great explanation on big picture risk. Q: on the free butterfly trade. Is there a way to use the GTC order for the lower wing? What am I missing?
@kesor611 ай бұрын
You are missing the bit where the price of the underlying goes lower before you get the chance to buy that leg. Should that happen, and the price goes lower by a lot, your short leg has the potential for a huge amount of loss that you need to take out of pocket.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Yes, you could certainly do that...set a GTC for that missing wing, to create the risk-free butterfly if/when the market allows for it.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
@@kesor6 yes, you have the same risk profile at the beginning of this strategy that you would have on a naked short put, which again, if sized the same is less than actual long stock itself. So any losses you might incur from the stock falling are actually less than what you would have to absorb on a long stock position.
@toniasabatini41748 ай бұрын
@@kesor6 LOL - True.
@dmitrikristensson96711 ай бұрын
Very interesting! Thank you!
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
You got it - thanks for watching!
@YIWOTY11 ай бұрын
What is the name of this ratio spread to potential risk-free butterfly trade strategy?
@traveling-around11 ай бұрын
Thanks good information. Do I now what good type trend for using this strategy pal? Cheer.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Typically a Put Ratio Spread is best used when you want positive deltas in your account, since the deltas are positive at trade entry. They do change over time and become negative deltas, though, so it may not be the best fit for everybody.
@joel379210 ай бұрын
For the Butterfly Strategy, it is NOT risk free if the market moves against you, causing that last leg to actually increase in price. The term should be "Locking in Profits" instead. I was vested in this video simply because i wondered what other risk free strategies outside of Collars exist.
@alessbrasil2511 ай бұрын
I’ve been buying lowers deltas that fit my account and I can deal with taking losses or letting it run for 40%+ gainers
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
So you're just buying naked premium?
@rhondaw27536 ай бұрын
LOVE your style! Thank you!
@Christine-v4s6 ай бұрын
I LOVE all your classes! Please keep posting great content. Thank you so much!
@rogerp14772 ай бұрын
What happens if the market goes down in free butterfly strategy, when you are still ratio spread phase and you haven't purchased the last wing? Thanks
@Alphahydro3 ай бұрын
Man this was pretty interesting. Thanks for your work.
@Lil_mar0011 ай бұрын
Brilliant!
@CoachDaisha24 күн бұрын
Lots of value provided!
@dr.jayphd765818 күн бұрын
Trading option never been easy. sold MSTR $250 Put For March. Made little $. roll call for evey 2 Weeks. Just using 15% of act for trading Option. Good luck trading😊
@tdiler123 ай бұрын
And then if your scenario plays out, you could complete the free butterfly as stated, then eventually return the risk to the trade and sell the first most valuable leg and buyback 1 short & turn the butterfly into a put credit spread and collect quite abit depending on time and proximity to 1st leg. A lot of things need to play out but its all fun.
@elynno991111 ай бұрын
As always appreciate your time n effort
@ehk802911 ай бұрын
How can the impact on margin be managed? By not having protection, the broker will require a greater margin to open the position
@MP2001TX11 ай бұрын
Terrific options education! Thank you Dr. JS
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Preciate you!
@panasonicfighter2 ай бұрын
I think the free butterfly idea is interesting but the risk of a ratio spread just be considered right? Also I’m about to automate this entire process and backtest it and see if it’s worthwhile
@sushzkruz11 ай бұрын
Hi Dr Jim, How much money you made last year & what was your account size? You guyz (you, Batisaz, Liz Dally) never disclose about your P&L.. How do we know your success rate?
@nationalnotes11 ай бұрын
Big if is if the market moves in your direction and basically breaking even on the trade. I don’t see the advantage vs selling a put (also a bullish strategy) and getting much better premium. Yes you can get assigned…but if you did your homework - read TA - you can always wheel out of it.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
I don't disagree that a short put might be a better strategy. I probably use short puts more than ratio spreads myself...but having the ratio into risk-free butterfly in your back pocket for special circumstances is a nice tool to have.
@Coronadotbird683 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@gutemaguutuu51176 ай бұрын
at 34:30 free butterfly 🦋 💜 ♥
@charlies828211 ай бұрын
Simply the best
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Preciate you!
@HappyHappyFun996 күн бұрын
43:00 This whole thing is missing the point and is dangerous advice; you're literally saying "if you don't buy insurance today and there's no hurricane, you just got free insurance for today!"
@SM-tk7qx11 ай бұрын
Enter the position and it goes down…?
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
That's where you risk is - just like a naked short put.
@wauttz4 ай бұрын
Awesomeness again
@TheLKStar9 ай бұрын
I heard that "free fly" strategy before, it's such nonsense. You're paying what you could've sold. Imagine you're a day trader and said you had no risk when adding to a winning position if your stop was higher than the start... no, you're risking your current profit. Maybe people do this for clicks, but these "marketing" nonsensical strategies only serve to confuse newbies.
@0DTE11 ай бұрын
The "riskless trade" would start out with a WHOLE LOTTA RISK! Particularly if the market decided to drop. No different than putting on a naked Put. Your strategy is HOPING for a Goldilocks scenario in order to make it riskless. Plus, the margin required would be enormous, and this strategy wouldn't be viable on any large-cap stock or index; the margin and buying power required would be through the roof.
@kesor611 ай бұрын
He didn't really say it was riskless, he just said it was free. Free + huge risk trade that will get you bankrupt if you are not lucky.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Correct - there is risk at trade entry, as I explained in the video. Sadly, we can't just sell risk-free strategies all day long from the start :) And if you have a cash-secured account, then yes, the margin is significant, but if you have a standard margin account, the margins are a fraction of what is required in a cash-secured account.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
@@kesor6 lol this is the exact point I was making in the beginning of the video. Options don't have to be any riskier than long stock and can easily be LESS RISKY when sized is matched. So if avoiding bankruptcy is your goal, you'll be glad you used options because you'll stay solvent longer than you would with stock.
@Narcissist863 ай бұрын
You can always set up a broken wing fly to leg into the "riskless" trade he mentioned without the huge risk and margin requirements. For an account names 0 DTE you seem to be intentionally obtuse or ignorant about options.
@0DTE3 ай бұрын
@@Narcissist86 You apparently don't understand risk.
@larlarkrumble757832 минут бұрын
On your “Riskless Trade, theMargin requirement would be prohibitive and if the stock falls before you buy the last leg, last leg could be more expensive. If it falls fast and deep enough, you could be exercised on
@larlarkrumble757830 минут бұрын
And I might add, if one decides to do this, do it with a stock you wouldn’t mind owning.
@June-z5y2 ай бұрын
well intended teaching material but i am sorry but with all due respect, could you please not uptalk so much? The rising inflection makes it very difficult to watch the entire video. ANd I wish you wouldn't say the same thing over and over- I get the fact that you are making sa point, but remember, your goal is to teach--- and not about complaining how safe options are- for the 30th time- as even self acknowledged. It really doesn't make it any more effective- in fact, it's the opposite effect as one cannot get through the material, due to more than 50% of the video length is dedicated to repeating those sentences \.
@Robertwarren-m4x16 күн бұрын
Thanks for your efforts Marketfeed, very interesting and useful Video, I like the way you have explained stocks, you are just like my Mentor, her strategies helps beginners to earn in the market without loss.
@rugu162 ай бұрын
Could have been a 10 min video
@dgaz305710 ай бұрын
and here comes the sales pitch
@pelefuentes198811 ай бұрын
LG!!! Dr Jim
@SomeGuy-xp6qf19 күн бұрын
If the ratio spread loses money first, then the whole free money concept and any savings are negated many times over, and you won't have confidence to try again. This whole strategy can be called "win first" then cover your position. If you're going to win first, why waste time with this high risk ratio spread at all.
@johnmoser116211 ай бұрын
Sorry Dr Jim ... I really appreciate what you do. Buut ... obviously there is no simple recipe to make money. And therefore this is pretty much hot air. You need to have an EDGE - and that is not explained ... 🙂 ... and if you had the edge to make "millions" then why should you tell us ... for FREE ?!
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Totally agree - maybe I'm just that nice of a guy ;)
@johnmoser116211 ай бұрын
@@jschultzf3 I mean seriously - we can apply Einstein's theory of special relativity to options trading. But isn't the "edge" as "simple" as to know if the price goes up, down or stays at the same level ? Why are we not investing a lot lot more time into these topics ?
@Lee-pr7ts3 ай бұрын
Mr Moser showed himself to not be a person who has taken a deep dive into Tasty. Mr Moser should have an open mind and take a good look at it. It just might open his eyes and change his life. There is no better readily-available data out there than what Tasty offers up. Not even close. @jschultzf3
@talalztube6 ай бұрын
This is tricky for newbies to follow for covered calls he casually said “if you have 100 shares of msft” instead of saying you need to have a min of 100 shares of the stocks to trade covered calls
@WiCapitalco11 ай бұрын
Just collar everything
@kesor611 ай бұрын
So a naked put, a prayer, and a put spread. Better hope the gods of luck hear your prayer, or your “free” trade is going to put you in bankruptcy court.
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
Provably less risky than long stock
@eliefeinstein618211 ай бұрын
Please cut it out with the BS titles.
@chillin3637 ай бұрын
May I suggest that you eep the passionate bleeding boil out of the mix. It confuses the issue. imo I do not even want to listen to the rest now.
@NotserpSsor2 ай бұрын
No one ever talks about the iron gonad spread
@abrahamgomez65311 ай бұрын
Options have limited risk. If you go naked then that changes everything 😂
@jschultzf311 ай бұрын
And by changes everything you obviously mean has a higher probability of success than long stock along with less risk when matched for size ;)
@abrahamgomez65311 ай бұрын
@@jschultzf3 Only if there is manipulation. Going long on a direct option has very limited risk. You might break even but it's simply insurance. People that go short are gamblers and I don't gamble.
@0DTE11 ай бұрын
I would also note that all your high-probability trades, which you equate with low risk, are extremely risky, as the maximum loss is multiple times the expected profit. If the market moves against you, your position will be in peril. Particularly since you are expecting these positions to expire.
@johnmoser116211 ай бұрын
So do you have a better example ? [edit: it's all math - the lower the risk the lower the profit and the higher the total loss. But again - it's all calculated ...]
@0DTE11 ай бұрын
Your are incorrectly conflating risk with win rate. High win rate has small profitspotentially high risk. Low win rate has potentially big profits and small risk.
@johnmoser116211 ай бұрын
@@0DTE Risk is related to win rate. So simple. ... oh and you are the guy with the "batman" strategy. Yep ... another failure.
@roberttarrant764611 ай бұрын
I find this thread a distraction. Risk and management of that risk contains several important elements. By "all" high probability trades I presume you mean "all" defined risk strategies ? Where by definition, the risk in the trade is the difference between the Net Credit collected and the width of the credit spread. Often the risk to loss in the trade is much larger than the potential reward, say risk 2 to make 1. In my experience, repairing such a trade gone wrong (i.e. getting run over) requires a good bit of tactical trading skill. Tasty maintains an extensive video library on trade management and refers to these tactics as Tasty mechanics, and to the risk to loss in the trade (I think) you are referring to as the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR). There is so much jargon in the trading business I thought I might include this mini-glossary with a view to help others understand this subject of risk better. Additionally as a practical matter, trading defined risk strategies require significant trading capital, and approx. 3x the CVaR to repair a trade. On the 0dte " batman" trade mentioned here, there is a completely different set of tactics which I have not studied because I do not qualify for trading this strategy properly within the rules for pattern day trading and thus I am limited to paper trading this completely different strategy. My only advice is to understand risk management as it relates to your particular strategy before putting your hard earned dollars at risk. Hope this helps everyone.
@Al.Aranzaso-Miras11 ай бұрын
What is the probability of that "IF"?
@thegoodoneist6 ай бұрын
Total nonsense about free butterfly. You only assumed market up, never considered market down.
@dawid.niestroj604510 ай бұрын
Have a 70 Dollar Spread go against me in one night to a 1200 dollar ..... So pls the are so many dangers!!!!
Absolutely not true that options are not riskier than stocks lol.
@DimebagDerekS3 ай бұрын
Do you even trade options? Did you watch the video? It definitely can be as high risk/low risk as you want to play it. I like adding the time component as a variable you can manipulate. As long as the company has solid fundamentals and valuation models agree with whatever your assumptions are, then barring the stock just completely shitting the bed, you should do just fine with less risky options that can help hedge some moves against you. Is it printing money....no. Do you get black swan moves that leave your call in a bad spot capping your upside or forcing you to buy way below market....absolutely. Even a lot of those scenarios though can be defended some if you want to really do some low risk trading and not just redeploy your capital. The Japanese market drop a few months ago had one of my puts in what I would consider a danger zone for being exercised. If it happened I would have owned the stock at a good price, albeit below the current market value....but already prices are way above what my breakeven would've been. But I rolled out, grabbed more premium, and then the stock bounced back and made a 6 percent gain (vs the amount of capital I had tied up securing the put) when the put finally expired. Either way I was satisfied with the result I would have had to deal with. Plus if a stock just really tanks you can always sell and harvest the loss for a few years to recoup on your taxes. I have to agree with Jim and say it is not as risky as most people think...if you don't have a gambling problem.