Unemployment is about to explode. Fed will be forced to cut rates.

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Reventure Consulting

Reventure Consulting

29 күн бұрын

The unemployment rate in America has risen from 3.4% to 4.1%, with the raw number of unemployed Americans spiking over the last year. The net result is that the US economy is inching closer and closer to recession.
Historically - when the unemployment rate increases this much in a short period of time, it signals that the economy is building negative momentum that becomes self-reinforcing, and eventually results in a widespread recession.
This same increase in unemployment occurred in late 2007 and mid-2000 before the Great Financial Crisis and Dotcom Bubble Bursting.
Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve are closely monitoring these numbers. And they will likely cut interest rates at some point later this year to help the economy. The question is if it will be too little, too late.
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Пікірлер: 1 800
@ReventureConsulting
@ReventureConsulting 21 күн бұрын
They're trying to make it seem like the increase in unemployment is small.
@JacobPaul-n6p
@JacobPaul-n6p Күн бұрын
The fact that there is already an excessive amount of demand awaiting its absorption, despite how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, is another reason why it is less likely to occur that way. 2008 saw no one, at least not the broad public, making this forecast, as I'll explain below. The ownership rate was noted to have peaked in 2004 in the other comment. Having previously peaked in the second quarter of 2020, we are currently at the median level. Between 2008 and 2012, it dropped by 3%, and by the second quarter of 2020, it had dropped from 68 to 65.
@Pat_laura22
@Pat_laura22 19 сағат бұрын
I recognize the hardships that come with economic struggles like unemployment, job loss, inflation, housing market instability, political uncertainties, and the global impact of conflicts and wars. Making ends meet during such times can be incredibly challenging. To navigate this difficult period, considering alternative job prospects, enhancing skills through online courses, and expanding your network can heighten the chances of securing employment. Moreover, prudent budgeting, exploring available financial aid programs, and seeking assistance from community organizations can offer some relief. How are you currently tackling these challenges? Have you implemented any specific strategies to cope?
@Beatricegove733
@Beatricegove733 14 күн бұрын
The Fed's talk of interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
@nicolasbenson009
@nicolasbenson009 21 күн бұрын
I see the rising interest rate as a very big problem, as more investors will definitely pull out more money from the Stock market. This might have worked when I was still invest-ing with a couple thousand dollars, but it is more difficult now to decide whether to pull out more than $365k from my port-folio. I know some inves-tors still make that despite the strong bear market. In wish I could pull that feat
@christopherduff1641
@christopherduff1641 21 күн бұрын
I have an engineering degree and got layed off last year. Working 60 hours a week to earn 20% less doing warehouse jobs/ gig economy. Job data is a joke. No one is hiring
@kare7840
@kare7840 21 күн бұрын
It's already a quiet depression. So many people with blinders on.
@williamrinaldi1808
@williamrinaldi1808 21 күн бұрын
Laid off Senior Software Engineer. Most jobs receive several hundred, if not thousands, of applications. The job market is broken.
@kendavies8351
@kendavies8351 21 күн бұрын
Don’t be fooled stocks are not the economy, I had 250k put aside waiting for the fed to stop raising rates. Now I want to get back into the markets, but the hike might continue and stocks will still climb, I’m confused on how to strategise and happy to discuss.
@Dantursi1
@Dantursi1 Күн бұрын
I was part of the recent layoffs at twitter and this bites hard. Grateful that I kept some savings about 600k tho! Now I am looking for ways to invest this into the stock market to generate good dividends to supplement for my monthly expenses.
@msbethmildhyperbaricoxygen6392
@msbethmildhyperbaricoxygen6392 21 күн бұрын
Then there are people like my husband and I that don’t qualify for unemployment and aren’t counted. He has an interview today, first in 7 months.
@keithwalter286
@keithwalter286 14 күн бұрын
Given the persisting global economic crisis, it's essential for individuals to focus on diversifying their income streams independent of governmental reliance. This involves exploring options such as stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the adversity in the economy, now is an opportune moment to contemplate these investment avenues.
@marivega3294
@marivega3294 21 күн бұрын
Since January 2024 I have applied to over 200 listings and I've only had one interview.... and that's with several years of experience in the industry AND while being employed.
@nameblocked
@nameblocked 21 күн бұрын
The Fed should be raising rates until the price of real estate and automobiles are cut at least 60%. Low rates are what got us here.
@AJ-ox8xy
@AJ-ox8xy 21 күн бұрын
I am a HVAC journeyman. I work on all kinds of boilers, furnaces, ACs, heat pumps, appliances, etc. Basically anything that deals with cooling or heating or some kind of plumbing or mechanical system, I work on it.
@k.williamelliott7969
@k.williamelliott7969 21 күн бұрын
Jerome said a year ago people would lose their jobs in the effort to get to 2%. He made good on his promise.
@TheRokaphella
@TheRokaphella 21 күн бұрын
Yeah... houses doubling in price these last 2 to 3 years is ABSOLUTE INSANITY😂😂
@Scotpatriot
@Scotpatriot 21 күн бұрын
The fed is caught between a rock and a hard place. This is going to be Epic
@BayouRepairGuy
@BayouRepairGuy 21 күн бұрын
This is what I laugh at, even if they cut rates, rates wont go down because nobody will buy our debts at lower rates
@joe7665
@joe7665 21 күн бұрын
The company my lady is working at started layoffs yesterday ....
Market crash warning. Unemployment just spiked to Recession Levels.
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