Reviewing Islanders vs Hurricanes Game Five

[@TheZenomeProject]

Notable statistic: the Canes are the first team in 25 seasons to win 6 straight 1st-round playoff matchups. The last team to do so was the 1995-2000 Red Wings. Carolina, despite a lot of people's skepticism due to those two ECF sweeps, are generally a model for consistency in the postseason.

[@hurricane3033]

Bubble was a first round loss

[@HarryRiceHockey]

They should not be a model for that lmao. They haven't done anything. They've won 0 cups in those 6 years, they've gotten swept twice in the ECF because they can't handle playing the cream of the crop, and overall it's an insult to even compare them to the empire Red Wings of the late 90s and 2000s.

[@TheZenomeProject]

@@hurricane3033 The league unofficially counts the play-in as the 1st round in that weird COVID year.

[@TheZenomeProject]

@@HarryRiceHockey Dismiss these guys at your own peril. They're not the Dynasty-era Red Wings yet, of course. The first round record, though, does show that the Canes are pretty consistent at winning at least one round in a playoffs. In a tortoise vs. hare race, the Brindy-era Canes are like a tortoise.

[@maxfish4270]

@@HarryRiceHockey The Canes playoff streak started with beating Division champ Capitals the season after their Cup win then sweeping 5th most points that season Islanders. and last season included a win over 3rd most points in the league New Jersey.

[@commandershephard5139]

Awesome. We beat New York in the first round. Now on to…. New York 😂

[@benderbendingrodriguez420]

🎵New York,New York🎵

[@aaa-fv3xk]

Islanders fan here. There's a good chunk of the fan base that would love to see this team/core blown up and start fresh, but this series proves to anyone who actually watched it that this team still has some fight left in it. the older vets and players (Martin, Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo) will be sent to pasture and cap space can be freed up by moving on from certain players who aren't developing. the prospect situation is obviously pretty poor, so they'll have to look to the trade or free agent market to fill the gaps. Would not be surprised if we chose to move on from other players whose deals are expiring next year like palmieri, but those calling for pageau or lee to be moved out are delusional. Lee had a shaky start to this season but he was our best player this series and the line with him, pageau and engvall kept us in this series. Mike Reilly should absolutely be brought back and can pair well with scott mayfield when he returns from injury next year and will fill out our defensive core rather well. and i'm sure Sorokin will return to form next year; Varlamov had a great end to the year but he took a team friendly deal to stay on long island and understands that his role is to backup/mentor Ilya. having Roy as a coach certainly doesnt hurt in that regard, and i do think he is the guy to carry us forward

[@FalloutUrMum]

I'm a Hurricanes fan, agree with you. Islanders need to keep their core but switch up a few pieces and they'll be great. They play a similar style to the Hurricanes, just not as well. They're where they need to be, they're making the playoffs, they need to assess what's missing and add it

[@mmac8462]

Canes fan as well. I was impressed wtih the Isles. What impressed me most was the transition that Roy made on the team. Usually its a hard hitting , slogging game but the Isles looked dangerous with their offense and speed.

[@yoholmes273]

Isles stink. And are sooooo old. Changes MUST be swift.

[@sydcash1626]

Canes fans: Isles are a solid team with good goaltending (whether it's Varmarlov or Sorokin). I would say they need an additional goal scorer but I like the way they play, actually pretty similarly to the Canes. I think they are a solid goal scorer from being able to make it out of the first round.

[@FloatingForestPedals]

I can’t believe we signed mayfield to 7. My main complaint with Lou this year

[@J_Aaron_L]

Isles: We went to the playoffs and all we got were these lousy shirts.

[@jebt7]

Go Canes! Let’s keep it up

[@ryans3795]

I'd say the isles play a style of hockey that carolina is not so good against. Thay said, the scoring has been there at the moment and they still found rhe chances with a bunch of pressure. The rangers managed to keep the smallest of margins ahead of carolina in the regular season. This should be an absolute battle, but I think the islanders prepared carolina more for the next round than the capitals dis for new York.

[@kevinwong1988]

Props to Patrick Roy for the work in Islanders organisation.

[@purplebeard1526]

Good to finish that one off. I think that physical play starts next round. While we won, the Canes didn't look like the Canes and they'll need to get right before the Rangers series.

[@dealy9268]

The Canes do not play good against teams they should beet

[@nchondakid]

I think people were slightly underrating the Islanders before this series. Yes they were OTL merchants during the regular season and had less wins than some teams that didn't make the playoffs, but they are a hard working team that gave some of the top teams in the league trouble over the course of the season. Perhaps the Canes kind of underestimated them as well.

[@dealy9268]

If you are a Canes fan for most of the season and then turn coat when the Rangers are in town DO NOT COME IN PNC!!!!!

[@IceUp17]

The Kuzy Krawl is one of the most suspenseful penalty shots you'll ever sit through

[@yoholmes273]

It's cringe. An embarrassment to the sport.

[@lukestange]

@@yoholmes273i wouldn't say that, it's more clever than anything. it's entirely within the rules of the game, just nobody else thinks to do it

[@fullcircle8231]

@yoholmes273 what's cringe is how you were so open to tell us how ignorant you are.

[@iAmCyberwaste]

You're not meant to fish in a hurricane...

[@SOLIDERjee]

I dont think Canes ahve played full 60mins yet, this game they finally started strong but their 2nd period was suspect, Rags vs Canes should be amazing hockey to watch

[@canesfan1526]

Felt like the islanders just have something that keeps the canes on their toes. Thankfully Seth Jarvis stepped up big this series and leads the team into round 2.

[@dealy9268]

The Canes skill match! When playing great teams they play great, when playing less of a team they play like less of a team. That first period of game five is how the entire series should have looked.

[@GlitchedPerception]

It’s called cheapshots.

[@hurricane3033]

The way the canes played throughout this series doesnt have me too hopefull that they will be able to take down the rags. They need to completely hit the reset button during this off time, because that was NOT hurricanes hockey at any point in that series other than the second half of game 2.

[@jnerdsblog]

I dunno, I feel like we were playing against a team that matches up well against us...many people pointed out they play our style, though we do it better, and I think the overall results show that.

[@antimatter2380]

As a rangers fan, I'm glad to hear that cause I'd so rather be facing the isles.

[@dealy9268]

The cane play better against good teams.

[@_KRose]

Not much of a surprise that 2 of the first 4 teams to go out, and so quickly at that, are the two bottom seeds out of the Metro

[@jacobmurphy4994]

I feel like they should let round one play out first before scheduling anything for round 2

[@lukewaggoner9513]

What a pair of collapses by the Isles. St. Patrick is gonna be bag skating that team all summer.

[@bsfm6990]

I don’t know how to feel about Carolina they were good but not felt great but also they match well against NYR

[@ryans3795]

The islanders were a much netter practice for the rangers vs caroliba match than the capitals were for carolina style of play.

[@dealy9268]

The Canes need to stop skill matching. They play better against tougher apponents than they do against teams they should beat. The entire first period should have looked like the first period of last nights game.

[@jacobmurphy4994]

A lot of people also felt as if carolina didn’t give it their all, perhaps they were saving it for rounds 2 and 3

[@smadas4192]

They barely beat the isle, if you think the will beat the rags your delusional!

[@jacobmurphy4994]

@@smadas4192 Wouldn’t that mean the canes will be well more prepared to go against the rags after battling it out with a respectable islanders team. The rags basically swept a lottery team who stumbled their way into the playoffs in which should’ve been Detroit’s spot. Sweeping a team with a -37 differential.

[@seanragsdale5636]

So does Lou stay or go? His desperation hire in Roy got them into the playoffs but I don’t see the contender they were under Trotz.

[@smadas4192]

Roy is signed for 3 yrs!

[@klompsauce]

T A K E W A R N I N G

[@pyrielrising4338]

A lot of work to do on the Island...let's hope ownership will take the time away from property development to hire a team that can build a winning hockey team. The fans deserve that much.

[@stevezeidman7224]

I don’t understand how two conference finals in five years is bad. I didn’t feel any of the former teams were really cup contenders. I don’t buy they were underachievers. The team was short on scoring. They had difficult injuries. They played to the level they were at.

[@MikeVernonProd]

So gutted for the Isles. They fought so hard to make the playoffs and then the bounces just didn’t go their way. We needed a win in game two that’s the loss that defined the series.

[@robertsquared2916]

If you want game one to be Saturday you better hope the Knicks win tomorrow because if they don’t game 7 is Saturday

[@sporteguy03]

Service Now NHL tonight picks should;d be interesting for next series.

[@BlakeWheelersBurnerAccount]

They shouldn’t start round 2 while round 1 is going on. Why are teams that finish series early be punished?

[@jackharrington697]

Islanders fan here. There's a good chunk of the fan base that would love to see this team/core blown up and start fresh, but this series proves to anyone who actually watched it that this team still has some fight left in it. the older vets and players (Martin, Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo) will be sent to pasture and cap space can be freed up by moving on from certain players who aren't developing. the prospect situation is obviously pretty poor, so they'll have to look to the trade or free agent market to fill the gaps.

[@jefflarson1652]

Copy paste from someone else or just forget that you posted this already here on your other account?

[@aaa-fv3xk]

@@jefflarson1652 can i sue for copyright infringement hahaha

[@tee_es_bee]

Better team won. 🧡💛🧡

[@smadas4192]

Series could have been different! Carolina doesn't Impress my and I don't see them getting out of the east!

[@bartphlegar8212]

So Varlamov was the one who got caught in the men's room! Something I've been fearing Andersen would do. (It's okay. He still has time... 🤣...)...No, dammit! I don't hate Andersen! But we need that fear innoculation after watching him and Raanta open the season going behind the barn mulitple misfortunate times...A tip of the cap to Patrick Roy and the New York Islanders! They've been peddling all uphill since the All Star break, and it kinda showed. It was a bit of a snakebit series for them, but they have nothing to feel ashamed of. The Devils were supposed to be here. Not the Isles...On to MSG...I've got a headache already...

[@suavelysinister]

Hope my canes can get it done but they have started looking sloppy. I guess it's about that time. Biggest knock has always been their lack of physicality, soft checks, out muscled, pushed around in front of net.

[@JamiesCaniacManiac]

NY killers ready for action, lets go Canes!

[@gaoutlaw]

Thrashers pennant on the middle of the back wall 😢

[@davidfitzpatrick6535]

5:10 ur a goalie in the words of Steve Dangle TEND THE GOAL! It drives me NUTS when I see a goalie in the offensive zone play the puck when ur team is on the defense.

[@jnerdsblog]

1) Called it, Canes in 5. Woo!!! For the next series...Canes in 6, though my gut is telling me I should maybe say 7. But officially saying 6. 2) Are those Varlamov numbers right? I get one was an ENG, but if he was 33 for 37 then that's 4+1 for 5 GA. Is there another reason a goal scored might not count in the tally?

[@mmac8462]

Guess the penalty shot wasn't counted as a goal against just like a shootout goal.,,,

[@smadas4192]

See what happens!? Sorokin gets the bet beck next year at $8.5 miln

[@louscannon7493]

Nice work Caniacs, but you do know who NY is bringing with them right?

[@MP-ix2jo]

HIV?

[@dealy9268]

High taxes and high crime rate?

[@fullcircle8231]

@louscannon7493 unless NY is bringing Jesus himself... not gonna help them win💀😂

[@louisbuss6068]

I also thought... Nnnooo

[@dealy9268]

Glad this series is over. The Canes lost Pesce in this series. The Canes need to stop skill matching. They play great against great teams but not so good against teams they shouldn't have an issue with. The entire series should have looked like the first period in last nights game. (Game 5) TDA needs to be on a short leash as he lets the Ranger fans live rent free in his head.

[@elij4h13]

Rangers in 6

[@Koolasso]

Such a Herculean effort by the isles. A shame it ended from bad luck. Series really could’ve went either way. I don’t think the isles are really that far from beating canes. A few adjustments in the offseason and a full training camp with Roy could do it

[@poejavelski148]

I disagree based on the stats. I think the Isles matchup horribly against the Canes. I created a logistic regression model that predicts series winners with 80% accuracy, and mine gave the Hurricanes a 96% chance to win this series. All 22 variables that I used in the model the Hurricanes had a better statistic. The Isles basically play a similar style to the Canes, but are worse in just about every way. Not an insult to the Isles, but rather a compliment to the Canes for how good of a team they are.

[@Koolasso]

@@poejavelski148 Personally I doubt that your model actually has 80% accuracy in predicting series wins. If you did you should be making billions winning every bet and predicting every bracket. What variables are you using in your subset selection? What data? Is it randomized? Does it follow a normal distribution? Is there an equal variance? What other assumptions can you make with your model? Logistic regression, so you’re using categorical variables to predict the outcomes of hockey series wins and they all have a high as fuck correlation coefficient? You’re talking to a data scientist bro. And as a data scientist I can deff say you cannot predict everything in sports. Every single game if you actually watched them were very close. They are not far away from beating them EDIT: Also, 22 variables sounds like overfitting. You need to do cross validation to make sure that isn’t the case, otherwise you’re getting misleading r-squared values, coefficients etc. which sounds like that’s the case.

[@poejavelski148]

@@Koolasso Brother, 80% is not good enough to be making billions 😂 I don’t think you understand how betting spreads work. Either way, my model was pretty damn accurate for this series. You can’t talk about overfitting without also mentioning the sample size, which I never mentioned. Idk why you got defensive, but the fact is the Canes are leagues better than the Isles.

[@GlitchedPerception]

I hate the Isles because they play dirty. Cheapshotting crosschecks for the first 4 games then “the memo” hit the league and they started calling that shit in every playoff game.

[@jamesruscheinski8602]

NY Islanders not too far away from competing to advance to second round with Cup contender

[@s.p.8508]

First things first, Lou needs to be fired and it needs to have happened 3 years ago.

[@yoholmes273]

Lou and Roy are the reason this trash team made the playoffs

[@s.p.8508]

@@yoholmes273 Roy yes, Lou… well, he did hire Roy so there is that. There is one key word in there bud. “Trash” team. Lou has had 6 years to build this team, and this steaming pile of turd is the best he could do. He’s handicapped this team for the next 10 years with awful contracts and trading away every draft pick he could like it’s candy. This team is nowhere near contender status. We are now a perennial bubble team because of that dinosaur in the GM seat. He has no vision at all. No thought for the future success of this team.

[@ddog23796]

I feel the need to apologize to Islanders fans. I tuned in to only two third periods of this series, and within 5 seconds they rapidly gave up two goals. Good luck next season, I'll try not to curse you 🫡