[SCENARIO] what if Biden stayed in the race

[@beh802]

Wrong, Biden would win over 500 electoral votes just like he did last time before Obama rigged it.

[@LucasVini19836]

I laughed so hard at this comment that I even pinned it

[@efeozturk3047]

I belive Virginia would also go red under 1%, but the rest seems pretty accurate!

[@anonymike8280]

The big answer is, not much. Most people are party voters, and the national election decided by the people who think it's about the pothole on their street.

[@LucasVini19836]

Basically independents decide

[@LucasVini19836]

For me, independents decide elections since 2004

[@theriskinator5736]

@@LucasVini19836why do independents decide?

[@LucasVini19836]

@@theriskinator5736 divided nation

[@Phintan9]

​@@theriskinator5736because the vast majority of other people vote based on party Independents decide who they vote based on the candidate

[@dominicanball2361]

Basically, New Mexico, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Maine (except for distric 1) go red.

[@LucasVini19836]

@dominicanball2361 yea

[@LucasVini19836]

@dominicanball2361 yay a countryball channel

[@dominicanball2361]

@@LucasVini19836 what's up 🗣🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

[@LucasVini19836]

@dominicanball2361 🗣️🗣️🗣️🔥🔥🔥🔥

[@roundears]

this map was my kamala vs trump prediction

[@altaccoubt8566]

I still see colorado a +10 point win even with biden Colorado is way too long gone for republicans

[@LucasVini19836]

I agree that Colorado is long gone for republicans, but I doubt that Colorado would give +10 points even with Biden

[@matt_is_him]

I’m your 100th subscriber

[@LucasVini19836]

@@matt_is_him thank you very much :)

[@LucasVini19836]

6:40 Utah have 6 EV not 4, sorry citizens of Utah for the mistake :/

[@sjvv4961]

Trump definently would’ve won Virginia by atleast 3 point of Biden stayed in

[@LucasVini19836]

@sjvv4961 I don't doubt that he could win Virginia but I already disagree with 3 points

[@sjvv4961]

@@LucasVini19836most polling shows him up by a lot and even still it was pretty close and New Jersey being closer then Virginia is just absurd

[@LucasVini19836]

@sjvv4961 new jersey swing more red than Virginia this election

[@sjvv4961]

@ no? Nee Jesus went 52% for Kamala and 46.1 for Trump and Virginia went 51.8% for Kamala and 46.6 for Trump

[@LucasVini19836]

@sjvv4961 but in 2020 Biden got 57% whole Trump 41% in New Jersey In Virginia Biden got 54% whole Trump 44%

[@fluffy8596]

Did you use a website for this? I want to try this? And does the website tell you the exact votes the candidate has?

[@LucasVini19836]

I used TinyElectoSIM for % confirm. And Yapms for EV confirm

[@fluffy8596]

@@LucasVini19836 okay thank you so much.

[@fluffy8596]

@@LucasVini19836 could you put a link for the tinyelecto

[@fluffy8596]

@@LucasVini19836 can you send me link the the tiny electo website and I’m confused how to do it

[@fluffy8596]

@@LucasVini19836 how do you use the tinyelecto website?

[@LucasVini19836]

1:07 for those who can't see, it's 17.884 votes for others

[@fluffy8596]

How do you use the tiny elect website? I’m confused

[@LucasVini19836]

I used the app. Not the website

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

What would Senate and House look like in this scenario?

[@LucasVini19836]

@Ethan-eo9vg i I didn't make a map about it, but maybe it could be for a future video

[@JoySchmidt-j2m]

Whats the name of the last song that plays during the final election map? 7:38 I cant find the song anywhere

[@LucasVini19836]

@@JoySchmidt-j2m kzbin.info/www/bejne/np24dJ-rhJpmfqMsi=aZO5U756aHUvLyaw

[@hornbadger2853]

The thing is that before Biden dropped out there was social pressure to NOT vote Biden but when Harris came in it became pressure to NOT vote Trump. I think Biden would have been slightly underestimated in the polls with a similar result to with Harris but maybe a point worse with no states flipping.

[@LucasVini19836]

Like what points of Biden underestimate?

[@LucasVini19836]

1:12 for those o can't see, it's 220.053 votes for trump

[@Joemama..]

Im just curious, why do you have some places like Hawaii and Maryland actually shifting to the left? I could easily see both get under 20 in this scenario. Otherwise good video 👍

[@LucasVini19836]

Only Maryland and Hawaii?

[@LucasVini19836]

If not, please tell me what the other places are

[@J7Handle]

@@LucasVini19836 those were the only ones I saw bluer than IRL. Hawaii and Maryland. Just an accident, I guess? I don’t see any particular advantage Biden would have over Harris specifically in those two states. In fact, I think Hawaii would be under 20 points.

[@LucasVini19836]

@J7Handle Maryland it's very close to the Dixie's, and Maryland shares some similarly to Dixie's, and Dixie's mostly prefer Biden than Harris, and Hawaii it's accident yet

[@J7Handle]

@ I see

[@joerules829]

The second song sounds like an 80’s cartoon theme song.

[@user-vz3nz5hk3o]

california only going one more point to the right seems a little questionable

[@Random_user274]

Suggestion: What if Cheney ran against Obama in 2008

[@LucasVini19836]

@Random_user274 noted ✅️ However, since I'm making 2 videos, your scenario will probably take a while, but it should be out before 2025

[@bigverybadtom]

His autobiography indicated that he really did not want to be vice President to begin with.

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

I think VA would narrowly go for Trump and Lake, Hovde, Rogers, and Sam brown would win their Senate races

[@LucasVini19836]

@Ethan-eo9vg I don't rule out the possibility of Virginia giving Trump a victory in this reality, but the actual result in Virginia was close to previous Virginia results, so I can't say for sure

[@gabegamer1167]

I would feel happier because third parties would get more votes

[@BrandonPinkham-k8x]

Yea the outcome wouldn’t have changed much if any great video!!

[@l0lsenator]

4:30 RED BERGEN 🔥🔥🔥

[@leventenyerges]

WHAT THE NAME OF THE MUSICS?

[@LucasVini19836]

@@leventenyerges Second music: kzbin.info/www/bejne/fHrLeJ2LgaZ_fsksi=N2CZIc9rLWNXVij3

[@SpillerPåIsenForStjernen]

Pretty unrealistic but still cool 👍

[@LucasVini19836]

@@SpillerPåIsenForStjernen 👍

[@koala7258]

​@LucasVini19836 nh would of gone blue...

[@sillydave5544]

​@@koala7258 NH was closer than the "swing" state of Arizona. Trump very easily could have won it with Biden on the democratic ticket.

[@DavidRichardson-yb3ef]

Some margins seem exaggerated, some seem realistic. I think it goes a tad overboard. The fundamentals of the race would still be the same more or less. In our timeline trump won the popular vote by about 1.5%, you have it a 7 point win in this scenario. Not totally ridiculous, but this country is extremely polarized and divided. It probably would have been a 5 point trump win. The math probably isn’t there to stretch it much more than that. I could be wrong but that’s my opinion

[@LucasVini19836]

@@DavidRichardson-yb3ef yea I see that some were exaggerated

[@AlGore2028]

I disagree I prefered Biden over Harris and in the area I live it was a very similar trend so I belive Biden would have done better.

[@LucasVini19836]

@@AlGore2028 what area did you live then?

[@LucasVini19836]

@@AlGore2028 Dixie's area?

[@AlGore2028]

@@LucasVini19836 no

[@AlGore2028]

@@LucasVini19836 Bay area.

[@LucasVini19836]

@CyanRedTan so, what area is?

[@charlesbaker7505]

I disagree with Virginia & New Jersey

[@koala7258]

New hampshire would have not gone red...

[@LucasVini19836]

@@koala7258 why not?

[@WyattTomlin]

@@LucasVini19836 you are very biased, I'll say that. Not saying I'm not personally, but you take it to another level. New Hampshire might have gone for Trump but not by a likely margin. I would say that Biden might have even won the state by a little less than a percentage point. They are a somewhat modestly fiscally conservative but socially very liberal state. I have seen numerous interviews and talks of former-Trump voters switching on him and voting for Biden in 2020, who did 7% better than Hillary Clinton did just four years earlier. Hey decent video though! That definitely had to take time and lots of effort. I'm assuming that we are on opposing political sides because of the pro-Trump (somewhat odd 🤣) music in the background, but appreciate the video nonetheless. I gave it a thumbs up! 👍

[@LucasVini19836]

@WyattTomlin oh yeah, I mistaked in new Hampshire, sorry, but the songs background I choose exclusively because that trump would win in this scenario, lol

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

@@WyattTomlin OMG BRO GO AWAY

[@dizzy_jump]

@@WyattTomlinshortest liberal comment

[@J0riS]

If Biden stayed, Kennedy would have stayed too. So I think Trump would've gotten 1-2 point less of what he got, but Biden would've done 5-6 points worse compared to Harris, and Kennedy would receive 8-10 percent of the vote

[@LucasVini19836]

@@J0riS oh right, Yes, but i think That Kennedy would stollen more votes of Trump than Kennedy, in this scenario, i choosed That Kennedy drops out in around of final june to mid july

[@LucasVini19836]

@@J0riS but Kennedy would not be around 8% of The votes anyway, only in his Best scenario possible, i think He would that a percentage similar to Gary Johnson 2016, 3%

[@J0riS]

@@LucasVini19836 I wouldn't be so sure, many would defect from Biden to vote for him imo

[@LucasVini19836]

​@@J0riSmaybe a part of democrats electors could go to Stein too

[@PlaysRoblox36]

that is not the flag of missipi

[@LucasVini19836]

@@PlaysRoblox36 yes I know I forgot to change

[@LucasVini19836]

7:48 others received 2.16% not 2.17%

[@LazyClown48]

Trump would have won Virginia, and NC would be by 5% not close to 10.

[@LucasVini19836]

@LazyClown48 I don't doubt that Trump could win Virginia, but the actual result in Virginia was close to the others, so I don't think it would be in 2024 to flip red(at least, depending of trump adminstration, could flip in 2028)

[@WyattTomlin]

What is this music? Donald TrUUUAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHUUUMP 🤣💀

[@LucasVini19836]

@@WyattTomlin kzbin.info/www/bejne/fHrLeJ2LgaZ_fsksi=N2CZIc9rLWNXVij3

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

@@LucasVini19836 This kid has TDS like you have never seen

[@LucasVini19836]

@Ethan-eo9vg why? Tell me.

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

@ Look at his communist posts, he is delusional

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

@@LucasVini19836 His whole community page of his channel is pure delusion

[@parrotconservative]

ehhh Minnesota city rigging would sill give biden the win

[@LucasVini19836]

@@parrotconservative rigging? What

[@Sodownik]

Most people live in cities. How is that rigging.

[@Ethan-eo9vg]

I think VA would flip because Biden had everything you would not want as an unpopular incumbent running for re election: Low approvals, divided party, limited fundraising (25% of dem donors said they would withold donations if Biden didn’t drop out) DO you agree?

[@LucasVini19836]

@@Ethan-eo9vg for me, it would depending on his performance in the second debate, but good analysis 👍

[@anapaolamorales6086]

Idea what of trump was out of the race

[@LucasVini19836]

@@anapaolamorales6086 listed ✅

[@LucasVini19836]

@@anapaolamorales6086 but JD Vance would be candidate or not? Asking for making the maps just today

[@anapaolamorales6086]

@@LucasVini19836 thanks

[@anapaolamorales6086]

@@LucasVini19836 Ron de santis please

[@LucasVini19836]

@anapaolamorales6086 ok, so, I will make the maps today yet

[@gavinn741]

democrats would've been burried lol

[@LucasVini19836]

@@gavinn741 Yes lol

[@0-dc2no]

Biden would've performed better

[@LucasVini19836]

Why?

[@0-dc2no]

@LucasVini19836 he's a white male, his charisma is much higher the Harris, he's likeable. And even with the age he was improving after the debate. Also it looked really bad to swap out a candidate mid election Biden should've stayed in and if he won he should've resigned mid term. Choosing Harris was Biden and the Dems biggest mistake. She is the worst candidate since Dukakis

[@0-dc2no]

Also, Biden is more moderate compared to Harris, he would have much better leverage attacking Trump.

[@LucasVini19836]

@0-dc2no so, you think he would have more than 240 electoral votes?

[@0-dc2no]

@LucasVini19836 nah 240 sounds pretty good for biden

[@MadMikeSportsYT]

So basically...you're a Trump troll...

[@LucasVini19836]

@@MadMikeSportsYT ?

[@MadMikeSportsYT]

@@LucasVini19836 I could tell from the song choice that this was going to favor Trump. I think that if Biden stayed in, he probably would've won but it would've been much closer than what 2020 was.

[@LucasVini19836]

@MadMikeSportsYT What? I only choosed these songs EXCLUSIVELY because of trump winning in this scenario, if he did not win, the songs of the video would not appear

[@LucasVini19836]

And only Biden campaign songs would appear if he wonned this scenario

[@MadMikeSportsYT]

@@LucasVini19836 He had quite a few campaign songs, so it probably would've been difficult to single out just one that stood out.

[@LucasVini19836]

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