Steals & Busts in Rounds 1-4 (Top-50) of Your Fantasy Basketball Draft │ Yahoo 9-Categories

Who are the BEST and WORST in each round of the draft? Dan looks at each group of 12 players and isolates the steals and busts in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th rounds of a Yahoo board!
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#fantasybasketball #fantasyhoops #fantasynba #sleepers #fantasydraft #yahoo #top100 #value #steals #busts

[@alansrochi5410]

I'd say you did that OG video justice with this one!

[@OldManSquad]

SROCHI!!!! I'm so happy you got to hear your shoutout. I thought maybe like 1% chance...

[@alansrochi5410]

@@OldManSquad Still a regular listener! You're killin it so far with the new network congrats

[@OldManSquad]

@@alansrochi5410 Thank you!! You know darn well my door is ALWAYS open if you ever get the itch!

[@angelibarra6453]

DAN BLOWING UP LETS GOOOOO

[@OldManSquad]

TRYING!!

[@aqnguyen08]

Enjoy this Dan. Looking forward to you doing later rounds too

[@OldManSquad]

Thanks! This one was a bit of a speed round

[@RH-4177]

Loving the content Dan! I'm hoping you re-do these videos when the board shuffles. I expect a couple major changes by the start of the season.

[@OldManSquad]

I definitely will!

[@44.0]

Congrats on 1K dan! Finally, monetization! 🎉

[@OldManSquad]

We goin' sizzler!

[@patr7ckst4r]

thanks for your insights will be doing our draft by sept 6th this helps

[@OldManSquad]

My pleasure! Thanks for watching and interacting!

[@ReyDonovan-kv4jd]

Embiid is too risky. Even if you take away the injuries, he's now in his 30's and looked terrible at the Olympics

[@OldManSquad]

He looked pretty good the semis and finals, for whatever that's worth

[@ReyDonovan-kv4jd]

​@@OldManSquadoverall he looked sluggish and slow. Hard to trust imo but definitely value there if he slips

[@OldManSquad]

@@ReyDonovan-kv4jd Indeed!

[@rommizrahi2292]

You can add to the Kyrie bust call the 2 games week in the playoff in H2H

[@OldManSquad]

Ah yes good call there too!

[@lorenzomartinez8543]

I agree on Embiid - he's your best big swing if you want to win your league and not just "do your best", especially since the other players available on the turn are flawed / injury prone as well!

[@OldManSquad]

Yeah it's a huge risk though... I think he's got a shot to beat it though

[@ifatseas]

Dan the problem with Leonard is in February when the first round of the fantasy playoffs begins.

[@OldManSquad]

He seems almost as likely to miss time in December, for whatever that's worth

[@michaeld830]

I’ve historically always avoided Embiid, but if I’m picking 8/9, I’ll probably take him. Other guys in that range DO NOT excite me. Took Tatum 9th last year, majorly underwhelming. Coming off the Finals & Olympics, probably can’t even lock him in as a readily available guy either

[@OldManSquad]

Agreed!

[@JapChaeJan]

I won with Mikal Bridges and Tatum as my first two picks...It goes to show that its how your team is built through later picks and waiver wire pickups.

[@OldManSquad]

@@JapChaeJan Yeah, though you also don't want to totally screw your team at the start

[@elfy2000]

While you may be right that Embiid only needs ~60 games to meet his draft expectations, the best ability is still availability. If those games are missed in your fantasy playoffs, that really damages your chances. That's the argument against a guy who you expect to miss at least 15 games. That's really the same reason why Kawhi, a top 6 guy per game is projected in the 3rd/4th rounds. IMO the risk isn't worth a first rounder where you have much healthier options. Also adding George complicates the mix a bit, where Embiid won't be asked to score 33 a night.

[@OldManSquad]

All totally fair points

[@kattypan3293]

young players like chet is pretty hard to find(gives offense and defense stats), I would bump him up more for that reason

[@OldManSquad]

I just think Hartenstein limits any ability for him to grow into center stats

[@rowytkkz]

In my first few mocks I’ve been ending up with Markkanen at around pick 28. Is that too early on him for your liking?

[@OldManSquad]

Depends on league settings a bit. If you end 3-4 weeks early that'll be fine

[@user-zp9jj1vj8y]

не знаю, не знаю, я не доверяю старым игрокам, в этом сезоне буду делать ставку на молодых и выносливых, пусть даже и потеряю немного в статистике.

[@OldManSquad]

To each his own! :)

[@jayval9586]

I stay away from Joel Embiid when it comes to fantasy , he's always hurt

[@OldManSquad]

True, but the numbers suggest he could still get there. I think it's worth the swing... I think.

[@Scar.Borough]

Take him and trade him quickkk lol😂

[@RMD992-f2n]

hey dan i dont understand the luka at 3 as an obvious pick. first, the injury risk is quite material. he was getting steroid injections in the playoffs.. secondly, the dallas mavs schedule is not good in your week of playoffs.. just 2 games. luka also kills your ft% and hes a guard so thats not ideal.. i just dont get why hes an obvious 3. if i had the 3rd pick i rather drafted SGA.

[@OldManSquad]

Mostly just for h2h he's SO strong in a few categories that he's hard to pass over. For roto I tend to agree that it's less of a lock.

[@timboslice3830]

Since im only playing in 1 league, im not drafting Embiid with my first pick cuz if he goes down then my season will be tanked; but if hes still around for my 2nd pick then i may snag him

[@OldManSquad]

Yeah no doubt

[@JapChaeJan]

Can anyone explain as to why SGA is projected to take a step back from last season? Is it due to him being in the MVP race last season? Because Chet, JDUB, and all the role players were relatively healthy.

[@OldManSquad]

Basically he had already slowed down 2nd half of last season. Expectation is that other guys continue to do a tiny bit more each and he doesn't have to shoulder 99% of the load...

[@Justinsox39]

The problem with these yahoo standard leagues is the playoffs end the second last week. Guys like Butler and tanking team guys never play

[@OldManSquad]

Tanking is likely a larger factor in yahoo standard than injury prone dudes. I agree with you on this.

[@RMD992-f2n]

why dont you cover scotty barnes in the 2nd round? he was going 5-6 round last season so i dont know why you skipped over him. its a big jump like with ant.

[@OldManSquad]

Scottie got a verrrrry large role bump. Ant already had his role jump. Hard to take more than 20 shots/game

[@RMD992-f2n]

@@OldManSquad with IQ solidified as the raptors point guard do you think Scottie’s assist will go down ?

[@OldManSquad]

@@RMD992-f2n Maybe a little yeah

[@c0br4mckewl]

Thoughts on using -1 rankings? Overall rankings isn't useful because including worst category isn't an accurate representation of a players contribution.

[@OldManSquad]

-1 is fine, but I think you need to use both for an accurate assessment. Some guys LOSE value when you take away their weakest category, but those guys are still good in all formats. Plus many folks aren't punting on draft night and choose to punt a category later.

[@gshock1218]

How about a round 5 to 10?

[@OldManSquad]

Coming up later this week!

[@MrMooremelody]

how the hell are we supposed to know who is going to be healthy? It's pure guess work. Guys like Lebron, AD, Embiid, Donovan Mitchell, Irving, Durant, Harden, LaMelo, Bane etc. All of them have a long history of letting down fantasy teams with unavailability. Durant , for example, has had 1 healthy season in 5 years! 4 of those years would've ruined owner's season. Why are we getting sucked into recency bias?

[@OldManSquad]

I mean, you could argue the opposite side. Like... KAT played every game until he basically hasn't played a full season in 3 years. Is Sabonis next? Mikal? KD's injuries have almost all been fluky. Bron is definitely going to rest - he's a different situation. AD missed a ton of games off the bubble championship run where his body never recovered. There are reasons for most of the logic. So then it comes down to math. Is the dude going at a large enough discount to make up for the chance they play 55 instead of 65?

[@ReyDonovan-kv4jd]

Dan is a roto guy so missed games aren't as detrimental as head to head.

[@OldManSquad]

@@ReyDonovan-kv4jd I'm grading these guys on 'totals' which does indeed include missed games. And we have to look past how much it feels annoying and more to the actual math. And for a lot of these injury prone guys, they're being discounted TOO much. That is to say, they're being discounted like they're going to play 55 games, so if they play 5-10 more than that, they crush ADP

[@user-lk5wn5kt8u]

When Embiid is hurt, your team takes a big hit

[@OldManSquad]

True, but the numbers suggest he could still get there. I think it's worth the swing... I think.

[@Evrewz]

You can argue that with any of your first rounders 😅

[@OldManSquad]

@@Evrewz Are you replying to him or me?

[@Evrewz]

@@OldManSquad to him 😂, any first rounder that gets injured will hurt your team significantly. Embiid burned me last season, ended up second instead of first, since he got injured later in the year.

[@OldManSquad]

@@Evrewz Yeah for sure. And it's really hard to know which one is going to get knocked around. Though it's probably fair to assume Embiid is going to miss 15+ games

[@adamispahany3698]

what's the best week to draft?

[@OldManSquad]

I tend to go pretty late to avoid any injury nonsense

[@JapChaeJan]

Weekend before the 22nd

[@Scar.Borough]

Where is morant in all this..he still ranked 300s?

[@OldManSquad]

Hahahaha yes

[@iggy1172]

Would you trade Wembanyama for Edwards and Tatum?

[@OldManSquad]

Believe it or not that's a fair trade. I think in 14-teamers or larger it's a coin-flip, but 12 and less you stick with Wemby for sure.

[@phuhoang4678]

Embiid and kawhi only meed like 55 games to be top 5 . But they get rested during fantasy playoffs so you are screwed .

[@OldManSquad]

Be careful. They didn't 'rest'... they were hurt. Not that it's necessarily better, but they will be trying to play down the stretch, as opposed to a tanking team.

[@phuhoang4678]

@OldManSquad high risk high reward but they keep inj the same knee. I do like kd and Dame they are solid 2nd round players with late first round value

[@OldManSquad]

@@phuhoang4678 Dame going very late and was mostly healthy last year... KD similar and if his FT comes back up he could be even better potentially

[@EGCN-]

U missed on morant.. 😊

[@OldManSquad]

Hahaha, I didn't manage to get the show to ROUND 25! :)

[@Scar.Borough]

​@@OldManSquad😂😂😂😂

[@Scar.Borough]

Sabonis 0 stocks..not a fan of players who dont steal or block. And no 3s..hes a bust imo..atleast antman steals and hits 3s

[@OldManSquad]

But doesn't do anything super elite, though...

[@Scar.Borough]

@@OldManSquad agreed, Which is why he's truly a second rounder, But you said it best sometimes I might take that durability, Missing games cost me the week on so many occasions

[@OldManSquad]

@@Scar.Borough Funny thing is that 3 games of Embiid is often worth more than 4 games of guys in the 2nd/3rd rounds. That's how insane his per-game stuff was

[@FitOneswithVarun]

Embid is a trap

[@OldManSquad]

Maybe. But at pick 9 he can miss 25 games and still be a win even by totals.

[@FitOneswithVarun]

@@OldManSquad Depends how you look at it, in H2H availability week 18-20 etc is what matters. In year 17 of a fantasy dynasty auction league seen a lot of first round guys who are hurt ruin fantasy seasons. Gamble is usually worth it imo deeper in the draft, any OG will remember Marcus Camby as one of the best risk/reward guys who was injury prone.

[@OldManSquad]

@@FitOneswithVarun I'm not sure there's a guarantee that Embiid's missed games will be 18-20 any more than, like, Trae this past year, who has normally been quite durable, but I hear you.

[@FitOneswithVarun]

@@OldManSquad for sure no guarantees, but Joel’s last 5 years in games is 51,51,68,66,39. A durable player can get hurt of course, even Jokic could get hurt, we saw that happen with Dame. But guys who are consistently hurt, typically stay that way. Joel has an entire career where 68 is his career high and has played 60+ games 4/10 Nba seasons (including the seasons he missed the entire year)