Stocks: Is The Bubble About to Burst?

Have stocks run way too far, way too fast similar to the period right before the 2000 dot-com bubble burst? What can we learn from history?

[@Biggerstaff4]

I’m brand new to buying stocks. I need basic instructions on how to spread $100k across the market. I’ve heard much about the stock market being at its all time high and wondering if this is a good time to start investing, or do I wait for a crash to buy at discount price?

[@Makingriot]

I'd suggest you consider financial advisory particularly if you're new at investing or facing uncertainty. I personally have over 180 companies in my portfolio, so if a few companies fail, I still have others that can hold me up

[@EShepard-]

That's smart, the role of advisors can only be downplayed but not denied. I'm quite lucky exposed to personal finance at an early age, worked full time when I was 19, purchased first home at 28. Going forward, got laid off at 36 amidst covid-outbreak, and immediately consulted an advisor to stay on top. As of today, I'm barely 15% short of my $1m goal after subsequent investments.

[@RayWalker-mo]

@@EShepard- hmm .. bravo!! how did it work out for you? been on red more than 20% this year , but hoping to bounce back

[@EShepard-]

Can't divulge much, I delegate my excesses to someone of great expertise Katherine Nance Dietz preferably you can look her up on the web, her qualifications speak for itself

[@EShepard-]

Can't share much here, I take guidance from 'Katherine Nance Dietz' a renowned figure in her field of work with over two decades of experience. I'd suggest you research her further on the web.

[@rm888]

Love watching your analysis with my Saturday morning coffee, your work is much appreciated.

[@KF-sk3qi]

He goes to the details that not everyone does, and I love it

[@DenisseDuraznos]

Back in 2022 when btc was at its cycle low, people where saying btc is done for it's going below $15k US it's going to zero. Well it's down 10% from mid March ath 2024 and now everyone is shitting themselves. That doesn't make any logical sense especially for crypto.Its just a shake out phase, chill people go zoom out at old charts. We are at around 1.4 trillion market cap and only growing, just wait and see the price next year in March it will double....I've been engaged in active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 24Bitcoin....I'm especially grateful to Linda Wilburn, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

[@DenisseDuraznos]

Linda Wilburn program is widely available online.

[@markkuskin5453]

Thanks Chris as always for your weight of the evidence clear perspective based upon the chart in front of us 👍

[@billmoyer3254]

thank you. strong analysis as usual.

[@droll68]

Thank you. Much appreciated!!!!!

[@GaneshD123]

Excellent charts, excellent analysis! Thank you Chris and Kathy!

[@socalsean3425]

THANK YOU, KATHY, Chris is doing a great job under your watch

[@mjbucar]

Thank you Chris!

[@aspencouloir761]

Thanks a lot for these videos and the work you guys put into them Chris.

[@chewysoon82]

great video every week without bias 😘

[@rainerluthershelley5131]

Thank you Sir. 👋

[@paulantony99]

Thanks for the video.

[@nikoninvest8331]

Brilliant insights as always. Thanks Chris & Cathy

[@DreamsOfBullRuns]

First time viewer. Not bad. Good video. Thanks.

[@XX-xv6xe]

I scalp spy and I enjoy our videos very much. Thanks for sharing.

[@Ace_Sleeves]

What are the moving average periods used in the envelope? 50 and 200?

[@CreateSmarter]

I don't know how he sets this envelope up, but I found a great way to create something similar. Put 2 moving averages of the same period-length on your chart... for example: Two 20-period moving averages. Then, in the settings, instead of having the source set as "close" - set one of them to "high" and the other one to "low".

[@necessaryproper7139]

I like the simpler “moving average envelope” look, using just 2 lines, vs the slides with 5+ moving averages. Those are too noisy for the point you are making.

[@robschild.]

Intelligent investors value technical analysis as a secondary metric. The market cap weighted S&P has a PE of 28 while the Fed is restrictive. It's too expensive, it's dangerously expensive.

[@beau6113]

04:10 you're right, it doesn't look like 99/00, it looks like late 98. As always, thank you!

[@tradingwithwill7214]

a better timely topic might have been is the market broadening out from tech/MAG7 to other stocks due to upcoming lowering of interest rates hence the selling off of NVDA and what sectors usually lead.

[@antoniogarry1542]

The question is not if this looks like the beginning of a bear market, ...the question is whether this looks like the peaks of aug'29 or aug'87 or any other similar ones, my friend :)

[@indianajones3315]

Missed it, huh.

[@martian9999]

is there any technical indicator that warned of '87? On the other hand, is there any fundamental indicator that is useful for investing in the stock market? P/E for instance is horribly useless.

[@joezawinulreviewsandreacti2509]

Hedging with a small NVDA short

[@Yahniboy]

Youre brave

[@Kilo80Kilo]

Pretty convincing from a technical standpoint. But, the 21 to 23 was the pricing in of the 'interest rate' recession that never hit. So the question in my mind is, how many times in the past has the market priced in a recession that never hit? What if the fed waits too long to cut interest rates and growth and employment take the hit they were supposed to take 2 years ago? Does all that get priced in again?

[@TheGroundskeeper]

I prepare analytics much like this for a living and have very similar conclusion; I don’t know if that makes you my confirmation bias or a like minded friend

[@indianajones3315]

If you’re not modifying the data to fit a predetermined conclusion, presumably via a chart crime like some of Chris’s, it’s not confirmation bias. A few too many semi-log graphs for my taste.

[@luisbarragan9555]

Buy the dip. Everyone is bearish. Calls are free money here for summer enjoyment.

[@user-kb1hw2yq2f]

Ive seen a graph recently how short the institutions are on the vix. Its scary.

[@KF-sk3qi]

Grace video as always

[@citylife3229]

Please add a summary section to your videos

[@genZetarded]

When traders point these chart, I point to the algos that use the same charts and do trade only for the sake of making charts look good. No weight placed on fundamentals, geo politics or even financials. Just mindless trading for the sake of it.

[@michaelengel3045]

DIA; 1D : June 17 flip. 1W : June 17 flip. Closed on #8. 1M : Nov flip. Will July #9 flip/flop? It will be a close call. QQQ 1M : July #9 flip/flop ? It will be a close call for sure. SPY 1M : Aug #9. We will not know until Wed July 31. Sept/Oct/Nov might test 2022 high.

[@tradingwithwill7214]

the given percent corrections are much less than reality if you have stocks and not a general index especially tech

[@user-kb1hw2yq2f]

We are in the biggest bubble of all time. Are people aware that the credit card max out rate is the highest its been in decades? Ad revenue is at an all time high, that means people are buying non stop on money they dont have.

[@jefffoster8614]

Wow. Deep analysis.

[@user-kb1hw2yq2f]

@@jefffoster8614 wow indeed. What an intelligent rebuttal

[@jefffoster8614]

To a deeply intelligent analysis.

[@martian9999]

let's see some skin in the game here. Are you actually betting against the market? If not, under which circumstances will you? Or are you just another guy with a weird internet name who wants to be able to boast about being a Cassandra the next time the market goes down 15%?

[@user-kb1hw2yq2f]

@@martian9999 1. dont worry about my name. Thats no of concern to you. 2. 15%? LOL thats cute that you think it'll be just 15%.

[@awakenedmind9943]

We cant see your charts clearly with the weekly and monthly envelopes. 5 and 10monthly moving avg?

[@rmolero574]

Bearish or bullish???

[@user-wy8ry2ck2w]

Thank you.

[@GeorgyiorA]

How can you compare the SP500 from even 20 years ago to today...especially when you have literally 2 or 3 stocks holding it up?? Where's your analysis on stock breadth or the equal weight and how massive the divergences are between those and the index itself?

[@7r0u8l3]

😘

[@encepurdy68]

Maybe 2025

[@mrpickle23]

nope.... we're about to CRASH up hard $$$

[@djnewent-zg6iq]

35 trillion debt, and then there is the real amount. Wake up people. This is called musical chairs as millionswill try to sit at the same time on to 10 chairs.

[@billmoyer3254]

strategic default or national VAT

[@warrior-ru9bv]

It’s almost like high debt is good for the government…. Lmao Stop fear mongering. Learn some economics

[@user-kb1hw2yq2f]

People dont care. Same how they dont care that apps , tech and the government is spying on them. As long as they have their vices, their addictions, they could care less. When the rug is finally pulled underneath our society, unimaginable is going to occur. People arent even ready for whats to come. Hint: How is our society different today than ANY other century before this one? Pick any. The answer should scare all of you.

[@WiseOwl_1408]

Default plz ​@@billmoyer3254

[@Tonehawkdawg]

Unemployment is shooting up. Up 10.6 % from the bottom. Recession has just started. Bitcoin is tanking because of the unemployment #s.

[@sybentley6675]

It is probably going to be fine until November.

[@boombustinvest]

... but NONE of your scenarios are comparable with 15 years of 300 YEAR LOW INTEREST RATES... NEVER BEEN DONE BEFORE... why do you not even mention this? (Also... all of the 'strong trend' chart reversals are based of AI Hype and a handful of stocks... they are 'irrational exuberance' reversals to the upside. Another TA missing from your analysis is the secular divergences that we are seeing now (RSI for example on the SP500) Could you address that in a video?

[@cpteh67]

NO ...as youtubers STILL using that as their title to attract clicks. good luck

[@davidalston3626]

This guy isn’t a “KZbinr.” These are primarily posted for clients to detail his process.

[@markettrader911]

Haven’t watched the video, but I know Chris will provide cherry picked data that shows: no, the bubble is not about to burst. Go ahead comment below you ass-kissers, tell me I am wrong.

[@user-kb1hw2yq2f]

Actually Chris does very well. Im a very bearish person by nature but Chris, time and time again, showed how no matter how bad things got in the past 7 years, time and time again market rebounded. And it did. So idk what the f you're talking about?

[@Swipe650]

🚀🚀🚀🚀

[@edwardstanton3571]

So far, Chris is still right, and you are still wrong.

[@ren7sp25]

Don't miss the 50 year bull market 😊

[@mda99das]

Bullish as always

[@peters972]

Well until the market is not, one would hope. The mainstream media keeps changing the outlook at every whim if you want more excitement. Still others don’t have the nerve to provide any direction but subtly provide both simultaneously, lol.

[@webname214]

Bro has shorted the market two years ago. Now, his butts are getting cracked. That's why making bearish videos almost every other day. 😂

[@Middlecurvewar]

Did you watch the video?

[@davidalston3626]

This guy is an asset manager, not a trader

[@rmolero574]

​@@Middlecurvewar Could u please resume?

[@martian9999]

you sound quite incoherent.