🎯 Stop Guessing! Build Winning Strategies with Intraday Seasonality 🔥

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🔍 Struggling to find a reliable trading strategy? Dive into the world of Intraday Seasonality and discover how to craft a robust strategy with a competitive edge! In this video, I'll show you how to leverage a powerful tool to automatically detect patterns and refine them with the right filters. Whether you're a beginner or an intermediate trader, this method will set you on the path to success. 💹
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DISCLAIMER: None of what I talk about to be construed as investment advice, I am not a financial adviser nor a CPA. The videos are for educational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in the video is accurate as of the posting date of the video and might not be accurate in the future. All links in the description might have some affiliate links and I may receive a small commission. I only share the tools and resources that I love and use regularly. Thank you so much for your support! 😍
#Finance #Investing #AlgoTrading
Ali Casey here from StatOasis channel, I post about Finance, Investing, Algorithmic Trading and everything else in between.
I strive to provide the best education on the subjects mentioned above, the goal is take control of your financial future. If you like what you read, then subscribe and if you're still reading this, you rock! thank you ❤️

[@marcdaher88]

Just wanted to say thank you for all the content you post I'm learning a lot before jumping into trading. 👍🏼

[@StatOasis]

Happy to hear that!

[@81ofer]

Ali, thank you so much for the great content. Love your videos. Quick question pls - given that the futures are not traded 24hrs (there is an hour gap), how do you account for a gap (previous close to current open) in your analysis? If you're only using close-open then it would not reflect that gap and might show a false pattern between the days. Thanks!

[@StatOasis]

It is included in the analysis, and will show up in the data. If i buy at 4am and sell at 11pm every Wednesday, it will include all gaps that happen when future close for 45 minutes and will show up in performance metrics.

[@vincentmast5910]

amazing as usual... in your opinion, is it possible to find a pattern inside the seasonal slot, trying to pick a better entry point ? for example, waiting for an oversold condition (RSI2, IBS...) during a long seasonal pattern ( or maybe just a few hours sooner)? Is it a risk to overfit ? Thanks !

[@StatOasis]

what you are talking about are filters. So just like I did, once you find an edge, then you can enhance it with a filter, like an oversold.

[@pieter9031]

Excellent work Ali! You mention using daily charts as a filter and that the buys and sells (16:33) dont happen every day/week. Could you please give a clue on the filters you're using to allow or not allow a trade? I'm willing to work at it so any clue would be great.

[@StatOasis]

next video is about filters, you will be an expert after that

[@pieter9031]

@@StatOasis You da Man! Can't wait to take your next masterclass.

[@Fxkiller01]

Maybe orderflowe

[@TheDemockery]

Ali, thank you!

[@StatOasis]

My pleasure

[@rayeaglenz]

Ali another very interesting video, thank you 😀

[@StatOasis]

Glad you enjoyed it

[@dklox]

Have you tried these leaving some data for OOS testing? How do you avoid curve fitting if you employ the whole sample?

[@StatOasis]

I have a workflow for robustness testing that I teach in go.statoasis.com/atm

[@ryanty5231]

Another interesting video! As an algorithmic futures trader, what in your opinion, assuming proper risk management, is a reasonable average annual return?

[@StatOasis]

Thank you for your comment and kind words! I believe a reasonable average annual return can vary widely depending on several factors. Assuming you have the right skills, trading returns are typically an aggregate of many strategies, each contributing differently to the overall performance. Thus the amount of capital you have available for trading will affect the end result. For some context, the average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of my Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) portfolios in my community (go.statoasis.com/join) tends to be in the teens. But one of the portfolios, (Nasdaq Mom) made over 50% in the past six months, but that’s not a reasonable return to expect every year. These portfolios trade just once a month, requiring less active management. However, if you trade more actively and dedicate more time and effort, aiming for higher returns is reasonable. In my experience, targeting average annual returns of around +25% is a worthwhile goal.

[@ryanty5231]

Thanks!! A day in the life video would be really interesting

[@konjkavie]

Thank you Ali Perfect

[@StatOasis]

You are very welcome

[@jeffj9791]

your largest losing trade is double of largest winning trade

[@StatOasis]

Honesly there are hundreds of choices to pick from with filters, thats why i didnt show the filters

[@circle559]

Ali I really love your stuff but I really want to ask because I am tired Mann it seems like everyone on KZbin is a profitable trader. Ali Casey do you actually trade? if not then why do you teach about trading ? If you trade then do you have a verified strategy with real live broker statements to show??? I am not attacking you by the way I am just trying to save people like me lots of time, effort and money.. just be honest with us.. do you actually trade??

[@StatOasis]

Thanks for your kind words and for reaching out with your concerns. I completely understand where you’re coming from-there’s a lot of noise in the trading space, and it can be tough to discern what’s genuine. To answer your question: Yes, I do trade. My passion for trading and investing goes back over 20 years, and it's something I’m deeply involved in every day. My journey from being a losing trader to finding success is what fuels my desire to teach and help others avoid the mistakes I made. This is a skill and anyone who put in the time and effort with solid education can and will make it. Regarding verified strategies and broker statements, I understand the importance of transparency. While I don’t publicly share my personal broker statements for privacy reasons, I do provide in-depth tutorials, backtesting results, and real-time examples in my KZbin content. Many of the strategies I’ve shared on this channel are over 1-2 years old, with open code that you can easily verify for out-of-sample performance yourself. The core of what I teach at StatOasis is based on systematic, evidence-based trading. There is no subjectivity, no selective charts, no holy grails, and no outrageous claims. My aim is to demystify trading and provide you with the knowledge and tools to build your own robust strategies and take you to beginner profitability. I always advise trading portfolios over single strategies, which is one of the pillars of what I discuss extensively in my content. For those looking to take their trading to the next level, I offer my Algo Trading Masterclass go.statoasis.com/atm , which delves deeply into these pillars and take you to the next level. I hope this satisfies your curiosity and helps you feel more confident in your journey.

[@UnemployableFakeGuru]

Wish you were my neighbour .

[@StatOasis]

😊 join the community, its free go.statoasis.com/join