If you overfit the model based solely on the credit data from the past, would Black Swan events (like another extreme version of covid) make your credit models wrong by miles? What are the risks if the big data predictions turn out to be wrong? How much buffer does the financial system have ?
Very impressive of Mr. Tam's insight. Yes, Alibaba shall write some papers about banking and Fin-tech. My view's is that Ant's business is really complimenting to the Yuan digital currency. I feel the Chinese Government officials shall not get offended by Ma Wen's speech. Rather The Chinese Government should invite the The Trade/Industry, like Ant and Tencent to help to set up the monitoring Fin Tech standards. Just Like the the Canadian Nuclear agency invited the OEM ACEL and Ontario Hydro to write the nuclear standards, then the CNSC (Nuclear Commission) reviewed and set out the nuclear standards. Same as the recent Boeing's 737 Max incident. Some American politician criticized how can FAA let Boeing write the testing procedures. This is how it is being done now. Be practical, the Government just do not know more than the Industry. SO the Government invite the Industry to help or suggest and lay out the standards. It is letting the Industry experts to teach the Government to set up the Standard. It is better than no standard due to the government's ignorance and incapacities of a Industry, like Aviation, Nuclear, Banking etc. In similar token, many electronic OEM's donate their designs to become IEEE standards. When they get a task to write the standard, they will not bias to their company. Mind you, those Industry Experts are just employees. Alibaba did not of good works to help Chinese industries. Ali help many hi-tech start up.
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Make no mistake ! The draft control was already on the way. Jack speech was a desperate move to stop. But no discipline will lead to bigger disaster than 2008 US financial crisis in China in future.