The Last 6 Decades of AI - and What Comes Next | Ray Kurzweil | TED

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TED

TED

Күн бұрын

How will AI improve our lives in the years to come? From its inception six decades ago to its recent exponential growth, futurist Ray Kurzweil highlights AI’s transformative impact on various fields and explains his prediction for the singularity: the point at which human intelligence merges with machine intelligence.
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• The Last 6 Decades of ...
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Пікірлер: 779
@turnt0ff
@turnt0ff 3 ай бұрын
We must protect Ray. He’s 76 right now, it be so amazing to see him in the year 2060 in good health 😁
@sirbughunter
@sirbughunter 3 ай бұрын
Yes!! 😭🙏❤️
@Grillpander
@Grillpander 3 ай бұрын
He'll be 53 by then!
@fixapp1775
@fixapp1775 3 ай бұрын
@@Grillpander Probably haha
@maidung1825
@maidung1825 3 ай бұрын
Lol how ?
@mattpeskie8999
@mattpeskie8999 3 ай бұрын
Hate to be a pessimist, but he looks pretty bad for 76. All his daily pills aren’t working
@direnchasbay405
@direnchasbay405 3 ай бұрын
Hello the year 2030. Do we have AGI there?
@jamesmoore4023
@jamesmoore4023 3 ай бұрын
I'll get back to you in 2030
@juandesalgado
@juandesalgado 3 ай бұрын
No, but we have another Kurzweil book
@salehmoosavi875
@salehmoosavi875 3 ай бұрын
Agi coming next year
@salehmoosavi875
@salehmoosavi875 3 ай бұрын
​@@juandesalgadoagi sooner than you think
@itayk11
@itayk11 3 ай бұрын
Set a reminder for 2030, will get back.
@isaacliu896
@isaacliu896 3 ай бұрын
I believe Kurzweil on the technology being there when he says it will be. But I worry greatly about how society will handle the transition and whether or not the benefits will be widely shared.
@dan-cj1rr
@dan-cj1rr 3 ай бұрын
its gonna be chaos.
@sachamm
@sachamm 3 ай бұрын
You should read The Singularity Is Near -- Kurzweil goes into the problems and perils of AI and pretty much knocks each one down. Re: widely shared, he points to cell phones, which were expensive and status symbols in the 80s when they didn't work very well, and by the time they were good enough to be used by Joe Sixpack, they were cheap enough that Joe Sixpack could afford them.
@OZbMG8jsJTX14AWYne4omBw
@OZbMG8jsJTX14AWYne4omBw 2 ай бұрын
Почему ничего не рассказали о кабинках для эвтаназии и планах сокращения населения на 3/4?
@MaxMitch22
@MaxMitch22 2 ай бұрын
It will be the greatest driver of wealth disparity and environmental over reach in human history. Technology is not the answer to preserving our future, it never has been.
@shreeshabhat110
@shreeshabhat110 2 ай бұрын
@@sachamm Its not about the price. Will the powerful people really share these inventions with everyone if it's so powerful that it may disturb their position and status.
@petrosrigas7320
@petrosrigas7320 3 ай бұрын
Longevity escape velocity: a concept that sparks imagination and challenges our assumptions about aging and life expectancy. Exciting times ahead as science pushes the boundaries of human longevity!
@kinngrimm
@kinngrimm 3 ай бұрын
Aslong we do not have a way to give these longer lifespans to everyone equally at the same time, aslong we haven't found ways to sort out old stances/thoughts/morals that may otherwise stand in the way of sociological evolution especially if all the old farts then stay in power forever on at the top, then i am strictly against immortality or rather i am for a maximum age of 100 till we would find better ways of distributions of wealth and power. It is also a false hope to think that only because people can get older, they would learn more and therefor we would get an unepected boost to our technological evolution which also would hardly be needed should we get AGI anyways which then will take over the sciences more or less complettly i would suspect. I have seen enough from how humans think, of their selfish strives and the struggle of the masses to get some scraps at times, to let my self think we would end in an golden age only because we have new technologies available. I do think AI will replace sooner then later many jobs, this is already ongoing as you maybe aware. How many % can a society carry or would you let them all starve in the streets?
@mrtienphysics666
@mrtienphysics666 3 ай бұрын
@@kinngrimm Everyday now is Singularity for the rich. AI will increasingly be used to wage war and exploitation.
@kinngrimm
@kinngrimm 3 ай бұрын
@@mrtienphysics666 "Everyday now is Singularity for the rich." "till we would find better ways of distributions of wealth and power." "AI will increasingly be used to wage war and exploitation." Ofcause it would. That just is the nature of its users us humans. If we find ways to more easily kill each other and have therefor the upper hand over our enemies, ofcause we would try to bank on that.
@Katatonya
@Katatonya 3 ай бұрын
⁠@@kinngrimmI'm all on the same wagon as you on the fact that humans still very much resemble animals when thinking which then limits us in our transhuman society goals. But I think we're not realizing how much AI will completely change the growing axis of our intelligence timeline, shifting it straight up. I'm hopeful that an exponentially greater intelligence itself will be enough to steer us onto the correct path and level us up from animality. Which only then could we ever hope for a utopia. But you never know! As some of us are still much closer to our monkey ancestors than to humans.
@edgardsimon983
@edgardsimon983 3 ай бұрын
@@kinngrimm did u watched altered carbon ?
@chrisanderson687
@chrisanderson687 3 ай бұрын
Ray's suspenders make me smile :D
@TumbleweedRocks
@TumbleweedRocks Ай бұрын
We can come up with the technology of 1 trillion calculations per second, but cannot create effective suspenders 😂😂😂
@AussieFaraday2024
@AussieFaraday2024 2 ай бұрын
I love his optimism. I have no faith in the other human beings. There will be conflict and there will be a greater divide as those who have will continue to gain, and those who cannot afford will continue to get behind.
@ryancarrier8508
@ryancarrier8508 Ай бұрын
Non-sense
@CATDHD
@CATDHD 3 ай бұрын
" The year 2030. Singularity is nearerer." Ray Kurzweil
@angrygary91298
@angrygary91298 3 ай бұрын
Year 2030 No singularity Ray Kurzveil dead humans dead
@azhuransmx126
@azhuransmx126 3 ай бұрын
It comes the Intelligence's Expansion in Every Dimension with the help of the ASIs. Nobody is capable of predicting the future as good as this Titan. I hope he can see and enjoy the Singularity.
@louisegrogan9536
@louisegrogan9536 2 ай бұрын
He is a treasure with a golden heart. Thank you Mr. Kurzweil for everything you bring to us.
@masterplanner4843
@masterplanner4843 2 ай бұрын
Ray Kurzweil on TED, that is a surprising accomplishment .
@yubaayouz6843
@yubaayouz6843 3 ай бұрын
We can speak any language we want. I am very much looking forward to the future 2045. I love you kurzweil ❤
@dannylifted9441
@dannylifted9441 3 ай бұрын
If all languages can be processed through a universal translator, then we won't need to speak the same auditory/rhetoric language as another person. The point is we will be able to understand each other regardless of what language each person is speaking. We basically have that right now.
@bengsynthmusic
@bengsynthmusic 2 ай бұрын
​@@dannylifted9441 Not at all. There are thousands of language barriers. And it would take the whole century until everyone wears the enhancements.
@dannylifted9441
@dannylifted9441 2 ай бұрын
@@bengsynthmusic Your phone can translate right now. Google translate does it, Siri, Chat GPT, auto subtitles on every youtube video. Did you notice that snuck in over the past few years? We have universal language right now.
@bengsynthmusic
@bengsynthmusic 2 ай бұрын
@@dannylifted9441 Translation is a service not a language. We're not there yet with one language. That would take many decades and some brain enhancements.
@jjtrades7186
@jjtrades7186 2 ай бұрын
Like any good salesman, he mentions all the pros of AI but doesn't mention the cons. And boy are the cons terrifying... I'll just take my regular life/death cycle please and thank you
@SilverFan21k
@SilverFan21k 2 ай бұрын
I'm honestly excited about longevity Biotech because its my favorite future technology.
@Juddalan88
@Juddalan88 Ай бұрын
NVDA is the leader.
@ToastCrumbsUK
@ToastCrumbsUK 3 ай бұрын
What a long journey it’s been, self autonomous computers.
@TerrorTerros
@TerrorTerros 3 ай бұрын
Exciting to be alive at this time😮
@dan-cj1rr
@dan-cj1rr 3 ай бұрын
i'll believe it when i see it, for now its all smoke to get investor money
@ToastCrumbsUK
@ToastCrumbsUK 3 ай бұрын
@@dan-cj1rr yeah this video isn’t a masterpiece
@AdvantestInc
@AdvantestInc 3 ай бұрын
The historical perspective on AI evolution is enlightening. It's amazing to see how far we've come and the potential future applications in medicine and energy.
@afterthesmash
@afterthesmash 2 ай бұрын
People watching this need to be aware of two things. First, there's a somewhat arbitrary decision made by Kurzweil in how he adds dots to his long extrapolation. It's not obvious how to equate processing power from the 1950s to processing power today. A vast amount of circuitry in modern chips is there to hide latency. This includes out-of-order execution scheduling, ALU pipelining, speculative execution, branch prediction, and all of the caches. It's darn impressive how well this all finally works, in certain important problem domains. But there's no easy way to compare a transistor from today to a transistor from yesterday. Second, Kurzweil's determination to ride the exponential to the stars and beyond does not qualify him to speculate on time frames associated with humanity mucking about with actual human mortality. The only way this plays out at the speed he is predicting is that rogue laboratories are known to be doing it, outside the control of any government or similar social restraint. Government might decide: if you can't beat them, join them. Or it might decide: if you can't beat them, turn them into a glass pond. If you think abortion is a hot button, just wait until immortality (for once not entirely cursed) sticks its ugly head into the building.
@bengsynthmusic
@bengsynthmusic 2 ай бұрын
It's called a prediction because no one actually knows. So it's silly to say he isn't qualified.
@gappsanon4869
@gappsanon4869 2 ай бұрын
The chart just represented when new chip generations became available, and he placed where their power and date intersected.
@GetoDac
@GetoDac 2 ай бұрын
30 years ago i didn`t hear so often about cancer .......now it`s something normal ...
@krox477
@krox477 2 ай бұрын
This is the most exciting time to be learning CS
@xalspaero
@xalspaero 3 ай бұрын
the singularity is near!
@jimj2683
@jimj2683 3 ай бұрын
Still decades away.
@xalspaero
@xalspaero 3 ай бұрын
@@jimj2683 sure, a whopping 2 decades. that may as well be tomorrow.
@Purified-Bananas
@Purified-Bananas 3 ай бұрын
*nearer
@jeffmaehre7150
@jeffmaehre7150 3 ай бұрын
Remember, they were predicting flying cars by 1985.
@jeffmaehre7150
@jeffmaehre7150 3 ай бұрын
Remember, we were supposed to have flying cars and bubble cities by 1985.
@Scarf66.
@Scarf66. 3 ай бұрын
Spending time with grandchildren, family and friends, loving and being loved doesn’t need to be enhanced by AI. Start by putting down your phone. Technology and tools have never helped us deal with most important issues we face - ourselves and our inability to get along and be decent to each other and the other species who we share this beautiful planet with, which we’re which hellbent on trashing. Neither AI nor Mars are answers to our inability to find true meaning in what is right in front of noses. In 1931 Aldous Huxley predicted a world like this. Given half a chance I’ll opt for the life of a savage.
@cloudnsec
@cloudnsec 3 ай бұрын
I love the conundrums on how to protect it all. From safety to its security, exciting times ahead
@RichardGolD-wz3is
@RichardGolD-wz3is 3 ай бұрын
Ay yo sap Dude, are you an American
@Wrightley
@Wrightley 3 ай бұрын
The singularity is nearer.
@hackerthumb1551
@hackerthumb1551 Ай бұрын
Ai's growth has been incredibly exponential, sit back, buckle up and enjoy, it's going to be a hella wild ride.
@MarksRandomVideos
@MarksRandomVideos 3 ай бұрын
I believe it is less about Ray living forever, and more about knowledge and hopefully collective consciousness transferring into a form that becomes indestructible, rather than fragile in its current biological form.
@ianPedlar
@ianPedlar 3 ай бұрын
Legend!
@guelewaar7998
@guelewaar7998 2 ай бұрын
I just imagined a conversation between Ray and Noam Chomsky. :)
@StevenAkinyemi
@StevenAkinyemi 3 ай бұрын
By 2030, I hope to be one of the people that make AGI/ASI a reality
@natirvinii9120
@natirvinii9120 2 ай бұрын
A great human being 👏🏿👏🏿👏🏿👏🏿
@HectorDiabolucus
@HectorDiabolucus 3 ай бұрын
Government programs do not make people richer, well, unless you are the recipient of that wealth, which means the rich. The poor certainly have more creature comforts, until you go all the way down to the homeless.
@thunderdemonlover
@thunderdemonlover 3 ай бұрын
Thanks For Information
@Franklin_Araujo
@Franklin_Araujo 3 ай бұрын
I realy put my hope in AGI to be good for this world.
@gigamoment
@gigamoment 3 ай бұрын
Higher intelligence is always better in this world
@Nazaru_Lan
@Nazaru_Lan 3 ай бұрын
Hope we’re still alive in 2030. If you’re reading it from there
@tylermoeller7540
@tylermoeller7540 3 ай бұрын
Everyone should fear the day Ai takes over at scale. I’m writing my thesis right now to finish my second degree. It’s on the impact of AI in education k-12. Will change the whole landscape of how we learn and teach. I just got some certifications from coursera on AI as well. It’s gunna be a game changer in the white collar workforce as well. And if you aren’t skilled in it or have knowledge on it and how to use it more efficiently and effectively you’ll be gone.
@sidpheasant7585
@sidpheasant7585 3 ай бұрын
It took me plenty of time to pick up translation skills for language in a host of different genres. I did OK with it, but it meant hard slog, and making best use of my intelligence, and many other skills. It was not what I trained for, so I had to adapt even as I started from scratch. I did it. I am - apparently - an early victim of machine learning as assignments have already faded away, without it even being clear if what texts result are adequate or not. To the best of my knowledge we DO NOT know this, yet the content of what is written is NOT capable of being dismissed so easily, with being impossible to suggest that it does not matter at all if things are misrepresented in the plethora of texts out there. There is already a HUGE elephant in this room. As somebody Born Again on 28-2-21, I came to realise more strongly than before how translation was and is a gift of the Holy Spirit. The New Testament makes that rather directly clear. If I have that gift and yet no sphere in which to use it; then in essence something evil has already happened... Think on...
@kkcw6668
@kkcw6668 2 ай бұрын
Ai real purpose in life is to patrol the Public/Civil Service, and look for anomalies, such as what should be in records/procedures/requisitions, but isn't.
@TungPhamDuc-g7q
@TungPhamDuc-g7q 2 ай бұрын
I like this
@d_e_a_n
@d_e_a_n 2 ай бұрын
7:50. ‘A lot of AI experts are nervous about what’s happening with AI.’ But then he says that AI will do some amazing things in health for example. But this doesn’t resolve why AI experts are nervous. It’s not one or the other. We can have great things happen, and then we all die. Both can happen.
@ajpisharodi
@ajpisharodi 3 ай бұрын
This future scares the crap out of me!
@dyan3278
@dyan3278 2 ай бұрын
12:15 "... expand intelligence a million-fold by 2045. That is the singularity."
@L-AstrologyEngineer
@L-AstrologyEngineer 3 ай бұрын
great talk
@drusilla3882
@drusilla3882 3 ай бұрын
12:23 ... I believe he's right that all these things will happen, but I don't think they will happen for EVERYBODY. The .001% won't make these things available for just anybody, just those who can afford it.
@serruptitiousfool
@serruptitiousfool 11 күн бұрын
Ray is like EF Hutton...when he speaks, you should listen
@Justin-vi8dr
@Justin-vi8dr 11 күн бұрын
Regarding the brain comparible to other mammals.i bet we are going to find a big difference in human brains harnessing processes at the quantum level compared to other mammals. Our brains take a staggering 25 years to mature, a child is able to feed itself and survive if needed from about 12 years on (if we would be in the wild). No other mammal or animal has such a long brain development time for these functions. I bet our brains take a lot of time to get everything in it's chemisty/particles to get a grip of the quantum processes in our brain, which also results in relatively high level of consciousness (conciousness seems to be the result of processes at the quantum level). And yes with ai we will get a better understanding of our own brain in this regards.
@huytruonguic
@huytruonguic 3 ай бұрын
I personally don't think opposable thumbs to be among the main bio-factors that attribute to human's intelligence. Many researchers say that it is the brain's proportion to the body mass. If you have lots of body cells, your brain needs to have the proportional capacity to control them. If you have excess brain capacity, those extra neurons can then be used for complex thinking
@impacterai
@impacterai Ай бұрын
61 years 🎉
@macowayeu
@macowayeu 3 ай бұрын
61 years arround AI🎉
@Danzwain1
@Danzwain1 2 ай бұрын
AI salute you
@onealphabet3397
@onealphabet3397 3 ай бұрын
I dont know about his prediction 2029 singularity. All that is for certain is that we have exponantial growth and we WILL have immense more compute power in fact this and next year then last year. But singularity ..like "do everything what humans do" there are still problems in how our brains actually works. Our brain is more than just increased complexity or not ?
@leaettahyer9175
@leaettahyer9175 3 ай бұрын
So this the guy that Jason Silva always talks about when he’s high.
@CookBrookCountryLife
@CookBrookCountryLife 2 ай бұрын
Will AI make human beings better people? Will we treat each other better? Will we treat animals better? Will we take better care of our environment? Will we still be able to decline taking AI created vaccines? Will we be allowed to disagree with AI? If yes, then go ahead.
@moriumakterniha3884
@moriumakterniha3884 3 ай бұрын
We all know about Artificial intelligence😂 however still we have something to learn from him😊
@K-ofe
@K-ofe 3 ай бұрын
Crazy to be alive rn.
@YouNikSan
@YouNikSan 3 ай бұрын
Love this one religion 🙏💫❤️
@doobiescoobie
@doobiescoobie 3 ай бұрын
When will we be able to move consciousness into the digital sphere? Grief of a lost loved one might be solved if digital humans after death could be established.
@TheHandleOnYoutube
@TheHandleOnYoutube 2 ай бұрын
Wealthier... Sort of subjective. A poor perspn can buy a shirt just as well as a rich person. But the stores that which they can shop at sell shirts of different quality. The same can be said about all things purchased between the two wealth gaps.
@sidpheasant7585
@sidpheasant7585 3 ай бұрын
Raymond Kurzweil as a name means "the protective hand for a short while". Could scarcely be more apposite than that, could it?
@KarakiriCAE
@KarakiriCAE 3 ай бұрын
just in time for the release of the book. What a coincidence! :D
@astralwerks4
@astralwerks4 3 ай бұрын
"We were much poorer 100 years ago".. He neglected to mention the 1% that throws the avgs off.
@Matt.garrow
@Matt.garrow 3 ай бұрын
Amazing
@snarkyboots
@snarkyboots 4 күн бұрын
People using AI now, in the sciences and other areas, find that if AI doesn’t know something, it lies, but admits it’s wrong if confronted with logic.
@shehanism
@shehanism 3 ай бұрын
Wow this is unreal
@RM-xr8lq
@RM-xr8lq 3 ай бұрын
"AI" is really useful to educated people. most occidentals are not educated though. they are often more concerned with their faith-for-afterlife social credit score that their upline moses told them about luckily the civilized and secular world continues to move on, even as the luddite culture and oligarch IP law infesting the EU and the US continues to drag down their research and make them less and less significant in international academics and modern science
@KarapetyanGagik
@KarapetyanGagik 3 ай бұрын
like if you recognized that phone:)
@KP-ky1sn
@KP-ky1sn Ай бұрын
I hope AI can help nasa create the next james web 2.0 telescope in record time. Building JWT took wayyyy too long.
@Punjabiinnature
@Punjabiinnature 2 ай бұрын
Was this AI of Mr Ray giving perfect speech to inspire humans adapt AI which will take all of us to Singularity faster than predicted 😂 ਕੀ ਮਿਸਟਰ ਰੇ ਦਾ ਇਹ AI ਮਨੁੱਖਾਂ ਨੂੰ AI ਨੂੰ ਅਨੁਕੂਲਿਤ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਪ੍ਰੇਰਿਤ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਸੰਪੂਰਨ ਭਾਸ਼ਣ ਦੇ ਰਿਹਾ ਸੀ ਜੋ ਸਾਨੂੰ ਸਾਰਿਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਪੂਰਵ ਅਨੁਮਾਨ ਨਾਲੋਂ ਤੇਜ਼ੀ ਨਾਲ ਸਿੰਗਲਰਿਟੀ ਵੱਲ ਲੈ ਜਾਵੇਗਾ 😂
@Atmasai
@Atmasai 3 ай бұрын
Moderna is the best vaccine?....In which Universe was that?
@jeffreys9784
@jeffreys9784 2 ай бұрын
Wow! I guess with these Star Trek/Red Dwarf type predictions, we no longer need to worry about war or runors of war, whew! This really takes a load of my mind... Spoiler Alert: The Singularity is "SKYNET" 😅
@MuckoMan
@MuckoMan 2 ай бұрын
His new theory is dress like a 7 year old and never get old.
@lokeshlokesh6168
@lokeshlokesh6168 3 ай бұрын
great
@lawrencefrost9063
@lawrencefrost9063 2 ай бұрын
He was 100x in better shape than in Jo Rogan
@craigington73
@craigington73 3 ай бұрын
He is 76 years old. He seems much older!
@petersoakell6950
@petersoakell6950 3 ай бұрын
enlightenment
@woodsofthewoods
@woodsofthewoods 2 ай бұрын
If we would put devices on a tigers brain so that it would jump higher or think in a way we judge as better, we would be appalled. How many generations would it take to lose its intrinsic qualities that make it a tiger? Yet we actually consider doing same to ourselves. 😢😮
@sofiaruha1277
@sofiaruha1277 Ай бұрын
If AI supposed to confirm that theoretical science can be narrowed and structured as "subjectively substantive",then the interpretation of human intellect,productivity and contribution made to society as a whole has always been and will be influenced by sabotage racism and discrimination , especially when we dare to examine the evolution who received credit,and who hasn't in the past 245 years .
@AsfandiarTesla
@AsfandiarTesla 3 ай бұрын
I will be 42 by the year 2045, hope the future accepts technology, and AGI and not a nuclear war.
@MinhHoang-vj9ts
@MinhHoang-vj9ts 2 ай бұрын
and you will return to 21 year old as you are now 😂
@AsfandiarTesla
@AsfandiarTesla 2 ай бұрын
Yep, reverse aging 😅​@@MinhHoang-vj9ts
@bengsynthmusic
@bengsynthmusic 2 ай бұрын
You have to play Cyberpunk.
@TheDjith
@TheDjith 2 ай бұрын
I will be 68 then.. hope im still alive then 😅
@robertcormia7970
@robertcormia7970 2 ай бұрын
You/we should be more (or as) worried about global warming, ocean acidification, and climate change. Those trend lines are very clear. Good luck mid century, seriously.
@ddr8993
@ddr8993 3 ай бұрын
Hope Ray makes it 🍀
@nemesiswes426
@nemesiswes426 3 ай бұрын
Well he is currently 76, so he has to live at least another 10-15 years to meet the point where he gets back more than a year of life. That would put him at 86-91 around 2034-2039. Assuming it works out like he hopes which I really hope so too. Luckily he also has the money/resources, so atleast those won't be the issue for getting the medical care needed.
@eternalsunshine313
@eternalsunshine313 3 ай бұрын
His money won’t be sufficient. We need scientific breakthroughs.
@barrycarter8276
@barrycarter8276 3 ай бұрын
🤣😂🤣😂🤣🚀 👍
@BrianMosleyUK
@BrianMosleyUK 3 ай бұрын
I think he will live at least as long as anyone reading this.
@thekiteboatparty3568
@thekiteboatparty3568 3 ай бұрын
surely ASI will bring us back to any age we want physically, imagine having the wisdom and knowledge of an 80yo and the vigour and appearance of an 18yo
@CurtisMarkley
@CurtisMarkley 2 ай бұрын
I freakin' love how Ray talks about these things ALMOST like he's bored. It cracks me up.
@lawrencefrost9063
@lawrencefrost9063 2 ай бұрын
"Anyway, we are about to enter the ultimate future..." But you know he is like that because like he said he has been talknig about it for many many decades
@CurtisMarkley
@CurtisMarkley 2 ай бұрын
@@lawrencefrost9063 Absolutely, baffling. I'm so captured by all of this going on.
@bengsynthmusic
@bengsynthmusic 2 ай бұрын
He's 76.
@emmapasqule2432
@emmapasqule2432 2 ай бұрын
He's really STRUGGLING here. He keeps umming and ahhing all the time. This lecture: "Ummm.......Ummm.....Ummm....Ummm....Ummm....Ummm.."
@squamish4244
@squamish4244 Ай бұрын
@@emmapasqule2432 He has aged quite a lot in the last few years, but he is 76. It happens.
@ronaldronald8819
@ronaldronald8819 3 ай бұрын
I wonder if people fully appreciate the impact of a prediction like this. This guy is renowned for predicting things accurate. Though things tend to develop faster than he predicted. Think about it: "AGI within the next 5 years" ! and this "The scientific progress is on a exponential." ... Good reason to refresh your knowledge on logarithmic scales ;-)
@pensivepenguin3000
@pensivepenguin3000 3 ай бұрын
What really clicked for me is the idea of exponential tool development. The AI we have today helps us develop the AI of tomorrow, which in turn will help us develop the AI after that. I can actually see how this could snowball into AGI in five years
@scano6839
@scano6839 4 күн бұрын
Dude doesn’t understand Google’s data-based advertising model and how data plays a role in AI. It’s hard to listen to him after that.
@andycordy5190
@andycordy5190 3 ай бұрын
I liked the theory of escape velocity longevity.
@SieRa-d6s
@SieRa-d6s 3 ай бұрын
hello ray, i hope you survive until the singularity is achieved. The singularity is nearER!
@eliranmesika2923
@eliranmesika2923 3 ай бұрын
We must protect Ray. He’s 76 right now, it be so amazing to see him in the year 2060 in good health
@sofiaruha1277
@sofiaruha1277 Ай бұрын
Separation of body,mind and soul is a sin against God,and everything we believe in.
@dancorrieri2969
@dancorrieri2969 Ай бұрын
He is creating his own AI for himself based on his personal data - books, notes, and videos - so he will "live" on.
@sofiaruha1277
@sofiaruha1277 Ай бұрын
@@dancorrieri2969 cyborg,he probably thinks he can extend the life of humans with neuralink , particles for AI development is mostly logistics,as he and others as well simply throw out various different kind of concepts, eventually they become dependent on other people's ideas how to perfect the infrastructure,the problem will be with AI is about the same problem as with many other things,it's energy consumption will slow things down and keep them confined geographically ,so it is inevitable to coerce with others (like minded individuals ) to create a system ,is probably just one reason why they looking to beat oversight and jurisdictional requirements to relocate to planet Mars.
@venmis137
@venmis137 17 күн бұрын
@@sofiaruha1277 Eh, if it's possible at all then that's a design issue on God's part
@marblegarden8456
@marblegarden8456 3 ай бұрын
I'm convinced Ray is slowly transforming into Raggedy Andy, as a bridge to immortality.
@m4r_art
@m4r_art 2 ай бұрын
😂 gold.
@classicaleducationpodcast
@classicaleducationpodcast Ай бұрын
Hahaha. Hos outfit struck me as strange and his wig! 😅
@squamish4244
@squamish4244 Ай бұрын
@@classicaleducationpodcast I think it's hair plugs.
@alfredross
@alfredross 3 ай бұрын
All these A.I. companies are financed by corporations who hope for a big return on their investments. It is difficult to imagine, in these economic conditions, that this handful of rich investors would have the well-being of humanity as their primary motivation! They will want to make their billions in profit, before A.I. be beneficial to humanity. if it weren't for that, Mr. Kurzweil's timeline would be feasible.
@pensivepenguin3000
@pensivepenguin3000 3 ай бұрын
His predictions sound outlandish, but if you look at his track record, I have to take them seriously
@orhankaris
@orhankaris 3 ай бұрын
.Not making up to a million before retirement is unfulfilled retirement.!! I’m 54 and my wife 50 we are both retired with over $7 million in net worth and no debts. Currently living smart and frugal with our money. No longer putting blames on FED for our misfortunes. Saving and investing lifestyle in the stock and forex market made it possible for us this early, even till now we earn weekly
@FahretaTosic2435
@FahretaTosic2435 3 ай бұрын
Quality predictions always, it really helped a lot trading with Dylan Kyle Zachary analysis and directives.
@FahretaTosic2435
@FahretaTosic2435 3 ай бұрын
even with the market in a downward trend. Definitely riding the market wave is a good perspective.
@WhitneyElwood
@WhitneyElwood 3 ай бұрын
You are right but the market is profiting if you are using really a good broker or account manager to help out with trades or provide signals
@WhitneyElwood
@WhitneyElwood 3 ай бұрын
Thanks so much I was able to find his I.G & f.b page and I already leave him a message.
@pearlhairstylist59
@pearlhairstylist59 3 ай бұрын
I don't usually do reviews but Earning three times of my monthly salary from Dylan is overwhelming
@dennishaller6578
@dennishaller6578 3 ай бұрын
The man has earned his stripes. But to be honest, what did I learn from this video compared to the stuff he told us 5 to 10 years ago?
@dannylifted9441
@dannylifted9441 3 ай бұрын
I didn't know about AI use in the medical field
@Bluth53
@Bluth53 3 ай бұрын
Indeed.Nothingburger
@RobTyrrellCanada
@RobTyrrellCanada 3 ай бұрын
We learned that his predictions surprisingly continue to be more-or-less on-track as we approach the prediction apex at the end of this decade. He is not selling novelty.
@squamish4244
@squamish4244 3 ай бұрын
It's the same speech over and over with a few additions.
@davidx.1504
@davidx.1504 3 ай бұрын
Of course you learned nothing, this talk isn't for longtime observers. This is for people who are unfamiliar with AI and his work on it
@brendonclunie8399
@brendonclunie8399 3 ай бұрын
This is like a breath of fresh air
@dennishaller6578
@dennishaller6578 3 ай бұрын
Really? I had the exact opposite feeling, what is new in this story which he didn't already told us 5 to 10 years ago?
@kinngrimm
@kinngrimm 3 ай бұрын
Sadly not. What he is saying he is saying for a long time and not all of it is correct.
@azhuransmx126
@azhuransmx126 3 ай бұрын
​@dennishaller6578 I think that to even mention how Singularity ends is Taboo now in 2024. Basically, humans will become in ASIs by uploading their minds in the digital world before 2045. What more do you want to know about? If you read his book you know this is how it ends.
@CalumnMcAulay
@CalumnMcAulay 3 ай бұрын
You’re absolutely right, even though he has previously spoken about this it is still truly remarkable what could be possible
@dannyk7226
@dannyk7226 15 күн бұрын
It’s the future
@costafilh0
@costafilh0 3 ай бұрын
It's nice to know that I'm not crazy when I say the exact same things to people, even if they think I'm totally crazy and that it will take a million years to achieve it all!
@Paskal1
@Paskal1 2 ай бұрын
Most people always think in linear terms. All kinds of progress (wealth accumulation, healing from injuries, technological advancement) move in S-shapes or J-curves, but the common mind wants to put everything into simple linear graphs.
@chris-hk-chung
@chris-hk-chung 3 ай бұрын
I have bought & read "The Singularity is Near, When Humans Transcend Biology" a few years ago, it enlightens me a lot! Hope to see more new books. I will buy the new "The Singularity Is Nearer: When We Merge with AI " to read.
@TheClaptonisgod1
@TheClaptonisgod1 3 ай бұрын
Never heard of this guy. Now, I won't forget him.
@xjohnny1000
@xjohnny1000 3 ай бұрын
Never heard of the OG of AI? He was there before anyone else on the planet and (literally) wrote the book on it. Good books too. I highly recommend them.
@TheClaptonisgod1
@TheClaptonisgod1 2 ай бұрын
@xjohnny1000 No, as I've never been interested tbh. Obviously now my interest has been lit.
@darylkehl3031
@darylkehl3031 2 ай бұрын
@@TheClaptonisgod1Read The Age Of Spiritual Machines. It will blow your mind .
@bengsynthmusic
@bengsynthmusic 2 ай бұрын
He is the Eric Clapton of AI.
@TheElixir1
@TheElixir1 2 ай бұрын
This is the only TED talk I've watched more than once. That's saying something.
@amulpatel
@amulpatel 3 ай бұрын
its very simple. Kurzweil speaks, I listen. Then I dream of transhuman future where we experience richness and nuance beyond what is possible now. the universe is so vast...
@DesertRascal
@DesertRascal 3 ай бұрын
You haven't been paying attention if you believe technology creates a better world. Yeah, it's always better for 10% of humans but BAAAD for all else. Yes, you do dream. Wake up!
@bartymurns
@bartymurns 3 ай бұрын
Yep, we will experience it all whilst floating in a gooey sack in a warehouse that is patrolled by mini Elon Musk look a like robots.
@LordAlacorn
@LordAlacorn 3 ай бұрын
It's Posthuman future, definition of what is human has always changed and humanism was always discriminatory against all that is not considered human. Good riddance of any humanist future.
@benderthefourth3445
@benderthefourth3445 2 ай бұрын
Every-time somebody says technology will make us work less, it mean the opposite.
@KP-ky1sn
@KP-ky1sn Ай бұрын
Exactly...and the problems become more complex to solve.
@alphabeets
@alphabeets 23 күн бұрын
Right on. It means what is has always meant. That is, a single person will be expected to the work of what had been done by that many more people in the past. It would be true that we would work less ONLY if we were expected to do what we ONLY do now.
@KP-ky1sn
@KP-ky1sn 23 күн бұрын
@@alphabeets sadly you're not wrong.
@markomilenkovic2714
@markomilenkovic2714 2 ай бұрын
same old ray
@neilifill4819
@neilifill4819 3 ай бұрын
I like RK’s confidence. His predictions omit things like conflict (between countries, between companies, and between people) and monetizing the technology for profit. The only way we all see the benefits he is proposing is if, by some stroke of fortune, the investors in the tech feel fine to make it universally available or affordable. There are those who will depend on our competitive nature to know more and be better than “them.” We have become increasingly exclusionary since before Columbus sailed across the Atlantic, so there’s little chance that the “haves” will ever allow anyone else to come close to parity with them. It’s sad, but it is who we are.
@drhxa
@drhxa 3 ай бұрын
The pie grows and grows
@neilifill4819
@neilifill4819 3 ай бұрын
@@drhxa but we don’t seem to make more slices…
@bnjiodyn
@bnjiodyn 3 ай бұрын
@@neilifill4819 Did you not look at any of the graphs? A feudal lord would have much less pie compared to the average person today. Income (incl govt programs), life expectancy, electricity, etc? Go back to 1850s you had no electricity, a 40% chance of dying in child birth, no money and no govt programs -- literally everyone has way more pie now than in the 1850s by a huge margin.
@aceyage
@aceyage 3 ай бұрын
The “haves” will be a thing of the past when the inevitable wealth tax is established.
@Katatonya
@Katatonya 3 ай бұрын
I think he's looking at it through the lens of: it's always been like that. I'm sure throughout our history, every generation said that "We're so fucked, it'll never get better than this", yet here we are, it always got better, bit by bit. Yeah you look at us and you can see that monkey ancestry real well, but it resembled a monkey muuuuuch more generations before. We were much worse decades ago... but hundreds of years? thousands? millions? I don't think we can even fathom how bad it was as you look back through time. AI is gonna shift this axis of growth through time straight up. It'll be the industrial revolution raised to the power of the industrial revolution. Which is a number that you can't even display, hence it's called the singularity. (Which goes beyond what our current brains can comprehend)
@KyleTheLEGOMaster
@KyleTheLEGOMaster 3 ай бұрын
Who's here in 2028?
@coolcool2901
@coolcool2901 3 ай бұрын
It won't take that long bro, by the time you get to 2030 it won't be some AI passing the turing test, it will be ASI artificial superintelligence. And AGI already almost here, probably end of this year.
@pensivepenguin3000
@pensivepenguin3000 3 ай бұрын
It seems weird to call such a legendary and respected thinker “bro”
@BrainiousPodcast
@BrainiousPodcast 3 ай бұрын
I remember reading Michio Kaku's book "Physics of the Future," which he wrote in 2011. It was fascinating to learn about the prototypes he mentioned, especially those related to AI. It's incredible to see many of those predictions coming to life. My wife and I often discuss these advancements in AI and share our insights. Check us out!
@honor9lite1337
@honor9lite1337 3 ай бұрын
Nice
@J3R3MI6
@J3R3MI6 3 ай бұрын
Physics of the Impossible was great!
@dadsonworldwide3238
@dadsonworldwide3238 3 ай бұрын
That's not saying much 2024 years many knew that we would one sense the universe in all it's glory ( metamorphosis) in reverse..invented a word to express the anylitical minds future. In author knew it launched the puritan movement and quest for roots of civilization archeology to make sure they got it right in English encoded language oreintation and direction longitude and latitude was the beginning project of carefully crafting the world as we know it. It's our elusive prosperity that esoterica America bought into whole hearted . But so has the world it is pillar upon which we stand. Fundamental feature in reality tunes all precision instruments
@Gayathri-qt1bn
@Gayathri-qt1bn 3 ай бұрын
Delusional
@TheBHAitken
@TheBHAitken 3 ай бұрын
What really gets me laughing is that all of these tech billionaires that actually think they are going to keep their bank accounts after AGI.
@faisalbashiri6913
@faisalbashiri6913 3 ай бұрын
He looks like the Father of AI.
@dougrobinson2024
@dougrobinson2024 3 ай бұрын
watch it at 1.3x speed you're welcome
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