[TF2] Is Unboxing Worth It? I Did the Math to Find Out

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

*Whoa! Scream Fortress 2019 is out!* If you want to know what to unbox from the new event, check out this quick guide I wrote! It uses findings from this video, as well as what we know about this year's update to make predictions about the best crates to unbox if you want to pull something awesome from this year's Halloween event. Link to guide: docs.google.com/document/d/1-xwAnzZNj9yEvtYoU6kpUyxqahpxSrBi7uoobaT4GQI/edit?usp=sharing *Original Pinned Comment:* On some level, I can’t believe this video is finally on KZbin. Believe it or not, this video has been in the works (on and off) for almost six months, and due to the stupid amount of work I had to put in to not only record this video, but program the unboxing simulator itself, there have been many times where I was close to giving up and scraping the video all together. That being said, against all odds, this video has ended up on KZbin. And as a result, I really hope you guys enjoy this video. This video has some incredibly fascinating results that I’ve been dying to share with you guys, and I hope you guys appreciate the awesomeness of these findings as much as I do. Because there is a lot about the simulator I didn’t have time to talk about in the video (e.g. behind the scenes stuff), I've complied a FAQ document that answers some of the most common questions I've received on this video, as well as gets into a full breakdown of how I simulated each crate type of crate. The document has some length to it, but there is a ton of very interesting information in here, so trust me when I say it will be worth your time to read! Here is the link to the FAQ (be careful for spoilers if you haven't watched the full video yet!): docs.google.com/document/d/1ZcT5TOYkxU8rzYpzjkhmz3nv8xrWYR5jCyzWx4uAHDk/edit?usp=sharing Finally, before I go, I want to give a quick thanks to those who helped me with the video: *Backpack.tf* - For having a great API I could use to collect the prices of almost every item in TF2. *The TF2 Wiki* - For providing me with data on crates, unboxable items, and some unbox percentages. I referenced this site more times than any other while creating this video, and the help it gave me was invaluable. Without it, I'm not sure this video could exist. *Python Library Authors* - Analyzing data in Python is an absolute joy, and I can’t think of another language I would rather use thanks to these amazing tools. *Archimo* - For walking me through some of the complexities of unboxing from the perspective of a seasoned unboxer. Most of my numbers from bonus drops would be completely inaccurate without his help. *ZEG* - For once again providing me with a great thumbnail, as well as a sweet animation as well. *Stevia Sphere & Punch Deck* - For creating some great music and putting it under a Creative Commons licence. *Anyone I know in real life* - For putting up with my desire to continuously torture myself while working on this video. Thanks for watching!

[@remipoujoulat7759]

You always stood out from the other by your work and dedication. Thank you but don't forget yourself buddy.

[@An_Ian]

So I looked at create 83 on steam market at it seems your video tripled its price in a week. nice work man you just made valve more money from creates that you did talking bout them

[@CaptainClark23]

Incredibly in-depth video. Just some constructive feedback: your upward inflections mid-sentence are almost always the exact same tone. It can be a little fatiguing for an audience to hear it repeated so frequently. That’s seriously the only thing I could find that could be improved. Again, well done and bravo on a tremendous effort. 👏👏👏

[@somerandomguyintheinternet]

Drink scrumpy to get better bottle to drink even more scrumpy but better

[@NahaleGuitar]

The way you anounCE every OTHER word is fucKING anNOYING... I'm just teLLING YOU. That's how I feEL abOUT your viDEO... please stop doING THIS.

[@masonmontieth5866]

Little did he know he just made the prices of multiple crates sky rocket

[@MrGabsoliver]

MANNN, I just had 300 #83 for sale on marketplace.tf and they are gone LOL.

[@KB-ud5ct]

@@MrGabsoliver can we get an f for this poor soul

[@Gemikoni]

F

[@Bobby-zk4np]

F

[@sharcc2511]

F

[@goodguyjack]

Hey Vsauce, Ben here. Crates aren't profitable. Or... are they? *Vsauce music starts playing*

[@seb5708]

Ok

[@RF-Ataraxia]

@@seb5708 ok

[@xexcellx1821]

@@RF-Ataraxia ok

[@duskyduck5949]

@@xexcellx1821 ok

[@cl4655]

the music is Moon Men by Jake Chudnow by the way

[@ZombieNubify]

Make this a public tool man. This shit's gonna shift sooner rather than later, and we gotta keep up.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Yeah, long term that is the goal. It would take some work to set up website and whatnot but I think it would be highly worth the effort. Because your right, prices change.

[@lolnyanterts]

Can you make it open source?

[@97mizuno]

@@lolnyanterts This. As someone who is studying data science, it would be quite useful.

[@realdragon]

There's simpler solution really: Probobality of getting item times the value of crate gives the expected value of crate For example one cosmetic cost 100$ but have 2% to drop in crate, for simplicity we will say you either get it or not so on average you get 2$ per crate (2 drops in 100 crates). If key to crate cost more than 2$ then it's not worth gambling because on average you will lose money, but if key is worth less than 2$ then it's worth gambling because on average you will earn more. No need for any simulations and for multiple items you just add those to get average worth of crate i.e. 100x0.02 + 50x0.1 + 10x0.3 + 1x0.58 = 10.58 For items worth 100$ with 2% drop rate, 50$ and 10% drop rate, 10$ and 30% drop and 1$ and 58% drop on average you will earn 10.58$ per crate so if key cost 9$ then it's worth it

[@realpatty]

@@realdragon i was thinking the same, it's cool but none of this was necessary lol

[@leonardotheuseless4188]

Now do that with Mvm stats

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

That's a great idea, but it's a project for another day :P

[@WaterBisquitte]

@@TheVirtualEconomist 3 years later…

[@saint3058]

This is one of the most historically significant videos to ever be produced in the Team Fortress economy. You effectively proved that gambling can be profitable, through pure number crunching and excruciating pain. I applaud you, TVE, for making one of the most informative videos in this game’s history.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Reading this made my day. I'm so happy you enjoyed the video so much! This was my goal from the beginning :)

[@saint3058]

Seriously, this is on an absurd level of detail. You should be extremely proud, and I’m very surprised bigger creators haven’t shouted this out. This program, if proved accurate, has just broken the TF2 economy. I love it.

[@trystanreadman1764]

some guy actually figured out that in certain lotteries the average return on a ticket was higher than the tickets cost during rundown events. and made a living off it.

[@epicebic6188]

Stop pocketing the soldier Jesus Christ I can hear your teammates smashing the e key

[@TheeCapN]

Most of those people were behind cover or retreating. If that soldier died the enemy team would have no force to stop them from pushing forward making the possibility of the entire team dying higher

[@sweetmamaschili4051]

@@TheeCapN If they were getting healed they wouldn't need to hide ;3

[@TheeCapN]

@@sweetmamaschili4051 ur dumb dude. Had the medic stopped healing the soldier then who ever they were fighting would kill the soldier then the medic and then those fleeing. How do you not get that. Even if the medic would turn and heal the immediate person behind them by the time the guy behind realises he is getting healed, turns around, aims and hits the soldier would've already died. Then the medic dies because he was already taking damage. Sure let's say the new guy getting healed takes out the enemy nowbyiu have a dead soldier and medic he would have to fall back for his teammates to respawn anyways. Ur dumb

[@cache780]

his gameplay makes me physically sick

[@epicebic6188]

squidman6000 no he would have been fine also in some of the clips they were walking out of the spawn he didn’t drop the one soldier he could have healed his some one else to get their health up but no he stayed giving the soldier fucking heavy anal

[@SniperPlayer1515vr]

This was my first video idea back in like, 2016 Glad to see someone do it better!

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

:)

[@TwistedFireX]

I actually looked at the most profitable crates myself and discovered 83 and 103. Sadly I had deleted all my munition crates a long time ago. :(

[@soraokamichi8835]

Viewer: So is crate unboxing worth it? TVE: Well yes but actually no.

[@MrZylix-6]

Sora Okamichi to summarise: depends on the crate...

[@Naleksuh]

These kinds of videos are what I wish I could always see in my first search result. But everyone else keeps pumping out clickbait 10:01 videos that restate what i already know but with 5 midroll ads

[@nuggets1833]

As a stat major who grew up with TF2, this is an amazing video! Keep at it!

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Glad you enjoyed dude!

[@Shaltevencraft]

I see someone's been watching The Professor... 😉

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

yeee lol

[@Shaltevencraft]

@@TheVirtualEconomist Ever thought about branching out into MtG content?

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

@@Shaltevencraft Yes, but it would need to be on another channel, which makes me much less likely to do it.

[@juice1111]

It was uncanny to hear him say that

[@mrlm-ff8md]

20:07 to skip to the conclusion

[@unkemptwalrus4643]

mrlm1105 not all heroes wear capes

[@L76-k8y]

Unkempt Walrus what if he/she does wear a cap

[@jad6386]

jesus thanks

[@allconsumingchicken9173]

L 76 oh my gosh!

[@achannel3295]

mrlm1105 but the full video has more overall info like which crates are the best

[@professor7382]

HE’S BACK

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

yep!

[@Archimo]

From my personal experience it's much like any kind of gambling it will never be worth it in the long run even if you get a lucky streak early, also nice to see that you finally got it done :D Edit after watching: I might consider unboxing some of the top crates now, but than again I do like war paint cases as you can in theory pull a profitable strange fn war paint even if unlikely it still feels like an extra shot at an unusual in value sometimes.

[@MorNloR]

fun fact: techincally in the tf2 universe you can unbox infinitely because its a key and a key doesen't break when you open something

[@mrheroprimes]

the reason I say the TF2 crate depression shows how vulnerable the TF2 economy is because just imagine if it had been all the crates that were bugged instead of a small margin that would have crippled the TF2 economy.

[@adamhelgeson9329]

The economy has been on its deathbed for a long. Long. Long time. Pretending otherwise is delusional

[@TwistedFireX]

@@adamhelgeson9329 Care to explain?

[@mirabile1221]

@@adamhelgeson9329 Care to explain?

[@q.of.the.pon.]

@@adamhelgeson9329 Care to explain?

[@PotatoSlices]

@@adamhelgeson9329 Care to explain?

[@SubZeroDestruction]

Didn't expect those months of question asking to result in an all out unboxing code base, but it is highly commended that you put this much work into trying to putting direct numbers behind everything. Good work.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

:)

[@chrisquinn865]

Amazing video I love the way you integrate truthful interesting statistics without making it confusing :)

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

glad you enjoyed! I love seeing comments like these :)

[@depsatico1834]

shout out to that medic at 1:30 called "Nipple Nigga 9000" lmfao

[@vidbuddy92]

Personally, I like unboxing 92 and 90. You have the same odds of getting a strange kritz/awper hand that you do with getting an unusual. Both are highly valuable items.

[@akulette]

Thank you Ben from TheVirtualEconomist I just used all my keys and got around 7 keys profit, cheers

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Nice! What crate did you unbox?

[@akulette]

Opened 7 #103 crates and got 5 Strange Parts

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

@@akulette congrats!

[@jeffreychen5130]

@@akulette ok this is literally like my friend get an aussie first tour and unusual on an unbox on a crate he brought to bring his cart value to the marketplace minimum

[@aide9621]

@@akulette Thanks for telling me, unboxed 5 and made 5 keys profit!

[@jacehackworth6413]

I had a friend who bought 5 crates and keys, and unboxed 3 unusuals and then never played the game.

[@KB-ud5ct]

Does he still have a pc? Mobile number of his? *lenny*

[@jacehackworth6413]

Károly Boross pretty sure he sold them to buy some games during a sale that he played for 15 minutes at most.

[@KB-ud5ct]

@@jacehackworth6413 Dummy Well thats embarassing A future of trading and cash lost... But i cant not respect him playing other games.

[@jacehackworth6413]

Károly Boross If only I were so lucky.

[@jacehackworth6413]

Hatris I swear it’s true.

[@canihavesomeoreos]

spent 2 keys on crates, got crap form a summer 2019 and got an 8 key strange awp from crate number 90

[@watotodile]

After watching this video I went to go unbox three #83 Crates, as well as seven #84 crates hoping to get a professional killstreak kit, but instead I somehow managed to get my first Unusual Hat!! I somehow beat the odds and I'm pretty happy with my unusual, it's an Aces High Whirly Warrior! It fits perfect with my High Roller's Rocket Launcher I got last year, and I managed to find two other cosmetics that fit great with it too, The Soldier's Stash and The Cuban Bristle Crisis. This set really make Soldier look like a grizzled veteran who's been around for a long time and likes to fight even when the odds are stacked against him. I personally also love gambling and Poker, hence the High Roller's Rocket Launcher, so this Unusual is great for me!

[@greenpeppersalad]

the way you started the video, I just feel the MTG energy inside you!

[@neno768]

I can unhear his word KEY That pitch jesus 😂😂

[@xsonz2]

personal pet peeve when peoples voices trail up at the end of a sentence i dunno maybe its just me

[@solardile7143]

xsonz2 HAHAHAHAHA I had the exact same response like 2 minutes in. I recognized that every 5 seconds he was ending his sentences at the exact same tone and it actually tugged on my balls so hard

[@Charitish89]

Now I gotta EV train my crates in order to get that optimized unusual unboxing build.

[@epicface3053]

*TVE* : Is Unboxing Worth It? *The Crate Depression* : _Are you challenging me?_

[@No-mh6hg]

epicface now you get an unusual in every crate fifty crates fifty unusuals

[@Nico30337]

this medic gameplay is giving me a headache

[@9C9CB5]

bro yapping for 20 minutes straight 😭😭🙏

[@9rr0r31]

Welp now the prices are gonna go up

[@antirbx]

9Rr0r the heyzeus of tf2

[@RemRise]

Why do you care you dirty Roblox kid

[@9rr0r31]

@@RemRise I dont know it's not like I play the game or anything Mr.NoAvtar like nooooo that's impossible like why would I watch a tf2 video and not play the game you ass

[@makitard]

@@9rr0r31 damn toxic

[@9rr0r31]

@@makitard what is toxic

[@kyo1112]

This was an AMAZING video! It deserves alot more views. Because of how much work you put into it.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Thanks man :)

[@alexanderharrison7421]

I have stockpiled 27 Crate #57 because they had the Mann Co. Painting Set and its good to see that crate fairs at least decently

[@YaBoiTem]

And with this video, the little profet those crates generated will disappear

[@darenmanzanares6906]

Jesus, this video is so well made

[@KvaNTyTroiden]

This video is Stellar quality!

[@jxy_vbn8156]

Being a business student and a videogame fan, this has to be one of my favourite channels

[@BottomOfTheDumpsterFire]

So what I'm hearing is, I really should have been opening 83s during the crate depression as they were all tradable results (except for Unusuals) and they were all very quality items.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

yeah, that would have actually been the next level thing to do :P

[@BottomOfTheDumpsterFire]

@@TheVirtualEconomist I mean I did make over $1000 buying and then reselling crates so I'm not upset but

[@coolranch2981]

@@BottomOfTheDumpsterFire my god

[@defuegodiablo4249]

>be me, aged 12 >ask mom for 5 steam bucks because its my birthday and im a special little birthday boy >on a whim, buy 2 keys and unbox 2 crates >mfw i get 2 unusuals

[@matteoglorioso9821]

Thanks, now we all know what will happen to every single price of every single crate in a few days...

[@sauceboss2210]

Another crate depression possibility?

[@No-mh6hg]

Weeepeee

[@diamondjozu4491]

One of the surprising things about the gargoyle case is that there is no unusual at the pink or red grade...

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

very true. The gargoyle case is an interesting case for sure.

[@car9472]

I still think of the Hoover logo when I glance at your channel icon

[@Link-gb3wq]

Personally, I find unboxing good in moderation, while I typically buy all items I need off SCM, I tend to save up leftover cash and after a while I unbox just for fun.

[@greypug7769]

you can actually get much better prices on bp.tf, I bought a strange stickybomb launcher on there, got bored of it after 200 hours or so and sold it on SCM for about 3 bucks, i bought it for like 10 ref lol.

[@sssswerth5323]

@@greypug7769 yo what??

[@greypug7769]

@@sssswerth5323 i said that 11 months ago i have no idea ive totally forgotten lol

[@TheNagler]

In my opinion, I feel some tf2 background music could have filled some of the space where you were not talking Just a critique, you don't have to take it.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

That is a great observation. In all honesty, I would use background music more if I could find some good non-copyrighted/creative commons music to use. If you could point me in the right direction for music like that I would be more than grateful :)

[@TheNagler]

@@TheVirtualEconomistOne method has I've been using to avoid copyright strikes is to look at the descriptions of the videos. If you go into the description of any youtube video (preferably the video with just the song) and it is copyright striked, then at the bottom of the description box you will see *Music in this video* in bold. That means it IS copystriked. plus you can also see who claimed it. I havent tested this method, but looking at my previous videos that have gotten copystriked, It appears to me that might be the case. I found that video game soundtracks are least likely to get striked. Super Mario 64, Minecraft, Jak and Daxter, Mortal Komat, and Mass Effect 2 are just some of the games I've researched. Plus If you use other games soundtracks, you could get the added bonus of having some of your viewers say "oh wow, I know that song!" (At least thats what I say when I watch someone elses content and see it.) And I would still give credit, you could write something like this down in your description. Koji Kondo - Super Mario 64 (Dire, Dire Rocks) I hope this helps and I would love to hear your methods on how you obtain music. Thx for the reply. :-)

[@TheNagler]

Oh and also here a playlist full of popular video game music: kzbin.info/www/bejne/jIXWdWV8n9J_qdk

[@takia5683]

Props to you for not only giving genuine criticism, but also providing a well thought out solution

[@TheNagler]

@@takia5683 thank you, it only takes a little more effort to have good impacts

[@lukegonzales5219]

Got a FN King of the Jungle with Cool effect on my 7th concealed killer case

[@yeeper4468]

I’ve unboxed 3 crates, 2 of them were profit (one strangepart of 4 keys and a pyro elite grade misc of ~2-3 keys) and the third was a shitty halloween misc of 5 ref and i’ve never unboxed since then

[@redacted_lol]

You have 1% chance to get an unusual so it's surely a better idea than mvm for australiums

[@senorsquidman278]

Your voice goes up instead of down when I expect it to and it made me go a little insane lol

[@GnomishProductions]

2022 has arrived crate 83 costs 1 key to buy lol

[@NefashusLP]

I did not know you watch The Professor too! 😅😁 Nice intro!

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

thanks :P

[@waluigitheprophet4406]

Me: Watches video Also Me: Frantically checks inventory for said profitable crates EDIT: I have 1 #103. nice.

[@TemmieCW]

looked at this video, unboxed 6 crates. Got complete trash. fml

[@ozzyrockin]

So do you expect this video to cause a feeding frenzy on the profitable cases and crates?

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Maybe. I don't think the crates will skyrocket in price or anything, due to some of the top crates having a crap ton of supply on the SCM. However, some of the killstreak kits and strange parts will probably go down a little bit due to increased competition on the classifieds.

[@mynamewasyoinked5429]

Was watching this videos, bought a #103 for funsies, opened it and got the damage dealt strange part.

[@levibtw-]

Cousin:Opens 1 case,gets an unusual. Me:Opens 200 crates gets nothing

[@xXRobloxguy]

why does the pitch of your voice go up and down every 5 words ahh

[@5amg1]

because it adds to the video by making him sound interesting. if this was done in a monotone voice, i dont think i would have gotten through this video, especially seeing as i dont even play tf2.

[@xXRobloxguy]

yeah but i feel like it’s forced upon and it gets annoying when you notice it, and very predictable

[@5amg1]

@@xXRobloxguy i mean i didnt notice it until you wrote the comment, and didnt really care all that much when i read it.

[@solardile7143]

b o n e s OH LORD IM NOT THE ONLY ONE

[@smithhound5452]

I know. I tried to ignore it, but it's like he's trying to emphasize every third word like it's really important. I understand that it's to put a little bounce to what he's saying, and It's typically a good idea, but like, when used with discretion. Lol

[@colinle467]

Anyone else remember when he said he'd make a video about high/god tier trading on episode 8 of his trading guide?

[@turgonyurgon]

these results actually make sense. in fact the last unusual hat i unboxed was actually from the #103 crate

[@Rathzul]

I just do it for the hell of it, I just love the feeling when I get something rare.

[@neoxenoz3262]

When you find out statiscally that the shit items you'd get while unboxing for an unusual is worth more than the unusual itself.

[@slipperynodd578]

This is going to make the profitable crates go down

[@justinherndon1733]

So your telling me, keys are the shittiest thing ever to exist?

[@BananaGhoti]

I got 3 apoco fists with my only 3 keys

[@No-mh6hg]

🍌 Banana Fish 🐟 why did you not wait until 2020 now keys are around 60 ref you lost 180/150 ref that could have bought you so many fucking unusuals

[@doctor2701]

can't wait to see the prices of crate #83 shoot up

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

we will see :P

[@YurieSnowie]

This is my first time unboxing a crate, i got a unusual for Soldier, n i c e

[@ishdakfgp9200]

actually used this video to figure out that i should unbox #92 crates, and i ended up getting a strange kritzkrieg on my 4th unbox. thank you!

[@antisynth4650]

the legend has returned

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

:)

[@somerandomguy___]

Many thanks. Now everyone are going to unbox these crates

[@villus9384]

Then there’s too many of the hats from those crates, they drop in price, and the crates are made to be way less profitable. I love TF2

[@faceitbrian]

Short answer: Hell no. Long answer: Watch the video.

[@rockowlgamer631]

my friend who merely had only 100 hours on TF2 where I have at least over 2100 hours, GOT A FRICKING UNUSUAL for soldier lets just say I was a bit salty since I don't have one

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

aw :(

[@remunell4650]

I chose to learn economics for my GCSE because of you

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

That's awesome dude! Good luck in your studies!

[@men4123]

Quality over quantity the vidoe

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

:)

[@klutz3955]

thats some nice amount of programs! now you have experience with all of them and can slap them on ur Cv!

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

:)

[@doorway3995]

"Is unboxing worth it? I did meth to find out"

[@the_herobriner683]

The simple fact that this video exists is going to make those few profitable crates get more demand, thus inflating their price into unprofitability.

[@familyguyfunnymoments2300]

Oh yeah , this is big brain time

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

yeee

[@rhysahkiin123]

Bro started with the tf community college intro

[@cache780]

please consider the following TVE: watch your back often, consider bumping up your sensitivity to around 180 per wrist turn as it seemed you had a low sens, it's preference sure but in tf2 you may need do a 180 quickly Heal EVERYONE, even medics, hurt players get priority, and then dish out the buffs. Play a little game: pretend all the health packs are yours and if a teammate grabs one you lose an imaginary point watch your back often.. arrow people from afar who need you or who are low hp and don't have crit heals strafe to avoid damage, don't stop moving, move unpredictably and stay behind cover, let your teammates go first, surf (crouch jump) incoming explosives if you can't avoid them watch your back often

[@Theratkicker]

The single greatest thing I unboxed is an eldritch opening well wrapped hat. This made me believe that unboxing around Halloween is very profitable.

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

Damn, what an insane unbox... Congrats!

[@MrKooler]

This came out about a year ago and so today I tried this method and I unboxed an unusual! Thanks VirtualEconomist!

[@steambot3000]

im just going to say the head prize is the ultimate go big, or go home unusual goal.

[@NachozMan]

I get taunt unusual like SUPER commonly, never managed to get a hat in all my time unboxing in tf2.

[@symphony-of-the-mint2008]

No idea what's going on but I really appreciate what you've done here.

[@TadofSalt]

10:00 hey that guy looks familiar

[@b19931228]

So people put in-proportional amount of hope on unboxing unusual.

[@billping6712]

Should be way more likes... the amount of time and effort is under appreciated.

[@szekelymatyas8927]

Hey i have never seen your videos before but this one really interested me. I have a math assignment due in a day and i have no idea what i should write about, and i think your video just saved me! I hope you dont mind if i use your data, i will not publish it anywhere for personal gains, i just dont want to fail high school :D

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

yeah sure man, go for it!

[@themechbuilder6171]

i opened my first crate and i got an unusual!

[@babydactyl]

lets gooooooo!!!!

[@woodchuck321]

alright crate 83 is now extremely expensive

[@xmroberts]

Damn, this is a great video! Good job man!

[@Grey9200]

well, getting unusuals in this game is such a rare thing, i opned over 2000+ crates between now and since they exist in the game, didnt get a single unusual. rip.

[@DracoTheBlack]

RIP Crate #82, #83, #84, and #103

[@thevirtualnomad7269]

I’m glad crate #50 wasn’t included, as those are ridiculously expensive and yield ridiculously sought after stuff.

[@Maxquaza]

There is already a multitude of TF2 unboxing simulators that are very accurate.

[@mariakitaeva708]

little did we knew about future economy crush and skyrocketing prices

[@shouygui4955]

you havent seen skyrocketing until you have seen CS skins... the keyless multiclass crate are the reason why the og TF2 cases are $0.03 and not $60-100 like in CS.

[@Hattoresu]

I got the bottle cap after paying for both the summer crate, which was around 50 cents at the time, and the key. 3 dollars for a hat worth 17 cents.

[@SlumpDrunko]

Here I am wishing I hadn't deleted all my robo crates ages ago

[@billjulia1390]

YES, VISUALIZED DATA. THANK YOU!

[@TheVirtualEconomist]

You know this video was made for you :P After taking your previous comments to heart, I knew what I must do.

[@billjulia1390]

@@TheVirtualEconomist Thank you man, I appreciate the shit outta the detail you put into the graph too.