I bet golf. Don’t bet futures on favs, but look for value on long shots. Bet $5 on Wyndham Clark won $355. Throw $2 on 40-50-1 shots that played the course well last year. $5 on defending champ paid $505 when KH Lee won. $500 bankroll up to $2200 last year
@larryh3658 Жыл бұрын
I like player props parlays. I feel that you can do your homework on the players and the trends. Look at a lot of variables, and like you said, it's like a logic puzzle to give yourself if done right the best odds or chances on the player prop.
@jdkoz9811 ай бұрын
That’s gambling not generating ev, unless your actually calculating it
@daffydaffy575711 ай бұрын
@@jdkoz98calculating probability of the event vs lines being offered? Or how would you break that down further?
@lukegutberlet529210 ай бұрын
@@daffydaffy5757it’s not necessarily always a probability, more a likelihood. i just made a program for nba player props that takes into account recent trends as well as season averages and compares them against the betting line of a specific sportsbook, which also somewhat takes the odds into account. going to test it out and see how well it works after the all star break
@joeyconrad20249 ай бұрын
NHL player assists under, and nba player blocks under. Thank me later
@jdkoz989 ай бұрын
@@daffydaffy5757 yuh
@edwardrhoads72839 ай бұрын
I will say this about Parleys: free bets are much better to use on Parleys. If you bet cash on 2 games you might be better to bet one at a time. However on a free bet since you don't get that bet back just the win better to add it to a parley as you add everything to the parley and just lose out on the bet at the end of the bet... Had a $5 free play on the NFL make me $80 in 2022. I made a profit on a super bowl bet on a team that only had 4 wins because of that bet...
@Cardb3320 күн бұрын
I like parlays because with profit boosts you don't have to win many of them to be in the profit. DraftKings Stepped Up boost and 50% SGP parlay boosts are great. I move the lines, I take relatively likely things to happen (like I won't go 70+ receiving yards on a receiver I will move it down to 50 for example) and it's worked out well for me. I hit two 9 leg parlays in the last week or so with the $25 max bet. The Packers vs. Dolphins game for example I had $25 with 9 legs and it paid $1150. I always jump on the profit boost promotions when they're available.
@Geaux318 Жыл бұрын
I’ve been killing it with player props.
@tylerpeters282011 ай бұрын
So has Warren Sharpe.
@daffydaffy575711 ай бұрын
Where have you been finding your data before betting on them?
@brizzlex191911 ай бұрын
Various sources @@daffydaffy5757
@RAZAEM11 ай бұрын
Killing it with parlays 😂 Losing 100/150 dollars for 1300/1400 every month. I'm not living with it, but I'm sure I'm gonna get this 1k every month. Only 5/10 dollars bet
@mhmdrajab268611 ай бұрын
How bro,advice@@RAZAEM
@ryebread92111 ай бұрын
the UFC is a great sport to bet on, it's so new that most of the lines are way off
@atmaj20464 ай бұрын
Yup
@JacobStevens133 ай бұрын
Check out Table Tennis. The matches are like 10 minutes and the momentum swings are huge. Its the funniest most exciting shit i ever bet on
@ricsauce121Ай бұрын
Very true, as someone who does Jiu Jitsu and MMA it becomes very easy to win. Half of what it takes to bet on mma and win is understand the sport in general. Understanding particular fighters and understanding that styles make fights can really tip the edge in your favor. For example, Vicente Luque is a great fighter with solid standup and a good grappling base BUT struggles tremendously with southpaws(forgive me if I’m wrong but I don’t think he holds a victory over one in the UFC and is like 0-4 agansit them). It’s also important to understand that heavy favorites and I mean heavy favorites(-500) usually hit so use them as the foundation for a parlay if you plan on building one, but you have to know when a favorite is deemed “risky” compared to the fighter they are deemed the favorite over. For example, Whittaker Vs Chimeav was a very interesting matchup and Khamzat was seen as like a -220 favorite or something but it’s not worth the risk of betting on him due to Whittakers Pedigree and how amazing of a fighter he is(yes I know in hindset Chimeav won easily but still) compare that to a fighter such as Grant Dawson who’s an amazing fighter but is not fighting high caliber competition yet so he’s almost always a lock and a good foundation to start a parlay. MMA is a weird sport because more than anything styles make fights and if you understand the sport it can greatly help when picking fights. One thing I always bet on and usually turns out ok for me is when I bet for a veteran(someone with more than 3 fights in the UFC) beating a mediocre debut fighter(someone who is fighting for the first time in the UFC and is maybe 3-2 in thier last 5 in smaller promotions) because if there is one thing I know after doing MMA is that you can never understand the nerves someone goes through as thier about to walk out and a debut guy is going to usually be a lot more nervous then the dude who’s been there before, and that’s something odds can never take into consideration.Hope this helps
@TheeJamesKrause12 күн бұрын
@@ricsauce121C-Rod over Austin Bashi?
@akllls61711 күн бұрын
@@ricsauce121you have no idea what you’re talking about and you shouldn’t speak about stuff you don’t know and pass it off as facts luque has defeated rda chiesa perry turner barberena and a couple other southpaws
@CaahMoneyPlayboy17 күн бұрын
The most important strategy to winning at sports betting is shopping lines and finding the best price possible on your bet
@charlieteljeur18 күн бұрын
Given the volume of player props out there, there are edges if you look for them. The sheer volume of the lines they have means that they're not always so sharp even though they will correct them right up to game time. If you catch them early there is a real advantage to be had.
@larryh3658 Жыл бұрын
Rahim Mostert was a +100 Anytime TD scorer vs Tennessee. Easy money as had 13TD going into that game. Led team. Still does.
@andrewmitchell182917 күн бұрын
3:50 baseball has always been a no go for me. Too many factors involved
@gjtucker5829 Жыл бұрын
Thank you. Finally someone who advises parlays. That’s where all of my profit comes from. Consistently
@catalystv7520 Жыл бұрын
In his worst bets videos his number one worst bet on sports books is parlays 😂 this guy just flip flops , I think he needs some sleep with how much he’s up just gambling . His eyes show it
@venivediicommented4046 Жыл бұрын
@@catalystv7520😂😂😂
@jeffeyjeffey811 ай бұрын
3 leg parlays@@catalystv7520
@jdkoz9811 ай бұрын
@@catalystv7520I think you need to work on your comprehension
@gmoney624311 ай бұрын
Actually the parlays were not his worst. @catalystv7520
@gelsGarcia7 ай бұрын
Thanks for advice about bet to be a better player on Hugewin
@CarsonClaws11 ай бұрын
This channel is awesome
@TA-ht4jo7 ай бұрын
It really is. He’s got it down to a science and an art and mastered them both.
@ron178 ай бұрын
Subbed. I’m an economist and I like the way you describe things 🤝
@bowenfulwood-griffiths248211 ай бұрын
Come to the Australian Market we have the most sports books over 150 here
@babysharpMMA9 ай бұрын
What’s the website??
@geraldbrefka11457 ай бұрын
If you bet somewhere where many people are betting at the same time then I can tell you the best bets I ever found over and over again. If someone tells you that their favorite team is going to lose then bet against their teams.
@mikepasterick3210 Жыл бұрын
What are your thoughts on spreading parlays? Example. If there are 5 spreads you really like. What do you think about mixing those picks up into multiple three team parlays? So for instance if 3/5 of your picks hit, and you mixed those 5 teams into 5-6 different parlays with each having three of those teams. You increase your odds no?
@Unabated Жыл бұрын
That's a Round Robin. It doesn't increase your odds. However, it does lower your variance. In the case of having 5 picks and mixing them into 3-team parlays, you'd need 10 parlays to make sure you got every permutation. If you only won 3 of the 5 games, you'd still end up losing a little money since each parlay likely pays about 6 to 1, but you made 10 of them. Round Robins are used by sharp bettors sometimes to bet parlays but not have to endure higher variance to do so.
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
if you bet a 4 team rr into 3.s its 4 bets and then the 4 picks is one play so 5 bets the system does it for you if you indicate it on the bet slip the thing is you need 3 of 4 to get one correct great if you win all 4 games i se 2 keys money lines usually and 4 or 5 plays using the 5th game both ways and 3rd and 4th both ways also small bets and bigger odds if 4 wins and some return if keys win@@Unabated
@wildman812111 ай бұрын
Hey I love the videos! Do you have any advice for dealing with a back off? In person security in Nevada and also on a sportsbetting app as well?
@Unabated11 ай бұрын
Sounds like a good topic for another video. What to do when a sportsbook says "no more from you." 🤔
@wildman812111 ай бұрын
@@Unabated One of the things I've had to try working with over a non-gaming dispute is having the security guards and managers restrained. One of the difficulties in Nevada is that they can also run a recovery, which is what Jack Ma might have run afoul of. I've had other issues in state that were not related but I got to know the system while gambling. I would love to hear your take on it! :D
@Ohsoicymark8 ай бұрын
Can’t lie if you get on a day when nba has a lot of games . Player props and mosty rebounds and points but never put to much picks in one game
@Ohsoicymark8 ай бұрын
You should make a hedge video good and bad hedges .
@Gfitstrength12 күн бұрын
Thank you for your channel
@bbertgilo157418 күн бұрын
for me the key to parlays is the number of legs and the payout. I usually do 2-3 tops picks and usually have 2 fave moneylines and and boosted dog spread which should still give me a decent +150 to +200 payout. Never be greedy and be enticed with huge payouts. Ultimately it's still gambling you but have better chances this way and it's more fun to root on your picks which is a crucial part of gambling. If it's all money making and loss chasing and there is no fun element, TRUST ME, YOU WILL NEVER WIN LONG TERM!
@danielepps94529 ай бұрын
I saw in the last video that parlays are inferior to straight bets, but when you take the market efficiency into account, shouldn’t you be able to identify attractive risk/return situations? For example, I find soccer parlays attractive for parlays because you can piece together 2 highly probable outcomes, and combine it with a series of riskier bets pays out well relative to the three straight up bets. Basically, are there specific markets where parlays are more attractive? I really feel soccer falls in this category but maybe it’s just my imagination?
@Unabated9 ай бұрын
Parlays don't change the math of the payout. If I had two 50% coin-flips both priced at -110, they would (should) pay +264, which is the same odds as -110 * -110. When you have situations where there is correlation between two bets, in other words if one wins they are more likely both to win, sportsbooks price in that correlation. In fact, they over-price it. That's what makes Same Game Parlays so bad. If two bets have a 10% correlation, instead of reducing the payout by 10%, they'll reduce it by 30-40%. The only way to profit in that scenario is to find situations where they have priced the correlation wrong. However, the big over-correction they use typically makes that nearly impossible to find.
@Top10TipsforSportsBetting7 ай бұрын
As an experienced sports bettor, I can definitively say the 5 best types of bets are moneyline bets, point spread bets, totals or over/under bets, parlay bets, and teaser bets.
@brandenbarnett609311 ай бұрын
Im new to betting and am filtering through all the bets to find the ones i prefer. In order to determine the smartest bets, i guess i need yhe proper online tools that you show and use through unabated? I dont bet big and am not sure about buying this or oddschecker but will if this is smartest/only way?
@zionhenderson974311 ай бұрын
i don’t think that’s justin jefferson
@offthepinetv9 ай бұрын
😂😂
@Str8upbrah Жыл бұрын
What's the best way to bet a bonus/free bet or profit booster? Besides grabbing the biggest ml dog can you reverse teaser or parlay?
@theartofgaming107611 ай бұрын
draftkings has an everyday 5$ same game parlay win or get 5$ bonus bet. I do one each day. If one of those hit i make close to my 35$ back and if not i have 35$ in bonus bets to place on nfl sunday. cheap way to get the most enjoyment out of your money and you get 14 chances to make your money back.
@Deatimere3 ай бұрын
I would love to get into betting but I can't bankroll it yet
@Unabated3 ай бұрын
This video might be perfect for you: kzbin.info/www/bejne/eZSUg4CnqJyXj80si=eIwXyFN4P_cVXrfI
@raramurray4411 ай бұрын
great video,i just subscribed
@Unabated11 ай бұрын
Awesome thank you!
@corycarpenter9775 ай бұрын
Thanks man
@BennettBenton7 ай бұрын
Thanks
@rebigpropertiesllctm52029 ай бұрын
1st 5 taking bullpens out equation this season!
@TambayNaMaotPa11 ай бұрын
Yeah as per my experience, the player props is profitable.
@toblerusseta Жыл бұрын
Love the clips of the fat guy celebrating wins and the same guy losing bets 😂
@Max1musLaz3rz11 ай бұрын
It's crazy to say but parlays are the best way to beat the bookie in my opinion.. a complex strategy is needed and no one has ever touched on parlay strategy
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
see the sports whale in vegas he taught me years ag he has a ebook out there he uses rr parlays and also he bets on baseball who will win at least one game of 3 then he doubles if loses big amounts till wins he once won 660k on 2picks college and was lucky on a pick
@danielepps94529 ай бұрын
Has anyone experimented with systematic approaches to the Over/Under on NHL matches? An O/U of 6 on most matches should create inefficiencies but I can’t find good hockey data and was curious if anyone else knew something about this.
@Unabated9 ай бұрын
Sportsbooks take into account that an NHL game can't end in a tie. Same with baseball odds. The even numbered totals are worth very little, while the odd-numbered totals are worth more. See for yourself and attempt to buy a half-goal off of an even number and off of an odd number.
@onyebuchiigbonanu45729 ай бұрын
How can I find a mentor
@mate0sal-l2k Жыл бұрын
Kentucky just launched mobile betting today; sharing this with everyone I know.
@lasvgsjoe7 ай бұрын
I like round robin bets. I'll take 2x3 every time...if I win all 3 great..if I win 2 great.
@twizzy585ots3 ай бұрын
I don't get those...once i hit 4 out of 5 and the payout ended up being less than my total 100 wager...but another time i hit and made some profit
@dmfd122707 Жыл бұрын
Hey man just came across your video and loved it and a topic came to mind that I wondered if you can do a video on 😅 "5 ways you know you have a betting edge" cause I'm just beginning and I havent hit in a minute and your video topic caught my eye; trynna get better. The 5 worst bets ycm had me down then I hear about the link to here and I'm like I do all these and have hit. So I was just wondering lol.[ Because winning a 5$bet to get the free promo 200 and place that on a 4ATD SGP Miami vs Giants seemed like a no 🧠 er to me or was that just common sense😅 p.s I only used half 😂 but I was feeling ballzy
@Unabated11 ай бұрын
Great idea - we'll add that to our list of content ideas. In the meantime, if you don't mind some light reading, we have an article about one way sports bettors measure if they're directionally correct using Closing Line Value: unabated.com/articles/getting-precise-about-closing-line-value
@DukeNuke834753 ай бұрын
Am I missing something? In his worst bets vid one of them is same game parlays, n yet in this vid he said player props r one of the best .. they both use player props
@Unabated3 ай бұрын
Player props are good bets if they pay a fair amount. However, same game parlays typically short the payout. You’d be better off betting the underlying player props separately than parlaying them.
@chrislouden732911 ай бұрын
Actually player prop bets are a known suckers bet
@justintylus420511 ай бұрын
Awesome channel, had to sub
@voodoorage271010 ай бұрын
Nice vid
@trenfrojr11 ай бұрын
you including live bets as one side of an efficient market? Those maybe the most efficient depending on the point in the game
@GozarianGozar5 ай бұрын
Generally the vig in live betting is higher.
@vodking11 ай бұрын
Are we sure that's Justin Jefferson in that graphic?
@amyrose176311 ай бұрын
Ive had the most success with betting baseball. 7 is my lucky number for players who will get a hit. The Braves were the most consistent team this past season and made me a lot of money. Im looking so forward to baseball starting up again!
@geraldbrefka11457 ай бұрын
My favorite team is the Detroit lions and now i can't tell you when we are going to lose or lose the spread lol
@albundy762311 ай бұрын
I try to bet on hockey winning streaks. My nickname is the winning streak finisher
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
there is no way to tell we have double ots and shootouts anyone see the spots betting whale he uses round robins in groups and bets lower when losing and the higher he is often not welcome in vegas with his 2000 rr parlays and he wins over a period of days and 400 each bet he emailed me from his champ group///whats with the fake utuber who shows bricks of money and alush home cant be making 300k bets all for advertising itsall phony to hook people
@mthiifunk65017 ай бұрын
Do you have anything on soccer?
@tobyfitzpatrick3914 Жыл бұрын
How does the weather affect baseball..? Less runs..?? Less accurate pitching..??
@Unabated Жыл бұрын
Temperature (high temps = ball flies further), Barometric Pressure (lower pressure = ball flies further), Wind (blowing out = ball flies further), etc. For more information, read The Physics of Baseball: amzn.to/3H29NAq
@rokbeast4291 Жыл бұрын
He said 1000 bucks for a pick😂. I wonder who paid that.
@Larry-vc5qv Жыл бұрын
Nice to see Stu Feiner again...
@karrde666666 Жыл бұрын
frequently bookies have underdogs that are on a streak at 2.0+ vs favorites on a losing streak, is this a good bet?
@Mike7301010 ай бұрын
I don't bet like this guy at all. When an underdog is say Mercer +325 I never bet the team on the Money Line without getting any points. Even if I like the underdog they usually don't win the game in Basketball. Its loss after loss not getting any points with those bad teams.
@leftovercrass52106 ай бұрын
I used to clean up on the AFL , MLB and NBA player props. But sportsbet is making it impossible to win anything over 2 to 1 now. They remove option they know you'll need, they take away the 20 point or disposal option and force you into the 25s. No more 4 rebounds or 4 assists. And when you do get that option. It's such low odds you need to load up or multiply the legs. And now it's just rigged with tactical substitutions and NBA blowouts. Sometimes a player will be on fire and they just bench.him. in all sports, sometimes I think I curse them
@havitheone9 ай бұрын
Rustin hefferson
@Unabated9 ай бұрын
😉
@ryaninSartell10 ай бұрын
I only do free plays and protected plays. Its boring but guaranteed money.
@rogerwx Жыл бұрын
GREAT , JACK...TALK ABOUT OVER UNDER BETTING, THANKS
@rammone52413 ай бұрын
I do multi sport parlays, it is more of challenge to myself that I am better than the books. One TD or FG, because of miss tackle, penatly, bad officaiting will kill that perfect, if you believe in yourself, one day it will be in your favor. If you pick 8 team parlays and always losing more than half, stop doing it. If only lose by a mere 1 or 2 points because of the "wow factors" of the game, then keep doing, it will fall in your favor one day. I am preparing myself when they legalize sports betting near us, my job sucks, totally, the pay, hours, dumb azz peeps and drving to work. I see my boses working at 65 yeas old, fuk this sh1t. I just study the game harder and harder.
@zzkpeaceufo28572 ай бұрын
Gambling is for fun, not a profession. That's evil brainwashing to believe otherwise.
@HarleyRedlick Жыл бұрын
Good video, but surprised "correlated parlays" didn't make the list. Ie, betting a big dog in CFB ATS and under the total in that game.
@Unabated Жыл бұрын
Very rare you can get away with those at a profitable ratio anymore. Anymore if they let you do it it’s not profitable.
@HarleyRedlick Жыл бұрын
A few sites still let you parlay home & under in baseball. A few still allow parlaying NFL unders and big dogs. Certain spots can work.
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
draft kings seems like they dont allow same t parlays fan duel does but not on live bets and not on overseas games
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
unders and overs in nfl with team in fan duels but draft kings not as much maybe if not live bet nhl fan duel allows total and winner no puck line w totals@@HarleyRedlick
@bowenfulwood-griffiths248211 ай бұрын
America seem so muxh more generous with there bonuses as comaored to Australia
@splaschko11 ай бұрын
Those pictures of JJ at the beginning don’t look anything like him lol
@Unabated11 ай бұрын
He was having a bad hair day. 😉
@ray51953 ай бұрын
I like live bets in all ball games
@nate978x28 күн бұрын
Absentee bet is a good bet
@rosswatson399311 ай бұрын
Player prop bets have become increasingly harder and harder. Give it a few more years and they'll be just as difficult to beat as sides and totals
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
guy from jersey happened to be a money advisor won an amazing 14 player prop to score a td 100 ooo to one won 489k 2 weeks ago draft kings account
@nostalgiaman681611 ай бұрын
I agree because people get hurt during the game. ESPECIALLY this year and they get hurt early.
@rogerrosen232311 ай бұрын
still the prop bet won is as hard as winning lottery 14 picks is impossible harder then a parlay regular big odds
@JudgeDredd_11 ай бұрын
@@rogerrosen2323we missed a 14 legger TD parlay by 2 earlier this year and then we saw that guy from NJ win it all on the same one we missed. Smfh
@ray51953 ай бұрын
I like overs and unders
@crazyboi18188 ай бұрын
Smh don’t hate on Mitch from pickdawgz
@ccal64729 ай бұрын
5 BesT!! lol the voices JAHAHAAAA
@avgact11 ай бұрын
Expected value shouldn’t be used to justify a one time free bet promo or a risk free bet. Expected value only matters over many iterations so I feel like your logic is flawed
@Unabated11 ай бұрын
When n=1 anything can happen. What a bettor should be focusing on is trying to make as many n’s happen. In some states you can find many different promo bets per day. And books are always offering the “risk free” or “no sweat” bets to drum up business. It’s important to know how to use them as they come up frequently.
@homieg123311 ай бұрын
No sports betting is not logic to solve, it is gambling 😂😂😂
@bradadezus5 ай бұрын
No logic to betting? yeah your a moron
@THEBIGLIE2011 ай бұрын
I keep betting there will be NO run in first inning. I keep losing so do the opposite
@Unabated11 ай бұрын
Ah the NRFI...here's a thread I did on Twitter about why the NRFI is typically a bad bet: x.com/capjack2000/status/1512886318707191816?s=20
@therunmaster5426Ай бұрын
That is not Justin Jefferson 😂
@andrewlaws5526 Жыл бұрын
Stu Feiner the GOAT
@unknowntrapper233029 күн бұрын
It’s funny cuz now player props are rigged too. Guys projected at 23.5 points and end with 23 happens way too often or a nfl rb needs 68 yards he has 67 and doesn’t get another carry lol
@ain4310 Жыл бұрын
Hello Jack I am new subscriber coz i like the ideas you talk about in this channel but i didn't like this video for me a good bet doesn't worth any thing or there's no value in it take for example you put $1000 on a certain game(good bet)and if you win you will get only $10 dollars so a good bet is not worth it , the risk does not equal the return or the reward
@tomy586811 ай бұрын
do well in the parlays...in MBL and NBA betting first halves.
@KingG72714 күн бұрын
RIP MITCH
@rogeeeferrari11 ай бұрын
Sorry, the best bet is NOT BETTING. Don't get started with this nonsense, you will lose in the long run...
@ShaheenGhiassy9 ай бұрын
He literally says that 1:50
@rogeeeferrari9 ай бұрын
@@ShaheenGhiassy Not exactly...
@martinesr71986 ай бұрын
Im sorry but if you say one of best bets is to bet on first quarter of the match you totaly dont understand betting. You can never win in these bets.