The AI Stock Market Crash That No One Saw Coming

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Sasha Yanshin

Sasha Yanshin

3 ай бұрын

AI stocks have gone up in a straight line in 2023 and 2024 and it's all beginning to look suspiciously like a bubble.
A small number of stocks are going up hundreds of percent in a matter of weeks or months while the rest of the stock market is going nowhere.
Are we about to see a big stock market crash or is this time going to be different?
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Пікірлер: 426
@Jamesbrown1126
@Jamesbrown1126 2 ай бұрын
AI Stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks/couple months, so I think there are a lot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look.
@Quason788
@Quason788 2 ай бұрын
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@Elkemartin213
@Elkemartin213 2 ай бұрын
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@Quason788
@Quason788 2 ай бұрын
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@Elkemartin213
@Elkemartin213 2 ай бұрын
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@colixo5731
@colixo5731 3 ай бұрын
A good rule of thumb I've heard for world changing technology or developments is that people tend to significantly over estimate their impact in the short term and significantly under estimate their impact in the long term
@f4ust85
@f4ust85 3 ай бұрын
I think the second part is expendable. Is anyone underestimating the longterm impact? No, everyone is talking about Artificial General Intelligence and Universal Basic Income already, is an absolute frenzy.
@colixo5731
@colixo5731 3 ай бұрын
@f4ust85 People are talking about it, yes, but that doesn't mean a huge amount. People were talking about the Internet, indeed there was an internet bubble and subsequent crash (the short term over estimation bit). And now everyone is physically indistinguishable from their smartphones.
@f4ust85
@f4ust85 3 ай бұрын
@@colixo5731 I am just saying this popular reversal sounds witty but its largely nonsensical because you cannot overestimate something on a short-term basis without seeing it as important in the future. You practically cant hold both these positions at once, nobody does. People simply greatly overestimate how fast and radically technology can be implemented. Another thing is commercial viability: many things are brilliant but simply not profitable or easy to market and eventually die off. We are not always using the best technology available when its not in the interest of corporations and their infrastructure.
@colixo5731
@colixo5731 3 ай бұрын
@f4ust85 I think you may be missing the point a little. It's over-estimate the impact that it will have IN the short term. That is, assume that everyone and everything will be all over it immediately, and it will lead to short-term dividends/investment returns (which causes endless news cycles and inevitable investment bubbles) The long-term bit refers to the fact that once the hype dies down, the actual effect over the course of years is fundamentally transformative in a way that people are unable to countenance or even estimate initially. In the internet example, that would be smartphones, the commoditisation of data, A.I., the move to paperless currency, and stuff we haven't thought of yet.
@lesdickson9765
@lesdickson9765 3 ай бұрын
A crash? If NVIDIA post record earnings again (which I feel like they will), the AI bubble may continue blowing up. If they miss, then maybe a ‘crash’ will happen but its earnings miss will have ripple effects across the tech sector. Also, Sora is going to be as disruptive as ChatGPT in regards to anything related to video - the movie (and wider entertainment) industry could be upended. Edit: NVIDIA beat on earnings (which I hoped for).
@archvaldor
@archvaldor 3 ай бұрын
"Also, Sora is going to be as disruptive as ChatGPT" You say that but there seems to be comparatively little going on with chatgpt when you take all the hype and bs. True and value its actual utility-not easy.
@4dscdriver
@4dscdriver 3 ай бұрын
The last few quarters nvda sold off after having good earnings. I don't see anything different here.
@XORTION
@XORTION 3 ай бұрын
arm is flying, get involved
@lewisstretch
@lewisstretch 3 ай бұрын
Be careful. We live in the upside down where good news is bad news and bad news is good news. We have seen this repeatedly.
@mattx4253
@mattx4253 3 ай бұрын
Sora is basically fake. They found the shutterstock stock video and images they based it on
@arthurworld9768
@arthurworld9768 3 ай бұрын
Is NVIDIA a safe buy to outperform the market this year? I'm tired of these new buys every week, just to make up some assets with low percentage on my $136k portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%.
@jamesfriedrich1150
@jamesfriedrich1150 3 ай бұрын
Yes! but still make your own research. And I would avoid the index funds, mutual funds, or specific stocks for the time being. The 5% fixed incomes are the safest bet for now. Or hire/ work with a good market strategist. Youre safer that way
@VanPelt54u7fcyde57
@VanPelt54u7fcyde57 3 ай бұрын
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@arthurworld9768
@arthurworld9768 3 ай бұрын
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@VanPelt54u7fcyde57
@VanPelt54u7fcyde57 3 ай бұрын
She goes by ‘’Bella Mia Darmon’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
@arthurworld9768
@arthurworld9768 3 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing.
@stevehensonuk
@stevehensonuk 3 ай бұрын
Damn....I was lucky enough to work in that sector (Nortel) between 1999 and 2003. During the spring/summer of 2000 colleagues were taking out bank loans to buy stock in Nortel, Lucent, Cisco and Alcatel. It really did not end well. Like you say things sure do look similar!
@repomannv
@repomannv 3 ай бұрын
I was at Sun Microsystems during the same period...stock went from 200 down to 5. Fun times. When all the tech nerds things can't go down, they usually crash at exactly that time.
@stephenhookings1985
@stephenhookings1985 3 ай бұрын
SUN appeared to be an innovative company. Shame that the less creative companies win out in the long run.
@thecount3965
@thecount3965 3 ай бұрын
No one is taking out loans and doing that atm. Everyone is fearful and calling for a crash and calling it a bubble because they are sidelined
@stevekowalski7936
@stevekowalski7936 3 ай бұрын
They are, Cisco was the greatest thing, now all these stink buyers have no idea what Cisco is
@MilesLangley
@MilesLangley 3 ай бұрын
This time it’s different
@gormenfreeman499
@gormenfreeman499 3 ай бұрын
We haven't tried real stock market yet.
@jefegamez6284
@jefegamez6284 3 ай бұрын
Literally said in every bubble before it popped
@cvrart
@cvrart 3 ай бұрын
Yep, this is pretty much exactly the way I see the current situation. Well elucidated.
@derekk2708
@derekk2708 3 ай бұрын
Great Video. Very informative. Thanks for uploading. ; )
@davidcunningham2074
@davidcunningham2074 3 ай бұрын
good to see someone seriously thinking this through.
@AdrianTap
@AdrianTap 3 ай бұрын
As always. Cold&Crisp with data. Eye opening video.
@timblagdon103
@timblagdon103 3 ай бұрын
I bought to NVDIA months ago after hearing about it here so thanks Sasha!
@darren875
@darren875 3 ай бұрын
What's your thoughts on the changes to the o n s calculation on excess deat@s
@miri9600
@miri9600 3 ай бұрын
NVDA and AMD are most likely heavily overvalued, but MSFT, AMZN...etc not that much and will benefit the most in long term.
@robymaru03
@robymaru03 3 ай бұрын
Or they might be digging their own grave, they're hyping the stock to lure in small and individual investors, but most of them are already broke, they might end up holding their own bag.
@williampmcd8548
@williampmcd8548 3 ай бұрын
Thank you. Wonder if you can comment, what is the basis for the AI output? With people, I suggest, truth is the basis for sincere opinion, and perhaps all the mockery as well. As when a person "vents" their frustration, isn't that sincere opinion honest also? For this to be so then truth is the basis. Can we confirm or refute this with AI tech?
@eunicef1
@eunicef1 3 ай бұрын
Great vid, thanks. S&P still for me for these very reasons.
@tekboi1984
@tekboi1984 3 ай бұрын
It's crazy that I totally called it but never knew it would have this effect. 2-3 years ago when all the graphics cards were being used to create bitcoin/eth mining farms. I heard that some mining farms in North Dakota were running on electricity from generators. Those generators were burning natural gas from the land that the server was built on. I went on a whole rant that we were knowingly or unknowingly setting up the infrastructure for AI to run without humans. I think I was mainly pissed off that I couldn't find a video card for my gaming pc though lol:
@darren875
@darren875 3 ай бұрын
What's your thoughts on the new way the o n s are calculating excess deaths would love your thoughts.
@kquat7899
@kquat7899 3 ай бұрын
just keep a close eye on the charts.
@P2wpio9143
@P2wpio9143 3 ай бұрын
And then when stock is over heated already, big banks like JPM or Gold issue a price target just above a current price a few weeks before earnings so investors go full berserk mode and starting loading more of over priced stock, create enormous liquidity that bank uses to exit their positions. And then comes the correction...
@UC6h-h7xIZPdaVBlAaY5hQIg
@UC6h-h7xIZPdaVBlAaY5hQIg 3 ай бұрын
Great comparison with Cisco.
@autistic-man-
@autistic-man- 3 ай бұрын
No it's not. Nvidia is profitable, and has a profit margin of 77%
@stansheppard8929
@stansheppard8929 3 ай бұрын
Appreciate this is an issue for tech indexes or AI/tech weighted bespoke portfolios. I guess the point (or one of them at least) of buying an index is that we buy the other 493 at a discount while they are negative and balance out any crash in one niche or sector.
@ThoughtLineQuotes
@ThoughtLineQuotes 3 ай бұрын
Thanks for nice video
@StrangerOnTheWeb
@StrangerOnTheWeb 3 ай бұрын
Personally a dip before earnings is a good sign, I believe if the report is good tomorrow then the pump will resume
@StrangerOnTheWeb
@StrangerOnTheWeb 3 ай бұрын
And I was correct 🥱
@Neil_KnowsNoKungFu
@Neil_KnowsNoKungFu 3 ай бұрын
Agree with the point that msft ect wont be buying cards constantly and at some point there will be a reality check. But for the cisco/nvda comparison is this really 2000? i think its 95 or 96. They havvent even cut rates yet. There will be bumps, maybe even crashes, but this is just the start.
@user-hp9eg3gf6s
@user-hp9eg3gf6s 3 ай бұрын
Bubbles always happen with new things. The only people that gain are those that had the stock before the bubble Or those that invest after the bubble where real profits and growth happens. And my index funds have less exposure. 80% FTSE All world, 20% small cap value weighted in US and Europe. I do have disproportional exposure to US regional banks though that could also crush.
@bigtalljosh
@bigtalljosh 3 ай бұрын
I think nvidia have massive headroom yet. Autonomous vehicles, home AI, game consoles, mobile AI, IoT AI, farming equipment, war, space exploration…
@MrRaisin56
@MrRaisin56 3 ай бұрын
maybe in the next few decades, your thinking is along the same lines as what people were saying for Tesla and look what happened to that...
@bigtalljosh
@bigtalljosh 3 ай бұрын
I think the difference here is I’ve seen AI come and take over my industry in 18 months. If you’re not using an assistant in coding you’re in the Stone Age. The pace of change is crazy. AI can be applied to everything, every professional, it’ll be everywhere. And to power it all you’re gonna need compute.
@Del_987
@Del_987 3 ай бұрын
I think there's one more leg up. Big ouchie coming in late-March to mid-June. I am mostly pulling this out of my ass but it's as good as any analyst.
@Chris-ty7fw
@Chris-ty7fw 3 ай бұрын
(I don't own any NVidea stock ..) Have you seen the new text to video it's insane? There could be more run in AI yet. There does seem to be actual use of AI, it's a new tech I actually use. One thing that could lower the requirement is the cryptos that share cards(compute) out, gamers can rent out their GPUs in the way that used to work with crypto mining.
@mitesh8522
@mitesh8522 3 ай бұрын
I enjoy Sasha's videos and like all of us, he has strengths and weaknesses. His strength is putting together valuations/fundamental analysis, and analysis of financial statements and economic data. Unfortunately, he doesn't believe in technical analysis which I've found is also an important part of stock picking. There's very few times when we get Nvidia-type events (Tesla being another) and if you're not looking at indicators of momentum, and only looking at DCF and the like, you'll be sitting on the sidelines whilst other get their 150%+ returns. Yes, we know it could crash at any time which is why it's important to keep a close eye on things to determine when to sell. That's not a reason to avoid getting in.
@jefegamez6284
@jefegamez6284 3 ай бұрын
That why I DCA into VT etf
@futureHR2025
@futureHR2025 3 ай бұрын
Interesting how the market sentiment is going low while I am buying stocks at a discount compared to 24 months from now. 💪🏼
@iko3
@iko3 3 ай бұрын
I come for the financial education but stay for the comedy. 😂
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
🙏🙏🙏
@DJDilemma1
@DJDilemma1 3 ай бұрын
"And this reaction is completely normal"
@quixomega
@quixomega 3 ай бұрын
I called this when this started, the expectations are totally detached from reality.
@jefegamez6284
@jefegamez6284 3 ай бұрын
Yeah it’s scary out there. It makes me not want to invest and just put it in savings, but I just DCA into VT
@jace8861
@jace8861 3 ай бұрын
Have you seen what they are able to do with SORA from Open AI now. What do you think?
@FunFunFun8888
@FunFunFun8888 3 ай бұрын
A big Nvidia crash coming and nobody buying Nvidia until next year unless they are stupid.
@dxd42
@dxd42 3 ай бұрын
This bubble will burst ... 1 - IA needs huge investment, what company will invest in new tech, in a moment of high interest hates? 2 - IA is not so simply to implement, you need to train IA for months to really begin to get some results, yet companies cannot trust 100% in the results from IA. 3 - Generative IA is a nich, it will take years to fully integrate our lives. Let's be sincere, do you like to talk with a human attendant or IA? 4 - IA chips are not so complicated, AMD and Intel have parallel processing chips too. Nvidia value comes from the CUDA architecture... But, I bet we'll have open source models and architecture in the future... And, as we have Linux shining in the servers and data centers, these open source models will bite Nvidia market.
@daviddoink872
@daviddoink872 3 ай бұрын
it would be interesting to know what proportion of Mag 7 revenues is Gov related
@Loundsify
@Loundsify 3 ай бұрын
The AI bubble is insane. When it goes it's gonna drag a lot of shit down.
@tintinmarchner1267
@tintinmarchner1267 3 ай бұрын
how is it a bubble? this has revuneue
@stevekowalski7936
@stevekowalski7936 3 ай бұрын
Mad respect, anyone who brings up Cisco I have made respect, Cisco was the first stock I remember constantly talking about how great it is...
@jamesmulrooney3309
@jamesmulrooney3309 3 ай бұрын
interest rates are staying between 5-3.5% over the next 5 years is great news for money savers or wealthy individuals and bad news for mortgage holders and people with overdrafts or loans.
@Trifvas
@Trifvas 3 ай бұрын
Take a look at the new Groq chips
@schumanhuman
@schumanhuman 3 ай бұрын
Everyone surely saw this coming given how markets wobble at every quarterly earnings. Sold NVID befefore today's markets opened, doubt earnings will be enough to exceed expectations so another pullback but will look to buy the dip over next few days. NVID can still double from here over the next 2 years credit will keep those P/E ratios heading higher until the housing market busts et 2026/7. Crypto will take the biggest % gains though.
@geolykos
@geolykos 3 ай бұрын
Very very good analogy with Cisco. I agree that this is a hype and FOMO investing until it isn't. Their valuation is not as crazy as Tesla's was 3 years ago though. I think Nvidia stock will eventually crash but not nearly as bad as Cisco did.
@friendscallmeap
@friendscallmeap 3 ай бұрын
Great points; a little counter-point, given the high interest rates (given the curvature it is likely cuts come June?) the slow-growth businesses are discounted, if SP500 would gain 27% from AI Boom, but printed 23% overall, is it fine to assume that the rest of the index (everything with the exception of AI) contributed -4%. If they will stop being discounted, perhaps the risk will become less concentrated and keep SP500 on the upward trajectory
@orangedrone
@orangedrone 3 ай бұрын
We all knew it was coming. Just wasn't 100% on the when.
@TheMafuri
@TheMafuri 3 ай бұрын
It's hard to say if it's a bubble, but it may become.
@normrocks
@normrocks 3 ай бұрын
What crash? There's a crash?
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
Maybe watch the video?
@normrocks
@normrocks 3 ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin No thanks. I don't want to waste my time.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
@@normrocks Ah - so you make a comment based on having zero idea what I said. Well done.
@darren875
@darren875 3 ай бұрын
​​@@normrockscommenting with out watching is wasting your time pmsl some people 😂😂
@darren875
@darren875 3 ай бұрын
​@@SashaYanshin would love to see a video on your thoughts on the new way the o n s is calculating excess deaths
@Pirake123
@Pirake123 3 ай бұрын
Factor investing to hedge for different sectors seems the way to go
@mitesh8522
@mitesh8522 3 ай бұрын
It's been a while since you've talked about your own positions. I recall you have large holdings in Tesla and Pinterest. Are you still bullish on these?
@mikelord93
@mikelord93 3 ай бұрын
I get what you're saying Sasha, I really do. I have these discussions with people all the time, and I hate to say the stereotypical ignorant thing, but this time it's different. Ai is solving unsolved math problems Sasha, UNSOLVED MATH PROBLEMS. All predictions about its future capabilities keep being conservative, despite all the hype. We're on the knife's edge with extinction on one side, dystopia on the other and godhood at the end of the edge. I want to believe you, that this is all going to blow over and that this is going to be like all the last big things, changing our life, but being overpromised and underdelivered, but this might actually be one of those times when the stocks do grow at stupid rates of 50%/year. This one might just be the one beyond our imagination and understanding, and it frightens the living shit out of me
@MarcoNierop
@MarcoNierop 3 ай бұрын
I am with you! I watched a ton of YT video's about Sora last weekend, this came on top of the Apple Vision Pro stuff that came out.... Scary stuff if all this gets 'normal' and Zuckerberg's Metaverse joke may become a reality after all.
@SengerTube
@SengerTube 3 ай бұрын
I recommend you watch the video again. Sasha has not said that Nvidia’s share price may crash because AI is just another blip in technology. He just reminded us that Nvidia is a graphics card manufacturer that saw profits rising because of a surge in demand and that there’s no way to be so sure that the demand will continue to surge at the current pace. It’s quite simple. AI; yes, it’s amazing! But Nvidia is a supplier of chips. And if their clients have already bought enough of these or decide to produce their own or buy from a competitor, Nvidia will see their profits fall. AI has come to stay, and I think you’re right in that. The question is: will Nvidia stay?
@MarcoNierop
@MarcoNierop 3 ай бұрын
@@SengerTube Nvidea's growth is in the Server market, not the (retail) graphics cards. H100 and H200 chips later this year are server chips, not GPU's. Servers are needed to train all the different and emerging AI softwares. Each robot will need an AI chip.. If Tesla and Figure are right about their projections, we will need BILLIONS of these! After a significant slowdown, the PC/Laptop market is growing again, also catered towards AI tools that Microsoft, Apple, Google etc are developping. So probably the GPU market will grow again as well. But the most Nvidea will grow in the server market.
@jace8861
@jace8861 3 ай бұрын
@@SengerTube The reason why GPU will continue to be needed is because the AI modeld that companies like Open AI are building need thousands of GPUs. If a company only buy a set amount it mean the time it take to get the results (train) is much longer overall it ends up meaning that they fall behind there competitors. The real issue would be for Nvidia is if AMD release better GPU than them and become a leader the the space.
@mikelord93
@mikelord93 3 ай бұрын
@@SengerTube Makes sense, but Ai will benefit all parts of all industries. Now, more than ever, leadership and risk taking will be rewarded, and from what I figure, Nvidia made the right calls at the right time and I don't think they're about to stop any time soon. I think they'll compound their advantage. The only probable way for them to become risk averse is if the hype dies down and chips see a huge overproduction and loss because of it, but if the rate of improvement is as fast as I think it will be, we will see earnings growth beyond our expectations. Even if compute for ai becomes orders of magnitude more efficient, lowering demand, this will only ensure more smaller players join the race. If graphics cards are replaced as the preferred hardware solution, I'm sure Nvidia will throw everything they have at producing their own. But, who knows? Transition periods like these should be chaotic. Anything could happen
@affegorilla1299
@affegorilla1299 3 ай бұрын
Sasha are we finally moving on FVRR after earnings this week?
@Black-Circle
@Black-Circle 3 ай бұрын
hope so.
@HarvinderSingh-hc6mo
@HarvinderSingh-hc6mo 3 ай бұрын
It's an Isreal company. So invest carefully
@affegorilla1299
@affegorilla1299 3 ай бұрын
@@HarvinderSingh-hc6mo why? Israel is not China
@boyasaka
@boyasaka 3 ай бұрын
Nvidia is down 5 percent today And down 2 percent over the last week Nasdaq down 1.3 percent down today which is very tech heavy And this is a AI crash ?? I'm confused plz educate me someone
@typic_
@typic_ 3 ай бұрын
this is not an AI crash yet, sasha is talking about the effects of one if it does happen (which seems highly likely)
@lostinbkk555
@lostinbkk555 3 ай бұрын
@@typic_ Never argue with an idiot. They will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience
@Lolatyou332
@Lolatyou332 3 ай бұрын
Regarding AI: Yes you need GPUs but if the models become more efficient over time it could lower the actual processing requirements. AI will change the future 100%, I'm just not sure buying exclusively Nvidia is going to be the answer to capitalize on all of it. Hopefully the general US market will just continue to massively expand at larger rates due to efficiencies from AI.
@ominollo
@ominollo 3 ай бұрын
Thanks for being a voice of sanity in these crazy times 👍 Given the crazy guidance for 2024 I expect NVIDIA can still go up significantly in the next months before eventually crashing down for the reasons you mentioned
@Professional_Youtube_Commenter
@Professional_Youtube_Commenter 3 ай бұрын
i thought stock market ws supposed to reflect the value of the company but it seems that people just speculating on where the price is going to be and they are on a buying frenzy. I can't understand why a tesla stock is worth more than an established car brand
@rahulsampat8698
@rahulsampat8698 3 ай бұрын
Nailed it!
@ouethojlkjn
@ouethojlkjn 3 ай бұрын
Peloton - "Three thousand dollars was a bit too much to pay for a coat hanger" - I laughed out loud at that one!! I could never understand what anyone saw in this company that was doomed to fail when Covid passed. Same as Zoom. Where is Zoom now....
@gianlucapagnoni283
@gianlucapagnoni283 3 ай бұрын
NVIDIA earning report looks like a gamble now: I feel lots of investors will sell and cash the profits this afternoon and price might fall even if they are reporting exceptional earnings...
@eng80425
@eng80425 3 ай бұрын
exuberant but not sure if it is all backed by practical applications
@cgrieser
@cgrieser 3 ай бұрын
Your monologues are fire. Literal LOL over here. 🔥
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
Thank you!!
@aaron6806
@aaron6806 3 ай бұрын
Seconded. I'm enjoying being poor. Missed the boat, not going to leap from the dock.
@typhusfever2262
@typhusfever2262 3 ай бұрын
Rightly or wrongly, I have bought into IITU, which is the S&P 500 tech stocks fund. All the big 7 excluding Tesla are in there, but it diversifies a little more as it includes a lot of none AI firms like Sales Force that are still making a lot of money. I think ARM may be a big hitter in the future. It seems like their chipset has a real chance to make moves on the X86 chipset from Intel. Unfortunately ARM can't be held within an ISA.
@waynemay7327
@waynemay7327 3 ай бұрын
Why can't ARM be held in an ISA?
@typhusfever2262
@typhusfever2262 3 ай бұрын
@waynemay7327 I'm not 100% on the technicalities, but when you buy ARM, you aren't actually buying shares. You're buying securities, and the real shares are held in a trust. And ISA rules are so that you can only hold shares. I think it is because ARM chipsets are used a lot in military systems, so it stops foreign takeovers. A national security issue.
@waynemay7327
@waynemay7327 3 ай бұрын
@@typhusfever2262 Thank you for taking the time to reply.
@TheMemeAsylum
@TheMemeAsylum 3 ай бұрын
As the chips get better the die price goes up ai will continue to consume plus Nvidia also has the biggest share of the gaming industry and some crypto still use GPUs untill we reach agi Nvidia will be a profitable company
@brunoheggli2888
@brunoheggli2888 3 ай бұрын
I dont know!
@Trading21295
@Trading21295 3 ай бұрын
Hey Sasha I have got a question. I was considering investing in the S&P 500 equal weighted index fund instead of the popular capitalization weighted index since I think that the magnificent 7 stock prices are extremely overvalued right now compared to the rest of the market so getting an equally weighted fund will limit my exposure to those stocks. An example of this in the UK is the SPEX by Invesco or ISPE by ishares. What’s your thoughts on these.
@Trading21295
@Trading21295 3 ай бұрын
I would like to mention though that those funds management fees are higher at around 0.22% instead of VUSA 0.07%
@quokkapirquish6825
@quokkapirquish6825 3 ай бұрын
Sasha won’t give you direct investment advice, for obvious reasons
@boyasaka
@boyasaka 3 ай бұрын
Yes Sasha was correct again AI crashed very heard today ( Thursday 22nd Feb
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
Maybe try watching the video before commenting?
@boyasaka
@boyasaka 3 ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin watched it all last night , thanks
@autistic-man-
@autistic-man- 3 ай бұрын
hit $820 today
@Yoyoy08
@Yoyoy08 3 ай бұрын
The crash usually comes when the real hype at the top..thats how they get you
@MrMcSwiftface
@MrMcSwiftface 3 ай бұрын
I have 21k of NVDA and it’s up 67%, I hope it doesn’t go down that much! I don’t want to sell but this is concerning
@kellyja8
@kellyja8 3 ай бұрын
Hedge with protective puts if this is a concern.
@affegorilla1299
@affegorilla1299 3 ай бұрын
I only see a healthy pullback on nvda today. Where is the crash? I hope it drops more after earnings tomorrow!
@4dscdriver
@4dscdriver 3 ай бұрын
I want to see it fill the big gap from last year.
@RetireandGo
@RetireandGo 3 ай бұрын
I love this pull back I’m adding nvidia and amd Please drop more Slow add Thank you !
@travismartinson1813
@travismartinson1813 3 ай бұрын
Have you seen the weekly chart? This is just a blip right now and the dip has just begun. When it gets around 581 I'll buy the dip and get more shares.
@brunoheggli2888
@brunoheggli2888 3 ай бұрын
How about Canada Railway stocks?
@MrGriff305
@MrGriff305 3 ай бұрын
It sounded like you compared Peloton to NVIDIA and Palantir. That could very well be the dumbest thing I've ever heard on the internet.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
No. That is completely not the point I was making.
@MrGriff305
@MrGriff305 3 ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin Lol.. Showing a lot of completely random company stock chart crashes leading into NVIDIA was exactly a horrible attempt to frame NVIDIA as ready to crash. There was no other reason to show Peloton next to NVIDIA. Internet BS at its finest. 👏👏👏
@FreaksSpeaks
@FreaksSpeaks 3 ай бұрын
It is not just AI almost all the Nasdaq companies are too way too expensive.🎉
@JonathanSwiftUK
@JonathanSwiftUK 3 ай бұрын
It takes a while for the people who get incredibly excited about shiny new things to realise the promises made in hast won't materialise. Sure we'll get something useful, but solid reality will bring people back down to earth with a bump. Too many speculate wildly and whilst we need dreamers we have to remain level-headed. I never fell for the hype, not for a second, seen it all before. Besides, I asked Alexa and she said it was all rubbish :-P
@markbrzezinski8889
@markbrzezinski8889 3 ай бұрын
Thanks Sasha. I have a bridge to sell. What do you think?
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
I’ll take 2!
@ivantsanov3650
@ivantsanov3650 3 ай бұрын
Is it the Brooklyn Bridge ? (just curious)
@andyasia
@andyasia 3 ай бұрын
The maths is a bit, no quite a way off because if Nvidia has a weight of 3.7% but grew 234% then (ceteris paribus) its weight at the beginning of the year would be 3.7/234% = 1.37% or less than half the quoted 3.7%. However, even that is wrong because the weighting would modify and rise throughout the year, as Sacha noted. The point is that if the weight and rise impact were halved, to approximate the average throughout 2023, then you'd have a market rise of 23.7% in the S&P and a weighted rise of the magnificent 7 of 27.1% which would leave the 493 remaining stocks with a (27.1-23.7)=3.4% rise, not a negative.
@hanshart1413
@hanshart1413 3 ай бұрын
So is it then not worth to invest in s&p500 at the moment??
@StephenRWilliams
@StephenRWilliams 3 ай бұрын
Time in the market beats timing the market.
@neilcook1652
@neilcook1652 3 ай бұрын
S&P yes, specific S&P companies no, and look globally too, diversify and hold.
@georgeorwell7291
@georgeorwell7291 3 ай бұрын
What you are saying does not mean those stocks are "overvalued", because the earnings are there. What this says is we need a MegaCap Index.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
Question is if you think them earnings that are there are gonna keep being there and growing fast on top.
@AT16
@AT16 3 ай бұрын
I saw Sasha coming 🎉
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
Did you now?! 👀
@AT16
@AT16 3 ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin 😬😂
@VermaFinance
@VermaFinance 3 ай бұрын
Ayo
@Gotdam
@Gotdam 3 ай бұрын
I saw it coming and bought puts way too early
@justgeneric2876
@justgeneric2876 3 ай бұрын
When we say no one saw coming do we mean maverick of wall street and the guy from big short
@dfmillard
@dfmillard 3 ай бұрын
Do a shot every time Sasha posts a video with fire in the thumbnail and/or ‘CRASH’ in the heading
@SaadonAksah
@SaadonAksah 3 ай бұрын
Just be prepared then! 😱
@sirrodneyffing1
@sirrodneyffing1 3 ай бұрын
Simplistic.
@l0v3nul
@l0v3nul 3 ай бұрын
Sasha we love you, its ok that you screwed up with Palantir...happens to everyone
@Bobsmith-ot6si
@Bobsmith-ot6si 3 ай бұрын
🙏
@neilmac4730
@neilmac4730 3 ай бұрын
Honestly, Sasha, you should have a million subs. There are way too many hucksters out there spewing crap. Thanks for keeping it real.
@mmartin4978
@mmartin4978 3 ай бұрын
The sh*t to fan ratio comes in to play
@raymcconnell3839
@raymcconnell3839 3 ай бұрын
and??
@PaintrainX
@PaintrainX 3 ай бұрын
Nvidia really is doing impressively well. But yeah, I have my doubts about the sustainability of this growth. It might slow down sooner than people think. I think we won’t see a crash yet. Personally I have my eye set at selling at $1000. As for other Big Tech stocks: their gains are not blindly based on AI imo. Look at Microsoft. Microsoft is very solidly setup. The valuation is a little rich, but they have massive potential in several areas aside from AI. Same goes for Meta. Meta is even pretty fairly valued. The big crash will come amongst speculative AI stocks like Palantir and others. They shot up to insane valuations, but didn’t show impressive growth. Let alone that there is a solid plan for their future.
@seanlam3823
@seanlam3823 3 ай бұрын
The last sentence 😂
@JJ-zo8sh
@JJ-zo8sh 3 ай бұрын
Do you own anything ai related?
@azaharlionhart7084
@azaharlionhart7084 3 ай бұрын
yes.. streets ahead :)
@daniel_tenner
@daniel_tenner 3 ай бұрын
Yeah, I don't think so somehow. And the bounce today suggests I'm not the only one. AI *is* an infinite chip guzzler. All the AIs scale in quality with compute amount. The demand for it is only getting started. Nvidia is one of the top players in this market, and companies are going to basically buy every top-end chip they make, in as large a quantity as they can afford. I don't think there's a crash coming. At least not yet. Not in the next few months at least.
@puremusicdaz
@puremusicdaz 3 ай бұрын
'AI is an infinite chip guzzler.' Right, but does it actually do anything?
@mikerodent3164
@mikerodent3164 2 ай бұрын
@@puremusicdazHaha. It absorbs garbage in from Da InterWeb (da whole of Da InterWeb) and ... to the consternation and massive surprise of lots of men (no women) in white lab coats, spews garbage out. Actually no, that's unfair. It is "Generative", which sounds so lovely, and serious. It spews garbage back with its own "generated" added garbage on top. I have perfect faith in it.
@puremusicdaz
@puremusicdaz 2 ай бұрын
@@mikerodent3164 and soon, this technology will decide whether you get your groceries depending on the way yo breathe. hooray for progress!
@jkosiba228
@jkosiba228 3 ай бұрын
I can’t look at my NVIDIA stocks right now. Don’t want to tempt myself to sell them! They’re going to rocket again I feel
@almabe7608
@almabe7608 3 ай бұрын
Lol 😀 bratan, perfect, just perfect. 💁‍♂️
@danunpronounceable8559
@danunpronounceable8559 3 ай бұрын
"using these latest profit numbers Nvidea has a PE ratio of 50", not sure those numbers are quite right. At a market cap of $1.8T and trailing 12 month net profit of $18.9B, you get a PE ratio of 95. Maybe you're assuming 4th quarter net profit will be $18B? But this feels out of the realms of possibility.
@derekhoffman818
@derekhoffman818 3 ай бұрын
And then they blew right past those projections ! Lol
@danunpronounceable8559
@danunpronounceable8559 3 ай бұрын
@@derekhoffman818 nope, it was pretty good 4th quarter, net income was $12B, giving p/e of 66 on market cap of $1.97T. Sure, closer to p/e 50 but still massively exuberant - beyond anything that could be considered value.
@agaragar21
@agaragar21 3 ай бұрын
Wait ...What ???
@paulevans2246
@paulevans2246 3 ай бұрын
@TooMuchMills
@TooMuchMills 3 ай бұрын
😢
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 3 ай бұрын
😁
@stoneageman18
@stoneageman18 3 ай бұрын
If there is one thing I took awwayfrom this video. Its that we should all buy NIVIDIA, short squeezes don't stop if you don't stop buying
@steveno7058
@steveno7058 3 ай бұрын
AI is cool. But could they PLEASE fix spell check fisrt!!!
@conchureify
@conchureify 3 ай бұрын
I happened to buy £440 of nvidia in November 2021, as of yesterday it was up 168%...bananas
@neilcook1652
@neilcook1652 3 ай бұрын
Tulips
@Black-Circle
@Black-Circle 3 ай бұрын
Crashes are nothing more than opportunity to buy
@Sergiblacklist
@Sergiblacklist 3 ай бұрын
If you can survive though the crash
@luk1pr0
@luk1pr0 3 ай бұрын
@@Sergiblacklistwhat would make you not survive through a crash?
@Sergiblacklist
@Sergiblacklist 3 ай бұрын
@@luk1pr0 I don't mean literally survive more financially survive and be able to take advantage of the back swing
@MattMcQueen1
@MattMcQueen1 3 ай бұрын
@@luk1pr0 If all of your money is already invested, and you have no cash reserve left to take advantage of the buying opportunity. Of course, a quick recovery from a crash is not certain - you may have to wait a decade to break even.
@ivaneft
@ivaneft 3 ай бұрын
Only if you’ve kept some cash.
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