The Complex Aftermath of Globalization | Henry Farrell

Over the last two years, the US government has started thinking about the future of the world in a very different way. Across speeches and policy papers, a vision of world politics has emerged which breaks sharply both with the old logic of the Cold War and the newer politics of globalization.
The globalization bet has turned sour, but it has created a far more closely connected world than ever existed before. Problems such as climate change, economic inequality, food security, supply chain vulnerabilities, democratic weakness and mass migration emerge from the interdependent choices of people and governments in a global system without any global rulers.
In a complex interdependent world, is the only way forward to accept these complexities, and try to work with them? That is the challenge that the US now faces - moving from the simple imagined futures of the past to a more entangled and realistic vision of our planet's future.
This Long Now Talk is presented in partnership with the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) at Stanford University. CASBS brings together deep thinkers from diverse disciplines and communities to advance understanding of the full range of human beliefs, behaviors, interactions, and institutions. A leading incubator of human-centered knowledge, CASBS facilitates collaborations across academia, policy, industry, civil society, and government to collectively design a better future.
Henry Farrell is SNF Agora Institute Professor at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and a 02022- 23 Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) at Stanford University. Farrell is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and works on a variety of topics, including democracy, the politics of the Internet and international and comparative political economy. He is author of The Political Economy of Trust: Interests, Institutions and Inter-Firm Cooperation (with Abraham Newman), Of Privacy and Power: The Transatlantic Fight over Freedom and Security, and Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy (with Abraham Newman). Farrell has written for publications such as The New York Times, the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, The Washington Monthly, The Boston Review, Aeon, New Scientist, and The Nation and is co-founder of the popular academic blog, Crooked Timber.
"The Complex Aftermath of Globalization" was given on September 26, 02023 as part of The Long Now Foundation's Seminar series. The series was started in 02003 to build a compelling body of ideas about long-term thinking from some of the world's leading thinkers. The Seminars take place in San Francisco and are curated and hosted by Stewart Brand. To follow the talks, you can:
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[@psikeyhackr6914]

Compare The Dispossesed by Le Guin to: Voyage from Yesteryear by James P Hogan Le Guin did not come up with a resolution but I suspect that Hogan knew more about economics and technology.

[@psikeyhackr6914]

The NAZInomic Wargame is a continuation of the Military Wargame by other means. See: The Screwing of the Average Man by David Hapgood

[@jonathanwilner6174]

Democracy is not the same thing as a democratic republic. The former means the rule of the majority without any consideration to minority viewpoints and their interests while the latter entails the selection of leaders to represent the public. In the latter model, not all representatives are elected by a majority. There are also appointed positions. The distinction between democracy and that of a democratic republic is not trite but should always be understood within the public discourse. The tendency among policy wonks is to conflate the two or rather confuse the two. What cost is public policy when addressing all that which afflicts humanity? What role is government, and what role remains for the private sector and then for those voluntary formations (mutual aid) which suffer not the discipline of the marketplace or the intricacies of bureaucracy? Innovation within the public sector should be balanced with tradition, the tried and true, the proclivity of a culture to honor the past and with regard to society's foundational principles. However, these systems approaches ignore the human factor, the actors who make decisions. A tool facilitates the work of a craftsman, but a tool is not the craftsman himself. The reason why a democratic republic constitutes a complex system is because it is the complex interaction of actors differing in their agendas and needs. Historically, a democratic republic mediates diverse interests to establish and preserve the cohesivity required for a functioning society. Henry Farrell on the one hand recognizes the law of unintended consequences. However, on the other hand he ignores this principle. He offers an array of proposals which likewise ignore this central principle. All proposals ignore this law of unintended consequences. They are proposed solutions and, by definition, ignore this principle otherwise they would not be proposed solutions. Policy cannot be drawn up from a textbook or from the surmising of academicians peering out at the world through the tinted glass of their office and classroom windowpanes. All that remains is a mélange of politics, the conflict of wills and conflicting economic interests. And it is reduced into the master slave dichotomy. Pozzo leads Lucky on a tether but then Lucky leads Pozzo with the same tether. The pigs and humans in Orwell's Animal Farm end up resembling each other such that one can no longer tell them apart. Henry Farrell proposes a dialectic devoid of any Aufhebung. But, as one person has stated, "there are no problems to solve only people. " Contrary to Henry Farrell's assertion about the use of reason, it is not apologetics.

[@Anglo_Browza]

🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧

[@NikoHL]

Meaning what exactly ?

[@frikkiethirion8053]

Jy praat baie, maar sê min

[@jillfryer6699]

not impressed and not afraid. I've read too much sci fi myself.

[@psikeyhackr6914]

You cannot read too much SF, however excess sciffy might cause brain damage. LOL