Sam Altmans Stunning Prediction Is Deeper Than You Think

[@defectiveresistor]

We can already do things that the older generation would’ve thought as magic.

[@quantumspark343]

yeah.. chatGPT as it is now is one of them

[@Dant110]

This isn’t magic. Magic is what the greatest generation built-affordable housing, single income households, pensions, affordable healthcare, food that wasn’t addictive poison, and bridges that weren’t falling down.

[@igoromelchenko3482]

Opposite is true also 😅

[@Jeremy-Ai]

“Yeah… we are so magnificently special… surely we have power over our ancestors that. never witnessed the creations that brought us here today?” Why would we take a moment to consider the works of our forefathers and mothers as though they know nothing? Surely the empires of. Roman works , Egyptian works, German works, Russian works, The Greeks The Spaniards The Mayans The Babylonians The Dutch The Japanese The Chinese The British The French The Africans The Vikings… this list is so long it doesn’t even reach the founding Fathers of America. “Surely we know better and would stun them all with our power and technology… that we hold in no regard, no respect, and no control of it.” Surely Rome was not built in a day… but we are all empires of the sun that build a thousand models of Rome in single moment… without ever laying a stone?” Surely we are magically magnificent. Surely this will all go well

[@quantumspark343]

@@igoromelchenko3482 what do you mean?

[@thedannybseries8857]

Tf was that 1:16 😂

[@joyful-nachos]

😂 haha I was gonna post same thing.. fucking beat me to it

[@VeiledInsider]

@@joyful-nachos Someone's gotta turn that into a slick beat.

[@corywoffinden9560]

"Proof" that he's not AI🤣

[@arthur0x2a]

Dune !

[@jhuilar]

I rewound to figure it out, I'm glad others heard it too

[@michaelspence2508]

ASI is not far behind AGI. Once you have AGI you apply it to ASI research and it's way faster than any team of humans.

[@claxvii177th6]

Source: "it came to me in a capitalist delusion"

[@Max-hj6nq]

Ok bro, humanoid robots upscaling energy production still takes time .

[@Max-hj6nq]

Technotheism is an accelerate and decelerate of this industry that needs to be called out .

[@kliersheed]

@@Max-hj6nq you dont need to upscale energy production to have AI that can self-improve code and architecture. you just need to hit the critical point. sure you can still scale it with more energy and more compute, but you dont specifically need it.

[@Max-hj6nq]

@@kliersheed What you hold in belief is just factually wrong. Microsoft just brought back three mile island online. Yes you do have to upscale energy production tf are you talking about. Every iteration of development requires a fundamental unit of energy

[@nathanaelculver5308]

Magic? No. Science fiction, yes. Autonomous vehicles, talking computers, intelligent robots, ubiquitous personal instant communications devices, universal translators, virtual reality - all of these were staples of science fiction just a generation ago. Just as impressive is the speed with which these technologies have arrived. What was conceived in visions of future centuries has arrived in a generation.

[@pgc6290]

We dont have movies about ai godly intelligence.

[@Intinnent]

I'm ready to plug into the GTA AI matrix

[@jaronloar1762]

I was thinking about how crazy it would be if every NPC in GTA 6 had AI interactions enabled, so you could literally just talk to any NPC you want to, and they would respond like a real person based on the actual situation that they are in.

[@Tofu3435]

Az least let me talk to NPCs in GTA lol ... maybe in the "Chinese gta" (neverness to everness)

[@MrJackWorse]

The guy is a good salesman. Try not to get too excited.

[@futures2247]

funny how these people are seen an infallible

[@hamdaniyusuf_dani]

Expect additional 1 or 2 years late from his prediction.

[@神-n6b]

im not too excited, just that Sam is the salesperson that delivered.

[@seanrobinson6407]

You've been following AI news?

[@dazball3707]

There's sooo many stressful aspects of today's life. Thanks soo much for reminding us that AI holds much opportunity to reduce those stresses! Thanks 👍

[@anta-zj3bw]

Right, and this generation thinks our grandparent's working a 9 to 5 job was "magic"

[@ChrisWill]

The Singularity is Near

[@madalinradion]

1000 days is about 2 years and 7 months, they make it sound like it's coming sooner than we think

[@lordnikon6809]

He said in a few thousand days. That's about 10 years or more.

[@iKoper]

1000 days is less than 3 years

[@williamcousert]

@@iKoper He said a few thousand days. Few is at least three. 3,000 days is a little more than 8.2 years. Ray Kurzweil is still predicting 2045 for the Singularity.

[@iKoper]

@@williamcousert Ok but OP stated that "1000 days is over 3 years" which is incorrect.

[@madalinradion]

@@iKoper Yea sorry its 2 years and 7 months or so

[@iceshakle]

The discovery and understanding of electricity was the most important in history. Just think about that.

[@johncongerton7046]

after agriculture

[@Lmerrick28]

We would have had to develop steam powered AI without it

[@narachi-]

and to think we still havent mastered it....

[@garynicholas4334]

"A few thousand days" means approximately 10 years to me! No time soon then!?

[@denjamin2633]

The shit that if asked just three years ago you probably would have said was at least 50 years away? 10 years is absolutely nothing.

[@Oen713]

10 years is no time at all.

[@WhatIsRealAnymore]

At this point. I feed your videos into Google Gemini and ask it for a summary. I get a one paragraph that sums up your 20 minutes discussions. Sorry I'm at work. Don't have time for long stories. Until AI replaces me that is. Then I'm listening to your full videos. 😂

[@blijebij]

People in the future will need to learn how to creatively and meaningfully fill their newly acquired free time, as sparetime will Boom up bit time.

[@pgc6290]

Agree. Btw sounds kinda dead though.

[@mikhailbulgakov1472]

I can't wait to go time traveling with my humanoid girlfriend. Maybe not real time travel but an immersive AI reality that mimics perfectly the past while humanoid girlfriends are probably only a few years away.

[@adrenaline1320]

OH look. Guy who owns AI company is bullish about AI.

[@nathanaelculver5308]

Ad hominem.

[@taeallpurple]

​@@nathanaelculver5308 People just spam the same attack to anyone dealing with ai saying what they disagree with. getting kinda sad.

[@marcwebber2125]

Another hype train to rile up investors and get more $$$. This dude needs to put his money where his mouth is. When/if AGI/ASI arrive, then that will be the ultimate test…

[@whattuan]

oh guy who is bullish about his company 😂

[@madalinradion]

And those who profit from ai failing will be bearish on the ai companies, such is the capitalist world

[@stigma2162]

“In a few thousands days” - Dear friend, let me translate that for you: if we take the range of (let’s say) 2,000 to 5,000 days, then we are talking between 5.5 years and 13.7 years, so do not get too excited yet 😅

[@pgc6290]

The future is so mind blowing and unfathomable that i have stopped thinking about it.

[@oldmanyquic_k9885]

I'm stunned🤕

[@AlejandroJavierHernandez-si4qz]

Everybody should have a chat gpt system built in their house + a 3d printer

[@musicandgallery-nature]

Who will be in charge when the superintelligence is built - humans or AGI? Will AGI follow human laws? Will the security protocols effectively restrict AGI?

[@sunny127]

I don’t like the new “Wooosh” sound between the slides. The sudden bass hurts my ears.

[@JJSeattle]

Statistically I only got about 20 years to live. I'm jealous what the generation now, will see when they're my age.

[@enkianunnaki9745]

If we can manage to survive

[@willguggn2]

Not sure whether you're 70 or American.

[@somenygaard]

@@willguggn2Even the countries with the longest lifespans are not surpassing 89 years

[@madalinradion]

20 years is a lot in the ai field, for all we know we could get a god level asi by then and longevity will escape velocity for everyone, now you have reason to be a lil more positive

[@rwfaught]

Or... it very well might be that you're lucky that you're alive right now. Because you may already be within the threshold where medical advances and longevity technologies begin to continually outpace the aging process. You might be able to "ride the wave" achieving "escape velocity" and continue to benefit from ongoing advancements.

[@tomcraver9659]

Internally OpenAI has certainly had at least level 3 (decent agent wrapper around strawberry) since 2023, which is what Ilya saw. I'm betting that with proper prompting in a decent agent wrapper, level 4 was working back then as well.

[@narachi-]

true theyve been speaking of agents for quite a while. seems like they are trying to "breakaway" from the consumer or enthusiast by at least one order of magnitude. i can see it now, soon theyll 360 no scope down from their sea-azure clouds, cascade into the 5g realm to bless our fatal errors with bios flash vaccines.

[@richardfredlund8846]

super human intelligence is probably the more relevant milestone, but it's not the limit of AGI.

[@TheThetruthmaster1]

If you have 10k agis with an iq of 250 orki g together isn't that super intelligence. That's about a year or two.

[@TheThetruthmaster1]

Can an agent write you a program for another agent

[@TheAiGrid]

What do you think about superintelligence?

[@runningwithSaul]

Like asking fish what they think about air...

[@dan-cj1rr]

BS

[@polygon2744]

How can we trust corporations and governments which have blindly funded war with such technology. Eisenhower warned about the Military Industrial Complex and how it would subvert government if not kept on a short leash.

[@igoromelchenko3482]

Hope at least someone will have it 😅

[@igoromelchenko3482]

​@@runningwithSaulit definitely scares some of them 😅

[@angloland4539]

❤

[@MrArdytube]

Regarding ai tutors, i think this will be great, different people who hear the same concept… will be differently unclear about the concept. My question might seem obvious to you… so the time spent answering my question will be a waste for you … and likewise… your question may seem obvious to me.

[@dattajack]

If all the jobs are taken by ai, and UBI hasn't kicked in yet, then what exactly would a student need to be tutored in if there's no benefits to learning any paying skill anymore?

[@musicandgallery-nature]

A bright future, but forgetting human nature. First the atomic bomb was built and much later the nuclear power plant.

[@starflower666]

a few thousand days is 8 years or more

[@Edo9River]

Yeah but our divorce rate is 42% across the US. And we can’t find the roughly 7000 kids taken by the Russians from the Dombas and Crimea into Russia. And there’s a severe storm drowning thousands in Sudan where a war has been going on for 20 years and millions have died😊😊😊😊So solve those problems by the end of 2025: Mr. AI😢

[@ariisaac5111]

@AIgrid, I love your daily AI news show, but I had to stop following you because it's too much hassle because KZbin has disabled the playoff feature for your videos and it's too much hassle to add your videos to the queue. Can you create a playlist on your homepage that plays all your shows from newest to oldest, so that I can easily keep up with you just by pressing play off I usually do it every few days or once a week. thx.

[@TheAiGrid]

I have some playlists but they are separated by AI releases you should see them if u click on my channel homepage

[@ariisaac5111]

@@TheAiGrid thanks, but I saw those and those are no good because they do not include every video you produce and upload. So I can't use those to to catch up with your daily news briefs on a periodic weekly or biweekly basis that I do. So I end up just picking one or two that seem to stand out instead of watching all of them as I used to do before KZbin cancel that play all videos function.

[@gaminggaming-bx6em]

Deeper to eat money :)

[@somenygaard]

Teachers unions won’t be happy about AI being able to replace the majority of teachers jobs.

[@mattevans3511]

everyone won’t be happy about AI being able to replace the majority of any job.

[@madalinradion]

​@@mattevans3511till they'll start getting money just from chilling, then they'll say hey this ai deal is not bad

[@TheThetruthmaster1]

It's DONKEY time 💪🏿 😡 👊🏿

[@styx1272]

And Children will be able to learn more sophisticate vocabularies earlier thus giving the a deeper understanding of the nuance of knowledge and communication , creating a paradigm shift in socialisation. It is now (since the invention of tv) often the lack of vocabulary that makes lower classes a victim of bordem and brutishness leading to drug use and sexualisation. A wider vocabulary means deeper word play in conversation leading to higher wit and imaginations.

[@thesleuthinvestor2251]

Absolute nonsense. Here is a simple test for your AGI: Ask it to write a chick lit romantic novel that-- without any human editing-- a women reader would not be able to put down, and once finished, couldn't stop sniffling over. Consider it a Level 1 Turning Test... (What's level 5? A Chekhov play.). Deal?

[@fine93]

there are no holograms noob

[@TheThetruthmaster1]

A few thousand days is 5 or more years. He's just being a dork.

[@flickwtchr]

So, with AI tutoring, the AI will just give you all of the answers and break it all down for you, so you don't have to reason tough problems out for yourself. Yeah, sure, that will make everyone geniuses. You don't see an obvious problem with this?

[@jwesley235]

""o, with AI tutoring, the AI will just give you all of the answers and break it all down for you, so you don't have to reason tough problems out for yourself" That would be stupid, and counterproductive. Maybe you need a tutor.

[@MaiWhisper]

237 million medication errors a year in a country with a population of around 56 million?

[@SteveG-ru6ip]

A billionaire who will get far richer from AI saying how great it will be when 50% of people on the planet will be made redundant and have to live in poverty. What's not to like?

[@martin22336]

He is all hype and have nothing to stand on. He is not saying it to you he is putting out these articles to scam investors. He can’t advertise this as a true statement that would legally fuck him. He wants to push a false narrative for money without having a product. Chat GPT is just multiple open source tools he put them into a single program that’s all it really is hints why he open sourced some of the code.

[@elvinilogy]

I wonder if it is healthy to be stunned so much

[@DanouNauck-uw9by]

erster 1st

[@ShaneMcGrath.]

A few thousand days, So basically the same time frame predicted by Ray Kurzweil, Nothing new to see here folks.

[@1stimgt]

Hey will AI be deemed the new woke by the Republican party and will the Project 2027 Playbook call for the mass unplugging of all server farms?

[@danielmaster911ify]

No. This tech is the future. Power incarnate beyond nuclear weapons. Everyone will want it. When our enemies will continue to develop it in the absence our own efforts... well, it would be political and national suicide to unplug.

[@kalliste23]

LOL. The only thing coming "faster than you think" is another tech bubble popping and Sam Altman disappearing into obscurity with his ill-gotten gains. This guy is about as convincing as the average used car salesman. Then again maybe he's sincere and it's just that he hallucinates as much as ChatGPT.

[@jwesley235]

Just say you don't like AI and go watch some anime.

[@kalliste23]

@@jwesley235 AI is even more fake and gay than anime.

[@lovetaiwan708]

his word is not promising. How many times he said something will be released in vain.

[@goukux5908]

Advance your career LOL.. Who will have a career? Why would such a thing be needed?

[@Tarkusine]

Dude is saying it's 10 years away. It's like saying 'sometime'. Not interesting and everyone is gluk glukking about it.

[@robertlux8675]

Brace for mass depression as we’ll all be rendered useless.

[@galailliz]

Third comment

[@mikesopko7374]

Call me a doomer... haha. If everyone has the tools then we are all the same and basically it is going to make us all need to compete at such a high and breakneck level. It all comes down to the fact that resources are limited, we all cannot consume like the US. So basically I think all this stuff just makes almost everyone go closer to and resemble "an average", because it is going to be difficult to outperform the tools: people using the tools will all start to resemble each other's output at some point. So some people in the world, sure it is great. I'm not 100% sure this is so great for people in the developed West though, but there is probably not a choice. My guess would be living standards globally rise but we basically see a new "Industrial Revolution" and basically a lot more unemployment and a lot more people centered at making the "average income" globally (possibly from UBI, if not from what I said where at some point all peopel using the tools have similar output/productivity in the near future). I'd guess high unemployment in the West so this is why I'd not necessarily say it's good, and that a "rising tide lifts all boats"

[@user-xedwsg]

We all have 24 hours in a day. We don't spend it doing the same things. Try again.

[@martin22336]

I think this AI thing is a grift and the only new thing they managed is LLM to the general public. I say this with a good understanding of computer science and I have taken classes on algorithms and it’s an easy cash grab nothing to be concerned about.

[@jwesley235]

Thanks perfesser.

[@tiagotiagot]

01:15 What was that sound?! xD

[@PaulanerStudios]

13:02 I think what YOU have to remember is the Pareto principle.

[@Rh22-c9l]

ASI = 2045 --- > KURZWEIL'S PREDICTION

[@pgc6290]

Not few years or months, but literally seconds.

[@pgc6290]

And what is google doing btw.

[@SaeshArban]

I'm Junior Data Science, and I'm in love with AI in case of learning. Basically, I'm abusing gpt for a few hours every day. It's help to understand basic concepts, different type of analysis, stats methods, code problems and a lot more!

[@AinHab]

guys , Im just starting out as an AI enthusiast making similar content would appreciate your feedback

[@rubytuby6369]

“ Many will roam to and fro, and knowledge will increase.”

[@TheSuperStroker]

We can already do magic

[@惡魔請消失]

你AI情緒會用色彩顯示嗎？ 中文回答 謝謝

[@pgc6290]

At 11:14 but wish this came before getting done with un, thats when most ideas came to mind and were in mind.