Rising market volatility as investors ‘read’ elections, Modi ministers try to restore calm

#cuttheclutter
Nifty VIX index started going up 24 April in the aftermath of low polling, this election season. In Episode 1451 of Cut The Clutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta discusses reasons, implications, & why Amit Shah, Nirmala Sitharaman & Jaishankar are trying to reassure buyers.
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3:18 -- Buy before 4 June, expect spike - Amit Shah's tip
8.39 -- At 70, Nifty VIX peaked 27 March 2020
9.14 -- Nifty VIX now around 20, 11-13 considered normal
11.04 -- In this election season, VIX started going up 24 April
14.02 -- VIX went up to 28 on 17 May 2019
14.37 -- VIX on 9 May 2014 went up to 37
17.16 -- 9 out of 10 young people who are day trading losing money
18.42 -- Yen weakened by 60 basis points in a month - Finance minister
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[@AmitGupta-id9kc]

Polling is over in almost 400 seats. If large players had even iota of doubt about BJP not winning then Nifty would have crashed 10- 15 % by now...

[@TedoR2011]

😂

[@shiningstar1111]

I think they just have apprehensions about the number of 400+. Apart from that, I agree with you that if they had the doubt of the government changing, the market would have been in a nosedive.

[@hindurashtra63]

I have been observing Sensex since 2014. Before Modi came to Power in 2014, Sensex (BSE) was 21,000. Today it is 74,000. Goldman sacchs has announced at current rate, Indian Sensex markets will hit 200,000 by 2028. A 1000 points decline in past 3 weeks means nothing. It will rise up by 5000 Points on June 4th to hit 80,000 (BSE), Remember this comment !!!

[@AmitKumarAlphaX]

SENSEX ALSO GREW OVER 3.5 TIMES UNDER MANMOHAN SINGH'S 10 YEARS OF CONGRESS RULE.

[@msdadsfsx]

it will rise 2000000 points on june 4

[@kunti_putra]

it will rise 200000000 points on june 4.

[@MP-gw2ek]

@@msdadsfsx what a childish comment. you are the imbecile child, in case you missed the obvious insult.

[@HAWAIIAN_SERINDIPITY]

@@msdadsfsx Pray to your hoor supplier God so that it doesn't happen. After all you piddis will lose your job.

[@aryandixit229]

This speculation is all hawa. There is no difference between this and 5 years back. And the main takeaway here is that the markets do not want Congress or the dot dot alliance and do not like the increased competition coming from the opposition, which has improved their campaign by offering more lollipops and false promises but these do not resonate with people anymore who think about the long-term and are aware of what happened in Sri Lanka and Pakistan. People rejected NYAY last time and this time they will reject all the unrealistic promises of giving more government jobs than the government can afford or wealth redistribution in favour of realistic plans like increasing startups and entrepreneurship and getting investments and money through infrastructure so people can actually dream big instead of settling for the typical.

[@mayankkumar2071]

😊😊😊😊😊😅😊😊😊

[@Devmew000]

Is this right? Make in India=Jobs in India

[@sankalp6872]

It's a long election season, so heightened volatility is expected. The BJP sympathisers need to get over the ghost of 2003 fears. BJP voters are unlikely to abandon the party even if many might have reasons to be disappointed with the party given its idiotic deals with many nefarious characters for "400 paar". Personally, I think pundits missing wave will witness a Ayoydhya Tsunami on June 4. During my constituency polling, I saw BJP machinery active and running with coolers, transport and even beverages for voters while the INC booth did not even put a shed for its voters. Of course, nothing is guaranteed and INC has actually put up a strategy (good or bad will be known on June 4) but it simply lacks the logistics to pull it off. The only way BJP will lose if people decide to VOTE OUT MODI (not equal to VOTE FOR RAHUL). The fact that Rahul is not seen as the PM candidate is actually helping the INDIA alliance. However, it is still a India vs Zimbabwe match with BJP being India (Note: Zimbabwe has won 10 ODIs against India).

[@cyk2668]

Yeah... Who cares about the country or its people? It's all about 400 paar. People can go to hell as long as the king gets his throne back.

[@sankalp6872]

@@cyk2668 Prince Pappu is trying for the 3rd time. In the event of yet another failure, Rahul will automatically get a 4th and later even 5th, 6th Chance followed by Priyanka Gandhi's kids. That's a true monarchy but of course, who cares about the country? Just remain BLIND.

[@drishtcg]

@@cyk2668 The alternate is even worse you dumbwit...Its choosing the bad among the worse

[@venkat67890]

​@@cyk2668 People cares about the country so they are voting for BJP and NDA. BJP wanted bigger mandate because they have done things for the people and they wanted to do good things for the people in the future and to stop some bad plans of opposition may be they are asking for 400 seats. In majority of the sectors BJP has done a lot better job than any other government India has seen after Independence. Vote for BJP Vote for Development

[@tvpuram]

​@@venkat67890hey bhakth, even if you don't discount organic growth , India in 2024 is worse than india in 2014

[@tapemaj]

Extremely eloquent Nirmala Sitharaman and S. Jaishankar too . Completely agree . Stock market volatility is a way of life .

[@sankalp6872]

The length of the election is taking toll on the markets. Too many moving parts and lightning speed political developments headlines can make even the most seasoned investors nervous. Also, Congress promises of a never-to-be-achieved socialist utopia are further fueling fears. Best thing is to wait for June 4.

[@raghuvirkhanna7636]

Jnu products

[@tapemaj]

@@raghuvirkhanna7636Indeed !! Quite true .

[@HeartistMurali]

They are extremely dumb....

[@pradeepsudarshan6117]

At 10:45 the volatility did not go down to zero. It went down to 10 which is the lowest value shown on the graph.

[@pichumanisankar2617]

1:07 - SG invested in Franklin Templeton Mutual Funds?😂.

[@VarunStream]

😂

[@arjunps6776]

All the volatility is due to the anxiety caused by a six week election. Those talking of 'One Nation, One Election' should instead think about holding elections in two weeks. If Assembly and Parliament elections are held at the same time, we may have the voting for three months.

[@surajraika9245]

WOW WHAT a GREAT LOGIC

[@head_scratch]

I don't remember a time when a single state was divided into 7 phases! And ECI fumbling for voter turnout data

[@RajDhana586]

Dude, even one nation, one election becomes reality, elections will take same six+ weeks to complete. I don't know how you decide on these numbers. Look at states where both assemply and general elections are concluded.

[@gtmashok]

@@RajDhana586 It's two different problems we're mixing up. The 6+ week election process is due to logistics of conducting elections across such a diverse geography (though some say it's to benefit the ruling party). I think shortening to 3-4 weeks is do-able as infra and connectivity have improved. The 'One Nation, One Election' proposal is to ensure we have smooth policy making, less polarization, and less disruption (due to MCC) on governance due to elections every 5-6 months.

[@mpnikhil]

What volatility? 1-2% fluctuation for a richly valued market is volatility? Ridiculous. Those who think that this is too much should stick to FDs. Modi 3.0 is already priced in.

[@nikunjsaboo91]

Intelligent people(i include myself) love such a market. Easiest money you can make on F&O and also buy certain shares in the equity market which have fallen because of so called volatility.

[@ish3619]

Literally there’s been what a 4% drop in sensex ? Foreign funds are taking a bit of profit , because valuations are so stretched. The vol is also lower than before 19 and 14 elections. The market jitters is over whether it’s 300 or 280 not whether the BJP will win or lose lol.

[@nikunjsaboo91]

@@ish3619 4% in which world? And nobody cares about sensex lol

[@raghuvirkhanna7636]

Markey is reacting to the negative campaign by modi. His bizarre statements have spooked everyone who thought modi 3.0 is a sealed deal

[@abhyam]

I think politicians are more concerned now because there has been huge domestic investments in Indian markets in last 3-4 years with a huge number of net new retail investors. Earlier, it was big players were the sufferers.

[@rajbaniwal3236]

What kind of analysis is this? If, and truly so, VIX Index doesn’t mean anything at all. Then why make a video on it and only cite BJP Ministers who are saying it doesn’t matter at all. Shekhar ji, you should have been asking why INDI Alliance are making this an issue and debunk them. But what you did was, “VIX and this is what BJP is saying”, while saying you know nothing about Stock Market, but also BJP is nervous about it? Come on.

[@SuvojitChattopadhyay]

Nirmala Sitharaman scowling at everyone around is not eloquence

[@ppg9999]

What to expect from godi media

[@ravishingravi]

Yes that should be mani shankar aiyar

[@ravishankar4978]

Only didi is most eloquent along with raga, pitroda , mani Shankar , kharge

[@head_scratch]

Infact this is the first time she let someone pass the 'govt earns more than broker' without hitting out at that person. They are worried!

[@prakashpai1383]

You ground us to boredom. Keep your talks exciting. You tend to grind so much with data and your stories that we tend to move away.

[@rijzone]

That is why we watch it. There are plenty of shows out there to your liking go and watch them don't complain here.

[@kunti_putra]

Both BSE and NSE have started removing the roof of their building, because on June 4, market will shoot through the roof!

[@ckjaidev]

Nirmala Sitharaman is about the most ignorant FMs we have had. Questions regarding excessive taxation and PSU divestment are par for the course and she should have anticipated them and prepared stock answers - the bare minimum expected of a thinking person. Instead she chose to dodge them with some inane response. And you call her eloquent? Eloquence is when you can think and your speech reflects that thinking in a fluid manner.

[@GururajBN]

Oh, Bro! Probably, she is not all that dumb and incompetent. In 2019, I would have agreed with you. But she has managed the economy of the country during the pandemic, and look post-pandemic, where Indian economy now is! Her abrasiveness puts everyone off.

[@rijzone]

@@GururajBN She has no say in any economic policy whatsoever. None of the ministry except Road has anything to do except formalities.

[@sreenathgopinathan4002]

Nirmala madam is managing well. She has done equally well when compared to her predecessor, Late Shri Arun Jaitley However, Arun Jaitley Sir chose not to speak out the inconvenient truths, Nirmala madam is quite unashamed in speaking ugly truths

[@nomulahemanth3109]

​@@rijzoneSo are you Saying That Mr Modi Controls Every Aspect of Every Portfolio and Is the ONLY MAN Behind All the Rapid Growth in almost Every sector Of the Economy

[@ckjaidev]

@@nomulahemanth3109 : Yes. His office controls everything. And as for rapid growth fake news please make inferences from the Asian Paints CEO today. Also, base year is being changed to obfuscate comparisons. This narrative of rapid growth is pure rubbish

[@skkaushik7326]

Sir, I listened to you for the first time in 1X and sitting on Jupiter (the new u____s), I have no idea why did I ever not listen to you on 1X (default speed in my KZbin is 2X) before??? You speak soooo much sense; not only with words, but the intonation of your word, is amazing!!

[@MadeInAndhra-rk5mw]

Well said - I am least interested in politics and left India in 2007 - I just learn about politics just to listen to SG! Rest I have clarity every place certain culture and commitment and that is more than enough to drive us ahead and India is moving ahead anyway

[@crusaderindia]

Shekhar Ji, although I agree with your analysis, the explanation is even simpler. India VIX or the volatility index is an implied/derived number which is calculated by bid and ask price of Nifty options. During elections a lot of speculators enter the market and start buying options on either side (essentially a bet that a market will go up or down). Since there are more buyers than sellers, the price of the option increases and hence the Volatility index. Even fundamental investors would have bought options either to hedge or to simply speculate. We need to not just look at VIX but also the volume of options being traded for the month in question.

[@saipramod896]

Thank you shekar sir...for your insightful information

[@randomrendered1856]

Mutual funds are subject to market risk please read all the scheme related documents carefully!

[@kedarmunshi2936]

Excellent broad based talk on the topic !

[@parthdubey429]

Great episode SG

[@Crowka274]

SG is Speculating.

[@randelrodrigues628]

Actually in previous elections in 2014 and 2019,the VIX had shot up to upto 35.But unusually for this election the VIX had been around 10-15 until the start of election when it had gone up due to the Satta Bazaar speculation regarding the odds of BJP forming a strong government with 2/3 majority. What spooked the markets is the Foreign Institutional Investor selling after the starting of the election is slightly higher than normal.Although such instances have happened in the past, retail investors got alerted in the Futures and Options markets leading to this increase in VIX.

[@tarakumarshah9777]

Winded and repetitive please have some more fizz in your discussion by getting a cross section experts , and having a more compact discussion. This is after all a finance matter and an experts domain like defence .

[@bakuleshantani7431]

Congress manifesto promises are “spend” promises wherein even if one promise is implemented,it will derail the economy and the market. Investors have vested interest in not voting for Congress,else they will see big time loss in their portfolio.

[@lalit780]

This "Spend" economy will be far better than purchasing 450 CR Raffle for Rs 1500 CR we should call it as "Purchase" economy 😂😂😂

[@nomulahemanth3109]

​​​@@lalit780If every Rafale Costs ₹ 450 Cr then why would France order 42 Rafales for $ 5.5 Billion Dollars or ₹ 1000+ Cr per piece, Egypt order 30 rafale for $ 4.5 Billion Dollars,Each Country is ordering with Different Specifics and IAF had the Highest no of Advanced things to be Equipped on Those Planes,Hence More Money per Plane, Also Talk about 2G Scam,Coal Scam,Adarsh Scam, Commonwealth Scam,Bank NPA Scam,Phone Banking Scams,Augusta Westland Scam etc etc Cry Chamchas

[@raghuvirkhanna7636]

A bit of basic understanding of economics will stop you from talking this type of nonsense

[@bakuleshantani7431]

Yes,I still need to learn a lot beyond PG in economics.

[@swassam]

Important to talk about how India vix is calculated, it is a process of using black and scholes model, using datapoints on options, contracts etc.. this means the traders are speculating on both sides - this is % of change expected in nifty.. best bid and ask quotes of the out-of-the-money..

[@user-nn2bm9po5n]

Yours is a very balanced and mature presentation. But, please understand that the investors are also maha-spooked by the dire predictions of the FM's husband. The wife says 'it is heavenly boom' while the husband warns of "sheer gloom and doom." And, they still live under the same roof! Who should the investor believe?

[@ravishingravi]

Sounds like BS. Husband is not a part of govt or anyone who is on the ballot. Why should investors care ?

[@PanakaluPoonakam]

Do you know anything about Amit Shah's wife's opinion on internal security of India? It might spook you. Cheers!

[@yashchandkatoch1408]

PSUs are the backbone of the economy and a key policy instrument. They are performing well and earning profits. It would be dangerous for India to completely privatise PSUs. Investors are only interested in their personal gains, while on the other hand government has to look after the aspirations 1.4 billion Indians. PSUs are very important for Atmanirbhar Bharat and Viksit Bharat. For eg CSL has successfully made indigenous hydrogen vessel and aircraft carrier.

[@sprashere]

What fragility? We are almost at all time highs!!!

[@syrss7510]

Wah Godi FII's have been Net sellers for last 4months. Vix at 20 is normal then Temp at 105F is normal. Godi is trying to defend and loose it's credibility further

[@sumantc4419]

Growing pains for a growth country. Just a process of maturation for a stock market. Let it play out. Valuable lessons will be learned.

[@Abhi-tb5ww]

Time to buy

[@rajbaniwal3236]

So all the questions that were asked of the FM, we didn’t hear the question and also not the answer?

[@SkSingh-tu8un]

Basically the feeling is 270 plus/minus 30.. it is the minus which is sending shares into red zone one day and plus 30 which is sending shares into green zone the next day

[@Sukki1992]

Hello, when will you talk about all the fiasco from Varanasi? There should be some cutting the clutter over there? Some coverage.

[@ms_99]

00:03 Modi ministers trying to restore calm in markets 02:27 The government is assuring no big shocks and claims a larger majority in power. 04:57 Efforts to reassure the markets amidst perceived market volatility 07:21 Market volatility surged due to COVID-19 lockdown in India and globally. 09:38 Market volatility influenced by election predictions 11:49 Market volatility due to election speculation 14:08 Market volatility linked to elections and government stability. 16:32 Hedge funds making money from young Indian day traders 18:23 Market concerns about the decline of the rupee vis-à-vis the dollar and tax-related complaints. 20:20 Discussion on the performance of Indian PSU index and government's approach to divestment. 22:25 Modi ministers address market volatility

[@AjithPrasadEdassery]

VIX usually go up to 30s and 40s during election time. Nothing to DeClutter here...

[@nationfirst879]

Similar happened in 2019

[@shaun13153]

FII making great effort to pull the market down in the last fortnight of the elections... They have been net sellers for the eight out of ten Modi government years... Perhaps this is a desperate effort by international forums to pressurize Modi govt and voters... DIIs have been investing more than what FIIs have been selling, hence keeping markets UP... Hope they continue doing that..... Cheers to our growing economy and markets..!!

[@AmitGupta-id9kc]

This is the problem when a journalist tries to become expert on everything under the sun😂😂😂. Nifty is hardly 3% off the all time highs and he is saying investors are nervous😂😂😂.

[@user-my5qp1nm2d]

Pre-election Indian markets have always been equally or more volatile than this time. Just check the past records. The same is true for most markets the world over. It is not new this time and it is not unique to this country. Amit Shah Ji is not a market expert. He was asked question and he had to reply. Governemtn didn't deploy any minister for this. They were asked questions on this topic apart from tons of other questions but media picked up this question only out several other questions out of long discussions.

[@bangaloreprasad9755]

How does stock market or anyone know about results?, these are all confidential....till June 4 no one can predict.....reasons are plenty for market to go up and down

[@msquare5979]

😂 I too often don't read the market documents carefully.

[@neelabh1745]

Is a stable government being defined as “not changing”? Or does it mean a government that doesn’t just go out on a whim and change every name, system and currency?

[@sanjaysaksena619]

It is the government that is the biggest beneficiary of the markets. Ours must surely be one of the most highly taxed equity markets in the world.

[@aosemjamir4350]

When they say buy before 4th. Better sell before 4th.

[@jayantabsarma]

Getting more cluttered. Please make it sharp and concise. Message get lost in unnecessary details.

[@vaibhav9981]

My take on Modi govt concern on vix has nothing to do with concern to public or co-operate, there only concern is on gaining power, rising vix may trigger funding to opposition as they are very well fed they can only win if they succeed in freezing cash flow to others

[@GaneshGuptaAssam]

Volatility indicates the likely volatility the results are going to have.

[@Drganguli]

A split verdict and another united front v p singh type government is scary. Things will clear up on June 4

[@GururajBN]

There is a lot of intra-day volatility. This hurts intra-day players and F & O traders. But, during the last one month, NIFTY has been range bound between 21800 to 22400. This is a little less than 3%. Overall, the market is quite healthy. A short while back today, NIFTY touched 22400. But around 1 pm, it had fallen below 22100. This intra-day fluctuation bothers the traders. But, investors are not unduly worried. As far as disinvestment is concerned, having lost shiploads of money through the PSUs, why should the government now disinvest, when they are performing at their peak and giving huge value addition and dividends. Disinvestment need not be done for its own sake.

[@Sumitdasgupta2]

I have been a greatest fan of yours for years …after this episode though, I have to start wondering… this particular episode appears to smack of influences..the right thing would have been a counter view to the spokespersons that were presented … and the indices comparison needs to be an apple to apple in my view .. I have a lot of respect for you, your brand of journalism and I have always been promoting your channel … now, I will have to start wondering as I said. In an election time, this episode, as couched and caveated as it was …just makes me doubt and feel despondent of independence of journalism. Let the markets do what it feels, let it, in my view, independently decide, rather than the Print trying to give an opinion on the way it did in this episode. Markets were never your best foot …after this, my opinion is, don’t try hereafter, especially in the current environment. Allow me to continue to be your fan, please.

[@PrithiviAnand]

@theprint @SG 24th April is when Modi started his deeply communal speeches.

[@may4u310]

Iran India deal brought fear of US sanctions. That did not happen.

[@jayantabsarma]

At the end I fear it will be more cluttered.

[@hirenbafna]

The anxiety is because of the kind of promises made by the opposition. UPA was a lost decade where hardly any reform took place. If there was a sensible economic program put up then they would have had a better chance. As for the BJP it can lose very badly or it can just fall short of 272 mark or just go above 272 or they can get a thumping majority. So many possibilities. The INC the main challenger is not even contesting 400 seats. If I consider their historical hit ration of 35% then they will may touch 100 seats. How stable will such a government be? One thing is I am sure in the near future the electricity will be free till 200 units minimum. A bad idea will be made worse by politics.

[@raghuvirkhanna7636]

Most economists agree that the Indian economy did better under the UPA. Today we had the Asian paints CEO say he doesn't understand how we are computing GDP data now as they don't reflect the core sectors pain

[@hirenbafna]

@@raghuvirkhanna7636 UPA1 got lucky as the rising tide from 2002/3/4 pushed up the growth & then the reckless loosening in 2008 caused inflation.

[@raghuvirkhanna7636]

@@hirenbafna just check inflation now..talk to people around you ..ache din was with upa

[@hirenbafna]

@@raghuvirkhanna7636 I have my opinion on this & you have yours. So be it. I feel UPA got plain lucky that the heavy lifting done by previous government helped them. There are many things which can be pointed out. For EG. UPA completely wound up the disinvestment program. Since then, it has been that way. Even the privatisation of AI happened because there was no way. The best investment made by ABV government was Strategic sale of BALCO, Hindustan Zinc, VSNL, Moden Bakery. UPA could have done much better had the PMs post were not to have got undermined. It was clearly a lost decade as far as the reforms are concerned.

[@AmitGupta-id9kc]

Mark my words, Nifty and sensex both will make new all time high in the next 5-7 days and will you apologise then for making mountain out of mole?😂😂😂😂

[@eudee21]

It's a pity that nobody asked her about the Hindenberg report and subsequent investigation by SEBI.

[@Xmukherjee]

It is not just the market. It is the individual stocks you buy. Go with the fundamentals. From the comments I see below, they think, stock market is a Casino. Having said that, you can make money on 'momentum trading'.

[@kamaal2kamaal]

There is no pre election rally in market, but on contrary owing to low turnout and some prive exit poll indcated the BJP is not going to get the clear majority. It was the time when market nose diving and ViX shooting up.

[@flamos44]

It’s not India elections jeez the issue is volatility I. Ukraine Red Sea sinking is consumer bad economic data etc that’s real cause

[@nitinkapoor4752]

Nothing is worrying the market than what any major event always does…the markets exist at an equilibrium where the up and down forces match watch other. Nifty is less than 3-4% below it ALL TIME HIGH and that too after having had a great run in last 24 months. My prediction is that Modi will win a spectacular and unprecedented mandate and Nifty would still fall a bit(stabilise to a new base not very low from its current all time High) …and then over next 24 months scale new heights.

[@skkaushik7326]

Now that we are talking about it, I'll tell you what the problem with VIX is:- It's calculated from the pricing of Options and Futures! This calculation works pretty well in matured markets since the assumption is that options markets are as near-perfect markets as possible. In India, you sell your used chappal with a promise that your profits in F&O market will increase!! Here, how do you expect options price to reflect the correct price?? But SEBI is baby!! Everyone is copying the West and relaxing about it!!

[@abrupanamrab8540]

No one is talking that " Modi will rule India more than Nehru tenure " if Ramlala wish .

[@sreenathgopinathan4002]

India became a republic on 26 January 1950 . Before that , she was a dominion of British empire and Nehru , the Prime minister , was under the constitutional monarch, King George VI (Albert Frederick Arthur George; 14 December 1895 - 6 February 1952) , who was the King of the United Kingdom and the Dominions of the British Commonwealth from 11 December 1936 until his death in 1952. Technically speaking, Nehru was PM of republic of India for 14 years and 5 months . If Modi remains PM till 2029, that is definitely longer than the tenure of Prime Minister Nehru

[@fiantop8]

Why are you not covering about "news click" ?

[@scientifixx]

bhai views kamm hore hai

[@pratiush1000]

SG should stop commenting about financial markets and politics. He is wrong at so many levels. Assuming that most of the market investors are BJP voters is so erroneous!

[@cyk2668]

And what makes you think that you are qualified to comment?

[@pratiush1000]

@@cyk2668 Unlike him, I deal in share market.

[@RajDhana586]

I liked the final tweet by Hedge fund manager than the whole video! Nothing analytical is presented in this video apart from comparing past and current vix.

[@kannak7870]

My only prayer is to get the leverage back on Futures and Cash, so that retail traders can make some money. IT is very sad, that all of us are pushed into trading the Options which is a devil only a very few understands and WHICH IS ACTUALLY A HEDGING INSTRUMENT NOT A TRADING ONE. Sad sad sad... I lost lot of oney trading Options and I cant imagine how many lost how much in options.

[@skkaushik7326]

But, do you really think that those having the power to move the markets, will get assuaged by mere statements of these three ministers??

[@Xmukherjee]

Shekhar Gupta jee: Please stop using words like "Sleeping Partners" . Call it "Silent Partner" or something else.

[@AshwaniKumarIITP]

Big fan Shekhar Ji, please continue the good work !

[@kamaal2kamaal]

Had the FII is of the opinion that this time also BJP will come in power, they would not have become huge sellers. And to counter this HM has to come to support the sentiments

[@saviph]

Dear ‘Shaik’ Guptha, that’s very audacious of you, stepping in to field of markets..as you said not your expertise! ..and, yet, you tried to find clues to fit your wish & dream ( of Modi loss) in it.. don’t stress yourself so hard, and add more clutter,especially at this age, meditate and prepare yourself to face the reality of storm on June 4th .. good luck

[@head_scratch]

In the meantime, Modiji is turning blank on his bigotry, going by the latest interviews. Better take notice before insulting people with your nomenclature skills!

[@ramiahgopalkrishna2024]

Investors have vested interest in not voting for Congress is very correct, fact is a very tiny %of the indian electorate invest in the stock market and they're worried about the present and not about 2047.

[@knowall5792]

The market has already recovered.

[@nirjharrajawat2222]

Good watch ⌚️ Shekhar ji, health is important.

[@va8085]

BJP alone is getting 305-325 seats conservatively. NDA at 365+ Rest of the noise is propaganda.

[@sleepingduty2987]

find the difference between noise and propaganda, idiot.

[@ppg9999]

Bjp will get 450

[@head_scratch]

This is also propaganda, set by Modi himself & amplified by noisy channels. If we trust ECI and voters we should wait for counting day

[@BaljeetSingh-0718]

​@@head_scratch When we write an exam we always expect a particular Benchmark, just after we have wrote the exam we already know how much we'll score. So its very much okay to have a number in my your mind.

[@user-qd2ho7lp2h]

I bought 2000 SBI in 2014...@ nearly 1200...more or less ...it bottomed out to nearly 1000...and then came Modi victory....boom...boom.sbi went to 3000 and split 10:...I still have them...same story repeating...😂😂😂

[@vaidyasethuraman452]

Let us not worry about markets and give gyan, they are the result and not precesses under our control. And fickle by nature.

[@AmitGupta-id9kc]

Today Indian Stock markets made a new all time high😂😂😂. I told you within 5-7 days...

[@naruto5437]

siharaman eloquent

[@AmitGupta-id9kc]

Rising VIX is not at all concern. Large investors hedge big events and buy put options hence VIX rises. Moreover, option sellers wants to make money off this event . Large players already know the result through their surveys that BJP is winning.

[@Sk-cr2bl]

Even if my money loss , I would support BJP-RSS....Jay shree Ram 🙏🙏🙏

[@user-my5qp1nm2d]

You will not loose money in Indian markets.

[@sukreth9149]

I'm a BJP supporter... But when I say BJP is coming back , it's not because of my political leaning,but because of my understanding. Of course there is distress, unemployment ,agrarian crisis, and increasing household inflation. But people don't think voting for the opposition alliance is answer their problems. BJP expecting 400 is too much, but I don't see any reasonable dip from its present tally. For markets, it's a buying opportunity. Especially PSUs. Canara Bank,Union Bank, Midhani, PARAS, GAIL, etc. 2003 result was a fluke. An exception can't be the norm.BJP has lead over Congress is straight fight seats by such huge margins, it need huge huge anti incumbency for people are forced to vote the other side. I don't see any such sentiment. Nirmala Sitharaman is a lady par excellence.

[@adityaadi4435]

Shekhar explaining why a congress win will cause a blood bath im share market. Or investors made more money under bjp rule. He needs to check congress period share market returned in last 40 years.

[@gouravdamor8001]

Sir again very good episode of CTC. but one more thing, what do you think who'll form the govt. INDIA or BJP ? Mtlb kuch to socha hi hoga aapne ! And is Modi really going to take more than 400 seats ? I don't think so , what's your point of view?

[@vherlekar]

Dear SG, PLEASE tell us why the husband of the FM is squaking around so sure of "Modi losing" when his wife is saying the opposite...!?? "Volatility" begins at home!! 😁

[@sourabhbhattacharya3411]

No crash is coming...QE baba ki jai

[@NishV-xm2xx]

Typical problem with some people here: - don’t care about abrogation of 370 (only Modi could do it) - don’t care about 5th largest economy (only Modi could do it) - don’t care about end of triple talaq (only Modi could do it) - don’t care about Digital India (only Modi could do it), - don’t care about stable country unlike the 90s that tanked India on the world space (again, only Modi could do it) Maybe some people want the same 50-60 years of Congress government that made India poorer. Shameful.

[@azadsingh9887]

Market rally has peaked when a political journalist starts covering markets

[@vilsanr9795]

Looks like BJP is worried. They deployed Amit shah, Nirmala mam and JS and even SG now😂. They are really worried 😂😂😂

[@ravishingravi]

Looks like you are clueless.

[@basavarajpattanashetty2792]

Is the next coming govt going to.the super rich and squeeze the money that the govt let them earn in last 20 years

[@vijendramohnot348]

HIgh time COngress need to change its Top leaders. Since a decade they are regularly failing and just inject posion against Modi.

[@AmitGupta-id9kc]

In 2014, election results came on 16th may but stock markets started rising since feb why? Large players did their surveys and found that BJP is winning the elections.😂😂😂

[@mg.f.9023]

Russia's amassing $1 billion worth of Indian rupees each month that it's struggling to use.

[@sankalp6872]

That's Russia's problem, Abdul. You worry about your declining Pakistani Rupee.

[@pedababu5075]

@@sankalp6872 He is actually Abbas, not Abdul 🙂

[@family_guy_desi]

In ten years first time I have seen bjp and its supporters so defensive

[@ravishankar4978]

It is only natural after 10 years in office. Good for democracy

[@sureshtharakan535]

Iftrumpcomestopowertherewillbereciprokalsanctionsagainstallcountriestheworstisyettocomeanditcouldbenuclear

[@pankajkapoor1216]

Sorry i dont agree with your analysis...you should compare S&P and other European markets which has stellar returns during this period including China. Please do not make comparison in isolation