3 things always happen before a stock market crash, bear market, and recession

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TheTechnicalTraders

TheTechnicalTraders

11 күн бұрын

These three things have just happened in the economy, and I am preparing for difficult times to survive a stock market crash, multi-year bear market, and recession.
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#stockmarket #economy #finance #investing #stocks #etf #assetrevesting #tradesignals #gold #silverprice #swingtrading #chrisvermeulen

Пікірлер: 158
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 13 сағат бұрын
If You Like My Analysis Here Get My Newsletter Free: thetechnicaltraders.com/newsletter/
@RickWatson-xu6gw
@RickWatson-xu6gw 3 күн бұрын
We're warned of a stock market crash, yet also advised on how to invest in it. Oxymoron or paradox? I'm considering investing over $300K but am unsure about risk mitigation strategies.
@A_francis
@A_francis 3 күн бұрын
Just buy Gold and protect your assets, the stock market is a rollercoaster.
@benitabussell5053
@benitabussell5053 3 күн бұрын
The market is not necessarily a rollercoaster if you know your way around the market, there are various opportunities in the present market to accrue good profit, If you are not too savvy with the market, just buy and hold on strong companies with good earnings, or consult with advisors on ETFs and actively managed funds.
@RickWatson-xu6gw
@RickWatson-xu6gw 3 күн бұрын
Great gains there! mind sharing details of your advisor pleas? i've started gaining more cash flow with my employment and looking at putting money into stocks and alternative assets that can help build wealth over time
@benitabussell5053
@benitabussell5053 3 күн бұрын
*Sharon Lynne Hart* is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find her webpage and necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@brocklee4911
@brocklee4911 9 күн бұрын
I always love listening to your analysis. Thanks!
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 9 күн бұрын
Awesome!
@hart-coded
@hart-coded 8 күн бұрын
this was great Chris appreciate the possible target on both the up and down of gold. and insight on the economy situation
@bpolat
@bpolat 9 күн бұрын
Thank you Chris.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 9 күн бұрын
Very welcome
@joeblow7407
@joeblow7407 7 күн бұрын
Thanks for what? He's clueless!
@JustPhil-yw6bt
@JustPhil-yw6bt 9 күн бұрын
Thanks Chris!
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
No worries!
@kennewhouse3806
@kennewhouse3806 9 күн бұрын
Love your analysis Chris !
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
Thanks!
@turtle1691
@turtle1691 8 күн бұрын
Great analysis Chris, Thank you
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Welcome! Please subscribe our channel for such latest update. rb.gy/riea4i
@xeyco4434
@xeyco4434 9 күн бұрын
Sorry but you are wrong about the russel 2k it is going to spike up to around 2325-2450 and the reason is that the big money pits like Nvidia and Apple are going to collaps. The money is flowing into small caps while we have correction of ~15% in the S&P and Nasdaq right befor the last spike up in these markets that brings them up even more. This market uptrend is far from over and yes it will end in a crash but not now.
@MiloBoz
@MiloBoz 9 күн бұрын
I dont think so. If s and p crashes the russel is going to go with it. That being said, if s and p hits 2500 and goes sideways I expect a small cap rally along the lines of what you mentioned.
@hassann.mugisha6084
@hassann.mugisha6084 9 күн бұрын
It won't end . It certainly will go on forever
@yodurk21
@yodurk21 9 күн бұрын
I literally can't ever recall seeing Russell thrive while MegaCaps are weak. Russell sometimes can lead to the upside or fall a bit less to the downside, though.
@ebonkendrick2605
@ebonkendrick2605 8 күн бұрын
Small caps lead the recovery I think so I will be a good buy near the bottom
@ridzuanali1919
@ridzuanali1919 8 күн бұрын
Thank you, CV.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Very welcome! Please subscribe our channel for such latest update. rb.gy/riea4i
@Earth67Mars48
@Earth67Mars48 6 күн бұрын
You're bearish, but still in the market. What is your indicator to exit long positions?
@Marc-A.
@Marc-A. 9 күн бұрын
Great work! Thank you
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Welcome!
@Poochie1
@Poochie1 8 күн бұрын
Have you checked on the Hindenburg Omen for the Nasdaq?
@ciarancoyne9104
@ciarancoyne9104 7 күн бұрын
Thanks a mill 🙏🏻
@sonarvord
@sonarvord 7 күн бұрын
Thank you Chris. One comment. Commenters on bonds use the term so loosely. For me, now is a good time for short duration TBills. And when the time is right, then watch for bond funds to rise in price. So bonds vs bond funds is a delineation I always like to hear distinguished in commentary. Thanks.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 6 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing!
@bharatshahane5415
@bharatshahane5415 8 күн бұрын
Double top? Time to stand near the exit would you say? You are really very good with your analysis and projections, I admire your skills. A suggestion, if I may: The Indian stock market (NSE and BSE India) are extremely vibrant. If you start covering the Nifty or select stocks on the NSE, you will likely find a tremendous following and increase in your subscriber base. And yes, India has gold bugs galore! The best to you!
@Bryan-yq9pz
@Bryan-yq9pz 6 күн бұрын
Chris your calm soothing voice makes the potential coming crash not sound so bad, thanks.
@mikewood8695
@mikewood8695 6 күн бұрын
it's going to be great if you start to take profits now and get ready to short - I'm already starting to short - won't be long before Nvidia turns down - perhaps today or Friday tomorrow - quad witching
@Lauvinsh
@Lauvinsh 8 күн бұрын
Thank you Chris. I love that you have your own opinion and analysis technique!
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
I appreciate that!
@mjbucar
@mjbucar 8 күн бұрын
An excellent video - thank you.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it! Please subscribe our channel for such latest update - rb.gy/riea4i
@user-ik4oc9ub8q
@user-ik4oc9ub8q 9 күн бұрын
Thank you
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
You're welcome
@carmendavid9046
@carmendavid9046 8 күн бұрын
Awesome video thanks so much Chris !
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
My pleasure!
@michaels7258
@michaels7258 8 күн бұрын
No doubt the stock market is topping but how do you see this impacting Bitcoin? Given the halving, it seems a decoupling would have to occur?
@anthonys7534
@anthonys7534 7 күн бұрын
It’s gonna be huge, the hugest of all crashes. We’re gonna lose big. Very Bigly!! It’s going to be bad. Very bad.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
I agree, but we can't fix all the things out of whack without pain, and a financial cleanse... you either lose your shirt, avoid it, or profit from it... comes down to your mindset and strategies in place.
@anthonys7534
@anthonys7534 7 күн бұрын
@@TheTechnicalTraders Very True, we just ride out the storm like the others!
@drooyrich1279
@drooyrich1279 7 күн бұрын
Chris, if we go into a recessione by end of 2024 the FED would cut rates .. that would boost the market tò new highs .. would this be the blow off top ??
@user-sx3jd5hu4i
@user-sx3jd5hu4i 7 күн бұрын
Hi Chris, Thanks for the info. Do you really believe that the NDX can continue higher for another 3-4 months? The MAG 7 seems to be the only stocks lifting the S&P and NASDAQ.
@goodbodha
@goodbodha 2 күн бұрын
Have you looked at the Japanese banks and the carry trade? I saw one of their banks is exiting the carry trade. It looks like a lot of them are going to exit. A lot of assets involved and it looks like they will be dumping it at a discount. I could see this being the catalyst for central banks to start acting in a big way.
@arthurschuler8906
@arthurschuler8906 8 күн бұрын
Great stuff
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Thank you so much! Please subscribe our channel for such latest update. rb.gy/riea4i
@bharatshahane5415
@bharatshahane5415 9 күн бұрын
Thank you! What about the Transport Sector? At one time I recall you did rely a lot on this indicator to get an idea of how the economy was doing. What does it say?
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Yes it can be a good indicator of economic strength/weakness for sure! Looks like a double top..
@martinwillinick6419
@martinwillinick6419 7 күн бұрын
Would be interested in hearing your reasoning for a 10 year Gold bull market.
@thatguyinachair5912
@thatguyinachair5912 8 күн бұрын
Another solid analysis. My view is, and it may be contrary to what you're seeing, but sentiment is generally bearish (I'm seeing little market-top "euphoria"). I'm of the view that markets could a fair bit higher, before a major correction. Are you sensing the same bearishness?
@ILLUMINATOR49
@ILLUMINATOR49 6 күн бұрын
Chris your gift is imparting knowledge to the unwashed 🖖🙏
@indianajones3315
@indianajones3315 3 күн бұрын
And to the unmoneyed.
@luisricardominghetti5714
@luisricardominghetti5714 8 күн бұрын
Amazing content. Thank you so much🙏🙏🙏🙏
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
Glad you liked it!
@yodurk21
@yodurk21 9 күн бұрын
Great analysis. So, is there ever a time when Large Caps and esp Tech/QQQ leads on the downside?
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
Yes, but not until late in the bear market cycle when the masses who all hold those, all start to panic near the bottom and bail on their positions because they cant take it anymore..
@kentnightingale1073
@kentnightingale1073 8 күн бұрын
Hi Chris, I'm curious why mining stocks would do well if gold pulls back. Thanks for your thorough analysis!
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
Miners are likely to get hit hard with gold and the market in due time...
@CoreyJKeating
@CoreyJKeating 7 күн бұрын
I think he meant gold will have a big pull back. Once gold explodes, the miners will have pulled back too. The miners will be cheap (penny stocks), and then see huge gains as gold rockets up.
@waqidj
@waqidj 7 күн бұрын
Chris is one of the best out there. Very smart and accurate with probabilities I’m with yah bro!!
@joeblow7407
@joeblow7407 7 күн бұрын
Accept he's always WRONG! Are you related?????
@OspreyVision
@OspreyVision 7 күн бұрын
Thank you! Great video 📹 👍 New subscriber 😃
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
Awesome, thank you!
@naturalbornvitality1561
@naturalbornvitality1561 9 күн бұрын
Thank you Chris. Do you think AI bubble will fall as sharply as the rest of the market when the elevator goes down?
@eh7599
@eh7599 3 күн бұрын
Charting the past does not predict the future. Wise up
@drooyrich1279
@drooyrich1279 7 күн бұрын
Some good analysts talk about a Blow off top before we go into recession in 2025 .. any thoughts ?
@Gabber44906
@Gabber44906 7 күн бұрын
How do people invest with this?
@TimC-tm5gb
@TimC-tm5gb 7 күн бұрын
You are the man Chris!
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 6 күн бұрын
Thank you!
@theinflationsituation8870
@theinflationsituation8870 7 күн бұрын
You the man, Chris! Been watching you since David Linn's days at Kitcko... 👍
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
Thank you, glad you like my analysis!
@annasad
@annasad 20 сағат бұрын
And also losing money ??
@Jim_Wilde
@Jim_Wilde 2 күн бұрын
I agree with you sooner or later S&P500 will cost $500 because nothing inside except printed money.
@kylelsl
@kylelsl 8 күн бұрын
if this is a possible case, strange that Druckenmiller bought into IWM 🤔
@klinikat5313
@klinikat5313 9 күн бұрын
Best Tech. Analysis 👍 Big Picture is so important. Still waiting Gold to reach 2650/2750 this year, so Silver will explode to 36. Bought some mining stocks for trading this latest uptrend before prec. metals go down with the SPX once it starts with the correction...
@joeblow7407
@joeblow7407 7 күн бұрын
Last year he said the market was going down 40%. ENOUGH!
@klinikat5313
@klinikat5313 7 күн бұрын
@@joeblow7407 wait a little bit longer ...nobody knows exact date, as Gold knows something comin'.....be prepared. Equal weighted SPX500 is not that good. AI bubble will burst. Too optimistic visions. Just my5cents.
@gurrrrlish
@gurrrrlish 8 күн бұрын
since you are riding the market up to make money -- then why not share the analysis that prompts you to invest & not doom predictions... ?
@annihilationHaven
@annihilationHaven 7 күн бұрын
We can't really talk about the stock market going down anymore like we used to. There are so many different types of assets out there now, to protect against downturns, that we only have one problem - rampant inflation. No matter how well you do in the stock market, you will only make the inflation problem worse when you go out and buy stuff. The one thing you can do is move to a place with better purchasing power, or become a productive person and build a financial firewall to neutralize the effect of central bank induced inflation.
@annasad
@annasad 19 сағат бұрын
Amazingly put together. Being productive is extremely challenging as large organisations almost impossible to compete with….
@personalfreedom2700
@personalfreedom2700 8 күн бұрын
I really haven’t seen any market euphoria yet at all in general society, maybe a small active and loudmouth part of the market has been euphoric but historically this is not a bubble at all. Also money printing will continue strongly into world election cycles next 12 months. I think shorting these markets is very dangerous.
@melgibson2233
@melgibson2233 7 күн бұрын
fellow traveler
@personalfreedom2700
@personalfreedom2700 7 күн бұрын
@@melgibson2233 yes and its always fun to watch people convince themselves of things so assuredly based purely on narratives they tell themselves and others.
@ANtr431
@ANtr431 5 күн бұрын
Hey Chris, dont you think the Fed will cut rates starting in Sept?
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 5 күн бұрын
I dont, but I really do not care, it does not change any of my analysis or trades/positions.
@userjoe4321
@userjoe4321 8 күн бұрын
When the stock market rolls over many more people will put some of their money into the safe haven asset - gold. This is why gold should perform better during a market downturn.
@jaywhoisit4863
@jaywhoisit4863 8 күн бұрын
Can you mention a few miners that we can put on our watchlist? Barrick has performed dismally lately and I just don’t understand that price action.
@animalsarebeautifulpeople3094
@animalsarebeautifulpeople3094 8 күн бұрын
Perhaps that means it's time to buy Barrick....
@Wolf9of9Odin
@Wolf9of9Odin 3 күн бұрын
@@animalsarebeautifulpeople3094 "My favorite people are animals" --- me Yes, buy Barrick, BTG, Equinox, GROY. All good deals right now.
@Coinfox
@Coinfox 6 күн бұрын
New here. Great video! ❤
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 6 күн бұрын
Thanks for coming.
@dubhsith5993
@dubhsith5993 9 күн бұрын
On your cycle chart, you call out Utilities in the market down cycle. Do you have a chart of how Utilities perform at all these stages? Because Utilities have slowed recently.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 9 күн бұрын
ya, they have taken a pause but are performing very well overall. just a pause at this point.
@darrensymes6902
@darrensymes6902 9 күн бұрын
I like to see the future 🎉 🔮 for my investments
@gort3969
@gort3969 8 күн бұрын
I like it
@ImRickSanchez
@ImRickSanchez 5 күн бұрын
Bonds broke their downtrend, retested, and bounced higher. The rally in bonds has started and is telling us that we are late stage also. I agree with your timeframes on stocks and metals and the bond market is confirming it. When they cut rates bonds will spike up and that will start the real rally in metals for the next few months.
@PolarBearMan33
@PolarBearMan33 7 күн бұрын
The great video brother I generally agree with you but I don't believe that we are going to get a blow off top this time and I believe somebody had shared it on the internet where Jerome Powell on a hot mic said no blow off top this time
@lukehealy710
@lukehealy710 7 күн бұрын
Great video as always Chris. Question for you, why will gold miners pop when the gold price drops?
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
That is not what I meant to say if that is what I said. Both gold and miners will go down together during Stage 4 correction/bear market.
@lukehealy710
@lukehealy710 7 күн бұрын
@@TheTechnicalTraders Ah great, thanks for clarifying!!
@krailertf
@krailertf 2 күн бұрын
Since you covered gold, I wish you would cover silver, too.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 2 күн бұрын
they are the same trade, just one more volatile than the other.
@user-xd9xy5yl9l
@user-xd9xy5yl9l 7 күн бұрын
The Russell 2000 is on a straight line uptrend (6:34) and until this uptrend breaks, we are fine! No point crying Wolf all the time. Gold going to 1800 isn't bad. So I suppose buy Gold no matter what?
@williampeck4482
@williampeck4482 8 күн бұрын
I miss the service
@arthurv4401
@arthurv4401 6 күн бұрын
We don’t get the banana zone?
@andrewmorris2820
@andrewmorris2820 2 күн бұрын
The rally everyone hates. I think there is still some upside as everyone tries to time the "TOP".
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 2 күн бұрын
I agree!
@dimasdimas4206
@dimasdimas4206 9 күн бұрын
Chris amazing work. a.How do you know IWM will not double top as QQQ and SPY did? They also had that stage 3 complacency but broke out eventually. b. And if it were the stage 3 in IWM you mention pretty close to revert, but can this collapse be in 2025 and not this year?
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 9 күн бұрын
could be anytime... 2025 yes.. no try to pick a top, just follow and trade the market trends.
@dimasdimas4206
@dimasdimas4206 8 күн бұрын
@@TheTechnicalTraders ​ @TheTechnicalTraders Yes, I follow you completely, but phrases like "pretty close" I can assure you drive many newcomers to short with inverse etfs thinking they can hold. Their trader psychology is not ready to filter those emphatic words. Just a constructive thought. I am your fan, no doubt.
@annasad
@annasad 19 сағат бұрын
@@dimasdimas4206appreciate you understanding and telling this to Chris. I followed him and made this mistake when spy was close to 4200 and suffered heavy losses
@myfavvdeo
@myfavvdeo 7 күн бұрын
Hey Chris, At the moment, how much % of your investable amount you hold in cash ? I'm at the moment adding to my cash position week after week, but wanted to see if it's a safe strategy 😃
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 7 күн бұрын
We are 50% cash after hitting our targets on SPY and QQQ last week. Our cash position is in BIL so we earn monthly income/dividends, which is a great position also!
@myfavvdeo
@myfavvdeo 7 күн бұрын
@@TheTechnicalTraders Thank for the suggestion 👌👍
@jonathantan3690
@jonathantan3690 8 күн бұрын
Thank you Chris. You are awesome and great analysis.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 8 күн бұрын
Glad you think so!
@sauljimenez6738
@sauljimenez6738 3 күн бұрын
Stock market is coming down!!!! It's forming a clear head and shoulders! Go on the monthly time frame and take of candles
@1232bluejays
@1232bluejays 4 күн бұрын
how long have you been saying the top is near? A clock is right twice a day and nobody can call tops or bottoms
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 4 күн бұрын
Great Question!! A long time, a year or two based on big picture analysis, but remember we dont trade/invest in what we think is going to happen, we trade the trends. My investing signals are up over 35% in SPY since last year, and my asset revesting signals keeps pushing our accounts to new all-time highs every month almost... we trade the trends, not opinions...
@1232bluejays
@1232bluejays 3 күн бұрын
@@TheTechnicalTraders If you bought and held for that last year you would be up about 27% without any trading commissions. A lot less work and trading for almost the same return as 35%
@1232bluejays
@1232bluejays 3 күн бұрын
a;lso with buy and hold you do not disrupt dividends which are not even included in that 27% gain
@annasad
@annasad 19 сағат бұрын
@@TheTechnicalTraders then why not to add to all those videos that you are adding all the way up than calling for recessions and showing the Top of your chart each time, is it not misleading for your audience ?
@obijuan3004
@obijuan3004 5 күн бұрын
IMO, nVidia may have some pull backs, as people take profits or get scared, and maybe nVidia production cannot meet demand. However, IMO, nVidia has not reached market saturation, which might take 2 years. We will see.
@annasad
@annasad 19 сағат бұрын
Not even at this valuations?? They sell to meta , Microsoft and Google which are insanely profitable and they will pass this to end consumer no doubt ….
@Ghost_Bear_Trader
@Ghost_Bear_Trader 7 күн бұрын
BTFD
@willeke8855
@willeke8855 8 күн бұрын
🤔Last week you said you still expect one big bullrun. I hope the crypto and stockmarket is not that volatile as your opinion..🤨
@AH-gt4eq
@AH-gt4eq 5 күн бұрын
Apple Ai will crush it. Yep it will crush!
@valuetainer3437
@valuetainer3437 7 күн бұрын
it's not crowded yet this market has a lot of steam melt-up continues
@sauljimenez6738
@sauljimenez6738 3 күн бұрын
My man, Gold is about to go down!!! Lol
@OspreyVision
@OspreyVision 8 күн бұрын
But not Tom Lee. He thinks $IWM will rally.....
@seanobrien7751
@seanobrien7751 8 күн бұрын
SPY going to $600 imo then look out below!
@MegaHarshMehta
@MegaHarshMehta 8 күн бұрын
Your analysis is unique.. but u hv been calling for a crash since probably 2022 .. if i can recollect from your interview on kitco with david lin and Michelle makori ..
@geemboombaa
@geemboombaa 6 күн бұрын
This is purely hypothetical speculation. Just drawing lines doesn’t mean a thing
@sidm4361
@sidm4361 9 күн бұрын
Most accurate TA on KZbin, Perfect!
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 9 күн бұрын
Glad you think so!
@nadjadavidson411
@nadjadavidson411 8 күн бұрын
It’s nice to see videos without hype.
@veitastic6866
@veitastic6866 8 күн бұрын
Let's see if Chris gets his Crash, already
@attitude928
@attitude928 7 күн бұрын
It's not "This data"....it's "These Data."
@jimhestermanphotography
@jimhestermanphotography 6 күн бұрын
Play the chart in front of you. Forget about predicting the big collapse. It’s a waste of time and money potentially.
@TheTechnicalTraders
@TheTechnicalTraders 6 күн бұрын
That is exactly what we do hence our accounts keep reaching new all-time highs every month :) But others need to know what could be coming to be MENTALLY prepared :)
@jimhestermanphotography
@jimhestermanphotography 6 күн бұрын
Your drawings look like doom and gloom bear porn. While that could happen… many have stayed in cash in fear that something like this would be right around the corner and they’ve missed the rally and possibly worse they’ve been trying to short. There are problems under the surface. There always have been. But the market is going to do what it wants and a majority of the time that’s going to up. It’s great you’ve made money regardless of your bearish outlook but others you’re influencing maybe aren’t and you might be in part somewhat responsible.
@geemboombaa
@geemboombaa 6 күн бұрын
For how long have u been calling the top. Be honest
@DevinSmith1486
@DevinSmith1486 8 күн бұрын
I hope we top soon, my port is hurting by trying to play a fundamental P/E mean reverison
@kamdianatkhah843
@kamdianatkhah843 8 күн бұрын
I think NVIDIA has topped
@justinuwaidia5873
@justinuwaidia5873 9 күн бұрын
terrible analysis
@tomek6106
@tomek6106 8 күн бұрын
what?
@Broooooooo1027
@Broooooooo1027 6 күн бұрын
You know this guy is regarded rigth
@Fried52
@Fried52 3 күн бұрын
S&P 500 cash target by year end 6118.34 - 6237.28
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