This graph will predict the next Superbowl Champion

[@coralcarl3074]

Of course it's the queefs again 💀

[@KMilly120]

Lmaooo that queefs is just great

[@PatriotsAndTurtles]

Kansas Swifty Refs

[@BozBoy101]

kanswift city

[@Achillobator85]

@PatriotsAndTurtles Kansas Swifty Cheats

[@rcschmidt668]

Please, someone save us from them!

[@skittybug6937]

Two things worth noting: The Eagles being the only NFC team in that box and the team to actually make it out of the NFC gives this graph _huge_ credence. It's time for me to find a different sport because I don't see anything changing for the next decade.

[@kazumakiryu3397]

Come watch AFL go pies

[@littleferrhis]

This honestly makes a bunch of sense now. The Chiefs can afford to underpay because they win super bowls, and they win Super Bowls because they underpay.

[@lj9970]

solid

[@KMilly120]

Lol same I would suggest college football but....

[@RogerGoodeII]

If you can’t handle a specific team winning you aren’t a fan of the sport. The games are played for a reason :)

[@theapologist6717]

Peyton Manning was notoriously outspoken against rookie hazing for a very similar reason to this. He identified that most SB teams get critical production from their rookies (I.e. a substantial influx of production from players getting paid nothing)

[@KMilly120]

Exactly. Payton was a wise man!

[@troubledsnail]

Thought this account had 250k because of how good this vid was. Keep it up (i hope youre wrong this year tho)

[@KMilly120]

I hope I am too

[@lightlingzooma-69]

@@KMilly120I hope not HBTC

[@hatch0789]

Agreed, keep grinding man. You’re very well-produced and you should be able to get there

[@tristenhepp8464]

High quality video man. Was on my recommended page this morning with only a hundred views, KZbin wants this to blow up

[@KMilly120]

Thank you!

[@nahvae]

Went thru whole vid thinking you got hella subs already. Amazing quality man! Keep it up

[@KMilly120]

thank you I appreciate this!

[@THE_Lee_Nash]

The fact that all four of these teams made their respective conference championships means this formula works

[@Farting-2]

The Ravens didn't, and the video came out after the conference championship games were determined.

[@caeruleumgd34]

@@Farting-2close enough lol. Hypothetically if the Ravens were in the NFC, they would probably have made it to the conference championship.

[@kazumakiryu3397]

@@Farting-2doesn’t matter that the video came out after that since the data was created beforehand

[@Farting-2]

@@kazumakiryu3397 It does matter though. Given how many different analyses and statistics are available for NFL football, it's very easy to start with a result (in this case, knowing the 4 teams that made it to the conference championship games) and then cherry-pick some data that "predicted" that outcome. You could probably find / create a metric where almost any combination of 4 teams would be at or near the top of the league. 99% of them would suggest some rando mix of teams should be in the final four, and you throw all of those up, so you don't make videos about those. Instead you focus on the 1% that "got it right" and pretend like you stumbled onto something. Yes, he did some backtesting to demonstrate that it has a history of not being terrible at predicting the winners, but come on, there are only 2 inputs into this calculation and one of them is "they must have won a lot of games during the regular season." That's definitely begging the question.

[@kazumakiryu3397]

@ I see what your saying but he did just have a graph which turned out to be true regardless of when the data is shown to us the data includes salary cap and win stats rewatch the video you sook

[@charliesierra04]

this channel is about to go through the roof. keep it up dude

[@KMilly120]

Thank you bro!

[@E_johnson22]

Genuinely I have no idea how this channel is more popular. These videos are fire

[@KMilly120]

Thank you!

[@anewfrog4508]

Bro this video and your channel is insanely high quality. Absolutely love the content! Keep it up!

[@KMilly120]

Thank you. That frog picture is was better though!!!!!

[@BENgalFan1369]

The ending sent me great vid man

[@KMilly120]

Lol thank you glad you like it

[@GoatedDOOM1]

This aged really well

[@KMilly120]

Like McDonalds cheeseburgers

[@Stuck_in_Space]

I loved and hated this video at the same time 😭 Keep it up tho this is some really high quality work

[@KMilly120]

Thank you! Same :(

[@timgehrsitz3267]

So, so, so much respect for doing the full spongebob clip at the end there. Also love that this isn't just a ripoff of another style, it's original and authentic. Good work

[@KMilly120]

Lol thank you bro

[@kenslicesroyal3437]

unbridled levels of hating in this video, beautiful work😭

[@KMilly120]

Lol my bad. It just kinda came out

[@rcschmidt668]

Honestly saying what we are feeling. Please, KC, go away…

[@goddog9113]

Check your math at 6:30. I should be 3/4

[@tommywenis]

Came here to say

[@KMilly120]

definitely correct a little mess up lol

[@christopherpiacentini1830]

Nice work I think you are on the right track. This is survivor bias tho because the worst teams like the Titans and Browns were also in that “magic zone” for spending. If they were factored in, it would show that spending more or less money doesn’t equal more production or wins. So why do some teams get more production per dollar spent? Well, although the Chiefs might have a lower cap spend, they actually spent the most on their active roster because they had less players on reserves. (Injuries, suspensions, etc) In fact, if you look at the teams that spent the most on reserves, you will see only 1 playoff team in the top 16 and that was the Lions. Conversely, 13 of the 16 bottom teams in reserve spending made the playoffs this year. This is a consistent trend year over year and shows the teams that usually win are the teams that are healthiest and they get more production from their players simply by them being available. In the 2010-2011 season, the Chargers spent 2nd most in reserve money. Next year they were 8th. That’s why they lost, not because of a “magic money zone” but because their high paid players got hurt and didn’t play. (Sorry for the essay lol it’s an interesting topic)

[@KMilly120]

I definitely appreciate this insight. Love when people do more research into the topic and bring correcting information. Thank you for this! please come back and comment again and the analysis if you find future videos interesting!

[@hanschristopherson8056]

Considering we got philly and kc in the sb and 3/4 teams made the championship pretty good prediction

[@EthanCole2009]

Underrated channel.

[@KMilly120]

I appreciate this.

[@TheCanucky217]

I'm sub number 300! This video is amazing! Good stuff!

[@KMilly120]

BIG 300!

[@owendeyoung6917]

Keep it up my dude, your going to go far 🎉

[@KMilly120]

Thank you i appreciate the encouragement!

[@JoneyBalogni]

How does bro only have 428 subs? 🔥 vid bro keep it up

[@KMilly120]

Now 540 we on the way up lol

[@ThomasFilmsVideos]

This is an incredible video and I don’t understand how you only have 600 subs

[@KMilly120]

thank you man I appreciate it!

[@lemuel7734]

Give this guy more views. Damn, he makes some good content

[@KMilly120]

Lol thank you gang

[@tek9764]

hope this blows up bro this is amazing. Secret base gotta hire you this was too fire 🙏🏿

[@KMilly120]

lmaoo thank you!

[@RogerGoodeII]

This was a great video :)

[@nicksoria9299]

Simple, intuitive, well-explained. Fantastic video. I bet the value of the unpaid producer is exactly what all these wage-cutting businesses are gunning for!

[@KMilly120]

Thank you gang!

[@zehous]

Keep up the good work bro, the algorithm found us so im sure it’ll find more people who will love this type of content

[@KMilly120]

Thank you man I appreciate it!

[@Homurafan]

This was a great video. Excellent work!

[@KMilly120]

Thank you!

[@shrimp5033]

Really interesting, would be interested if this hold over the entire superbowl era or just the last 25 years

[@KMilly120]

Same but the data didn't go back that far to where I could make a fair assessment.

[@cadenruess943]

i may be completely wrong but this might be because if u have a bunch of guys who are yet to have their life be guaranteed and will never have to worry about money they’ll be more motivated, and teams in that green area also normally have great coaching staffs

[@KMilly120]

This is a great observation. I think you hit it right on the nose. Yeah and the coaching staffs are great as well. I wanted to include that in the video but wasn't sure if that part would bring much value since I felt most people would assume that.

[@BRBengals]

Solid video! Just wanted to comment on a small mistake that doesn't affect your choice of SB champion but it is important to correct. You said that the Chiefs have the 29th (4th lowest) salary ranking for 2024, but actually they have the 4th highest. The stat you are looking at from Spotrac is actually the CAP space (remaining money they are allowed to spend for those who don't know). The Chiefs, Ravens and Bills were 4th, 3rd and 2nd in most money spent in 2024 which is the opposite of your hypothesis. So Super Bowl winners actually tend to spend more than most of the league (or at least have less CAP space which doesn't exactly mean the same thing as spent the most money, but it's close enough). You are correct that the Chiefs use that money efficiently, per Spotrac's Best Value Player ranking, the Chiefs have 16 of the top 320 players (+6 over the average/expectation) which is better than any other team by my count. However, they do use MORE money they just know how to use it better than Carolina who spent the most money this year lol. In my opinion, this is an example of a great front office or being lucky in the draft (cheap rookie deal + great stats = high value) and not necessarily a way to predict Super Bowl wins. The Colts actually have 15 of the top 255 players according to Spotrac which is almost twice the average (+7 over expectation) and yet they missed the playoffs. Food for thought and possible future videos: there is an interesting correlation between Super Bowl appearances and QB's on their rookie deal, cheaper QB = more CAP space for better supporting cast. Also maybe you could research if there is a correlation between Super Bowl wins and age of players, injuries and/or playoff experience. I would be interested to see how those stats compare to your current 59% win chance. Overall funny vid and hope you continue to produce good content!

[@KMilly120]

I really appreciate this. You are right and I realized this after the fact. I was going to re-do the whole thing but thought the other stats help up to support the outcome. I do like those other video ideas, I will look into those and see if I can find anything interesting that is worth a video! Thanks :)

[@cor-man]

Great original content bro. Love the mix of humor and knowledge

[@KMilly120]

thank you gang!

[@riggedupgaming]

dang, I'm glad I get to be in the first 500 subscribers, this was a great video! editing and camera wise it was amazing, good job

[@KMilly120]

Thank you I appreciate this!

[@MVP_EDITZ-r4y]

To the Mighty Philadelphia Eagles, As you prepare to face the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIX in the vibrant city of New Orleans, we, the whole NFL, urge you to soar to victory! Remember the grit, the determination, and the unwavering spirit that has defined this season. Embrace the challenge that lies ahead. Unleash the power of your offense, a symphony of precision and might. Let your defense be an impenetrable fortress, thwarting every Chiefs advance. Play with the heart of champions, fueled by the passion of an entire city and the unwavering support of the entire Eagles Nation. Bring home the Lombardi Trophy! With unwavering faith, I hope this letter captures the spirit of Eagles fans and inspires the team to achieve greatness in Super Bowl LIX! 🦅🦅🦅🦅🦅

[@MVP_EDITZ-r4y]

This is coming from a Niners Fan😭😭😭

[@milk.meister.mcChonky]

​@@MVP_EDITZ-r4y😭 as an eagles fan, that was me towards you guys last year. That overtime decision absolutely killed me. Hope this year we can get it done!!

[@Ajsavage11]

Honestly? Those were the 4 contenders when all was said and done. That's wild

[@KMilly120]

Kinda crazy lol

[@thijs4452]

Such a fire vid, fantastic quality

[@KMilly120]

Appreciate it!

[@pewds_]

Great vid brother watdhed the whole thing and was very disappointed to find the end result.

[@KMilly120]

Same here....

[@bobob4328]

Good video bro keep it up!

[@KMilly120]

thank you bro!

[@CoolRexxed]

Night quality video keep It up

[@KMilly120]

thank you!

[@HenryZhoupokemon]

This kinda reminds me of supermax deals in the NBA, cuz like most supermax players are overpaid, but they’re great value contracts for players like LeBron or Steph who would go for much higher w no salary cap

[@KMilly120]

Exactly!

[@evans4084]

Amazing video, I hope for all our sake it’s wrong this year

[@KMilly120]

Me too!

[@DoorTo57]

THIS GUY HAS 750 SUBS? GET THIS MAN TO A MIL!

[@KMilly120]

Pleaseeee.... I mean thank you

[@DoorTo57]

@@KMilly120no problem lol

[@713db7]

great video keep up the good work

[@KMilly120]

thank you man!

[@nathanevans13]

its fun you can see for this year the lions were high on salary and they were favored to win the super bowl but lost there first game 🤔🤔

[@KMilly120]

Kinda interesting not gonna lie

[@kellerdorgan]

This shows how important nailing your draft is, especially in the later rounds. Like the chiefs (fuck) drafting Trey Smith in the 6th

[@isaacjohnson3503]

Oh how the algorithm is gonna love you

[@PenskeRacingDodge]

This is cool, subbed

[@KMilly120]

I appreciate that!

[@DAonYT]

Philly or METEOR

[@NamLe-jq3oq]

I'm curious if the Niners were ever in that quadrant in any of their Superbowl contending years. Maybe we should go younger and cheaper?

[@KMilly120]

Thats a great questions. I am not sure the data didn't go back far enough to support that!

[@leo.1005]

jimmy high roller for football the day is saved

[@cronoesify]

Vikings look to be insanely close to being in that box.

[@KMilly120]

They do! Maybe next year!

[@ryantuck1151]

this guy’s like if jordan love pursued math and statistics over football

[@KMilly120]

Lmao ima take that as a complement!

[@CDK472]

Good stuff. Keep it up

[@KMilly120]

thank you! I def will!

[@SeattleChief981]

The 2009 Steelers did not win the Super Bowl. The 2009 Saints won the Super Bowl that season (in Feb 2010). The 2008 Steelers went 12-4 and won the SB (in Feb 2009).

[@KMilly120]

I meant "won 2009 SB"

[@SeattleChief981]

You were talking about - and showing the chart from - the 2009 season at that part though? You even got the Steelers record correct for that season but incorrectly stated they won the Super Bowl, which they did the season before.

[@damienlynch6505]

Love the video and it will hopefully be an eagles Super Bowl win. In Australia one of the tv networks discovered a similar magic window to yours for the AFL （Australian football)and it is a team must be in the top 6 ranked offence and the top 6 ranked defence. There are 18 teams in the league. And it has correctly predicted 18 of the last 20 the winners. Because often only very few teams are in that window. Not sure if you want to quickly mock that up and see if the chiefs are out? Edit I just had a look on espn and I think if you take into account there are more teams in the nfl so the window is kind of proportionally larger, the Eagles are in it. 8th offense and 1st in defence. Chiefs are 9th defence and nowhere in offence. Go eagles?

[@KMilly120]

Go Eagles! I appreciate this comment!

[@pixelatedgaming7264]

Great Video man!

[@KMilly120]

thank you bro!

[@kiwibird6671]

The Chiefs found the infinite Lombardis glitch

[@KMilly120]

They really did, cant blame them!

[@FrRealOne]

Great vid

[@KMilly120]

Thank you gangsta

[@creedd15]

One quick thing, coaches don't determine salaries, the GMs do. So like Howie Roseman and Brett Veach are the biggest reasons Chiefs and Eagles are in the Superbowl

[@KMilly120]

you're absolutely correct!

[@RAUgaming24]

The F***ing City Swifties bro it's like the NFL isn't even trying to hide it at this point

[@KMilly120]

Im tired of Taylor Swift

[@RAUgaming24]

@KMilly120 ong like she's so irrelevant 😭

[@chiTownN1]

0:20 i think you meant tomlinson

[@Giantsfan7273]

And he also said 75% is about 4/5 when it’s actually 3/4. Other than that, it was a pretty good video

[@KMilly120]

Lol yah a little mess up

[@KMilly120]

English is hard what can I say

[@ps2gamer350]

Mad interesting man

[@KMilly120]

thank you bro

[@azurewizard3840]

Here while the chiefs and eagles will play next weekend for the SB😭

[@KMilly120]

A sad SB for sure, wanted a lions bills superbowl tbh

[@TheRealCptObvious1]

just go bet on the Chiefs and accept your free money. What I did last year. I will do it this year. Next year I'm ready to win again until the money machine dries up

[@KMilly120]

Easiest bets of our lives.

[@ryanlargent9320]

When you look at unpaid production percentage, how does that align with SB champs? Is the SB champ usually the team with the highest unpaid production percentage? Cool vid!

[@KMilly120]

Not necessarily the highest but at least fall in the bottom half of the NFL! Thank you bro!

[@ryanpm7644]

Great video, keep it up (hate those damn chiefs/refs)

[@KMilly120]

thank you ... same here lol

[@CJStew06]

@@KMilly120 "refs" be serious

[@isaaciced]

Great quality vid

[@KMilly120]

Thank you!

[@songsayswhat]

The chiefs o-line had its 2 star players out before the SB against the Bucs & everyone was moved around or brought in, so o-line had a lot more to do with that loss than money IMO But your topic is interesting.

[@KMilly120]

Agreed

[@BrianStDenis-pj1tq]

His name is Brett Veach, GM Chiefs.

[@KMilly120]

MVP for sure

[@stevecoffman2559]

Hahaha. “I hate teams that are elite and strive for excellence”

[@KMilly120]

Same lol

[@Quality_Clips-DE]

I like my Chiefs haters! Great video, definitely deserve more attention! Keep it up

[@KMilly120]

thank you :)

[@God-Will-ing]

Half expected him to start saying Chiefs and then go, “no, nope, don’t care **cross out Chiefs, and write in Eagles** it’s the Eagles now, I mean it’s the Eagles. F*** the Chiefs”

[@KMilly120]

F*ck the CHIEFS

[@Mogy]

TomLINson not Thompson, he’s the single season TD record holder, put respect on the name…

[@KMilly120]

eye eye captain

[@nathanielpappas6240]

1:31 Bro 700 yards is a decent TE season, and 5 mil is not an outrageous salary for a TE, even back then. Tight ends don’t have to get 1,000 yards for their season to be considered good. Jonnu Smith had what was considered a career year this season and didn’t even crack 900.

[@KMilly120]

I definitely agree, He was one of the only players that I felt I could use that most sports fan recognized. There were other players but since it was a while ago I didn’t want to mention players most people wouldn’t recognize! I appreciate your feedback though fr!

[@lurkingbanette]

Bro this is some good stuff fr keep it coming! I hope KC loses by a million

[@KMilly120]

SAME HERE!!! lol thanks

[@jacksongray-boero1438]

49ers boutta win it all at Levi’s

[@KMilly120]

lol

[@rossthyne8183]

Glad my algorithm gave me this video. Sad because Chiefs

[@KMilly120]

lol a bittersweet situation

[@rossthyne8183]

Can't complain though, I rode with Tom for 20 years. Seriously though, great video and love the sense of humor

[@sleepmanual3718]

can you do a video on why the lions lost

[@KMilly120]

I was thinking of it, more geared towards their dynasty turnaround

[@_thirtyseven]

As a Chiefs fan I could not stop laughing at your constant despise of my team. Just embrace the 3-peat.

[@KMilly120]

I might have to at this point lol

[@milk.meister.mcChonky]

I absolutely will not embrace it. I randomly decided I didn't like the chiefs (based on vibes idk) after about 30 seconds of them being on screen when I first started actually following football last season. Then I learned they were actually really good. Then I learned that they were the team that beat us in the Superbowl the year prior (was unable to watch). And HOW they beat us. And lemme tell you it got wayyyy worse from there on out lmao. If you're from KC I respect it but I still fricking hate your team 🫶

[@austinjueneman2505]

TLDR; draft really well and don’t overpay free agents and you win. Not rocket science. Chiefs have had the best young core since the Tyreek trade.

[@KMilly120]

Well said!

[@charlessassaman2039]

Sign your stud/keystone players on both sides of the ball and draft well. Thats what the Chiefs have done and that’s how you’ll get to the magical quadrant. Cheap players who produce.

[@KMilly120]

Exactlyyyy

[@Farting-2]

So you just have to win a lot of games and not pay your players too much? Seems like we didn't need a graph to know that.

[@KMilly120]

Its more about getting more production out of players that aren't valued highly, but unfortunately they isn't any research into individual players on a wide scale just teams as a whole.

[@Farting-2]

@@KMilly120 yeah, that stills seems like a captain obvious statement in a salary-capped league. Like, I'm not just random hating here, I genuinely just didn't get the point of this video. There are only 2 variable discussed and one of them is "they're good at winning games." Like, duh-doi? That's like saying "if you want to know who's gonna win this footrace, look at their 40 times." The reality is that if a team isn't spending all or nearly all of their cap space, they are probably early in a rebuild and they won't win a lot of games (regular season or postseason). So obviously teams that are in the top half of league spending are going to be the most competitive. It just feels like this is a more of a tautology than a predictive analysis.

[@acidicdiamond]

Good vid man

[@KMilly120]

Thank you!!

[@lj9970]

I believe it

[@KMilly120]

I wish I didn't

[@BillyMcSill]

2010 the saints won and were middle of the graph, this is OBJECTIVELY not a good way to judge future champions.

[@KMilly120]

hmm interested that why I said its correct 75% of the time.... Title is for click bait obviously.

[@LessGo7921]

Welp I thought the Bills could save us. Now it’s hp to the Eagles… again 🤢

[@KMilly120]

I have a bad feeling about this one.....

[@Tanner-Kline]

I feel like your video justifies the New England dynasty as well by that logic. Bellicheck and Brady were masters at stringing together ragtag assortments of seeming nobodies and winning the big game time and time again. Then the one year they splurge in the 07’ undefeated season they lose it all 🥲😅

[@KMilly120]

Exactly the same formula that Bellicheck used. being able to find great talent that isn't highly valued.

[@theoalhuth2762]

Crazy

[@austinjueneman2505]

This guy is wrong. I live in KC and watched the games. The Chiefs were a juggernaut in 2020. The problem was not Tyreek, it was their entire O-line got hurt in the playoffs and the Bucs pass rush destroyed them.

[@KMilly120]

Never said problem was Tyreek gangsta

[@austinjueneman2505]

@@KMilly120First off, respect for the good video. And thanks for engaging with the comments. However, in the video that was your only comment on the 2020 season: Insinuating that Tyreek did not produce to the level of his contract. I am saying that is not why they lost the Super Bowl that year.

[@kludgyplatupus4742]

74.2% isn’t 4/5?

[@10thletter40]

No it's about 75% which would be 3/4

[@kludgyplatupus4742]

@ yeah which is what I was saying

[@KMilly120]

you are completely right I was thinking 3/4 at the time lol

[@kludgyplatupus4742]

@ all good man, just tripped me out for a second. But it was an interesting video, and especially production wise you did a fantastic job, keep it up man!

[@10thletter40]

@@kludgyplatupus4742 Yeah I was reading comments, didn't hit when that was brought up 😂

[@griffinregan523]

Panthers winning the super bowl next year idc what anyone says

[@KMilly120]

I really hope so a Panthers fan myself!

[@Zach-sc9xu]

Go chiefs! Great video

[@KMilly120]

Ughhh.... lol thank you

[@Zerosmashandmore]

Amazing video lmao

[@KMilly120]

thank you!!!

[@brianp6682]

So you're saying that superior drafting and coaching leads to super bowll wins interesting theory

[@KMilly120]

Crazy right

[@IchigoKurosaki0715]

Before watching the video, probably the chiefs

[@KMilly120]

You were right

[@IchigoKurosaki0715]

@KMilly120 Great video, hope your channel continues to grow and prosper 👍🏻

[@ironiccookies2320]

It's all in the script. We already know. The chiefs are gonna continue to win for the 69th time in the next 10 years and the nfl will lose revenue because the nfl script has become like boring hollywood scripts.

[@Cityofstroud]

W

[@matans.9500]

GO BIRDS 🦅🦅🦅

[@MJCFilms]

investing in this channel at less than 500 subs

[@KMilly120]

thank you :)

[@milk.meister.mcChonky]

Proud #973 right here, jumping in before 1k. I hate the chiefs go birds baby 🦅🦅🦅