This Week's CPI Report Could Spark A Big Market Reaction

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Mott Capital's Market Chronicles

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 56
@mauriceholton6972
@mauriceholton6972 2 ай бұрын
Thanks for all your analysis much appreciated
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
My pleasure!
@TableTennisLover1234
@TableTennisLover1234 2 ай бұрын
I’m expecting between 170 - 210 SPX points for next week. Trading Levels should be between 5300 - 5500. But if 5300 gets taken out solidly, then all bets are off to buy at 5300 as 5220 will come into play next week. There are many large gamma levels below us. We don’t know which one will trigger a huge slide until after the fact. That’s why they describe trading as “Price discovery” process.
@TradeItUntilYouMakeit
@TradeItUntilYouMakeit 2 ай бұрын
The best Macro data analysis on the internet. Thanks Mike we all appreciate your time and energy you put into these videos.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
I appreciate that!
@PasirPrism
@PasirPrism 2 ай бұрын
Oil , energy has gone down quite a bit which will soften any CPI number right on time for this.
@MariaPNW
@MariaPNW 2 ай бұрын
Yet another succinct and easy to follow/understand video. I'm a technical day trader, so your analysis that's easy to digest gives me enough foresight to have an edge. Thanks again!
@mmmom6469
@mmmom6469 Ай бұрын
Stock never drop
@mjbucar
@mjbucar 2 ай бұрын
Thank you Mike.
@FinancialFreebo
@FinancialFreebo 2 ай бұрын
I just subscribed... Thanks for your knowledge and detailed work...
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Awesome, thank you!
@SDJS10
@SDJS10 2 ай бұрын
Thank You !
@adt422
@adt422 2 ай бұрын
Very helpful. Thank you!
@matthewokeefe2286
@matthewokeefe2286 2 ай бұрын
Great stuff as usual!
@jjm00811
@jjm00811 2 ай бұрын
Great info.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@JDdollars
@JDdollars 2 ай бұрын
thank u sir
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
Welcome
@KrustyKlown
@KrustyKlown 2 ай бұрын
Rate cut will be 1/2%.
@zoro979
@zoro979 2 ай бұрын
Nah bro its impossible if fed would do that there would be to much panic
@Felale
@Felale 2 ай бұрын
Monster crash
@KrustyKlown
@KrustyKlown 2 ай бұрын
@@zoro979 think your right.. checked a few more sources 1/4pt this month .. and one or two more 1/4pt cuts later in the year (after the election).
@FinancialFreebo
@FinancialFreebo 2 ай бұрын
@@zoro979I think they would like to, but know it would signal that they are in panic mode...
@Kevin-pk7cm
@Kevin-pk7cm 2 ай бұрын
Wishful thinking.
@blank-964
@blank-964 2 ай бұрын
Thanks
@Liberty_Valance
@Liberty_Valance 2 ай бұрын
Thank you! :)
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
You're welcome!
@viewlesswind
@viewlesswind 2 ай бұрын
to my eyes, that's a head and shoulder right there.
@wavymcfly
@wavymcfly 2 ай бұрын
🔥🔥🔥
@khubaibplaysyt3456
@khubaibplaysyt3456 2 ай бұрын
What you are expecting is cpi data gonna be lower than expected?
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
that's what swaps say, yes
@OliverMeyer-d6s
@OliverMeyer-d6s 2 ай бұрын
Thank You for the analysis :) What is the G0025 18M10y BLC2 in min 5:20 ? and why do You need that one as well as the 10 year minus the 2 year? for divergence ? thanks a lot
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
just something else to look at to get a feel for trends.
@OliverMeyer-d6s
@OliverMeyer-d6s 2 ай бұрын
@@Themarketchronicles and what does it stand for?
@2cthetruth
@2cthetruth 2 ай бұрын
Rate cut will be 1/4.% I know cause I know let’s just say that..
@lieslceleste3395
@lieslceleste3395 2 ай бұрын
What else do you know?
@sunrizen
@sunrizen 2 ай бұрын
It is so obvious. The media just likes the drama. Otherwise, no one would buy a ticket to the show if they knew the ending.
@procrustes7669
@procrustes7669 2 ай бұрын
LET IT FALL REALLY REALLY HARD...MY 100K LUMP SUM IS HUNGRY FOR UBER GROWTH
@pistolpete247
@pistolpete247 2 ай бұрын
what is he really saying, that in the event the CPI print is higher than estimate, then the market should see that as a positive thing so less likely of a 50bps hike? I'm starting to think market will perceive slight uptick in inflation is a good thing to ward off the narrative that recession is coming to USA
@sunrizen
@sunrizen 2 ай бұрын
With oil below $70 no one cares about inflation. The rate of cuts is solely being determined by jobs data which currently only justifies a 25bp cut.
@stealthilizer66
@stealthilizer66 2 ай бұрын
​@sunrizen agreed. Rising cpi with weakening job market is nightmare scenario. Stagflation
@Quant4lif3
@Quant4lif3 2 ай бұрын
I don't think many ppl even look at the fact that most stocks in this market are actually down and that the s&p is narrowly weighted towards a few big names in AI sector which artificially inflates its value. And yet people are still saying a crash is coming. It has been happening for a while. The recession fears caused investors to flee most stocks except nvidia, Apple, meta, etc. I'd anything, the overvalued stocks will fall and we will slowly see a broadening of market....but this will take some time as the market has been fearful or risk averse fot a long time. Ever since late 2021 and covid.
@ALF-wh6in
@ALF-wh6in 2 ай бұрын
Why do all these videos say inflation is coming down. Inflation is going up just at a slower rate.
@lieslceleste3395
@lieslceleste3395 2 ай бұрын
They’re lazy. They mean the rate of inflation is coming down.
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
i didn't say it s coming down, i said it was the rate was slowing
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
which is what i said
@italianmiltyfriedman6264
@italianmiltyfriedman6264 2 ай бұрын
Market is starting to price in the possibility of an extremely unfriendly progressive economic policy, the market sentiment shifted as soon as the legacy media went all in on Kamala the savior of democracy. Capital gains tax, higher corporate taxes and price controls. People are taking their money our of stocks until they know they wont get taxed into oblivion
@Themarketchronicles
@Themarketchronicles 2 ай бұрын
could be true, it robably means it will be a rocky market until november then
@charleswr8359
@charleswr8359 2 ай бұрын
50 bp cut is very bad for stock. That will lead to crash.
@Bryan-yq9pz
@Bryan-yq9pz 2 ай бұрын
Exactly, market will pluge 70+% with a 50bp cut
@Muircure
@Muircure 2 ай бұрын
@@Bryan-yq9pz more like 90%
@Muircure
@Muircure 2 ай бұрын
What are the best strategies to protect my stocks portfolio ? I've heard that a downturn will devastate the financial market and make homless so many people, so I'm concerned about my $200M stocks portfolio.. help me i am scared
@Bryan-yq9pz
@Bryan-yq9pz 2 ай бұрын
@@Muircure Just double down. If you are scared, that's a sign to go all in. Remember rule#1 When others are scared, Be GREEDY.
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