Time Series Analysis: Why are Unit Roots Important?

  Рет қаралды 3,719

Quant Guild

Quant Guild

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 7
@samxware
@samxware Жыл бұрын
damn, besides being a quant expert, bro is handsome as f
@irmdev595
@irmdev595 2 жыл бұрын
can i suggest fixed income python topics as well?
@barricuda5
@barricuda5 2 жыл бұрын
Would love to see more TS topics
@TheRoooot
@TheRoooot 2 жыл бұрын
awesome channel Does this test mean that the hypothesis is false and there is no need for other tests?
@QuantGuild
@QuantGuild 2 жыл бұрын
Glad you like the channel! When you get to the stage of testing (mainly backtesting for strategies) you are looking to corroborate your hypothesis, if your test(s) don't this is where you have to ask why and go back to the start scientific method style to see where the idea breaks down. For example, if I believe news sentiment yesterday can predict returns tomorrow for a given equity and I backtest a sentiment model based on this hypothesis and the results are not profitable then I'm not going to keep optimizing the backtest until it fits my hypothesis - instead, I'll decompose the tests to see why we aren't producing a profit (is it already priced in? can we see it in contemporaneous price impact? etc.) Hope this helps!
@TheRoooot
@TheRoooot 2 жыл бұрын
@@QuantGuild thank you
@sander2024
@sander2024 2 жыл бұрын
If you can, use VEC or VECM model instead of differencing, you lose less information
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