Trump Sliding, Harris Rising in New Polling Data 9/23/24

Fresh polling by NBC News shows Democrat Kamala Harris ahead of Republican Donald Trump by 5 points among registered voters. Their national polling has Harris leading 49%-44%. It’s still within the margin of error, but better for Democrats in the last NBC poll in July which had Trump over Biden by 2 points. Demographic data included in the poll is also very interesting. We’ll talk about it with CBS and iHeartRadio political analyst Gary Dietrich.
The Mark Thompson Show
9/23/24
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[@knit1purl1]

Keep it on standard time!!!!! But no one is listening to me. 😺

[@richsepani5109]

Which liberal poll you follow Thompson… I think we need a sit down with John instead of Tim on KFI lol still love you man ✌️

[@percivalalexander601]

If Donald was leading his company's stock price would be moving up instead of down

[@shaunmcisaac782]

The cross tabs of the discussed major poll are... wonky, to be sure. The national environment is D+5, but the State level polls are R+5. This implies an R+10 difference in those states between where then nations at and where the individual state is at. It also implies that Georgia, Arizona, and NC are more shifted to the Republicans than Texas and Florida which show tighter races in most polling averages. Will come down to which of the Likely Voter models are correct. Trump likely can't win with the plan of "They're Eating The Cats" and "I am being shot at cuz of you." He needs to do more but hasn't shown the ability.