U.K. election result will be 'historic,' political lecturer says

Hannah Bunting, lecturer in quantitative British politics at the University of Exeter and co-director of its Elections Centre, discusses the newly declared U.K. election on July 4.

[@johnnythefox1851]

What's historic about swapping one useless PM for another? I could say more.

[@nickyd922]

The Tories fooled the simpleton voters for 14 years

[@nevadatan7323]

Because in the first term they do a load of sweeping changes that actually benefit people. You're not supposed to vote for em as soon as they change their terms n conditions. You're supposed to shop around for the best deal. Jeez has Martin Lewis taught you nothing!?

[@user-yi6ui6pn4i]

@@nevadatan7323 Yes, Blair came in and opened the borders. We've never recovered.

[@Jacksimon18909]

​@@nevadatan7323correction they do loads of changes that seem to benefit the people at first but then they subtly reach round and take it back from the other side. If it's not apparent by now nothing is done for us.

[@johnnythefox1851]

@@Jacksimon18909 Exactly.

[@nevadatan7323]

As Brits, we've politely queued in line with seething resentment for long enough tbh

[@backgroundknowledgeisevery3089]

517 political parties currently in existence in the UK. Hundreds of charities, trade unions, charities, pressure groups, etc. If people don’t like the status quo, they know what they have to do.

[@ffotograffydd]

“queued in line” said no Brit ever… 😂

[@peterjohnson1091]

The Tory Party is 200 years old. It could be their fewest number of seats and lowest vote share on record.

[@W1nDs0R]

Historic loss for the Tories inbound

[@Benzknees]

Historic loss for the British economy inbound in 5yrs time.

[@riverraven7359]

Nothing will improve. Our entire political class is out of touch with reality and the working class.

[@paulcartwright6739]

These academics are brilliant. Everything is history so everything is historic.

[@colinyoung3685]

If it happened in the past it is historic, not the highest benchmark...

[@user-ck3uu8rj3x]

No offence intended but anyone who genuinely thinks this coming election will be 'historic ' has no idea of the UKs past history.

[@PhoenixLord777]

Media trying to get people excited about the next Punch and Judy show...

[@Ribbo]

You can't really vote "for labour" until you've seen how they act in office. It's absolutely a vote against the awful conservative rule for the last decade.

[@OneTrueScotsman]

It's also a Labour in name only, party. Never mind Tony Blair's New Labour. Here comes Starmer's New Tories.

[@Alexandrenure]

They are showing everyday what they want to do ! Where are you? Can’t see it?

[@user-yi6ui6pn4i]

Millions remember Brown Boom and Bust 2009....then no money left 2010.

[@PhoenixLord777]

@@OneTrueScotsman these are the same people who call themselves 'comrade' at their conference, right?

[@emmavincent2048]

@@user-yi6ui6pn4ihe was actually starting to fix the economy after the banks failed the country, and then the tories blamed him/labour for the next 14 years and made the economy (and quality of life!) worse

[@TheGippy30]

Sadly the Tories are not finished, do not underestimate them in this election, that would be foolish as the public are fickle

[@OneTrueScotsman]

It doesn't matter. Starmer's promised Tory voters that there will be no change. The economy will continue to work for the rich and the elite. Homelessness, poverty, cost of living, NHS, education, public transport, energy, water, etc etc, will all continue to fail. But at least our new government will have red ties on, not blue. Wooopie!

[@popcornfilms1]

Bang on.

[@David_Bower]

You can't determine the outcome of a General Election by looking at the results of the Local Elections, they're apples, and oranges.

[@kanedNunable]

tories getting hammered in every poll going.

[@David_Bower]

@@kanedNunable What i meant was Labour supposedly underperforming in the local elections. It's much easier to get elected as a popular independent candidate in a small local ward where turnout is low, than in a large constituency with a higher turnout. The larger parties have always seemed to perform better at a national level than a local one, Many of those who voted for an independent candidate in the locals will vote for the candidate of whichever party is most likely to defeat the Tory in the general.

[@UncleMort]

Historic KZbin video beats historic record for the number of times the word historic is said in under 4 minutes

[@alansmithee419]

What was the last election that wasn't described as "historic"? That sounds like a historic occasion!

[@MrJudgementday99]

The trouble for me is that if you think the Tories are bad just look at wales and see the shit show that Labour have made of that.

[@fwbcarl]

It doesn't matter who wins, they're both WEF candidates.

[@carlharding5311]

Translating straight from local results to national election prediction? Is this really an expert?

[@backgroundknowledgeisevery3089]

“There is no instance in history of a country which benefits from a prolonged period of warfare.” - Sun Tsu, The Art Of War. Book I, Chapter XI. 500 B.C.

[@weareevil6912]

What a load of bollox

[@sonovagod]

historically low turnout is about it....

[@mariamacielm8691]

Historic is what has been happening to this country : from care, education to salaries . Riches getting richer and poor poorer

[@colinyoung3685]

Who is Riches?

[@Jacksimon18909]

Historically awful as ever.

[@paullaw7412]

If the economy is looking better how come price of food is still going up

[@stevedavy2878]

So when asked the vital question, she just fudges and waffles, classic academic

[@f0rtuzer0]

Uhuh. I'm Sure it will be nothing short of revolutionary.

[@nicksmith9371]

Seems to have forgot she is still in Britain and its 4th of July not " 4 July"

[@andrewdarley8988]

Just a load of journalistic waffle. Why do we sponsor university departments in these pointless studies instead of using the money to train more doctors, dentists and nurses that we actually NEED?

[@derekwhite2929]

Without PR we'll always end up with fudge!

[@angusmackay7281]

PR exists in Scotland and has been an entire disaster.

[@derekwhite2929]

@@angusmackay7281 That's a shame, I was hoping that might be able to shift the pattern from the usual seemingly binary but actually uniparty pattern thats not really any choices at all.

[@markshrimpton3138]

PR is the system employed here in Scotland in voting for seats at Holyrood. It’s PR that gave us the awful seven Green MSPs. It’s PR that foisted the inept, racist Humza Yousless upon us. At least with the first past the post system one can see the candidates.

[@UncleMort]

I like fudge, looking forward to receiving mine

[@MaShip-tb1lt]

She is just talking about England

[@gusmlie]

Yep, historic low turnout and largest majority.

[@roblloyd1879]

I think she means hysterical!!!

[@dorothyb.]

They are all historic aren’t they?

[@jeffbrunswick5511]

As much as I hate the Tories, it is hard to get excited about a Labour party that doesn't seem to have any policies or desire to fix anything. It will just be more rampant immigration, more rampant taxation and more government debt. What I don't understand is where all the money goes. We get taxed into oblivion yet there are pot holes everywhere, failing public services and no new infrastructure.

[@paulgibbon5991]

Into the pockets of the Oxford Chums.

[@lynne3124]

Into hidden from view back pockets. Our money. Brilliant if you're rich. You're not? Tough shit. Starmegeddon will be the same shit, different party.

[@paulfoot9230]

Not my words,but the words of Rick Blackman Now that an election has been called, it’s important to get both current and historical perspective here. Other Labour Party leaders may in comparison to Starmer seem like socialists, but they were no friends of the left or the working class. The role of the Labour Party has always been to manage capitalism in a slightly more fairer way than the Tories or Liberals. Lenin in reply to a comment that the LP are the voice of the trade unions said that they were in fact the voice of the trade union bureaucracy. Indeed they have never represented the interests of the rank and file, quite the opposite. We should not romanticise that they have ever been any different. Corbyn is the aberration, not Starmer, Smith, Wilson or MacDonald. That said, the unique relationship that the LP has with the trade union movement allows us an ‘in’ that does not exist anywhere in politics, (certainly not in the Tory party) in the UK. It’s true that this ‘in’ has diminished in the last 30 years, but, and it’s a big but, it does still exist. The bigger picture dictates that we must think in terms of our class. The first and most important thing is to rid ourselves of the tories. A victory for them, however unlikely, would be a disaster from which we may possibly never recover. So that is the first priority. If people are political and on the left, it’s important to remember that many of our class are not, and do not necessarily compare and contrast the politics of Starmer to Blair to Attlee. The tories must be stopped. However, this does not mean we give carte blanche to the genocide enabling and serial liar Starmer and where independent candidates are standing we should, I believe, vote for them. There needs to be a left pressure on the Labour government. Where no left candidates exist, the discomfort we may feel voting for Starmer is incomparable to the pain of the tories winning. Vote Left, then Vote Labour. Kick the Tories out and Keep on Kicking.

[@UncleMort]

Rather a lack of quantitative political data from someone that lectures in quantitative politics

[@cuzIjust]

Yes , historic indeed. Swapping one conservative PM for another conservative PM. Is it historic because this PM will actually be voted in?

[@UncleMort]

Every election is historic, except for the next one

[@VorosMedve]

Historic loss for the electorate; swapping one austerity party for another, wearing red rosettes instead of blue.

[@MrArchie800]

Not a Labour supporter but I'd give my right testicle to to go back to how things were before 2010. Main thing is getting the Tories out and I'll vote tactically on that basis.

[@PhoenixLord777]

and you think electing a collection of gender confused communists is the way to go back to pre-2010s?

[@I_Evo]

​@@PhoenixLord777The current Labour Party leadership aren't even socialist let alone communist.

[@AutoAlligator]

She has a double mouth piercing. Do you think this is normal for an English woman?

[@threestepssideways1202]

Yeah it was Historic the last time, it's always been Historic, stop banging the drum of whatever it is you ascribe to like it's something new. It isn't. We know what's coming, and the flip 4 years after that.

[@emcarver8983]

If everybody voted for reform UK. And no votes for either big parties. THAT would be historic.

[@paulgibbon5991]

The "I'm not a racist but--" demographic isn't really big enough.

[@ffotograffydd]

Reform UK are tanking in the polls, they’ll be lucky to get a single MP.

[@jimherbert007]

Ha ha, I was interviewed by this chap on Squawkbox and hearing his voice I just crapped myself 🤣

[@jimmyriddlemethis6536]

I think that's actually a good analysis.

[@emcarver8983]

Hopefully because neither of the shiiite parties will win.

[@tt_widowmaker4838]

it will be historic when its non profit

[@xXTheSammichXx]

Historic because the country will soon resemble Venezuela

[@kirstinline]

tories out forever please.

[@spinmaster0]

The UK election result will be 'historic'!?! Thanks, I really needed a laugh today!

[@mattspintosmith5285]

It not like Tony Blair's first election win, when there was excitement and enthusiasm, but Labour's win could ironically be bigger this time in terms of the margin of victory - such is the disgust with the unprincipled Johnson/crazy Truss/out of touch Sunak horror show that we have endured.

[@paulbo9033]

Swapping one Israel apologist for another. Truly historic 🙄

[@Samuel-hd3cp]

It will be a historically low turn out, when millions decide there is no one worth voting for.

[@kirstinline]

dumdums can stay home. please stay home.

[@markshrimpton3138]

I think you’re right.

[@kanedNunable]

i think it will be a record turnout to get rid of these crooks.

[@kirstinline]

you spelled landslide wrong.

[@markshrimpton3138]

@@kanedNunable I’m of the opinion that it will be a very low turnout: we shall see.

[@paulbrickland9625]

She's not convinced because she's a tory

[@PhoenixLord777]

...yeah THAT is what a tory looks like....

[@tar-dab]

What a nothing statement 😂

[@jamesbeverley171]

Rishi is jumping ship ahead of a serious crisis in the fall...

[@anastasiamacvicar5609]

Lectures and universaties has lost my respect, universitities should be closed down

[@sonofvideo4696]

Would.

[@deanl1108]

Good bye tory criminal filth lol.

[@micky1up]

well she has to say that doesn't she or she becomes irrelevant

[@user-pr5zs6uq8u]

Put NONE OF THE ABOVE on the ballot and I might vote. Until then I'm apathetic

[@strangetrip837]

No it won’t! It will be the same as every other general election 🙄🙄

[@johnb7975]

The only winners are the ones who had 4th if july at the bookies. .............. So no one.

[@cleolector710]

Both sides the same I'm not voting and won't any more

[@djdoolittle1315]

The Enoch’s are going crazy now

[@Anti-Peaceforcepolice]

No matter who you vote for, the WEF and who they work for will always get in.

[@ssuwandi3240]

Klaus're gone

[@ScrimRa]

Kier Starmer is actually the type of person to walk into the Prime Minister’s job thinking everyone voted for him because they love him, and not because of how much people hate the Tories. I predict this will be his downfall, it will be same old same old and he won’t change enough.

[@MrArchie800]

Not sure about that, he seems a bit more intelligent than what we've recently been used to and also doesn't appear to have the narcissistic traits (that we’ve also been used to). Time will tell. I’m not a Labour supporter but I’ll give him a go if it’s what it takes to oust the Tories.

[@budweiser600]

what's wrong with her face. I feel like it's a choice

[@nevadatan7323]

You literally drink budweiser ya nob lol

[@jacquelinemonaghan5263]

Utterly trying to cast a spell

[@liquidhalo]

just as historically pointless as usual because both parties are just as historically useless as each other

[@JaniceDoe210]

REFORM

[@Benzknees]

'Historic' as in the worst incoming economic disaster, building on Labour's 1976 humiliating IMF rescue & Labour's 2008 Crash. The 14yrs of QE it took this time to correct it, will be 20+yrs next time.

[@lwalker8785]

2008 was a global crash, Einstein.

[@Benzknees]

@@lwalker8785 - "Global" that somehow missed everywhere apart from countries with uncontrolled property bubbles from 1997-2007. Like China, India, Indonesia, S.E. Asia, Africa, most of South America, Australia, Middle East, etc. with ¾ of the world's population.

[@ivarthepingless5082]

Fudged inflation data and the weather? Who is this woman?

[@davidprice5678]

Could she be anymore of a caricature of an AWFL

[@xameleontas4728]

She's sooo weird!! LOL

[@thombabu3914]

Award Full majority and Power to Sunak , Better for UK future, free the country from Hidden Fanatics Islamised UK save . Too much Blabbering as a Fashion of UK , Change to a Visionary , Sunak is Good provided If Give Full Majority . No matter What Save the Country .

[@leeroy1986]

A lot of Labour-voters pissed off in the comment section here 😜 Objectively, she's not wrong, but a narrowing of the polls tends to happen.

[@rachelnguyen1655]

Nonsense. Noone wants to vote for either party. It's the best of two evils.

[@davidcopson5800]

Peter Noone?

[@richardnewcombe9449]

A complete hash up either way it goes.

[@ivanhowell3461]

I’m still trying to figure out to vote for. They are all in the same club and we ain’t in it. Opposition in the halls mates at the bar

[@adamarmstrong9408]

Go reform mate

[@mark63424able]

The Conservatives have been in power for 14 years. They are single handedly responsible for the way the UK has turned out from 2010-2024. If you are happy with the way things are then vote Conservative and give them another 5 years.

[@ivanhowell3461]

@@mark63424ableand Blair lit the fuse

[@Jacksimon18909]

​@@adamarmstrong9408So vote for the Tories again? You actually believe we need someone who tells you what you want to hear for your vote then crys conspiracy when he's lost.

[@adamarmstrong9408]

@@Jacksimon18909 calm down mate

[@JimmyKartounii]

we will not be voting fred west

[@lliambunter]

Soon as I saw the stupid studs in your trap i turned off because you can't be a full shilling walking around like that

[@misterRDF]

One box of shite for a worse box of shite.

[@richardhughes9115]

umm is she using a charger?

[@elliottmoscow150]

Vote reform 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

[@Tzhz]

Oh, wow, another fake expert

[@stephengalley9305]

Thank god for the euro football , tories struggling ,starmer my god , victor meldrew of politics , labour government , mass illegal immigration, union rule , nationalisation , retirement age increase , 4 day working week , cushty , financed from thousands and thousands of acres of money trees laden with £50 notes to harvest when they need it 😂😂

[@anthonybutler6365]

If Rishi had stopped the boats he would get back in tomorrow

[@kanedNunable]

nope. the country is fkd and everything is broken. most of us dont give a shit about 30k people on boats arriving.

[@ffotograffydd]

Most people in the UK have more important things to worry about.

[@orbsofsteel]

😂

[@Bisharoofilcial]

🕸️

[@lilygal4975]

REFORM REFORM REFORM REFORM

[@Aspartame69]

This womans opinion is worthless. She is an activist and just wants the downfall of capitalism, even though she has absolutely no idea what the result of that would be.

[@jmckendry84]

[Citation needed]

[@frankem51]

She doesn't say anything about capitalism or its downfall.

[@PhoenixLord777]

@@frankem51 look her up. Go ahead...

[@PhoenixLord777]

she thinks she'll gain power. That's the short of it.

[@Aspartame69]

@@frankem51 Shes a socialist, which is just a gateway ideology to communism. Communism has to collapse capitalism because too many people succeed under capitalism to provide enough impetus to deliver a communist revolution. So communists have to destroy capitalism first, then offer their solution. They do this by criticising all effecting social structures until society ceases to function.

[@shaunweston1183]

The footie has nothing to do with it, what hogwash.

[@trashman1358]

"historic" election. Please. I got out of bed this morning, that was also historic, as it happened in the past. This constant attempt by the media to over hype stuff is just grating.

[@Aspartame69]

She means historic because her team is about to win, and she will be able to openly support all the same things the tories did because they are now being done by labour and they can claim people voted for it.

[@trashman1358]

@@Aspartame69🤣

[@angusmackay7281]

Swapping one uniparty team for another; hardly historic.

[@spoonfulofdreams]

This is likely to be more of a 2010 election than a 1997 election. Labour had lost their shine but the Tories were as bright as a house brick. The result will probably be down to the vagaries of FPTP more than anythig else. I can't really see the media getting behind Sunak or Starmer. It will be a distraction for them after months of relentless dystopia coming from Gaza. Should Labour struggle to get a majority we might see another election before too long where independents will have a field day.

[@user-yi6ui6pn4i]

It was New Labour's client state which prevented Cameron winning a clear majority. ie...benefits 4 U,..votes for us.....jobs 4 U...votes for us.

[@user-ch3jb5vu7m]

July will come and go and nothing will change !

[@stephenbermingham6554]

Lord this one from Exeter university is typical university intellect type.....thick as a plank.

[@neilburns8869]

Professor John Curtice the sort of UK Goto Guru when it comes to any sort of political elections has already said since the General Election was first called only yesterday that he thinks it highly unlikely that the Conservatives will get back in this time round and to be perfectly honest I simply think that the people of the UK have had enough of them for the foreseeable future. Vote for change, Vote for Labour.

[@nicksmith9371]

The same Guru who regularly gets predictions wrong? Lots of us remember what Liebour did to the country, they haven't changed. More mass migration, huge public debts, gender madness and a shattered economy. The only change is the colour in number 10 blue to red. We are between the devil and the deep blue sea.

[@gaycha6589]

I hate Sinsk and Starmer on equal measures. But with FPTP a tactical note is a wasted vote.

[@johnburdett20]

Vote.......I do not consent.

[@jmckendry84]

As if anyone asked for, or needs, your consent to vote 😂

[@sorenbaek9626]

were dammed if we do and dammed if we dont.........were screwed. What an utter circus we live in