Unimaginable rates, dollar, and asset values coming...

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

⭐MY FREE SIGNALS NEWSLETTER: TheTechnicalTraders.com/newsletter/

[@morezaei6598]

Chris, really enjoy seeing your updates more frequently. Your analysis is straight to the point and digestible with zero fluff. Thanks for sharing

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Thank you so much! I appreciate that!

[@mikesmith2315]

This is great coverage thankyou

[@hping168]

My advice to everyone is this : if you want to grow big this year especially in your finances. Be willing to make investments. Saving is great but investing puts you on a pedestal where you wouldnt have to worry about savings as you do now. With Loraine Souvenir, my portolio is doing really great and im proud of the decisions i made last year.

[@butterflymer]

Having access to reliable information is crucial for us as investors to succeed both financially and in life. This is valuable, I've just looked up her full name on my browser and found her webpage without sweat, very much appreciate this

[@johnavon-n9m]

Kicking off this year with such high hopes, especially with Bitcoin, has been a journey. Let’s be real while hodling has its place, those waiting for only the big skyrocket moments might be missing out. Day trading has given me more steady, consistent growth thanks to Loraine Souvenir guidance and her daily signals. Couldn’t have done it without her!

[@Lumen-m1w]

Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary

[@RaditWiguna-e6t]

My profit from May to Dec 2024 totaled 9.8 BTC despite volatility, her program is superb

[@Brayan-o7v]

Thanks to her insightful and forward-thinking market research, she is a trusted resource for traders trying to stay ahead in the hectic world of finance....

[@TelmoJohn]

Always very interesting your videos! Thanks you for them.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Glad you like them!

[@pierrebonnard990]

That graph you show starting at about 13:30 is Solid Gold!!! I got more value from that than I have from any other video in the field! Many Thanks!

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Wow, great to hear! Please share it with others :)

[@myutube8x]

Thank you Chris. You are always clear and of great help.

[@davesmall5392]

Your consistent emotional state regardless of market conditions are good advertising for sticking to a system and managing risk. Thanks for the videos. AUD saying something about our economy and perhaps housing.

[@M3DIT4TE]

Thank you sir. God bless

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

So nice of you

[@monkeh86]

Thanks for giving such good information to us for free!

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

It's my pleasure

[@jennielam8522]

Thank you Chris

[@brettbermel8850]

Thanks for the update Chris

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

You bet

[@davescott1491]

Great analysis. What are your thoughts on Enbridge? Thank you.

[@drewjohnson9338]

Good show Chris!!

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Thank you!

[@bginvestor101]

Thanks for video!

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

My pleasure!

[@algorhythmy]

Talking in sets and waves, now you're speaking my language Chris...thanks for the updates as always

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

You bet, Surfs up!

[@gog3tter]

Interest up stocks down back to the 70's play book

[@roberthesz2356]

sitting in cash since last month....waiting like you...

[@Mtnsandoceans]

😂

[@silviofontana5144]

same, same.

[@JoeHagen-y5x]

​@Mtnsandoceans OH, you're laughing like Gavin Newsome was about two years ago regarding spending budget on fire prevention...... anyone who started sitting in cash and waiting for 2 years in 2006 is WAYYYYYY better off on all the other investors who tried to "take advantage" of the market in 2007 and early 2008. Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger always said "we're not the smartest investors. We just don't do anything really stupid" or something to that effect.

[@harryharry3193]

LOVED IT keep it coming. KING DOLLAR

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Will do!

[@silviofontana5144]

Love it, someone with Passion and knowledge.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

More to come!

[@deepnurmom1737]

Ur right about rates i expect double digital interest rates People have no idea what's coming

[@ciarancoyne9104]

Thanks a mill🙏🏻

[@timothylindsay8677]

Excellent

[@buckybarnes3803]

What is a good example of an inverse ETF?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

SDS is a 2x inverse ETF on the S&P500, so if the index falls 10%, SDS will rise 20%, in theory.

[@frankbryan3478]

Another one is the sqqq

[@campmark50]

SQQQ, TSLQ, etc

[@toppersunglasses9288]

TLT looks good

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

not to me

[@jarule8065]

is TLT only ETF. Anything similar?

[@normal_norm2627]

Not if the next wave of inflation is starting.

[@adamtatusko]

If you like TLT, you're gonna absolutely love TMF.

[@TimAZ-ih7yb]

TLT is a buy right now. When the Fed steps in to “save” the world again, rates will plummet and TLT will jump.

[@robinsongbird]

Great analysis! Thank you!

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Welcome!

[@rzmk8620]

Canadian real estate is overvalued by 30%. US Market is up 85% in two years, if you loose 30% still up 40+ percent.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I would love to see that!

[@rzmk8620]

@ Canadian real estate will correct way more than people expecting. We are hurting CAD/USD and I expected this .65 will happen this year.

[@robhoffman510]

unless you bought at the end of that timeframe, then the hurt is real…

[@rzmk8620]

@@robhoffman510 My pain is CAD/USD conversion. It will get even worse. Forget buying in ON, I am not sure if you will get even rent.

[@Daniyoyo]

This is why your suppose to stay in the market

[@Finite.Dasein]

Hi. Can you please share what charting software & data sources you use. Thanks

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I use eSignal, the delayed data version is cheap $59 a month all the data...

[@ClearGlassStudios281]

Do you think Al brooks Course is worth taking?

[@jonathantaylor6926]

If the 10 year hits 6% real estate is COOKED. Investor owned RE is a massive liability for the real estate market. No normal person sells their house because the price dropped by 5 or 10% because they need a place to live. But investors can and will dump their RE holdings if/when prices fall. Why hold a devaluing asset when you can sell and make 6% on your money in the bond market with no risk and no effort? But it gets worse because unlike a normal person an investor could sell 2 homes, 200 homes or even 2,000 homes, but buy zero. Massive additional supply but zero additional demand being added to the system will blow up inventory levels. Increased inventory would put even more downward pressure on RE which would encourage even more investor selling. RE could easily find itself in a powerful negative feedback loop with every force (investor selling, higher rates, higher lending standards, loss of home equity) all pushing in the same direction- down.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

You freaking nailed it! WELL SAID, finally someone gets it better than I do! LOL LOVE IT!

[@billybudapest3129]

One of the reasons yield curve control is coming to central bank near you. And one of the reasons why it is irresponsible of the Fed Chairman to evade questions on the excessive deficits and fiscal spending.

[@jonathantaylor6926]

@ YCC fixes nothing but i don't disagree that is a possibility. The problem extends well past the treasury market- the FED will have to buy MBS debt too. If RE price go down the collateral backing the MBS market falls apart and the UST/MBS spread will increase.

[@danielwoolman8969]

Is there a dollar etf that is leveraged 3x? Or something similar.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

not sure, you would have to google it

[@alexgikas2411]

Uup

[@bookkeepingtipswithty]

Brand new to your channel. So hold USD? I figured in 1-2 years USD would start to level out, now or this year might be a good time to get out of USD. What do you think?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I like USD all my savings is in it!

[@mattwilmshurst8456]

Do you release these videos earlier on a paid for service ?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Yes, members get these before the opening bell, along with afternoon updates, my trade alerts, and monthly mentoring sessions.

[@bradw2k]

Higher rates is a crowded trade. People forget there's such as thing as recession. I think we will be reminded this year.

[@jonathantaylor6926]

Recessions are no guarantee of lower rates even if that has been the case in recent history. You might see some move down in rates initially but once the bond markets start to see higher government spending as a response the recession and lower government revenues as a result of the recession you could easily see a move up. Increased spending and deceased revenues mean a tsunami of additional treasury issuance. Who buys all that debt at what yield remains to be seen.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I dont think its a crowded trade, but time will tell

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Thanks for that!

[@mattwilmshurst8456]

Does the weekly COT report give a good idea of whether a trade is crowded or not ?

[@Advermvp]

Not when you get both... Stagflation. These people calling a top in real estate are in for a rude awakening.

[@azwaryusoff662]

Will it snowball?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Likely

[@TuckermanLane]

Any idea why the high-dividend stocks are getting hammered?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I think a few reasons. Utility stocks selling off, energy stocks too. And passive investors who all own dividend stocks may be starting to sell a little

[@JesseManna]

Same view for real estate in Canada Chris? Thanks!

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Yup

[@lexishannon3952]

@@TheTechnicalTraders 🎉

[@787ram]

I wish you had more content for Canadians, Chris. What should I buy for my TFSA account?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

You can buy and trade almost anything in tfss’s whe it comes to ETFS.

[@erickanter]

10 year at 8? Bring it on.

[@niksm8080]

How does one ride the dollar up? Just hold cash?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

uup or usdu, or just holding usd cash

[@DavidAllison-qs8wn]

If you have a $US trading account, easy to transfer, easy to hold. I did that in 2008/9 & also held gold. It worked out.

[@jbcola74]

as a european, i bought a us tbill etf last year, it was a good deal, + 15% now, so it might even go further north from here...

[@reallycold3991]

S&P looks like a bottom, oil topped

[@Mtnsandoceans]

😂

[@alexb8926]

@@Mtnsandoceans😂😂😂

[@Biztalkcontrolcenter]

Ur amazing.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Right back at you!

[@bernardogoncalvesvcpais4936]

Is still a good time to buy the dollar or i lost the momentum for that ?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I like the dollar

[@heidig.5053]

Not too late, but I wouldn't wait. I'm very heavy USD, glad I did it when no one was really interested.

[@bernardogoncalvesvcpais4936]

I start heavily at the summer but because I’m a rocky on this I didn’t manage my position the right way and they close.i normally do calls and puts and I just loose the majority of the times. So do you think if I buy now with a call I just have to manage better my positions?

[@bernardogoncalvesvcpais4936]

Sorry about this silly questions

[@ronits6361]

extentsion is there above that

[@adamtatusko]

Are you 100% in BIL again now?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

No, we do not own any BIL right now. Sorry :)

[@mikesmith2315]

Well today ended with hammers so might bounce for a few days but this is a downtrend.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I agree

[@DonJordan]

Love your videos, Chris...BUT, I see one problem with your analysis when comparing returns of your strategy vs. the "buy/hold" and "60/40". You always mention that you take profits as the market rises, ie. you take money out of the market at it hits your targets. So you are not 100% vested the entire time when the market makes its 41% and 43% moves, right? Don't get me wrong, I think your method is better and makes sense, but it also would not capture the entire upside moves. Am I wrong?

[@buckybarnes3803]

If interest rates rise, will my cash money market that's now 4% rise past 5% or even 6% again?

[@billybudapest3129]

Not likely unless the Fed raises the discount rate.

[@Mtnsandoceans]

😂

[@borealranger9763]

I have had some lottos in $HRED based on an expectation of double-digit mortgage rates in the next while.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

O-Baby... that could be a good play!

[@thomasduden9265]

Anyone enrolled in his service

[@buckfever4721]

8.34% 10 year with the current debt/equity ratio and current valuations? Why would anyone own stocks?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Exactly... Sell you stocks, and sell your real estate and earn 8% safely! THE CRASH IS COMING... :)

[@buckfever4721]

@@TheTechnicalTraders I'm concerned that the FED will make another severe policy error and really tank the economy. We'll capitalize on it but seeing the country suffer does not give me pleasure.

[@umanrosenberg2079]

Stop the press!! One knows things are serious when Chris talks fundamentals!!

[@jy7654]

8% interest??? Hard time believing that Trump, whose wealth is almost entirely tied to real estate will sit idle for this.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

The markets still do move to where they want to go during uncertain times. You cant just think one person will hold the world market up or keep rates low just for this Trump towers. When major cycles happen no president or Fed can stop the change.

[@raymicciche8869]

Inflation is only caused by the expansion of the money supply. Interest rates follow inflation. If the 10 yr hits 8% it will be only due to money printing. Same thing happened in 70s. Fed funds was cut, money printing resumed, and inflation rebounded 3 times. Volker raised Fed funds each time to curtail bank lending. The Fed can increase M2 by QE or bank lending can increase M2.

[@thomasduden9265]

The bond vigilanties sometime cause this

[@joelhodges6367]

On david lin just recently he forced you to choose between stocks or bonds and you said bonds but here you show 8% yields i guess you mean higher yields in the short term

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Well he put a gun to my head to pick one... Do I think rates are toing to 8%? no, but the charts are saying that. But I dont think bonds will fall as much as stocks will. Stocks could call 35-55% easy, thats huge!

[@hamedsaloom9917]

Hi Chris - what’s you’re short term outlook on Bitcoin - next few weeks ? Do you see it dumping with the stock market and if so to which level before a move up or a bounce ? - many thanks

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Im neutral on it. it could drop huge here, or wave sideways for months just like it did March 2023 - Oct 2023. It's also holding a bull flag pattern, which could be explosive to $126,000, then $149,000

[@hamedsaloom9917]

@ Thankyou

[@horrified993owner]

darkmode bro

[@ronfesta771]

Me thinketh Chris your., get it and get out investing strategy is so simple yet it has to be the only prudent way to invest........wisely!@!?😉😁

[@danieloberlander4267]

Trump's a RE bull, if you think he wants to refinance his portfolio at 8% you're nuts.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I don't really care what he wants, or does not want. I'm just showing what the charts are pointing to :)

[@thomasduden9265]

Presidents don’t control the markets . He tried to do that in the past telling the fed to drop rate , but he’s not supposed to do that .

[@usntheboy1]

Canadians are wat too bearish. What's up with that?

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

It's bear country man... Grab a snow mobile and get up here!

[@mattwilmshurst8456]

@@TheTechnicalTradershaha!

[@gouthamhj]

Since my portfolio was mostly inflation and more liquidity play (Gold & Silver) for a year now, I added 8% of my portfolio couple of months back to TMF mostly as hedge for deflation/recession and also because you continuously said all this while that bonds are in bottoming process for some time now. Looks like you switched today and went bearish on bonds. Even though I am sitting on 20% loss on my small TMF allocation, I was not worried thinking probably a year or so from now, could recover my losses on this one. Please let me know if I should hold it or sell my 8% TMF?

[@khanhcao3123]

I would buy more according to David Hunter.

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Sorry to hear that, but first, I keep saying do not try to pick a bottom in bonds. Its dead money for now. Second 3X efts for short term trades not long term trades. and I have not rally changed my views. Today I talk about the worst case possibility, and how it could happen. Will it, I said I don't think so in the video. AGain I follow price nice try to front run moves that have not happened yet and bet against the current trend...

[@gouthamhj]

@@TheTechnicalTraders Thanks Chris for your reply. I always love to listen to you.

[@martiallaw1233]

🤑🤑💪🤑🤑

[@theodoroseidler7072]

My take is the world is going into a recession. The US is NOT and island. This should take some (not all) steam from inflation. My bet is that a good moment is coming for long duration Bonds. IEF will benefit first, than TLT. Assets that benefit from increase in money supply should benefit, like gold and BTC.

[@johnbonjovi9347]

Chris, You constantly mention ark funds - thats my pain: i lost 350k couple of years ago 😂 never invested in stock market since. You are the first one who restored my hope and interest in stocks 😅

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

Well that sucks to hear, but, yes there is hope. Just as Cathy Wood and Ark Investments is to high risk traders, Myself and TheTechnicalTraders is for savvy investors who value capital protection, compound growth, and simplicity :)

[@johnbonjovi9347]

@ there was a lot of hype around ark, but not only that - i read all their white papers and fell in love with their disruptive thesis, as i love tech. I still believe that her thesis is right though. Unfortunately, thats not the way the markets work and i learned it a hard way: as my friend says “you paid for your Harvard degree in investing”🤣 Anyways, as soon as i make the purchase of a CRE which i need for business- i will come to you to try

[@Tazmanian_Ninja]

Please don't start doing this with a miniature of you in the corner. It's pointless and distracting. What would be the purpose of it?

[@ZimCrusher]

I haven't lived in Canada for about 18 years. Are Canadians still dks about the US dollar? When I was there the USD was up like 10-15 cents over the CAD, but if you handed any shop a USD they would say "We don't give change based on the exchange rate. We treat it as CAD, so this Dollar is worth ONE CAD." And they would just keep the change. But.... When the CAD got 5 cents above the USD, they would say "That $1.10 USD, sorey."

[@TheTechnicalTraders]

I don't think Canadians are dks about he USD, or dks in general. Maybe your just hanging around the wrong group of people on this side of the boarder.. LOL

[@ZimCrusher]

@@TheTechnicalTraders " I don't think Canadians are dks about he USD, or dks in general. Maybe your just hanging around the wrong group of people on this side of the boarder.. LOL " I had so many Canadian friends in LA, that when I got a job in Canada, I thought it would be paradise. When I told them I was moving to Toronto, they all said "That's not Canada.Toronto thinks it's Canada, but it's not." I will tell you Toronto is bipolar. 10 months out of the year it's the most aweful place to live, ever. Never saw Snow and lighting before Canada, either. The summer months... completely different: friendly, expensive cars, hot girls, great weather, random people on the street would invite me to drink with them, or to a party. The only downside was the pig factory, but I hear it moved. But summer is only 2 months. Love their money, though. The Tooni coin is really cool looking with the yellow center. And the Gold Maples... very nice.