2024 NBA Western Conference Finals Picks & Predictions | Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 2 Best Bets

[@Wagertalk]

👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏀 Live NBA Odds: wt.buzz/nba-odds 🏀 More Free NBA Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NBA 🤷‍♂ What is your BEST BET for NBA Playoffs tonight? Let us know in the comments below 👇

[@jodesystem528]

😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊

[@stevemerril3086]

Smash that LIKE button everyone!

[@anthonywilson5126]

0:24

[@gazo322]

Great call on over! Took Boston -9, OV 225, UN 6 Stars/Oilers. From $40 to $300. THANK YOU STEVE! As always god bless & good luck to all🙏🙏

[@Wagertalk]

Bang!

[@stevemerril3086]

Awesome to hear!

[@monicagudino6738]

Idk how u get 300 on the parley. It's probably+345 . 😂

[@gazo322]

Put $40 on a two teamer (Mavs ml & Over) and hit for $160. Then last night put $20 on that three team^ for $140

[@alexh7064]

very nice

[@SubsLeftzero]

Loving the content Steve! I’ve been watching for about 1.5 months and I am up double digit units from your insights. Thank you for breaking down all of the games and keeping the content free!

[@magicshow32]

Thanks for all the great videos on NBA Playoffs! I like Luka over 28.5 Points tonight.

[@stevemerril3086]

Hard to bet against Luka

[@ghxstreborn]

Great breakdown as always Steve! Lastnight I know you were high on the Boston TT and it was the safer bet but I had to trust everything I’ve learned from you over these playoffs and all season. I took each of these plays 1u separate and parlayed. Indiana TT Over and I faded Tatums points and also his rebounds. And cashed out! I noticed a pattern for him struggling in game 2s that was very noticeable. I just wanted to say thank you again for all the hard work you do for us, I have learned so many approaches to achieve the same goal thanks to your help.

[@stevemerril3086]

Awesome to hear! Tatum definitely has a tendency to regress at times.

[@MrRobbob1984]

Really good analysis Steve, keep up the great work. Rob in the UK.

[@stevemerril3086]

Thanks Rob... always appreciate the international viewers!

[@seanfalkowski9948]

Thanks Steve!!! I like the Lively rebounds over 6.5. Gone over 4 of last 5. And with the outside shooting of Minn plenty of oppurtunities

[@stevemerril3086]

Rebounds makes more sense for Lively (than points)

[@paulwheeldreyer7127]

Ya, he's been putting up big rebound numbers, I bet his rebound over in Game 1.

[@wjking5219]

I agree Lively isn't getting enough shot attempts to justify over 8.5 points. Having said that, he was a beast on the boards with 11 in G1. He started getting more minutes than Gafford starting in the middle of the OKC series. The number the jumped out at me is Lively is averaging 2 assists the past 5 playoff games. His PRA total is set at 15.5 which he has easily topped in his last 4 of 5 games and the miss was a 15 PRA when he only played 25 minutes. TLDR: I already took Lively o15.5 PRA. I expect points to be down some, but I still expect him to grab 8-10 boards, at least 1 assist and for him to get 4-8 points. Good luck!!

[@toshanekhullar5915]

Your videos give me great perspective as to what to wager on, feel lucky to have found your channel. cheers Steve!

[@36cmbr]

Talk more about “on line limits”. You pros are amazingly hard working people ! This wagering is a $100 per month adventure for me, but I’m amazed at the excellence wagering pros like you demonstrate. Lately at months end I have a small rake☺️. 77 years old, fixed income and prone to small disasters. Limits have changed my life. 🙏🏾 Twolves might have a 3 in a row special in mind. Start with an ANT >40P tonight.

[@stevemerril3086]

It is very important to have multiple accounts for line shopping and also in order to bet higher limits.

[@pchn0071]

I like the wolves to start fast again. Mavs seem to be a slow starting team, so wolves -1.5/1st Qt or -2.5/1st half is the play for me.

[@stevemerril3086]

Oddsmakers have juiced 1Q and 1H line higher

[@theresatoyota-yq4sk]

Great hit I saw this comment I should have listened

[@pchn0071]

@@theresatoyota-yq4sk EZ Winners ;)

[@freshpr796]

My first time betting free for all of you guys 😂 4 Leg Same Game Parlay SEP Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves Kyrie Irving Total Points | Over 22.5 Jaden McDaniels Total Points | Over 12.5 Daniel Gafford Total Rebounds | Over 5.5 Dereck Lively II Total Rebounds | Over 6.5 Wager Payout -+750 $50| $425.00

[@drinkingpoolwater]

mavs +points. wolves will win in dallas on road. my pick.

[@stevemerril3086]

Good luck tonight

[@Royden-py3kd]

Thank you for your videos I find it very helpful. I use your picks on wager talks but I’m just a small time better.

[@DR3AMDEN1ER]

I’ve been watching these videos every day they come out for almost a month now. There hasn’t been a week I was in the negative. Thank you for these videos Steve 🙏

[@TD-fq2qd]

Cashed out that Under Det/Tor game Steve. I loved the pick. Idk what’s going on with Det bullpen.

[@gaminginhd4142]

Great pointers man!! Such detailed insight

[@DJCloroxx]

Gobert unders are tasty. Luka and Kyrie run as many Pick n Rolls as anyone... gobert isn't "unplayable" like he was in the playoffs with Utah... but I wouldn't be surprised if he plays less for matchup reasons.

[@johnnyjumpmann]

I like Rudy Goebert under PRA 27.5. KAT over pts 19.5 and I got Mavericks +7 for (-125) on bovada. Then sprinkle ML (+210) I do like Minnesota under team total and your Ant Man 3s prop tho for sure. Been killing it for us Steve. Always appreciated. Side Note. Teams that are higher seeded that lose game 1 then come home for game 2 are 37-12 SU 28-20-1 ATS in conference finals game 2 after home lose in game 1, teams are 9-7 SU 6-10 ATS And the Under is 10-5-1 as well. But I do like the over in this game. I feel this game makes a few trends irrelvant tonight even tho it's a bounce back spot for Twolves. Thanks for the baseball free plays as well daily Steve. Appreciate everything you do brother.

[@penguinpog6674]

I think the wolves offense isn’t good enough yet. Ant and crew will have their time but it’s levels to this. Dallas ml for me.

[@richc3511]

I have 1.Over 207 2. Parlay 2 leg Gobert under 12.5 REB McDaniel 2 made threes I also love Gobert over 1.5 assists.

[@Wagertalk]

@richc3511, good luck with your action!

[@stevemerril3086]

Thank you for watching!

[@homeboyday8402]

yoo i gotta parlay that’s hitting!!not in a state to do so. all locks🔒want to make money together? hmu most i hit was 4k💰

[@Makako_Loko]

As always thank you g, lets get that money!!

[@kevinroberson]

I did a prop bet the over on points with kyrie,luka,and Edward's.

[@danielbaucom5252]

Steve! andrew nembhard under killed me last night! can’t win every night, let’s get back today

[@allstars617]

Killed me too

[@ChrisDavid-e7j]

Would you recommend Mavs +6 and T-wolves on ML? I feel like a bucket winner by T-wolves

[@stevemerril3086]

Depends on the price margin... but +6 is a good number currently. About 19% game lands in-between.

[@richc3511]

4 superstars in this series are from New Jersey High Schools I’ve watched Kyrie, Nas, and SLO Mo in High School. I am big St Anthony Friar fan.

[@stevemerril3086]

Great point

[@alfredsalazar97]

I couldn't catch the recommendations for this game as far as the total and side? Recommend over?

[@vidskiegabines2435]

Hi steve im taking again the dallas 5.5+ and moneyline since the minnesota is taking again all the money bet percentage

[@rodschlosser335]

Steve your thoughts on Minnesota clamping down on Defense in game 2 vs Dallas regarding the Total over 208 pts.

[@thejanglezclan]

I wouldn't count out the same T'Wolves team that beat Denver 3 times on the road in the last series. If anybody can pull off a game or two in Dallas, it's Minnesota.

[@richshawver8134]

They will win on road because all the money is on home teams, similar to the last series.

[@stevemerril3086]

Key will be if Minnesota is still tired

[@markmatras5892]

I thinks Rich’s comment above is pretty accurate. Funny how in the playoffs home teams aren’t covering as much, or even winning. The world will bet on Minnesota tonight. They will win probably by 3 and not cover. Lol

[@bucknastynastybuck]

​​@@markmatras5892yep... Dallas can play free, the wolves gonna have to literally destroy em early and win by 15+ or if they're tied and trading buckets in final 5 minutes I can definitely see a bucket win.

[@drewski1298]

Mavs +5 Edward’s can’t Luka or Kyrie gafford and Washington is neutralizing Gobert and Kat and if it wasn’t for McDaniels 5 threes mavs would’ve won by 10+

[@stevemerril3086]

Good luck tonight!

[@richc3511]

Merrill’s on the money.

[@stevemerril3086]

$$$

[@ghxstreborn]

My model has tonight’s total at 217 of course we adjust for playoffs and this still feels like an over spot for us. The fact that Dallas hit so few 3’s last game is scary. The model has Dallas -3.5. Not sure that I’ll play a side here. Possibly team totals. I’ll be back to post my final play and show your video some more love.

[@stevemerril3086]

I agree, total looks low based on recent results. Just depends if Minnesota's "#1" defense clamps down.

[@ghxstreborn]

@@stevemerril3086 Exactly lol

[@ducknuts6146]

where do u get a model?

[@ghxstreborn]

@@ducknuts6146 I made it using a spreadsheet that inputs data from every team in the nba every game they play.

[@ghxstreborn]

@@stevemerril3086 Check out that model number 😳 What a game tonight!

[@Bgl-fz3cs]

I think I like Mavs +5.5 tonight and Kyrie over points again

[@Wagertalk]

@Bgl-fz3cs, good luck with your action!

[@stevemerril3086]

Kyrie was excellent in Game 1

[@BD_1437]

Like dallas at +5.5 fan duel odds, minnesota will even up series. Better value on dog, Karl anthony towns over 20.5 points, like mcdaniels over his points. We celebrated our victoria day long wknd here in toronto canada last wknd, so happy memorial day wknd to u and your family. Good luck. Big Daddy

[@Wagertalk]

@BD_1437, good luck with your action!

[@stevemerril3086]

Have a great Memorial Day weekend Big Daddy... always great to hear from you my friend!

[@Wewinninjitt]

🐐‼️‼️‼️ let’s go up

[@stevemerril3086]

Good luck tonight!

[@EvanHowey]

Let’s beat these books today🤑

[@stevemerril3086]

Every day $$$

[@travisdavidson2663]

Conley over 10 pts and over 2+ 3’s bet the farm on it.

[@darrenlawrence1897]

I'm going to my best friends wedding today Steve no work for me haha best of luck with al your action. I am in play for wolves spread 1st half should come out focused and desperate to win on the home floor tn. I also like the fever on the ML wnba they have come close many games in a hard schedule.

[@stans9487]

The only saving me last nite was a live bet on Fanatics for Tatum over 19pts. I made at end of 3rd. Hali-hurtin can't shoot 3's ridin ice on bench. And who's the real talent on the C's anyway? I like D.Lively on overs tonite, and if that guy learns how to dribble soon, Dallas will tough to beat rest of way. It may be last game Lively isnt respected more on the odds. My immediate financial future is on that skinny, afro-flaunting, ali+oop/rebound dunkin' s.o.b. Good luck all and safe wknds.

[@agripinobocado8900]

Keep it going Steve please

[@jonesbonesjr]

Cheers Steve

[@timcollins8452]

I like Dallas with points. What you think?

[@stevemerril3086]

Game 1 was probably a better spot for them.

[@timcollins8452]

If the lines stay below 6 go with Minnesota above 6 go with Dallas ???

[@stevemerril1485]

​@@timcollins8452 I have no opinion on the side for game two, situation favored Dallas and game one, situation favors Minnesota to bounce back now in game 2, however the line is inflated too high.

[@timcollins8452]

Thanks, Steve ! I totally agree with you about the lines being too high. That's why I was lending towards Dallas. Minnesota should win. I think it will be close they want cover. Appreciate you gave me great insight. Keep up the Great Job You Do !!!! Very Knowledgeable

[@StephenFallon-wt7lv]

As good as the wolves D is, I don't think they can cover Kyrie. I look for Kyrie to go off again here. Pts/assists, & 3s. Dallas covers but not sure if they win. To me KAT is overrated. Jus sayin inconsistent.

[@BREED-rv6kt]

The craziest stat I heard from game 1 was from Kenny Smith on the TNT post-game show. He said that the Mavericks scored TWENTY POINTS on dunks from Gafford and Lively and that was a huge reason they were able to win with such a 3-point field goal discrepancy. Obviously, field goal percentage is through the roof on dunks nearing 100% and it showed that despite the SIZE and Gobert being the Defensive Player of the Year, Dallas was able to score at the rim. Not sure what adjustment could be or will be made to offset that but that was an eye-opening number to hear.

[@BREED-rv6kt]

How many dunks was that tonight outta those two? Wow!

[@ovenfresh1]

Ok double R 1 L....you got me a little scared after watching this. I went true degen before the hockey and nba current series and bet for the series florida panthers +2.5 games, Oilers +2.5 games and Twolves +1.5 games which came out to be -118. But you said you think the mavs are going to win the series. Please tell me it at least goes 7 or should just put my depends on and stress this out?

[@bryankishner8520]

STEVE, we need you where are you today? It is Saturday. We need your commentary on Boston with Indiana the one that I trust more.

[@ghert3850]

Smashed that TTo last night 👀 let’s gooooooooooo

[@StephenFallon-wt7lv]

Draftkings offers the centennial club. SGP Bet $100 & get 100% boost. So I took Boston-9/team ttl over, D.White +3.5 threes, Siakim over pts/rebounds, and Indy team ttl under 107.5 That basement league bench warmer hits the 3 w less than 30sec. left to go over team ttl points! Killed my $3000..😢

[@HarveyCrawford1964]

PJ Washington 5.5 rb

[@stevemerril3086]

Over or Under

[@deanchen6591]

Minny seemed to settle a lot in game 1, I would expected Ant man to be more aggressive, and work the mid range. Really impressed with Kyrie as the tone setter, and he seems to have really matured into a good leader, not the kook he has been for most his career.

[@paulwheeldreyer7127]

I was on Mavs ML Game 1. I lean Minnesota here, the spot is obviously much better for Minnesota. The concern is, and I think Steve basically said the same thing, is that the Mavs may just be this good. Maybe the +5.5 is too much, even with the spot advantage for Minnesota (I usually bet NBA dogs ML, since they very often win when they cover, though once it starts to get above 5, I sometimes take the points). So I lean Minnesota, but the Mavs are undoubtedly dangerous, especially with the production they're getting from Washington, Lively, and Derrick Jones.

[@jonbutler4681]

Great analysis. Dallas might cover. But Dallas might not cover

[@Ihavetocorrectyou]

​@@jonbutler4681😂

[@BennettBenton]

Thanks

[@JohnnyBreemo]

Gobert under 26.5 pra seems free. He's gone under 26.5 pra in 8 of last 10. Had 34 pra way back in game 1 vs suns where he shot 6-8 shooting and 32 pra in game 4 vs nuggets were he was a perfect 7-7 shooting. Don't expect him to have a perfect shooting night. Any game he's had less than 75% shooting he has gone under. I believe towns, pj and derrick jones pt totals go over. I agree to fade edwards besides maybe his 3pt prop.

[@wes7598]

Thanks steve

[@stevemerril3086]

Good luck tonight Wes

[@EdelSantiesteban-ch4cf]

So who covers? Big story about numbers but no winners

[@richshawver8134]

I like Mavs plus the points all the money is on the Wolves again, Wolves will win on road when money isn't on them similar to last series.

[@ChrisDavid-e7j]

Steve mentioned the underdog (Mavs) in this spot so we are in good hands.

[@nickigees4]

Tor/ det nrfi & under 8.5 Dodgers and gm under 10.5 Brewers first 5 and -1.5 Tx/min o8.5 Cubbies ML Clev ml Ny/sd over 7.5 I have dallas mavs winning it all

[@Wagertalk]

@nickigees4, good luck with your action!

[@stevemerril3086]

Thank you for watching!

[@homeboyday8402]

yoo i gotta parlay that’s hitting!!not in a state to do so. all locks🔒want to make money together? hmu most i hit was 4k💰

[@catch_uslipin888]

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 0-12 ATS as a favorite of >-16, following a game in which they shot >1.8. (assist -turnover ratio) and in which they shot

[@hakeemsmith6820]

McDaniel 20+ points

[@Wagertalk]

@hakeemsmith6820, good luck with your action!

[@stevemerril3086]

I like McDaniels Over

[@ClaireDelmonte]

is it minnesota and under? im not good at english steve. sorry…

[@richshawver8134]

Take Mavs and the points

[@jimmac2419]

I think he still prefers the over

[@ClaireDelmonte]

@@jimmac2419 thank you my friend

[@jimmac2419]

@@ClaireDelmonte Good luck

[@travisdavidson2663]

Edwards assists or rebounds +assist

[@loloyal888]

I took Jaden McDaniels P+R under.

[@stevemerril3086]

Good luck

[@loloyal888]

@@stevemerril3086 that’s not a pick you would suggest ?

[@stevemerril1485]

​@@loloyal888 I have no opinion on the side for game two, situation favored Dallas and game 1, situation probably favors Minnesota to bounce back now in game two, but the line is inflated too high.

[@loloyal888]

@@stevemerril1485 can you see dallas winning game two ? Just like Minnesota vs Denver ?

[@JohnnyBreemo]

People complicating this too much. Min ml is locked 100%. Its just a matter of how much. They probably cover and this could be a statement game where they blow the mavs out. Min ml and under the total. I would avoid prop bets in this game. Min not going to dallas down 0-2.

[@dannymoore5212]

You might as well be taking in a different language I just can’t get who might win or lose

[@raneshabrown4110]

I think Wolves are better than Dallas 🤔🤷🏾‍♀️ but we shall see

[@raneshabrown4110]

This reminds me of the Suns series Defense wins Championships and they are the #1 Defense team if the Wolves were rested they would have won game 1

[@stevemerril3086]

Definitely a bounce back spot tonight for the TWolves... if they are for real.

[@Ihavetocorrectyou]

​@@raneshabrown411020 year Olds tired? That's a a lame duck excuse

[@latifmadmoney713]

Do you like the over tonight

[@stans9487]

One more thing...does anyone out there get f'n bullsh*t when these big dudes that should be getting rebounds and putbacks, f'n camp out outside the arc waitin to look pretty? See the difference in Dallas. F'n K.A.T. has no biz out there, imo. Go Dallas. I like what you said regarding the props. Good info. U help my see-saw brain.

[@matilehesalu]

If Minny doesn’t win game … they can “ turn out the lights , the party is over “ 🤠🏀🍻

[@mickytrinh6812]

Hi Steve

[@stevemerril3086]

Hi Micky

[@alexh7064]

we need to start putting some respect on lively's name. this is not a fluke. should've just went with my gut and the data. lively under was a bad read steve.

[@jackbarkow1279]

Steve not feeling that any lists tbh

[@kenneth8077]

Steve, are you in any way related to Michael Keaton? His son, his younger brother, his cousin? There is a resemblance going on. Not to mention the speech pattern is familiar aside from yours being non phony & straight forward and his having the acting Hollywood element going. Same tone as well! You ever think about being an actor?

[@stevemerril3086]

I don't get Michael Keaton too often, but I do feel like a few people have mentioned it in the past... I get Will Ferrell quite often, LoL

[@kenneth8077]

@@stevemerril3086 - idk based on video it’s more like Keaton to me. As I was listening to your deep dive in the game tonight I was thinking you could be a Keaton double easily. lol. Have a great weekend!

[@stevemerril1485]

​@@kenneth8077 nothing wrong with Michael Keaton, I'll gladly take that 👍

[@FittyCent50]

Zig Zag

[@davidadkins4077]

Mcdaniehs over 3.5 boards.

[@tombrancato803]

👍

[@stevemerril3086]

Thank you for watching

[@davidadkins4077]

Pj over 5.5 boards

[@princepaul6739]

Fade Boston 2nite

[@BlackOpsRocks7209]

Karl Anthony Towns under 32.5 P +R+A

[@sunshinewaterandwoods1033]

Money!! $$

[@generaluse2878]

If you followed every advice given by Steve in this video, you would have lost money big time. The main bet on Minnesota would have lost, as Dallas won, and almost all the prop bets lost.

[@ITJustMeKG]

naz reid, anyone?

[@ValentineAdell]

IT WAS ALWAYS MAVS

[@kac2868]

I think Minnesota has to win the game but I'm not sure if they'll cover the 5-5 &1/2 spread. I can see a 2-3 point close win. I like the Over Total game points, not sure about the half time Over/Under. I can see both teams scoring and it coming down to the wire, but Minnesota can't afford to go to Dallas down 0-2. I do see Dallas winning the series in 6 or maybe 7 games though.