Week 17 Injury & Weather Report + Updated Rankings | 2024 Fantasy Football

[@Ken-nd6hz]

Thank you for your hard work

[@niceandblunt]

You're welcome

[@pistolrx9313]

Thank you Adam

[@niceandblunt]

You're welcome!

[@Ken-nd6hz]

Really good show

[@bobbachelor5930]

Excellent show ! Very thorough !

[@niceandblunt]

Muchas gracias!

[@meterreaderpdx]

Help Adam! Now that Tyreek is hobbled, pick three to start in my Full PPR league please: Downs (with Flacco), Thielen, McMillan, Tyrone Tracy? Thanks for the great shows, btw!🏈

[@niceandblunt]

I think the player I would bench is Downs. He's pretty TD dependent, and I don't know what I'm getting in terms of volume. Flacco looked bad earlier in the year, and last week they ran it literally 40 times. If downs goes for 60 and a TD again it might only be on 4 targets and If rather chase more reliable volume. Mcmillan is hot, and both Otton and shephard are out. Thielen is the safest bet to score a TD in CAR without chuba And tracy is healthy. Clearly the main RB, and the colts just gave up like 30 points to TEN, mainly on rushing TDs. I would start Tracy, Mcmillan and Thielen Good luck!

[@Ken-nd6hz]

For my rb2. Ppr. Should I play j Ford, r white, or t spears ..if weather might be a factor

[@niceandblunt]

I trust Ford a lot The volume is gunna be force fed this week given the weather. He's playing very well without chubb No njoku means if they do throw it. Uts even more likely to be a checkdown to him He has such a safe floor in my opinion Rachaad gets a great matchup and catcges passes but the snap share with bucky irving is why I prefer Ford Tyjae is very TD dependent. Even if he scores twice again Ford should probably be right on his heels if not above him Gimme Ford

[@TheresaPalmer-k5k]

Thanks Adam. Going for the championship. Need 2. Breece, J. Taylor, Pollard, T Spears? Dolphins or Packers Defense. Help? Thank you

[@niceandblunt]

Taylor 100% Great matchup and elite volume to close the season Im leaning Breece for the 2nd but if we got work sunday morning that pollard doesnt play, I would switch to Tyjae Spears. He's too TD reliant for me to rank above Breece if Pollard is there to split the backfield. But he's very tempting. Not far behind Breece. Defense gimme the Dolphins. Weather is gross and vs DTR is way safer than facing Jefferson and Addison with the Vikings home field advantage To recap: Taylor and Hall at RB unless Pollard is out Defense: miami Good luck!

[@infiniteimagination3527]

Full PPR, who should I flex? Jennings, White, Ford, or McMillan?

[@niceandblunt]

Full PPR is pretty close I would bench Jennings and White probably Their TD odds are the lowest in my view But if they both catch 7 receptions I wouldnt be shocked. Honestly all 4 have a high floor this week. This is a tough decision Jalen mcmillan is so tempting TD should hit Reliably should see 7- 8 targets A must win game at home. Baker should step up despite being shut down often by CAR. There's some slight risk he burns you though even after the hot streak Meanwhile I think Ford has the higher floor. He's been great the last 2 games, and in thw rain and wind they should force feed him the ball again If they do throw it, check downs should probably be heavy this week without Njoku I would have to go Ford. Volume is king, and Ford will see the most Good luck!

[@infiniteimagination3527]

@ Ok I just picked up Tyjae of waivers, do you think he might be the better play over Ford or should I just rock with Ford over Spears? Appreciate the feedback and the content btw! 🙌🏽🙌🏽🙌🏽

[@benk5487]

Starting chig over Henry even though the weather scares me a little. As a pats fan my gut tells me Henry , but I don’t trust our offense 🤣

[@niceandblunt]

If hooper wasnt there I would totally trust Henry Revnge game too he might get the TD That one is very close. Trust your gut. Chig is getting funneled targets but he could lay an egg. Henry has been more reliable all year. Honestly I'm talking myself into henry. I think for the sake of entertainment I might just start my guy on my team and enjoy the watch and live with it. Do what makes you happy. The difference in 3 spots on the rankings isnt that much

[@benk5487]

@ went against my gut last week and Henry scored more so I’m sticking wit the gut this week! Appreciate you for putting this video out!

[@niceandblunt]

It's still early in the 3rd but this usage for Henry is shocking after he's been Maye's top target all year

[@benk5487]

@ right!?!

[@tableskier]

In the championship, Start 1 at WR: Thielen McMillan Jennings

[@niceandblunt]

I would start Mcmillan Ride the hot hand. He nearly scored his 5th TD in 3 games if the 2nd TD wasnt ripped out of his hands last week Jennings should play well but I think mcmillan is more likely to score a TD. Thielen might score but also might not go over 50 yards I like Jalen Mcmillan

[@markbenitez4830]

I lost hurts, are you seriously saying I should play Maye, Bryce young and Micheal Penix are also available.

[@niceandblunt]

Yes I would start Drake Maye Bryce is shockingly playing well, but its hyper reliant on rushing TDs. The Bucs run defense has really clamped down lately and he's kinda like Caleb williams where he either goes over 25 or stays below 14 Penix didnt throw a single TD last week. While he looked good, I dont think the game plan will pivot much in the red zone. Cousins wasnt throwing TDs either. 1 game sample size isnt much, but Penix had less than 10 points in a good matchup. He's done nothing for me to trust him Maye is AVG 16 points/G this season He's a reliable floor play. Good matchuo. He often runs for over 50 yards Drake Maye 100%

[@TheresaPalmer-k5k]

Addams need advice? Sam LaPorta or T.J Hockenson for the championship. Dome against Weather? Help? Thanks.

[@niceandblunt]

Hockenson doesnt have a TD yet this season and last week had less than 30 yards He's not that safe this season With no Montgomery, goff has to throw a lot more and Laporta is even more likely to score a TD Laporta all the way

[@TheresaPalmer-k5k]

@niceandblunt thanks Adam. You really are awesome. Thanks for guiding me this my first year of fantasy football.

[@kenpendelton9638]

Ford or Brian Robinson?

[@niceandblunt]

Brob has been stinking it up layely and 2 fimbles last week increases the risk of being in the dog house if it happens again Commanders have moved off running it ok the goal line lately. I do not trust robinson much anymore Gimme ford Way to much volume

[@brewcrew5854]

hubbard out i was hoping for some input on blackshear oh well

[@StephanosVincent]

Same

[@niceandblunt]

Sorry about that. He was placed on IR this morning. I didnt see he was out before I recorded this. I do not trust Blacksheer. The volume might be decent, but this is not a team like SF where they can insert anyone and they are still very productive Blacksheer would be a low end flex play I'd probably rank him behind Rhamondre Stevenson but above Swift. Somewhere around RB 27 or so. He'd be in the same range as the LV backfield and JAX backfield. Given I've at least seen it before and now what to expect. I'd rather start Ameer Abdullah off the wire than Blacksheer. But my expectation for both is pretty similar. Hoping for a TD. Without it 75 yards and multiple catches feels like a best case scenario. Good luck with your decision. If you have another question on who to start, I recommend qriting a new comment entirely. I dont always get notified about the replies

[@niceandblunt]

A low end flex play. Comparable value to D'andre Swift, Tank Bigbsy, Ameer Abdullah

[@brewcrew5854]

@@niceandblunt lost monte cut najee benched warren and am left with etienne and miller and some guy on green bay 3rd stringer it was a heavy wr draft build !

[@niceandblunt]

Gotta go ETN and hope for the best I think. Blacksheer is a prayer against TB. That run defense is elite right now

[@greatscott0515]

Got to the Championship in both leagues and would appreciate the help! 1) Since Hurts is out, Roll with Stafford tonight, Richardson, or Drake Maye? 2) PPR Flex, McConkey, Dobbins, Nabers, or Thielen? 3) PPR Flex Breece Hall or Isaac Guerendo? 4) Chargers or Raiders Defense? Thanks again! Let's go win some Championships! 🏆

[@niceandblunt]

1. Drake Maye. His rushing stats give him arelatively bist proof floor and the matchup is good lately. High upside this week 2. This one is super close but I lean JK Nabers has a high floor with so much volume but minimal TDs Mcconkey catches everything but likely wont see more than 7 targets Dobbins should be excellent but minimal receptions I would pass on thielen. Gimme Dobbins. I think he has a similar floor to the WRs and the safest path for a TD. 3. As long as guerendo continues to practice today then I would start him on Monday. Make sure. Because a bagel would burn you. He has the much higher upside against a very banged up defense. Breece is fine, but not playing as well as we expected. Plan for Guerendo, but double check the practice reps today to make sure he's still on track to play. 4. Raiders D/ST Chargers defense is banged up and giving up a lot of yards lately. They play well on the road. But I trust the Rattler matchup far more than the Drake Maye matchup

[@niceandblunt]

Congrats on making the finals! Lets bring home the chip!

[@kikidd5]

Would you start McMillan or Dobbins in your flex? .5 ppr

[@sksnnsksnsnsbsbb]

mcmillian, otto and shepard is out , he gonna feast agsib

[@Ken-nd6hz]

Also should I start McMillan over Brian thomas Jr in my flex

[@niceandblunt]

Thats very close. Mcmillan is on a hot streak, but Dobbins feels and looks good in practice reportedly. He has no competition this week. I would expect him to have a good game. The Patriots run defense isnt scary at all. I love mcmillan right now, he has the hot hand. But if there's ever a matchup that can shut Baker down it's the Panthers for some reason. They are also terrible against the run, so I could see a lot of handoffs in the red zone. Mcmillan is tempting, but I think Dobbins has the safer floor with an even higher ceiling I think both score a TD so I would take the safer path for yds and start Dobbins I also started mcmillan myself last week so I have been watching closely the last few weeks. He's good but he dropped a critical pass on 3rd down to extend a drive, and that 2nd TD was ripped out of his hands. There's still a couple red flags that make me think Dobbins is the safer play

[@niceandblunt]

Brian thomas all the way He's such a stud and been doing it all year. Mcmillan only came on the last few weeks

[@Ken-nd6hz]

For my flex should i pick up mcmillon over brian thomas jr

[@niceandblunt]

Do not bench brian thomas But maybe stash mcmillan on the bench so your opponent doesnt start him

[@mikeandroid3512]

Conner or Mattison? Pick 1 McMillan/mooney/Nabers/Cooks ? Pick 2 Goff/rudolph/Tua/Penix pick 1 Non-PPR Will lions start Goff Monday if Vikings win Sunday ???

[@niceandblunt]

As long as Conner plays, I would start him for sure. Mattison in a time share isn't even close to how valuable Conner is. Last 4 games Conner is tied with Jacobs as RB 1 AVG 20.7 pts/ g At WR give me McMillan and Nabers Nabers' elite volume is bust proof. A high floor play, but rarely any TDs McMillan will step up even more without otton or shephard, and he's on a TD streak I don't trust penix enough to go mooney. No chance I trust Cooks over the other options Goff 100% Tua is now doubtful with the hip. It's not even close with Rudolph and penix According to Campbell they are refusing to bench starters monday. If they are locked into the 1 seed they risk losing momentum by benching starters in week 17, 18 and the 1st round BYE. 3 weeks off is too much. They also want revenge for last year's NFC championship loss Goff will play

[@mikeandroid3512]

@@niceandblunt thank you so much for the detailed answer. I’m not going to overthink this and I’ll roll with Connor and Jared Goff. I don’t trust Mattison either I find he’s just meh. Tua is apparently doubtful now as of a couple minutes ago according to Yahoo. So I’m not even gonna think about him plus playing in bad weather.

[@tollyball]

The Packers trend of running the ball will not stop against the Vikings nor will the Vikings be able to stop the run. This game will be a statement game for how the Packer’s offense will operate in the playoffs. Limit the opponents time of possession and physically pound the ball.

[@niceandblunt]

I have tremendous confidence in the Packers come the playoffs. I picked them to reach the super bowl and I'm sticking with it. But personally I dont think they need to lay it all out on the line here in week 17. Especially with Jacobs. They can't win the division. They will demolish the bears in week 18 so that means they are probably locked into the 6 seed, and winning this game is just to play spoiler to the vikings division hopes. They're trying to win of course, but why not use this chance to further establish the pass game? Which to your point is not the identity of the offense right now. I would much rather see them get Love into a rhythm going into January. He hasnt been asked to do much lately, and we saw last week their willingness to rest Jacobs early. Maybe they stick with the run first approach, but I feel like keeping Jacobs healthy should be the priority and they should rotate Emmanuel Wilson and Chris Brooks again this week if they can. I would really like to see Jordan Love have a dominant game for once. It's practically a stand alone game on the tv schedule. It's indoors & he torched them last year in Minnesota in a primetime game as well. If Love gets hot, they're an extremely difficult team to beat in the postseason. If not, they're more 1 dimensional and a good run defense could be a problem. Giving Love some extra confidence heading into January is not a bad thing at all. I could be wrong, but I'm dying to see Jordan Love win them a game through the air. If the vikes come out hot, then gamescript will force the issue to throw.

[@davo5400]

Flex who ya like, LaPorta or Dowdle?

[@niceandblunt]

Yikes that cowboys offense is hard to predict without Lamb On one hand I think Dowdle gets a ton of volume On the other hand I think he's probably held out of the end zone again. I think if you want a high floor, go Dowdle For the ceiling Laporta probably has a better shot at a TD but even then, he rarely goes over 50 yards I think Dowdle is the play but not by much. The opportunity should be there If there was ever a week they force fed him touches on the goal line it would be this week. Philly doesnt have much to play for. Cowboys are hungry. Plus there's a chance that if the Vikings lose Sunday, the lions rest starters on Monday a bit. Gimme Rico Dowdle

[@KashfiFahim]

I need an explanation for why Bucs are #1 DST

[@niceandblunt]

I dont think its a massive difference between 1 and the rest this week. The defense rankings were tougher to pin down than usual honestly But its a must win game at home. And this division rivalry almost never turns into a shootout. If anything its usually low scoring. Last year week 18 bucs won 9 - 0 Earlier this month the panthers only scored 23 at home The TB run defense is playing really well right now and Hubbard, their best player, is now out. I dont trust blacksheer, so young will have to throw and probably force a pick or 2 Predicting defensive TDs can be random but from a floor standpoint I think they're bust proof this week & I cant envision they burn you I had the steelers top 6 though, started them wednesday and they got me -1 so I could totally be wrong. I had the raiders @NO ranked 1st back on wednesday followed by MIA, but in the back of my head those games feel oddly risky for some reason to rank 1st

[@KashfiFahim]

​@@niceandblunt Thanks for the break down. Totally agree, the DST choice is really tough. Your logic makes sense. Thanks! Wishing you a happy new year too!

[@niceandblunt]

Happy new year Good luck today!

[@iNarga]

chubba placed on IR. hate to see it

[@niceandblunt]

Yeah that sucks. He's been a stud this year

[@MoBarclay]

The Rams want to win. If they don’t win, Seahawks and Rams play for the NFC west title next week. If Rams win, they win the NFC West fyi

[@niceandblunt]

Fair point

[@chrischarleston8268]

Should I play b hall over James Connor

[@firechanneltvonyoutube]

Ya

[@niceandblunt]

If conner is active I would not be able to bench him. The last 4 Games Conner is Tied with Jacobs as RB 1 in points/g AVG 20.7 You'll now his gane status tonight, so as long as he is healthy enough to play. I would start him for sure. He's a true competitor. Despite being eliminated I think he will play well If You're worried about it then go Breece, but I'm not. Breece has been mediocre overall this season. Conner has been elite recently I would trust Conner a lot more to ho over 100 yds and a TD I will acknowledge that Breece has a couple huge games against BUF, but in the rain I dont really trust their offense to score many points. I would start Conner as long as he is active tonight

[@christcantdrown1165]

Chig okonokwo or Tracy full ppr te premium

[@niceandblunt]

Is it 1.5 PPR for TEs? What's the bonus? I'd be very tempted to start Chig Rudolph loves him. Weather isn't great, but he's probably getting another 10 targets. Tracy gets a good matchup, and should get a TD but he's kinda banged up and Singletary is still kinda relevant. I think the scoring settings is the only reason to consider Chig. He doesn't really score TDs but if he gets you 10+ points just on catches alone plus the yardage, I think I'd start him

[@christcantdrown1165]

@ yes 1.5

[@niceandblunt]

Yeah gimme okonkwo Another 10 targets in that format is super valuable

[@ednure]

Chubba IR?!

[@niceandblunt]

News broke this morning. I recorded yesterday. Gotta bench him obviously. Blacksheer is a low end flex play comparable to Ameer Abdullah/ D'Andre Swift

[@TheLoopDigga]

Mike Evans had 25 points the last time he saw the Panthers.. wtf

[@niceandblunt]

And the game before that he only had 3 catcges for 22 yards and no TD. But especially at home he plays very well against them historically I rank him top 15. I would not bench Mike Evans

[@westbankNOLA]

@niceandblunt he can easily have 2 tds with no CB Horn plus 1000 yard season is looming ✨️

[@Ken-nd6hz]

Or use 1 of my rb's from the previous text i sent

[@niceandblunt]

Do not bench brian thomas

[@Ken-nd6hz]

@niceandblunt hey Adam. Thanks for getting back to me. Pollard is out for this week. Please pick 3 out of 5 for me. Full ppr. Achane, ford,r white brian thomas Jr and tj Spears

[@alexruff9216]

Playing for 3rd place smh… we starting Adam thieland or London ? Thanks for info for them anytime TD bets

[@niceandblunt]

I would go london A pretty big game sunday night and if he played in full last week he probably would've had a big stat line. Thielen is a decent shot at a TD but its kinda crowded in CAR now. 50 yds isnt a safe bet London is mainly a floor play lately. The falcons QB isnt throwing many TDs this season. But they're not playing the Giants this time, hopefully that changes Gimme london

[@westbankNOLA]

Bro why are you acting like rain is a huge factor, it's the wind and there's no serious risk there but in one of them, DC.

[@davo5400]

Rain is a huge deal 🤦🏽‍♂️

[@KashfiFahim]

PTSD from that Thursday Night game Rams-49ers.

[@MiracleEuro]

If you ever played sports or football specifically you’d know that rain does matter

[@TheWay382]

Rain is 100% a factor lol.

[@iiMiiNSaNe]

Rain and snow is worse for the defensive players. Rbs and Wrs knows where they are going to cut and are going. It almost sometimes helps with high scoring games. But yes wind affects games the most.