What is value at risk (VaR)? FRM T1-02

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Bionic Turtle

Bionic Turtle

6 жыл бұрын

Value at risk is just a statistical feature of the probability distribution (the hard part is specifying the probability distribution): VaR is the quantile associated with a selected probability; i.e., what's the worst that can happen with some level of confidence? (Here is my XLS trtl.bz/1008-what-is-var)
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Пікірлер: 39
@kapoiosenadip7157
@kapoiosenadip7157 2 жыл бұрын
My lecturer in a very expensive business school couldn’t explain that for 3 weeks... thank u so much man
@junal27
@junal27 Жыл бұрын
Nowadays education is not a matter of money anymore but willing to learn
@loveraswift5665
@loveraswift5665 7 ай бұрын
Yeah... My teacher taught this for hours but this video clearly demonstrates what it is in only 10 minutes!
@hwillis7570
@hwillis7570 4 жыл бұрын
Nice explanation, clear, concise. Keep up your good work.
@Edusho09
@Edusho09 5 жыл бұрын
I'm from Germany and your videos are great! Easy to understand. Keep it up !
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you for watching! We are so happy to hear that our videos are so helpful!
@TheChaozao
@TheChaozao 5 жыл бұрын
god bless you. u explained what my book and lecturer couldnt
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you for watching! We are very happy to hear that our video was so helpful.
@nafiibrahimaj8870
@nafiibrahimaj8870 4 жыл бұрын
Great instructor of our modern era!, thank you so much for simplicity and practicality
@bakhtamatri9930
@bakhtamatri9930 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot, very clear explanation for VAR.
@guapotomask
@guapotomask 6 жыл бұрын
Great video very well explained
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 6 жыл бұрын
Thank you for watching! We are happy to hear that our video was helpful!
@BrigataUPG
@BrigataUPG 3 жыл бұрын
Hi. How it would be possible to calculate the VAR for a company which holds money in a bank account? It would make sense to assess the bank financial soundness, calculating the CAP ratio e than calculating the VAR for that company? what formula might be applied for this kind of calculation? thanks!
@jrfabian
@jrfabian 4 жыл бұрын
very nice video!! thank you!
@knittingangel3859
@knittingangel3859 2 жыл бұрын
Great explanation, thank you
@jenevavergara4125
@jenevavergara4125 5 жыл бұрын
Hi thanks for the great video, I am doing thesis using GARCH-MIDAS model using Generalized Hyperbolic distribution, do you have any idea how to compute VAR in R using these models and distribution?
@stickhero23
@stickhero23 4 жыл бұрын
Hello, completed your thesis? jedwriter.com
@fjosh457
@fjosh457 6 жыл бұрын
maximum loss that an investor can put up with; so that defines amount of collateralization after default.
@simfinso858
@simfinso858 6 жыл бұрын
it is just similar to " p" value. isn't it?
@roberts8783
@roberts8783 3 жыл бұрын
Whats the typical var of a market portfolio like s and p 500 ?
@trifenatejowijaya6857
@trifenatejowijaya6857 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you!!!!!!
@investwithvincent6329
@investwithvincent6329 2 жыл бұрын
What's formula in the cell for VaR?
@celinetjokro2515
@celinetjokro2515 3 жыл бұрын
hi, shouldn't the test be two tailed?
@18lan
@18lan 3 жыл бұрын
thank you
@jijiBoylieber
@jijiBoylieber 5 жыл бұрын
Hello, can i please know what the confiance level is?
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 5 жыл бұрын
We select the confidence level. Typical selections are 95.0%, 99.0% or 99.0% because we are typically interested in levels of loss that shouldn't be exceeded except rarely; e.g., 99.0% confident VaR means "we expect this loss to be exceeded only 1.0% of the time."
@userpanx
@userpanx 5 жыл бұрын
The horizontal scale: shouldn't the value at the center of the chart equal $0.0 ? Right now is $1.0.
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 5 жыл бұрын
I happened to define N(1,1) per the label σ = 1, µ = 1 rather than a standard normal, as mentioned at kzbin.info/www/bejne/o6fPZGWtlN5mbqs
@riccardocaselli4048
@riccardocaselli4048 4 жыл бұрын
Shouldn't the distribution be 2.5% each side with 95% confidence level instead of 5% on the left side?
@mdavis1992
@mdavis1992 3 жыл бұрын
He says in the video that VAR is single tailed because it is only concerned with losses
@Manch271
@Manch271 2 жыл бұрын
At around 3:53, the Y-Axis (which represents probability) is showing data corresponding to 10% of probability, NOT 5% as claimed in the video, isn't it?
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Sriman, actually the red AREA under the curve is 5% per =NORM.S.INV(5.0%) = -1.644853627 or rounded -1.645 and at the same time =NORM.S.DIST(-1.645, FALSE) = 0.10313564 such that you are correct in one sense: the pdf curve hit the point (-1.645, 0.10313564) but this is the density function. The 0.103 is not a probability; this is a continuous function. I hope that helps.
@FelixFrost
@FelixFrost 2 жыл бұрын
Corret me if I am wrong: With the non-parametric ES we simply average the returns that are lower than our desired percentile (e.g the lower 5% of last year's returns) - ok. My question is, why do we use average? Isn't this bound to be affected by extremely rare but negative events? Why don't we use a weighted average? Or a median? Many thanks
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Frosty, short answer: yes, we can (for non-param/discrete distributions also). ES is a special case of the a spectral measure (which is a special case of a general risk measure) where the tail losses are equally weighted, however a spectral measure has "weakly increasing" (ie, not decreasing) weights so it's more natural state is increasing weights as losses are greater.
@ntcuong01ct1
@ntcuong01ct1 3 жыл бұрын
Hello friends, I have a few questions: 1 / Risks will be specified after we have identified the audience, objectives, and operational processes ?. 2 / Risk will be directly integrated into the business process ?. 3 / The Risk department is responsible for determining the VaR (Value at Risk) and presenting it to the Board of Directors seeing the risks and proactively preventing them? 4 / Actively preventing risks will help us improve the value of products / services to customers?
@fenghuawang7381
@fenghuawang7381 3 жыл бұрын
Why P(L > VaR) VaR) = 1-c
@MN-pr7bx
@MN-pr7bx 3 жыл бұрын
My prof should actually be fired as I learn more with youtube than with him
@RajKumar-ti4pi
@RajKumar-ti4pi 3 жыл бұрын
waste explanation.
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