What would a US air campaign against Iran look like?

Understand the context shaping wars and international affairs with Ground News. Go to ground.news/binkov and subscribe for 30% off their unlimited access Vantage plan or $1/month for their starter package.
This video explores a possible US air campaign against Iran. What might it look like? What sort of force might the US use? Bases, targets, Iranian defenses - and the China factor - all are explored.
00:00 intro
02:03 Why would it even happen?
03:18 Goals and target sets
05:52 Challenges and problems
08:03 What would the US use?
10:35 Iran’s SAM network
16:10 Active defense
19:28 Air campaign rundown
Music by Matija Malatestinic www.malatestinic.com
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[@Binkov]

Understand the context shaping wars and international affairs with Ground News. Go to ground.news/binkov and subscribe for 30% off their unlimited access Vantage plan or $1/month for their starter package.

[@funnyanimalsgaming3369]

Another w military analysis

[@Aminbathat]

how comes americans are dying yet america doesnt start any of its campaigns?

[@gnomespace]

Why can't Israel join in? Just fly from non-Israeli bases and don't wear colors. Do you think the Iranians will be able to deduce that from another half dozen squadrons in the area, a long way away from their sight? And also, if it was going that badly for Iran, and they had the threats that Israel has claimed for the last 20+ years, why would they not launch everything? Again, it would be in Israel's interest to step in. Mr. Binkov, could I entice you to make a similar vid with Israel in the picture?

[@Aminbathat]

@@gnomespacejust a reminder it took less than 20 missiles of hte smallest kind to disable one american base namely ayn al assad so america showed its hand and its not full they just showed it again with this histerical action flying planes all the way from american soil which makes american soil a target

[@gumby2241]

@@gnomespace what bases would those be? No Arab country would allow it.

[@SportsIncorporated]

If air strikes were launched from Saudi Arabia, wouldn't that make any Saudi Arabia refineries fair game for Iran.

[@Nehpets1701G]

Yes! Which could be absolutely devastating to the global economy as a whole. This is why despite all the tough talk and flexing, this situation needs to be dealt with delicately.

[@alonmarkovitz2898]

Same with irans ones, so I don’t know if Iran would attack Saudi’s refineries knowing it’s going to get its own attacked

[@sohrabch8009]

@@alonmarkovitz2898 if they attack it means iran has nothing to lose so as all the countries in the gulf iran will gona say if you gona sink me im gona take all the region with me and this means the world on fire since China and Russia will not let iran fall and so on....

[@MrGodbodyNewday]

@@alonmarkovitz2898 False. Iran already attacked Aramco refineries during Trump's presidency. Nobody did anything. 🤣

[@alonmarkovitz2898]

@@MrGodbodyNewday you are technically right but also no, because it was the Houthis (Iranian proxy) and not Iran itself, and Saudi Arabia wasn’t interested in starting a war against Iran so they did nothing, but if there’s already a war - of course if Iran hits Saudi like that Saudi will attack back

[@AAKH1361]

"Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth." - Mike Tyson.

[@wc2195]

Yup houthis and hamas finding that out now 🤡😂.

[@andreivaldez2929]

There's also, "No plan survives first contact with the enemy".

[@AAKH1361]

For this reason, the United States and England are looking for peace with the Houthis and Israel is looking for peace with the Palestinians😂😂😂@@wc2195

[@robbycook4298]

Yep and Iran has no plan..once they lose their major grouped oil fields and refineries they will collapse over night. With civil war, the US backed prince faction will take over again. But the US is hesitant because this opinion would lead to millions of innocent people in Iran dying...but they are poking the bear. It's coming, especially if Biden is elected again or any other Democrat, if Trump is elected we will have mutual peace.

[@captainfingers1100]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/aaqxp3xrq69jj5Isi=2SDJuoUEZKCTDlFq

[@JDJay1]

Do that if you want to see the oil barrel price going to do $200 even $300

[@johnnokov2852]

We only get around 10% of our oil from the region, no problem really.

[@tacotown4598]

more profit for US oil companies.

[@arielsegieda4209]

well, im not the only one coming back to this video after Iran's attack

[@loldglllla]

The main goal of the United States is to focus on China, not consider Iran

[@alexgavieres8293]

Top Gun: Maverick was about Iran.

[@mikesmith-wk7vy]

our airforce generals already admit the air force is likely incapable of a desert storm level operation in its current state

[@stephenwells6434]

Generals always play up their military's inadequacies. That's how they secure more government funding.

[@richdobbs6595]

This whole video is basically assuming that the USA uses a brain-damaged approach to combating Iran. Unfortunately, there is little evidence to say that wouldn't be the approach. The American approach to the Houthi issue is a counter argument suggesting that they would pick an even worse strategy.

[@yahyatavakoli1481]

How would you approach the houthi problem

[@richdobbs6595]

@@yahyatavakoli1481 Apparently, I'm not allowed to reply

[@richdobbs6595]

@@yahyatavakoli1481 I've written three responses that got removed.

[@yahyatavakoli1481]

@@richdobbs6595 why?

[@richdobbs6595]

@@yahyatavakoli1481 Heck if I know, but I'm not going to try again. Sorry.

[@thealimr459]

You need to read history correctly because the Persian Gulf has always been, is, and will remain the Persian Gulf throughout history

[@newbeginning1510]

Make a video on USS Liberty

[@paststeve1]

This comment is to boost our old buddy, Al Go-Rhythm.

[@fibodegjenn4411]

They would most likely enjoy what real-time intelligence the Russian and perhaps the Chinese could supply them. After US and NATO actions in Ukraine, I don't think such a scenario is to far fetched. That might hamper US carrier fleet's ability to deploy, as it might empower Iran to attack it.

[@TWE_2000]

That would be quite limited though. Neither country has any significant signals or recon infrastructure in the region to provide intel

[@btw6301]

​@@TWE_2000 China has been consistently launching more reconnaissance satellites than the US for years now. Binkov has covered this. Don't underestimate them.

[@fibodegjenn4411]

@@TWE_2000 you might be right, but would you bet a carrier on it. ;)

[@voidwalker9223]

@@fibodegjenn4411 yes I would as there is no proof china has ever killed any carrier. How can you prove it works? Ill bet all 11 multi billion dollar Super nuclear aircraft carriers china would never attack either. Peasant.

[@Vexas345]

The US regularly shoots down the missiles and drones Iran has given the Houthis. Them knowing where the carriers are doesn't matter.

[@just_a_turtle_chad]

I'm surprised the US has border in the middle east.

[@jackduane5555]

What?

[@megladon13]

For democratic purposes obviously

[@voidwalker9223]

the entire world is US border.

[@batrezz]

more jokes from binkov

[@johnadams7402]

Always your work is in-depth, well produced. Always look forward to seeing your next video.

[@johnadams7402]

@@srijanme A true internet troll. Everyone has one...this one, I guess is mine. And such a handsome ghoul. 😂😂😂😂😂

[@richardlamos1436]

Binkov as you know, 3 US carrier groups are in striking range of middle east now

[@jser-fp3vn5yq]

Dear military enthusiasts from all over the world, let us stop any bragging now. It is extremely difficult for a country no matter how powerful it is to defeat another great country militarily.

[@abraham2172]

Iran is not a great country by any means. The only thing theyre good at is supporting terrorist groups. But I agree overall, the US should save their military ressources for more dangerous adversaries.

[@blackhawk5903]

Hi i am from Iran, and next year i have do the mandatory military service, i hope i get lucky and nothing will happen during my service time

[@JesusOrDestruction]

Get out of there man 🙏

[@blackhawk5903]

@@JesusOrDestruction i tried, we are stuck here, either you have to have lots money or try to seek asylum, and good luck with that, many people have died trying to cross over borders and seek asylum ... We are stuck here

[@olegbobrovskiy3244]

@@blackhawk5903I hope it gets better for you guys, the dictatorship will not last forever.

[@blackhawk5903]

@@olegbobrovskiy3244 Thank you, i really appreciate your comment, i some times lose hope

[@wheels-n-tires1846]

My father spent 1977 in Iran helping modernize the shipyards and train their Navy. He made many friends and came home with a love and appreciation for the Iranian people. Many of those friends were killed during and after the revolution. Hopefully youre free of the government you have someday and can join the world as a responsible and free nation. Good luck!!!

[@Beythoven]

Why are the comments always a shitshow for this channel lmao

[@RpattoYT]

National interests, tribalism, long standing feuds.

[@Chivalry2Clips]

i mean make a comment against indias govt in any way and you get dozens of indians going patriotic for some reason so i agree with grey here, some countries just have extra duty of patriotism for whatever reason against criticism or assessments

[@thezackast2752]

Nationalism plagues every military channels comments at some point

[@peterbrand8547]

highly informative and well thought out. kudos!

[@richardcollins9060]

China is loving this.

[@btw6301]

>Does nothing >Wins How does he do it bros???? 🐼🐼🐼

[@user-yw8zm9wn7l]

​@@btw6301中国的存在已经是最强大的牵制力，不是什么都不做

[@user-yw8zm9wn7l]

​@@btw6301或者你可以说躲过两次世界大战的美国什么都不做胜利

[@btw6301]

Nihao ZhongGuo bro

[@user-yw8zm9wn7l]

​@@btw6301想象一下没有中国这个世界制造基地存在，那么哪个国家能够承受西方联合所有工业国的制裁封锁？中国的存在就是最强大的威慑力

[@Pyt3x]

"This episode was sponsored by Nikki Haley."

[@nickmcgookin247]

This statement was was sponsored by Donald Trump.

[@jakemocci3953]

Nimrata Randhawa should go back to India and drag them into Israeli wars instead.

[@theiranianputin2770]

Hahaha best comment

[@tommarney1561]

Audio's back. Yay! And thanks, Jonathan, for everything!

[@worldofmix6766]

You can't even open Bab al Mandeb strait, let's not talk about Strait of Hormuz

[@earth9531]

Exactly.

[@abraham2172]

Of course the US is not some magical country who can just wave around its wand and make terrorist groups disappear within few days, thats right.

[@AT-ji1rg]

Right👌

[@montecarlo2021]

But what would with US economy ? If US started the war VS Iran after 2 days Preis of Oil would be 200 $ !!!! All refineries in Qatar and big refineries and oil port in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia in Persian Golf would be dead . It s about 15 million barrels daily !!!! And don t forget that all Western economies can not import oil from Rusia . In two months all western economie with this Oil Preis would be broken !!!

[@kussmeinenikes5704]

Also they have forget the iranian proxys in lebanon, iraq, yemen and syria

[@jaywhoisit4863]

North America is oil independent. The Americans don’t need oil from anyone except Canada.

[@HellishPestilence]

Assuming that the Arabs would join in by providing bases is a bit risky. Iran wouldn't be targeting their bases, they would target the oil infrastructure and attempt to stop shipping through the Persian gulf. Oil prices would jump and Russia would be benefiting. It's more realistic to assume an attack using only carriers, which is much less powerful and would take longer. It would be crazy for the Saudi monarchy to give Iran an excuse to rain a thousand missiles on their oil fields

[@Don8Maverick]

exactly, this video is probably accurate if we were in 2006 not in 2024, A LOT have changed since then, thinking that saudi arabia is still hostile to iran and will let US use its bases is just like thinking US can strike deep into chine from india's territory, its so out of touch and borderline delusional. countries like saudi arabia and UAE are not usa puppets anymore they only follow their interests which is money, that's why they are not hostile to russia even after a lot of western pressure.

[@babakdianati6515]

And still even then no one can guarantee that for example the yamanis won't attack the oil infrastructure. This video is quite limited to only military aspects. The reality is that such an attack is a suicide for any politician and only benefits Russia and China in the long term.

[@krasavchik8714]

9:54 I would assume Iran has prepared and will continue to prepare more and more decoy targets for those expensive air to ground missiles. Economically it would be basically unwindable war in my opinion. It would further decline quality of life for every american. Thus increasing change of domestic civil disagreement.

[@trentsuveges7622]

Essentially, same plan as operation iraqi freedoms air war

[@krasavchik8714]

⁠@@trentsuveges7622 Except that Iran is many times stronger than Iraq in 2003. It has to be an operation on scale of D-Day in 1944. I don’t think US can realize this scale in 2024.

[@saeeddookat2330]

Iran is 4 times bigger with more than 100 million people living there Most importantly it's a mountainous country like Afghanistan and has huge influence among Shia Muslims and Persian communities in central Asia

[@aiwwakk7152]

​@@krasavchik8714 Long Live the Islamic Republic of Iran. 🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷 Proud to be a Muslim and an Iranian. Our nation will stand strong and fight all aggressors.

[@trentsuveges7622]

@@saeeddookat2330 Regardless this is the type of war we like and we are good at: overwhelming Air power.

[@johnallen7230]

What US Strategic Interest or National Security Issue requires US Military Personnel in Jordan, Syria, and Iraq? Besides being human targets, what's the MISSION????

[@PeterMuskrat6968]

What's the MISSION? Regional Security, not for us but our allies. Jordan asked the US for our forces there. Staying in Iraq keeps Iran out, which is good for literally everybody except Iran. Syria, that is a little bit more of a tough one.

[@tonysu8860]

Can only be spoken by a MAGA... Isolationists that believe no American interests exists outside the borders of the US. No understanding of the interests of international commerce and how that directly affects the health and welfare of themselves. Can't see the economic benefits by being part of a global community that peacefully trades goods and services, much that is returned to the US. Thinks that the only things that are important is as far as the eye can see and no further.

[@Jartran72]

They protect their allies and therefor the region is more stable. Stable regions mean good economies and good economies make for excellent trading partners. If america were to stop all trade tommorrow they would lose most of their wealth and economy. They have an expeditionary millitary so they can project power everywhere and protect global trade. Because they profit from global free trade the most. Oh and their allies literally asked them for protection. It is a win- win for everyone except for aggressors near by. Even though your question was most likely nothing but bad faits, I gave you a good faith answer.

[@PersonalityMalfunction]

I don't believe the US would be interested in any form of regime change in Iran, but as history shows in Nimble Archer 1987 and Praying Mantis 1988, there are very effective alternatives available without the expenditure of thousands of bombs and missiles. Adding modern US capabilities to an Archer and Mantis framework would be an attractive solution. An operation in the vein of Archer and Mantis, with the addition of targeting all 10 Iran operated imaging and communications satellites, and an all out cyber attack on Iranian finance management assets, would likely leave Iran too occupied with recovery for a significant time. I would be very surprised if this isn't the way the next US administration will choose to move forward.

[@wiggledytoes]

Did you mean Israel

[@jonathanpfeffer3716]

There aren’t any anti-satellite options currently available that are both permanent and won’t create massive debris fields that will both cause a major international incident and endanger US and allied nations’ space assets.

[@PersonalityMalfunction]

@@jonathanpfeffer3716 The SM 3 is capable of anti satellite missions, apart from what is available but secret. The risk of any debris interfering with other near earth objects is miniscule, and in the unlikely event it does happen, the US is more than capable of providing replacement and compensation. Small price to pay to avoid another all out war in the middle east.

[@jonathanpfeffer3716]

@@PersonalityMalfunction It’s not a low chance at all. Existing ASAT tests have already had issues with that, and those were all exclusively LEO sats that were actively in the process of deorbiting. It is absolutely impossible to predict trajectories of debris fields and a hit to kill warhead creates, to use a scientific term, a f ton of debris. Even very small quantities of sats being affected would create massive costs, in the billions at the minimum. That’s not a small price to pay by any means. It also carries massive non-financial costs. The US has been an outspoken voice condemning ASAT testing for the above reasons and contradicting ourselves by executing such a relatively massive ASAT attack would deal a big blow to our credibility. And if it hit any of our allies sats which would be statistically very likely given most sats in orbit are either American or allied, then dear god that is a nightmare of a diplomatic incident. Again, there’s no way to mitigate this, which is why the USAF has been investing so much into non-kinetic ASAT options. The SM-3 also only has speculated capability to intercept LEO sats, leaving multiple Iranian sats outside of reach. The same applies to the air launched derivative. There’s much better options. Iranian sats aren’t even particularly impactful to their military capabilities. They’re dated to say the least.

[@earth9531]

It would be pointless. Counter productive, actually.

[@abraham2172]

Didnt sound like that in the video.

[@allesiofondressi2602]

"They don't have Maverick" .........🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@465maltbie]

I dont like shorts, I dont have time to browse. I like to listen to you while i am working and I just dont have time or waste my time randomly browsing.

[@sounakchakraboty9700]

Damn..

[@christineshotton824]

The shorts are not for Binkov. Binkov does not make videos for idiots with a 30 second attention span. Unless you use the shorts just to promote ypur real videos, I would say stay away from them.

[@perra5910]

No he makes it for idiots with 10 mins attention span 😂

[@weinerdog137]

IMO, the only reason Iran has not been smacked already, is the same reason everyone seeks nuclear weapons. Think.

[@captainfingers1100]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/aaqxp3xrq69jj5Isi=2SDJuoUEZKCTDlFq

[@PerSkeles]

What if Luxembourg attacks Monaco?

[@thetimebinder]

People need to look up Operation Praying Mantis if they want to know what a war with Iran would look like.

[@abdirhmanali6320]

That was than. I promise you Iran is much more capable now

[@hellenthefraudkeller3831]

​@@abdirhmanali6320 lmao. Thanks for the laugh bud. Great joke

[@terrypennington2519]

@@hellenthefraudkeller3831 He kinda right tho, Iran's got more missiles than they did before. But in terms of navy? Nah lmao Iran would get clapped in the water, would be praying mantis part 2 airstrike boogaloo

[@pdst3]

@@abdirhmanali6320by more capable now…do you mean that they would last 4 minutes instead of 3? Cool

[@abdirhmanali6320]

@@terrypennington2519 Iran knows it can’t go head to head with US navy that’s why they invested in swarm of small missile boats and bunch of anti- ship weapons. I can give you a prime example just look at Ukraine and how it’s man handling the Russian navy in the Black Sea.

[@eddieokpara3549]

Never underestimate your adversary. Rissians where said to fight with shovels and washing machine chips. Deterance is a najor asset, not going into wars

[@geneg2611]

“2nd military in the world” was said to topple the Ukrainian government in a few weeks. It’s only after major embarrassment did the memes about shovels and washing machines emerged

[@TheMillw0rm]

the problem with videos like this is that they always have a symmetric mindset . Iran doesn't play classic warfare that's why its creating those proxies so it has access to coasts of Yemen to also conduct attacks from there . also let's not forget Iranian attack in 2019 on Saudi oil industry cut their oil production in half in just one single swarm attack . so a war with Iran also makes Energy infrastructures and Major trade ports a target for Iran , also there is the nuclear capabilities involved which added to the overall complexity

[@MrCurtishanner]

Another great video. Great work

[@therivalyn195]

Thank you. very informative!

[@Justsomeguyyuyu]

Here’s hoping we never find out

[@markstott6689]

Flattening Bandar Abbas naval base might be enough to deter Iran, but probably not. The problem is, once you start, it's going to be virtually impossible to descalate the conflict. Iran will likely do its utmost to close the Straits of Hormuz and cripple oil and gas exports from the Middle East. In turn, the world's economy would be massively disrupted. Stock markets would plummet. Is Iran worth the effort at this point in history. I suspect only as a last resort. To defeat Iran outright would need a ground invasion with +750,000 troops at a minimum. Iran is vast. Plus, no large field army wants to deal with a guerrilla war, which would inevitably follow. Iranians may not like their leaders very much, but they would hate foreign troops far more. Ensuring China doesn't try anything in Taiwan and Russia doesn't win in Ukraine is of higher priority right now.

[@user-rx2mv7ig7y]

Finally someone with an actual brain

[@markstott6689]

@user-rx2mv7ig7y Why thank you, kind sir. 😊

[@user-hb7rp5qw5f]

As an Iranian I would agree.

[@alifallah867]

Iran has a very advanced anti air systems and they have downed RQ-170 Stealth drone and global hawk before

[@markrobertson481]

Our shits 10 times better, easily. The middle east will forever be under the foot of the USA

[@loumanal]

Thanks for the amazing video

[@user-xx2fc2mk4k]

Only the Americans can carry out air campaign in Iran, Doe's Iran afraid to do the same to them?

[@scyrp]

I understand younger audiences like quick formats like shorts, snaps, tik toks, etc but I personally dislike them and actively avoid them. The viewing experience on PC is not great. I support the channel but youtube shorts will continue staying blocked.

[@Jay_in_Japan]

the US has historically understated its capabilities, whereas its enemies have historically overstated their own. It's not a question of whether the US can militarily achieve its objectives- it doesn't have a military budget larger than the next 10 countries combined for no reason- but rather, if the US can achieve the political victory at home. Will the US be able to maintain public support for the war? That's usually been the reason for its lost wars. Lack of political will to do what needs to be done in order to win.

[@user-yw8zm9wn7l]

你是不是活在梦里？我只看到美国每次进行兵棋推演报告都限制中国军队的能力，然后吹嘘美国天下第一

[@MichaelKing-tp6le]

​@@user-yw8zm9wn7lyou are mad

[@MichaelKing-tp6le]

​@@user-yw8zm9wn7lchina is weak just like Russia. You guys can't even make your own jets

[@user-yw8zm9wn7l]

​@@MichaelKing-tp6le哈哈哈哈哈哈，连飞机都制造不出来，所以这就是为什么美国仅2023年就在西太平洋发生11起军机坠毁事故？😂

[@user-yw8zm9wn7l]

​@@MichaelKing-tp6le对了，我看到美国兰德公司的军事推演，那些军事推演经常假设中国会同时面临周围国家的入侵，并且将中国东部战区的导弹数量限制在500枚，然后宣传美国两艘航母就能够战胜中国，所以实际上是美国为了保持自信经常对世界宣传美国很强大可以战胜中国

[@TheHk1966]

How timely this video is.

[@WWE2K22-WomensWrestling]

I think Iran's missile capabilties have been understated in this video. Iran's long range missiles serve as its primary deterrace strategy, but you barely mentioned them. The USA would struggle with an effective air campaign as all their airbases in the region would be destroyed. Many planes may be destroyed on the ground. That would leave the USA with its carrier groups, but aircraft carrier launched planes won't be able to "set Iran back over a decade" as Iran is simply too large for such a limited number of planes to be effective. Carrier groups can vulnerable to anti ship missiles. Russia would provide Iran with air defence systems and anti ship missiles. Ultimately I think the USA will avoid this war as it would only serve to weaken their position in the middle east. This is why Iran is able to get away with supplying Yemen with weapons to blockade the Red Sea. Ita also why Iran has also been able to launch missile attacks on US bases in other countries with no real retaliation from the US.

[@dylanrice69]

Yup, this dude really didn't do much research before posting this video

[@sartainja]

Superb work. 👍

[@rainerunsinn123]

I do not watch shorts and I never will

[@sobhanmadahi4479]

RQ _170 nad Global hawk😂😂😂 Lol

[@thomasjcox]

Answer: a cake walk.

[@MrMaxyield]

You're a dummy...😅😅

[@arashrezaee1464]

If it's gonna be a cake walk then why havnt they done it already?

[@MrMaxyield]

You ain't too bright are ya there buddy...??

[@MrMaxyield]

@@arashrezaee1464 exactly! This dude is talking out of his arse...

[@johnnokov2852]

@@arashrezaee1464why would we? We’re not trying to take over the mess

[@VladamirPutin-x7xx]

very good analysis

[@zix_zix_zix]

I am willing to bet that no country located near Iran would be willing to allow its territory to be used for the launching of attacks against Iran! They all know perfectly well that, if that happens, Iran would be launching missiles against them too!

[@gang3576]

@Begeye-bh5uxtell me name of leader and country who's willing to destroy there country for some Americans they don't even like for real😂

[@saeeddookat2330]

After Ukraine Israel and Afghanistan Who with right mind would do something like that ? Name a country ??

[@sfp2290]

As a non-TikTok user with an attention span longer than a couple of minutes. I think the KZbin shorts videos, in general, fall short.

[@Aaronwilliam]

No shorts please, videos are much better

[@kylecollins7079]

Great video great channel

[@loldglllla]

Only China can mass-produce a comparable number of warships and fighter jets as the United States, and compete with the United States in the field of aerospace. The focus we have to focus on is not Iran or Russia, because neither Iran nor Russia has the comprehensive strength of China.

[@glubokayaoperatsiya]

i think you are severely underestimating iranian IRBM capabilities when they can achieve 10m CEP at 1200 km

[@user-ep7vu1zg1k]

Russia and China would give Houthis high weapons to preserve their powers in the world too. So negotiations are the best outcome.

[@h.y1855]

A very unbiased and interesting channel.Big fan since longago I am from iran.keep up the good work.

[@HE-pu3nt]

13:00. Even their trucks wear burkas. Very modest.

[@paulmusyk4lyfe51]

Haha stupid people rite?

[@mobilegamer8922]

LMFAOOO 😂😂😂

[@AR-rf8vo]

This gulf has name from more than 5000 years ago its Persian Gulf

[@MrSinaAzad]

well technically that would not be possible as in 5000 years ago Iranians were still making their way to Iran, but you can give it 2-3 thousand years

[@abbasibiafo6654]

To strike here and there is very easy, but to launch a full scale "Iraq' style offensive against Iran is different ball game. NATO will be in forever if US were to attack on Iran. Besides, air campaign is no way going to end well for US troops & bases in the region. But when it comes to conquering Iran, you will require whole international community on your side including Russia and China... Otherwise, Iran is not Afghanistan or Iraq to invade & stay!

[@bharatyaswaraj5641]

Air strikes will cause heavy damage to iranian oil rigs and nuclear facilities and in return iran cannot damage any american infrastructure so iran has more to loose in a war

[@grantcox4764]

Always enjoy your analysis, may not always agree, but generally its well reasoned and argued...

[@jeffhorton2843]

You forgot to mention US subs off the coast. Iran's defenses would be destroyed within 3 days. Then it would be like shooting fish in a bucket

[@Jay-om8gr]

Americans’ arrogance will be their downfall

[@missk1697]

🤡

[@ilVice]

What really baffles me is why in all those photos of Iranian weapons and equipment there's always the face of that ridiculous Iranian Santa Claus

[@jacobali4088]

What's baffling is to question why they have their revolutionary leaders photo everywhere 😂

[@saeeddookat2330]

It means they like their leaders whether they are dictator or not

[@annbjorn]

Not too often though, your videos comes. How great they are. I❤thm

[@PoluVipele]

A simulation in the mind of a day dreamer. Keep the dreams high.

[@joecater894]

at the moment... but its exactly how it would go down if US military comes down on Iran in force. it is designed from the ground up to literally dismantle the enemy high ticket assets.

[@kuoroshazizian207]

And Russia to..

[@RandomNooby]

lol. Millennium Challenge 2002: Marine Corps Lieutenant General Paul K. Van Riper, nuff said...

[@morganrichrd1520]

Iran is a very strong country, you forgot to mention that Iran can hit back also.

[@suckyourdeadnan4805]

There only strong in the Middle East the US holds 40% off the worlds military spending

[@amiekaba6360]

Iran won’t have time to hit back

[@amiekaba6360]

Remember was the 4 most powerful country but we took them down within 24 hrs

[@bhangrafan4480]

Although I do not think that the US will want to get involved in a war directly with Iran at this point in time, I would like to make some points: 1) The idea of Qatar being 'politically shaky' and friendly with Iran is not really true. Qatar has a most devious policy and has been a leading power in attacking Iran's influence around the region. Iran and Qatar share an oilfield so they have to get on, but this is just superficial. The Wahabist Qataris hate all Shias as intolerable heretics, and want them exterminated, which is why Qatar has been the leading funder or radical armed Sunni groups. In Syria it was actually Qatar that funded most of the radical Sunni armed groups trying to overthrow Assad (as in Idlib). Qatar and CENTCOM have long co-ordinated their activities in places like Syria and Libya. In Libya Qatar again played the leading role in supplying and training anti-Qaddafi armed groups. Note that immediately before this, Qatar posed as friendly to Qaddafi. They get close to those they wish to stab in the back. That a lot of these facts have been deliberately kept out of public view is a testament to how close the west and Qatar are. No one is allowed to criticise Qatar, and it has purchased influence only rivalling that of Israel, in the west. The fact that Qatar owns Hamas and was almost certainly the main funder and supplier of the Hamas attack on Israel, has also been deliberately kept out of public view, with Doha, Washington and London all working hard to pretend Iran was behind it. 2) If you are considering bases which could be used against Iran by the US you should include Turkey in particular, and some parts of Europe which lie not so far from Iran. (Turkey and Qatar worked together against Iran inside Syria, and have a deep alliance) We should also remember that long range cruise missiles (such a Tomahawks), and other forms of missiles would play a large role in any attack on Iran. Many of these can be launched from naval units at sea, which can be moved around a lot, and from some standoff distance.

[@FarshidPourhajie]

منتظرتان هستیم ، اما نه در مرزهایمان ، در خاک شما . بعدا خواهید فهمید

[@chasemccall391]

@@FarshidPourhajie😂 wtf 😂😂😂

[@chasemccall391]

They don’t understand they think because they have a you tube channel or that they have followers they know exactly how the United States would fight Iran It would be a lot worse for Iran than what this channel says ppl always try to play down how strong America like China and Russia saying American power is falling they are crazy and just trying to spread misinformation which I think is absolutely funny 😂 they are so pissed that they can’t be like America

[@gfys756]

​@@chasemccall391The sleeper cells are already in place in the USA/Europe from your open borders. They could even be your neighbors, and you wouldn't know it 💪🏿☪️👍🏿😎

[@saeeddookat2330]

As Turkish We are not going to through ourselves under the bus because of USA or any other country ! Sihtir git Işekler 😊

[@chetmcdonald]

I like your ending statement, only real peace can bring us together. I would also like to quote Yoda and say wars do not make one great

[@imranafg]

America is no where near as strong as they were in 2001-2003 yes most Americans believe they can beat any country but they are wrong. All most all Middle East countries are drifting away from 🇺🇸 40 years of building this regime is based on defence and strength of its arm force. While 🇺🇸 with less allies failing political choices they made they have to sacrifice Ukraine for Iran Russian then will pump Iran with lots arms and aid so as china

[@jakemocci3953]

Look at our military recruitment. The old fighting stock isn’t signing up, the American military of 1993 and even 2001 doesn’t exist anymore.

[@Chuck_Hooks]

US and Qatar just signed a 10 year base extension agreement. Saudi Arabia wants more US security guarantees. No need to push Russian propaganda.

[@PeterMuskrat6968]

@@Chuck_Hooks Well it's the only way they can feel like they are winning... by deluding themselves to the point where they cannot even distinguish between reality and their own lies.

[@saeeddookat2330]

​@@Chuck_Hookswow what powerful allies Qatar is a city more a hotel And Saudi Arabia has lost a war in Yemen against houthies A powerful country that seeks protection from bigger loser 😂😂

[@Chuck_Hooks]

@@saeeddookat2330 Let's ask Qasem Soleimani what he thinks. Hahahaha

[@nepenthy9804]

US: (attackin Iran) China: (laugh and chuckle in Taiwan strait)

[@milesb2111]

Japan: Here comes the rising sun again

[@choccotacco4752]

@@milesb2111*being nuked again

[@angellim9465]

Let Madam Lindsey Graham use his big mouth to lead the campaign! 😢😢😢

[@jmguevarajordan]

The US Will not attack Irán, at least for the moment. Similar comment is valid for Israel. The Main targets for Israel are the enemy centers close to Israel namely: Gaza, Lebanon and Syria. An attack to Irán would be of little effect because Irán and Israel are to far from each other. The Iranian attack of this weekend was not effective, it didn't produce damage on Israel.

[@ApacolypseNow]

Hey Binkov, at 17:55 you noted that the Fakour 90 is derived from the AIM-54, but it actually comes from the HAWK missile system. Thanks for your content, I love your videos.

[@GabrielLopez-mo2xo]

Wow to think we’d get to test our 6th generation bomber so quickly truly Iran is being super considerate and offering their country up as the payload target and even offering to try to track the bomber. Such a nice country I hope they enjoy their new parking lots

[@ezey2746]

Shush Mexican

[@fakecubed]

Yeah, B-21 is already flying, and there's also that stealth drone swarm out of Tonopah. Plus who knows what else we don't know about. If the US were to go to war with Iran, Iran is a big enough of a threat that it would justify bringing out the black projects. This video also ignores cyberwarfare, special forces and CIA spooks starting a civil war, and every other dirty trick in the book. The US would not fight fair against a country like Iran.

[@Gunitz89]

But dont forget that iran would surely close the hormuz strait, causing an oil crash that would hurt the us economy a lot

[@markrobertson481]

What do you think our Navy will do as soon as they start to blockade? It will be dismantled before it gets started

[@Gunitz89]

@@markrobertson481 it doesnt need to close the strait, just make it very expensive and hard to run tankers

[@sudhirmodak2277]

you have an appetite for making long videos close to real scene simulation type. good work.

[@Holammer]

- "Binkov: Here is a hypothetical scenario" **comment section turns into a festering sludge of political trolling**

[@Jartran72]

Russia and China sure have invested into their troll factories. You see them everywhere nowadays.

[@marinblaze]

​@@Jartran72either that or more and more people are sick of US warmongering

[@ahm2092]

Nice la la land story 😂😂

[@moeduroodchi2161]

If they could have, they would have, By now. Fool,s Dream.

[@graham6496]

Love the shorts!

[@karimestakhri-nw8gn]

Thank you 🙏

[@Aetius-ju1tc]

Iran has underground bases were it has placed a lot of its equipments. Some of these bases would probably not be found or not sufficiently destroyed. With the time the US needs to prepare, and the fact that Iran might have parts of its nuclear facilities left, I think Iran would rush to get nuclear missiles which would basically make them immune. It is also such as waste of resources and human lifes on both sides when there probably can be a deal between the US and Iran.

[@tonysu8860]

Don't be misled by those ideas. Due to the Afghanistan war the US has developed armament and munitions that can penetrate deeply into the ground aka "bunker busters" and surface weapons like the MOAB which probably has no equal except nuclear weapons. Laboratories and weapons can be hidden but not indefinitely and the weapons exist that can touch them.

[@Jartran72]

You underestimate americas intelligence. Russias war plans were not known except to the highest millitary leaders and the CIA director travelled to Kiev with them a full year before the invasion with the exact plans that russia used in February 2022. They have spies and bought officers everywhere. They might be hidden from the naked eye, but you have to staff them with personnel and establish a logistics chain that delivers weapon parts, water, food and all necessary items to the base. You can't really hide a huge installation. The more you try to hide it, the more ressources justifies a strike on it. The US is well aware of these an has been inventing a lot of solutions for the problem. I hope it does not come to war but if it happens.. it will be ugly for sure. Both sides will take losses but only one side will be bombed and take HUGE losses. And developing a couple nuclear weapons does not make you immune. The Soviets and americans avoided nuclear war because they had a LOT of warheads. If Iran only fields a couple, they can be shot down for sure and as soon as they launch theirs, that justifies the americans to use theirs. It is not really something either side wants to use, or should. They are an idle threat, a reassurance. But russia started this conflict and they did not get to use theirs and now Iran is starting a conflict. It will be the same. It is on Iran to pull back their proxies. They choose to deliver missiles and drones to them. They want this escalation.

[@abraham2172]

The Obama administration made a deal with Iran together with its allies, but then Trump came and of course fucked everything up as always, which made Iran lose trust in diplomacy and hardliners become more powerful. To sum up, it would be very hard to get Iran to trust in a deal once again.

[@johnnokov2852]

We’re already there. Iran has been rushing to get nukes for the last 4 years.. if it was easy they already would have it.

[@littlebigplanet321]

I feel like you completely forgot to talk about missile danger to ships, I don't think any ships could enter the Persian golf, especially if they have hypersonic missiles. So they would have to use the ground airfields, and therefor in susceptible to attacks on the airfields

[@johnnokov2852]

Hypersonic missiles aren’t what you think. They won’t hit the boats

[@andrewsmall6834]

FINALLY! Another country vs country episode, kinda.

[@jamesstover295]

Don’t forget US has technology where they can drop crates of guided missiles from regular cargo planes.

[@yarnickgoovaerts]

I doubt those would be effective here

[@jamesstover295]

@@yarnickgoovaerts flying as international planes would give a huge sneak attack advantage and first strike attack with multiple. Cruise missiles . The US just not penetrating Iran head on without a first strike taking out defensive radar systems

[@yarnickgoovaerts]

@@jamesstover295 first off, that’s a war crime. Second off, those are still military planes so they can’t hide as commercial planes. And even if they could, almost no airliner would fly over Iran. And once the Iranian air defense figures out those are US planes which carry guided bombs, and they will figure it out, they would be extremely vulnerable.

[@greg.kasarik]

In all honesty, I think that given the current situation, the US would achieve more by simply focusing on Iran's ability to export fossil fuels. Cut of the money, and you'll cut off their ability to feed weapons to their proxies.

[@zix_zix_zix]

And how exactly are they supposed to do that?

[@sandboxaccountz.zy.7012]

there is only one harbour that is refuling tankers, it would be the first target BUT at this moment, 8o% of the Oil goes to China, if the US cuts of this lifeline of Oil to China will have to be considered

[@Mariote777]

Gregory has shown us what a tard he is ... 😂

[@greg.kasarik]

@@sandboxaccountz.zy.7012 100% correct. Fairly much, the US needs to lay down the law with Iran. Tell them that if they don't leash their dogs, this will be the result. Problem is that the US has buggered up so many "red lines", that they'd probably need to work their way up using other targets, but doing so would also encourage China to put pressure on Iran. Frankly, given that they are the ones who are living on the end of some very long trade lanes, and are therefore likely to be the biggest losers, even on current trends, I'm surprised that they haven't already done so. It makes me wonder just how much information Xi is getting on the Middle East, or if his US paranoia is just too big a hurdle for him to overcome at this moment.

[@greg.kasarik]

@@zix_zix_zix Target their port facilities. Transferring oil into ships is fairly complicated and would be significantly difficult for the Iranians to repair in the short term. Much like what Ukraine is currently doing to Russia.

[@rokimarchano5657]

So many things are wrong with this report, let point out few most important ones that this report conveniently failed to mention and we all know why. When in 2012 Foreign Policy reported that Israel my use Sitalchay Military Airbase in Azerbaijan to attack nuclear program sites in Iran back then Iranians made it very clear to Azerbaijan and every Iranian neighbor using country’s territory or its airspace is a direct and open declaration of war against Iran and Iran will strike back immediately at the decision making centers and if necessary use ground troops. Iranian neighbors especially Gulf States will never allow US or any other power to use their territory or airspace to strike Iran if there is no direct and serious threat to them and Iran is not threatening to invade anyone but if attacked and Iran decided to use ground troops it will be hell for everybody. If there is a military action vs Iran all US military bases in the Middle East will be of no use to the US, it will be US alone, even Israel may not join the fight, The Houthis are best example there will be no coalition of 30 like vs Iraq 1991-2003, as soon as Houthis said they would strike back coalition of 12 falls apart overnight in Dec 2023 Iran’s capability of a precision strikes at 1000+KM is real and their stockpiles of cruise missiles and long range drones are not in thousands as Binkov claims but in tens of thousands and that’s what makes Iran almost impossible to attack and not even mentioning Iran's supported groups in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq and Syria.

[@looinrims]

Source: dude trust me bro

[@rokimarchano5657]

@@looinrims I’m not your fckng history teacher, if you wanna know things, just google it, its all out there

[@jimkeats891]

Great video! I hope and pray that this never happens.

[@quigglebert]

It would make the second gulf airwar look like a fair fight

[@geiers6013]

I think it would be similarly fair. But yeah USAF capabilities, especially in stealth and sensors have grown massively since then, so you might be right.

[@foundones]

@@geiers6013 Iran has thousands of facilities all over the place even underground. It will be a long long war with Iran who have Russia and China to supply weapons.

[@darkgalaxy5548]

​@@foundones I think Russia might need any weapons in their inventory

[@override367]

US focus would be crippling air defenses, ballistic missiles, and the oil economy, Iran is a petro state and crippling the oil would rapidly cause chaos that would spiral out of control@@foundones

[@BluemoonSpaceRock]

@@override367 Oh yeah you’re so big and tough using a coalition of 30 countries to gang up on a third world nation that was under a UN Arms Embargo. Iraq…the same nation that had just spent the last decade unable to even defeat Iran is the country that you’re bragging about beating up. USA is so brave against impoverished third world nations but when it comes to intervening in Ukraine with a no fly zone suddenly it’s “We don’t wanna escalate! Send Weapons only!” They have no problem acting brave as Hercules when it comes to bombing the Middle East though.

[@ludlowaloysius]

Im getting bricked up just thinking about it.

[@a3cools115]

Touch grass, incel

[@DeanOverDunya]

I don’t see the US ever attacking Iran directly.

[@bilalbaig8586]

Everyone thought that about Russia - Ukraine.

[@thetimebinder]

The US LITERALLY did attack Iran in 1988 because Iran attacked a few oil tankers. Sound familiar?

[@NM-ho5qt]

​@@thetimebinderIran of the 1980s is not Iran now.

[@ITSSIRWAN86]

that was because of iran iraq war@@thetimebinder

[@aiwwakk7152]

​@@NM-ho5qt 🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷

[@mtmind6560]

Sounds exciting

[@AliSinaHarati]

Bro forgot to tell you, Iran actually caught and landed one of those ultra-stealthy RQ-180 drones, which is the pinnacle of US stealth technology, even stealthier than the B-2 due to its smaller size. I repeat, Iran didn't just shoot down that drone, unlike the case with the Global Hawk in 2019 and a dozen others, but they nicely landed it. So, you better not underestimate your enemy, because we Iranians sure don't.

[@rubengonzalez2150]

Stealthier than the B-2?? What planet do you live on? Lmao

[@michaela8676]

@@rubengonzalez2150the planet of misinformation and delusion

[@AliSinaHarati]

@@michaela8676 What misinformation, dude? The forced landing of that RQ-180-they even published the recorded clips onboard from that drone, which captured some of the US bases in Afghanistan during takeoff and landing. It happened a decade ago, but you guys are still in denial mode? Lol!

[@user-ox5kw7mz5r]

​@@rubengonzalez2150b2 will be easily hunted

[@martink7609]

@@AliSinaHarati It was an RQ-170 and the incident was in 2011 during the Obama administration.

[@prastagus3]

"What would a US air campaign against Iran look like?" - when going in without regional Arab countries' consent, any tactical success will only be a shallow one and will get increasingly difficult with mounting losses as operation drags on

[@tonysu8860]

Depends on objectives. The Iraq wars might be the last times the US attempts regime change for a long time. Since then, all US overseas wars were tp either effect behavioral change or elimination of a specific threat embedded in the country but not to remove leadership. Leadership change may happen as a consequence but by the people and not removed by US military force. As long as the US continues this, air campaigns like against the Houthis can and probably should work. Stuff like what Israel is trying to do in Gaza is much harder and possibly impossible depending on circumstances.

[@Jartran72]

The mountains protect them from a ground invasion that is for sure. but an air campaign would be very succesful, simply based on numbers. Look at the inventory of cruise missiles and decoy rockets, drones.. Iran has nowhere near enough interceptors or fighters to keep america at bay. Every radar that is active will invite HARM missiles after HARM missiles until the target is destroyed. Iran at best gets their stuff from russia and russia could not protect their own radars from american HARM missiles as we saw in all parts of occupied Ukraine, including Crimea. It won't go any different when suddenly you face the thousands of air frames that america posseses and their massive mighty Navy. It would be dumb for Iran to push this any further. Right now they can still walk away from this.