Where Will Ukraine Attack? - Russian Invasion DOCUMENTARY

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Kings and Generals animated historical documentary series on Modern Warfare continues with the aftermath of the first phase of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine in 2022 ( • How Ukraine Won the Fi... ). This set up the second phase of the war - battle of Donbas. We covered the events of April of 2022 ( • Battle of Donbas Begin... ) including the sinking of the rocket cruiser Moskva - • How did the Sinking of... , and how the conflict turned into the war of attrition in May ( • War of Attrition - Rus... ) and continued with Russia's best month in June ( • Russia's Best Month - ... ). In the video dedicated to July - the 5th month of the war, we talked about the arrival of the HIMARS systems which strengthened Ukrainian positions and changed the war ( • How HIMARS Changed the... ), while this video will focus on the events of August, as we will see how Russian logistics and manpower problems were worsened by the HIMARS strikes, the risk and intrigue around the Zaporizhia (Enerhodar) Nuclear Powerplant and the long expected beginning of the Ukrainian counter-offensive in Kherson ( • Kherson Counter-Offens... ). Previously we discussed the Kherson counteroffensive in the first 2 weeks of September and showed how the Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast - Balakliya-Izium counter-offensive succeeded, pushing the Russians across Oskil and Lyman ( • Ukrainian Kharkiv Coun... ) In the second half of September, Ukraine liberated even more territory in Kherson ( • Ukraine Continues Atta... ), while this video will talk about the events of the beginning of October, including the attack on the Crimean - Kerch bridge ( • Attack on the Crimean ... ). In the second half of October, positional and attritional warfare continued to dominate, still Ukraine managed to attack the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol and the Grain Deal was almost cancelled ( • Ukrainian Attack on Cr... ), while in the beginning of November, Ukraine finally liberated Kherson ( • How Ukraine Liberated ... ). In the second half of November, winter took over, making the military operation more difficult ( • Winter Takes Over - Ru... ), while in the first half of December, the stalemate continued ( • December Stalemate - R... ). In the second half of December and first half of January, Russia advanced around Bakhmut, taking Soledar ( • Russian Advance Around... ), while in the second half of January, Russian regained initiative counterattacking on the Kreminna axis and gaining ground around Bakhmut, while the West announced that Ukraine will finally receive Leopard 2, Challenger 2 and Abrams tanks alongside more armoured vehicles ( • Russia Regains Initiat... ). Next we will talk about the possible Russian attack vectors and deduce what is the Russian plan for winter and spring of 2023 ( • What is the Russian At... ). In the first half of February, Russia continued advancing around Bakhmut, but its Vuhledar attack ended in a disaster ( • Bakhmut Crisis, Russia... ), while in the second half the battles around Bakhmut continued and it continued to hold ( • Bakhmut Holds - Chines... ). In the beginning of March, the battles for Bakhmut and Avdiivka continued ( • Putin Needs Bakhmut & ... ), and by the end of March, Russia occupied 0.01% of Ukraine ( • Russia Occupied 0.01% ... ). In the first 2 weeks of April, Russian advance slowed down even more, while Ukraine was preparing for a counteroffensive ( • Russia slows down, Ukr... ), and the main question became where will Ukraine attack.
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The video was made by Leif Sick while the script was developed by Turgut Gambar. The video was narrated by Officially Devin ( / officiallydevin )
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#Documentary #RussianInvasion #counteroffensive

[@KingsandGenerals]

Claim your SPECIAL OFFER for MagellanTV here: try.magellantv.com/kingsandgenerals. Start your free trial TODAY so you can watch the documentary called Ukraine: The Forgotten War and the rest of MagellanTV’s history collection: www.magellantv.com/video/ukraine-the-forgotten-war

[@shaterproofblosm]

Jokes on youtube. I grew up on low bit-rate... might be a good time to move to another platform altogether. Especially considering how content youtube is on treating us all like idiots.

[@DUBSTEP_KUSH305]

Glory to 🇺🇦 ❤ 🇯🇲

[@user-kf3dg3ud5m]

Kyiv in three days turned into the liberation of Ukrainian territories from the Russians. Cities like Kherson, Izyum and Kupyansk are already free from Russia!

[@Walterwaltraud]

One of your best videos thus far! Thanks a lot

[@dondandy1746]

RUSSIA MUST BE DESTROYED. PUTIN IS EVIL MAN.

[@manksui1990]

This war become from “We will take Kyiv in 3 days” to “Where will Ukraine attack”

[@shiftedprograms86]

I think its more "we will take Kyiv in 3 days" to "For this victory parade we only have 1 WW2 museum tank..."

[@fnym9rdsavsffdik9a25]

@@shiftedprograms86 they had 3 T-34, when the one still functional T-34 drove in you could see 2 stationary tanks in the background, of course 3 WW2 tanks are not a lot

[@buiquanghuy7589]

nah, its the US who say Russian will take Kiyv in 3 days, not Putin say

[@nudisco7882]

​@@buiquanghuy7589 Russian military documents said it

[@nartali9683]

@@buiquanghuy7589 the Russian state TV said they would take Kiev in tow days and the whole Ukrain in one weak📺😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@rochenmanta838]

ukraine may not attack belgorod but the russians surely will

[@richurichu8781]

LOL

[@CMY187]

What happened recently in Belgorod wasn’t an accidental Russian bombing. It was a Special Landscaping Operation.

[@CDSAfghan]

They will have a "unbiased neutral fair" referendum where 99.9% vote to join Russia!

[@TheTophatCheeseyo]

​​@@CMY187 It's so sad that 2 days later CMY187 open a window and shot himself 10 times before falling off the window it really sad press F for respect

[@CMY187]

@@TheTophatCheeseyo Cue the Russian propaganda! No, it never happened, CMY187 is alive! Yes, he is dead, but from old age! Yes he is dead, and the Ukrainians did it! No, he’s alive and in hiding! Say all four at once and keep circulating them until the depoliticised Russian gets irritated and turns off their TV screen and resolves to stay away from politics.

[@michaelbrown1240]

The Russian defense strategy reminds me of the roman manipul system, where there were three lines of infantry the very youngest and least experienced in the front, the very oldest and most experienced in the very back with intermediately experienced soldiers in between the two lines

[@dylanvogler2165]

Hastati, Princepes, Triarii ))

[@techcrazy-ot7dl]

"It falls to the triari" Principes, when they fail to win

[@badassgoat5601]

This is based on the Soviet system of three echelons

[@koreancowboy42]

Yet Russia is losing more and more in the end. No one is backing Russia, unless they'd like to offend the NATO alliance.

[@blairrobert3438]

Thats because it is. All battle tactics even using modern tech has it's origin in older tactics first and foremost. Hannibal used an early version of tanks(shock and awe) by using elephants.

[@Krieghandt]

Every one forgets how patient the AFU can be. Kharkiv took forever to get started, and lasted EXACTLY the right length of time and the fall rains killed any possible counter attack. The lessons learned there were on display today in Bakhmut. The AFU attacked a trench complex from the side, and LET the conscripts communicate with other trench positions. When the third position stopped talking, every conscript knew death was coming down the trench, and started fleeing. I would be very surprised if the AFU ever does a classic full frontal attack. Just not their game.

[@rogueottovonbismarck8887]

That's because they use western doctrine of keeping enemy constantly harassed and surrounded either by guys there or unable to leave due to bombardment (road of death) many Iraqi units retreated or surrendered because road out was closing and enemy had bombarded your supplies and outnumbers.

[@liesdamnlies3372]

Pretty much. The only answer to what they’ll do that holds much weight is “probably not what you expect.”

[@fij715]

Copium maxium

[@liesdamnlies3372]

Long live the Belgorod People’s Republic, vatnik.

[@ilix]

I've never expected to see such huge battles in my country, like I only read in historical books. Good luck to our soldiers

[@fij715]

Good luck to the Russian soldiers.

[@Maverick0451]

Absolutely stellar analysis as always!!! This series has become my personal favorite way to stay informed about the strategic situation in Ukraine. Thank you very much for taking this task on and providing a clear and effective analysis of the most pertinent events in the war!!!

[@striker44aa]

Way better than binkovs battleground

[@xmkdawgx]

Seriously, without a doubt the best there is.

[@Doughnadstevenz]

I agree. Fucking love this channel. Fantastic content!

[@TheBestDog]

@@striker44aa I ❤ Binkov! Both channels are great

[@jolo1251]

Yes is the top analysis best one on you tube

[@josephahner3031]

When assaulting fortified positions, infantry and engineering units are the leading edge of the attacking force, not tanks. Most tanks will sit back and suppress/destroy enemy hard points and provide cover for infantry and engineers, tanks equipped with mine plows might accompany infantry in close to clear any mines missed by the MCLICs but most of a tank unit will be providing overwatching fires while infantry and engineers conduct the breach.

[@christianweibrecht6555]

On a related note I believe russia will use it's T55 as self propelled field guns to help infantry

[@terryharris1291]

@@christianweibrecht6555 Drones and artillery will knock most of those out.

[@josephahner3031]

@@christianweibrecht6555 in an indirect fire role if I'm not mistaken, they got a bunch of 100mm HE from Iran and needed compatible guns. Makes sense when you think about them.

[@josephahner3031]

@@terryharris1291 idk they're more mobile and better protected than most SPGs currently in Russian service and actually more maneuverable than T-72 based platforms.

[@juliodyarzagaray]

Al Alamein.

[@magellantv]

Appreciate you keeping us up to date and informed! Thanks Kings and Generals!

[@LoneWanderer727]

Leaving weak/low quality units at the front & initial point of contact is always a sketchy gamble. A major disorderly withdrawal from those units can seriously impact the cohesion of the secondary line of defense, especially when these "elite reserves" are no doubt going to be supplemented with conscript reserves themselves given the damage they've sustained in their own recent offensives. Momentum is a real and dangerous thing, and your own retreating units can f*ck you over just as much as the advancing enemy...

[@zeNoldor]

Russians believe that they are smart like Miltiades, but in fact, all of the tactics are the tactics of their masters, that they were created - the Golden Horde, which they learned only from the first part)

[@axelandersson6314]

It was hannibals last tactic. He lost that battle.

[@LutherusPXCs]

@@axelandersson6314 We won with that same tactic at Cannae

[@Y2JArmyofficial]

if its a video game then sure its what i do[halo wars 2] real life, thats messed up man. you cant send your men to death=(

[@notaspy1227]

@@Y2JArmyofficial Russia: Observe...

[@waverlh]

Great content, as always. It will be interesting to watch this video again after this year and compare what we knew and what we thought we knew about the offensive.

[@dr.waffle6967]

“A good plan violently executed now is better than a perfect plan executed at some indefinite time in the future” - George Patton

[@kapsi]

"Deceive your enemy or something" - Sun Tzu

[@Guy-bo3qz]

@@kapsi if you die, you die. -me

[@bjkarana]

@@kapsi Quasimodo predicted all of this.

[@soloar2007]

@@bjkarana you got your half back, hunch back, and quarter back of notre dame. You telling me you never thought about that before?

[@DonaldBiden420]

need more irrelevant quotes please

[@Toumahitoedits]

If I were to borrow a quote about the upcoming Ukrainian Spring Counteroffensive: “All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.” -Sun tzu, The Art of War

[@gabrielmora5092]

Wow. An actual quote

[@Hochspitz]

except that it is the 21st century, so bloody hard to deceive.

[@doubledouble4g379]

@@Hochspitz Is it? The sheer volume of information/misinformation can make it difficult to tell facts/truth from fiction/lies. Even simple things like whether milk & eggs are good or bad for you. Ukraine has not yet decided where to strike, so they're using tactical fuckery to their advantage. In the end, many people will believe what they want to be true no matter what - despite suffering the digestive equivalent of trench warfare, I've seen people continue to eat junk food that actively inconveniences and harms them. We'll see soon what Russia is willing to swallow...

[@peterflohr7827]

@@Hochspitz It's always possible, like the Kherson/Kharkiv deception, or the wooden HIMARS. 😄

[@Edax_Royeaux]

@@Hochspitz Except it is the 21st century and Russia is trying so bloody hard to deceive itself.

[@TheReubstar]

Thanks for this video. It really brings into sharp focus why the counter offensive has taken so long and why it will be so hard. Given these conditions, any advances will be miraculous!

[@HS-mu9tw]

Love this video as always and the author is phenomenal at voicing the tactics conjuction with the video

[@lalogreiner]

One of the best videos I've watched so far on the subject!

[@richardburgess8657]

Great explanation of events. Thank you.

[@Numba003]

Thank you guys for another news update. As always, I hope the war ends soon. God be with you out there everybody. ✝️ :)

[@Strongpoint_S]

In my very modest opinion: Ukraine's advantages in the offensive will be 1) Better armored component. Russian armor losses are astonishing and I expect them to have difficulties training new crews... potential instructors are kinda... evaporated by Javelins, NLAWs and Stugna's. While Ukrainian recruits were trained in other countries 2) HIMARS strikes, which are deadly at their distance 3) Intelligence, both the stuff provided by NATO and by the local population 4) Better quality of the low-end infantry. The worst Ukrainian infantry is far better than the worst Russian infantry in training, morale, and equipment. I don't think that high and mid-tier are that different. 5) Ukraine is ahead in using low-end drones 6) Shorter distances for logistics than Russians have The main problems are: 1) Fortifications, Dnipro, Urban terrain 2) Large Russian advantage in the air (seriously, a few dozen F-16s with volunteer pilots would change this war A LOT) 3) Dwindling stockpiles of AA missiles and the need to keep some (majority?) of them guarding cities against terror attacks. 4) Black Sea Navy is a far more formidable force than people assume after Moskva's embarrassment 5) Inability to really strike deep into Russian Territory, keeping logistics there quite safe. Sporadic drone strikes on some fuel depots are nice but nothing compared to what Russia did and can continue doing with ballistic\cruise missiles\Shaheds

[@xxxyyy5080]

I agree with all advantages and would add: 1. Better command and comunication than Russia, faster kill chain/OODA loop. 2. Better morale in general 3. Ability to conduct operation by special forces far behind enemy lines, never used by Russia that tactic in this war, UA did. With problems I disagree with Black See Fleet, its will have 0 effect in counteroffensive. Furthermore I would add: - lack of artilery shels for UA - the fact that they never made such an offensive before.

[@Aski2]

Hmm, these points in your opinion looks weird. 1. Ukrainian armored component still is poor. They got too few modern vehicles. Few old western tanks and some old IVF could not change a lot. Majority vehicles on both sides represent post soviet craps. However Russia got them much more. Russia also got more crews. 2. Himars are not numerous, while Russia got much more missile launchers. They can do their job and inflict serious loses in attacking forces. 3. Intelligence maybe is Ukrainian advantage, but Russian can react with heavy bombardment on counteroffensive in chosen places. 4. This is maybe true, but Russia can exploit more reinforcements. These nmbers also are important. 5. Low-end drones can not change soldiers and vehicles numbers. 6. This is doubtful. Russia got depots in Donbas, Crimea, Rostov on Don, Krasnodar, Kursk, Briansk, Voronezh, Volgograd, while Ukrainian supply in many cases come from West neighbors and these are much farer distances.

[@xxxyyy5080]

@@Aski2 you have no idea what are you talking about. 1 - could agree we dont really know that but its RU that is using T-55 and T-62 2 Russia has nothing close to Himars. Igor Girkin (russian nationalist, former DPR commander) many times stated that. Precision and range matters. 3. This one is true (altilery) but kill chain /ooda loop is biggest UA advantage so do not underestimate it 4. There is more or less parity of forces on the front 5. Still an advantage especially in situational awarness that is more important than ammount of tanks/afv 6. UA has internal line of communications while RU has external, just look at how easy you can get from Zaporizhia to Kharkiv via Ukraine controlled teritory vs RU

[@Strongpoint_S]

@@Aski2 1. You completely ignored the crew part. The most important part of armored vehicles. 2. You don't need numerous when you are this accurate. Also, at most, you can argue that it is a small advantage not that it is not an advantage 3. Again, if you want to count Russian artillery as their advantage - your right (I think it is degraded even more than Russian armor, it looks scary at Bakhum because they concentrated a lot of what is left there) but Ukrainian access to intelligence remains advantage 5. Cheap drones are effective, it is proven again and again. Also, to it not be an advantage, Russia needs to have a larger fleet of cheap drones. It doesn't. Again, you can argue that it is a small advantage but not that it is not an advantage at all. 6. I am talking not about ammo logistics, I am talking about troops logistics. It is much simpler and quicker for Ukraine to redirect troops from the Kherson front to the Donbas front simply because of georgraphy

[@Strongpoint_S]

@@markfp9705 Oh, an alternative reality enjoyer... Slovyansk didn't raise up. Slovyansk was invaded by a group of Russian nationals led by Girkin. "Somehow" there was nothing resembling anti-Ukrainian resistance after that scum was pushed away. Also, Kherson and Zaporizhzha are on the fucking other side of the country

[@MRbossman1982]

Thank you so much for making this war videos updates

[@patrickclosestrength]

Incredible detail as usual 👏

[@stupiditycantdecideonaname]

amazing effort put into each video.

[@krjakozjabrik4475]

Great content as always!

[@WayneT51]

Very well explained, thank you.

[@mrkickback2010]

Great narration...awesome theme music. Epic editing.

[@tlmoller]

Good analysis!

[@noorulahad3522]

The narrator speaks very clearly. Great job. Interesting.

[@KingsandGenerals]

Thanks!

[@boondocksaint6165]

@@KingsandGenerals jut one tiny little niggle from an old vet here. High Mobility Artillery Rocket System. High-Mars. Not Hee-Mars. But that shit is minor. I love this channel.

[@Walterwaltraud]

@@boondocksaint6165 It's computer generated...

[@angusmatheson8906]

EXCEPT HE CAN'T FUCKING PRONOUNCE HIMARS.

[@Madhattersinjeans]

@@Walterwaltraud Devin the voice actor has his own youtube channel where he does commentary and voice over for his own projects from time to time. I suspect he's about as real as you can get on youtube.

[@willbarnstead3194]

Amazing animations for this video!

[@DragonR333]

The best analyses that I have seen so far! Great job! It was very interesting.

[@emptyemail619]

amazing channel with neutral and awesome analysis , I only watched 3 videos from the channel, but these are by far the most detailed of all the videos I have ever seen in any other channel Edit : thx against Kings and Generals Keep up the good work

[@yorkshireaquatics9537]

Hey guys cracking video as always! Don't even bother with the news anymore I just wait for your more factual and balanced analysis 👌

[@davidedbrooke9324]

Patience is vital, finding weak points, your troops in the right places, logistics and a sound plan that’s is also flexible to changes on the battlefield.

[@AB-eu7vo]

Great show, love it!

[@ned900]

Useful and reasonable, thank you

[@ifelolaolaleye8396]

You guys are the best channel on KZbin. The animation and voice overs are incredibly mind blowing.

[@MrLeadb1]

Yes, it's a great channel for cartoon lovers.....but rubbish for real info.

[@iwer9293]

​@@MrLeadb1 Real info wat? This channel might've discussed more real info than what you've ever learned.

[@dylanvogler2165]

@@iwer9293 he's an orc, it is rare to find one with a brain.

[@joyperez5052]

Awesome video!

[@4Usuality]

another day i needed some good KG content, and it was delivered.

[@YangSunWoo]

I can't wait for kings and knights to cover this in the far future

[@lordfoxquaad1611]

I'm really starting to put high hopes on the Vuhledar-Mariupol axis of offensive as it still remains being the most undermentioned in all the media which plays into the element of the surprise attack by a lot

[@richardivonen3564]

I hope that HYMARS and glide bombs take out the vast majority of Russias supply and ammo dumps at the onset of the Ukrainian offensive.

[@CMY187]

@@richardivonen3564 Stay on their logistics. Russian military doctrine relies heavily on overwhelming artillery suppression, and that is only possible with constant supply of ammo, artillery guns, spare parts and components, and good coordination and communication. And the Ukrainians know that. They have been focusing mainly on enemy Russian logistics since the start of the invasion.

[@9livesspent339]

“Some of you may die but that is a sacrifice I am willing to make”

[@SkywalkerWroc]

Issue is: That area is extremely heavily mined, while there are still enough forces there to inflict kills on whatever survives the mines. Maybe they'll try there, sure, but it will be extremely bloody. Also: Watch 7:25 onwards - the same applies to Vuhledar-Mariupol.

[@kousharoudbari286]

True, and I also think there will be another armoured thrust up north (Ukraine did the exact same thing last year, talk publicly about Kherson offensive in order to divert Russians from north to its defence and then find the gap in Kharkiv oblast for armoured thrust)

[@kiton1890]

Thank you

[@daniell.q.9597]

You are just the best guys

[@jonbaxter2254]

I think it helps to have a degree of restraint when imagining this. We would love Ukraine to win, but it will be tough. Still, glad my country just provided them with long-range Storm Shadows.

[@Ihavpickle]

No restraint just full victory!

[@jedcollings3624]

​​@@Ihavpickle Stfu dude, this is not a game, and this isn't something Ukraine can "win", they can merely survive and endure. If they don't exercise restraint, and actually think that Russia would allow Crimea to be taken, they're going to have a very, very brutal crash with the reality of what they're dealing with, which is to say that we're not going to end the world with Russia if they nuke Ukraine.

[@dmitriyzadorozhniy7826]

Thanks for support 🇺🇦❤️🇬🇧

[@1610dim]

And we are so grateful for help!

[@crosswarren6761]

Thank you again for your coverage. Beautiful work as usual and you all here at kings and generals are doing fantastic at keeping up quality with the increase in frequency of these videos.

[@jackland3387]

Great video 😊

[@Garshock1]

Great video as always!

[@DanBurgaud]

Of course there is. Call of Duty already uploaded a new DLC with this. Many are playing it already.

[@svlagonda7417]

Without air power, a counter offensive is going to be really slow and attritional.

[@orcunefor9086]

this is a very successful work, congratulations to everyone

[@colombiananarchy]

Writing this in June 19th and indeed the counteroffensive is being more intense in Zaporizhya. Superb analysis!

[@Okido24]

I just subscribed and liked (this is my comment) thank you!

[@hydra70]

An attack towards Melitopol would also allow Ukraine to retake coastline on the Sea of Azov, and possibly bring the Crimean bridge into GLSDB range once that system is delivered to them. This might allow them to permanently destroy the Crimean bridge. Combined with severing the land route by advancing to Melitopol, this would make the logistical situation in Crimea and Kherson dire for the Russians. It makes a lot of sense as a target. The biggest downside I can see is that it makes too much sense, and is therefore predictable. Edit: Not long after I posted this the UK announced the had delivered Storm Shadows to Ukraine. They can probably hit the bridge right now, and will definitely be able to hit it if they take Melitopol ans its surroundings.

[@cooldudecs]

like Kherson....it doesn't matter

[@rogueottovonbismarck8887]

Yes but it is a large bridge hard to defend when it is in artillery range so it could still happen.

[@mika4live]

Very interessting, Thanks a lot.

[@ryanmuller7752]

Great content

[@randomdude550]

Genuine question, why is an attack south of Donetsk not considered an option? Like a push east towards the H-20, from Vuhledar, and then begin pushing south to liberate Mariupol. It looks like that would accomplish nearly all the same goals as a push towards Melitopol, with it not being as heavily focused on/defended as Zaporizhzhia. Is it because of the geography of that region making offensives difficult or are Russian defenses there just too much?

[@Bayard1503]

Because Russia would have big cities to concentrate forces in on both sides... Donetsk and Berdyansk/Melitopol. Which doesn't happen if they go directly for Melitopol.

[@Walterwaltraud]

It is debated, but - very short Russian supply lines, terrain a bit more hilly, easy to hunker down in Mariupol's ruins, thus it's probably only worth it if fortifications were much weaker than towards Melitopol or Berdyansk. And it's quite close to the original line of contact. You forgot one advantage: If Ukraine cuts to the Sea of Azov near or at Mariupol, they can shorten their front lines considerably on the East whilst pushing southwest. So if they were overwhelming, sure, doable, sort of, but the Russians had their reasons to mass their fortifications North of Melitopol. Funnily enough, if you look at the maps and measure them, the fjord South of Melitopol is not much closer to the LOC than the LOC is to Berdyansk. It's a bit of an optical illusion.

[@Anton_Danylchenko]

I honestly think this is the only realistic place to attack, since there are no huge fortifications there (compared to Melitopol area). Attack from Vuhledar to the south-east via Volnovakha along the bank of Kalmius river and further attempt either to encircle Mariupol or simply reach the Azov Sea coast to the west of the Mariupol without wasting time on attacking the city. Then HIMARSing Crimean bridge from there. Ideally - to destroy all railway bridges over Don and Mius rivers in Rostov region of Russia (but it is not realistic). The obvious weak points of such attack - Russia can quickly move reinforcements from Donetsk area; There are many Russian airfields not far away in Rostov and Krasnodar regions - so such attack will be very vulnerable for Russian aviation attacks.

[@IrishTechnicalThinker]

8:28 Russia have done 'Operation Meat Shield' from South Park.

[@mrachamilu7605]

Excellent!

[@T34rl3ss]

The counteroffensive already began. Destroying ammunition depots and other logistics is the first step of a counteroffensive. Tanks only come at the end when the enemy is weakened.

[@floriandebontdelbarre2700]

Depends on how you planned your counter offensive I suppose. You don't have to wait with an armoured offensive until the enemy is weakened, although it's obviously a better choice than charging into a concrete wall I think the 'preparatory strikes' on depots and logistics points are (as you said) step 0 to this counter-offensive, although some people could argue that only an actual 'conventional push' should be considered as the counter-offensive itself.

[@wonderfulcaeserz8710]

@@floriandebontdelbarre2700 he's probably comparing the counter offensive to desert storm

[@ohgeazy]

Ukraine has already lost unfortunately

[@T34rl3ss]

@@ohgeazy yeah im sure thats what makes you sleep at night

[@tj9508]

You dropped this, Kings 👑 and Generals🎖️

[@passenger3]

A1 Analysis. The best you will find on the platform by a country mile 👏

[@alonsoalarconcachinero7268]

love the video

[@floriandebontdelbarre2700]

It's still quite shocking to see how the Russian strategy essentially means throwing away human lives. During WW2, the British at least used a system of a weaker 1st defensive line with mobile reinforcements in the back. Russia basically just says "eh let those soldiers die, like we care"

[@rutgerb]

08:12

[@cdzrocks]

That's kind of always been their strategy even back to the Tzars.

[@CMY187]

I suspect that the Kremlin itself believes the myth that the Soviet Union won in WW2 solely through sheer numbers and General Winter. When in reality the Soviets won because from mid-1942 onward they overhauled their military and improved their training, coordination, equipment, logistics and even implemented Combined Arms tactics. The icing on the cake is that the myth of the Soviets having “infinite manpower of human waves” was created by the NAZIS. And the Russians of today apparently believe it.

[@EnigmaticLucas]

That might be a part of their downfall. Morale is extremely low and fragging is already widespread. I wouldn’t be surprised if full-on mutinies happen eventually.

[@lutoninenengatbp.2911]

It does same happen to both Sides.

[@maxshylov5873]

What a great content as always! TY

[@Curdle7]

Wow awesome video

[@midsue]

Interesting analysis of the current situation 🤔

[@FanEAW]

Putin in february 2022: this will take 3-4 days lol this will be easy Putin now: what the fuck

[@landonorris6]

He never said that

[@user-wm5rt9pw5l]

@@landonorris6 Russian propaganda did it for him and he certainly hoped so, otherwise this war would make no sense.

[@colinobrien3806]

@@user-wm5rt9pw5l thats a fact , decapitation of kyiv government fail , taking of hostomel airport fail , ANY FOOL KNOWS THAT RUSSIA WANTED IT IN 3 DAYS AND THEIR CLOWNS ON THEIR STATE TV SAID IT HUNDREDS OF TIMES AND THEIR MILITARY STRATEGY AND LIGHTNING ATTEMPT PROVED IT . ONLY AN IDIOT THAT WASNT ACTUALLY WATCHING THIS CONFLICT WOULD SAY THE KREMLIN NARRATIVE WASNT 3 DAYS ,IT IS THE TYPE OF DILLUDED PERSON THAT WATCHES RUSSIAN STATE TV AND IS DISCONNECTED FROM REALITY AND FACTUAL EVENTS THAT HAPPENED , DENIAL OF EVENTS IS A RUSSIAN WAY OF LIFE

[@bjkarana]

@@landonorris6 It's what he and the MOD prepared for. Remember the infamous column to Kyiv?

[@dominiksoukal]

Also Putin: Where banan?

[@paulvonhindenburg8895]

sergei shoigu watching this video: write that down! write that down!

[@The_Bobby_Jay]

Is it Hi-Mar or Hee-Mar. this channel always says Hee-Mar and it made me realize I don’t know which is correct. Keep up the great content. It’s really hard to produce the interesting play by play battle episodes like I’m used to from this channel with such limited info and short turn around times to confirm details so truly great job.

[@seth1455]

this the only place you will hear Heemar, everyone else says Himars including the American military I forgot to say, Himars stands for High Mobility Artillery Rocket System

[@kevin12c]

Brilliant explanation. Enjoyed this very much.

[@brandonstanley9125]

I mean, Ukraine has an air force that is barely holding on. I don't think you can count on it to strike defensive works. I wish Ukraine had been given more jets, esp ones that other countries want to donate but the US is blocking. I expect UAF to be less risk averse than Western forces, since this is a war for survival. Attacking across waterways without an ideal situation and attacking without air superiority and so on.

[@liamr194]

Here in the UK, in Yorkshire, there have been more sorties of what look like F16's, 18's and MiG's (the MiGs all have unique camo underbellies for some reason) over the area than I've ever seen in my entire life before. I'm talking clearly staged war games 2/3 times a day if you go out walking anywhere near RAF Menwithill. I don't subscribe to the idea that Western powers NEED to declare all support, nor are they doing so.

[@patwilson2546]

US is not blocking others, but we are, unfortunately, not sending our own planes. Even with a few more jets UA would not have air superiority, although I wish we would start training/equipping them anyway. They are counting on denying Russia air superiority, and have done so successfully for months. If neither air force is especially effective then it becomes a land battle.

[@warrenstanford7240]

Poland just gave them 20 MIG28’s. 👍

[@CraigTheBrute-tf6hx]

@@patwilson2546 could glide bombs be decisive?

[@koreancowboy42]

Ukrainians still have artillery. They can bombard the Russians and also establish the first line as their defense to be used against the Russians.

[@Giorg189]

What "dragon teeth"? It's more like cement tea bags.

[@simulify8726]

They are just called like that, but then they have their effects

[@DiabloDBS]

They're basically triangular pyramids made of concrete with about 1~1.5m height. Without extensive ground anchoring (like the Siegfriedline bakc in WWII) they're much less useful thou.. and even with anchoring they posed only marginal problems for the Allies back in WWII if i remember correctly. Not useless per sé but without a strong defensive line behind them taking anybody who wants to cross them under heavy fire they're just a mild blocker.

[@LordSluggo]

@@DiabloDBS yeah, even real ones can just get coverred up by a bulldozer and turned into a speed bump. The ones Russia has can be pushed aside by a highly determined Volkswagen

[@jawadtahir7943]

amazing!

[@ddk1298]

Absolutely great analysis, I came up with same predictions. I believe the probes have already started on Dnipro River and today in Bakhmut. With the massive Russian defenses, I'd watch for engineer activity to indicate where any big push will happen. Those obstacles will need to be cleared by engineers for units to advance.

[@trumpsan802]

😮

[@henryblaylock2946]

I can’t have believe y’all have 3 million subs now this series really helped channel growth huh?

[@claudemaggard7162]

It was a good watch.

[@MrGunn-eb8zj]

Very nice analisis, and animations. But, why don't you add the air forces?

[@vitorpereira9515]

St. Olga is praying for her brave people. God bless Ukraine! 🇧🇷🇺🇦

[@gykg3202]

Prwyers for the Ukranian sokdiers! Hope this is going to be a massive success for them.

[@nedirnla6967]

Massive fail

[@nicolaszan1845]

I imagine that saboteurs would be a fairly big part of preparations for the counteroffensive, and perhaps why the offensive has not yet happened. If you can sabotage enemy defenses, supply lines, and/or communications, you would be expending very little manpower (a few saboteurs and the people organizing them) to potentially cause considerable damage and confusion in the enemy side, which could very well limit Ukrainian casualties and make their advance on fortified, well defended positions considerably more doable. Even momentarily taking out a communication relay or lighting up a supply hub could prove a big advantage if timed right.

[@EltheMura]

Dude, I'm watching the part where you explain the attack to Belgorod that happened a few days after you posted this

[@KingsandGenerals]

Previously similar events happened in Bryansk. It made sense that the Ukrainians might try something like that in another place.

[@sof5858]

"Defensive fortifications are monuments to the stupidity of man" General George S. Patton.

[@cooldudecs]

yea this isn't 1450

[@volodymyravramenko6685]

Good job! Thanks!

[@jamesmaddison4546]

Great rule of war to seize ground, "Rush where there is nothing, bypass where there is something" This is how Rommel seized ground so effectively, in turn enabling the m to cutoff the stronger regions leading to collapse due to isolation

[@Sileff]

Simply the best war summary on KZbin.

[@Maarten-Nauta]

People who are excited or restless for the counterattack should have a reality check. This isn't entertainment this is peoples lives... Ukraine can take however long they want or not do it at all for all I care. We've have donated money to their military cause hoping for the survival of Ukraine and its people, not for cool footage or smth...

[@enigmagrieshaber5555]

I'm guessing it by the end of May or somewhere in June cuz tank training takes years if they want to speed it up a few months is the best way They cant just operate a western tank as soon as it got delivered so I'm guessing those brigade training in NATO are armored brigade rather than infantry

[@jonC1208]

They have been training for months, do you think that units needed a year to learn how to shoot a gun?? They are already training in f16s, and the announcement will come in a few months to a year whenever they are ready

[@enigmagrieshaber5555]

@@jonC1208 wtf?! I'm talking about operating a tank not gun You got reading comprehension bruv

[@enigmagrieshaber5555]

@@jonC1208 yes I know they've been training for months heck even a year now but the tanks needs more ample time to operate. What? You gonna drive a fckin tank from the western from off go? Nah those are harder to operate than Russia tanks because of it's complexity next time try reading carefully cuz I did not mention anything about "ggun" training

[@zeNoldor]

@@enigmagrieshaber5555 Crews of Ukrainian tankers have already been trained. For tankers with experience in the same Soviet tanks, switching to a NATO-type tank is not so problematic. It's like switching from a manual transmission to an automatic. It's like taking off the shackles that prevented you from fighting during the battle. guys with combat experience learn any technique very quickly

[@enigmagrieshaber5555]

@@zeNoldor not really you got your analogy wrong it's the latter by "manual to automatic" it's automatic to manual

[@kevinhullinger8743]

Well done 👍

[@GreatWaterCircus]

Very good...

[@25BDominique2021]

I've always really liked this channel but the coverage of this conflict has really made me live this channel. It's so detailed , I definitely appreciate the attention to detail.

[@gareththompson2708]

There was never any chance of them conducting an offensive in the spring. The slow arrival of equipment and waiting on troops to complete training are certainly part of the delay (those are probably what cost them the opportunity for a winter offensive), but another part is the weather. Spring is the worst time to conduct an offensive in Ukraine. If you'll recall, it was the spring mud that helped to bog down Russia's invasion last year. It kept them confined to the roads, making them easy targets for ambushes. And who could forget all those abandoned Russian tanks pulled out of fields by Ukrainian farmers. My guess is that the offensive will start in early June. My gut says it'll be any day now, but my gut is biased by impatience. The ground is drying out, especially in the south, but they'll probably have to wait until June if they want more than two weeks without rain. As for where they will strike, I've heard compelling arguments that they may put pressure in multiple areas. It seems that the Russians do not have any units in reserve. In order to respond to an offensive they will have to pull units off of one part of the line to strengthen the part being attacked. By putting pressure on multiple points the Ukrainians could put the Russians in a position in which it is simply impossible for them to hold everywhere, effectively forcing them to choose where to lose.

[@josephtarraf747]

You're the best

[@repenney]

Very incisive overview of not only tactical details but the much broader strategic implications. THE site to monitor on KZbin.

[@user-jc3hn6dv2g]

12:11 - most Russians want to live in peace day by day like other nations in many countries. To go to work, to raise children, to love our families, and for the government just leaving us alone. We know what's right and what's wrong. Most of the soldiers in Russian mobilize forced are originally from the poorest regions of this country, so it's their best shot to get some good money even if they'll die there - "grobovie" means compensation to the family for the loss of their feeder, man of the house. It's horrible, but it is our reality. Some countries in Africa cares more about their people than our government here in Russia. TL;DR we want this war to be over, and we know that the consequences of it will be there with us for decades.

[@tmsupreme7763]

Watching this back now I can really see why Russian military comand blew up that dam.

[@76_go_brrr]

To… flood their own fighting positions and try to alienate the people of Crimea??

[@TheOlgaSasha]

​@@76_go_brrrYea...People and soldiers are nothing for ruzzian terrorists

[@gussampson5029]

Exactly. They obviously don't give a shit about their own troops. Hence why they use them as cannon fodder. They don't even hide this fact. It's doctrine that the front line inexperienced troops are expendable. It's one of the main reasons that morale is so low. And why they have difficulty replacing experienced soldiers. Because they kill most new guys off before they can get experience.

[@peterhe6699]

I agree with the attack of Lohansk(sorry if I butchered the spelling) in some areas the Russian troops can be backed to the river if Ukranian forces push through. It also has smaller river crossings which means that crossings are going to be less brutal. The garrison is smaller(the defences seem to only be one line) as well this could also push Russian troops to being pushed to the Lohansk border which could weaken their defences in the south. I believe that their offensive should be centered on Lysonask though it they can cut off Stardulsik from Luhansk and possibly if they attack from the south be able to trap the Russians in a pincer manuver. The terrain would be tricky, but this would be a faster attack since you don't require more armoured vehicles to attack it also would be really easy to camoflage since there is a huge garrison there. It could be done if you slowly and silently replaced them with elite shock troops or special forces.

[@seedorf1010]

Turns out every type of topography is a natural defensive advantage

[@BringTheRains]

If they attack zapp oblast do they even need to fully take everything? If they effect cut supply lines then wouldn’t that effectively do the same? Just my thought.

[@DiabloDBS]

To effectively cut through to the Sea of Azov and secure the spearhead you need to broaden the spear significantly. If they manage that the Russians will likely pull back to Crimea or even start pulling out of there as well (heavy stuff hard to transport by plane) if they're unsure if they can defend the Kerch bridge as the sea routes are also endangered by potential Ukrainian drone activities that has breached the Sevastopol harbor several times already. For that it would make sense to have a second spear head form from Kherson towards crimea to check the troops between the two spearheads to give up their positions and pull back so that Ukraine only needs to fortify against the eastern front of the spear to the Sea of Azov.

[@GruncklePaul]

We have all seen the Russian army used tactics straight out of 19th century, throughout this past year. Trench warfare, mass bombardments and infantry charges!! But never did I believe the Russians would use the Roman maniple system! Newbies up front and experienced troops in the 2nd and 3rd lines. (8:17)

[@harmlessratz7151]

Russia has a long history of sending poorly trained "soldiers" straight into the grinder. Life is cheap

[@xFallenRagex]

@14:00 That approach looks a little flaccid, I don't think i would go with that one.

[@peterinbrat]

Depends a lot on the rain. Tanks can't travel through 2m of muck on either side.

[@konradsimon4924]

i like how this documentary is neutral and just shows what happens on the war