Who's Ahead In The NEW Race To The MOON?

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NASASpaceflight

NASASpaceflight

Күн бұрын

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Join NSF's Adrian Beil as we compare the Moon missions of the US and China to determine who is leading the next space race. Discover the ambitious goals, rockets, capsules, and timelines of both nations' lunar exploration programs. Find out if these programs are truly comparable and explore the potential impact on future space exploration. Watch now to gain insights into the exciting developments in space exploration!
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🤵 Hosted & Written by Adrian Beil (@BCCarCounters)
🎥 Video from Michael Baylor (@nextspaceflight), Jack Beyer (@TheJackBeyer), Thomas Burghardt (@TGMetsFan98), John Galloway (@KSpaceAcademy), Starbase Live.
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#US #China #MoonMissions #SpaceRace #ArtemisProgram #LunarExploration #Rockets #Capsules #Spaceport #SuperHeavyRocket #Starship #SLS #OrionCapsule #Science #Research #LunarLander #SpaceEconomy #Timelines #Challenges #Funding #MarsExploration #SpaceX #SLS #MoonLanding #GoingToTheMoon

Пікірлер: 369
@NASASpaceflight
@NASASpaceflight Жыл бұрын
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@algodoomarbleracing
@algodoomarbleracing Жыл бұрын
What’s next?!?! ExpressPass??? NAHHH THIS IS MESSED UP (not the video)
@ravenkk4816
@ravenkk4816 Жыл бұрын
You made a lot of mistake on the moon rocket @NASASpaceflight
@lawrenceallen8096
@lawrenceallen8096 9 ай бұрын
SpaceX will return humans to the moon first. It is inevitable: SpaceX will launch a private mission to the moon. They have to. If they wait for NASA it wont' happen until the 2030s years after China. Just prick the boil: "NASA, we're going ahead on our own. When you're ready to send astronauts to our lander in Lunar Orbit, we'll be happy to provide you a ride."
@wilhelmruoff1273
@wilhelmruoff1273 Жыл бұрын
This is the best situation for both countries. A very close race where one can easily fall behind and the other surpass will push both nations to do their best. Good luck to all 🇺🇸🇨🇳
@hamfan4449
@hamfan4449 Жыл бұрын
you do know theres more then 2 space agencies and the russians dont seem that keen to go in to space.
@prandomable
@prandomable Жыл бұрын
​@@hamfan4449Russia, USA, China AND EVEN India is in the race now.
@Deploracle
@Deploracle Жыл бұрын
Who will land first? I thought we already answered this question 54 years ago?
@wikn8r275
@wikn8r275 Жыл бұрын
Thank you….
@adventurewithbrett
@adventurewithbrett Жыл бұрын
We were not racing China at that time.
@jtjames79
@jtjames79 Жыл бұрын
So your plan is resting on your laurels. That's a bold move cotton, let's see how it plays out.
@The81ubb
@The81ubb Жыл бұрын
This doesn't count
@Deploracle
@Deploracle Жыл бұрын
@@The81ubb A dozen men walking around on the moon doesn't count? This is a tough audience. ;)
@timbermicka
@timbermicka Жыл бұрын
The real question is who will be building a permanent surface base first ?
@Wild-Eye
@Wild-Eye Жыл бұрын
Exactly 👍🏻
@VvV-1
@VvV-1 Жыл бұрын
it can be done by HLS because it can take a lot of cargo to the moon. But the starship needs to be completed before.
@vlhc4642
@vlhc4642 Жыл бұрын
China's architecture is a combination of in-situ resource utilization, earth-moon electric cargo tugs and relatively small crew shuttles US architecture is giant chemical rocket for everything.
@allanrose3661
@allanrose3661 Жыл бұрын
The Chinese Moon mission is pretty clever. The small lander launched ahead of the crew on a seperate launcher and finally using the unmanned Long March 9 to deliver large modules, rovers and supplies.
@Deploracle
@Deploracle Жыл бұрын
I think they will discover that humans need their home world more than they know. If people are expected to stay on the moon longer than 2 weeks they will need to endure and survive a 2 week period of darkness (and cold) .. unless they can assemble a working shelter before it gets dark. Two weeks of darkness would require lots of energy for life support ... and the whole time there is zero sunlight for solar power. Maybe the Chinese have bitten off more than they can chew this time?
@J56609
@J56609 Жыл бұрын
What is pretty clever is that the Chinese communist party mandates that their citizens steal proprietary secrets from other countries and corporations. The cc P is a totalitarian brutal dictator ship that cares nothing for Western laws. It is shocking in these videos that the host usually never tells about the criminal nature of the Chinese government and make it sound like they’re just a normal country going about its business. Nothing could be further from the truth. The silence is deafening and we are simply whistling past the graveyard.
@djp1234
@djp1234 Жыл бұрын
This is the best type of competition. Whoever wins, we all win.
@535tony
@535tony Жыл бұрын
The next Moon race is not landing on the Moon but making a self sustaining Lunar base and exploiting the Moon.
@1ndragunawan
@1ndragunawan Жыл бұрын
UAE is basically playing for both sides for now, but budget likely will force them to pick the winner.
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
Everybody is, but most will go with the best proven systems, the rest will definitely settle for whatever they can get. Many companies do business with UAE for the money, but don't trust them at all. Very curious situations.
@philosopherfrombed
@philosopherfrombed Жыл бұрын
Lets be realistic (and yes obviously no hate to people of UAE) UAE's space agency is nowhere near close to become even a globally recognized space agency, leave the topic of being space power. They literally don't have ability to make even decent sized satellites completely on their own except some small CubeSats, Their mini moon rover was co-developed with US and Canada and was launched with US rocket. We all can understand that they are trying to impress citizens by showing them how capable UAE's space program is but outside of UAE we all know how capability UAE have.
@mauricebruns1028
@mauricebruns1028 Жыл бұрын
It shouldn’t matter who is first; just do it collectively and make it successful for longer term - ie having a base stationed there.
@laurin4405
@laurin4405 Жыл бұрын
Thanks Adrian and NSF Crew.. Great Show🤠🖖🤓
@TheAnachronist
@TheAnachronist Жыл бұрын
Landers are not totally uncharted for China. They’re the only country to have landed robots on the Moon for around half a century and they’ve even done sample return, which is similar in complexity to Apollo-like LOR.
@engineeredarmy1152
@engineeredarmy1152 Жыл бұрын
My winner of the "NEW" space race: USA 🇺🇸 2020s: 🇺🇸 US initiating the Lunar Base build with sophisticated infrastructures like roads and permanent habitats. 🇨🇳 China's manned landing on moon, either at the end of 2020s or at the beginning of 2030s 🇮🇳 India with its lunar rover and sample return missions ---- 2030s 🇺🇸 A well established permanent Lunar Base, which is now a major extraterrestrial human habitat. Gateway ready by this decade. Humans moving to and from Moon similar to Inter-city flight travel on earth. 🇨🇳 Era of appollo like missions from China and perhaps permanent settlement efforts at the end of the decade 🇮🇳 India's first attempt for a manned lunar mission by the end of the decade after mastering manned space missions during the decade.
@bineetgupta
@bineetgupta Жыл бұрын
Most practical comment
@JBS319
@JBS319 Жыл бұрын
India recently signed the Artemis Accords, so it's likely they would fly to Gateway and land using the commercial landers. If not, they would likely land their own lander at the Artemis surface base. It's also possible that an Indian astronaut ends up flying on a future Artemis mission. Keep in mind, if SLS is launching once a year, that leaves opportunities for other participating countries to fly to Gateway.
@bineetgupta
@bineetgupta Жыл бұрын
@@JBS319 India has its own manned lunar program and will use it's own hardware to get men to the moon in an Apollo styled small scale mission, but unlike China, Artemis and Indian program can go on together with sharing of hardware since India has signed the Artemis program after US gave the proposal. It's always better to have more than one country who could launch people to the moon and gateway, like Russia and US were launching to the ISS, it reduces the burden on just one country. In Artemis program US and India will be the launchers to get people and supplies to gateway and Artemis base.
@joeycarter8846
@joeycarter8846 Жыл бұрын
Thank you SO much for this summary of their statuses (stati?).
@tokenjoy
@tokenjoy Жыл бұрын
Artemis will be far more capable than the proposed Chinese architecture but faces technical and fiscal hurdles that could cause delay. China's unified political structure is also prioritizing a crewed landing in time for the 80th anniversary of the PRC (2029 or before). The 2025/26 timeline for Artemis III is purely aspirational. The time interval from contract to landing of the Apollo LM was 6.5 years. By that standard, Starship-HLS won't land until 2028. Bottom line, America and China are in a de facto race to the Moon Part Deux and it is by no means clear who will win this round.
@warrenwhite9085
@warrenwhite9085 Жыл бұрын
Bloated, pork driven Federal Agency NASA is government; blazingly, hopelessly, uncaringly incompetent, irresponsibly wasteful. NASA wasted $500 billion & 50 years since Apollo on one dead-end, unaffordable, unsustainable manned space boondoggle after another… Shuttle, Constellation, SLS/Orion. Our only hope is efficient, innovative, spirited private enterprise SpaceX.
@G777_
@G777_ Жыл бұрын
Well said. This is essentially my take as well.
@nls.135
@nls.135 Жыл бұрын
I feel that the point about monetary concerns isn’t really a problem when it comes to the FIRST landing. The US doesn’t really have a issue with funding that first landing- it’s the other ones that have to be careful. Artemis 3 hardware is already being assembled. And also the lunar module was created without any previous knowledge or expertise and followed a development that took very cautious steps very slowly. SpaceX has the entire Apollo and Soviet moon program to learn from making development less intensive. Couple this with their break neck pace of iterative development and HLS would at absolute worst take maybe half that time the LM did.
@vlhc4642
@vlhc4642 Жыл бұрын
China isn't aiming for 2029 or 80th anniversary, China's aiming for 2030 because Dec 2030 is the end of the 15th 5-year-plan and Chinese schedules are always based on 5YP schedules. As for the different approaches, China's going with KISS, while US is going with Rube Goldberg, we'll see.
@postahundredcommentsbutonl4408
@postahundredcommentsbutonl4408 Жыл бұрын
Even if China wins, it will only be second. Where's the competition? Westerners imagined it?
@corrinastanley125
@corrinastanley125 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the head to head comparisons Adrian.
@wdsjrmd1
@wdsjrmd1 Жыл бұрын
we won the race when i was 19 years old now im 73 years old
@01_SPACE_C0WB0Y
@01_SPACE_C0WB0Y Жыл бұрын
I just got a Dawn Dish Soap Ad that had the NSF intro music. I was so confused 🤣.
@FrenziedMew
@FrenziedMew Жыл бұрын
I do think you should add more labelling vids with presenters and others without audio (on-site cam) since I think I've skipped some vids due to not being sure which are which
@AkaarBains
@AkaarBains Жыл бұрын
Tha intro hits hard dude
@joey3291
@joey3291 Жыл бұрын
love this objective illustration!
@vony7
@vony7 Жыл бұрын
Let's meet on the lunar south pole, no matter which side you bet on.
@simonrmerton
@simonrmerton Жыл бұрын
Weird question. America won the race to the Moon in 1969.
@mercerwing1458
@mercerwing1458 Жыл бұрын
And now theres another one.
@__Tazzzo
@__Tazzzo Жыл бұрын
@@mercerwing1458 Why? Lol
@S1nwar
@S1nwar Жыл бұрын
thats why "the race" is an appreviation for "the NEW race" as mentioned in 10:11
@49ccMopedWorld
@49ccMopedWorld Жыл бұрын
They never went to the moon because they cannot get across the Van Allen Belt which is deadly radiation.
@maskddingo1779
@maskddingo1779 Жыл бұрын
@@S1nwar Ok. I'll bite. When did "the new race" start? Does the US still get to keep it's ultimate "first to land" title?!
@SterlingArchimedes
@SterlingArchimedes Жыл бұрын
US, already been there...
@themoonman-4
@themoonman-4 Жыл бұрын
Bravo Adrian!
@drmosfet
@drmosfet Жыл бұрын
China doesn't suffer from a 4 to 8 year seizure regarding the direction of it's space program, this is one thing in China favour, also why you should take them seriously.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
@@hawkdsl Yes, the soviets also had that "advantage." Look how many men on the moon that got them.
@manofsan
@manofsan Жыл бұрын
@7:19 China plans to construct lunar base with *United Arab Emirates* @9:55 Artemis Accords partners include *United Arab Emirates* So is UAE double-dipping? Does China have a mole inside Artemis?
@TheStormpilgrim
@TheStormpilgrim Жыл бұрын
The Emirates are businesslike. It makes sense for them to put money on both horses. They likely care more about lunar research and resources than they do about whose program gets there first.
@manofsan
@manofsan Жыл бұрын
@@TheStormpilgrim - on both horses? As if they'll get more out of China than out of the combined Artemis membership. I don't think China's going to beat out Artemis.
@mythicfolfi4652
@mythicfolfi4652 Жыл бұрын
Do they have the same theme as Dawn Powerwash
@davidkillens8143
@davidkillens8143 Жыл бұрын
In my opinion China has a huge advantage long term. Their leadership is giving full support. That means no interference from other government agencies to slow them down, money and technical support will not be a problem, and VERY important, China is willing to risk lives to reach this goal. If Artemis suffers any astronaut fatalities, it could set the program back ten years. With China it would be .. "next".
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
Only if they can steal their way to the top. They are very good at re-engineering other people's ideas, but not the most creative on their own. I will admit that they are learning to allow some of the younger people bring in fresh ideas, but it's still China and the entire government machine.
@generalflix
@generalflix Жыл бұрын
The US does not have to prove anything though. Along the very strong private sector I really do not see less support for space faring activities in the US. The estimated markets are INSANLY large, and the US is home to the best tech. China might be second, although ISRO could very well steal both the US's and Chinas thunder by undercutting launch costs.
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
@@generalflix It might be possible, but with the intensity and determination Musk has, I think it's unlikely because he is literally throwing billions of dollars into creating the most efficient means of travel and at least for now, willing to push as far as it takes. Most people think what he is doing with starship is stupid and wasteful, but in reality, the advancements gain by his methods are so far beyond peoples comprehension. How many peopl commented that the last starship launch was a complete failure. Except the whole thing was intentionally planned and designed for failure and success at the same time. Elon said during launch preparations that he had a 50/50 expectation for success and safeties were in place for all contingencies. Of course those looking for the negative were quick to criticize until they realized the protocols were written several months before and updated right up to the moment of unscheduled disassembly. They monitored every aspect of the launch to gather every possible bit of data until it was deemed too dangerous to continue. That is commitment to the project. When you know it it failing catastrophically and you are watching every detail about those failures and what failed, how, when, what caused it, and you analyze it to exhaustion then you pass that information off to other team members to do the same thing until no-one sees anything new. That's dedication that nobody else even comes close to. Good enough seems to be the model for most.
@bartwaggoner2000
@bartwaggoner2000 Жыл бұрын
That is also China’s major risk - political winds could easily shift there and along with it the funding for rockets
@anthonypelchat
@anthonypelchat Жыл бұрын
If the moon landings were only focused around the governments of each nation, then I would give it to China. The US govt has no push right now. But the US has a huge advantage with the private sector, mostly in the form of SpaceX. Other private companies may also provide a push separate from SpaceX that would increase the likelihood of the US to land again before China.
@AKjohndoe
@AKjohndoe Жыл бұрын
First isn't important. I'm sure there are dozens of welders in every city faster than I am. What is important is quality of effort, and longevity of work done. I.e. quality over speed any day.
@silverflux7698
@silverflux7698 Жыл бұрын
What would be better... would be to get over your differences! And go together ! The ISS has been an example of scientists/ astronauts from both the US and Russia working together... regardless of governmental tensions. And achieving more together, than apart.
@joachimboensch3934
@joachimboensch3934 Жыл бұрын
One should think we have learned that much from Putin. I think we have. Don't trust, don't cooperate with murderous lunatics.
@BenjySparky
@BenjySparky Жыл бұрын
NSF y'all rock! Peace
@bobbyvee9950
@bobbyvee9950 Жыл бұрын
As memory serves me this was already done on July 20, 1969.
@劉天恆
@劉天恆 Жыл бұрын
Yes America managed to land on the moon 50 years ago on a Hollywood set lol!
@victormartins1450
@victormartins1450 Жыл бұрын
Weel, if we talk about duration in long time, it`s look like use company to help is better than just the government alone.
@revtoyota
@revtoyota Жыл бұрын
The US won this race over 50 years ago.
@youeffoh808
@youeffoh808 Жыл бұрын
Should be no problem to do it first again then…right..?
@rkr9861
@rkr9861 Жыл бұрын
'won' requires persistence. Just because my uncle won the olympics in 1972 doesn't mean he can compete at an olympic level today, and that's what this is about. If you lose the capability, it's like you've never gone at all.
@logic-ally
@logic-ally Жыл бұрын
​@@rkr9861they've been there 6 times. So not a question of persistence
@p-j-y-d
@p-j-y-d Жыл бұрын
The race for the base? ;)
@charlesaugust8671
@charlesaugust8671 Жыл бұрын
The US has placed manned crews on the moon 6 times. China may, or may not, put the 7th crew there before the US does.
@lanatsif
@lanatsif Жыл бұрын
I guess if China do an Apollo equivalent in a few years, then their starship equivalent will appear around 2080 lmao
@TheStopwatchGod
@TheStopwatchGod Жыл бұрын
They are already working on a Starship equivalent. It's called the Long March 9, and should be flying in about 10 years
@lanatsif
@lanatsif Жыл бұрын
@@TheStopwatchGod Bruh they have nothing but some vague plans that are litteral copies of the current starship silhouette, which means they just haven't gone past the planning stage with this, which makes a 10 years delay unreachable with their current method of proceeding. Developping starship this quick is costing a huuuuge amount and they'll never take these kind of risks before they can imitate an existing model. So imo 6-10 years starting from when starship houses humans for the first time seems like a more realistic date.
@ericliume
@ericliume Жыл бұрын
@@lanatsif Don't embarrass yourself. Could you just simply do a quick search? China has tested 500T LOX/Kerosene engine, 120T LOX/Kerosene engine and 200T LOX/Methane engine in the past couple of years.
@lanatsif
@lanatsif Жыл бұрын
@@ericliume Do you even understand what we were talking about? Cause it doesnt look like it
@postahundredcommentsbutonl4408
@postahundredcommentsbutonl4408 Жыл бұрын
You are an embarrassment. No matter from any angle, China is the country that walks the talk. When did you hear that China arbitrarily delayed its own plans? China's Long March series rockets are the rockets with the highest success rate in the world. All of China's manned spaceflights have been successful. The success rate of deep space exploration: 34% for the Soviet Union, 78% for the United States, and 100% for China. The first country where humans landed on the far side of the moon: China. The first human country to successfully launch a methane rocket: China.
@user-a6m2
@user-a6m2 Жыл бұрын
The main question is not who would do it first, but "why?". I mean, whoever could make it profitable in either economic or science terms - would win. You can win the race, but the question is could you sustain it? So actually, it's not a race, but a marathon. Otherwise it would end up just as Appolo where it was just a political goals claimed... and, well, achieved. And after achieving flag-pinning, program closed.
@johnhunter3011
@johnhunter3011 Жыл бұрын
Us has been to the in 1969, china has not. Us flew manned space shuttles, china has not!. US is over 50 years advanced over china. DU
@kazioo2
@kazioo2 Жыл бұрын
US' space program started degrading really badly over the decades. First its manned flight range was reduced from the moon to the LEO, because of Shuttle, then it was cancelled completely. But then an immigrant from Africa saved US from a disgrace of begging Putin to launch astronauts to ISS during the proxy war in Ukraine. So saying that China is 50 years behind makes no sense. Both countries now get their crews to LEO and that's it. US is more like 10-15 years ahead thanks to impressive reusability of Falcon 9.
@RasakBlood
@RasakBlood Жыл бұрын
The key here is that they USED to do that. The shuttles do not exist anymore. The rocket that they went to the moon with do not exist anymore. Mindless nationalistic bravado wont save you from the cold hard truth of reality.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
@@godintheglass MR-4 only had a man on it. GT-3 only had men on it. Apollo 7 only had men on it. Apollo 11 only had men on it. Skylab only had men on it. STS -1 only had men on it. Manned Space Program.
@RichardMelanson-xi3kq
@RichardMelanson-xi3kq Жыл бұрын
I like the topic, also, I received the starship oft pillows, and they make my electric cart real comfy to ride in, since walking leaves out of breath. Rickm.
@sdcowboy85
@sdcowboy85 Жыл бұрын
Uhhh...the US already was first, decades go
@matthewwiemken7293
@matthewwiemken7293 Жыл бұрын
Not a race about who can get to the moon, (USA already did that). This race is about who can build a presence on the moon:)
@Astro_Ptolemy
@Astro_Ptolemy Жыл бұрын
SPACE RACE SPACE RACE!
@slimj091
@slimj091 Жыл бұрын
Space race war?
@snowvon7160
@snowvon7160 Жыл бұрын
Chinas like that younger cousin that fallows you around that says and does everything like you just not as good bc they think your super cool 😂
@millymalasusa3054
@millymalasusa3054 Жыл бұрын
This is not even a race,.. Every country has it's own timeline. What kind of a race is that? Why do we always have to apply cold war mentalities in these issues.
@cometochristtoday
@cometochristtoday Жыл бұрын
Did i miss something? Have they solved the Van Allen belts?
@NASASpaceflight
@NASASpaceflight Жыл бұрын
Yeah, back in the 60s. Wasn't a problem. -Das
@controllerplayer1720
@controllerplayer1720 Жыл бұрын
😅
@andrewc662
@andrewc662 Жыл бұрын
I don't really see it as much of a battle if Starship works. They will be able to send payload up for a fraction of the cost. Even beyond cost, the frequency at which Starship could launch would be unmatchable.
@angryfilmgamer570
@angryfilmgamer570 Жыл бұрын
US has the biggest advantage over China. Which leads me to believe they will be the first to reach their goals. Whereas China, the benefit they have is the government is all about face, like this is where small towns are affected by rocket debris. They don't care how they do something, they just keep doing it till they can say they've done it. Which is similar to how it was during the Soviet Union.
@WangGanChang
@WangGanChang Жыл бұрын
I find it funny that people would consider this to be a race when China always planned land a years after the US returns to the moon. Back in the days of Constellation program when the US is expected to turn before 2020, China planned to land around the 2023 to 2025 timeframe with 3 shots of CZ-5DY (CZ-5 with 8 boosters instead of 4) and 1 shot of CZ-2F for personnel transfer. However, once Constellation is cancelled, China either cancelled their program as well, or it got reconfigured to its current form. Since artemis aims for 2025 landing, it is no coincidence that China ains once again to be a few years later at 2030. It would not surprise me that even if Artemis slips, China will slip its own program as well rather than pushing along. That said, the real deadline for the Chinese space program is the 100 AU at 2049 program. For that, you have a real launch window in order to make it in time, especially if current probe proposal got picked with its 10kW nuclear reactor.
@Kenneth_James
@Kenneth_James Жыл бұрын
I could swear we won 50 years ago
@劉天恆
@劉天恆 Жыл бұрын
Yes America managed to land on the moon 50 years ago on a Hollywood set lol!
@angelarce832
@angelarce832 Жыл бұрын
Spacex will win
@maskddingo1779
@maskddingo1779 Жыл бұрын
Oh my! You guy's aren't "Apollo moon landing was faked!" people, are you? 😂 US won more than a half century ago!
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
Whadayamean.... I thought the earth was flat so deliveries were easier.😂🤣😂🤪
@maskddingo1779
@maskddingo1779 Жыл бұрын
@@gwbuilder5779 Maybe the race resets after 50 years? IDK!? I need answers!!!😠
@maxv9464
@maxv9464 Жыл бұрын
We all get that. This video is talking about the return to the moon.
@maskddingo1779
@maskddingo1779 Жыл бұрын
@@maxv9464 Dang. Maybe the title should reflect that. Still, China hasn't been to the moon yet, so they can't very well "return" until they go once.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
@@maxv9464 China can't "return" to the moon. They have never been there.
@marthajohnson2775
@marthajohnson2775 Жыл бұрын
What matters is what is done after the arrival, for how long and how well. Anything done too quickly is subject to failure.
@carlwest859
@carlwest859 Жыл бұрын
The real race is who will be the first person on earth washing Mars dust out of their spacesuit.
@bineetgupta
@bineetgupta Жыл бұрын
​@@carlwest859that would be Elon Musk
@MichaelAConnolly
@MichaelAConnolly Жыл бұрын
Comparing apples with oranges! I think the conversation should be who will open a permanently manned moon base like a ISS on the surface. That would seem to be the key next step from here. Sure we have and can land “campers” on the moon for a few days and take pictures, but when do we “live” on the moon.
@MichaelAConnolly
@MichaelAConnolly Жыл бұрын
And I think a detailed overview of the details of the moon base is a worthwhile video with more facts than thoughts. In terms of designs that must be in progress or even chosen by now.👍
@fgeiger41
@fgeiger41 Жыл бұрын
China has to deal with its collapsing economy as well. Their space program can't be doing it any favors.
@berkiaskyclan2948
@berkiaskyclan2948 Жыл бұрын
For all mankind: The remake
@searchingforaway8494
@searchingforaway8494 Жыл бұрын
I thought we already went to the moon? First!!! ?
@andrewrutley
@andrewrutley Жыл бұрын
If we can get past the firmament
@shazibrahim7208
@shazibrahim7208 Жыл бұрын
That's the easy part. It doesn't exist. How do I know that? Cause we have done it multiple times.
@RasakBlood
@RasakBlood Жыл бұрын
I would just add that if starship works SLS do not really matter in any way and can be swiftly replaced by starship.
@steveaustin2686
@steveaustin2686 Жыл бұрын
Not necessarily. Per page 27 of the GAO report and Musk's update of 150 tons for Starship, it will take up to 10 flights to get HLS Starship to the Moon. Per SpaceX's plan for the Artemis III cadence, that is 1 Starship variant every 12 days (GAO pg 10). At that cadence, SpaceX can't turn around in time to launch a crew Starship before the loiter period for HLS Starship runs out in lunar orbit (100 days NASA HLS Option A Source Selection Statement pg 9). So SLS will be needed for the early Artemis missions until Starship can mature to a faster launch cadence.
@RasakBlood
@RasakBlood Жыл бұрын
@@steveaustin2686 Thats assuming no change in the loiter period or spacex launch capability. But sure. Swiftly is perhaps going to far. How about in less time then it takes to build another SLS rocket?
@steveaustin2686
@steveaustin2686 Жыл бұрын
@@RasakBlood The SLS for Artemis II is already under construction and some of the components of the Artemis III SLS are under construction as well. So that won't work either.
@Aravail
@Aravail Жыл бұрын
China is very wise to be doing distributed launch. Noteworthy that their lunar capsule is going to be launched on a vehicle roughly as powerful as a Falcon Heavy
@nathanforrester5140
@nathanforrester5140 Жыл бұрын
IMO if starship works SLS will be retired.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
back when Elon first got this NASA plan to include Starship and HLS, i said that SLS will be launched no more than 5 times. I stand by it.
@kmstanev
@kmstanev Жыл бұрын
The question is if China will manage to land also a booster back on earth 🌎
@NTZL-s8k
@NTZL-s8k Жыл бұрын
中国已经把月球土壤带回地球,把人送回地球应该也可以
@kmstanev
@kmstanev Жыл бұрын
​​@@NTZL-s8kI know all this and it's a great achievement. What I meant was to land the booster, rocket first stage for reuse
@SteenLarsen
@SteenLarsen Жыл бұрын
A key to the long-term success of the Artemis programme is that they drop SLS. Because the high cost of SLS is not sustainable.
@okman9684
@okman9684 Жыл бұрын
Why Chinese rockets look so similar to the US ones Coincidence?
@gs1246
@gs1246 Жыл бұрын
The output of NASA and China in the space exploration is pathetic when the cost of their programs are considered. This rate of expenditure for a low return on investment will finally bite their capability development deep into the space.
@logic-ally
@logic-ally Жыл бұрын
US has been there before. So no race here. Someone is just catching up, period
@DPodDolphin
@DPodDolphin Жыл бұрын
Exactly - they went there over 5 decades ago. And the US doesn't (at the moment) have the capability to go back. The real winner is who gets there and stays. Which nobody has ever done. Period.
@dr4d1s
@dr4d1s Жыл бұрын
Great comparison Adrian and NSF Team! Thank you so much for the hardware development comparison. I think the biggest issue for China is their economic woes they are currently facing. If the money isn't coming from the government how are they going to accomplish all this? If they are having issues with funding are they just going to be stuck in LEO, pouring money into their shiny new space station; much like what happened to the US? It will definitely be interesting to sit back and watch how everything unfolds.
@banerda2334
@banerda2334 Жыл бұрын
Sorry to tell you that CNSA has 1/10 the fundings of NASA and still finished Mars Landing. Also, about the economic thing, just a quick fact that China has far better industry powers than that of US.
@stlwrx
@stlwrx Жыл бұрын
@@banerda2334 and yet they reign power and control over their people treating them like absolute trash. I mean they have suicide jump nets on factory walls outside for gods sake! The people of China are lovely but their government is almost as bad as North Korea....
@billsimpson604
@billsimpson604 Жыл бұрын
Sad to admit, my money is on China because they have no budget. They will spend whatever it takes to accomplish their goal as fast as they can.
@derekwampum8861
@derekwampum8861 Жыл бұрын
You think China is the USSR?
@hectorfuji
@hectorfuji Жыл бұрын
USA got the W like years ago…
@earlpettey
@earlpettey Жыл бұрын
Now imagine if both countries could actually cooperate instead of acting like petulant little children each trying to one up and sabotage the other. Humanity would have been permanently on the moon decades ago.
@shkunwen
@shkunwen Жыл бұрын
No, China never said it would challenge the United States on the moon landing, nor did it say it would win the United States. Americans already won in 1969
@MoonMorningstar
@MoonMorningstar Жыл бұрын
US
@Valery0p5
@Valery0p5 Жыл бұрын
I think the real race is between privates
@anthonyd.8067
@anthonyd.8067 Жыл бұрын
The US only because of Spacex.
@maxv9464
@maxv9464 Жыл бұрын
I like starship too, but we're ahead with or without it.
@LunicLynx
@LunicLynx Жыл бұрын
Without watching the Video: Not Blue Origin 😁
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
Why do you say things like that? Someone is going to be offended.😂🤣😂🤣
@chrishill5511
@chrishill5511 Жыл бұрын
The race to the moon is over. The US has been there six times. The idea that if some other country wants to land on the moon too the US has to race to get there before them is absurd.
@JohanMsWorld
@JohanMsWorld Жыл бұрын
Hard to say given how little we/I know off the state of Chinese moon program. It is also worth recalling that the HLS element is dependent on both technologies (such as in orbit refueling) and rockets (Starship) that is at experimental and prototype phase at best. So we dont even know if fueling in space is possible with todays technology yet. That is in additon to all the other things mentioned in the video. With that said - Does it really has to be a space race for it to happen? Cant US and China cooperate like US and Kreml did and still does with ISS? One might argue that a race picks up the pace in space development but a co operation could bring boots on the moon or even mars much faster and cheaper. Maybe. J.
@derekwampum8861
@derekwampum8861 Жыл бұрын
As long as you can understand Chinese, you will find that the CNSA is much more transparent than you think. Why would CNSA publish details in English?
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
It doesn't take two Rockets, or two landers, or two capsules, or even two systems to have a "Race". It only takes someone saying, WE ARE BEHIND and WE SHOULD GET THERE FIRST. Back in 69, Russia had someone who said "damn, we didn't get there first. We had better deny we were EVER IN A RACE"
@grabir01
@grabir01 Жыл бұрын
Who is ahead in the race to the moon? What? USA was there back in 1969 dipsht!
@juriteller3688
@juriteller3688 Жыл бұрын
These comments will be great. Propaganda and blind patriotism at its finest.
@sgwilcox
@sgwilcox Жыл бұрын
It all depends on two things: The SpaceX Starship and trade sanctions against China. If Starship is successful any time soon, the race is over. Yet even if Starship is delayed, current trade sanctions against China could severely restrict their space program. The US is currently blocking high end chips because of their military applications and this could seriously affect China's space program. If you've only got so many high end chips to go around, they tend to go into fighter planes, not space ships.
@maxv9464
@maxv9464 Жыл бұрын
Correct me if I'm wrong, but aren't space computer systems usually years (if not decades) behind due to radiation protection needs? I really don't see that ending the defining factor in China losing this race. I don't think they'll win, but I put that down to starship and the simple fact that the US is so far ahead already in other ways, not trade sanctions.
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
Apparently no-one seems to realize that Dragon is fully capable of landing on the moon and returning multiple times a week, but that is not their goal or purpose. The unmanned cargo flights that supply the ISS, which also are fully autonomous, are also fully capable of landing on the moon and returning multiple times a week, but what for. Every day SpaceX is launching commercial cargo into outer space for profit while everyone else is paying them to do it. It's pretty hard to catch the leader when you are paying him to do your work for you.
@anthonypelchat
@anthonypelchat Жыл бұрын
@@012345678944107 High-end chips usually come from Taiwan, not China.
@gwbuilder5779
@gwbuilder5779 Жыл бұрын
@@012345678944107 Actually there are 2 or 3 companies making chips in the US now after China stopped production in the automotive market trying to blackmail the industry. The start-up is slow, but the ability is enormous. We can definitely do it when we actually want to.
@yucao6742
@yucao6742 Жыл бұрын
@@anthonypelchat Taiwan is a PART of China
@jorgesolis7891
@jorgesolis7891 2 ай бұрын
Not a chanc this time. How ever, is gonna have better and more productive results....
@jameswilson5165
@jameswilson5165 Жыл бұрын
While China can just say to its people, "Go do This." One of the larger challenges for the Artemis Accords team will be providing Industry a Reason to invest in the moon. Just going and then saying, "See, we beat you again." Isn't going to cut it this time. There is no reason to settle the Moon without an ROI bottom line.
@vedymin1
@vedymin1 Жыл бұрын
US won couse they already did it...hyhy ...Allegedly... xD jkjk pls don't shoot your guns, i know you have plenty ;)
@BIGBaNANaBender
@BIGBaNANaBender Жыл бұрын
A fact is a fact and if we as humans went to the moon then surely without any doubt 😂😅🎉we would have gone back to celebrate the 50th anniversary 😁🎈
@lawrenceallen8096
@lawrenceallen8096 9 ай бұрын
SpaceX will return humans to the moon first. It is inevitable: SpaceX will launch a private mission to the moon. They have to. If they wait for NASA it wont' happen until the 2030s years after China. Just prick the boil: "NASA, we're going ahead on our own. When you're ready to send astronauts to our lander in Lunar Orbit, we'll be happy to provide you a ride."
@marklipsinic7916
@marklipsinic7916 Жыл бұрын
Hate to break it to you mate, but America already landed on the Moon 54 years ago.
@justindelong249
@justindelong249 Жыл бұрын
Hmm. I vonder who will ren. Just kidding.... It'll be SpaceX!!!
@polishkerbal6920
@polishkerbal6920 Жыл бұрын
NASA*
@VanquishedAgain
@VanquishedAgain Жыл бұрын
No way. We fail at everything now. We have a husk for a president and a fossil as the head of nasa.
@serpentphoenix
@serpentphoenix Жыл бұрын
7:27 Pakistan... AHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA
@bineetgupta
@bineetgupta Жыл бұрын
Why just beg on Earth ? Now they will beg on Moon 😂 and start terrorism there as well
@ramosel
@ramosel Жыл бұрын
It doesn't matter, they're both just shooting for 2nd place... 3rd if you count the Lunokhod.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
if you're already first , you can't also be second.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
" 3rd if you count the Lunokhod." You mean 3rd if you count Luna 9
@tacitidesong
@tacitidesong Жыл бұрын
As with anything Chinese-made, whatever they cook up is doomed to fail. There's a reason why anyone who actually understands China's capabilities laughs at people who talk about Chinese military might or infrastructure development.
@saxus
@saxus Жыл бұрын
Sorry, but that Chinese space capsule is not even closely relates to Dragon, it's much more like the Russian Orel spacecraft.
@DPodDolphin
@DPodDolphin Жыл бұрын
Adrian said early renders of the capsule resembled dragon. On screen at that time is a capsule that resembles dragon. So idk what video you watched.
@WangGanChang
@WangGanChang Жыл бұрын
​​@@DPodDolphinven the original version is not close to dragon at all, since it size is nearly twice as large as the dragon. The Chinese return capsule is benchmarked against Orion during the original Constellation program, and it's service module is developed from Shengzhou. It is originally tested on the CZ5B-Y1 test flight in 2020 and you can find plenty of pictures. It looks like the dragon because it was tested without the launch escape system so it has a round nose instead of a flat one that would be connected to a LES rocket.
@geirmyrvagnes8718
@geirmyrvagnes8718 Жыл бұрын
The United Arab Emirates will win. They are apparently betting on both horses. 🧕👩‍🚀
@fastamx069box8
@fastamx069box8 Жыл бұрын
Elon can do it all and just might do so...! 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
@hahnwind319
@hahnwind319 Жыл бұрын
India!
@jaydonbooth4042
@jaydonbooth4042 Жыл бұрын
Nationalism is silly. We should just do it together and we can all benefit.
@FreeRadicalX
@FreeRadicalX Жыл бұрын
I really tire of this country-vs-country space exploration framing. I really tire of the idea that humans can't do cool shit in space unless they're pitted against each other into a tribal competition. It demands this self-deprecated, misanthropic, undignified, common denominator vision of what humanity is, and what it can be. I'm sorry, but I can't believe that humanity will ever explore the stars if I'm boxed in to believing that's what humanity really is. And insisting on framing space advancements as a nationalistic, diametric ideological proxy war distracts away from the actual science and technology, bringing out the worst jingoistic, racist, divisive debates in venues that do not and cannot have space for both that and discovery. If we must ask "Who wins" then the answer will always be "Nobody, everybody loses".
@artysanmobile
@artysanmobile Жыл бұрын
I am literally ashamed of my nation for taking part in this disgracefully wasteful game.
@selestine3140
@selestine3140 Жыл бұрын
Well it's not about who will land first.... It's about who will get their first and occupy more land more land means more resources more resources means more power and the one who will get there first will be planning to stay there the country which manages to get there first will get their own gateway to mars and occupy more land and establish their footprint on mars too and new resources there will establish said country's superiorioty. China understands that and plans to push more money for their space programs
@adam3496
@adam3496 Жыл бұрын
crazy how everything china puts out looks awfully similar to designs created by US or Russian companies
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
they are still launching their men into space in Soyuz capsules
@zerofox9900
@zerofox9900 Жыл бұрын
Much clickbait. Such bleh.
@jikemenkins7098
@jikemenkins7098 Жыл бұрын
Why not just travel to the moon in starship? Why not just take 2 starships to the moon? One specifically configured for lunar landing and ascent, and one configured for the trip to and from.
@stevevernon1978
@stevevernon1978 Жыл бұрын
Well, that would be a SpaceX program, and SpaceX wants it's program to be the one to go to Mars. This NASA program (Artemis) already has SLS (and its faults) and Orion (and its faults) and NASA wants to use those to go to the Moon, they contracted with SpaceX for the HLS to put NASA astronauts back on the Moon. almost had to twist Elon's arm behind his back to get him to look at ANYTHING closer than Mars.
@larryz667
@larryz667 Жыл бұрын
only up speed run😂
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