Why Telework is the Natural Progression of the Internet, Part 1/2

Рет қаралды 181

Күн бұрын

Telework, videoconferencing, WFH. The natural progression of the Internet under the first principles of dematerialization and efficiency. Just like telecom, e-commerce, and streaming video before it.

Пікірлер: 11

@danzopff9913 Ай бұрын

Remote work, if done properly can far exceed most of the benefit from in-office interactions. Developing an online working persona is a consequence of remote working, but whether you develop a productive persona or not is a choice. A productive persona has set the expectation with colleagues that you bring something to the table, will be in regular communication, don’t mind occasional interruptions, available for discussions, advice, project/peer reviews, and are flexible with timing of tag-ups. Mentoring and management tasks become easier as IMs allow frequent, low-pressure interactions. It should become your way of working, being intentional and deliberate to improve your online persona. Another aspect some employers may fail to recognize is that commutes can be stressful and exhausting; the mental energy used to manage traffic, unsafe situations, and pre-work preparation can better be used focusing on actual work tasks. It is amazing that more employers are not looking at training programs to implement newer, more productive remote work cultures.

@KartikGadaATOM Ай бұрын

Indeed. I say that it makes the more productive even more productive, while making the less productive even less productive. But more than that, the undeniable cost (time, money, risk or crime) of commuting, combined with the excess resource allocation to office buildings, is untenable under Third Millennium Economics.

@suncat9 Ай бұрын

Agree 100%. You made a great and hilarious observation when you said "Elon Musk is so disruptive, he's disrupted himself" with Starlink! If anything good came out of COVID, it was the push for and acceptance of remote work. Internet technology was ready for it well before COVID, but the stubbornness and obsession with control from corporate management prevented it from catching on.

@KartikGadaATOM Ай бұрын

Yes. Futurists from 2000 said that by the 2020s, there would be widespread videoconferencing. If one only took snapshots from 2000 and 2025, it would seem it happened smoothly, with no evidence of resistance in between that took a shock event to shake loose.

@kaitlin8669 Ай бұрын

Both my brother and I had managers that tried to risk our lives traveling to work during bad weather conditions (flooding) when we had a laptop and could remote in. Apparently it is common. They hate remote work that much.

@KartikGadaATOM Ай бұрын

It is a power thing. They know it is 10 times easier to look for a new job in a WFH world than when office presence is mandatory.

@johannel8104 Ай бұрын

WFH is a good thing and hopefully will increase. But if just 25% of the workforce can WFH 2 or 3 days per week it will reduce cost and wasted time and increase quality of life vastly. A 2+ hour daily roundtrip was one of the biggest reasons I retired early. And cars are needed for much more than commuting. BEVs will replace all ICEVs and cars will become autonomous which will reduce their energy footprint even more. WFH does not negatively affect EV sales because 98% of the global auto fleet are still ICEVs. The EV market is still experiencing double digit annual growth in sales and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future.

@KartikGadaATOM Ай бұрын

50% of workday instances are replaced with WFH. that includes people who just go one day a week (80% replacement). But WFH does eat into EV sales to a greater extent than ICE sales, for the reason mentioned. EV sales still grow (for which I have many videos), but that is growth of market share within a shrinking market. US new car sales are permanently 20% lower than pre-Covid, even 4 years later.

@johannel8104 Ай бұрын

@@KartikGadaATOM Globally car sales peaked in 2017. Affordability and market saturation are big reasons and the transition to EVs and even bigger reason. People don't want to lock into a dying technology even when the replacement product does not meet all the requirements of the old (EVs does not yet have the range of ICEVs or enough DC fast charging facilities on highways although they are adequate for most people). The global vehicle market will grow again and surpass the 2017 all time peak of sales because the global population is still growing, the world is getting richer and BEVs are already have a lower cost per mile to own, maintain and power. And that cost will continue to decline as BEV sales continue to rise and cost curve declines improve further. And TaaS will lead to a further huge reduction in cost per mile travelled. Maybe auto sales have declined over the last 7 years, but I don't see that passenger vehicle miles travelled have declined. Cars are lasting longer and the global auto fleet is still growing. With autonomous cars enabling TaaS transportation costs will drop which will lead to increased demand (most people globally have unmet transportation needs). GPVMT is over 10T mi and growing.