Why the odds of a perfect march madness bracket are insane

The perfect March Madness bracket is talked about, but in all reasonable likelihood will never be achieved. The odds of a perfect bracket are immense - way worse than lottery odds. NCAA.com breaks down the perfect bracket odds and the math behind this elusive NCAA tournament Holy Grail.
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[@CarsonClaws]

This may be the most anticipated March madness year ever

[@jimminithecritic8623]

Yes it is. I’m hyped cause I’ve waited 2 years for March madness lol

[@robertlind1511]

Are you going??? I am from NY but I have a lot of family in Indianapolis. I am going who is coming with meeee

[@wizskinz9987]

I wouldn’t say that tbh.

[@brittonschmidt1031]

Yes! Definitely!

[@brayden3942]

This is like the exact same script as the perfect bracket probability video a couple years ago

[@MarchMadness]

That's very perceptive and thanks for watching that one as well. We felt we needed to re-tool that one from two years ago and update, especially after the 2019 bracket that went 49-for-49. But we love them both.

[@MarchMadness]

Here's that 2018 version if anyone is interested: kzbin.info/www/bejne/e6m2poeXh7Geq8k

[@ethanrichards1472]

@@MarchMadness 😐

[@theowasden8522]

@@MarchMadness 🤡

[@nmyster3201]

I was about to say the same thing lol

[@Tele230]

I cant wait for march madness its been forever

[@kodystahley7532]

IKR! I just came back from a high school march madness tournament today. It got me really excited about what's coming!

[@fwryze1398]

it’s been a year

[@Tele230]

@@fwryze1398 two years

[@wesleyspilly3087]

I’m gonna rlly study this year for my bracket, I’m not looking for a perfect bracket. I’m going for my Final Four and Champion this year!!

[@Owen004]

Same

[@highlightlocker3573]

Thanks for sharing - I'll be getting my perfect bracket next week, see you in Indianapolis!

[@MarchMadness]

Thanks for watching! Play the official bracket challenge game here: bracketchallenge.ncaa.com/?cid=bcg2021_editorial_editorial-tile&ko_click_id=ko_x2t47wfdnf204fzxr

[@Owen004]

I’m actually gonna try to look at every single team and their stats to predict the outcome of games

[@alexbetru1664]

yeah me too. Im gonna try to look at stats for sure. I used to just pick who I felt would win and their seeds. I was younger then but I have some knowledge now.

[@Owen004]

@@alexbetru1664 exactly the same for me

[@TheRoseBoy11]

It's been far too long. This is one of my most favorite times of the sports year!

[@GrantFuksa]

Thoughts on KU?

[@andrewdavanzo8876]

Inside Edition will post this comment after I create the first perfect bracket (from the future btw)

[@shchorss]

Just go ahead and pick Illinois, Baylor and Gonzaga for at least the Elite 8. That should help 😎

[@calstubbs638]

nice odds my bracket about to defy them this year

[@danielostrom566]

This is why a perfect bracket is my sole goal in life.

[@CinCityVet89]

you need a machine learning algorithm to create a perfect bracket. Trust me filling it out yourself won't help at all.

[@danielostrom566]

@@CinCityVet89 those dont even work lol

[@CinCityVet89]

@@danielostrom566 What I meant was you have to create your own. I've done it myself. As one of the commentators said the odds are not 1 in 9.2 but the algorithm does increase your chances slightly.

[@danielostrom566]

@@CinCityVet89 yeah its like 1 in 1.2 billion

[@jeremiahgeiger]

It can’t be that hard, just pick every game right and you’ll have a perfect bracket

[@kijones6167]

Fr that’s what I’m saying

[@jameslisle7775]

Imagine the odds of a 16 seed winning the Tournament.

[@ryandeshetler]

0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%. 🤣

[@jaredpatterson1701]

@@ryandeshetler but not 0

[@strangewatch4315]

I think the committee should put Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, and Illinois as the 16 seeds, then we might see a 16 seed win it all (Edited to add the all top 4 teams because someone thought I was insulting Gonzaga)

[@qmajc18]

I mean they have never lost past the 2nd round

[@strangewatch4315]

@@5roductionz1466 What? I wasn't insulting Gonzaga at all. I made that suggestion because Gonzaga could easily win the championship. So if they win, we'd have a 16 seed win the championship I suggested the current #1 ranked team so that it's obvious they don't actually deserve a 16 seed

[@MegaDhop]

Tbh I feel like the odds would be lower this year especially but still crazy high

[@turtlexheading9973]

Mine will be perfect this year

[@whattheheck02]

Rock Chalk

[@benberkson4481]

Wasn’t this a video from a few years ago?

[@Owen004]

Yeah

[@Masonjoliveira]

BTW, if the amount of people that filled out a bracket every year filled it out for the last 81 years (70,000,000) it would still be a 1 in 5,670,000,000 odds that it has been achieved by now. Statistically, if the same number of people fill out 1 every year, and they have been filling that many out for the last 81 years, the date will be early April of 131762459527 when it happens. That is 126,762,459,527 years beyond the estimated explosion time of the sun. Safe to say, we will never see it.

[@jimminithecritic8623]

It’s gonna happen soon. One year a perfect bracket will happen

[@sportsfanatic2228]

OKAY KZbin I WATCHED IT

[@liambrandt2132]

Who yall got winning???

[@liambrandt2132]

i got michigan even after the loss to illinois, i still am confident in them

[@anthonydimattia466]

@@liambrandt2132 I’m stuck between Michigan and Baylor

[@xnrq]

@@anthonydimattia466 yo r u from the future

[@luckysevens70905]

One day, it will be done

[@strangewatch4315]

Hey if we could rig every game we could easily cause a perfect bracket

[@stevenhamann4344]

yeah!

[@naki1630]

rip to u guys but im gonna do it. im just built like that.

[@michaelrobgolf]

this is almost the same script as the secret bases video about the bracket. here’s the actual video by secret base:m.kzbin.info/www/bejne/apKUhYipr9CAnKs

[@CW-mr8pg]

Super weird to watch this right after the one from 2018

[@connorgreep4468]

Nah pretty sure I got it this year

[@sully6413]

So your say there’s a chance

[@elimaiorana3753]

I’m sure if people did them back when there were only eight teams there would’ve been a good bit of perfect brackets

[@mbdg6810]

When we go over how to reach a quintillion, thats satisfying to me as a number nerd. I know lots of quantities even larger than that number

[@meowistforlife]

At 0:16 I said sub one percent, let’s see if I am right

[@stevenhamann4344]

lol

[@connorbullinger9834]

who’s here after ohio state lost

[@LoganJames4201]

Someone has got it perfect, a kid in 2015 who chose Duke to win it all along with getting every game correct cmon lady smh🤦‍♂️😂

[@user-ts3pt5jl2z]

THAT IS SO COOL🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩

[@bigboyzproductions6245]

Guess I gotta be the first one to have a perfect bracket

[@mbdg6810]

You have to have greg Nhigels luck + more

[@zacharysparks6476]

Makes 9.22 quintillion brackets.

[@joebarber9129]

WISCONSIN

[@scruffd0g193]

That's the fun of this. A hamster has the same odds as any one this guys on TV. Let a family member who knows nothing about sports fill one out, again same odds as anyone one else.

[@mikeplayzft7585]

YOOOOO Swag LIKE OHIOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

[@littleprofessorluke1990]

The trick is to make 9.2 quintillion different brackets and present the perfect one

[@alexsautismacceptancechann1459]

It is never going to happen

[@MarchMadness]

We'd agree, having done this for many years.

[@wesleyspilly3087]

Yes, but it could happen?

[@jaredpatterson1701]

@@wesleyspilly3087 yes

[@strangewatch4315]

Yes it'll never reach 63-for-63, but each year we can still celebrate the person who's bracket survived longest before busting

[@bradentank4052]

Someone already got a perfect bracket in 2015

[@anthonydimattia466]

You’re probably talking about that teenager. He did not get a perfect bracket, he just had the best bracket in the world that year. Most people think he got a perfect bracket because the video about him by the channel “Great Big Story” is very misleading

[@strangewatch4315]

@Braden That's wrong because NCAA has been tracking every year and the record is perfect 49 games in a row. So nobody's gotten a perfect 63 games yet. I'm guessing the article said "perfect through sweet 16" or something and thought it meant a full perfect bracket