She sold nvda right at the bottom. She got lucky with tsla and that's it.
@Tie5098 ай бұрын
She got lucky with just about everything. Reminds me of the "everyone looks like a genius in a bull market" quote. She invested in unprofitable and volatile junk stocks during the covid bubble, when these types of stocks benefited the most from the associated stimulus. A cooler market with higher interest rates has exposed her as a charlatan who got lucky.
@archvaldor8 ай бұрын
Uh-huh. So you and Ben Felix sold ARKK short because you were so sure she was full of it. Oh no wait you didn't....you bravely stuck the boot in when things started to get difficult after the fact.....
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
@archvaldor I’ll have you know, sir, that I’ve been sticking the boot in it since before the crash.
@brettmclennan43638 ай бұрын
@archvaldor I owned arkk before it was cool in 2017. I turned 25k into 75k and sold it all around 130. It ripped a bit higher and plummeted after. I debated buying some back but never did. I might jump back in when the chart looks better. Sounds like you're still bag holding and that's OK. Happened to all of us in the early days of our investing journey.
@garret93908 ай бұрын
@@archvaldor You should probably fact check yourself before you put that boot in your mouth lol
@arielstulberg8 ай бұрын
"Being left behind actually looks pretty good." I thought your dunking days were over, Ben 😂
@tyeealpha8 ай бұрын
Gold
@rajTrondhjem108 ай бұрын
Ouch..
@Lonovavir8 ай бұрын
A classy burn for sure.
@ba88988 ай бұрын
Ben was saying this at the height of the Ark euphoria, when people like him were being dismissed as "boomers" or whatever. As one of those "novice investors", I'm glad I took his not-financial-advice.
@archvaldor8 ай бұрын
So why didn't he recommend shorting the stock if he was so sure it was a bust?
@svzdvd8 ай бұрын
@@archvaldor because here we're talking about investing, not betting
@archvaldor8 ай бұрын
So what useful advice did he give here? Because it seems like he is trying to claim credit for not investing in ARK specifically...what about all the other stocks which grew he didn't invest in? He comes across like BS artist with people like you as his cult backing up vague meaningless statements.
@ba88988 ай бұрын
@@archvaldor as I understand it, he doesn't advocate stock picking. His videos tend to emphasise the objective reality that stock-pickers and active portfolio managers (e.g. Ark) will almost always underperform a cap-weighted passive global index fund over the long term.
@pretentiouscritic65138 ай бұрын
@@ba8898 We know that.But he seems to be bragging about the fact he predicted ARKK would crash. The truth is as you say he just said avoid active portfolio managers altogether and stock-picking altogether. But then you can't claim credit for the demise of a specific stock without accepting responsibility for the all stocks you didn't invest in.
@rogerthornhill14918 ай бұрын
Calm rational intelligently delivered. Ben you are a welcome relief to what’s normally on offer in your subject area. Whenever I see one of your videos it’s an instant watch. Did I mention the information therein is always fantastic.
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
I appreciate that very much.
@jeanlucbergman4798 ай бұрын
@@BenFelixCSI Interested in your thoughts on Soros's concept of reflexivity, would love if you covered it at some point.
@fsaldan18 ай бұрын
Indeed.
@krdxz8 ай бұрын
Best channel on YT when it comes to investing. Found nothing else that even comes close to it.
@larryjones97738 ай бұрын
Agree, along with Safeguard Wealth Management.
@kennywen30418 ай бұрын
Plain Bagel and How Money Works are also great... But yeah, Ben is probably the best
@MaryMackenzie-x2x8 ай бұрын
Agreed. And I would add Preet Banerjee to this select list.
@BitsOfInterest8 ай бұрын
The Rational Reminder Podcast is also pretty good 😉👍
@dietbajablast57908 ай бұрын
Don't forget the Money Guy Show.
@markavelisocal8 ай бұрын
i hold one share to remind me of my own hubris and Cathy's exaggerated intelligent stock picks
@Will140f8 ай бұрын
That’s actually very wise and also hilarious
@ZelenoJabko8 ай бұрын
Cathie Sloot
@jan2000nl3 ай бұрын
Cathy is actually very clever. She has made a killing from the 75 basis point fund fee. Her investors…. Not so much. Another word could be deplorable.
@Goalseeker123Ай бұрын
Lol it's going up now
@jan2000nlАй бұрын
@@Goalseeker123 Time to get in?!! 🙄
@joshlevy25938 ай бұрын
Reminds me of a good quote by Buffet: "There are three connected realities that cause investing success to breed failure. First, a good record quickly attracts a torrent of money. Second, huge sums invariably act as an anchor on investment performance: What is easy with millions, struggles with billions. Good video as usual Ben, thank u
@richardpearce49886 ай бұрын
This is genuinely great - what's the third condition (or is that the millions vs billions part)?
@papacharlie-niner1488 ай бұрын
I did a comparison (backtest) of ARKK vs. the NASDAQ 100 in the form of QQQ for Jan 2020 thru Mar 2024. For each metric: ARKK/QQQ. CAGR: 0.79%/19.65%, Max Drawdown: -77.08%/-32.58%, Beta: 1.80/1.06, Alpha: -8.96%/8.78%, Sharpe Ratio: 0.20/0.80, Sortino Ratio: 0.31/1.35. For me, the Sortino Ratio is the killer. So much unrewarded risk!
@ericb72238 ай бұрын
i approve of this slight shift in direction for the channel
@del78968 ай бұрын
Most of your viewers probably know, but I think it's worth highlighting that a 67 % drawdown means that you need a 200 % gain just to get back to the initial nominal value. And if the recovery takes 10+ years on average, you'd still likely be trailing more diversified investments and even savings accounts by a lot.
@archvaldor8 ай бұрын
You say that like it isn't obvious. I have no money in ARK but the tech investments I do have I bought four years ago and plan to hold till at least 2030. It is going to be random noise till then.
@notyetjp8 ай бұрын
@@archvaldor Ben might be all wrong. Maybe your tech picks will be lucky. And you'll win!! Good luck!
@UncleBobbyB48 ай бұрын
Thanks Ben. I would just like to say that I have been watching you videos for a few years now, and you are one of the few financial KZbinrs I trust to provide sound and unbiased investing insight. Thanks for doing what you do!
@ljragsandfeathers8 ай бұрын
Ben, I appreciated the lesson today using ARKK as your theme. It gave me the courage to finally divest myself of some very badly performing individual stocks in my portfolio from my early days investing. I transferred the money to some low cost index funds and breathed a sigh of relief. Thanks 😊
@hrnekbezucha8 ай бұрын
I'm betting on ARKK ... going down
@samsonsoturian60138 ай бұрын
That is called SARK
@walidabughali7468 ай бұрын
you mean that ARK will .. sink ?
@PeterQuilter-s6kАй бұрын
I mean, this year it's up over 20%. I bought in at $35 a share and It's now worth $62
@bluegreenalge8 ай бұрын
I owe Ben a big thanks for his earlier video on this topic: I had bought the ARKK narrative and was about to throw caution to the wind. As usual, Ben's explanation was succinct and direct and rang true Thank you, Mr. Felix! VEQT has been a much better fit for me.
@LurchLures7 ай бұрын
Lots of good information here. Both about our own weakness, the history of funds and the nature of economics. Thanks. As a sociopath with a sense of humour I would just like to thank all the arkk investors who lost thier nest eggs in arkk for helping fund industries a tiny few of which may very eventually make the world a better place.
@Felix-i9k8 ай бұрын
That is a kind advice and a great question we should ask ourselves about our securities at least once every year: if you did not own it today, would you buy it? Thank You!
@JohnSmith-gy8rc8 ай бұрын
Investors who bought into ARKK at or near the peak will never see their money back in this lifetime - partly due to interest rates which make the returns on these companies much less attractive compared to cash, partly because it was a bubble fund.
@taaaaaaaazzzzzz8 ай бұрын
The interest rates affect these companies mostly because they can’t spend that much on growth when money is so much more expensive. On the other hand, there is the equity risk premium which is normally the added return to the risk free rate that you make on stocks. The equity risk premium doesn’t necessarily change only because the interest rates change. I would never invest in the arkk etf because I don’t understand a lot of these companies and I find the mostly extremely overvalued. But to say no one can make their money back in the next 30-40 years is nothing more than speculation, as no one can predict the market nor the evolution of the economy and which companies might come out as the winners. But In my opinion it is highly unlikely as well, that the arkk will outperform the market.
@SchwuppSchwupp2 ай бұрын
8:22 Why not hold on? Unless the investment case is broken, sure, sell asap if that happens. But selling, because the price is down seems like a really bad advice to me, it is still the same company after all (or, company collection, in Arks case) and the downside is limited, the upside not.
@Robyo121218 ай бұрын
Thankfully, I had no idea ARKK even existed because I've been following Ben's advice and not paying attention to financial news. Can't lose money in bad investments if you don't know they exist! Thanks Ben!
@Nova2Yung8 ай бұрын
Thank you so much for this video Ben, whenever i watch these kind of videos i can imagine Sir Jack Bogle looking at us proudly ! , fund managers and wall street hated him ! , RIP to Jack Bogle , the man who saved the common investor to have their fair share of the market!
@DracaOxians8 ай бұрын
Great video! Another interesting question to answer might be: If invested into a fund/sector that suffers a drawdown, is it beneficial to switch investments at that point? Or are the expected returns, now that the bubble deflated, more in line with the broader market? As if you bought at the top, and the price declines, you are practically starting from that lower point, whether you materialize the losses or not by switching investments.
@luisoncpp8 ай бұрын
Curiously the funds from Wood and Jacob moved pretty much the same during their recent bubble, I wouldn't have expected that from actively managed funds, but apparently that pattern of looking for disruptive tech is pretty universal.
@brianaustin7047 ай бұрын
Excellent post Ben. Definitely will check out your other videos.
@nwahally8 ай бұрын
The locust is moving on. I have seen Cathie Wood's face pop up in German-speaking personal finance YT-Channels in the past few weeks, drumming up business for her actively managed ETFs. And I do really think that she is brilliant at her job - but I also think that her job primarily is client aquisition and not really to do sensible stuff with the clients' money.
@ATMOSK12348 ай бұрын
My companies largest shareholder is ark invest. My company stock has pretty much been horizontal since I started working there in 2022. Doesn't bother me too much since I get a 15% discount on it, but if not for that espp program then I would probably not want to buy our stock.
@samsonsoturian60138 ай бұрын
Is the company profitable?
@ATMOSK12348 ай бұрын
@samsonsoturian6013 No, not particularly. Though we are probably doing better than a lot of biotech firms right now.
@BittermanAndy7 ай бұрын
I'm not sure if I'd ever buy stock in a company I worked for. Seems like doubling the risk. Lose your job and your savings at the same time if the company goes bust. I looked at ARKG because I think biotech, as an industry, has a massive future... but I didn't know any of the companies or their business plans or really anything about them, and I didn't want to just blindly let Cathie Wood handle all of that for me. So I didn't go for it, which I'm pretty relieved about now.
@ATMOSK12347 ай бұрын
@@BittermanAndy I don't disagree. Alot of my compensation comes from stock, in the form of RSU's and my 401k match is in company stock too. So I'm taking on alot more risk then is ideal.
@mariusfacktor35978 ай бұрын
I was hanging on to ARKK hoping it would go back up. Luckily not a lot of it. It's literally my smallest position. The argument that if you wouldn't buy it today, you shouldn't hold it now, is what convinced me. I'll sell out of it and buy more QQQ with that money instead.
@michaelyoon93558 ай бұрын
I'm still a novice, but I know for certain if you heard about it in the news, you are too late.
@Will140f8 ай бұрын
Or a Motley Fool article
@michaelyoon93558 ай бұрын
@@Will140f Yea, you gotta find the opportunities on your own. Its easy to analyze it if its given to you.
@ironcito11018 ай бұрын
Not necessarily. There were news about Apple in the 70s. Just don't invest _because_ you heard about it in the news.
@michaelyoon93558 ай бұрын
@ironcito1101 good point!
@michaelyoon93558 ай бұрын
@@ironcito1101 thanks for the tip
@aas558 ай бұрын
Just invest in a passively managed growth fund or etf. Ben you have taught me well!
@Lonovavir8 ай бұрын
Vanguard ETFs here, they do well.
@WaryofExtremesАй бұрын
If everyone did that, wouldn't it not really work well? I guess a lot of people can't or choose not to...
@williamrogers-r2k8 ай бұрын
Ben, I love your youtube videos and podcast. In one of your videos, you noted how many consecutive years an active manager would have to beat the market in order to reject, at the 95% confidence level, the null hypothesis that it was due to luck. Can you direct me to that video and also the paper(s) on which you based your statement? Many thanks.
@NedSchneebly-eh7kh8 ай бұрын
Ben would like your take on collectibles as investments, I bought Booster boxes of Pokémon for $100s each and now a few years later they are worth $800 - $1000. The increase in value beats most stocks and every index fund. I know that they are not traditional and depend on popularity, but when its is popular it is very easy to double, triple your original value that you put in.
@SuperPlayz8 ай бұрын
it may work with smaller amounts but its more difficult if you are unloading 25k worth of them you and also need to consider the fees trying to sell them if there isn't any local buyers
@thanks4that2618 ай бұрын
Ask the people who bought rare and valuable beanie babies and kept them in a protective case because it was their retirement plan.
@NedSchneebly-eh7kh8 ай бұрын
@@thanks4that261 Difference is that Pokémon is the top grossing media franchise of all time. Higher grossing than Star Wars, Harry Potter, etc. Its also been around almost 30 years, nearly establishing itself compared to Beanie Babies which got popular and was forgotten about withing a decade. Its just cardboard at the end of the day, so its speculation rather than investing, however I have made more money from Pokémon the past 10 years, than from the S&P 500. Obviously you don't spend all of your money on it, however spending $200 every three months is worth the risk for me anyways.
@BittermanAndy7 ай бұрын
@@NedSchneebly-eh7kh 30 years ago nobody had any idea it'd still be around 30 years later. OK, this speculation paid off for you in the case of your Pokemon gamble, and it's your money so you do what you want, but might as well recommend going to Vegas and putting everything on red as a strategy. Possible to easily make better returns than the S&P that way. Also possible to lose everything.
@NedSchneebly-eh7kh7 ай бұрын
@@BittermanAndy Almost all of my net worth is in index funds. However I spend a small percentage of my money on speculative things.
@CliffordDutka8 ай бұрын
I bought ARKK during it's dip @ $34 I figured that it would slowly recover as hype returned to tech sector; however, I sold at $46 because ARKK bought ARKB. This type of active really annoys me as ARK was double-dipping on fees.
@jameszeng26668 ай бұрын
You've made very good point. Love your video. If you and your company would provide advising for people in US, I would 100% schedule a time with you.
@barettmac8 ай бұрын
Another great video Ben, any chance you can post a list of the books on your shelf?
@davidwilkie95518 ай бұрын
"Love grows old, and waxes cold, and it fades away like the morning dew" Love of money included, it loses value when inactive and that is just the way it is. The only way to know the future is to make it yourself or have control over those making it. What's the question again?
@anuragbisht12008 ай бұрын
Great work Ben. However, I miss your previous theme of saffron and green joints. Bring that back please.
@LarryCohen1888 ай бұрын
As always Ben, your the diamond in this coal mine. We hold onto our losses and sell our winners quickly.
@stonks4days18 ай бұрын
VT (56.37%) > ARKK (-8.71%) 5-year total returns. I'll stick with global market cap-weighted indexes and factors. Innovation is already a part of global funds anyway like NVDA is 2.62% of VT already
@739jep8 ай бұрын
The funny part was I’m pretty sure I remember her making an ad dunking on index funds. 😂
@streettrialsandstuff8 ай бұрын
NVDA is likely a bubble by itself
@connorferguson22698 ай бұрын
4:30 XXXX just released about a month ago, supposedly the first 4x daily bull ETF for the S&P500, def a sign we're heading for a downturn.
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
4x wow. Great ticker too.
@samsonsoturian60138 ай бұрын
There's been a 3X for years, but all the hype is over chips and AI
@persieprince93458 ай бұрын
Hi ben thanks for the amazing work you do i learned a lot from you about rational and sensible investing.. My question comes from reading about the matters in your videos Does the growing AUM affect the ability of the manager to generate positive returns especially with active approach like targeting value or size ? The short answer i read somewhere that it does
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
Yes there are a bunch of good papers on this. It’s diminishing returns to scale for active management.
@danilocampolo44988 ай бұрын
Is stis rationale applicable only to active investing? Or would be also applicable to passively investing in something very tech heavy like QQQ?
@M88JABER8 ай бұрын
Finally someone did this, thanks Ben
@andrewdemayo9455 ай бұрын
I do find it interesting looking at ARK's old predictions and forecasts - In Jan 2019, stating that 'ARK’s autonomous taxi adoption forecast is conservative', they had autonomous vehicles coming into market by later 2019, whereas in 2024, it still remains at least a least a couple of years away. That was 'not' a conservative estimate - it was an insanely optimistic one. Given statements like that, I really don't think one can credit Woods or Ark with any real knowledge of the technology they invest in.
@AndrewWatsonPiano5 ай бұрын
the technology bubble thtough history rant is so good!
@lennybaumgartner59548 ай бұрын
Hi Ben, I see that Dimensional ETFs are available on the the NYSE ARCA exchange. Would it make sense to invest in these? If so, which ones?
@raosiddharth47268 ай бұрын
Which paper is this formula mentioned 3:52, unable to find it.
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
It's a standard valuation equation. You can see it in this paper. www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X14002323
@raosiddharth47268 ай бұрын
@@BenFelixCSI thank you very much
@lucam80948 ай бұрын
You said that on average, axtively managed bubble stocks that peaked in the year 2000 took 14 years to recover. Didnt the S&P 500 basically take 13 years to recover? So given that those probably fell more than the S&P from 2000 to 2002 does that mean that their returns from the bottom in 2002 to 2014 would if anything be greater?
@Mishabtw8 ай бұрын
Haha, I thought you said destructive innovation for a second. Sounds about right as it was pretty destructive to a holders portfolio
@travis12408 ай бұрын
Cathie Wood always had poor investing theories.
@davidbrayshaw35298 ай бұрын
Listening to her talking about Tesla makes me wonder why she isn't weaving baskets in a nice safe and secure garden on a warm spring day.
@thanks4that2618 ай бұрын
@@davidbrayshaw3529why are you short Tesla?
@debianfreak65808 ай бұрын
Hi Ben, long time podcast listener here. Happy to have found the youtube channel. Just curious Ben, have you shared how you also personally invest your own money? I am not talking about specific assets like ETF names etc but how do you approach your own investing, asset allocation etc.?
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
Yes. Five Factor Investing with ETFs kzbin.info/www/bejne/oHy6k4ptjMygZtk
@susymay783115 күн бұрын
A lot of frictional costs from frequent trading and relatively high fees are quite a drag on ARK.
@AC-ge2tr7 ай бұрын
Absolutely love those rational analyses
@doctornuclearum91028 ай бұрын
Please create a video on analyst recommendations and returns. Thank you!
@thenear1send8 ай бұрын
Do you have any opinions on a fund such as VGT? (Vanguard Information Technology ETF) My portfolio is sector tilted to hold about a 10% allocation in this fund. A lot of the criticism of ARKK apply here. Sector tilting being the major criticism. My personal thoughts are that VGT provides sector exposure but is also highly diversified, owning over 300 companies representing at least 12 different sub categories of the technology space (i.e. its not a futurism fund, it has a lot of nuts and bolts level practicality). I added the fund based on my personal values and beliefs more so than herding and return chasing (otherwise I might be 100% into it). Curious if there are any thoughts on tech sector tilts in general.
@jibbilies8 ай бұрын
Back when I graduated in 1999 my uncle gave me a few thousand dollars to invest in mutual funds as a high school graduation present. I piled it into the Jacob internet fund and lost 90 percent. It was a good experience though because I learned what NOT to do early on and only invest in index funds now. Also listening to rational reminder from time to time helps keep me disciplined 😂
@cameronradel57118 ай бұрын
Hi Ben, can you do a video on the Nasdaq and incorporating it into a portfolio?
@kutayecevit41258 ай бұрын
Dear Ben, Thank you for the didactic and pragmatic yet valuable video. As a novice investor, I was also trained by Cathy 😱 with the help of ARRK and ARKW. I admire your work. You help improve financial literacy worldwide. You are our financial Hero. Thank you sincerely.
@accomplishedtheory95028 ай бұрын
Should you buy XSP or VFV right now?
@faustprivate8 ай бұрын
Cathy is waiting for you outside your house LOL
@petergianakopoulos49268 ай бұрын
Lol
@nvda2damoon8 ай бұрын
remember what Buffett said - the Wall Street professionals are in the game to make fees. These people, and Cathy Woods being one of them, talk a good game, until they have to put money on the line.
@logansinclair62725 ай бұрын
I have 100 shares at 90 a share, should i cut loses
@npuldon5 ай бұрын
@BenFelix Do you think that AI being mainly developed in the US makes a compelling enough case to practically avoid US Ex stocks?
@BenFelixCSI5 ай бұрын
I don’t think so. Asset prices reflect all that potential already.
@djayjp8 ай бұрын
This isn't about tech--XLK is doing just fine, thank you. This is about actively managed funds and selling at the bottom.
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
Fine for now. P/E way above market.
@samsonsoturian60138 ай бұрын
That's not significantly different enough from SPY to make any argument.
@jimattwood27778 ай бұрын
Hi Ben - would you lump China funds (passive) into the same bucket. Also been beaten up a lot in recent years. Perhaps over exuberant a few years ago, but feels different to tech related bubbles?
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
Similar story regarding economic growth vs returns.
@susymay78318 ай бұрын
The high ARK fees and fractional costs of continual trading really add up 😢
@chargers92218 ай бұрын
Or you’re just a cheap ass
@Lonovavir8 ай бұрын
I'd rather stick with Vanguard's ETFs and their much lower expense ratios.
@seabass1558 ай бұрын
Babe wakeup new Ben Felix video
@kennywen30418 ай бұрын
Firstly, I'd like to appreciate Ben's rational and professional conduct in producing great content over the years. However, I am genuinely curious on how Ben would think about creating a content like this without a thought of if this would perhaps imply a sense that ARKK is a bad investment, as mentioned by arch or pretentiouscritic, even though he did not imply giving an advice of somehow, shorting it, to me this is one of if not one of the only Ben's flaws I've come accross with his channel. I sincerely hoped Ben would clarify to this comment about perhaps, my confusion. Thanks, Mr. Felix
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
Are you asking why I don’t advise shorting things that I call bad investments?
@kennywen30418 ай бұрын
@@BenFelixCSI It's not that you do not imply shorting ARKK directly Ben, I felt that if you were to put a title asking whether ARKK will recover it implies how ARKK has done badly and as archdale and pretentious critic has put it, it means that you also imply somehow knowing ARKK will do badly ex ante and you can't claim credit for the demise of ARKK without accepting the responsibility for all the other funds or individual stocks you didn't invest in
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
@kenwen7791 that is a false equivalence. Active managers holding concentrated portfolios in specific sectors will tend to perform poorly, even if they have some periods of high returns. That statement is true ex ante, and I said the same in another video while ARKK was still flying high. It is now clearly true ex post in this specific case. That does not mean that I am claiming to be able to pick winners, and it does not require me to make that claim for the first statement to be true.
@kennywen30417 ай бұрын
@@BenFelixCSI Sorry if I still did not understand, but why is it a false equivalence if you are making a case in where you show you knew arkk would go down regardless of the reasons (which are valid reasons)? Is it not equivalent to as if knowing TSLA would go up and showing the however valid the reasons are that you should buy it but in reverse?
@Den-wn9vj8 ай бұрын
after she bought a COIN for 250 and almost immediately sold it for 60, I generally doubt that it is adequate
@zetaconvex19878 ай бұрын
Cathy's place in the annals of investing history is assured. What is happening today will be discussed for decades.
@judge74478 ай бұрын
Cathy Wood did not have consistent, not to mention, stellar performance prior to running ARKK. No clue why anyone would have thought she became better of the blue.
@ballislife64838 ай бұрын
Ben pls make a video on DCPP VS DBPP
@thomasmuller76378 ай бұрын
I remember arguing with Cathie Wood fans on KZbin when ARKK was at its all-time high. The problem is that history will just repeat with the next hype stock or fund. Humans are humans and will still be susceptible to the same biases in the future.
@fsaldan18 ай бұрын
Actually Cathy Wood did not perform that well even in her best days. ARKK's Sharpe Ratio did not exceed the QQQ's Sharpe Ratio. This suggests she has no stockpicking ability and was temporarily lucky on market timing.
@amyx2313 ай бұрын
I’m down 60% or so. Bought at ATH. 😢
@CarnifaxMachine8 ай бұрын
This begets a new phrase... "All ARKK and no bite"
@marioaf278 ай бұрын
Is there any research on buzzwords/bandwagons? Like AI, metaverse and other terms most companies end up mentioning on their earning calls when they're fashionable
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
Yes there are a few papers on this in the listed references.
@marioaf278 ай бұрын
@@BenFelixCSIthanks, and thanks for all your content! ❤
@dodid08 ай бұрын
The moment arkk said that most revenue of tesla (largest position) would come from robotaxis, a technology that didn't exist when announced and still doesn't, I knew it was not a serious Fund.
@Psyfertospsb8 ай бұрын
Potentially prescient video vis a vis the AI boom. Time will tell but most AI companies will probably crash out. Good video.
@BlueDogEthereal8 ай бұрын
I'm so curious as to what is Ben Felix's personnal portfolio.
Cathie should change the fund ticker to AIRK, guaranteed comeback... until the AI bubble bursts as well.
@DerGesellschaftskritiker2 ай бұрын
Interessting!
@johnscovill47837 ай бұрын
So, if a company was a market disrupter in 2020, why isn’t a disrupter in 2024?
@deevog4 ай бұрын
Let's say I'm wrong but ARKK can not see ATH again in Cathie wood own life. If someone bought TQQQ 3X more risky but TQQQ did better on chart.
@daddyw17197 ай бұрын
So what you're saying is that us bagholders have no exit out now? WTF?!
@the_primal_instinct8 ай бұрын
Most startups fail. Most startups in such difficult to excel at and extremely competitive spheres as energy, ai, biotechs etc fail even harder. Betting on the entire industry make seem like a good idea but it actually isn't, unless you chase bubbles specifically, but even then you may be late to the party without realizing it.
@sid35gb7 ай бұрын
Ark invest rode the Tesla stock overvaluation and the rest of the portfolio stocks are mediocre. The market corrected and history repeats itself.
@TheForge478 ай бұрын
Investing in the Future, stick with the good old NASDAQ 100 ETF 🙌🚀
@stevenbrady4408 ай бұрын
Great job Ben. She's relocated to my hometown of St. Petersburg, Florida. The claims she makes about her expertise in Technology are laughable. I just happened to look at her fund performance year-to-date as of Tuesday, April 23, 2024. Before I saw this. She's down -12.84% for the year. And she's down -7.82% for the last five years. How can anyone lose -7.82% for the last five years? That's negative folks. I don't know… But she achieved it. How can that even be possible? And if I remember reading her materials, her goal is to have an average return of 15%. 😅 I've seen her advertising on Facebook. If I remember it was some kind of investment club type thing. If memory serves. She also uses the religious angle to gain recruits, if memory serves.
@marto0008 ай бұрын
great insight! thank you
@FluxRevived6 ай бұрын
Rational reminder community signup seems to be broken :(
@Dsksea8 ай бұрын
Didn’t insurance, railroads, internet companies end up ultimately doing very well though if you held on? So would the lesson be to buy into technology revolutions after the bubble pops?
@SuperPlayz8 ай бұрын
it all depends on which ones, the ones that did good are the ones that survived there were tons of other ones that didn't make it out
@Spider_aaaahhh8 ай бұрын
Technological Revolutions usually had stagnating returns, and when you invested in an individual company that often faced huge competition, they can go stagnating or failing to catch up to the market, with a relatively few winners. That's the thesis around growth stocks anyway.
@thomas65028 ай бұрын
Thanks Ben.
@trackguy40388 ай бұрын
In the 50s, any company with the word "troncs" in it had the same thing too
@basschalice8 ай бұрын
TL;DR summary - hell no
@BenFelixCSI8 ай бұрын
😂
@DarkBullCapital8 ай бұрын
14 yrs, OMG
@Knuckles-20242 ай бұрын
Bag holding at -43.60%
@Kenzag4548 ай бұрын
Thanks 🎉
@blackvirus93 ай бұрын
ARKK will recover around 2030, but the charges are very high per annum.
@oleksiiholiev1984 ай бұрын
Thank you)
@toddalquist33918 ай бұрын
I got lucky, rode it it from $85 to about $110 and got out.