World Cup 2022 Simulated 100 Times on FM

[@ZealandonYT]

I mention every team that won a World Cup, which means yes, the US didn’t win Or the other team you’re asking about

[@popculturetheology]

Then you should have listed them as to how many times they made the final and lost like you did the other teams.

[@jeffersonott4357]

@@popculturetheology I kept saying, what, what what, oh, they are gone. How did they go away? Since he did mention em all… except. Oh well, who cares honestly, I liked this vid.

[@caio16694]

Of course us never won... have you ever seen they play footbal? Its hilarious, looks like a bunch of ducks runing around lol. Just kidding, as a matter of fact looks just like woman s football.

[@rossjohnson7072]

Where can I find this full list?

[@jordanmackey8860]

@@caio16694 tell me you haven’t watched them play the last 2 years without telling me

[@GIBBO4182]

Netherland losing 9 out of 11 World Cup finals is about right

[@man4437]

Sounds more like the US

[@caferustwat]

Yep, we are traumatised as a nation.

[@GIBBO4182]

@@caferustwat I was actually in Amsterdam when you lost to Spain…what a night it could’ve been ☹️

[@Caligula1488]

Who said that FM wasn't realistic😂

[@AndreyChichagov]

11 out of 11 is sadly the only likely outcome

[@michelmelo6196]

We're a week into the world cup and this has already aged hilariously

[@nicholasransom891]

Germany about to get grouped 😂

[@M0nma09]

Fr

[@azaleayaps]

Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Argentina 😢

[@vincenzofranchelli2201]

@@nicholasransom891 france told germany they could keep the wc curse

[@gaffer2602]

​@@azaleayapsthis comment also didn't age the best.

[@franzivkovic4599]

Croatia lost soo many knockout games cuz they play either Germany or Spain once they get out of the group...

[@shanglaithotsem5771]

So true

[@Niclasla]

Germany wont do shit this wc and i say this as a german. We are lucky if we make it out of groups and will probably lose in the first game of the knock out stage. I have no idea why we are so high rated this german squad has so many issues

[@franzivkovic4599]

@@Niclasla I actually have you as top 3 favorites

[@derraumdeuter2109]

@@Niclasla You are delusional and embarrassing. Don't even think of celebrating when we win

[@MULM]

@@franzivkovic4599 That's too high in my opinion, we might edge top 5 though.

[@loganwoehlecke3121]

That “God Save The Queen” bit aged well.

[@svenr.3803]

haha xD was looking for this

[@pineapplesareyummy6352]

I was wondering about that. Then I realise he uploaded this video on 31 July. Wow!!

[@CookieMonster-qw5ru]

At least they got my country right in FM. Netherlands bottling that many finals, not surprised.

[@inakilannot2428]

The only other country that shares our (Argentina) pain

[@JohBak010]

At least we won it twice out of 100 times in the stats. That's two more than the current IRL total! So yay!!!!

[@thomashijman5905]

We're the Tottenham Hotspur of international football😭

[@Theandrez920]

@@thomashijman5905 Nah, you've won the euros in 88. The Tottenham of the international football would be Belgium

[@kevintjuhh070]

Ah well, atleast we get to the finals😃 some teams can only dream of it

[@sirprintalot]

There is no way France have a 98% chance of qualifying through the group. The winners curse never fails.

[@zaphodlucs]

Brasil won 58/62.

[@uberjens]

Brazil 2002, made it through the group in 2006.

[@marcovisintin9670]

@@uberjens But the curse started after that, because Italy won 2006 and didn't make it through the group on 2010 and such

[@uberjens]

@@marcovisintin9670 No, because it happened before that aswell, when France won in 98 and was knocked out in the groupstage in 2002.

[@linkuppodcast9999]

Hi there!! We have a NEW Video on our Football Podcast channel!! Check it out!!

[@Saska1910]

This aged nicely, Saudi Arabia beating Argentina, Canada nearly drawing with Belgium, Japan beating Germany

[@yorkieshire4582]

This comment aged nicely, Argentina winning

[@EugeneRimmer]

​@@yorkieshire4582I'm pretty sure he was talking about the fact Saudi Arabia did better irl than in the sim. But sure make it about Argentina

[@yorkieshire4582]

@@EugeneRimmer seeing he talked about other countries, i'm pretty sure the focus was not only on saudi arabia

[@rock7world]

The simulation for Germany, and Belgium have gone wrong so far.

[@Oliviben]

Honestly, a 12% chance for Australia to qualify for the round of 16 somehow seems both a little too high, and yet a little too low Edit: the 12% was RIGHT!

[@isaacjenks587]

We weren't in the bottom 5, I'm stoked for that result considering we almost missed it altogether

[@Oliviben]

@@isaacjenks587 facts

[@derkommissar4986]

Feel bad for Stralia :(

[@rafapopawski2559]

They just did it :D

[@feba33]

Hey

[@todplatinum5789]

We need a full video of Zealand singing national anthems

[@fmmike]

*the star spangled banner music starts* Zealand: Loans

[@leeds4eva2013]

this was so fun to be a part of, simulating and gathering all the data for 4 hours from 3am till 7am, best thing to do on a night when you have bad insomnia 😂

[@WERTYUIO821]

11:00 Netherlands: featured in 11 finals out of 100 Me: sounds legit Netherlands: They only won 2 Me: That's so unrealistic. 11 loses out of 11 is more like it.

[@mathiascayla1964]

Also the timecode is 11

[@cinderluna]

My exact thoughts

[@theracingban]

Netherlands have got a finals curse

[@what.3133]

Am I crazy or did Zealand not mention the US' knockout performances...?

[@AjLechtenberg]

you are not crazy, he did not lol. i was waiting for it, and i thought they were gonna somehow meme their way to the top as they went further and further without being mentioned, but then they never were

[@charlie7756]

@@AjLechtenberg same 😂

[@greenarrow630]

I assume they made a final but did not win

[@kiweping5]

I can tell you’ve been hanging out with TIFO because you have the most dribbles award the name of dribbliest boy

[@arthurterpstra7422]

I would like to see the most likely score per match so I can fill in 'my predictions' already and get it over with.

[@robertoazuaje4494]

This video aged pretty well lol Germany didn’t even make it to the round of sixteen

[@fwebber13]

Well since France were the 2018 Champions we can remove every single one of the simulations where France won

[@Caligula1488]

The Netherlands only winning 2 out of 11 finals is actually realistic lol. Only nation in the world who has played in 3 world cup finals and lost all of them.

[@temold]

Mexico and Poland had a lot in common that 2nd place on the phase group will be tight

[@zikopro7369]

As a moroccan i am happy with 1% to win the world cup and i bielive in my country Edit: WE NEARLY DID IT BUT PROUD OF MY COUNTRY SEMI FINAL IS GOOD DIMA MAGHRIB🇲🇦🇲🇦🇲🇦

[@haitambarez8584]

🇲🇦🇲🇦❤️❤️

[@XY2Moroccoball]

Same I'm also moroccan

[@pressstart1490]

Congrats for reaching the semifinals

[@zikopro7369]

@@pressstart1490 thanks

[@pressstart1490]

@@zikopro7369 Well my country made it to the Final. You will know wich one only if we win. I will come back

[@Wukkers97]

4:29 That escalated quickly Nice video btw! Great work on all the stats. Looking forward to see the 32 episodes for the World Cup :) Subscribed

[@leonardocastanho6880]

I wish you did this experiment again, taking into account the real squads from each team. FM makes some weird call ups to the NTs so we're simulating a very different scenario

[@maccaandcheese]

Earliest I've ever been to a Zealand video. Hoping Australia manage to win a simulation Edit: nvm

[@levimollenhauer7693]

I know the feeling💔😭🇦🇺

[@showstealer1829]

To be honest. With Arnold we were lucky to win 1 knockout game in the simulation

[@mitchellsmith300]

Our team is shit

[@odity2076]

Even before this video, I was dead set that it would be a Germany - Spain world final, so I’m glad FM agrees with me

[@francis87589]

GE vs SPain, this one is for Spain to win :)

[@nekroneko]

hmmm, about that...

[@odity2076]

@@nekroneko 💀

[@pressstart1490]

Aged like milk

[@SlayingSuperNerdX]

Germany couldn't even make it to the RO16, and spain just got humiliated

[@BD-yl5mh]

Gotta be honest. As an Aussie I was terrified we were gonna feature in that bottom 5

[@LennoxHalloy]

As a german I am Happy with a 19% Chance of winning

[@bigchunguscultmember1267]

chad

[@callumpartridge625]

Hello Happy with a 19% Chance of winning, I'm callum

[@Burpingtogheter]

@@callumpartridge625 Hello callum i am approaching your location

[@jesusgonzalezmartin5725]

As a Spanish I would be really happy if the final was Germany-Spain. It would be a great match for sure :)

[@Jonathanizer]

19% is actually lower than Germany's winning percentage so far. Germany played 20 WC tournaments and won 4 times, so that's exactly 20%.

[@DanoFSmith-yc9tg]

I’m a little surprised the Netherlands didn’t make the top 5 in the group stage, only because the talent gap between them and the rest of the group is so extreme on paper, I’m shocked anyone scores on them at all.

[@matiasstrzys2272]

What really would be interesting is comparing those runs with the real World Cup and if any of those 100 runs identically resembles the real cup.

[@Sarutobiization]

i was confused from the title and thought you simulated 400 years of world football

[@GIBBO4182]

I did as well

[@jelmervanriet790]

Losing finals is at the core of Dutch DNA. Even FM gets that right

[@marodonthemorone]

that's crazy, germany had 97% chance of qualifying and still couldn't do it

[@mezamezz]

I also love how Mexico and USA have a 48% higher chance than Canada to make it but Canada qualified in position #1 :o

[@give-me-a-handle]

Ikr Canada are objectively a world class team right now and for some reason FM clearly doesn't seem to reflect it

[@AlbertoFolres]

This is the first time since 98 that I don't see México advancing to the knock out phase. Not only the 5th match is not going to happen, but I think that even the 4th is far away from reality...

[@fernandoborja6963]

@@AlbertoFolres The same thing was said in 2010, 2014, and 2018, it will defently be hard but Mexico will probably just about make it to the 4th game, but no 5th game

[@fernandoborja6963]

Except one of the worst Mexican teams in years tied on points, which means the Candians aren´t that good, there is no way they make it out of the groups.

[@mezamezz]

@@fernandoborja6963 tied on points but they couldnt beat us...

[@yeetmaster9010]

6:17 That aged well.

[@rafapopawski2559]

That aged ... like milk - Saudi Arabia win against Argentina. Whoever was making bets on this won big :D

[@theclark5631]

Saudi Arabia being the worst after beating Argentina (ranked second in group stages) today is hilarious

[@Pinnae]

I mean the Saudi Arabians are doing better than predicted 😂😂

[@AkbarNurPribadi]

Surprise surprise, Saudi beat Argentina and Japan beat Germany 😆

[@akborderkid49]

Can we have access to that spreed sheet? Would be cool to see it in total, and not just bits of it.

[@nicolascarrion83]

Uruguay didn't win in 1934, they won in 1930 and again in 1950.

[@CR91Apiedra]

As a costarican 7% chances of making in past group stage is not that bad but as Han Solo said "never tell me the odds"

[@PeaGeeGames]

Esta muy difícil el grupo, muy tuanis sería pasar a la siguiente ronda.

[@MithridatesIX]

From what I've seen that means the only countries to make finals and never win were Cameroon, Ecuador, Senegal, United States and Wales If there are any other countries someone let me know

[@shanglaithotsem5771]

Trinidad and Tobago

[@EscudosdeTimes]

@@shanglaithotsem5771 💀

[@filiphavojic8045]

10:15 because their first knock out opponent would be either Spain or Germany

[@abbphotoandvideo622]

This doesn't seem to be working very well a week into the actual tournament.

[@dastyr4392]

Him saying things after saying "that's gonna surprise ya" and me watching the video in October 2023😑

[@datmapache1470]

Haven't watched the video yet. The most likely team to win is England, FM will be FM

[@GetCHuntd]

You thought

[@jamesroberts8287]

It was Germany which I doubt will happen in real life

[@roadtof1.]

I wish

[@welowee7610]

Not this year

[@Jonathanizer]

@@jamesroberts8287 Germany has the second most titles, most finals, most semi finals. Also unbeaten since the Euros, upwards trajectory and usually high performing during tournaments. A slightly less than one out of five tournament wins seems like a fair estimate, also tracks with tournaments so far, since Germany won exactly 20% of the WCs they participated in.

[@manning0]

Let's not forget that IRL England have 100% of all the world cup finals they've reached! We've only reached one final, but let's not talk about that!

[@CharlieChangMusic]

Thank you for putting the work into this simulation and video. I LOVE this type of ish

[@joshratelle5941]

Japan: And I took that personally

[@lupin5489]

As someone supporting Mexico, at least there is statistically a dimension out there where they don’t get knocked out of the group stage for the millionth time, and actually win one too

[@rayedaslam]

FM only consider the players individual quality. Team with most quality players tend to win any tournament they're in. It never takes into consideration the coach's quality which is an important factor irl.

[@BM-ek4tn]

I honestly think Japan could be a surprise team this WC, they have a younger, pretty talented team, I feel they could maybe make it through to another round of 16

[@bruhman6935]

you got it lol

[@BM-ek4tn]

@@bruhman6935 I genuinely don’t remember making this prediction but thank god, because my bracket is still good pretty much

[@prezzii8003]

here after Argentina got upset by Saudi Arabia

[@joelmacinnes2391]

1:45 "Morocco were actually pretty good" Never mind, just saw Germany 😂

[@jomanji1732]

Anyone else watching this after finding Argentina lost to Saudi Arabia, even though they were one of the highest ranked seeds vs. literally the worst team in the simulation?

[@timcliffsmith]

I am watching this on the day of Argentina 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia, so...yeah.

[@bojidarkamenov8022]

watching this after Saudi won against Argentina 2:1 and Germany lost to Japan 2:1 just to see the odds of this happening

[@RituroPGB]

FM underrating Canada is pretty much par for the course for the last, oh, forever years

[@Abaramotorai]

I wonder what would be the simulation for previous world cups and their actual results. Sounds like a winner for a video.

[@groundgame-d8e]

Costa Rica made the quarters in 2014 and lost on penalties in the most bizarre shootout I've ever seen (Tim Krul subbed on as a shock trooper for NL). Canada have a freakishly good crop this year. Neither one making the semis would blow my mind

[@ivanmilovic5917]

Genuinely my mind would be blown if either one makes the semis.

[@snk_private]

I mean it starts with the fact that Canada will have to win against Spain or Germany in the round of 16; Costa Rica have them as opponents in the group stage Not gonna happen I am fairly certain - well if Germany plays a 2018 style tournament maybe, but I don't think they will

[@Jonathanizer]

Did you really mean "neither", or you meant "either"?

[@groundgame-d8e]

@@Jonathanizer asking me or the other guy? I meant neither. It would be highly unlikely for Canada or Costa Rica to get that far and I would be quite surprised, but highly unlikely things happen at every world cup. Mind blowing applies to things like Brazil losing 7-1 or Italy failing to qualify this year

[@groundgame-d8e]

My grammar was poor and I should have said if either one made it to the semis it wouldn’t blow my mind

[@juliemarinelli]

Mate this aged so well

[@cat1800]

Saudi Arabia winning was completely unpredictable was it

[@mattbad3114]

Well, rip Germany, at least they won on FM

[@paulb4604]

Just goes to show, even FM can't predict real life.

[@Swexican02]

When the first group was announced and it was close to no difference to reality I was so shocked… then as this went on it went as expected, especially with Germany winning in the simulations but not even making it to the quarter finals over Japan 😂🎉

[@sami2503]

Surprised how realistic this is tbh Well done FM!

[@hivanberg3681]

spain and germany are not that good. at the moment. argentina france and brazil are better than them forsure.

[@luuk2782]

@@hivanberg3681 not france

[@jdalbion]

Yea is so realistic. English players stats are boosted far above everyone. For example, Perišić has Corners: 11 and Crossing 13. Are you fuc*** kidding me? In real life his crosses and corners are so good, if he was English it would be 17 and 18. And also for all other Croatian players for example.

[@pinxos_]

@@hivanberg3681 u lost to saudi arabia 😂😂

[@cocob777]

@@luuk2782 only team with 6 points... HATER 🤣🤣🤣

[@Gabriano83]

That at 9:33, that one I hope is the universe we are living in right now.

[@iltear]

Simulating 100 times to find which team is gonna lose to England in the final

[@maxmaddock4334]

This didn't age well. Saudi beating Argentina

[@Juan-bv9ww]

Fantastic video. Can't wait to compare it to the actual tournament. Only concerned that the data for the simulation is outdated for 2022. Times changed. Still valuable data. Thanks

[@marcovisintin9670]

Argentina in this simulation: Qualifies 92% of the times and wins 11/100 Cups Argentina on my saves: Never qualifies to the Knockout Stages

[@nytek6286]

Tuvieron que actualizar la base de datos bien para que tire una simulación decente, pero a mi me pasa lo mismo en mi partida siempre la hacen mierda a la selección

[@calamorta]

9:31 this video pretty much predicted Morocco's Cinderela run.

[@ognjenpetrovic5843]

Something like this should be done again when the squads are locked

[@jamesdrylie5584]

I may have missed it but what happened with the USA? You showed that they won a knockout game 18 times but how many times did they make it to the semifinal and final?

[@zenverak]

Yeah, I looked back a few times and didn't see anything.

[@toyosioyejobi309]

"Morocco won world cup" hmm no wonder they only bowed out in the semi finals

[@pedroiriberry5923]

The best is all the runs fail to see the win of saudi arabia over Argentina

[@thiagoods021]

I dare you to say quickly "Juan won one World Cup" 3x without having a stroke.

[@Patrick61804]

Me when I thought the USA was somehow gonna be at the top since he never mentioned them

[@mangmerciless9606]

Now do the simulation again, but with qatar paying off all the refs.

[@TylerGutwein]

Awesome vid Zealand! Loved being able to help out on this one!

[@mabm4310]

but when someone joins twitter their brain shrinks in size 75% so getting a twitter account and then following you on twitter zealand will still mean my brainpower has diminished.

[@thejungwookim]

THE LONG WAIT IS FINALLY HERE!

[@derickmartinez8393]

Screw this World Cup. My team would have gone directly if it weren’t for corruption.

[@matija5555]

Is it Algeria?

[@derickmartinez8393]

@@matija5555 Peru 🇵🇪

[@matija5555]

@@derickmartinez8393 Ok because I saw that algeria got robbed and didn’t know it happened to Peru also! Im croatian supporter and I wish you to qualify next time. It happened to us many times as well, I hate it so much!

[@nicolaspoulin1897]

FM is awful to Canada, it’s ridiculous. America and Mexico get nerfed but we beat them both in the qualifiers and dominated the group.

[@CaptainFishbeard]

This table is more realistic than the bookies' odds

[@CamoWYSI]

saudi arabia aged well 😂😂

[@XY2Moroccoball]

Good to know my country Morocco won a world cup in a simulation

[@lordjay9854]

Watching this again after Saudi Arabia beat Argentina makes it seem like even more of a miracle! Group C is the Group of Death!

[@kraftausdruck487]

"The most likely winner is germany" - This prediction didn't age well

[@bogomildimov899]

The Netherlands doing the most Dutch thing ever - reaching 1 out of 10 world cup finals, never to win it.

[@SlayingSuperNerdX]

this thing is funny Brazil, Germany, Spain, Belgium having good chances, while Croatia is just sitting on 1 is kinda funny

[@richardprocter8012]

When ya say “without further ado” you should use HITC7’s phrase an say “without Freddy Adu” ya know, you’re American an that.

[@subcori]

You'll be glad to hear, that in my Katar 2022, the US Lost their first game vs. England 0:2 but beat Wales and Iran 1:0 each. Then beat Netherlands, Argentina, Brasil and France, becoming the FIFA World Champion 2022.

[@gah2027]

Funny to notice that in the entire sheet the most abnormal thing is netherlands losing most finals they actually made

[@mattbaker3569]

Argentina wasn't a surprise in the group stage success as it was spoiled in the England stat reveal lol

[@James-zf1yy]

me watching this after Saudi Arabia won against Argentina in their first group-stage match

[@aleksanderthorset235]

Marocco is going for that one final

[@gregferguson949]

Great video but the highlight for me was "Dribbliest Boy" 😂😂

[@robverdi3062]

Hi Z! Great video, I watched it twice and did not see what happened to the US? I saw 56% making the knockout stage, but missed beyond that. Did you skip it, or am I still half asleep?🤔

[@RemmeXIII]

It hurts me but I think he hid the fact the US didn't win a final. He didn't mention US in the group of non-winners but if you add up the percentage of times countries won the world cup, I don't think they won one.

[@zwillshoes]

He didn’t say. Based on the info shown, the US made the quarterfinal 18 of 100 times and made the final at least once (and lost). Please fill in the rest of the numbers!

[@poganzie]

For calculation of group stage statistics, I believe you would need to divide the win, draw , loss numbers by # games played, times 100. So, (averaged # of win, draw, or loss / 3) *100. In 3:16 in the video, you stated that Saudi Arabia's win percentage was 13%, but it actually should be 4%. If their win % was 13%, their loss % is gonna be 242% which makes no sense. Other than that, thanks for an intriguing and well-made content! Let's goooo Korea 🇰🇷

[@joelmacinnes2391]

I think we're assuming they only won 1 game max per tournament in which case they only won in 13% of the sims (and it would be lower had they won 2 in one sim at some point)