Yield Curve Inversion Explained - RECESSION Is Coming!

Yield Curve Inversion and its impact explained.
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#yeildcurveinvertion #marketcrash

[@AbleV3]

I never heard anyone explain the Bond concept with this level of clarity and simplicity.. like having a piece of cake. What a legend!.

[@AjithPrasadEdassery]

Excellent and simplest possible explanation for bond yields. Once a teacher, always a teacher! 🙏🏼👍🏼

[@amitpdas]

Pppa6aaàppppppp

[@199117manoj]

After Long time, very good informative video. Very well explained. Old PR Sundar is back 🔥. As a follower, I expect more of this educational content sir. 👌🏼

[@ajbj1824]

What old. He is looking so young with black dyed hair

[@199117manoj]

@@ajbj1824 Understand the sentence carefully and comment. His old videos used to be more educational than his current videos. I referred to that.

[@MrBharathirajesh]

Excellent presentation sir What a clarity You are a great teacher Big things told in simple words

[@ccg2736]

One of the best video ever from your side......no one could able to teach things like you sir.... thanks 👍

[@anandr7081]

A teacher is always a teacher....super sir👍👍

[@advarunathakkar2614]

Thanks a lot for this wonderful and precious knowledge, Full of in-depth study shared in such a short time, Hat's off to you Sir, Gained and benefited too much.

[@mohanraj.s728]

Very fantastic & simple explanation on yield inversion. You are a great teacher... Proved again. Let's be careful in this pessimistic period...

[@advarunathakkar2614]

Thank you so much for imparting this wonderful and valuable knowledge with us. I am truly grateful for your generosity in sharing your expertise in such a concise and insightful manner. Your in-depth study and clear explanations have provided us with a wealth of new insights and perspectives. I cannot thank you enough for taking the time to share your knowledge and expertise with us. I am deeply impressed by the level of detail and thoughtfulness you have put into sharing this knowledge with me. Your dedication and hard work are truly admirable, and I feel fortunate to have had the opportunity to benefit from your wisdom and experience. I want to express my heartfelt thanks for the incredible amount of information you have shared here. Your insights and expertise have helped me to gain a deeper understanding of this topic and have truly enriched my learning experience. Your commitment to excellence and your willingness to share your knowledge have been an inspiration to me. I feel so grateful to have had the opportunity to learn from you and to have gained so much from your insights and guidance. Thank you from the bottom of my heart.

[@jeyachandranc1813]

Not only a math teacher but also a good analyst

[@sanjaykedia8177]

Very Well Explained Sir! You are a GEM. Thank you Sir once again. I follow your videos and tweets.

[@mathewkoshy6412]

I do not understand a person who gives free information why most of the folks troll with out any consideration. His business is trading and it's a tough job yet takes time to provide some usefull info. I would say troll oneself so that one can improve their trading journey. Compete with self and not with anybody else and see the difference.

[@rajeshjolly6414]

Sir you have DNA of true teacher thanks for this 🙏

[@balajiyadeendhiran2437]

Right info @right time many of your followers may be safe after hearing Thanks a lot sir

[@Veera_VNRM]

Great Information Sir, Thanks a lot

[@vikaswadhwa1153]

thank you, god bless you n your family!

[@shivasatyanarayana]

Good analysis and easily understandable presentation

[@urbanbaba6216]

Good information sir!! Keep posting such videos!! We expect these type of videos from you

[@rayams]

Thank you so much... Truly an eye opener and educational video...

[@prakashmm952]

Excellent explanation 👍

[@lkkaruna]

Thank you very much for your yield curve inversion concept sir

[@barundas5564]

Sir ur way of explaining the video is very remarkable

[@mannanvora1637]

Excellent video sir..... Really informative

[@dipendupal5525]

your presentation is like a perfect teacher.

[@jayrojdiya4360]

Thnx for this..topic..really..very well explained thnx🙏🌷

[@AnkitKumar-ww9xh]

Thank you sir for all your information

[@amitayumandal]

Reason to follow Mr.Sundar..Pure knowledge

[@vardhankumar467]

Excellent and simple explanation Sir.....

[@988brpatel]

I am always enjoying watching your videos where I am finding new knowledge with full explanations...

[@gavaskarjayaraman219]

Thank U very much Sir.

[@PradipDas-vc1kq]

Thank you so much Sir. Learnt a lot 🙏🙏🙏

[@ganapathirao3270]

Good content according for situation Sir👍

[@AjayKrishnaAS]

Thank you Sundar sir.❤️

[@rajkumarsethuram7533]

Great video. Even novice like me can understand. Thank you sir

[@chandrumech1284]

Thanks for the informative video

[@mihirgosar]

What an explanation!!

[@raghunathpolur4440]

Sooper explanation Sir,

[@vng61]

PRS you are a fabulous teacher and I am your obedient student ❤️

[@pa1.1]

Excellent information sir

[@Justarandom_guy553]

Oh you even found out yield curve inversion topic to talk about!! Not bad sir. You are improving from your gunduvachattiyil gudhurai narrow learning curve in this subject.

[@veerakumaraandi2801]

Good useful video for particularly those with lack of understanding of dollar economics! Hope the world does unite to come out of this time bomb!

[@anirbanmukherjee000]

Thankyou Sir

[@ravibabuavvari4720]

Well explained

[@ranganathantn2988]

Excellent Video Sir

[@Ganu8185]

Great info

[@dudduranesh9707]

Good information sir

[@sardar_gurjot]

Good realistic video, which is exceptional and rare from an Indian.

[@sunilgalgalikar8500]

Thanks Sir

[@advarunathakkar2614]

Thank you so much Sir, for this incredibly valuable and insightful knowledge! Your in-depth study and willingness to share it in such a concise manner is truly impressive. I am in awe of your expertise and grateful for the tremendous amount that I have gained and benefited from your teachings. Hats off to you, Sir!

[@santoshbiradar3639]

Today video wonderful sir ✍️

[@mallikharjunam4889]

Very good information

[@uniaar8553]

excellent explanation sir

[@paulallen4948]

Profits are privatised and losses are socialised.

[@krbiz7140]

PR Sundar Sir, your videos are amazing & thnx for the explanation! Can you pls make a video on FII & DII data & how you find out the FII shorts % in system & if it really matters really because they can be hedged or FII can be also a nexus with DIIs to manipulate

[@bharathgowda8929]

Sir, Make video about India VIX in previous recessions and good stocks to make money in recession time .

[@ompjha4432]

Thanks

[@vhari6045]

@ 59 u r hvg the best of both worlds - fixed income from equity as well as floating income from option selling!

[@Dr.ViswanathKaliyamurthy]

Super Thalaivareeee 🔥🔥🔥

[@souleshv.k4282]

🙏VANAKKAM 🙏

[@mehultanna6068]

Hey PR SUNDER sir, can you help me with that how to trade us mkt option trade

[@ishanshetty7649]

If Vivek Bajaj and P R Sundar could join hands again, it would be a great disbursement of knowledge to us. :)

[@anujgaike9088]

During this time its best to increase your position in stock market.

[@koushiknaidu2047]

question:- what happen if i buy bharat bond @ 1000 & trading @900 when the tenure is expired what amount i will ge,,,t and wise versa. of seniors.

[@arunmd7515]

Well informative video Mr Sundar. But i think markets will bounce back from the very next day, as market moved opposite direction, always against your predictions. 😁😁😁😁😁

[@aadyakidoniya5738]

Very true facts. Thank sir ji, Can some one tell godi media to come up with real issues of comman man.

[@tk3un]

Sir so yield curve is not useful to predict when scams happen.

[@journeytowudan799]

very insightful! if someone could just explain the part "the stock market rose massively during the covid period but if we factor in the rupee depreciation, we would find out that it was still a bear market"?

[@disciplinedearner7056]

Rupee to USD went from approx 74 Rs to approx 82 rupees i.e. around 10% in 2021-2023. Currently we are down from recent high to about 8% approx(Nifty50). It may not look like a bear market to a normal person. But if you add that 10% rupee depreciation to it, it almost becomes 18%. Hence he is saying we are in a bear market. Technically, bear market is when the market is down more than 20% from the recent highs. This is what my understanding is. Hope it helps. Others are welcome to rectify me or add onto it if anything is missed. Cheers!

[@pavithrapavithra9994]

Good morning sir 🙏🙏

[@sasikumarnair6326]

GST is charged on imported goods and collection of gst is increased but exports is less. But U Tube analysts are saying gst collections are high and our economy is strong 😢😢😢

[@rakshithp7916]

Sir were you will get this kind information

[@ashokkumar-nq3zv]

Good morning sir

[@mustchemistry8589]

I sold 17600 CE by keeping 17550 SL. Wish me luck, holding this trade for next expiry.

[@antonygeraldrufus]

Sir good morning USA 2 banks collapse silver gate and silicon valley will there be any panic in market like Lehman Brothers collapse

[@ajigeorge2994]

I think presently, 2 year yield curve inverted against 10 year. Normally yield curve inversion 3 month to 10 year is reliable indicator of recession. 2 year is not short term though it is shorter than 10 year. I think reliable recession indicator is 3 month to 10 year curve not 2 year to 10 year. This fact was proved in a research by a US person. I will try to share the link if possible.

[@spiritbuds19]

Good Office Analogy PR sir @ 8.1 min- If clerk makes mistake-that his mistake 🙄🙄🙄 If ur manager makes mistake-is still ur mistake🤣🤣🤣

[@muralivenkatakrishnan]

The US increases the M2 money level & hence the dollar seems to appreciate. The US tries to export its recession to the world.

[@dran63]

Currencies of all countries are pegged to the dollar. Financial freedom for countries is getting rid of this financial yoke.

[@sushilpatil8606]

pool of knowledge

[@janakiramvanapalli]

Sir if u don't mine can you tell how and where to buy bharat bonds plss...

[@Rvdesai9]

Looks like PRS has taken a lot of short positions. When everyone starts thinking that markets are bearish, they start moving up. India's IIP growth is positive.

[@ajigeorge2994]

It seems 3 months yield is now above 10 year and hence it is inverted. So high chancess of US recession in 12 to 24 months time.

[@kakumanisiddartha8949]

Where can we check these Interest rates Sir.....

[@Shakeer375]

A big recession is on card and the clock is ticking, time to sit on cash.

[@chandrasekaranrajagopalayy905]

What happened is on listening to the video, you get good sleep bcz not only what happened is repeated so many times even full sentence is repeated. Otherwise it is a good message.

[@vigneshwarrajc6629]

Came someone clarify my doubt - Why is Bonds effective yeild going up in short term ? ( during a Inversion) - Does it means people are selling their bonds ( PRS sir told that Bond value will go down if the bond traded price is going down due to selling of bonds , which in turn gives higherr yeild for a guy buying new bond. ) - It is looking like contradicting for me , can some one clarify. During such inflation periods ppl buy more bonds right ? Also I have seen in some other articles that if interest rate is rised they say that bond will report loses.

[@disciplinedearner7056]

Nice questions. Imagine that you are a businessman and you need money. What you will do is, you will float bonds at x price and will give y returns on it. But after sometime, you need more money. But imagine now that there is no one to give money to you. Somehow you found 1 person who is willing to give you money by purchasing your bond, but he is not willing to give that much money. Hence he negotiates with you and asks foe x-100 Rs with same returns. Now, since you are in dire requirement of funds, and you don't want to take it from Bank, since they give loan at higher interest rate than what you are giving to bond holders , you accept the deal. The keyword here is "Need". You really need money on urgent basis. Hence you will agree to things in short term. Hence during yield inversion the bond yield is high. Other example: Say, you're a bachelor and you want to marry a girl you love, but her father says that you should have bank balance of atleast 50 lakhs. Now, you have only 20 lakhs. You will simply borrow money at higher interest rates for 2 months to show your in-laws the bank balance. Once married after 2 months, you will pay it back. This is yield inversion.

[@vigneshwarrajc6629]

@@disciplinedearner7056 But i see ppl saying having invested in bonds , you will face losses , when repo rate is increased. But in your example of taking money from bond instead of loan , the guy who buys the bond is making better returns in short term. Now I could understand how short term returns are better. But can you justify the first part of bonds making losses as repo rate. It is also know mark to market loss or something like tht.

[@tk3un]

Sir you should make a video on all golmaal scams done by adani as this issue has impacted innocent retail investors.

[@Mukesh-fi5wv]

If I were a student of yours I would've chosen finance rather than infamous engineering......

[@disciplinedearner7056]

Thanks for explaining it so well. One doubt if someone can comment and clarify: Which Yield is applicable while you're selling a bond which you're already holding? Say I bought the bond at 900 Rs with yield of 7% of the maturity of 1 year. Now, at maturity i.e. after 1 year when I want to sell the bond, if the bond prices have gone down, to 800, then will I get 800 or will I get my original 900?

[@pramodkumarcr]

On maturity u will get face value of bond as return

[@sagarraut7711]

FAR BEETER EXPALINED THAN CA rachna mam .

[@helium740]

♥

[@SoulfoUniverse]

The person who created this yield curve inversion indicator himself has said recently that due to strong labour market in the US the probability of recession is very low and this indicator is showing a false signal first time since its inception ! something to look out for !!

[@pkd9814]

🙏🙏🙏

[@dineshkp96]

panic selling monday morning??

[@bablupspk64]

Sir what was the ROI on this intraday short straddle course??

[@raghavendramerwade]

Hi Sir, If i buy a bond in secondary market for 900 which is at discount and where the actual value is 1000. when the bond matures do we get th principal amount at of 1000 or 900 + interest of 7.5%

[@yuvarajkrishnamoorthy]

Always on face value

[@nokiak4095]

Same doubt.. Actual price we bought or original face value or price at matured point of time ? Also who will be the buyer in secondary market when bond matures?

[@sandeepreddy7057]

​@@nokiak4095 the company will debit the bond in your account and face value of 1000 will be paid to your account

[@gullapallinarasimharao2358]

Don't take it seriously. This yield curve inversion happens every year from mid February to March end. You may check with interest rates of any bank.

[@srikanth1802]

Stagflation is word rather than inflation

[@MsSumandas]

Thank you Sir

[@samuthirakaaviyan]

I bought 17300 call at 370 ,now it's 170 rupees how can I get my money return, I bought 700 quantities .pls anyone suggest .

[@ashwinViper]

What happens to nifty 23000?