Clear and informative lecture. Disclaimer: No student debt was created during the watching of this video. Thanks MIT
@Rxzwell3 жыл бұрын
well they failed to mention the best investment in history "blockchain"
@carriermodulation3 жыл бұрын
But you also don't get the degree that lets you get his job at Morgan Stanley.
@eitkoml3 жыл бұрын
Correction, some student debt was created as there were tuition-paying students in that room during that lecture.
@reginald86233 жыл бұрын
Would that dude be saying shit if he wasn't getting .013% of the criminal amount of money people pay? supply and demand, or i demand your compliance or you will be ruined.
@meenasuman69172 жыл бұрын
@@carriermodulation what u say today o will try but give me good brifing beforehand गमे start thanks
@EnglishLerner02 жыл бұрын
03:05 Starts 05:37 Steps 11:05 Instruments 13:54 Portfolio goals 19:16 Portfolio goals | What is risk? 21:11 Expected return 22:33 Expected return | Instruments 26:33 Expected return | Efficient frontier 27:54 Expected return | Efficient frontier | How to find it? 28:53 Expected return | Special cases with two assets 29:49 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 1 31:40 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 2 34:28 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 3 34:54 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 4 35:53 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 5 39:50 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 6 40:44 Expected return | Special cases with two assets | Case 7 41:22 Expected return | Special cases with three assets 43:09 Expected return | Beta and sharpe ratio 46:59 Portfolio allocation 51:26 Portfolio allocation | Diversification 56:22 Risk parity 01:00:15 Risk parity | Sharpe ratio
@justingt3rs2 жыл бұрын
Thanks :)
@217PARADISE Жыл бұрын
what a champ
@stat8715 Жыл бұрын
not all hero wear cap
@no_more_spamplease5121 Жыл бұрын
35:53 = Case 5 (cash as a part of the portfolio) is very insightful.
@no_more_spamplease5121 Жыл бұрын
50:27 = Nice explanation of the benefit of adopting risk parity + periodic rebalancing, with an example of scenario having 2 perfectly negatively correlated assets which are up 50% of the years each.
@PullingEnterprises5 жыл бұрын
27:50 Efficient Frontier Kelly's Formula 45:30 Risk Parity: 59:30 1:16:00 forecasting by looking at only historical data is like driving and only looking in the rearview mirror
@soccerplayer22775 жыл бұрын
Using historical data and statistics helps understand the risk and the market's sentiment regarding a stock during certain times. The only way to look forward is considering the company's strategy and truly understanding its currently available resources. I work on a hedging team which is basically portfolio management and I would never use any of the hardcore math I've learned to select a single stock.
@kylelarson50745 жыл бұрын
@@soccerplayer2277 he is using the formula to figure out a diversification strategy based on SD and Ro of previously selected assets. Are you paying attention?
@soccerplayer22775 жыл бұрын
@@kylelarson5074 I was and I am fundamentally disagreeing with him. It is not a forecast, these statistics are estimators and are just being assumed to carry forward into the future. Rho is not a bad estimator for some purposes but implied volatility proves much better than SD of historical prices as it is usually based on the market's forecasts of the stock. Volatility during these past 2 years has been through the roof, partially due to trade conflicts and the expanding global economy. Would I use these historical volatility estimates to develop a portfolio for the next 2 years, where trade agreements are likely settled and the global economy possibly begins contracting? No. What I would do is forecast stocks individually, select all my assets and then determine the optimal weightings of the assets to produce the largest sharpe ratio of the portfolio.
@DanOneOne4 жыл бұрын
I am so glad that I didn't pay for this course...
@edimoh28224 жыл бұрын
Markowitz
@ryzarabino2 жыл бұрын
1. Understand your goals 17:02 University Endowment 17:33 Pension Fund - What is timeframe when workers retire and need to draw from the pension? 2. Be clear about how much risk you can take 19:20 What is risk? 26:08 Risk-reward investment map 27:50 Efficient Frontier 3. Building a Model 47:45 Plotting portfolio allocation 50:34 Risk Parity
@concepciongonzalez1614 жыл бұрын
I like Dr. Jake Xia. He explains so well and with a peaceful attitude. He looks genuine interest in the learning of the students.
@paradigmshift22233 жыл бұрын
Almost ASMR like lol. Seems like a super nice approachable guy.
@wisconsinfarmer47422 жыл бұрын
one thing about all of the MIT lectures, they seem so kind as individuals.
@qrcdd8374 Жыл бұрын
Come for my country all professors are just sadist
@omgyeaXD4 жыл бұрын
Pretty decent world we live in right now. I can learn all this for free.
@japhasonlauren99254 жыл бұрын
you can only appreciate a person who tries to teach everyone how to invest and invest and make profits on multiple ways, up and down
@futurnekedesin91724 жыл бұрын
it's crystal clear why most us lavish in investment lost due to ignorance
@futurnekedesin91724 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the wonderful wonderful info
@manfredholzkopf95223 жыл бұрын
not for free, you are investing your time
@shouryaseth57153 жыл бұрын
@@JiwanWill hey would you recommend any books or research websites online for young people who want to get into investing?
@nelsoncheetube4 жыл бұрын
Sincere appreciation to MIT for Sharing this lecture. I have never been to university but now I am able to learn from the greatest minds from your channel. Thank you 🙏
@AstorSkywalker2 жыл бұрын
This is so cool, I could never afford going to MIT, I live in a third world country Honduras. But I wish I could get this type of high quality education
@thesnackbandit2 жыл бұрын
@@AstorSkywalkerMIT is one of the least expensive colleges in all of America. If you are talented and have displayed it creatively and academically, the cost is almost free.
@jcpettit10283 жыл бұрын
I'd have loved to study under this professor. He asks his students what kind of approach they'd like and then adjusts his lectures accordingly.
@Musikmaker6583 жыл бұрын
Talking as if the students show enough initiative to actually make something out of that offer. There are two sides to a coin.
@jkholtgreve3 жыл бұрын
@@Musikmaker658 This is MIT not Harvard so he at least has a fighting chance with them :)
@SuperGGLOL3 жыл бұрын
For some reason, i find it satisfying when he draws the graphs. he is a good graph drawer
@AlphaKingofGlory Жыл бұрын
The calculation benefit is in identifying the best possible solution which in turn reduces the effort necessary to overcome the negative. 28:13
@AM-ux3yx3 жыл бұрын
I work in a front office investment control desk for one of Europe's largest asset managers. Found this very interesting, normally what you find is a degree of variance from the benchmark within equities, even then internal house rules will dictate only a minimal degree of variance. You'll find a lot of portfolios with have buckets for different asset classes (depending on the mandate), in particular, money market to sweep up excess cash to put the money to work whilst the PM picks securities. This presentation is really covering MAI funds. Great video and fantastic lecturer.
@h.i.sjoevall42134 жыл бұрын
if you don't have a lot of time; skip the part where he makes a point on how diversification is key - and go straight to the example at 1:05:00, where he makes a point of not always doing what everybody else is doing. And then ask yourself: do you really believe that the best option is to be be buying the same index-funds as everybody else right now?
@MrAntonNelson5 жыл бұрын
He is such a cheerful person! He just can't help smiling all the time can he?))))
@mikek73964 жыл бұрын
My portfolio: 100 SPY PUTS - expiry this friday - strike price $200
@Tahiki64 жыл бұрын
Mike K positions or ban
@youngbungalo68744 жыл бұрын
@@Tahiki6 How about positions and ban?
@NikoLetubeur4 жыл бұрын
THIS IS THE WAY
@Timtimzi4 жыл бұрын
lmaooo. goes to show that the stuff they teach us in finance classes just get thrown out the window.
@seanlow20334 жыл бұрын
Oh gawd - is no place safe from /r/wallstreetbets???
@valeriybelozerov5309 Жыл бұрын
I appreciate you making complex trading concepts clear and accessible to everyone. Thanks for your valuable work!
@matthewbryant29723 жыл бұрын
This is not meant to be insulting... but this guy's voice is so calming, he could distribute these lectures and brand them as "Economy Lessons to put your restless mind at ease". This is like a sleep aid... it's awesome. I will be a master of Modern Portfolio theory in a decade.
@maximtsai18564 жыл бұрын
Rest in peace that one guy who invested everything into Yahoo.
@chesstictacs31074 жыл бұрын
The dude has degrees in electrical engineering and computer science, and on top of all these, he knows the finance. Just wow.
@eben33574 жыл бұрын
Brilliant with numbers but misspelled, or perhaps it was the student who wrote the notes, commodities at 8:47.
@marcusryden67323 жыл бұрын
Asian power.
@Fractal_323 жыл бұрын
Diversification should not only apply to financials after all. A greater diversification of skills and people should lead to a more stable society, “echo chambers” are not good or useful for a society.
@stephanieposcablo23053 жыл бұрын
@@Fractal_32 Been thinking the same thing regarding diversification throughout the lecture.
@TheSystemaSystem3 жыл бұрын
@@eben3357 Second language, or perhaps third. I think we could allow him a misspelling
@NickByers-og9cx3 жыл бұрын
Ahh yes of course, diversify your GameStop with both stocks as well as options 🤔
@Anonymous-wy5dc3 жыл бұрын
Doge go brr
@rigzyded59113 жыл бұрын
It’s a very important thing to diversify for us apes, you see when you have both calls and shares it reduces the chance of it going tits up.
@PoleReseal3 жыл бұрын
I just like the stock
@roger_rogers3 жыл бұрын
LEAPS as well as Weeklies
@maadaaraa93443 жыл бұрын
Stonks
@SFW72 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for providing this invaluable value to aspiring minds. This is the greatest service to humanity. The Professor is such an excellent teacher and it is amazing that we can listen to him from any part of the world. Many thanks, MIT and Prof.
@Dan14184 жыл бұрын
I was lucky enough to sit in this class. MIT is the best place in my life.
@SebastianRodriguez-hk2ji3 жыл бұрын
how do you feel now knowing you can just yolo half your net worth into weekly spy calls and it will probably beat anything these strategies can produce in 10 years lmao
@latslarsson20013 жыл бұрын
@@SebastianRodriguez-hk2ji you're trolling btw
@swagger19302 жыл бұрын
@@SebastianRodriguez-hk2ji and lose it all the next week 😂
@poloska9471 Жыл бұрын
@@SebastianRodriguez-hk2jiI’d say this would be a hard “nope” for me as a professional trader for one obvious reason: it is a fact that on a daily basis, the relationship between the S&P closing up or down for the day is 50/50… so 50% of the time the market closes up, and 50% of the time it closes down… even in a modest bullish trend… given this knowledge, yoloing your net worth on SPY calls is NOT a good idea because the overwhelming odds are that you very well may be the one sad bastard who bought/sold them when the SPY decides for whatever reason that it wants to make a little pullback from which it will then take 2 months to recover from. Happens all the time… often enough for me to make a great living lol (I trade ES futures). Writing this on November 23rd, 2023, after the S&P posted one of the craziest rallies ever recorded. Straight line up, no downwards action - 14 green days with only 3 tiny little wicky red days… after a month when people thought Black Monday was going to repeat itself… now I’m sure more than a few people yolod the SPY puts that week before we began this rally and they most likely lost everything they had in their account, and some likely lost even more than they had… so… that’s my 2 cents on this strategy. Keep the yoloing strictly for Wall St Bets degeneracy.
@royreyes84224 жыл бұрын
this is how u stay alive across markets... great video with replay value. should be watched during this greater bull run as the most dangerous levels everyone is blind....
@cheriew43855 жыл бұрын
the clarity in this lecture is insane
@timbookatuncommonsense87785 жыл бұрын
As Clear as his chalk markings made for his Diagrams. I really would of understood him if he hadn't of kept not really getting to the point!. And his accent was hard for me to understand. Also I don't know if there is other lectures that goes with this one but I felt his class knew what he meant, allowing them to complete the process of understanding what he is teaching them!!?🤗🤔🧐 No Doubting the Lecturers Intelligence!. And I could probably get it!;if I watched this lecture a couple more Times!!😄🤓🤡🤑🤯🤫🤔🤫
@gonzalogonzalez70642 жыл бұрын
I really like this MIT online self-learning education model, with good lighting and powerful lectures.
@arrowb34084 жыл бұрын
At1:08:20 for these two examples, love it and easily understand. Learn a lot from this class.
@farshadnoravesh4 жыл бұрын
The professor is very smart and nice because he wants to show that causality is missing in classical portfolio optimization and even in risk parity paradigm. beautiful video.
@mikemian3 жыл бұрын
Jake is wrong in a few regards: 1) Cash has a zero to negative return based how much money the reserve bank prints each year or the CPI. Historically cash has devalued about 7% a year based on M2, or conservatively, at least the CPI. Cash, by definition cannot have a positive return. 2) A lotteries expected return is based on the current jackpot sometime jackpots get high enough that they become value for money bets - so the return and standard deviation would be higher than 1 (100%). 3) Analysis has shown that only the best VCs (top 25%) do better than ETFs, and that most VCs actually perform worse than the stock market. ETFs as a whole should perform almost exactly the same as stocks, though sectors may under/over perform the general market. 4) The return on real estate has historically been lower than stocks.
@byronmarshall39242 ай бұрын
Unless he is assuming the "Cash" is held in a money market account, a common assumption.
@arunanzogbia89728 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much MIT for sharing this knowledge. Jake Xia, excellent teaching.
@stlouisix35 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your amazing content MIT & thanks to Jake for his interesting lectures too!!!
@shivanshkrishna96266 жыл бұрын
In such an easy way he teaches difficult concepts
@shivanshkrishna96264 жыл бұрын
I will try to build, thanks David
@micahwright15783 жыл бұрын
He said that math is super simple and my mind over here is mind blown.
@ashleynoelle74294 жыл бұрын
“I’m gonna write down everything and take my time”- that’s a good mentor.
@lordofwrongs4 жыл бұрын
yeah bebe. u got it.
@chTomokz2 жыл бұрын
I am enjoy watching from Tokyo, Japan. and am a 52years lady. Thank you for giving a great lecture!
@ken88444 жыл бұрын
I really love MIT chalkboard. It seems so smooth and nostalgic.
@vtss13363 жыл бұрын
I don't know how i came here & im not even interested in this but im watching & learning what he is lecturing. Damn....
@doppleganger34964 жыл бұрын
YEAH, QUARANTINE VIDSSSSSS 2020 BABY YEAHHHH!!
@董飞-t6d4 жыл бұрын
u r not alone bro lol
@lfernandods4 жыл бұрын
Hi from Brazil Quarentine..
@doppleganger34964 жыл бұрын
Luis Fernando Silva oi! Todo bom?
@ayamisdelicious36004 жыл бұрын
Lol
@fabiobeccari84614 жыл бұрын
Here I'm dude, from Italy
@balan19833 жыл бұрын
Thank you for the amazing lecture. Not fortunate enough to enroll in MIT but grateful to learn from this vid.
@tantran19958 жыл бұрын
This professor is amazing
@tensevo6 жыл бұрын
well - he is a real professional teacher.
@muabyt73335 жыл бұрын
Thats the difference between normal universities and top 20 universities.
@wodroi5 жыл бұрын
very handsome ,i like the way he talks
@LifeCoach445 жыл бұрын
Andrew H did you miss the part where he explained why? Different people have different investment goals e.g. protection to principal before retirement
@LifeCoach445 жыл бұрын
Andrew H it was shortly after he said his portfolio was conservative. He reference back to the life stage graph and said something to the effect of, his main goal right now In his stage is protecting principal
@godfather67092 ай бұрын
Any one in 2024
@bakhodirkimsanovАй бұрын
Do you have any business?
@quietbinАй бұрын
yes im here
@baramee001626 күн бұрын
🙋♂️
@JishnuChatterjee14 күн бұрын
December, 2024 😂😅❤
@jinyaozhu104813 күн бұрын
+1
@ryanr88664 жыл бұрын
whoever called out google and apple stock, mad respect bro hope u living lavish if u held
@ryansmith54593 жыл бұрын
"The tendency is to stay with the crowd -- for survival..." Exactly.
@veeecos4 жыл бұрын
34:17 For uncorrelated assets(p=0), the variance for equally weighted assets is 0.5^2 * sigma^2 + 0.5^2 * sigma^2. Var = 0.25 * sigma^2 + 0.25 * sigma^2 = 0.5 * sigma^2. Var = sigma^2 / 2 Standard deviation = sigma / sqrt(2)
@veeecos4 жыл бұрын
For people wondering why variance and mean of coin flip is one. Let us assume a fair coin. P(Heads) = P(Tails) = 0.5. Assume you get +1 if you land heads and -1 if you land tails. Mean = 1*0.5 + (-1) * 0.5 =0. Variance = E(X- mean)^2. Variance = E(X^2) as mean is zero. E(X^2) = 1*1*0.5 + (-1)(-1)*0.5 = 1. Hence standard deviation is also 1.
@blessed4success6832 жыл бұрын
Correct delivery 👏
@mandex35705 жыл бұрын
He smiles like *The Big Short* hedge fund manager
@muabyt73335 жыл бұрын
Great movie
@kevinassang31585 жыл бұрын
i think it's the same guy
@GoodComedian20115 жыл бұрын
Synthetic CDO manager?:)
@young_speculator91444 жыл бұрын
SYNTHETIC CDOs
@thecapone454 жыл бұрын
I literally thought the same thing before I even scrolled down to the comments!
@Anomander8883 жыл бұрын
Excellent lecture young man . You've expanded my old brain.
@inner_melodies4 жыл бұрын
"The closest thing to a free lunch in investment is diversification" - Jake Xia, 2013
@KB-ke3fi3 жыл бұрын
whoa....an actual chalkboard? Love it. The chalk hitting the board at 8 am always kept waking me up.
@Alexamdern6 жыл бұрын
haha, "the closest thing to a free lunch in investment.. is diversification". Im sure he came up with that on the stop. Great lecturer!
@MRF775 жыл бұрын
*...on the spot*
@wallopwallop91254 жыл бұрын
Lejonet nope he didn’t. It was ray dalio
@ilarivaisanen4 жыл бұрын
As a sports bettor I was interested to see him talking about Kelly's formula 45:30 then he starts to talk about -100% (negative) probabilities :D Okay, he corrected himself after a while but still anyone who actually is used to use probabilities don't think even a millisecond that probabilities could be negative.
@trippasnippa1193 жыл бұрын
I feel like i just had the craziest realization. Kids cant learn shit in schools in america pre college is cause teachers have a quota they have to meet and they pre write things on the board and rush through slides and the kids dont have a chance to understand anything thoroughly its just a memory game. This guy gets it about taking his time and writing through everything. I like him.
@edrian34853 жыл бұрын
every industry have their own agenda, there is conflict of interest. best way to survive & thrive in the financial markets is build your own infrastructure.. but that just one part of human needs to fullfil freedom (act) and free will (thoughts) there's more human needs like psychological etc.. thats is the optimised version of life which bring clarity and value
@hebbez3003 жыл бұрын
@@edrian3485 plagiarism
@true_human_0074 жыл бұрын
On the contrarily, Warren, Munger and Cuban do not suggest diversification of portfolio. Diversification is useful when: - 1. Rising asset will fall in future and falling asset will rise in future. Applying strategy in consecutive years : Putting more weight on falling one and decreasing weight on rising one. So that, when the trend will change, you will make more profit. Explained at 55th min in the video. 2. Possibility of trend change is high when everyone applying same optimal strategy. 3. Minimise loss when trend reverse Approach I follow is :- Value investing : Invest when price of asset is lower than intrinsic value and sell when price of asset is above its intrinsic value. There is one approach called Momentum investing : Grab the momentum of the stock and go in the flow. This may be risky. Any suggestion is appreciated.
@Mobin924 жыл бұрын
35:17 Why does the return stay the same if they are negatively correlated and you invest 50:50 in both? Wouldn't it be 0? Edit: I'm just stupid. The return value is an expected longterm average.
@mudderdrummer4 жыл бұрын
i was thinking the same, stiII not sure, expected vaIue wouId be 0 right?
@Mobin924 жыл бұрын
@@mudderdrummer It's probably something like this www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=y+%3D+sin%280.20*x%29+%2B+0.06*x++and+y+%3D+sin%280.20*x+%2B+pi%29+%2B+0.06*x
@ZhioN3604 жыл бұрын
He didn't change R1 and R2, so return or y-axis doesn't change (i.e. both assets still perform equally well in terms of return). He changed the correlation which affects variance (x-axis) and in this case a negative correlation results in 0 variance at a 50/50 split
@kenyup54244 жыл бұрын
Compared to the stocks communities in the reddit ,Facebook which just sold the news there,never taught you the basics of investment,how to analysis the market,you just like have no idea how to invest your money besides following the news or the financial advices ,this guy at least taught you the basics of investment,I really appreciate it
@michaelramirez82453 жыл бұрын
📈🚀🚀I find myself paying more attention to this video than my actual classes
@davidr24213 жыл бұрын
It's a real conundrum. Lectures you find online from MIT, Stanford, Harvord, etc, are so much better than the usual lecture you'd find at your own college. It's hard to even show up and listen. And in the end, why should you? Really goes to show that large components of the university system are obsolete.
@FinancialFaiz2 жыл бұрын
This is excellent. And its all for free!
@zephheine96812 жыл бұрын
shhh might start charging lol
@unnamedsoldier883 жыл бұрын
In one word, diversify your portfolio to maximize your returns. Thanks for the video.
@randomz8065 Жыл бұрын
not really lol, only if markets were that easy wouldn't that be wonderful
@bobgorn2550 Жыл бұрын
Yes and No, more Like: to lower your risk
@meibing49122 жыл бұрын
Very nice. 59:58 "We have not talked about liquidity". Well, not today's lecture - but in the real world its the most important variable of all.
@nabilwalid97744 жыл бұрын
I wish my Professors approach their lectures like this. Trying their best to simplify the concepts of a new topic. All my professor does is follow the textbook lol
@PG-ms5rh3 жыл бұрын
thats cause he is a lazy Piece of Shit
@franciscoreyes73703 жыл бұрын
Probably because their course coordinators and department chairs make them cover specific topics from the book. In upper division courses, professors tend to have more flexibility.
@bilal75614 жыл бұрын
20:01 Timestamp for me - I really want to watch the whole lecture, but it’s 2am, so I might fall asleep any second. Just ignore me, thanks.
@TexasBoyDrew4 жыл бұрын
Wakeup man
@1inchlegendaka.icebrrg1564 жыл бұрын
YAAASSS QUEEEEENNN!!!
@SleekMouse4 жыл бұрын
Next time just text or email yourself a link with the start time. This is asinine way of saving your place. Its been 3 weeks. Either you finished the lecture or you didn't, time to remove this personal use time stamp.
@lavanyachauhan32224 жыл бұрын
@@TexasBoyDrew wow
@sora_is_my_dad4204 жыл бұрын
who tf watches... at 2 am... nvm u do u boo, get that $
@kiran101103 жыл бұрын
He seems like a great prof :) Rare to see profs that really try to listen to their students. These were always my favourite profs in school.
@jamesyates20513 жыл бұрын
Studying and applying the mathematical side to making decisions with your portfolio is great but at the end of the day, it's the psychology of the individual that can drive someone to make a rash decision.
@abelfoley91504 жыл бұрын
Good Portfolio Management is the only way to attain success in the stock market. With the help of an experienced portfolio manager i know that is possible.
@ella-maywilkes3484 жыл бұрын
you are absolutely correct, i made $59850 in total last year because i had a good portfolio manager. Mrs Lilian Wan grew my portfolio from $3000 i started with to that amount.
@abelfoley91504 жыл бұрын
The Stock Market is a liquidated market that has been on for ages, its only beneficial to those who follow through the right procedure. I have been investing in it and i get a good return on investment.
@tahirisaid26937 ай бұрын
Financial management is a vital subject that many avoid, often leading to future regrets.
@tonylozano85746 жыл бұрын
Prof Xia, I stumbled onto your 16. PM video and surprised to read the negative comments. So, here is a real life portfolio, created using Markowitz portfolio therory explained by Francis and Archer. This portfolio was created based on the Dogs of the Dow starting Jan 1, 2018. The optimal weights are Verizon 2.03%, IBM 5.17%, Pfizer 18.18%, Exxon Mobile 11.87%, Chevron 12.40%, Merck 9.38%, Coca-Cola 6.67%, Cisco 13.75%, P&G 7.87% GE 12.67%. Even with big losses from Exxon, Cisco and GE the ROR as 12/13/2018 is +34.57%.
@xdman200056 жыл бұрын
One year of good return proves nothing.
@jerrydulin60296 жыл бұрын
@@xdman20005 it proves a 34.5% return, the next question is, can we repeat this consistently over time. If so then it's a model that's implemented and monitored very closely.
@xdman200056 жыл бұрын
@@jerrydulin6029 true
@jason4896 жыл бұрын
Tony Lozano Tony Lozano dogs of the Dow isn’t a set portfolio rather it’s a portfolio that is made up of the 10 Dow component companies that have the biggest dividend that year. Every year on the first trading day in January investors following this theory would rebalance their portfolios according to that years data. It’s just one of those portfolios that just happen to work historically for no real reason.
@GeorgeJansen Жыл бұрын
Knowledge should not cost individual thousands of dollars. Thank you M. I. T. ❤❤❤❤❤❤
@cjasgill13 жыл бұрын
I feel a lot smarter after watching this
@joefuentes29773 жыл бұрын
No homework today? This guy is some kind of super hero.
@SuperRoycethe598 жыл бұрын
great teacher really helped, thanks
@starriet2 жыл бұрын
40:35) Correction: It's _not_ quadratic, rather it's linear. Just try calculating when the rho = -1 and you'll see it.
@lazywarrior2 жыл бұрын
you are right. it is tedious to verify though.
@avi4francis3 жыл бұрын
I have personally seen enormous difference between one time memorization versus re-visiting the concepts. I can only imagine how much the professors know!
@jomotraveler14169 ай бұрын
Can’t believe I am learning this from Thailand for free, and it was uploaded 9 years ago!
@bobcrane27204 жыл бұрын
53:47 Prof Xia says "if your stock did well, sell some of that so you have more of the stock that lost money; in my example the loser doubles and the one that doubles loses it's gains." This is not a good trading tactic, outside of this year; when stimulus propped up markets.
@no_more_spamplease5121 Жыл бұрын
The truth is that rebalancing does not guarantee your returns will improve; they might or might not improve them depending on what will happen. They might even diminish. What rebalancing offers for sure, though, is lessening the impact of the risk of permanent loss of wealth, if you are unlucky to have bet on a horse that dies in the middle of the race (i.e. a company you own goes bankrupt).
@pillboxgaming41442 жыл бұрын
Well at 1:20:00 the top right chart, I find no major issue with one that lays out as such, however when you generally see sharp inclines as such this is due to introduction of investment. Outside cash is affecting these inclines and I think a comparison on the returns from said cash flow elsewhere needs to be done with future returns on its new placement.
@charlie3k4 жыл бұрын
My portfolio would be 100% deep OTM SPY puts expiring the same week (leveraged 25:1 of course)
@Stonemask54 жыл бұрын
guh
@sanjaycharlesrego46624 жыл бұрын
WSB is everywhere
@DanMan89884 жыл бұрын
Still better then lottery tickets.
@encompassvideo54294 жыл бұрын
Investing in securities is really a matter of probability. It is very probable that shares of JNJ and PG will pay you dividends each quarter and it is very probable that each company will raise the dividend amount paid to you each year. Likewise, it is very probable that a highyield bond fund will pay you more than a governement bond fund but the underlying asset value of the high yield fund will fluctuate. Given these (very simple) examples of probability, we invest (not gamble) our resources accordingly. If we have a long time horizon and do not react emotionally to crashes, pandemics and the like, the concept of probability will reward us. First it will reward us on a somewhat gradual basis as the years go by and then often on an exponential basis as the investments we made initially (and reinvested dividends) really gain traction. I invested $2000 in a high yield bond fund 20 years ago and reinvested all income; the fund now returns $2600 per year. This is not rocket science.
@carrtyrone3 жыл бұрын
Best lecture on finance and intuitive thought process
@luhental Жыл бұрын
Listening to his accent adds 20% to my math score automatically.
@bernardting33612 жыл бұрын
Excellent analysis Very clear concepts It makes me understand the theme of finance and applications Many thanks
@noelplazo3404 Жыл бұрын
Thanks 💥🙏🏽 for these FREE CLASSES from MIT 🙏🏽 in financial literacy 💙 Greetings 🖖🫂 from the Philippines 🇵🇭 💙💕
@yandhi42026 жыл бұрын
gentleman at 1:26:00 was really interesting to hear from, glad he was included in the video
@NormanWasHere4522 жыл бұрын
8:30 the amount of times my professors zoom through slides in my dense and mathematical physics lectures you'd think this man is a genius for saying that
@aditya199455 жыл бұрын
The best practice in the capital markets is to invest for most returns with minimum possible risk. Although I'd like to add that no amount of quants can predict the stock prices in the future. Frankly government policies do effect the rise and fall of stocks, so in a way we can say that policy makers do have the power to push and pull the market.
@ajstimac2489 Жыл бұрын
I use these style lectures & videos to help me sleep. Last night though? Woke up in the middle of a nightmare to the sounds of 1:07:57 and literally thought a monster-robot was trying to summon me with his ball-clacking 😂 I had NO idea that clip was in this lecture, scared the bejeezus out of me LOL
@christhophergeorgelatorewa42754 жыл бұрын
Due to the inflation cash has a negative return. Thank you FED and EZB!
@nicolaschen58092 жыл бұрын
Good bless the free content avalaible in this times.
@himachal82524 жыл бұрын
Watches lecture : S T O N K S 📈
@fb0794 жыл бұрын
Stocks only go up because j powel money printer go BRRRRRR.
@의사-s3g4 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/a2W5n5Rtq5p0atU
@JorgePerez-ui2qp4 жыл бұрын
@@fb079 wsb in the housee
@austinfleming71354 жыл бұрын
only go up
@alendotcom4 жыл бұрын
@Lisa Linda SCAM ALERT
@davon19352 жыл бұрын
Cash has inherent risk relative to volatility, i.e inflation, decoupling of the markets that served as the basis for the theory (acceptance and conversion, petrodollar, swift and other hegemonic programs).
@08Pixel4 жыл бұрын
52:10 diversification
@grahambutler7344 жыл бұрын
Heres is the Industry standard for Hedgefunds: Framework: WISH Process: Systematic Selection Portfolio Key areas Idea Generation - Top down approach: World view - Sector - Stock Gate Keeping: Indicators, Price action and TA Risk Management: Historical Volitility, Implied Volitility, ATR. Self awarness: Kelly Criteria
@hanhangao65418 жыл бұрын
he is incredible
@StephenDoty845 жыл бұрын
Really? I found him "credible." ;)
@SolisDaName4 жыл бұрын
Do you work for the CCP?
@SalesforceUSA3 жыл бұрын
I don't know why KZbin recommended this to me, but I stayed for the whole lecture....
@카와이레너드-w4g6 жыл бұрын
Definitely mindblowing.
@deloresumbre75675 жыл бұрын
01:18:00 can be applied to almost decisions in adulthood or at work. what is the difference between human and a computer? human can analyze based on past trends of events so that it can derive a more holistic solution
@eugenevaticinator45404 жыл бұрын
1:19:24 When a social studies student walks into the finance class.... Sticks out from the crowd like a pink zebra... Dies first
@z1sania4 жыл бұрын
I was looking for that time tag so badly... (facepalm)
@david-Davidson4 жыл бұрын
Little smug smile after thinking she just zing'd em'.
@demolisherOfMoney4 жыл бұрын
LMAO
@LooNciFeRx3 жыл бұрын
Hahahahaha! I was looking for comments that burns this girl
@TheEL8943 жыл бұрын
Expected return works in games where you have bounded environment, set rules, normal distribution, and finite outcomes. Markets are open dynamic environment. This game is unbounded, anything can happen. Synchronized participants can force extreme unlimited outcomes. Ref. WSJ Jan 2014, About That Billion Dollar Basketball Challenge, Ernest Loperena
@HuyPham-kk2ok5 жыл бұрын
55:36 I think his assumption is wrong when combining 50/50 of A and B, in Year 1 50%A will be increased from $50 to $100 and 50%B will be decreased from $50 to $25 so the total of the portfolio will be increased from $100 to $125 => increasing 25% but when in Year 2, 50%A will be decreased from $100 to $50 and 50%B will be increased from $25 to $50 so that the total of Portfolio = $100=> decreasing 20% in Year 2
@saintgavinsitu4 жыл бұрын
You forgot the rebalancing at the end of year one. 50%A will be 125/2=68
@no_more_spamplease5121 Жыл бұрын
@@saintgavinsitu($100+25)/2 = $62.50 for each after rebalancing. Then, at the end of year 2, A=$31.25 and B=$125, totalling $156.25.
@felixliang75582 ай бұрын
this guys a good vibe. Love these lectures
@devinparker17484 жыл бұрын
Bobby Axelrod would tear this guy to pieces!
@rah17213 жыл бұрын
Using coloured chalk on the black board helps to clarify things particularly in diagrams/graphs etc..
@poochyboi5 жыл бұрын
this guy is an excellent lecturer. i dont give a shit about mathematics or finance...but i found this very interesting to listen to.