2024 Predictions and Global Power Dynamics with George Friedman

In this interview with renowned geopolitical expert George Friedman, we delve into the complexities of current and future geopolitics. Friedman offers insightful predictions for 2024, drawing parallels between historical patterns and present-day geopolitics. We discuss the role of the U.S. in global conflicts, the underlying strategies of world powers, and the unseen forces shaping international relations. Join us for an intriguing journey into the world of geopolitics, where Friedman reveals the hidden truths behind global power struggles and government decisions.
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4:04 Forecasting America's Future: Insights from the 2024 United States Forecast
6:39 Decoding the Traditional American Rage: Understanding the Nation's Psyche
7:33 Navigating Political Divide: Lessons from History on Overcoming National Rifts
11:21 2024 Elections: Predicting the Tipping Point in American Politics
16:57 Empire Lifecycles: Tracing the Rise and Fall of Global Powers
23:23 America's Role in Global Conflicts: Analyzing the Ukraine Crisis and Beyond
28:31 The Psychology of War: Understanding National Fears and Strategies
34:26 Psychological Invasion: Assessing the Impact of Foreign Influence on the U.S.
37:00 Forecasting the Israel-Palestine Conflict: Potential Outcomes and Strategies
42:16 The Complexities of Intelligence: Learning from Historical Failures
47:17 The South China Sea Tension: Analyzing the Risks and Strategies
50:25 China's Crippled Ambitions: Unveiling the Reality Behind the Economic Giant
Copyright © 2022 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.

[@markdownton3185]

Alex Jones literally told you to expect 9/11. Pity he is deliberately ignored/attacked/discredited/marginalised.

[@davecalico3273]

WhataGoober

[@loganwallace911]

This is the weirdest interview I've seen in a long time. I've lived both during the 70's and now and this IS NOT like the 70's at all.

[@FreeSpeech4All]

Yet. 😉

[@loganwallace911]

@@FreeSpeech4All As much as that is true I find even the suggestion outlandish. I've studied both periods from a macro investment perspective and the two eras couldn't be fundamentally more different. From debt to demographics and industrial capacity and wage levels it's like night and day. This is the night part of the comparison if you were wondering. We're actually in the midst of a depression that has saw more wealth destruction than that of the dirty 30's. Economic growth has been well below trend since 2008, the financial crisis we have yet to recover from. Our money system is broken and it's not getting better. I don't know what data that gentleman is looking at, or if he looks at data at all, but it couldn't be different than what I see.

[@FreeSpeech4All]

@@loganwallace911 I completely agree. This is much worse than the 70's... yet I still expect it to get even worse as we're likely to see another oil shock as OPEC+/BRICS ditch the dollar... followed by massive shortages caused by this idiotic admin implementating wage and price controls. Both similar to the 70's, but the effects will be much, MUCH worse... largely for the reasons you cited. Debt, demographics, divisiveness, etc.

[@nick-oi1xf]

This guy lives in an alternative universe.

[@timthetiny7538]

​@@FreeSpeech4Allyour expectations wrong then

[@advocate1563]

He agrees with Felix Zulauf who sees the financial crisis breaking in late 2020s. He also vhannels Neil Howe when he says it isn't bad enough yet to force the consensus. Still time to get ready; still no "grey champion" emerging.

[@leswilk1601]

Please don't play backround music as in the intro, it interferes with listening !

[@joeshmoe7899]

"We can increase the empire by destroying traditional america and conquering western europe." Who is "we"?

[@Houthiandtheblowfish]

the oligarchs adviser joker

[@nikitatrotsky6918]

J's

[@circlelabs]

Modern warfare is not the old school ships, planes and tanks. While the US does have some geographical advantages, it's a lot easier to mess with the US now (cyber warfare, bio warfare, drones, etc.). Look at what the Houthis are doing with limited budgets and tech.

[@rodpanhard]

Todays warfare is economic, if you can destroy the Dollar all those military bases spread around the globe have to pack up and go home. The US is canabalising it's own empire to survive what baffles me is why they are going along with it so meekly.

[@kirstinstrand6292]

Wait until it can no longer be Covert. 😢

[@chickenfishhybrid44]

Modern warfare isn't old school ships, planes and tanks? Well the US has literally the most modern and technologically advanced military on earth.. You make it sound like the US can't use similar tactics on everyone else.. especially things like cyber or "hybrid warfare".

[@Mrcurious0323]

The US spies on everyone 10 times more than anyone spies on it

[@Rdlo-vj8dr]

​@@chickenfishhybrid44Tell the Houthis.

[@joflemig]

I cannot tolerate background music. Too distracting.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Russia is large. But it is also cold. Paved roads are unaffordable in most of Russia because of the cold weather and short growing season for agriculture.

[@PoppieFieldsForever]

“The founders were terribly afraid of getting things done” 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@Stack4Life-yq9hw]

[@kirstinstrand6292]

That one perplexed me, too 😮

[@user-yc9ib2he7l]

Great take on things

[@edreeves121]

Too many ads.

[@andrewhill1251]

Main takeaway is that things will get much worse before they get better. I agree.

[@user-tt3eb3wp7c]

please shut off the noise pollution in the background.

[@Andrew-yt6pf]

Couldn't disagree more, on all fronts. Today is nothing like the 70's. Everything is infinitely more leveraged and on an instability knife edge. If you think we're able to tick along until 2028, I have a bridge for sale.

[@timthetiny7538]

People have been saying this since 1875

[@goretoye]

I'm with you andrew. I'm watching loads of other analysts say that this year is when everything hits the fan. I got my popcorn ready

[@francoisfoue]

I love the blunt statement "we conquered western Europe" although the ennemies were only Germany and Italy. I fully agree with that. The US took control of Western Europe, wether they were former ennemies, neutral or allies. I also agree with the statements that Russia had to attack because of NATO and we predicted it. Also that we don't care about Ukraine. Both are cynical and true. On the other hand, speaking of China as an economy in bad shape is true when comparing with the growth rate of the past 10 years. It is not true if we compare with westerne economies.

[@wardfoss2130]

this guy says the us cant be invaded by land-like mexico and canada are rock solid allies with us-wtf? typical normie historian

[@FreeSpeech4All]

The US is being invaded by land every damned day a long the southern border. 🙄 Yeah, totally agree with you.

[@theresaowen2708]

Over a million foreign troops have already crossed the border this year. We gave the phones, cash, and placed them strategically around the country. Now they wait .. for orders.

[@flashfuture27]

he went over your head buddy

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Great guest. Things have to get worse before there is a change in the cycle.

[@user-dt3mc4td3d]

The problem is not other countries,it’s Washington DC.

[@curtfinch]

george always calms me down when i get sucked into the maelstrom of current political discourse. Would love to hear his analysis of all the demographic collapse going on in china, japan, russia, germany etc.

[@kayeninetwo3585]

I appreciate the different perspectives Jay showcases on his show. Some interesting views from his guest on this video. I would not agree with some of those perspectives, but that's ok. It's good to be exposed to other ideas when contemplating complex problems.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

In 1860 Russia annexed 906,000 sq km of Chinese territory (the size of Texas and Oklahoma combined). The Chinese government is bound to recover that territory in first priority of its relations with Russia. The Chinese have not forgotten the century of shame.

[@rodpanhard]

It's a pity the founders never knew what a coporatocracy would be like or they might have made sure they were kept in check as well.

[@FreeSpeech4All]

Had the Constitution not been altered and then ignored, we wouldn't have that problem.

[@bpb5541]

An enlightened citizenry is indispensable for the proper functioning of a republic. Self-government is not possible unless the citizens are educated sufficiently to enable them to exercise oversight. It is therefore imperative that the nation see to it that a suitable education be provided for all its citizens. It should be noted, that when Jefferson speaks of "science," he is often referring to knowledge or learning in general.He also talked about "central banks" This is why America is in trouble your comments prove we are poorly educated. We deserve everything that is coming to us.

[@DavorMagdic]

The problem with America arming Ukraine is not that it does not serve American interest, it is that America is hypocritical about it

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

There have been over 20 million Ukrainian casualties from the Ukraine War, 20 million refugees and 300,000 combat casualties.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

The most important allies of the U. S. is the Anglosphere--the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Japan and Germany, the fourth and fifth largest economic power are also important allies. But it does no stop there. France by itself is an important ally.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

The largest force on earth is the combination of the U. S. and its allies. By itself the U. S. is influential. However, with its allies, it is irresistible.

[@christopherbic7688]

Excellent discussion Gentlemen

[@herbertlulsdorf7823]

thank you Jay .... for making evil obvius

[@peterwhimster]

Marjorie Taylor Greene doesn't care about second and third order impacts not just Ukraine. MAGA regard isolationism and greatness.

[@georgesmith113]

Were the 911 hijackers that good or was it or was it a lack of communication and diligence by the federal agency?

[@user-rd3ym3cq3z]

George do you know who prabhupada is?

[@noahkatz9616]

In response to George saying that he was stunned by how good Arab intelligence before 911 was, i'm stunned at how bad our intelligence was. Somehow it didn't raise eyebrows that at least one of their pilots getting training said he didn't need to learn how to land.

[@mercyandthemiddletons]

I love hearing so many different views on the coming year, I think we may end up right in the middle for 2024. I can't imagine we make it to 2028 without a crash.

[@kirstinstrand6292]

A crash is different than a breaking point. I agree with Jay and George. It does not feel that the breaking point will be 2024. There is too much misaligned hope in the air. Is it the majority of the FOMO crowd and PPT that 🤔 inflate sentiment?😮

[@grzegorzdomysawski5413]

War was not boost for Poland, keep your wars out of Poland.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Demographic shift in U. S. Population is aging and politics will become more like Florida. Florida is the political model for the U. S. of the years late 20s and 30s.

[@jrtstrategicapital560]

GF is an astute geopolitical analyst! I’ve followed him for over a decade. Spot on.👏👏👏

[@ddprepper5227]

Excellent report 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍💯

[@paulmurray8922]

Great interview of Dr. Friedman. Thank you.

[@brucejohnson9321]

Go back and watch this a second time. The man was into his cups when they hit the go button.

[@marinbotev5134]

Interesting thought about the 50 years of change cycle in the USA. Perhaps the period the cycle is changing if change is not expected to happen 2024.

[@tomcraver9659]

Hmmm - @40:10: But the 911 attackers WERE detected training to fly jets and that was reported by the regional FBI, and the idea of terrorists crashing planes into buildings WAS on the US national security system's radar. Heck, part of the many on-going military exercises on 911 included a plane crash into a tower, though the exercise described it as an accidental crash. (None of this is 'conspiracy theory' stuff, btw.) They just failed to add 1+1 to get 2. I think it is totally fair to call that an "intelligence" failure, rather than a surveillance failure.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

The U. S. has regressions and advances. In all, the advances outweigh the regressions.

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

The poverty of Russia is the cold climate.

[@WhatsNextt]

is it a new video or recorded before?

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Uncle Volva is an affectionate name for President Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin in Russia.

[@Ali-ex4uk]

I think we should accept that China has improved dramatically and is the largest economy in the world (it's total import export is larger than the US), in every aspect it is a leading country, technology, manufacturing, human resources, productivity and ... Without China the world is in big trouble.

[@humanbeing6933]

“How did Israeli intelligence miss the Hamas attack plan?” .. it didn’t. It wanted it to happen

[@Chrisklown]

It is possible. 1973 wants Jerusalem. 2023 wants Hamas out. 9/11 wants USA Patriot Act. JFK, Lyndon Johnson wants power. Watergate, dems want to rule

[@djsergiubulgar4922]

🤔

[@Xavier8189]

Its scary to see the overall level of geopolitics understanding in the US

[@DanaJumper]

Interesting to compare his thoughts with Neil Howe and the coming generational turning, he suggests may be in the early 2030's

[@davidkoh7097]

Yep, the Philippines bases agreement was a major move... surprised it didn't get more airplay in the mainstream news media, even in the Asia Pacific, at the time.

[@nick-oi1xf]

These guys actually believe the "official" 9/11 narrative.😂😂😂 You guys live in fantasy land. Did you take your "safe and effectives" also?😂😂😂

[@JohnnyULives-lz1ml]

Jay still believes the box cutter fairy tale.

[@rgc8771]

The biggest loss of Gaza war to US was that US lost moral edifice on which US stood in the world. Russia through Iran and its proxies, initiated the conflict that torn apart two very important foundations on which military and economic ascendancy of US rest. Using holocaust as strategic tool, that could have been stopped in 1939 by USA/ UK, but used by British as strategy to control jewish finance, that was taken over by USA after WW2, and the moral reason to initiate war around USSR to control it resources through wall street and losing Ukraine war wherein Isreal became a casualty because it was so unprepared for it, that it committed to massacres, losing its moral foundation that modren state of Isreal was created due to Holocaust. If it was so, why did Isreal commit to massacres. Russia won morally, even when it massacred Ukraiain for just having a choice as sovereign nation to joining NATO, saved Russia by integrating its economy to East with China and India and won a war through Hamas, Hazbulla and Houthis, while also wining in global south, Muslim world and Africa. Russia won Isreal became a casuality and US lost and China without spending a single pennyvwon the world. God Bless

[@movingamerica5534]

Great interview

[@kirstinstrand6292]

This intro was fascinating 👏

[@norinretrescu2474]

this man grew old being an optimist disconnected from reality......

[@colgategilbert8067]

A big problem with Jay's argument about the US as an Empire is that he does not understand the text book definition of an Empire. It is one state that militarily, politically and economically dominates other states for its own economic benefit like the Ottoman Turks did.. That's not the US/Bretton Woods System

[@nick-oi1xf]

China is crippled? Compare a Chinese city to an American city and say that again. This guy is wrong, American companies need China more than China needs them. Where in the world is Apple going make their phone? Ohio?😂😂😂

[@navi2102]

India --- Apple is already in the process of shifting manufacturing to India & Vietnam

[@flashfuture27]

the supplier is dispensable when labor is cheaper elsewhere. bye bye china

[@jpurpleyou]

No China needs Taiwan and Japan (and the US) and their far more advanced technical capabilities-and a lot more women and children

[@flashfuture27]

Always a pleasure to hear from Dr. George Friedman. Based on the comments, he went over the heads of most viewers.

[@pncicitap2519]

I was in the 8th grade in the late 1950s, and if I remember my American History correctly, our country, the United States, in forming itself with waves of immigrants and moving westward and engaging the Indians displaced the only non-immigrants (i.e. the Indians) into reservations. It is what it is, Americans.

[@user-rd3ym3cq3z]

Prabhupada saves

[@frankhenicke348]

This is a difficult discussion to get. To need war to make money? Your guest lost me with all the necessary war talk to make money.

[@ricktasker8248]

Brilliant guy.

[@colonelchuck5590]

Damn---"-Greed is Good!" now "War is Good!"

[@winstonpeckson8019]

What about the new Defense Chief of China who is of the PLN and has experience in the seas of Taiwan and the West Philippine Seas? Is this preparatory for a more aggressive confrontation in these areas?

[@ilamare2545]

Die amerikanische Verteidigungslinie um China herum ist eine Sicherheitszone für Amerika, aber auch eine Bedrohung für chinesische Häfen. Ist Myanmar aufgrund der geopolitischen Absichten beider in Gefahr? danke

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Russia is poor because of its climate. Russia is cold. The territorial center of Russia is further north than the territorial center of Canada. Sixty-five percent of Russia is permafrost and unsuitable for infrastructural development. There is only only one growing season in Russia.

[@andrzejzelazniewicz8434]

Brilliant

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Facts matter.

[@earlpayne9857]

People love anniversarys of any kind I see another depression between 2029/2030. Then we'll see infrastructure housing and military build outs just like the last time there's needs for both but they'll wait til rates and chaos comes first simple to see

[@kikolatulipe]

@9:49 Reagan is his hero lol 😂

[@user-dv4ou8pv7p]

Who is the biggest Nazi in Russia? Uncle Volva.

[@danielthompson3882]

go Jay !! Amazing work more please 🙏

[@lorilacour7816]

That was awesome

[@tonymcdonald6482]

Thanks, definitely a refreshing view on our times that gives me much to think about.

[@user-rd3ym3cq3z]

Prabhupada jai

[@brucewargo9780]

You didn't mention BRICS at all and its potential to affect things. Also, there is a company working on developing an extremely large blimp as a new more efficient means of world trade. While this technology has quite a ways to go the possible implications are enormous. China would no longer need the seas for commerce.

[@jimyarburo]

The cargo capacity of the largest forecast blimp is only 20,000 kilograms. That's a 'drop in the ocean' of needed capacity.

[@dariusbumblauskas1702]

Cant watch you any more, there is more adverts than the video itself...

[@randybeck7554]

Always a thoughtful conversation. I learned so much. Thank you

[@toncicoric6327]

❤❤

[@HagarTheHODLer]

👍

[@patricksullivan3919]

Total military industrial complex LIAR

[@dustydude8764]

Lost me when he said Reagan was an idiot...

[@jamesburke3803]

What he was trying to say was that the media regarded him as an idiot. George Friedman is one of the most brilliant geostrategic analysts of our age, but he's getting old, and doesn't speak as well as he once did.

[@jorgebenavente9872]

​@@jamesburke3803 this is dude full of shit

[@FreeSpeech4All]

​@jamesburke3803 Could a fooled me. Sounded like grumpy old mainstream fool unloading bitterness and jibber-jabber. Ah, he's a member of the tiny hats who own America, so no wonder he's spewing MIC narrative and bull 💩. 🙄

[@Stack4Life-yq9hw]

Hes the idiot

[@Don-sx5xv]

Remember Reaganomics...This was the beginning of Slave labor in America and since this time wages have either decreased or changed little in 50 years. Reagan was the union buster President.

[@christiansmith-of7dt]

Duration

[@caseyrindal1815]

Not worse today? Seems to me he's missing something.

[@tenplus1025]

This guy needs to talk to Douglas McGregor. He’s definitely lacking in military understanding

[@patricksullivan3919]

Texas will vote for Texas TO SECEDE

[@RobWilliams007]

I think that the Chinese are a bit like a pro athlete or a lottery winner: they came into money very quickly and spent it too fast and recklessly.

[@chickenfishhybrid44]

Are immigrants almost ever actually welcomed anywhere? Certainly never universally by the population.

[@hedgehog5ful]

I wished the interviewer would just shut up. Each time Friedman spoke, i wanted clarification - what did you just say? Instead Jay just charges off at some jejune tangent. How not to do an interview.

[@user-nr2nl6us7p]

Whaat???? This guy is delusional

[@JohnVanMeter58]

Poor George so out of touch with America.

[@flashfuture27]

your out of touch his information and facts

[@luminyam6145]

I like George very much but he is almost as difficult to understand as Noam Chomskey.

[@user-fv2uz6qq6g]

Bitte auf deutsch übersetzen

[@ilonagallo3534]

I dont agree with him at all l saw him in Budapest

[@shahramtorki560]

Not so smart

[@hasanmahmood8078]

displaying books behind him does not mean anything. It doesn't make him an expert.

[@gaymummu]

the irony is that it wasnt arabs with box cutters but mossad. so basically the guy he is talking to. smh

[@robertk1834]

It's so dumb to call what these people feel as "rage", totally ignorant of the situation tbh

[@danielelford]

Dude lost me when he spoke ill of Reagan

[@Jeffrey2323]

Out of date and narrow views. And worse, wrong.